Predicting Mortality Prior to Interhospital Hospital for "Unseen" General Surgery Patients: Development, Validation and Feasibility Trial of a Mortality Risk Calculator.

OBJECTIVE: Develop and validate a mortality risk calculator that could be utilized at the time of transfer, leveraging routinely collected variables that could be obtained by trained non-clinical transfer personnel. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: There are no objective tools to predict mortality at the time of inter-hospital transfer for Emergency General Surgery (EGS) patients that are "unseen" by the accepting system. METHODS: Patients transferred to general or colorectal surgery services from January 2016 through August 2022 were retrospectively identified and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts (3:1 ratio). The primary outcome was admission-related mortality, defined as death during the index admission or within 30 days post-discharge. Multiple predictive models were developed and validated. RESULTS: Among 4,664 transferred patients, 280 (6.0%) experienced mortality. Predictive models were generated utilizing 19 routinely collected variables; the penalized regression model was selected over other models due to excellent performance using only 12 variables. The model performance on the validating set resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and balanced accuracy of 0.851, 0.90, 0.67, and 0.79, respectively. After bias correction, Brier score was 0.04, indicating a strong association between the assigned risk and the observed frequency of mortality. CONCLUSION: A risk calculator using twelve variables has excellent predictive ability for mortality at the time of interhospital transfer among "unseen" EGS patients. Quantifying a patient's mortality risk at the time of transfer could improve patient triage, bed and resource allocation, and standardize care.

The effect of gadolinium-based intravenous contrast in the initial characterization of musculoskeletal soft tissue tumors.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if gadolinium-based contrast agents increase the sensitivity, specificity or reader confidence of malignant potential in musculoskeletal soft tissue tumors. METHODS: Pre- and post-contrast MRI studies from 87 patients were read by three independent radiologists of different experience. Readers noted malignant potential and confidence in their diagnosis based on pre-contrast and post-contrast MRI studies. Statistical models assessed for agreement between MRI reader diagnosis and pathologic results as well as analyzing effects of contrast on reader confidence. Inter- and intra-observer variabilities of malignant potential were also calculated. RESULTS: 87 patients (48 benign and 39 malignant; mean [± SD] age 51 ± 17.9 and 57.1 ± 17.1, respectively) were evaluated. For all readers, pre-contrast and post-contrast sensitivities were 68.1 % and 70.6 % while pre-contrast and post-contrast specificities were 84.6 % and 83.8 %, respectively without significant change (p=0.88). There was not a significant association with the use of contrast and prediction of malignant potential with or without the resident reader (p=0.65 and p=0.82). Use of contrast was significantly associated with higher levels of reader confidence (p=0.02) for all readers. Inter- and intra-observer variabilities were in good agreement (W = 0.77 and 0.70). CONCLUSION: The addition of a post-contrast sequence increased reader confidence in their diagnosis without a corresponding significant increase in accurate prediction of malignant potential.

Disparities in Breast Cancer Care-How Factors Related to Prevention, Diagnosis, and Treatment Drive Inequity.

Breast cancer survival has increased significantly over the last few decades due to more effective strategies for prevention and risk modification, advancements in imaging detection, screening, and multimodal treatment algorithms. However, many have observed disparities in benefits derived from such improvements across populations and demographic groups. This review summarizes published works that contextualize modern disparities in breast cancer prevention, diagnosis, and treatment and presents potential strategies for reducing disparities. We conducted searches for studies that directly investigated and/or reported disparities in breast cancer prevention, detection, or treatment. Demographic factors, social determinants of health, and inequitable healthcare delivery may impede the ability of individuals and communities to employ risk-mitigating behaviors and prevention strategies. The disparate access to quality screening and timely diagnosis experienced by various groups poses significant hurdles to optimal care and survival. Finally, barriers to access and inequitable healthcare delivery patterns reinforce inequitable application of standards of care. Cumulatively, these disparities underlie notable differences in the incidence, severity, and survival of breast cancers. Efforts toward mitigation will require collaborative approaches and partnerships between communities, governments, and healthcare organizations, which must be considered equal stakeholders in the fight for equity in breast cancer care and outcomes.

Gender representation in the Central Surgical Association: A call to action.

BACKGROUND: Organizations such as the Central Surgical Association are important for promulgating advances in general surgery, but diversity and inclusion profoundly affect what is presented and discussed. The objective of this study was to evaluate gender representation trends at the Central Surgical Association and its annual meetings over the past 13 years. METHODS: Publicly available Central Surgical Association meeting proceedings from 2010 to 2022 were reviewed for society leaders, new members, invited speakers and moderators, and contributors to scientific sessions (first authors, senior authors). Gender identity was assessed through professional online platforms. The 2017 and 2021 meetings were conjoined with the Midwest Surgical Association. Incomplete data were obtained from 2013 and 2020-2022. RESULTS: A total of 2,158 individuals were reviewed, 554 (25.7%) of which were women. The overall trend of the absolute proportion of women participation increased by 1.8% per year (R2 = 0.7, P < .01). For leadership roles, 42/205 (20%) were women, with a 2.4% per year increase (R2 = 0.45, P = .02). For speaker roles, 82/384 (21.4%) were women, with a 2.2% increase per year (R2 = 0.6, P < .01). For scientific contributions, 253 first (35.9%) and 136 (19.3%) senior authors of 704 were women, with 1.5% (R2 = 0.4, P = .02) and 1.3% (R2 = 0.4, P = .03) increase per year, respectively. CONCLUSION: There has been a positive trend in women's involvement at Central Surgical Association meetings for leaders, speakers, and scientific authors. Diversity allows variate experiences to contribute to surgical advancements; thus, measures by the Central Surgical Association to ensure adequate representation should continue.

Corrigendum: Opportunities for human factors in machine learning.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/frai.2023.1130190.].

Use of Different Blood Pressure Thresholds to Reduce the Number of Home Blood Pressure Monitoring Days Needed for Detecting Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Home blood pressure (BP) monitoring over a 7-day period is recommended to confirm the diagnosis of hypertension. METHODS: We determined upper and lower home BP thresholds with >90% positive predictive value and >90% negative predictive value using 1 to 6 days of monitoring to identify high home BP (systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg) based on 7 days of home BP monitoring. The sample included 361 adults from the Improving the Detection of Hypertension Study who were not taking antihypertensive medication. We used two 7-day periods, at least 3 days apart, the first being a sampling period and the second a reference period. For each number of days in the sampling period, we determined the percentage of participants who had a high likelihood of having (>90% positive predictive value) or not having (>90% negative predictive value) high BP and would not need to continue home BP monitoring. Only the participants in an uncertain category (ie, positive predictive value ≤90% and negative predictive value ≤90%) after each day were carried forward to the next day of home BP monitoring. RESULTS: Of the 361 participants (mean [SD] age of 41.3 [13.2] years; 60.4% women), 38.0% had high home BP during the reference period. There were 63.7%, 17.1%, 10.5%, 3.3%, 3.6%, and 1.4% participants who would not need to continue after 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 days of monitoring. CONCLUSIONS: In most people, high home BP can be identified or excluded with a high degree of confidence with 3 days or less of monitoring.

Asymptomatic Intracardiac Cement Embolism Following Kyphoplasty.

Cement extravasation can occur during vertebral body augmentation such as kyphoplasty and vertebroplasty with diverse presentation and resultant treatment. The cement can embolize through venous vasculature to the thorax where it poses a potential threat to the cardiovascular and pulmonary systems. A thorough risk-benefit analysis should be conducted to select the appropriate treatment course. We present an asymptomatic case of cement extravasation to the heart and lungs during kyphoplasty.

Opportunities for human factors in machine learning.

Introduction: The field of machine learning and its subfield of deep learning have grown rapidly in recent years. With the speed of advancement, it is nearly impossible for data scientists to maintain expert knowledge of cutting-edge techniques. This study applies human factors methods to the field of machine learning to address these difficulties. Methods: Using semi-structured interviews with data scientists at a National Laboratory, we sought to understand the process used when working with machine learning models, the challenges encountered, and the ways that human factors might contribute to addressing those challenges. Results: Results of the interviews were analyzed to create a generalization of the process of working with machine learning models. Issues encountered during each process step are described. Discussion: Recommendations and areas for collaboration between data scientists and human factors experts are provided, with the goal of creating better tools, knowledge, and guidance for machine learning scientists.

Uptake of non-statin lipid-lowering therapies for secondary prevention in community practice.

Nearly two-thirds of individuals with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) do not reach target low-density lipoprotein cholesterol despite statin therapy. Three novel lipid-lowering therapies have proven to further reduce ASCVD beyond statins, including: ezetimibe, proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (PCSK9i), and icosapent ethyl. This study evaluated the use of these three agents in 728,423 individuals with ASCVD from 89 US health systems from 01/2018 through 03/2021 using the electronic health record. As of 2021, only 6.0% of ASCVD patients were on ezetimibe, 1.6% were on a PCSK9i, and 1.3% on icosapent ethyl, with utilization only marginally increasing over the study period. Addressing the underutilization of non-statin lipid-lowering therapy for secondary prevention is a critical step in improving the treatment gap of patients with residual risk of ASCVD.

The effect of virtual interviews on the musculoskeletal radiology fellowship match.

OBJECTIVE: Resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, a virtual interview format was adopted in lieu of in-person interviews for fellowship recruitment. The purpose of this study is to analyze the potential effect that virtual interviews have on musculoskeletal radiology fellowship match results and collect opinions of the process. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An anonymous survey was sent to 87 listed US-based musculoskeletal radiology fellowship directors, who were asked for their 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 match data: fellowship positions, interviewees, ranked interviewees, and matched ranks. They rated effectiveness of virtual interviews on a ten-point scale (1 poor-10 excellent) and provided an ideal percentage of future interviews to be conducted virtually. RESULTS: Thirty responses were received (34.4% response rate). Primary analysis found significant increase in the mean number of candidates ranked in 2020-2021, 14.6 to 17.5 (p = 0.047). The mean rank of matched applicants increased from 6.02 to 6.43, without significance (p = 0.821). Secondary analysis, which attempted to exclude internally matched programs, found significant increases in 2020-2021 in the mean number of applicants-28.7 to 32.4 (p = 0.017), interviews conducted-17.8 to 21.3 (p = 0.007), and candidates ranked by programs-16.3 to 19.8 (p = 0.015). The mean rank of matched applicants increased from 6.39 to 7.03, without significance (p = 0.713). CONCLUSION: With results showing an increase in applications, interviews conducted, and ranked applicants while lowering the average rank of matched candidates, musculoskeletal radiology fellowship directors should consider interviewing more applicants than they usually would in the prior in-person recruitment format.

Intra-articular Osteoid Osteoma of the Olecranon Fossa.

Osteoid osteomas are benign primary bone lesions characterized by a central nidus with surrounding reactive sclerosis, classically presenting as worsening nocturnal pain relieved by non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications (NSAIDs). These most commonly occur in intracortical bone and the diaphysis of long bones. As a rare entity, intra-articular osteoid osteomas present unusually, often resulting in a delayed or incorrect diagnosis. We present a case of an intra-articular osteoid osteoma, emphasizing the importance of MRI in aiding diagnosis in this atypical location.

Managing Up: Approaching Mentoring From a Mentee's Perspective.

OBJECTIVE: Discuss the evolution of mentorship models in surgical training and how educating the surgical trainees with the concepts from "manage up" theory can empower them to maximize the benefits afforded by mentoring relationships. METHODS: "Manage up" theory is derived from the business world where the subordinate takes ownership of the mentoring relationship with their superior by assessing the strengths and weaknesses of both parties and applying that information in managing a productive relationship. DISCUSSION: Surgery residency programs implement a variety of structured and unstructured mentorship programs to promote mentoring relationships and to encourage professional development. Mentees in successful mentoring relationships demonstrate characteristics and skills that residency programs can promote through formal training. Components of "manage up" theory can be applied by surgical trainees in approaching their mentors and in managing their mentor-mentee relationships. CONCLUSIONS: The benefits gained from a successful mentoring relationship for both the mentor and the mentee depend on active roles played by both parties. Strong evidence supports the need for educating mentees through formal curricula to empower them to assume an active role in their mentoring relationships.

Stage IV Non-breast Cancer Patients and Screening Mammography: It is Time to Stop.

BACKGROUND: Patients diagnosed with metastatic cancer have shortened life expectancy with questionable benefit of routine screening mammography (SM). The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence and consequences of continued SM in the setting of reduced survival from stage IV non-breast cancer. METHODS: Women diagnosed with Stage IV non-breast cancer at a single institution from 2015 to 2019 were queried from the institutional tumor registry for demographics, stage IV cancer diagnosis, and survival. Incidence and timing of SM after stage IV diagnosis and further diagnostic workup were extracted from the medical record. RESULTS: 790 women with Stage IV non-breast cancer were identified, 109 (14%) had at least 1 SM, 23% required diagnostic mammography, 7% breast biopsy, and 1% breast surgery. No breast cancers were identified. SM was ordered most often in stage IV gynecological cancers (28%), with more common cancers still seeing a high percentage of patients screened (lung 10%, colorectal 15%). Study 3-year survival was 26% (95% confidence interval [CI] 23-30%), with 74% mortality during follow up and median time from Stage IV diagnosis to death of 1.2 years (CI 0.4-2.3 years). Of patients screened, 41/109 died within 2 years of undergoing SM. CONCLUSIONS: Despite low overall survival for patients diagnosed with metastatic non-breast cancer, 14% of women underwent SM which resulted in additional imaging, biopsies, and surgery with no new breast cancers identified. Continued SM in this population offers risk without benefit of reduced breast cancer mortality and should no longer continue in women with stage IV non-breast cancer.

MR Imaging of Knee Cartilage Injury and Repair Surgeries.

Cartilage injuries are common and may predispose to early accelerated osteoarthritis. Magnetic resonance (MR) imaging is critical in the detection and characterization of acute and chronic cartilage injuries. Several surgical approaches including microfracture, osteochondral allografting, autologous osteochondral transfer system, and autologous chondrocyte implantation have been developed to treat cartilage lesions. The goals of these treatments include relief of symptoms, restoration of joint function, and delay of progression of osteoarthritis. Imaging evaluation by MR imaging plays a crucial role in diagnosis and surgical planning as well as monitoring for postoperative complications.

A pilot study on the use of neutron activation analysis and multivariate statistics for the provenance of Jamaican Cannabis sativa L (Marijuana).

The aim of this study was to use instrumental neutron activation analysis and multivariate analysis to determine the provenance of Jamaican Cannabis sativa L. Sixty-three samples were collected from various areas in Jamaica, with no other data but their known or self-reported growing regions. The samples were analysed for Al, As, Br, Ca, Cd, Co, Cs, Fe, K, La, Mg, Mn, Na, Rb, Sb, Sc, Sm, Sr, V, and Zn. The resulting elemental data were statistically evaluated using agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis and principal component analysis. Cluster analysis was able to group the samples into their known or reported growing regions with a high degree of accuracy. Principal component analysis was also able to elucidate some of the underlying geochemical factors that could explain the clustering. These included the underlying bauxitic geochemistry and the influence of fertilizer inputs. Of the analysed elements, Al, As, Cd, Co, Fe, K, La, Mg, Mn, Sc, Sm, V, and Zn appear to be most significant in identifying the growing regions of the cannabis samples. Results indicate the promise of this methodology with an increased dataset and potentially further refinement of the identifying elements.

Cuffless Blood Pressure Devices.

Hypertension is associated with more end-organ damage, cardiovascular events, and disability-adjusted life years lost in the United States compared with all other modifiable risk factors. Several guidelines and scientific statements now endorse the use of out-of-office blood pressure (BP) monitoring with ambulatory BP monitoring or home BP monitoring to confirm or exclude hypertension status based on office BP measurement. Current ambulatory or home BP monitoring devices have been reliant on the placement of a BP cuff, typically on the upper arm, to measure BP. There are numerous limitations to this approach. Cuff-based BP may not be well-tolerated for repeated measurements as is utilized with ambulatory BP monitoring. Furthermore, improper technique, including incorrect cuff placement or use of the wrong cuff size, may lead to erroneous readings, affecting diagnosis and management of hypertension. Compared with devices that utilize a cuff, cuffless BP devices may overcome challenges related to technique, tolerability, and overall utility in the outpatient setting. However, cuffless devices have several potential limitations that limit its routine use for the diagnosis and management of hypertension. The review discusses the different approaches for determining BP using various cuffless devices including engineering aspects of cuffless device technologies, validation protocols to test accuracy of cuffless devices, potential barriers to widespread implementation, and future areas of research. This review is intended for the clinicians who utilize out-of-office BP monitoring for the diagnosis and management of hypertension.

Fast neutron mutagenesis in soybean enriches for small indels and creates frameshift mutations.

The mutagenic effects of ionizing radiation have been used for decades to create novel variants in experimental populations. Fast neutron (FN) bombardment as a mutagen has been especially widespread in plants, with extensive reports describing the induction of large structural variants, i.e., deletions, insertions, inversions, and translocations. However, the full spectrum of FN-induced mutations is poorly understood. We contrast small insertions and deletions (indels) observed in 27 soybean lines subject to FN irradiation with the standing indels identified in 107 diverse soybean lines. We use the same populations to contrast the nature and context (bases flanking a nucleotide change) of single-nucleotide variants. The accumulation of new single-nucleotide changes in FN lines is marginally higher than expected based on spontaneous mutation. In FN-treated lines and in standing variation, C→T transitions and the corresponding reverse complement G→A transitions are the most abundant and occur most frequently in a CpG local context. These data indicate that most SNPs identified in FN lines are likely derived from spontaneous de novo processes in generations following mutagenesis rather than from the FN irradiation mutagen. However, small indels in FN lines differ from standing variants. Short insertions, from 1 to 6 bp, are less abundant than in standing variation. Short deletions are more abundant and prone to induce frameshift mutations that should disrupt the structure and function of encoded proteins. These findings indicate that FN irradiation generates numerous small indels, increasing the abundance of loss-of-function mutations that impact single genes.