Evaluation of dissipation kinetic models to describe trifluralin degradation in soil and assessing the uncertainty of the half-life estimate.

In Australia, trifluralin is one of the commonly used herbicides to manage annual grasses and some broadleaf weeds. However, it may have some ecosystem impacts such as high toxicity to terrestrial and aquatic life, so it is vital to monitor the degradation of trifluralin for a considerable period for environmental safety. For risk assessment purposes, it is necessary to estimate the half-life of trifluralin, which is often evaluated using derived mathematical dissipation models. In the literature, bi-exponential (BEXP) and gamma models were suggested for modelling the dissipation of trifluralin in soil. Both models provide the half-life estimate without discussing the uncertainty of the estimate, which is a shortcoming in the literature. In this paper, we used simulation to illustrate the importance of estimate's uncertainty (standard error) and demonstrated a method to compute the standard error for the half-life estimate mathematically for kinetic dissipation models. Later, we evaluated the performance of the two suggested models using statistical indices. The computation of the half-life and the standard error of the half-life estimate were discussed. This allows us to describe the inference of the half-life parameter and determine whether the half-life estimates are significantly different against the co-variate (moisture) levels. We demonstrated the method to calculate the standard error of the half-life of trifluralin, which allows us to determine the statistical difference between the estimates. In this study, we found that the half-life of trifluralin in soil tends to increase with increasing moisture levels, and the half-life of trifluralin in soil with 100% moisture level is significantly greater than 40% and 70% moisture levels. Our findings suggest that soil moisture levels should be carefully considered before trifluralin application to minimize the non-target environmental damage.

Persistence of atrazine and trifluralin in a clay loam soil undergoing different temperature and moisture conditions.

Dissipation kinetics of atrazine and trifluralin in a clay loam soil was investigated in a laboratory incubation experiment under different temperature and moisture conditions. The soil was spiked with diluted atrazine and trifluralin concentrations at 4.50 and 4.25 mg/kg soil, respectively, the moisture content adjusted to 40, 70, and 100% of field capacity (FC) and then incubated in three climatic chambers at 10, 20, and 30 °C. For each of the herbicides, soil samples were collected at 0, 7, 21, 42, 70, and 105 days and analysed by Gas Chromatography-Electron Capture Detector (GC-ECD). A stochastic gamma model was used to model the dissipation of herbicides from the clay loam soil by incorporating environmental factors as covariates to determine half-life and days to complete dissipation. Results showed that temperature played a greater role on atrazine persistence than soil moisture; while the interaction effect of temperature and moisture was significant on the persistence of trifluralin over time. Atrazine dissipated more rapidly at 30 °C compared to 10 and 20 °C, with a half-life of 7.50 days and 326.23 days to reach complete dissipation. Rapid loss of trifluralin was observed at 70% moisture content when incubated at 30 °C, with a half-life of 5.80 days and 182.01 days to complete dissipation. It was observed that the half-life of both herbicides tended to double with every 10 °C decreases of temperature over the range tested. The model indicated that both atrazine and trifluralin have the potential to persist in clay loam soil for several years at temperature ≤20 °C; which could potentially affect following crops in rotation.