Outcomes associated with initial narrow-spectrum versus broad-spectrum antibiotics in children hospitalized with urinary tract infections.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to describe the proportion of children hospitalized with urinary tract infections (UTIs) who receive initial narrow- versus broad-spectrum antibiotics across children's hospitals and explore whether the use of initial narrow-spectrum antibiotics is associated with different outcomes. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of children aged 2 months to 17 years hospitalized with UTI (inclusive of pyelonephritis) using the Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS) database. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: We analyzed the proportions of children initially receiving narrow- versus broad-spectrum antibiotics; additionally, we compiled antibiogram data for common uropathogenic organisms from participating hospitals to compare with the observed antibiotic susceptibility patterns. We examined the association of antibiotic type with adjusted outcomes including length of stay (LOS), costs, and 7- and 30-day emergency department (ED) revisits and hospital readmissions. RESULTS: We identified 10,740 hospitalizations for UTI across 39 hospitals. Approximately 5% of encounters demonstrated initial narrow-spectrum antibiotics, with hospital-level narrow-spectrum use ranging from <1% to 25%. Approximately 80% of hospital antibiograms demonstrated >80% Escherichia coli susceptibility to cefazolin. In adjusted models, those who received initial narrow-spectrum antibiotics had shorter LOS (narrow-spectrum: 33.1 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 30.8-35.4) h versus broad-spectrum: 46.1 (95% CI: 44.1-48.2) h) and reduced costs [narrow-spectrum: $4570 ($3751-5568) versus broad-spectrum: $5699 ($5005-$6491)]. There were no differences in ED revisits or hospital readmissions. In summary, children's hospitals have low rates of narrow-spectrum antibiotic use for UTIs despite many reporting high rates of cefazolin-susceptible E. coli. These findings, coupled with the observed decreased LOS and costs among those receiving narrow-spectrum antibiotics, highlight potential antibiotic stewardship opportunities.

Changing patterns of routine laboratory testing over time at children's hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Research into low-value routine testing at children's hospitals has not consistently evaluated changing patterns of testing over time. OBJECTIVES: To identify changes in routine laboratory testing rates at children's hospitals over ten years and the association with patient outcomes. DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: We performed a multi-center, retrospective cohort study of children aged 0-18 hospitalized with common, lower-severity diagnoses at 28 children's hospitals in the Pediatric Health Information Systems database. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: We calculated average annual testing rates for complete blood counts, electrolytes, and inflammatory markers between 2010 and 2019 for each hospital. A > 2% average testing rate change per year was defined as clinically meaningful and used to separate hospitals into groups: increasing, decreasing, and unchanged testing rates. Groups were compared for differences in length of stay, cost, and 30-day readmission or ED revisit, adjusted for demographics and case mix index. RESULTS: Our study included 576,572 encounters for common, low-severity diagnoses. Individual hospital testing rates in each year of the study varied from 0.3 to 1.4 tests per patient day. The average yearly change in hospital-specific testing rates ranged from -6% to +7%. Four hospitals remained in the lowest quartile of testing and two in the highest quartile throughout all ten years of the study. We grouped hospitals with increasing (8), decreasing (n = 5), and unchanged (n = 15) testing rates. No difference was found across subgroups in costs, length of stay, 30-day ED revisit, or readmission rates. Comparing resource utilization trends over time provides important insights into achievable rates of testing reduction.

Antibiotic route and outcomes for children hospitalized with pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence suggests that initial oral and intravenous (IV) antibiotics have similar efficacy in pediatric community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), but further data are needed. OBJECTIVE: We determined the association between hospital-level initial oral antibiotic rates and outcomes in pediatric CAP. DESIGNS, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study included children hospitalized with CAP at 43 hospitals in the Pediatric Health Information System (2016-2022). Hospitals were grouped by whether initial antibiotics were given orally in a high, moderate, or low proportion of patients. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Regression models examined associations between high versus low oral-utilizing hospitals and length of stay (LOS, primary outcome), intensive care unit (ICU) transfers, escalated respiratory care, complicated CAP, cost, readmissions, and emergency department (ED) revisits. RESULTS: Initial oral antibiotics were used in 16% (interquartile range: 10%-20%) of 30,207 encounters, ranging from 1% to 68% across hospitals. Comparing high versus low oral-utilizing hospitals (oral rate: 32% [27%-47%] and 10% [9%-11%], respectively), there were no differences in LOS, intensive care unit, complicated CAP, cost, or ED revisits. Escalated respiratory care occurred in 1.3% and 0.5% of high and low oral-utilizing hospitals, respectively (relative ratio [RR]: 2.96 [1.12, 7.81]), and readmissions occurred in 1.5% and 0.8% (RR: 1.68 [1.31, 2.17]). Initial oral antibiotics varied across hospitals without a difference in LOS. While high oral-utilizing hospitals had higher escalated respiratory care and readmission rates, these were rare, the clinical significance of these small differences is uncertain, and there were no differences in other clinically relevant outcomes. This suggests some children may benefit from initial IV antibiotics, but most would probably do well with oral antibiotics.

A Multimodal Intervention to Reduce C. difficile Infections and Stool Testing.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The introduction of multiplex gastrointestinal panels at our institution resulted in increased Clostridioides difficile (C. difficile) detection and stool test utilization. We aimed to reduce hospital-onset C. difficile infections (HO-CDIs), C. difficile detection, and overall stool testing by 20% within 1 year. METHODS: We conducted a quality improvement project from 2018 to 2020 at a large children's hospital. Interventions included development of a C. difficile testing and treatment clinical care pathway, new options for gastrointestinal panel testing with or without C. difficile (results were suppressed if not ordered), clinical decision support tool to restrict testing, and targeted prevention efforts. Outcomes included the rate of HO-CDI (primary), C. difficile detection, and overall stool testing. All measures were evaluated monthly among hospitalized children per 10 000 patient-days (PDs) using statistical process-control charts. For balancing measures, we tracked suppressed C. difficile results that were released during real-time monitoring because of concern for true infection and C. difficile-related adverse events. RESULTS: HO-CDI decreased by 55%, from 11 to 5 per 10 000 PDs. C. difficile detection decreased by 44%, from 18 to 10 per 10 000 PDs, and overall test utilization decreased by 29%, from 99 to 70 per 10 000 PDs. The decrease in stool tests resulted in annual savings of $55 649. Only 2.3% of initially suppressed positive C. difficile results were released, and no patients had adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnostic stewardship strategies, coupled with an evidence-based clinical care pathway, can be used to decrease C. difficile and improve overall test utilization.

Phlebotomy-free days in children hospitalized with common infections and their association with clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Phlebotomy for hospitalized children has consequences (e.g., pain, iatrogenic anemia), and unnecessary testing is a modifiable source of waste in healthcare. Days without blood draws or phlebotomy-free days (PFDs) has the potential to serve as a hospital quality measure. OBJECTIVE: To describe: (1) the frequency of PFDs in children hospitalized with common infections and (2) the association of PFDs with clinical outcomes. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: We performed a cross-sectional study of children hospitalized 2018-2019 with common infections at 38 hospitals using the Pediatric Health Information System database. We included infectious All Patients Refined Diagnosis Related Groups with a median length of stay (LOS) >2 days. We excluded patients with medical complexity, interhospital transfers, those receiving intensive care, and in-hospital mortality. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: We defined PFDs as hospital days (midnight to midnight) without laboratory blood testing and measured the proportion of PFDs divided by total hospital LOS (PFD ratio) for each condition and hospital. Higher PFD ratios signify more days without phlebotomy. Hospitals were grouped into low, moderate, and high average PFD ratios. Adjusted outcomes (LOS, costs, and readmissions) were compared across groups. RESULTS: We identified 126,135 encounters. Bronchiolitis (0.78) and pneumonia (0.54) had the highest PFD ratios (most PFDs), while osteoarticular infections (0.28) and gastroenteritis (0.30) had the lowest PFD ratios. There were no differences in adjusted clinical outcomes across PFD ratio groups. Among children hospitalized with common infections, PFD ratios varied across conditions and hospitals, with no association with outcomes. Our data suggest overuse of phlebotomy and opportunities to improve the care of hospitalized children.

What Do We C in Children With Scurvy? A Case Series Focused on Musculoskeletal Symptoms.

OBJECTIVES: Vitamin C deficiency in children commonly presents with musculoskeletal symptoms such as gait disturbance, refusal to bear weight, and bone or joint pain. We aimed to identify features that could facilitate early diagnosis of scurvy and estimate the cost of care for patients with musculoskeletal symptoms related to scurvy. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective chart review of patients at a single site with diagnostic codes for vitamin C deficiency, ascorbic acid deficiency, or scurvy. Medical records were reviewed to identify characteristics including presenting symptoms, medical history, and diagnostic workup. The Pediatric Health Information System was used to estimate diagnostic and hospitalization costs for each patient. RESULTS: We identified 47 patients with a diagnosis of scurvy, 49% of whom had a neurodevelopmental disorder. Sixteen of the 47 had musculoskeletal symptoms and were the focus of the cost analysis. Three of the 16 had moderate or severe malnutrition, and 3 had overweight or obesity. Six patients presented to an emergency department for care, 11 were managed inpatient, and 3 required critical care. Diagnostic workups included MRI, computed tomography, echocardiogram, endoscopy, lumbar puncture, and/or EEG. Across all patients evaluated, the cost of emergency department utilization, imaging studies, diagnostic procedures, and hospitalization totaled $470 144 (median $14 137 per patient). CONCLUSIONS: Children across the BMI spectrum, particularly those with neurodevelopmental disorders, can develop vitamin C deficiency. Increased awareness of scurvy and its signs and symptoms, particularly musculoskeletal manifestations, may reduce severe disease, limit adverse effects related to unnecessary tests/treatments, and facilitate high-value care.

When to Transfer: Predictors of Pediatric High Flow Nasal Cannula Failure at a Community Hospital.

OBJECTIVES: To identify risk factors of high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) failure at a US pediatric hospital without a co-located ICU. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients aged 0 to 18 years who were started on HFNC in the emergency department or inpatient unit at a community hospital over a 16-month period. Children with chronic medical conditions were excluded. Outcome was HFNC failure, defined as HFNC need greater than floor limit, noninvasive positive pressure, or mechanical ventilation. In bivariate analysis, we compared demographic and clinical factors between those with and without failure. We included variables in a multivariable model on the basis of statistical significance. We used Poisson regression with robust error variance to calculate the adjusted relative risk (aRR) of failure for each variable. RESULTS: Of 195 children, 51% had HFNC failure. In adjusted analysis, failure was higher in all age groups <12 months as compared with older children. For example, children aged 3 to 5 months had a higher risk of failure compared with patients 12 months or older (aRR 1.85, confidence interval [CI] 1.34-2.54). Patients with an asthma exacerbation had a higher risk of failure (aRR 1.39, CI 1.03-1.88). Patients whose respiratory rate or heart rate did not improve also had a higher risk of failure (aRR 1.73, CI 1.24-2.41; aRR 1.47, CI 1.14-1.90). CONCLUSIONS: Patients who were younger, had asthma, and did not have improved respiratory rate or heart rate after HFNC were more likely to experience HFNC failure.

Factors Associated With Actionable Gastrointestinal Panel Results in Hospitalized Children.

OBJECTIVES: There is uncertainty regarding which hospitalized patients with acute gastroenteritis (AGE) benefit from gastrointestinal panel (GIP) testing. Unnecessary testing may lead to increased costs, overdiagnosis, and overtreatment. In general, AGE management and outcomes are most impacted if an actionable (bacterial or parasitic) result is obtained. We aimed to assess which clinical reasons for ordering GIP testing ("order indications") and patient factors were associated with actionable results. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study of pediatric patients hospitalized between 2015 and 2018 at a large pediatric health care system with diarrhea and a GIP performed. Multivariable regression analysis was used to determine associations between actionable GIP results and order indication, stool frequency, and demographics. Findings were evaluated in patients with complex chronic conditions (CCC) and non-CCC patients. RESULTS: There were 1124 GIPs performed in 967 encounters. Non-CCC patients had more actionable results than CCC patients, and reasons for testing differed. Across both cohorts, age ≥1 year old was positively associated with actionable results. For non-CCC patients, actionable results were associated with "diarrhea with blood or pus" order indication and nonwinter season; international travel was associated with non-Clostridioides difficile bacteria and parasites. No order indications were associated with actionable results for CCC patients. CONCLUSIONS: Patient factors and order indications that may help identify children hospitalized for AGE with actionable GIP results include older age (regardless of CCC status), as well as bloody stools and international travel in previously healthy children. Prospective validation of these findings could help improve diagnostic stewardship and decrease unnecessary testing.

Impact of Adjunct Corticosteroid Therapy on Quality of Life for Children With Suspected Pneumonia.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between adjunct corticosteroid therapy and quality of life (QoL) outcomes in children with signs and symptoms of lower respiratory tract infection and clinical suspicion for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: Secondary analysis from a prospective cohort study of children aged 3 months to 18 years with signs and symptoms of LRTI and a chest radiograph for suspected CAP in the ED, excluding children with recent (within 14 days) systemic corticosteroid use. The primary exposure was receipt of corticosteroids during the ED visit. Outcomes were QoL measures and unplanned visits. Multivariable regression was used to evaluate the association between corticosteroid therapy and outcomes. RESULTS: Of 898 children, 162 (18%) received corticosteroids. Children who received corticosteroids were more frequently boys (62%), Black (45%), had history of asthma (58%), previous pneumonia (16%), presence of wheeze (74%), and more severe illness at presentation (6%). Ninety-six percent were treated for asthma as defined by report of asthma or receipt of ß-agonist in the ED. Receipt of corticosteroids was not associated with QoL measures: days of activity missed (adjusted incident rate ratio [aIRR], 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-1.11) and days of work missed (aIRR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.60-1.27). There was a statistically significant interaction between age (>2 years) and corticosteroids receipt; the patients had fewer days of activity missed (aIRR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.46-0.83), with no effect on children 2 years or younger (aIRR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.54-1.27). Corticosteroid treatment was not associated with unplanned visit (odds ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 0.69-2.75). CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of children with suspected CAP, receipt of corticosteroids was associated with asthma history and was not associated with missed days of activity or work, except in a subset of children aged older than 2 years.

Viral Detection Is Associated With Severe Disease in Children With Suspected Community-Acquired Pneumonia.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the role of virus detection on disease severity among children presenting to the emergency department (ED) with suspected community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: We performed a single-center prospective study of children presenting to a pediatric ED with signs and symptoms of a lower respiratory tract infection and who had a chest radiograph performed for suspected CAP. We included patients who had virus testing, with results classified as negative for virus, human rhinovirus, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza, and other viruses. We evaluated the association between virus detection and disease severity using a 4-tiered measure of disease severity based on clinical outcomes, ranging from mild ( discharged from the ED) to severe (receipt of positive-pressure ventilation, vasopressors, thoracostomy tube placement, or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, intensive care unit admission, diagnosis of severe sepsis or septic shock, or death) in models adjusted for age, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, radiologist interpretation of the chest radiograph, presence of wheeze, fever, and provision of antibiotics. RESULTS: Five hundred seventy-three patients were enrolled in the parent study, of whom viruses were detected in 344 (60%), including 159 (28%) human rhinovirus, 114 (20%) RSV, and 34 (6%) with influenza. In multivariable models, viral infections were associated with increasing disease severity, with the greatest effect noted with RSV (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-4.81) followed by rhinovirus (aOR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.27-3.76). Viral detection was not associated with increased severity among patients with radiographic pneumonia (n = 223; OR, 1.82; 95% CI, 0.87-3.87) but was associated with severity among patients without radiographic pneumonia (n = 141; OR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.40-4.59). CONCLUSIONS: The detection of a virus in the nasopharynx was associated with more severe disease compared with no virus; this finding persisted after adjustment for age, biomarkers, and radiographic findings. Viral testing may assist with risk stratification of patients with lower respiratory tract infections.

Variation in stool testing for children with acute gastrointestinal infections.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Children with gastrointestinal infections often require acute care.The objectives of this study were to describe variations in patterns of stool testing across children's hospitals and determine whether such variation was associated with utilization outcomes. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: We performed a multicenter, cross-sectional study using the Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS) database. We identified stool testing (multiplex polymerase chain reaction [PCR], stool culture, ova and parasite, Clostridioides difficile, and other individual stool bacterial or viral tests) in children diagnosed with acute gastrointestinal infections. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: We calculated the overall testing rates and hospital-level stool testing rates, stratified by setting (emergency department [ED]-only vs. hospitalized). We stratified individual hospitals into low, moderate, or high testing institutions. Generalized estimating equations were then used to examine the association of hospital testing groups and outcomes, specifically, length of stay (LOS), costs, and revisit rates. RESULTS: We identified 498,751 ED-only and 40,003 encounters for hospitalized children from 2016 to 2020. Compared to ED-only encounters, stool studies were obtained with increased frequency among encounters for hospitalized children (ED-only: 0.1%-2.3%; Hospitalized: 1.5%-13.8%, all p < 0.001). We observed substantial variation in stool testing rates across hospitals, particularly during encounters for hospitalized children (e.g., rates of multiplex PCRs ranged from 0% to 16.8% for ED-only and 0% to 65.0% for hospitalized). There were no statistically significant differences in outcomes among low, moderate, or high testing institutions in adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS: Children with acute gastrointestinal infections experience substantial variation in stool testing within and across hospitals, with no difference in utilization outcomes. These findings highlight the need for guidelines to address diagnostic stewardship.

Antibiotics and outcomes of CF pulmonary exacerbations in children infected with MRSA and Pseudomonas aeruginosa.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist to inform antibiotic selection among people with cystic fibrosis (CF) with airway infection by multiple CF-related microorganisms. This study aimed to determine among children with CF co-infected with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (Pa) if the addition of anti-MRSA antibiotics to antipseudomonal antibiotic treatment for pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) would be associated with improved clinical outcomes compared with antipseudomonal antibiotics alone. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using data from the CF Foundation Patient Registry-Pediatric Health Information System linked dataset. The odds of returning to baseline lung function and having a subsequent PEx requiring intravenous antibiotics were compared between PEx treated with anti-MRSA and antipseudomonal antibiotics and those treated with antipseudomonal antibiotics alone, adjusting for confounding by indication using inverse probability of treatment weighting. RESULTS: 943 children with CF co-infected with MRSA and Pa contributed 2,989 PEx for analysis. Of these, 2,331 (78%) PEx were treated with both anti-MRSA and antipseudomonal antibiotics and 658 (22%) PEx were treated with antipseudomonal antibiotics alone. Compared with PEx treated with antipseudomonal antibiotics alone, the addition of anti-MRSA antibiotics to antipseudomonal antibiotic therapy was not associated with a higher odds of returning to ≥90% or ≥100% of baseline lung function or a lower odds of future PEx requiring intravenous antibiotics. CONCLUSIONS: Children with CF co-infected with MRSA and Pa may not benefit from the addition of anti-MRSA antibiotics for PEx treatment. Prospective studies evaluating optimal antibiotic selection strategies for PEx treatment are needed to optimize clinical outcomes following PEx treatment.

Antibiotic use and outcomes among children hospitalized with suspected pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Although viral etiologies predominate, antibiotics are frequently prescribed for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the association between antibiotic use and outcomes among children hospitalized with suspected CAP. DESIGNS, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: We performed a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort of children hospitalized with suspected CAP. INTERVENTION: The exposure was the receipt of antibiotics in the emergency department (ED). MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Clinical outcomes included length of stay (LOS), care escalation, postdischarge treatment failure, 30-day ED revisit, and quality-of-life (QoL) measures from a follow-up survey 7-15 days post discharge. To minimize confounding by indication (e.g., radiographic CAP), we performed inverse probability treatment weighting with propensity analyses. RESULTS: Among 523 children, 66% were <5 years, 88% were febrile, 55% had radiographic CAP, and 55% received ED antibiotics. The median LOS was 41 h (IQR: 25, 54). After propensity analyses, there were no differences in LOS, escalated care, treatment failure, or revisits between children who received antibiotics and those who did not. Seventy-one percent of patients completed follow-up surveys after discharge. Among 16% of patients with fevers after discharge, the median fever duration was 2 days, and those who received antibiotics had a 37% decrease in the mean number of days with fever (95% confidence interval: 20% and 51%). We found no statistical differences in other QoL measures.

Variation in bacterial pneumonia diagnoses and outcomes among children hospitalized with lower respiratory tract infections.

BACKGROUND: Current diagnostics do not permit reliable differentiation of bacterial from viral causes of lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), which may lead to over-treatment with antibiotics for possible bacterial community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). OBJECTIVES: We sought to describe variation in the diagnosis and treatment of bacterial CAP among children hospitalized with LRTIs and determine the association between CAP diagnosis and outcomes. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This multicenter cross-sectional study included children hospitalized between 2017 and 2019 with LRTIs at 42 children's hospitals. MAIN OUTCOME AND METHODS: We calculated the proportion of children with LRTIs who were diagnosed with and treated for bacterial CAP. After adjusting for confounders, hospitals were grouped into high, moderate, and low CAP diagnosis groups. Multivariable regression was used to examine the association between high and low CAP diagnosis groups and outcomes. RESULTS: We identified 66,581 patients hospitalized with LRTIs and observed substantial variation across hospitals in the proportion diagnosed with and treated for bacterial CAP (median 27%, range 12%-42%). Compared with low CAP diagnosing hospitals, high diagnosing hospitals had higher rates of CAP-related revisits (0.6% [95% confidence interval: 0.5, 0.7] vs. 0.4% [0.4, 0.5], p = .04), chest radiographs (58% [53, 62] vs. 46% [41, 51], p = .02), and blood tests (43% [33, 53] vs. 26% [19, 35], p = .046). There were no significant differences in length of stay, all-cause revisits or readmissions, CAP-related readmissions, or costs. CONCLUSION: There was wide variation across hospitals in the proportion of children with LRTIs who were treated for bacterial CAP. The lack of meaningful differences in clinical outcomes among hospitals suggests that some institutions may over-diagnose and overtreat bacterial CAP.

Identifying Potentially Unnecessary Hospitalizations in Children With Pneumonia.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the outcomes of children with community acquired pneumonia (CAP) across 41 United States hospitals and evaluate factors associated with potentially unnecessary admissions. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study of patients with CAP from 41 United States pediatric hospitals and evaluated clinical outcomes using a composite ordinal severity outcome: mild-discharged (discharged from the emergency department), mild-admitted (hospitalized without other interventions), moderate (provision of intravenous fluids, supplemental oxygen, broadening of antibiotics, complicated pneumonia, and presumed sepsis) or severe (ICU, positive-pressure ventilation, vasoactive infusion, chest drainage, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, severe sepsis, or death). Our primary outcome was potentially unnecessary admissions (ie, mild-admitted). Among mild-discharged and mild-admitted patients, we constructed a generalized linear mixed model for mild-admitted severity and assessed the role of fixed (demographics and clinical testing) and random effects (institution) on this outcome. RESULTS: Of 125 180 children, 68.3% were classified as mild-discharged, 6.6% as mild-admitted, 20.6% as moderate and 4.5% as severe. Among admitted patients (n = 39 692), 8321 (21%) were in the mild-admitted group, with substantial variability in this group across hospitals (median 19.1%, interquartile range 12.8%-28.4%). In generalized linear mixed models comparing mild-admitted and mild-discharge severity groups, hospital had the greatest contribution to model variability compared to all other variables. CONCLUSIONS: One in 5 hospitalized children with CAP do not receive significant interventions. Among patients with mild disease, institutional variation is the most important contributor to predict potentially unnecessary admissions. Improved prognostic tools are needed to reduce potentially unnecessary hospitalization of children with CAP.

Factors Associated With Antibiotic Use for Children Hospitalized With Pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Antibiotics are frequently used for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), although viral etiologies predominate. We sought to determine factors associated with antibiotic use among children hospitalized with suspected CAP. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of children who presented to the emergency department (ED) and were hospitalized for suspected CAP. We estimated risk factors associated with receipt of ≥1 dose of inpatient antibiotics and a full treatment course using multivariable Poisson regression with an interaction term between chest radiograph (CXR) findings and ED antibiotic use. We performed a subgroup analysis of children with nonradiographic CAP. RESULTS: Among 477 children, 60% received inpatient antibiotics and 53% received a full course. Factors associated with inpatient antibiotics included antibiotic receipt in the ED (relative risk 4.33 [95% confidence interval, 2.63-7.13]), fever (1.66 [1.22-2.27]), and use of supplemental oxygen (1.29 [1.11-1.50]). Children with radiographic CAP and equivocal CXRs had an increased risk of inpatient antibiotics compared with those with normal CXRs, but the increased risk was modest when antibiotics were given in the ED. Factors associated with a full course were similar. Among patients with nonradiographic CAP, 29% received inpatient antibiotics, 21% received a full course, and ED antibiotics increased the risk of inpatient antibiotics. CONCLUSIONS: Inpatient antibiotic utilization was associated with ED antibiotic decisions, CXR findings, and clinical factors. Nearly one-third of children with nonradiographic CAP received antibiotics, highlighting the need to reduce likely overuse. Antibiotic decisions in the ED were strongly associated with decisions in the inpatient setting, representing a modifiable target for future interventions.

Validation of Prediction Models for Pneumonia Among Children in the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: Several prediction models have been reported to identify patients with radiographic pneumonia, but none have been validated or broadly implemented into practice. We evaluated 5 prediction models for radiographic pneumonia in children. METHODS: We evaluated 5 previously published prediction models for radiographic pneumonia (Neuman, Oostenbrink, Lynch, Mahabee-Gittens, and Lipsett) using data from a single-center prospective study of patients 3 months to 18 years with signs of lower respiratory tract infection. Our outcome was radiographic pneumonia. We compared each model's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and evaluated their diagnostic accuracy at statistically-derived cutpoints. RESULTS: Radiographic pneumonia was identified in 253 (22.2%) of 1142 patients. When using model coefficients derived from the study dataset, AUROC ranged from 0.58 (95% confidence interval, 0.52-0.64) to 0.79 (95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.82). When using coefficients derived from original study models, 2 studies demonstrated an AUROC >0.70 (Neuman and Lipsett); this increased to 3 after deriving regression coefficients from the study cohort (Neuman, Lipsett, and Oostenbrink). Two models required historical and clinical data (Neuman and Lipsett), and the third additionally required C-reactive protein (Oostenbrink). At a statistically derived cutpoint of predicted risk from each model, sensitivity ranged from 51.2% to 70.4%, specificity 49.9% to 87.5%, positive predictive value 16.1% to 54.4%, and negative predictive value 83.9% to 90.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Prediction models for radiographic pneumonia had varying performance. The 3 models with higher performance may facilitate clinical management by predicting the risk of radiographic pneumonia among children with lower respiratory tract infection.