Developing a risk prediction model for death at first suicide attempt-Identifying risk factors from Thailand's national suicide surveillance system data.

More than 60% of suicides globally are estimated to take place in low- and middle-income nations. Prior research on suicide has indicated that over 50% of those who die by suicide do so on their first attempt. Nevertheless, there is a dearth of knowledge on the attributes of individuals who die on their first attempt and the factors that can predict mortality on the first attempt in these regions. The objective of this study was to create an individual-level risk-prediction model for mortality on the first suicide attempt. We analyzed records of individuals' first suicide attempts that occurred between May 1, 2017, and April 30, 2018, from the national suicide surveillance system, which includes all of the provinces of Thailand. Subsequently, a risk-prediction model for mortality on the first suicide attempt was constructed utilizing multivariable logistic regression and presented through a web-based application. The model's performance was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), as well as measuring its sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Out of the 3,324 individuals who made their first suicide attempt, 50.5% of them died as a result of that effort. Nine out of the 21 potential predictors demonstrated the greatest predictive capability. These included male sex, age over 50 years old, unemployment, having a depressive disorder, having a psychotic illness, experiencing interpersonal problems such as being aggressively criticized or desiring plentiful attention, having suicidal intent, and displaying suicidal warning signals. The model demonstrated a good predictive capability, with an AUC of 0.902, a sensitivity of 84.65%, a specificity of 82.66%, and an accuracy of 83.63%. The implementation of this predictive model can assist physicians in conducting comprehensive evaluations of suicide risk in clinical settings and devising treatment plans for preventive intervention.

Durability of the Effectiveness of Heterologous COVID-19 Vaccine Regimens in Thailand: Retrospective Cohort Study Using National Registration Data.

BACKGROUND: The durability of heterologous COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) has been primarily studied in high-income countries, while evaluation of heterologous vaccine policies in low- and middle-income countries remains limited. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the duration during which the VE of heterologous COVID-19 vaccine regimens in mitigating serious outcomes, specifically severe COVID-19 and death following hospitalization with COVID-19, remains over 50%. METHODS: We formed a dynamic cohort by linking records of Thai citizens aged ≥18 years from citizen vital, COVID-19 vaccine, and COVID-19 cases registry databases between May 2021 and July 2022. Encrypted citizen identification numbers were used to merge the data between the databases. This study focuses on 8 common heterologous vaccine sequences: CoronaVac/ChAdOx1, ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1, CoronaVac/ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1, CoronaVac/ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, BBIBP-CorV/BBIBP-CorV/BNT162b2, ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, and ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1/mRNA-1273. Nonimmunized individuals were considered for comparisons. The cohort was stratified according to the vaccination status, age, sex, province location, month of vaccination, and outcome. Data analysis employed logistic regression to determine the VE, accounting for potential confounders and durability over time, with data observed over a follow-up period of 7 months. RESULTS: This study includes 52,580,841 individuals, with approximately 17,907,215 and 17,190,975 receiving 2- and 3-dose common heterologous vaccines (not mutually exclusive), respectively. The 2-dose heterologous vaccinations offered approximately 50% VE against severe COVID-19 and death following hospitalization with COVID-19 for 2 months; however, the protection significantly declined over time. The 3-dose heterologous vaccinations sustained over 50% VE against both outcomes for at least 8 months, as determined by logistic regression with durability time-interaction modeling. The vaccine sequence consisting of CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1 demonstrated >80% VE against both outcomes, with no evidence of VE waning. The final monthly measured VE of CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1 against severe COVID-19 and death following hospitalization at 7 months after the last dose was 82% (95% CI 80.3%-84%) and 86.3% (95% CI 83.6%-84%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In Thailand, within a 7-month observation period, the 2-dose regimens could not maintain a 50% VE against severe and fatal COVID-19 for over 2 months, but all of the 3-dose regimens did. The CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1 regimen showed the best protective effect against severe and fatal COVID-19. The estimated durability of 50% VE for at least 8 months across all 3-dose heterologous COVID-19 vaccine regimens supports the adoption of heterologous prime-boost vaccination strategies, with a primary series of inactivated virus vaccine and boosting with either a viral vector or an mRNA vaccine, to prevent similar pandemics in low- and middle-income countries.

Comparison of immediate-start peritoneal dialysis without break-in period and conventional-start peritoneal dialysis: a two-center retrospective audit.

PURPOSE: Immediate-start peritoneal dialysis (PD) has emerged as a strategy for patients in need of urgent dialysis. However, the ideal timing for initiating this procedure remains uncertain. In this study, we aimed to compare complications and outcomes between immediate-start PD and conventional-start PD. METHODS: We performed a two-center retrospective cohort study between 1 January 2015 and 31 May 2020. Patients who underwent PD were divided into immediate-start PD (without break-in period) and conventional-start PD group (break-in period within at least 14 days). The primary outcomes were the incidence of the mechanical complications and infectious complication. The secondary outcomes were technique failure and patient survival. RESULTS: A total of 209 patients (106 in the immediate-start PD group and 103 in the conventional-start PD group) were included. Immediate-start PD had significantly lower catheter malfunction or migration rate compare with conventional-start PD (2.8% vs. 15.5%, p = 0.003) but comparable rates of dialysate leaks, pleuroperitoneal leaks, and hemoperitoneum. Infectious complications (exit-site infection and peritonitis) were similar between groups. Technique survival was comparable (7.5% vs. 4.8%, p = 0.22), while immediate-start PD exhibited lower mortality rates (0.9% vs. 13.6%, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Immediate-start PD appears to be a viable option for patients in need of urgent dialysis, with reduced catheter complications and comparable infectious complications and technique survival when compared to conventional-start PD.

Incidence rates of myocarditis and pericarditis within 30 days following homologous and heterologous BNT162b2 vaccinations in individuals 5-40 years of age.

INTRODUCTION: Due to the data scarcity in low- and middle-income countries, we aimed to examine the incidence rate of myocarditis and pericarditis within 30 days after each dose of homologous (3 × BNT162b2) and heterologous prime-boost (2 × BBIBP-CorV/BNT162b2) vaccine regimen among individuals younger than 40 years. METHODS: We conducted a historical control cohort using routinely recorded data from Thai national vaccine and insurance claims databases. Sex-specific incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for myocarditis and pericarditis were calculated for each vaccination strategy and contrasted with incidence rates among the non-immunised population in the pre-COVID-19 period. From August 2021 to September 2022, we tracked the incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis within 30 days after vaccinations using < 40-year-old national population databases. Our reference was the average monthly incidence of these conditions in the non-immunised population from August to October 2019. The exposure of interest was immunisation against the SARS-CoV-2 virus, incorporating the following vaccination strategies: three-dose 3 × BNT162b2 regimen, three-dose 2 × BBIBP-CorV/BNT162b2 regimen, and non-immunisation. RESULTS: For myocarditis, a total of 215 cases were identified among 7,594,965 individuals in the 3 × BNT162b2 cohort, 5 cases among 2,914,643 individuals in the 2 × BBIBP-CorV/BNT162b2 cohort, and 115 cases among 32,424,780 non-immunised individuals. The sex-specific IRRs (95 % confidence intervals) of myocarditis and pericarditis after the homologous vaccination were 3.09 (1.61, 5.93) and 1.84 (0.72, 4.73) for females and 7.43 (3.11, 17.73) and 10.48 (3.90, 28.15) for males, respectively. Conversely, the IRRs of myocarditis after the heterologous vaccination were not significant (females: 2.24 (0.70, 7.17); males: 1.99 (0.48, 8.21)). IRRs could not be obtained for pericarditis after the heterologous vaccination because of the small number of observed events. CONCLUSIONS: The study observed a significantly increased risk of myocarditis and pericarditis following homologous 3 × BNT162b2 vaccination but had insufficient power to confirm an increased risk for myocarditis following the heterologous prime-boost 2 × BBIBP-CorV/BNT162b2 vaccination. The incidence of pericarditis following the heterologous vaccination was too rare to evaluate.

Do Electronic Health Literacy and Online Health Information-Seeking Behavior Mediate the Effects of Socio-Demographic Factors on COVID-19- and Non-communicable Disease-Related Behaviors Among Myanmar Migrants in Southern Thailand?

Introduction Myanmar migrants in Thailand are vulnerable to COVID-19 and non-communicable disease (NCD) risk behaviors, influenced by socio-demographic factors. In the digital age, migrants can seek extensive health information online, and their ability to understand and use electronic health information, which is known as electronic health literacy (e-Health literacy), becomes critical in making decisions about their health behaviors. This study aims to investigate the potential mediating roles of online health information-seeking and e-Health literacy in the associations between socio-demographic factors and COVID-19- and NCD-related behaviors. Methods Our study was conducted in 2022, involving 1,050 Myanmar migrants in two southern Thai cities. Data on socio-demographic factors, e-Health literacy, online health information seeking, COVID-19-related behaviors (adherence to COVID-19 protective behavior (CPB), vaccination), and NCD risk behaviors (smoking, betel chewing, alcohol consumption, substance abuse) were collected. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was employed to analyze the hypothesized relationships. Results Nearly all migrants received the COVID-19 vaccination in two doses and above, with reasonable good adherence to CPB. Migrants exhibited risky NCD-related behaviors, including current smoking (26.8%), alcohol consumption (17.5%), and betel chewing (25.8%). Approximately three-quarters (73.4%) had a limited e-Health literacy level, and the vast majority did not search for online health information. Their COVID-19- and NCD-related behaviors were directly influenced by socio-demographic factors without the significant mediation roles of e-Health literacy and online health information seeking. Conclusions Myanmar migrant workers in Southern Thailand had reasonably good practices in COVID-19-related behaviors despite engaging in risky NCD-related behaviors. These outcome behaviors were directly influenced by their socio-demographic factors, without the significant mediation roles of e-Health literacy and online health information seeking. The findings suggest that diverse interventions beyond e-Health strategies for future pandemic mitigation and enhancement of their health behaviors are needed.

Vulnerability of NCDs and Mediating Effect of Risk Behaviors Among Tuberculosis Patients and Their Household Contacts Compared to the General Population in the Yangon Region, Myanmar.

Purpose: We investigated the association of TB patients and their household contacts with diabetes mellitus (DM) and hypertension compared to the general population, and the mediating effects of risk behaviors including current smoking, alcohol drinking, and poor diet quality. Patients and Methods: A cross-sectional study on screening for DM, hypertension, and risk behaviors among newly diagnosed TB patients (n = 221) and their household contacts (n = 257) aged 25-74 years in Yangon in 2018. Health data of the general population (n = 755) were obtained from an NCD risk factor survey in Yangon. A directed acyclic graph is used to identify possible pathways of association between variables. Associations are presented as adjusted odds ratios (aOR). Results: Compared to the general population, both TB patients and their household contacts were associated with current smoking and drinking, and TB patients were more likely to be underweight. Without considering mediating effects, TB patients had higher odds of DM (aOR = 6.3, 95% CI: 3.8-10.6), but both TB patients and household contacts had lower odds of hypertension (aOR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.33-0.87) and (aOR = 0.68; 95% CI: 0.47-0.98), respectively. The body mass index-mediated pathway reduced the odds of DM and hypertension among TB patients (aOR = 3.4; 95% CI: 2.2-5.3) and (aOR = 0.3; 95% CI: 0.2-0.5), respectively. Conclusion: The shared risk behaviors among TB patients and household contacts with high burden of DM in TB patients endorse screening of risk behaviors and strengthening the integration of NCD services among TB patients and household contacts in this dual-burden country.

Active Tuberculosis Screening via a Mobile Health App in Myanmar: Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation.

BACKGROUND: A mobile app that calculates a tuberculosis (TB) risk score based on individual social and pathological characteristics has been shown to be a better predictor of the risk of contracting TB than conventionally used TB signs and symptoms (TBSS) in Myanmar, where the TB burden is high. Its cost-effectiveness, however, has not yet been assessed. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the incremental costs of this mobile app and of chest x-rays (CXRs) in averting disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among missed cases of active TB in the population being screened. METHODS: Elements of incremental costs and effectiveness of 3 initial TB screening strategies were examined, including TBSS followed by CXR, the mobile app followed by CXR, and universal CXR. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER; ie, the additional cost for each additional DALY averted) was compared to TBSS screening. Based on the latest 2020 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of Myanmar (US $1477.50), the ICER was compared to willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds of 1, 2, and 3 times the GDP per capita. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted with a Monte Carlo simulation to compute the levels of probability that the ICER for each strategy was below each WTP threshold. RESULTS: For each 100,000 population, the incremental cost compared to TBSS of active TB screening was US $345,942 for the mobile app and US $1,810,712 for universal CXR. The incremental effectiveness was 325 DALYs averted for the mobile app and 576 DALYs averted for universal CXR. For the mobile app, the estimated ICER was US $1064 (72% of GDP per capita) per 1 DALY averted. Furthermore, 100% of the simulated values were below an additional cost of 1 times the GDP per capita for 1 additional DALY averted. The universal CXR strategy has an estimated ICER of US $3143 (2.1 times the GDP per capita) per 1 DALY averted and an additional 77.2% DALYs averted compared to the app (ie, 576 - 325 / 325 DALYs); however, 0.5% of the simulated values were higher than an additional expenditure of 3 times the GDP per capita. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the status of the economy in 2020, the mobile app strategy is affordable for Myanmar. The universal CXR strategy, although it could prevent an additional 77% of DALYs, is probably unaffordable. Compared to the TBSS strategy, the mobile app system based on social and pathological characteristics of TB has potential as a TB screening tool to identify missing TB cases and to reduce TB morbidity and mortality, thereby helping to achieve the global goal of "End TB" in resource-limited settings with a high TB burden.

Sequence of COVID-19 Vaccination and COVID-19 Infection and Their Association With the Development of Active Tuberculosis: A Case-Control Study.

Introduction Information regarding the cross-risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and tuberculosis (TB) is still sparse. This study aimed to identify the patterns of sequence of COVID-19 vaccination and COVID-19 infection and to explore the association between COVID-19 vaccination, COVID-19 infection, and the development of active TB. Methods It was a case-control study conducted in RSUD Dr. Iskak Hospital, Tulungagung, between October 2022 and April 2023. Active cases of TB patients were compared with non-TB controls in the same hospital, with the same age and sex. Their pattern of sequence of COVID-19 vaccination and infection was investigated. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between these key variables. Results Of 296 case-control sets, 64.2% were female. The mean ± standard deviation of age was 46 ± 15.6 years. 5.7% of the cases and 6.4% of the controls had a history of COVID-19 infection, whereas 58.8% and 68.4% had been vaccinated (mostly after infection). The adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of COVID-19 infection on risk to the development of active TB was 1.45 (0.58, 3.65). Those of COVID-19 vaccination of one to four doses were 0.42 (0.17, 1), 0.98 (0.58, 1.66), 0.48 (0.25, 0.93), and 0.09 (0.01, 0.81), respectively. Conclusion It was found that there were five patterns of sequence of COVID-19 infection and COVID-19 vaccination, with the most frequent being having COVID-19 infection before COVID-19 vaccination. Our data did not support the association between COVID-19 infection and the subsequent development of active TB. On the other hand, COVID-19 vaccination has been demonstrated to increase some protection against the development of active TB.

Cross-Risk Between Tuberculosis and COVID-19 in East Java Province, Indonesia: An Analysis of Tuberculosis and COVID-19 Surveillance Registry Period 2020-2022.

INTRODUCTION: Tuberculosis (TB) and COVID-19 are highly transmissible diseases and pose a serious risk to public health. Unfortunately, information on cross-risk between the two diseases was still sparse. Our main objective was to estimate the excess risk among TB patients in getting COVID-19 infection and vice versa. METHODS: The study design was a series of analyses of existing data from TB and COVID-19 registries in East Java Province, Indonesia. The study period was from January 2020 to June 2022. Case-by-case data for this study were obtained from the registration systems for TB and COVID-19 in separate databases. In comparing risk across different groups, adjusting for differences in risk factors that influence the outcome was essential. We overcame this problem by employing a standardized morbidity ratio. RESULTS: Among 92,424 newly diagnosed TB patients, 1,326 were subsequently infected with COVID-19 during the study period, compared with 1,679 expected. The standardized morbidity ratio (95% confidence interval) was 72.61% (60.19%, 85.03%). Among 635,946 newly diagnosed COVID-19-infected patients, 987 subsequently got active TB during the study period against 1,679 expected. The standardized morbidity ratio (95% confidence interval) was 55.33% (49.24%, 61.42%). CONCLUSION: There was no evidence of excess risk in either direction, the excess risk among TB patients in getting COVID-19 infection and vice versa.

Effects of (In)Congruency in Fertility Motivation on Fertility Desire and Intention Among Couples Living with HIV: A Dyadic Approach.

Background: Fertility decision-making plays a negligible role in completing fertility goals among couples living with HIV (CLWH). Being commonly matched concerning fertility motivation seems essential for fertility desire/intention. Few studies report on intra-couple congruences or incongruences in fertility motivation on desire/intention. This study aims to assess the effects of (in)congruency in fertility motivation on fertility desire and intention among couples living with HIV. Methods: This study uses the actor-partner interdependence model (APIM) to assess the independent direct and indirect effect of fertility motivation on intention, and dyadic response surface analysis with congruency/incongruent effect (DRSA) of fertility motivation on intention using fertility desire as mediator variable among CLWH. CLWH were selected from a clinic in Kunming, China, between October and December 2020. Cross-sectional research included 314 CLWH. Results: APIM revealed that the wife's fertility motivation had an indirect influence on fertility intention of couples mediated by her fertility desire (R2 = 0.42). There was a significant effect on fertility intention by interaction of (in)congruency in fertility motivation among couples. DRSA shows that linear congruency in fertility motivation of both husband and wife increased fertility desire and intention of couples. However, if there was an incongruent in fertility motivation among husband and wife, husband's domination in fertility motivation was common and negatively affect the wife's fertility desire to have a child. Overall, couples who were matched on fertility motivation reported a significant greater relationship with fertility intention than couples who were mismatched. Conclusion: Counseling could help both the husband and wife achieve a greater positive fertility intention by addressing comparable fertility goals.

Fertility desire among HIV-positive individuals in the Chinese sociocultural context: A qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: China's recent change from a one-child policy to a two-child policy has urged many couples/families to consider having a child or an additional child. However, little is known about such fertility desire among heterosexual couples with at least one human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive partner. The objective of this qualitative study was to describe fertility desire and its motivating factors and barriers among people living with HIV (PLHIV). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted in-depth semi-structured interviews in 31 patients at an antiretroviral therapy (ART) clinic in Kunming, China, from October to December 2020. We included only patients in a sexually active heterosexual relationship with no more than one child. Participants gave verbal informed consent before participation. Interview recordings were transcribed verbatim, translated into English, and then analyzed using thematic analysis. RESULTS: Participants who reported fertility desire were mostly male, while participants who reported no fertility desire were mostly female. Study participants reported motivating factors and barriers that were identical to HIV-negative persons such as 1) social norms, 2) Chinese sociocultural factors, 3) the government's two-child policy, and 4) the financial burden of having children. However, study participants also reported motivating factors and barriers unique to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive individuals that included 1) the availability of ART and prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission services, 2) health-related concerns, 3) stigma and discrimination against PLHIV, and 4) the additional cost of child-rearing when HIV-positive. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings highlighted major areas of concern for relevant stakeholders. The development of PLHIV-specific health policy should consider the PLHIV-specific motivating factors and barriers reported in this study. However, social desirability and lack of generalizability should also be considered in the interpretation of this study's findings.

Behavioral health and experience of violence among cisgender heterosexual and lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer and questioning, and asexual (LGBTQA+) adolescents in Thailand.

BACKGROUND: Assessment of health disparities between population groups is essential to provide basic information for resource prioritization in public health. The objective of this study is to assess the extent that behavioral health outcomes and experience of violence varied between cisgender heterosexual adolescents and those who identified as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer and questioning, and asexual (LGBTQA+) in the 5th National School Survey on Alcohol Consumption, Substance Use and Other Health-Risk Behaviors. METHODS: We surveyed secondary school students in years 7, 9 and 11 in 113 schools in Thailand. We used self-administered questionnaires to ask participants about their gender identity and sexual orientation and classified participants as cisgender heterosexual, lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer and questioning, or asexual, stratified by sex assigned at birth. We also measured depressive symptoms, suicidality, sexual behaviors, alcohol and tobacco use, drug use, and past-year experience of violence. We analyzed the survey data using descriptive statistics with adjustment for sampling weights. RESULTS: Our analyses included data from 23,659 participants who returned adequately-completed questionnaires. Among participants included in our analyses, 23 percent identified as LGBTQA+ with the most common identity being bisexual/polysexual girls. Participants who identified as LGBTQA+ were more likely to be in older year levels and attending general education schools rather than vocational schools. LGBTQA+ participants generally had higher prevalence of depressive symptoms, suicidality, and alcohol use than cisgender heterosexual participants, whereas the prevalence of sexual behaviors, lifetime history of illicit drug use, and past-year history of violence varied widely between groups. CONCLUSION: We found disparities in behavioral health between cisgender heterosexual participants and LGBTQA+ participants. However, issues regarding potential misclassification of participants, limitation of past-year history of behaviors to the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the lack of data from youths outside the formal education system should be considered as caveats in the interpretation of the study findings.

Maternal exposure to neonicotinoid insecticides and fetal growth restriction: A nested case-control study in the guangxi Zhuang birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major determinant of perinatal morbidity and mortality, with adverse long-term neurocognitive effects in childhood and adulthood. Prenatal exposure to environmental pollutants has been reported to be associated with FGR. Neonicotinoids (NEOs) are extensively used insecticides worldwide and are suggested to have embryonic and developmental neurotoxicity. However, the effects of NEOs exposure on FGR is unknown. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to quantify the single and combined associations of maternal exposure to NEOs and FGR. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study based on the Guangxi Zhuang Birth Cohort, China. A total of 387 with FGR cases and 1096 without- FGR controls were included between 2015 and 2018. Ten NEOs were measured by UPLC-MS from the maternal blood samples were pre-collected in the first trimester. After adjusting for potential confounders, multivariable logistic regressions, weighted quantile sum regression and quantile g-computation were performed for individual and NEOs mixtures. RESULTS: In the individual exposure models, each 1-standard deviation increment of the natural-log in dinotefuran and acetamiprid concentrations were significantly associated with odds ratios of 1.93 (95% CI: 1.69, 2.20) and 1.31 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.59) higher odds of FGR, respectively. However, the FGR risk was negatively associated with thiacloprid, sulfoxaflor, and nitenpyram (OR = 0.23, 95%CI: 0.15, 0.34; OR = 0.48, 95%CI: 0.41, 0.56; OR = 0.86, 95%CI: 0.80, 0.93; respectively). Similar findings were found in the combined exposure analysis. Dinotefuran was the most strongly attributable to increase FGR, while sulfoxaflor and thiacloprid contributed the highest negative weighted on FGR. Furthermore, each quintile increase in all ten NEOs exposures was associated with FGR (OR = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.08, 0.54). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that maternal single and combined exposures to NEOs were associated with varying FGR risks. They contribute to the mounting evidence on serum NEOs exposure impact on FGR. However, a replication of these associations in other populations is warranted.

Pathway of effects of adverse childhood experiences on the poly-drug use pattern among adults using drugs: A structural equation modeling.

Introduction: Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are associated with an increased risk of poly-substance use among drug-using adults. However, there is a paucity of literature on a direct or indirect relationship between ACEs and drug use patterns. We thus aimed to identify the pathway of effects of ACEs on drug use patterns in adults by the structural equation model (SEM). Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted by respondent-driving sampling and consecutive sampling among adult drug users in Southwest China in 2021. Descriptive, univariate, and SEM analyses were performed by R software 4.2.1. Results: Of 406 participants recruited from a drug abuse clinic, the average age was 34 years. The majority of the participants were male patients (98.3%) from ethnic minorities (79.6%), who were unmarried (71.6%) and employed (81.2%). Nearly 95.5% experienced ACEs with 46.6% of them reporting four or more ACEs. The median value of self-perception of drug abuse score, friend drug use score, and drug use score was 8.0 (3.0, 11.0), 1.0 (0.0, 1.0), and 1.0 (1.0, 2.0) respectively. In the confirmatory analysis part of SEM, the construct of latent variables fitted well with the data. Poly-drug use was significantly and directly affected by three predictors including monthly incomes (ß = 0.09), friend drug use (ß = 0.50), and ACEs (ß = 0.11). The indirect effect of ACEs passing through self-perception of drugs (ß = 0.09) was not significant. Discussion: ACEs have an independent and direct effect on the drug user for poly-drug use apart from the effect of drug-using friends and family income.

Genomic Sequencing Profiles of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Mandalay Region, Myanmar.

This study aimed to characterize whole-genome sequencing (WGS) information of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) in the Mandalay region of Myanmar. It was a cross-sectional study conducted with 151 Mtb isolates obtained from the fourth nationwide anti-tuberculosis (TB) drug-resistance survey. Frequency of lineages 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 55, 65, 9, and 22, respectively. The most common sublineage was L1.1.3.1 (n = 31). Respective multi-drug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) frequencies were 1, 1, 0, and 0. Four clusters of 3 (L2), 2 (L4), 2 (L1), and 2 (L2) isolates defined by a 20-single-nucleotide variant (SNV) cutoff were detected. Simpson's index for sublineages was 0.0709. Such high diversity suggests that the area probably had imported Mtb from many geographical sources. Relatively few genetic clusters and MDR-TB suggest there is a chance the future control will succeed if it is carried out properly.

Inferring potential non-disclosed men who have sex with men among self-reported heterosexual men with HIV in Southwest China: A genetic network study.

BACKGROUND: In Guangxi province of China, there is a high prevalence of HIV in the general population and in men who have sex with men (MSM). However, there is still a low proportion of MSM among people living with HIV. This apparent contradiction could be due to the high proportion of potential non-disclosed MSM (pnMSM) among reported heterosexual men. We analyzed the genetic linkage of HIV specimens to address this problem aiming to (1) identify the optimal genetic distance threshold, which gave the highest number of genetic clusters, (2) document the proportion of potential non-disclosed MSM (pnMSM) among self-reported heterosexual men, and (3) determine predictors for pnMSM. METHODS: Pairwise genetic distances were computed among all samples. The genetic distance threshold giving the highest number of genetic clusters was identified. Self-reported heterosexual men were identified as belonging to the pnMSM group if they could be linked to any MSM in their cluster. Multinomial logistic regression was used to determine associated factors of being pnMSM. RESULTS: The optimal genetic distance threshold was 0.75% substitutions/site. Among 896 self-reported heterosexual men, the frequency (percentage and 95% confidence interval) was 62 (6.9%, 5.2-8.6%) for pnMSM, 779 (86.9%, 84.7-89.1%) for indeterminate men and 55 (6.1%, 4.5-7.7%) for potential heterosexual men, respectively. Self-reported heterosexual men who were younger, single and more educated were more likely to be pnMSM. CONCLUSION: Based on these findings, there is a need to pay more attention to sexually active, young and educated self-reported heterosexual men and provide them with voluntary counselling and testing and specific HIV prevention services.

Pathway of Effects of Socioeconomic Status on Rural Left-behind Children to Receive Oral Health Services: A Structural Equation Modeling.

In a rural area with a high proportion of left-behind children (LBC), we aimed to identify the pathway of influence of socioeconomic status (SES) on LBCs to receive oral health services after individualized advice. Between September and October 2020, in a rural area of Yunnan, a survey of 238 LBC and 210 non-left-behind children (NLBC) showed that 91.9% and 94.2% had primary teeth caries, respectively. Their caregivers were advised on (1) dental care: bringing the children to seek professional dental care; and (2) self-care: supervising the children's oral health behaviors. Two to three months later, the children and their caregivers were visited to assess the compliance with these items of advice. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was used to handle the association between SES and compliance with the advice. A heatmap was used to visualize the data of reasons for seeking dental care or not. A total of 183 (87.1%) NLBCs and 206 (86.6%) LBCs were given the above advice; 32.9% of caregivers complied with dental care advice without a statistical difference between the LBC and NLBC group; 69.9% of caregivers of NLBCs complied with self-care advice, statistically more than those LBCs (59.2%). The education of caregivers was significantly associated with compliance with both advice items in univariate analysis. SES had a direct effect on the children being left behind and the level of oral health knowledge and awareness of the caregivers. Being left behind did not have an independent effect on receiving oral health services for children. "Dental disease was not severe" and "having no pain" were the main reasons for not seeking dental care. There was no clear grouping of participants with different background information based on the reasons given for seeking or not seeking dental care. Our study pointed to the importance of SES level. Being left behind alone may not be a risk factor for missing oral health services among rural children.

Missing Cases of Bacteriologically Confirmed TB/DR-TB from the National Treatment Registers in West and North Sumatra Provinces, Indonesia.

This study aimed to assess the percentage of confirmed drug-sensitive (DS) TB and drug-resistant (DR) TB patients who were missing in the national treatment registration in North Sumatra and West Sumatra, where treatment services for DR-TB in North Sumatra are relatively well established compared with West Sumatra, where the system recently started. Confirmed DS/DR-TB records in the laboratory register at 40 government health facilities in 2017 and 2018 were traced to determine whether they were in the treatment register databases. A Jaro-Winkler soundexed string distance analysis enhanced by socio-demographic information matching had sensitivity and specificity over 98% in identifying the same person in the same or different databases. The laboratory data contained 5885 newly diagnosed records of bacteriologically confirmed TB cases. Of the 5885 cases, 1424 of 5353 (26.6%) DS-TB cases and 133 of 532 (25.0%) DR-TB cases were missing in the treatment notification database. The odds of missing treatment for DS-TB was similar for both provinces (AOR = 1.0 (0.9, 1.2), but for DR-TB, North Sumatra had a significantly lower missing odds ratio (AOR = 0.4 (0.2, 0.7). The system must be improved to reduce this missing rate, especially for DR-TB in West Sumatra.

COVID-19 pneumonia and the subsequent risk of getting active pulmonary tuberculosis: a population-based dynamic cohort study using national insurance claims databases.

Background: A three-fold increase in the incidence of detecting pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 pneumonia compared with that in the general population was recently reported; however, this finding may be due to admission bias in the diagnostic investigation. The current cohort study aimed to estimate the risk of having detectable active PTB after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods: Insurance claims data in lower Southern Thailand from the 12th regional National Health Security Office, Thailand, were used. Inpatient and outpatient electronic medical records were linked using encrypted identification numbers. Records of individuals aged ≥18 years from 1 April to 30 September 2021 were retrieved to form a dynamic cohort. Exposure status was based on SARS-CoV-2 investigation and pneumonia status: population control (general population who had never been tested), negative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) control, asymptomatic COVID-19, symptomatic COVID-19 without pneumonia, and COVID-19 pneumonia groups. They were tracked in the databases for subsequent bacteriologically confirmed PTB until 31 March 2022. Findings: Overall, 4,241,201 individuals were recruited in the dynamic cohort and contributed 3,108,224, 227,918, 34,251, 10,325, and 14,160 person-years in the above exposure groups, respectively. Time-varying Cox's regression was conducted using population control as reference. Hazard ratios (95% CIs) of the negative control, asymptomatic, symptomatic COVID-19 without pneumonia, and pneumonia groups were 1.58 (1.08, 2.32), 1.00 (0.25, 4.01), 2.98 (0.74, 11.98), 9.87 (5.64, 17.30) in the first 30 days and 0.97 (0.81, 1.15), 1.41 (0.92, 2.17), 3.85 (2.42, 6.13), and 7.15 (5.54, 9.22) thereafter, respectively. Interpretation: Having had COVID-19 pneumonia, as opposed to the general population status, was strongly associated with a higher hazard of detectable active PTB. In tuberculosis endemic areas, patients with COVID-19 pneumonia should be closely followed up to reduce PTB-related burden. Funding: The Fogarty International Center and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of the National Institutes of Health supported the article processing charges under Award Number D43TW009522.

Predicting Infection Related Complications After Endovascular Repair of Infective Native Aortic Aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: Endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) as surgical treatment for infective native aortic aneurysm (INAA) is associated with superior survival compared with open surgery, but with the risk of infection related complications (IRCs). This study aimed to assess the association between baseline clinical and computed tomography (CT) features and the risk of post-operative IRCs in patients treated with EVAR for INAA. It also sought to develop a model to predict long term IRCs in patients with abdominal INAA treated with EVAR. METHODS: All initial clinical details and CT examinations of INAAs between 2005 and 2020 at a major referral hospital were reviewed retrospectively. The images were scrutinised according to aneurysm features, as well as peri-aortic and surrounding organ involvement. Data on post-operative IRCs were found in the patient records. Cox regression analysis was used to derive predictors for IRCs and develop a model to predict five year IRCs after EVAR in abdominal INAA. RESULTS: Of 3 780 patients with the diagnosis of aortic aneurysm or aortitis, 98 (3%) patients were treated with EVAR for abdominal INAAs and were thus included. The mean follow up time was 52 months (range 0 ‒ 163). The mean transaxial diameter was 6.5 ± 2.4 cm (range 2.1 ‒14.7). In the enrolled patients, 38 (39%) presented with rupture. The five year IRC rate in abdominal INAAs was 26%. Female sex, renal insufficiency, positive blood culture, aneurysm diameter, and psoas muscle involvement were predictive of five year IRC in abdominal INAA after EVAR. The model had a C-index of 0.76 (95% CI 0.66 - 0.87). CONCLUSION: Pre-operative clinical and CT features have the potential to predict IRC after endovascular aortic repair in INAA patients. These findings stress the importance of rigorous clinical, laboratory, and radiological follow up in these patients.