Clustering molecular dynamics conformations of the CC'-loop of the PD-1 immuno-checkpoint receptor.

Molecular mechanisms within the checkpoint receptor PD-1 are essential for its activation by PD-L1 as well as for blocking such an activation via checkpoint inhibitors. We use molecular dynamics to scrutinize patterns of atomic motion in PD-1 without a ligand. Molecular dynamics is performed for the whole extracellular domain of PD-1, and the analysis focuses on its CC'-loop and some adjacent Cα-atoms. We extend previous work by applying common nearest neighbor clustering (Cnn) and compare the performance of this method with Daura clustering as well as UMAP dimension reduction and subsequent agglomerative linkage clustering. As compared to Daura clustering, we found Cnn less sensitive to cutoff selection and better able to return representative clusters for sets of different 3D atomic conformations. Interestingly, Cnn yields results quite similar to UMAP plus linkage clustering.

Molecular dynamics identifies semi-rigid domains in the PD-1 checkpoint receptor bound to its natural ligand PD-L1.

Cells in danger of being erroneously attacked by leucocytes express PD-L1 on their surface. These cells activate PD-1 on attacking leucocytes and send them to death, thus curbing erroneous, autoimmune attack. Unfortunately, cancer cells exploit this mechanism: By expressing PD-L1, they guard themselves against leucocyte attack and thereby evade immune clearance. Checkpoint inhibitors are drugs which re-enable immune clearance of cancer cells by blocking the binding of PD-L1 to PD-1 receptors. It is therefore of utmost interest to investigate these binding mechanisms. We use three 600 ns all-atom molecular dynamics simulations to scrutinize molecular motions of PD-1 with its binding partner, the natural ligand PD-L1. Usually, atomic motion patterns are evaluated against whole molecules as a reference, disregarding that such a reference is a dynamic entity by itself, thus degrading stability of the reference. As a remedy, we identify semi-rigid domains, lending themselves as more stable and reliable reference frames against which even minute differences in molecular motion can be quantified precisely. We propose an unsupervised three-step procedure. In previous work of our group and others, minute differences in motion patterns proved decisive for differences in function. Here, several highly reliable frames of reference are established for future investigations based on molecular motion.

Decision theory for precision therapy of breast cancer.

Correctly estimating the hormone receptor status for estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PGR) is crucial for precision therapy of breast cancer. It is known that conventional diagnostics (immunohistochemistry, IHC) yields a significant rate of wrongly diagnosed receptor status. Here we demonstrate how Dempster Shafer decision Theory (DST) enhances diagnostic precision by adding information from gene expression. We downloaded data of 3753 breast cancer patients from Gene Expression Omnibus. Information from IHC and gene expression was fused according to DST, and the clinical criterion for receptor positivity was re-modelled along DST. Receptor status predicted according to DST was compared with conventional assessment via IHC and gene-expression, and deviations were flagged as questionable. The survival of questionable cases turned out significantly worse (Kaplan Meier p < 1%) than for patients with receptor status confirmed by DST, indicating a substantial enhancement of diagnostic precision via DST. This study is not only relevant for precision medicine but also paves the way for introducing decision theory into OMICS data science.

Microarray Normalization Revisited for Reproducible Breast Cancer Biomarkers.

Precision medicine for breast cancer relies on biomarkers to select therapies. However, the reliability of biomarkers drawn from gene expression arrays has been questioned and calls for reassessment, in particular for large datasets. We revisit widely used data-normalization procedures and evaluate differences in outcome in order to pinpoint the most reliable reprocessing methods biomarkers can be based upon. We generated a database of 3753 breast cancer patients out of 38 studies by downloading and curating patient samples from NCBI-GEO. As gene-expression biomarkers, we select the assessment of receptor status and breast cancer subtype classification. Each normalization procedure is applied separately, and biomarkers are then evaluated for each patient. Differences between normalization pipelines are quantified as percentages of patients having outcomes different for each pipeline. Some normalization procedures lead to quite consistent biomarkers, differing only in 1-2% of patients. Other normalization procedures-some of them have been used in many clinical studies-end up with distrusting discrepancies (10% and more). A good deal of doubt regarding the reliability of microarrays may root in the haphazard application of inadequate preprocessing pipelines. Several modes of batch corrections are evaluated regarding a possible improvement of receptor prediction from gene expression versus the golden standard of immunohistochemistry. Finally, we nominate those normalization methods yielding consistent and trustable results. Adequate bioinformatics data preprocessing is key and crucial for any subsequent statistics to arrive at trustable results. We conclude with a suggestion for future bioinformatics development to further increase the reliability of cancer biomarkers.

Co-expressed genes enhance precision of receptor status identification in breast cancer patients.

PURPOSE: Therapeutic decisions in breast cancer patients crucially depend on the status of estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor and HER2, obtained by immunohistochemistry (IHC). These are known to be inaccurate sometimes, and we demonstrate how to use gene-expression to increase precision of receptor status. METHODS: We downloaded data from 3241 breast cancer patients out of 36 clinical studies. For each receptor, we modelled the mRNA expression of the receptor gene and a co-gene by logistic regression. For each patient, predictions from logistic regression were merged with information from IHC on a probabilistic basis to arrive at a fused prediction result. RESULTS: We introduce Sankey diagrams to visualize the step by step increase of precision as information is added from gene expression: IHC-estimates are qualified as 'confirmed', 'rejected' or 'corrected'. Additionally, we introduce the category 'inconclusive' to spot those patients in need for additional assessments so as to increase diagnostic precision and safety. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate a sound mathematical basis for the fusion of information, even if partly contradictive. The concept is extendable to more than three sources of information, as particularly important for OMICS data. The overall number of undecidable cases is reduced as well as those assessed falsely. We outline how decision rules may be extended to also weigh consequences, being different in severity for false-positive and false-negative assessments, respectively. The possible benefit is demonstrated by comparing the disease free survival between patients whose IHC could be confirmed versus those for which it was corrected.

Gene expression information improves reliability of receptor status in breast cancer patients.

Immunohistochemical (IHC) determination of receptor status in breast cancer patients is frequently inaccurate. Since it directs the choice of systemic therapy, it is essential to increase its reliability. We increase the validity of IHC receptor expression by additionally considering gene expression (GE) measurements. Crisp therapeutic decisions are based on IHC estimates, even if they are borderline reliable. We further improve decision quality by a responsibility function, defining a critical domain for gene expression. Refined normalization is devised to file any newly diagnosed patient into existing data bases. Our approach renders receptor estimates more reliable by identifying patients with questionable receptor status. The approach is also more efficient since the rate of conclusive samples is increased. We have curated and evaluated gene expression data, together with clinical information, from 2880 breast cancer patients. Combining IHC with gene expression information yields a method more reliable and also more efficient as compared to common practice up to now. Several types of possibly suboptimal treatment allocations, based on IHC receptor status alone, are enumerated. A 'therapy allocation check' identifies patients possibly miss-classified. Estrogen: false negative 8%, false positive 6%. Progesterone: false negative 14%, false positive 11%. HER2: false negative 2%, false positive 50%. Possible implications are discussed. We propose an 'expression look-up-plot', allowing for a significant potential to improve the quality of precision medicine. Methods are developed and exemplified here for breast cancer patients, but they may readily be transferred to diagnostic data relevant for therapeutic decisions in other fields of oncology.

Spatiotemporal multistage consensus clustering in molecular dynamics studies of large proteins.

The aim of this work is to find semi-rigid domains within large proteins as reference structures for fitting molecular dynamics trajectories. We propose an algorithm, multistage consensus clustering, MCC, based on minimum variation of distances between pairs of Cα-atoms as target function. The whole dataset (trajectory) is split into sub-segments. For a given sub-segment, spatial clustering is repeatedly started from different random seeds, and we adopt the specific spatial clustering with minimum target function: the process described so far is stage 1 of MCC. Then, in stage 2, the results of spatial clustering are consolidated, to arrive at domains stable over the whole dataset. We found that MCC is robust regarding the choice of parameters and yields relevant information on functional domains of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) studied in this paper: the α-helices and ß-floor of the protein (MHC) proved to be most flexible and did not contribute to clusters of significant size. Three alleles of the MHC, each in complex with ABCD3 peptide and LC13 T-cell receptor (TCR), yielded different patterns of motion. Those alleles causing immunological allo-reactions showed distinct correlations of motion between parts of the peptide, the binding cleft and the complementary determining regions (CDR)-loops of the TCR. Multistage consensus clustering reflected functional differences between MHC alleles and yields a methodological basis to increase sensitivity of functional analyses of bio-molecules. Due to the generality of approach, MCC is prone to lend itself as a potent tool also for the analysis of other kinds of big data.

Relative Movements of Domains in Large Molecules of the Immune System.

Molecular dynamics was used to simulate large molecules of the immune system (major histocompatibility complex class I, presented epitope, T-cell receptor, and a CD8 coreceptor.) To characterize the relative orientation and movements of domains local coordinate systems (based on principal component analysis) were generated and directional cosines and Euler angles were computed. As a most interesting result, we found that the presence of the coreceptor seems to influence the dynamics within the protein complex, in particular the relative movements of the two α-helices, Gα1 and Gα2.

An attempt at a molecular prediction of metastasis in patients with primary cutaneous melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Current prognostic clinical and morphological parameters are insufficient to accurately predict metastasis in individual melanoma patients. Several studies have described gene expression signatures to predict survival or metastasis of primary melanoma patients, however the reproducibility among these studies is disappointingly low. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We followed extended REMARK/Gould Rothberg criteria to identify gene sets predictive for metastasis in patients with primary cutaneous melanoma. For class comparison, gene expression data from 116 patients with clinical stage I/II (no metastasis) and 72 with III/IV primary melanoma (with metastasis) at time of first diagnosis were used. Significance analysis of microarrays identified the top 50 differentially expressed genes. In an independent data set from a second cohort of 28 primary melanoma patients, these genes were analyzed by multivariate Cox regression analysis and leave-one-out cross validation for association with development of metastatic disease. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, expression of the genes Ena/vasodilator-stimulated phosphoprotein-like (EVL) and CD24 antigen gave the best predictive value (p = 0.001; p = 0.017, respectively). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model revealed these genes as a potential independent predictor, which may possibly add (both p = 0.01) to the predictive value of the most important morphological indicator, Breslow depth. CONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE: Combination of molecular with morphological information may potentially enable an improved prediction of metastasis in primary melanoma patients. A strength of the gene expression set is the small number of genes, which should allow easy reevaluation in independent data sets and adequately designed clinical trials.