AAST grade of liver injury is not the single most important consideration in decision making for liver trauma.

BACKGROUND: The liver is one of the most injured organs in both blunt and penetrating trauma. The aim of this study was to identify whether the AAST liver injury grade is predictive of need for intervention, risk of complications and mortality in our patient population, and whether this differs between blunt and penetrating-trauma mechanisms. METHODS: Retrospective review of all liver injuries from a single high-volume metropolitan trauma centre in South Africa from December 2012 to January 2022. Inclusion criteria were all adults who had sustained traumatic liver injury. Patients were excluded if they were under 15 years of age or had died prior to operation or assessment. Statistical analysis was undertaken using both univariate and multivariate models. RESULTS: 709 patients were included, of which 351 sustained penetrating and 358 blunt trauma. Only 24.3 % of blunt compared to 76.4 % of penetrating trauma patients underwent laparotomy (p< 0.001). In blunt trauma, increasing AAST grade correlated directly with rates of laparotomy with an odds ratio of 1.7 (p < 0.001). In penetrating trauma, there was no statistical significance between increasing AAST grade and the rate of laparotomy. The rate of bile leak was 4.5 % (32/709) and of rebleed was 0.7 % (5/709). Five patients underwent ERCP and endoscopic sphincterotomy for bile leak, and three required angio-embolization for rebleeding. Increasing AAST grades were significantly associated with the odds of bile leak in both blunt and penetrating trauma. There was a statistically significant increase in the odds of a rebleed with increasing AAST grade in penetrating trauma. Five patients rebled, of which three died. Seven patients developed hepatic necrosis. Seventy-six patients died (10 %). There were 34/358 (9 %) deaths in the blunt cohort and 42 /351 (11 %) deaths in the penetrating trauma cohort. CONCLUSION: AAST grade in isolation is not a good predictor of the need for operation in hepatic trauma. Increasing AAST grade was not found to correlate with increased risk of mortality for both blunt and penetrating hepatic trauma. In both blunt and penetrating trauma, increasing AAST grade is significantly associated with increased bile leak. The need for ERCP and endoscopic sphincterotomy to manage bile leak in our setting is low. Similarly, the rate of rebleeding and of angioembolization was low.

The Influence of HIV Status on Acute Appendicitis: A Retrospective Study from South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Despite the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) being the most common comorbidity in South African surgical patients, its impact on appendicitis has not been well-described. We aimed to determine HIV status' influence on patients' presentation, assessment, management and outcomes with acute appendicitis. METHODS: The retrospective chart review included all patients aged 12 years and older who were HIV-positive or HIV-negative and presented with acute appendicitis between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2019. The primary outcome measure was survival to discharge. Secondary outcomes included analysis of the presentation (vital signs), assessment (biochemical, inflammatory markers) and management (intraoperative anatomical severity grading, length of hospital stay). RESULTS: Of the 1096 patients with appendicitis, 196 (17.9%) were HIV-positive, and CD4 counts were available for 159. The median age was 23 years, with the HIV-positive patients being older and HIV-negative group having more males (58.7%). While the HIV-positive patients had a longer median length of hospital stay, there was no statistically significant difference in the two groups' incidence of high-grade appendicitis (p = 0.670). The HIV-positive patients had a higher median shock index (OR 7.65; 95% [CI 2.042-28.64]) than their HIV-negative counterparts. HIV-positivity had a significant association with mortality (OR 9.56; 95% CI [1.68-179.39]), and of the seven HIV-positive patients who died, 66.7% (n = 4) had a CD4 < 200 cells/mm3 (OR 8.6; 95% CI [1.6-63.9]). CONCLUSION: HIV-positive patients, those with CD4 < 200 cells/mm3 or not on ART, have increased mortality risk and may benefit from increased perioperative surveillance. Patients with an unknown HIV status in a high-prevalence population should be offered HIV testing to risk stratify more accurately.

Systematic Review of Procedural Skill Simulation in Health Care in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.

ABSTRACT: Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) have adopted procedural skill simulation, with researchers increasingly investigating simulation efforts in resource-strained settings. We aim to summarize the current state of procedural skill simulation research in LMICs focusing on methodology, clinical area, types of outcomes and cost, cost-effectiveness, and overall sustainability. We performed a comprehensive literature review of original articles that assessed procedural skill simulation from database inception until April 2022.From 5371 screened articles, 262 were included in this review. All included studies were in English. Most studies were observational cohort studies (72.9%) and focused on obstetrics and neonatal medicine (32.4%). Most measured outcome was the process of task performance (56.5%). Several studies mentioned cost (38.9%) or sustainability (29.8%). However, few articles included actual monetary cost information (11.1%); only 1 article assessed cost-effectiveness. Based on our review, future research of procedural skill simulation in LMICS should focus on more rigorous research, cost assessments, and on less studied areas.

The Efficacy of VAMMFT Compared to "Bogota Bag" in Achieving Sheath Closure Following Temporary Abdominal Closure at Index Laparotomy for Trauma.

INTRODUCTION: The open abdomen (OA) is a necessary component of damage control surgery and closure is often challenging. Our aim was to review our ten-year experience with OA in trauma patients and to compare the success of a dual closure technique termed vacuum-assisted, mesh-mediated fascial traction (VAMMFT) to an exclusively Bogota Bag (BB) approach. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed using the HEMR database from 2012 to 2022, comparing demographics, mechanism of injury, admission vitals and biochemistry between patients with BB and VAMMFT applications. Rate of secondary abdominal closure and complications were assessed in both groups. Logistic regression was used to find predictors of closure. RESULTS: OA was required by 348 patients at index laparotomy. Of these, 133 (38.2%) were managed with VAMMFT and 215 (61.8%) exclusively with a BB. There were no statistical differences between the BB and VAMMFT groups in terms of demographics, injuries, admission vitals and biochemistry. The VAMMFT group achieved a closure rate of 73% compared to 54.9% in the BB group (OR of 2.2 [1.4-3.7]). There was no significant difference in fistulation rate between the two groups (p = 0.103). Length of hospital stay was 30 versus 17 days in the VAMMFT and BB groups, respectively (OR 1.41 [1.30-1.54]). There were no independent predictors of closure identified in the VAMMFT group. Older patients were less likely to achieve closure when BB was used (OR 0.97 [0.95-0.99]). VAMMFT failure was commonly due to lack of stock (39%) and protocol violations (33%). CONCLUSION: The VAMMFT approach to the OA is efficacious and safe. VAMMFT achieves a much higher rate of secondary closure than BB alone with a low rate of enteric fistula formation.

Military and Civilian Trauma System Integration: A Global Case Series.

INTRODUCTION: Traumatic injury is a leading cause of morbidity globally, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). In high-income countries (HICs), it is well documented that military and civilian integration can positively impact trauma care in both healthcare systems, but it is unknown if this synergy could benefit LMICs. This case series examines the variety of integration between the civilian and military systems of various countries and international partnerships to elucidate if there are commonalities in facilitators and barriers. METHODS: A convenience sampling method was utilized to identify subject matter experts on civilian and military trauma system integration. Data were collected and coded through an iterative process, focusing on the historical impetuses and subsequent outcomes of civilian and military trauma care collaboration. RESULTS: Eight total case studies were completed, five addressing specific countries and three addressing international partnerships. Themes which emerged as drivers for integration included history of conflict, geography, and skill maintenance for military physicians. High-level government support was a central theme for successful integration, and financial issues were often seen as the greatest barrier. CONCLUSIONS: Various approaches in civilian-military integration exist throughout the world, and the studied nations and international partnerships demonstrated similar motivators and barriers to integration. This study highlights the need for further investigation, particularly in LMICs, where less is known about integration strategies.

In-Hospital Mortality Following Traumatic Injury in South Africa.

Trauma is a leading cause of death worldwide and in South Africa. We aimed to quantify the in-hospital trauma mortality rate in Pietermaritzburg, South Africa. Background: The in-hospital trauma mortality rate in South Africa remains unknown, and it is unclear whether deficits in hospital care are contributing to the high level of trauma-related mortality. Methods: All patients hospitalized because of trauma at the Department of Surgery at Grey's Hospital, Pietermaritzburg Metropolitan Trauma Service, were prospectively entered in an electronic database starting in 2013 and the data were retrospectively analyzed. The trauma service adheres to Advanced Trauma Life Support and the doctors have attended basic and advanced courses in trauma care. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Results: Of 9795 trauma admissions, 412 (4.2%) patients died during hospital care between January 2013 and January 2019. Forty-six percent died after road traffic accidents, 19% after gunshot wounds, 13% after stab wounds, and 10% after assaults. Sixteen percent were classified as avoidable deaths due to inappropriate care and resource limitations. Fifty percent died because of traumatic brain injury and 80% of them were unavoidable. Conclusions: In conclusion, the in-hospital trauma mortality rate at a South African trauma center using systematic trauma care is lower than that reported from other trauma centers in the world during the past 20 years. Nevertheless, 16% of death cases were assessed as avoidable if there had been better access to intensive care, dialysis, advanced respiratory care, blood for transfusion, and improvements in surgery and medical care.

Using Machine Learning to Establish Predictors of Mortality in Patients Undergoing Laparotomy for Emergency General Surgical Conditions.

INTRODUCTION: Patients undergoing laparotomy for emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions, constitute a high-risk group with poor outcomes. These patients have a high prevalence of comorbidities. This study aims to identify patient factors, physiological and time-related factors, which place patients into a group at increased risk of mortality. METHODOLOGY: In a retrospective analysis of all patients undergoing an emergency laparotomy at Greys Hospital from December 2012 to 2018, we used decision tree discrimination to identify high-risk groups. RESULTS: Our cohort included 1461 patients undergoing a laparotomy for an EGS condition. The mortality rate was 12.4% (181). Nine hundred and ten patients (62.3%) had at least one known comorbidity on admission. There was a higher rate of comorbidities among those that died (154; 85.1%). Patient factors found to be associated with mortality were the age of 46 years or greater (p < 0.001), current tuberculosis (p < 0.001), hypertension (p = 0.014), at least one comorbidity (0.006), and malignancy (0.033). Significant physiological risk factors for mortality were base excess less than -6.8 mmol/L (p < 0.001), serum urea greater than 7.0 mmol/L (p < 0.001) and waiting time from admission to operation (p = 0.014). In patients with an enteric breach, those younger than 46 years and a Shock Index of more than 1.0 were high-risk. Patients without an enteric breach were high-risk if operative duration exceeded 90 min (p = 0.004) and serum urea exceeding 7 mmol/dl (p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: In EGS patients, patient factors as well as physiological factors place patients into a high-risk group. Identifying a high-risk group should prompt consideration for an adjusted approach that ameliorates outcomes.

Staged laparotomy for acute non-traumatic intra-abdominal emergencies in a tertiary South African unit.

INTRODUCTION: Patients undergoing laparotomy for emergency general surgery (EGS) have poor outcomes. Attempts have been made to improve these outcomes by adopting damage control principles known to benefit polytraumatized patients. Studies describing the use of staged laparotomy (SL) in EGS have been modest in size and heterogenous. The aim of this study was to describe our experience with SL at a tertiary hospital in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. METHODS: The Hybrid Electronic Medical Registry (HEMR) at Greys Hospital was interrogated for all consecutive admissions undergoing staged EGS laparotomy. Descriptive and inferential statistics were performed. RESULTS: From 2012 to 2018, 242 patients (16.5% of all EGS laparotomies) underwent SL for an EGS condition. The median patient age was 38 years old (IQR 27-56 years). Physiological indications were present in 125 patients (51.7%) and non-physiological indications (NPI) in 117 (48.3%). Haemodynamic instability was the most common physiological indication (51; 21.1%) and gross contamination was the most non-physiological indication (91; 37.6%). Adverse event and mortality rates were 84.8% and 26.9%, respectively. Independent predictors of mortality were enteric breach (OR3.9; 95% CI (2.1-7.8)), physiological indication (OR 2.1; 95% CI (1.1-3.7)) and anastomosis (OR 2.0; 1.05-3.73). "Clip and drop" did not contribute to mortality (P = 0.43; OR1.34 (0.64-2.7)). Mortality was higher in the group without repeat laparotomy. Mortality rate was not associated with increasing number of relaparotomies. CONCLUSION: Patients undergoing EGS laparotomy form a high-risk group. "Clip and drop" approach and number of relaparotomies were not associated with mortality. Indications and components of this approach need to be standardized.

Recurrent pneumothorax following chest tube removal in thoracic stab wounds: a comparative study between end inspiratory versus end expiratory removal techniques at a major trauma centre in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Tube thoracostomy (TT) insertion is a commonly performed procedure in trauma that is standardised, but the optimal removal technique based on the timing in relation to the respiratory cycle remains controversial. METHODS: A prospective study was undertaken at a major trauma centre in South Africa over a 4-year period from January 2010 to December 2013, and included all patients with pneumothorax secondary to thoracic stab wounds. TTs were removed by either end of inspiration technique (EIT) or end of expiration (EET) technique and the rate of recurrent pneumothorax (RPTX) following removal was compared. We hypothesized that there is no difference in the rate of RPTX between the end inspiratory (EI) and end expiratory (EE) removal technique. RESULTS: A total 347 patients were included. Of the 184 TTs removed by EIT, there were 17 (9%) RPTXs. Of the 163 with EET, there were 11 RPTXs (7%), (9% versus 7%, chi-squared, P = 0.395). Of the total 28 (9%) patients with RPTXs following removal of chest tubes, two (7%) required reinsertion of chest tube (0.5% (1/184) in EIT and 0.6% (1/163) in EET, P = 0.747). CONCLUSIONS: Timing of TT removal in relation to the respiratory cycle does not appear to influence the incidence of RPTX in patients with thoracic stab wounds. Technique of removal may well be a more important consideration and more attention must be focused on refining the optimal technique.

Health-Related Behaviours, HIV and Active Tuberculosis are Associated with Perioperative Adverse Events Following Emergency Laparotomy at a Tertiary Surgical Service in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: This project aims to define the common comorbidities associated with patients undergoing emergency laparotomy in South Africa, to review the impact of these comorbidities on outcome and to attempt to model these various factors. METHOD: A retrospective review of all patients undergoing emergency laparotomy for an emergency general surgical condition was performed from the prospectively entered Hybrid Electronic Medical Registry (HEMR). Univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to establish associations and independent risk factors for developing an adverse event. RESULTS: Over a six-year time period, a total of 1464 patients underwent emergency laparotomy. The median age was 34 years. Males constituted 58.8% (861) of the patients and 754 patients (51.5%) experienced at least one adverse event. The mortality rate was 12 percent. Comorbidities and social factors were documented in 912 patients (62.3%). The rate of adverse events among patients with comorbidities was 59% (538). Patients without comorbidities or significant social factors had an adverse event rate of 39.1% (216). This difference was statistically significant (p < 0.001). The most frequent comorbidity in our sample was HIV, followed by hypertension, underlying malignancy, diabetes mellitus, active TB and cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSION: Emergency laparotomy in South Africa is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The patients are younger than in high-income countries. Diabetes mellitus, hypertension, HIV and active TB are associated with the development of an AE.

The Burden of Emergency Abdominal Surgery Heavily Outweighs Elective Procedures in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: South Africa is a middle-income country with major discrepancies in wealth and access to care. There is a significant burden of surgical disease and limited access to quality health care for a large proportion of the population. This article quantifies the burden of abdominal surgery over a 6-month period in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) province and quantifies the emergency to elective (Ee) ratio for these operations. METHODS: This study describes the abdominal operations conducted at all regional and tertiary hospitals in the public health sector of KZN province for the period of 1 July to December 31, 2015. Operations performed were tabulated in a spreadsheet and categorized as elective, emergency, and trauma. They were further subdivided by anatomical region and by specific predetermined procedures. Uncertain criteria were clarified using a modified Delphi discussion. The Ee ratio was determined using the recently described technique. RESULTS: Between June, 1st and December 31, 2015, of 13,282 operations, there were 4580 (34.5%) elective operations, 7777 (58.6%) emergency operations, and 925 (6.9%) trauma-related operations. A total of 5630 abdominal operations were performed of which 2949 were emergency procedures. There were 660 trauma-related abdominal procedures and 2021 elective procedures. There was a heavy weighting toward emergency surgeries with an Ee ratio of 145 for abdominal surgery. The previous sub-Saharan African ratio was estimated to be 62.6. CONCLUSIONS: An overview of abdominal surgery in KZN reveals a high ratio of emergency to elective surgery. This suggests that the current primary health care program is failing to detect and treat acute surgical disease timeously.

Spectrum and Outcome of Emergency General Surgery Laparotomies at a Tertiary Center in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Nontraumatic surgical emergencies constitute a significant portion of total surgical workload and are associated with a significant mortality rate. The spectrum and outcome of surgical emergencies in a low-middle-income country may differ from that in high-income countries. This study aims to describe the spectrum and outcome of emergency laparotomy for nontrauma surgical emergencies at a single-tertiary center in South Africa. METHODS: A retrospective interrogation of a hybrid electronic record system of consecutive patients undergoing emergency laparotomy for nontraumatic surgical emergencies presenting to Greys Hospital from December 2012 to December 2018. RESULTS: One thousand four hundred sixty four patients were included with a median age of 34 y (IQR 23-52) and male predominance (861; 59%). The mortality rate was 12.5% (183). The most common comorbidity was human immunodeficiency virus (353; 24.1%) which did not influence mortality. At least one comorbidity increased the odds of mortality by 4 times (95% CI 2.7-6.2). Mortality was associated with longer waiting times to operation (12.8 versus 8.4 h; P < 0.001) and longer operating times (105 min versus 80 min respectively; P < 0.001). Temporary abdominal closure was used in 245 (16.7%) patients. Planned repeat laparotomy was performed in 193 (13.2%) patients. Acute appendicitis (594, 40.6%) was the most common pathology of which 61.4% had the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma grade of 4 or more (high grade). This was followed by perforated peptic ulcer disease (10.5%). The adverse event rate was 51.5% (754). Postoperative pulmonary complications and acute kidney injury were the most common. The strongest predictors of mortality were abdominal compartment syndrome (OR 26.5, 95% CI 9.36-94.13) and postoperative hemodynamic instability 17.43 (OR 17.4, 95% CI 11.80-25.98). CONCLUSIONS: Our spectrum of disease differs to that found in high-income countries. The morbidity and mortality rates are significant, and attention must be focused on attempts to reduce this. Various comorbidities and adverse events are associated with increased mortality.

CT scans for pediatric injury in a middle-income country trauma center: Are we repeating past mistakes?

PURPOSE: Sustained efforts in high-income countries have decreased the rate of unnecessary computed tomography (CT) among children, aiming to minimize radiation exposure. There are little data regarding CT use for pediatric trauma in low- and middle-income countries. We aimed to assess the pattern and utility of CT performed during evaluation of trauma patients presenting to a middle-income country (MIC) trauma center. METHODS: We reviewed pediatric (age<18) trauma admissions at a single tertiary referral center in South Africa. Patient demographics, injury details, surgical intervention(s), and mortality were abstracted from the medical record. CT indications, results, and necessity were determined by review. RESULTS: Of 1,630 children admitted to the trauma center, 826 (51%) had CT imaging. Children undergoing imaging were younger (median age 11 [IQR: 6, 16] vs 13 [IQR: 7, 17]) and had higher median ISS [9 [IQR: 4, 13] vs 4 [2, 9]) compared to those without imaging (both p<0.001). Overall, 1,224 scans were performed with normal findings in 609 (50%). A median of 1 scan was performed per patient (range: 1-5). The most common location was CT head (n = 695, 57%). Among patients with positive findings on CT head (n = 443), 31 (7%) underwent either intracranial pressure monitoring or surgery. CT of the cervical spine had positive findings in 12 (7%) with no patients undergoing spine surgery. Of 173 patients with abdominal CT imaging, 83 (48%) had abnormal findings and 18 (10%) required operative exploration. Thirteen (16%) patients with abnormal findings on abdominal CT had exploratory laparotomy. Of 111 children undergoing whole body CT, 8 (7%) underwent thoracic and/or abdominal operations. CONCLUSION: Use of CT during evaluation of pediatric trauma is common in an MIC center. A high rate of normal findings and low rates of intervention following head, cervical spine, and abdominal CT suggest potential overuse of this resource. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Mob Justice in South Africa: A comparison of blunt trauma secondary to community and non-community assaults.

BACKGROUND: The phenomenon of extrajudicial "mob justice" and community assault (CA) has been documented in news reports and anecdotes from a number of low- and middle-income countries, but there is little literature on its burden on trauma systems. This study reviews a single center's management of CA victims and compares the spectrum of injuries seen following mob assault with those sustained via other forms of interpersonal violence (IPV). METHODS: Clinical data, injury details, and mortality among injured patients (age≥18) hospitalized in a South African tertiary referral center from 2012-2018 were abstracted. Patients with penetrating injury or missing ISS were excluded. CA was determined at time of admission by either self-designation or by patients' escorts. Univariate analyses compared the presentation and outcomes for CAs and non-CAs. RESULTS: Overall, CA constituted 5% of total trauma admissions and 8% of IPV-related admissions during the study period. Of 1,323 incidents of blunt injury following IPV, 239 (18%) were CAs. One in two CA victims (n=119, 50%) were struck by an identifiable weapon. Patients injured in CA were more frequently male (97% vs 85%), presented with ISS>15 (28% vs 21%), and had a shock index>0.9 (25% vs 19%) compared to non-CA (all p<0.001). Rates of operative intervention, ICU admission, and mortality did not differ (all p>0.05). CAs were more likely to be complicated by acute kidney injury (9% vs 1%, p<0.001) but less likely to involve neurologic complications (3% vs 10%. P<0.001) compared to non-CAs. Acute kidney injury in CA showed a pattern of significant musculocutaneous injury with rhabdomyolysis. CONCLUSION: CA contributes considerably to the high rates of IPV in a single South African center. Victims of such assaults sustain more severe injury with unique mechanisms and subsequent complications. This evidence supports the need to strengthen local governance and improve law enforcement efforts to prevent such violence.

Use of vital signs in predicting surgical intervention in a South African population: A cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: While vital signs are widely obtained for trauma patients around the world, the association of these signs with surgical intervention has yet to be defined. Early detection of trauma patients requiring surgery is essential to timely intervention and reduction of morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the association of vital signs with surgical intervention in a South African patient population. METHODS: This retrospective cohort included 7857 trauma patients admitted at Grey's Hospital in Pietermaritzburg, South Africa over a five-year period December 2012-April 2018. Exclusion criteria included missing key data points. Variables for analysis included sex, mechanism of injury, admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, temperature, heart rate, and respiratory rate. Surgical intervention was defined by the need for treatment requiring time in the operating room. Data were analyzed using a univariate and multivariate logistic regression to determine an association between admission vital signs and surgical intervention and was compared to the association of the Revised Trauma Score to surgical intervention. RESULTS: Of the 8722 trauma patient records available, exclusion of patients with incomplete data resulted in 7857 patient records available for analysis. Two thousand two hundred and ninety-six (29.2%) patients required surgical intervention in the operating room. Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex [odds ratio (OR) 1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.48], stab wound (OR 3.42, CI 2.99-3.09), gunshot wound (OR 4.27, CI 3.58-5.09), systolic hypotension (OR 1.81, CI 1.32-2.48), hypothermia (OR 1.77, CI 1.34-2.34), tachycardia (OR 1.84, CI 1.61-2.10), and tachypnea (OR 1.26, CI 1.08-1.45) were associated with an increased likelihood of surgical intervention. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of patients, the need for surgical intervention was best predicted by penetrating mechanisms of injury, tachycardia, and systolic hypotension. These data show that rapid and focused patient assessments should be used to triage patients for emergency surgery to avoid delays.

Comparison of the Pediatric Resuscitation and Trauma Outcome (PRESTO) Model and Pediatric Trauma Scoring Systems in a Middle-Income Country.

BACKGROUND: The pediatric resuscitation and trauma outcome (PRESTO) model was developed to aid comparisons of risk-adjusted mortality after injury in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We sought to validate PRESTO using data from a middle-income country (MIC) trauma registry and compare its performance to the Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS), Revised Trauma Score, and pediatric age-adjusted shock index (SIPA). METHODS: We included children (age < 15 years) admitted to a single trauma center in South Africa from December 2012 to January 2019. We excluded patients missing variables necessary for the PRESTO model-age, systolic blood pressure, pulse, oxygen saturation, neurologic status, and airway support. Trauma scores were assigned retrospectively. PRESTO's previously high-income country (HIC)-validated optimal threshold was compared to MIC-validated threshold using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC). Prediction of in-hospital death using trauma scoring systems was compared using ROC analysis. RESULTS: Of 1160 injured children, 988 (85%) had complete data for calculation of PRESTO. Median age was 7 (IQR: 4, 11), and 67% were male. Mortality was 2% (n = 23). Mean predicted mortality was 0.5% (range 0-25.7%, AUROC 0.93). Using the HIC-validated threshold, PRESTO had a sensitivity of 26.1% and a specificity of 99.7%. The MIC threshold showed a sensitivity of 82.6% and specificity of 89.4%. The MIC threshold yielded superior discrimination (AUROC 0.86 [CI 0.78, 0.94]) compared to the previously established HIC threshold (0.63 [CI 0.54, 0.72], p < 0.0001). PRESTO showed superior prediction of in-hospital death compared to PTS and SIPA (all p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: PRESTO can be applied in MIC settings and discriminates between children at risk for in-hospital death following trauma. Further research should clarify optimal decision thresholds for quality improvement and benchmarking in LMIC settings.

Predicting the Outcome of Non-operative Management of Splenic Trauma in South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to expand on the global surgical discussion around splenic trauma in order to understand locally and clinically relevant factors for operative (OP) and non-operative management (NOM) of splenic trauma in a South African setting. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed using 2013-2017 data from the Pietermaritzburg Metropolitan Trauma Service. All adult patients (≥15 years) were included. Those managed with OP or NOM for splenic trauma were identified and analyzed descriptively. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified patients and clinical factors associated with management type. RESULTS: There were 127 patients with splenic injury. Median age was 29 [19-35] years with 42 (33%) women and 85 (67%) men. Blunt injuries occurred in the majority (81, 64%). Organ Injury Scale (OIS) grades included I (25, 20%), II (43, 34%), III (36, 28%), IV (15, 11%), and V (8, 6%). Nine patients expired. On univariate analysis, increasing OIS was associated with OP management, need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and hospital and ICU duration of stay, but not mortality. In patients with a delayed compared to early presentation, ICU utilization (62% vs. 36%, p = 0.008) and mortality (14% vs. 4%, p = 0.03) were increased. After adjusting for age, sex, presence of shock, and splenic OIS, penetrating trauma (adjusted odds ratio, 5.7; 95%CI, 1.7-9.8) and admission lactate concentration (adjusted odds ratio, 1.4; 95%CI 1.1-1.9) were significantly associated with OP compared to NOM (p = 0.002; area under the curve 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: We have identified injury mechanism and admission lactate as factors predictive of OP in South African patients with splenic trauma. Timely presentation to definitive care affects both ICU duration of stay and mortality outcomes. Future global surgical efforts may focus on expanding non-operative management protocols and improving pre-hospital care in patients with splenic trauma.

Evolving Indications for Lower Limb Amputations in South Africa Offer Opportunities for Health System Improvement.

BACKGROUND: Rapid urbanization and westernization have precipitated dramatic changes in the profile and prevalence of surgical diseases in sub-Saharan Africa. Disease of lifestyle is now common. We aimed to review our experience with lower-limb amputations at our surgical service in South Africa. METHODS: A single-center retrospective review of a prospectively collected database was performed of all patients who underwent a lower limb amputation. Inferential and descriptive statistics were performed. Patient demographics, indication, type of amputation, and management were reviewed. The primary outcome was 30-day in-patient mortality rate. RESULTS: Over a 5-year period (2013-2018), 348 patients underwent lower limb amputations. The median age was 61.5 years. 53.7% were diabetic and 56.3% were hypertensive. 53.2% had associated peripheral vascular disease and 8% preexisting cardiac disease. 30.7% smoked. Guillotine below-knee amputation was frequently performed (44.5% of amputations). 16.1% of these patients required a further operation. The in-hospital mortality rate was 8%. Underlying renal disease was an independent risk factor for mortality (p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: Currently, the most common indications for LLA in South Africa are diabetes mellitus and atherosclerosis. This reflects the changing pattern of disease in the country. There is a major problem with access to health care in rural areas in South Africa with significant delays in getting patients to tertiary units for evaluation by specialists. Foot care and prevention at a primary health care level is also lacking. Global improvements in the healthcare system are needed to improve LLA rates in South Africa.

Developing a blueprint for a civilian-military collaborative program in trauma training for Northern European countries: A South African experience.

BACKGROUND: Recent terrorist attacks and mass shooting incidents in major European and North American cities have shown the unexpected influx of large volumes of patients with complex multi-system injuries. The rise of subspecialisation and the low violence-related penetrating injuries among European cities, show the reality that most surgical programs are unable to provide sufficient exposure to penetrating and blast injuries. The aim of this study is to describe and create a collaborative program between a major South African trauma service and a NATO country military medical service, with synergistic effect on both partners. This program includes comprehensive cross-disciplinary training & teaching, and scientific research. METHODS: This is a retrospective descriptive study. The Pietermaritzburg hospital and Netherlands military trauma register databases were used for analysing patient data: Pietermaritzburg between September 2015 and August 2016, Iraq between May and July 2018 and Afghanistan from 2006 to 2010. Interviews were held to analyse the mutual benefits of the program. RESULTS: From the Pietermaritzburg study, mutual benefits focus on social responsibility, exchange of knowledge and experience and further mutual exploration. The comparison showed the numbers of surgical procedures over a one-month period performed in Iraq 12.7, in Afghanistan 68.8 and in Pietermaritzburg 152. CONCLUSION: This study has shown a significant volume of penetrating trauma in South Africa, that can provide substantial exposure over a relatively short period. This help to prepare civilian and military surgeons and deployable military medical personnel for casualties with blast - and/or penetrating injuries. The aforementioned findings and the willingness to shape the mutual benefits, create a platform for trauma electives, research, education and training.