The effect of diabetes mellitus on perioperative outcomes after colorectal resection: a national cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus is a significant modulator of postoperative outcomes and is an important risk factor in the patient selection process. We aimed to investigate the effect of diabetes mellitus and use of insulin on outcomes after colorectal resection using a national cohort. METHODS: Adults with a recorded colorectal resection in England between 2010 and 2020 were identified from Hospital Episode Statistics data linked to the Clinical Practice Research Database. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay (LOS) and readmission within 90 days. RESULTS: Of the 106 139 (52 875, 49.8% male) patients included, diabetes mellitus was prevalent in 10 931 (10.3%), 2145 (19.6%) of whom had a record of use of insulin. Unadjusted 90-day mortality risk was 5.7%, with an increased adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for people with diabetes mellitus (aHR 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.37, P<0.001). This risk was higher in both people with diabetes using insulin (aHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.31-1.74, P<0.001) and not using insulin (aHR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.33, P<0.001), compared with those without diabetes. Ninety-day readmission occurred in 20 542 (19.4%) patients and this was more likely in those with diabetes mellitus (aHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.18-1.29, P<0.001). Median (inter-quartile range) LOS was 8 (5-15) days and was higher in people with diabetes mellitus (adjusted time ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.08-1.11, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: People with diabetes mellitus undergoing colorectal resection are at a higher risk of 90-day mortality, prolonged LOS, and 90-day readmission, with use of insulin associated with additional risk.

Population infection estimation from wastewater surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 in Nagpur, India during the second pandemic wave.

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as an effective environmental surveillance tool for predicting severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) disease outbreaks in high-income countries (HICs) with centralized sewage infrastructure. However, few studies have applied WBE alongside epidemic disease modelling to estimate the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in low-resource settings. This study aimed to explore the feasibility of collecting untreated wastewater samples from rural and urban catchment areas of Nagpur district, to detect and quantify SARS-CoV-2 using real-time qPCR, to compare geographic differences in viral loads, and to integrate the wastewater data into a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Confirmed Positives-Recovered (SEIPR) model. Of the 983 wastewater samples analyzed for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, we detected significantly higher sample positivity rates, 43.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 40.1, 47.4) and 30.4% (95% CI 24.66, 36.66), and higher viral loads for the urban compared with rural samples, respectively. The Basic reproductive number, R0, positively correlated with population density and negatively correlated with humidity, a proxy for rainfall and dilution of waste in the sewers. The SEIPR model estimated the rate of unreported coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases at the start of the wave as 13.97 [95% CI (10.17, 17.0)] times that of confirmed cases, representing a material difference in cases and healthcare resource burden. Wastewater surveillance might prove to be a more reliable way to prepare for surges in COVID-19 cases during future waves for authorities.

Population-Based Study of Alcohol-Related Liver Disease in England in 2001-2018: Influence of Socioeconomic Position.

INTRODUCTION: England has seen an increase in deaths due to alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) since 2001. We studied the influence of socioeconomic position on the incidence of ALD and the mortality after ALD diagnosis in England in 2001-2018. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study based on health records contained within the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink covering primary care, secondary care, cause of death registration, and deprivation of neighborhood areas in 18.8 million residents. We estimated incidence rate and incidence rate ratios of ALD and hazard ratios of mortality. RESULTS: ALD was diagnosed in 57,784 individuals with a median age of 54 years and of whom 43% had cirrhosis. The ALD incidence rate increased by 65% between 2001 and 2018 in England to reach 56.1 per 100,000 person-years in 2018. The ALD incidence was 3-fold higher in those from the most deprived quintile vs those from the least deprived quintile (incidence rate ratio 3.30, 95% confidence interval 3.21-3.38), with reducing inequality at older than at younger ages. For 55- to 74-year-olds, there was a notable increase in the incidence rate between 2001 and 2018, from 96.1 to 158 per 100,000 person-years in the most deprived quintile and from 32.5 to 70.0 in the least deprived quintile. After ALD diagnosis, the mortality risk was higher for patients from the most deprived quintile vs those from the least deprived quintile (hazard ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.27), and this ratio did not change during 2001-2018. DISCUSSION: The increasing ALD incidence in England is a greater burden on individuals of low economic position compared with that on those of high socioeconomic position. This finding highlights ALD as a contributor to inequality in health.

Smoking is a Risk Factor for Autoimmune Hepatitis: An English Registry-Based Case-Control Study.

Purpose: Smoking is a risk factor for some autoimmune diseases, but its association with autoimmune hepatitis remains unknown. We conducted a population-based matched case-control study to examine the association between tobacco smoking and the risk of autoimmune hepatitis in England. Patients and Methods: From the Clinical Practice Research Datalink and linked Hospital Episode Statistics, 2005-2017, we included 987 cases diagnosed with autoimmune hepatitis after age 18 years and up to 10 frequency-matched population controls per case. We used multiple logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio of autoimmune hepatitis in ever-smokers vs never-smokers, adjusting for sex, age, general practice, calendar time of registration with the general practice, and socioeconomic status. Results: The autoimmune hepatitis cases were more likely to be ever-smokers than the controls (44% vs 37%). The ever-smokers had an increased risk of autoimmune hepatitis compared with the never-smokers (adjusted odds ratio = 1.20, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.39). Conclusion: Smoking was associated with an increased risk of autoimmune hepatitis.

Ethnicity and socio-economic status affects the incidence and survival of hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma.

To address the lack of contemporary population-based epidemiological studies of hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma (HSTCL), we undertook a population-based study of ICD-O-3-coded HSTCL in England. We used the National Cancer Registration Dataset and linked datasets on hospital admissions, Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy, socio-demographics, comorbidities and death, identifying cases from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2019 with survival data up to 5 January 2021. Crude and directly age-standardised incidence rates per million persons per year were calculated. Crude and adjusted incidence rate ratios compared incidence between groups using Poisson regression. A Cox proportional hazards model estimated mortality risks adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation and allogenic stem cell transplant (allo-SCT; time varying). We identified 44 patients, mean age 42 years. Median survival was 11 months, and 1 and 5 year survivals were 48% (95% CI 29%-43%) and 22% (95% CI 12%-42%) respectively. The age-standardised incidence was 0.1 per million/year. Incidence was higher in areas with greater deprivation (0.15 per million/year), and more cases than expected were in non-White patients (39%). Non-Whites had a twofold increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.21 [95% CI 1.03-4.78]) even after adjusting for deprivation, younger age and allo-SCT. In conclusion, ethnicity and socio-economic status affect both the incidence and survival of HSTCL.

Risk of alcohol-associated liver disease in the offspring of parents with alcohol-associated liver disease: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Offspring of patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) may have a higher risk of ALD. We examined their risk of ALD and survival with ALD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We used Danish nationwide registries to identify the offspring of patients diagnosed with ALD in 1996-2018 and 20:1 matched comparators from the general population. They were followed for ALD diagnosis through 2018. We used landmark competing risk analysis to estimate the age-specific absolute and relative 10-year risks of ALD. ALD was diagnosed in 385 of 60,707 offspring and 2842 of 1,213,357 comparators during 0.7 and 14.0 million person-years of follow-up, respectively, yielding an incidence rate ratio of 2.73 (95% CI: 2.44-3.03). The risk of being diagnosed with ALD within the next 10 years peaked at age 55 years for offspring and age 57 years for comparators with 10-year risks of 1.66% (95% CI: 1.16-2.30) in offspring and 0.81% (95% CI: 0.68-0.97) in comparators at these ages. Offspring were younger at ALD diagnosis than comparators (median age of 47.4 vs. 48.9 years), yet slightly more of them had developed cirrhosis (60.3% vs. 58.7%). Survival after ALD diagnosis was similar in offspring and comparators, adjusted hazard ratio=1.03 (95% CI: 0.88-1.21), so on average offspring died younger due to their younger age at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Offspring of patients with ALD had a low but increased risk of ALD. Screening offspring for chronic liver disease may be unnecessary, but other interventions to mitigate alcohol-associated harm should be considered.

Outcomes after emergency appendicectomy in patients with liver cirrhosis: a population-based cohort study from England.

INTRODUCTION: The mortality risk after appendicectomy in patients with liver cirrhosis is predicted to be higher than in the general population given the associated risk of perioperative bleeding, infections and liver decompensation. This population-based cohort study aimed to determine the 90-day mortality risk following emergency appendicectomy in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Adult patients undergoing emergency appendicectomy in England between January 2001 and December 2018 were identified from two linked primary and secondary electronic healthcare databases, the clinical practice research datalink and hospital episode statistics data. Length of stay, re-admission, case fatality and the odds ratio of 90-day mortality were calculated for patients with and without cirrhosis, adjusting for age, sex and co-morbidity using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 40,353 patients underwent appendicectomy and of these 75 (0.19%) had cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis were more likely to be older (p < 0.0001) and have comorbidities (p < 0.0001). Proportionally, more patients with cirrhosis underwent an open appendicectomy (76%) compared with 64% of those without cirrhosis (p = 0.03). The 90-day case fatality rate was 6.67% in patients with cirrhosis compared with 0.56% in patients without cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis had longer hospital length of stay (4 (IQR 3-9) days versus 3 (IQR 2-4) days and higher readmission rates at 90 days (20% vs 11%, p = 0.019). Most importantly, their odds of death at 90 days were 3 times higher than patients without cirrhosis, adjusted odds ratio 3.75 (95% CI 1.35-10.49). CONCLUSION: Patients with cirrhosis have a threefold increased odds of 90-day mortality after emergency appendicectomy compared to those without cirrhosis.

Incidence, risk factors and outcomes of checkpoint inhibitor-induced liver injury: A 10-year real-world retrospective cohort study.

Background & Aims: Checkpoint inhibitors (CPI) account for increasing numbers of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) cases. We aimed to determine the incidence rate and risk factors associated with checkpoint inhibitor-induced liver injury (ChILI). Methods: Prescription event monitoring was performed on all melanoma and renal cancer patients who received CPI at a tertiary centre between 2011 and 2021. ChILI cases were identified using the definitions, grading, and causality assessment methods validated for DILI. We assessed risk factors associated with ChILI in CPI-naive patients using multivariable logistic regression model. Consecutive patients with suspected ChILI from two other tertiary centres were adjudicated and combined for case characterisation and outcomes of ChILI. Results: Out of 432 patients who received CPI over 10 years, ChILI occurred in 38 (8.8%) with an overall incidence rate of 11.5 per 1,000 person-months (95% CI 8.2-15.8). Probability of ChILI was highest in combination therapy (32%) and no new events occurred beyond 135 days of treatment. Risk factor analysis showed that combination therapy, female sex, higher baseline alanine transferase level and lower baseline alkaline phosphatase level were independently associated with higher risk of ChILI. In total, 99 patients were adjudicated to have ChILI from three centres. Although Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events classified 20 patients (20.2%) to have 'life-threatening' grade 4 hepatitis, ChILI severity was graded as mild in 45 (45.5%) and moderate in the remaining 54 (54.5%) cases. Conclusions: The real-world risk of ChILI is higher than previously reported. Among patients receiving dual CPI, this risk falls markedly after 4.5 months. As Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events overestimates its clinical severity, case-definition, evaluation and management of ChILI should be revised to harmonise care. Impact and implications: Using prescription event monitoring over a 10-year period, the incidence rate of checkpoint inhibitor induced liver injury (ChILI) based on established case definitions for drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is 11.5 per 1,000 person-months. Formal causality assessment identified an alternative cause in 19% of patients with suspected ChILI highlighting the importance of systematic evaluation by clinicians to minimise unnecessary immunosuppression. Intensity of monitoring in patients receiving combination therapy regime after 4.5 months of therapy can be reduced as the risk of new onset ChILI beyond this point is minimal. Current Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) grading overestimates clinical severity of ChILI and hence contributes to avoidable hospitalisation.

Understanding colorectal cancer risk for symptomatic patients in primary care: A cohort study utilising faecal immunochemical tests and blood results in England.

BACKGROUND: A faecal immunochemical tests (FIT) cut-off of ≥10 µg Hb/g faeces is now recommended in the UK as a gateway to urgent (suspected cancer) investigation for colorectal cancer (CRC), based on an expected CRC risk threshold of 3%. AIMS: To quantify the risk of CRC at FIT cut-offs by age, haemoglobin and platelet strata. METHODS: A cohort study of a symptomatic CRC pathway based on primary care FIT tests in Nottingham, UK (November 2017-2021) with 1-year follow-up. Heat maps showed the cumulative 1-year CRC risk using Kaplan-Meier estimates. RESULTS: In total, 514 (1.5%) CRCs were diagnosed following 33,694 index FIT requests. Individuals with a FIT ≥ 10 µg Hb/g faeces had a >3% risk of CRC, except patients under the age of 40 years (CRC risk 1.45% [95% CI: 0.03%-2.86%]). Non-anaemic patients with a FIT < 100 µg Hb/g faeces had a CRC risk of <3%, except those between the age of 70 and 85 years (5.26% 95% CI: 2.72%-7.73%). Using a ≥3% CRC threshold in patients <55 years calculated using FIT, age and anaemia might allow 160-220 colonoscopies per 10,000 FITs to be re-purposed, at a cost of missing 1-2 CRCs. CONCLUSIONS: FIT alone with a single cut-off is unlikely to be a panacea for optimising CRC diagnosis, as risk varies by FIT, age and anaemia when faecal haemoglobin levels are below 100 µg Hb/g. Tailored FIT cut-offs for investigation on a CRC pathway could reduce the number of investigations needed at a 3% CRC risk threshold.

Respiratory rate responses to both hypercapnia and acidaemia are modified by age in patients with acidosis.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the associations between arterial pO2, pCO2 and pH and how these are modified by age. METHODS: An analysis of 2598 patients admitted with a diagnosis of Covid-19 infection to a large UK teaching hospital. RESULTS: There were inverse associations for arterial pO2, pCO2 and pH with respiratory rate. The effects of pCO2 and pH on respiratory rate were modified by age; older patients had higher respiratory rates at higher pCO2 (p = 0.004) and lower pH (p = 0.007) values. CONCLUSIONS: This suggests that ageing is associated with complex changes in the physiological feedback loops that control respiratory rate. As well as having clinical relevance, this may also impact on the use of respiratory rate in early warning scores across the age range.

Risk of Postoperative Venous Thromboembolism After Benign Colorectal Surgery: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism is a well-established preventable complication after colectomy. Specific guidance on venous thromboembolism prevention after colectomy for benign disease is limited. OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis aimed to quantify the venous thromboembolism risk after benign colorectal resection and determine its variability. DATA SOURCES: Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology Guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42021265438), Embase, MEDLINE, and 4 other registered medical literature databases were searched from the database inception to June 21, 2021. STUDY SELECTION: Inclusion criteria: randomized controlled trials and large population-based database cohort studies reporting 30-day and 90-day venous thromboembolism rates after benign colorectal resection in patients aged ≥18 years. Exclusion criteria: patients undergoing colorectal cancer or completely endoscopic surgery. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Thirty- and 90-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates per 1000 person-years after benign colorectal surgery. RESULTS: Seventeen studies were eligible for meta-analysis reporting on 250,170 patients. Pooled 30-day and 90-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates after benign colorectal resection were 284 (95% CI, 224-360) and 84 (95% CI, 33-218) per 1000 person-years. Stratified by admission type, 30-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates per 1000 person-years were 532 (95% CI, 447-664) for emergency resections and 213 (95% CI, 100-453) for elective colorectal resections. Thirty-day venous thromboembolism incidence rates per 1000 person-years after colectomy were 485 (95% CI, 411-573) for patients with ulcerative colitis, 228 (95% CI, 181-288) for patients with Crohn's disease, and 208 (95% CI, 152-288) for patients with diverticulitis. LIMITATIONS: High degree of heterogeneity was observed within most meta-analyses attributable to large cohorts minimizing within-study variance. CONCLUSIONS: Venous thromboembolism rates remain high up to 90 days after colectomy and vary by indication for surgery. Emergency resections compared to elective benign resections have higher rates of postoperative venous thromboembolism. Further studies reporting venous thromboembolism rates by type of benign disease need to stratify rates by admission type to more accurately define venous thromboembolism risk after colectomy. REGISTRATION NO: CRD42021265438.

1-year survival in haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis: a nationwide cohort study from England 2003-2018.

Haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a lethal syndrome of excessive immune activation. We undertook a nationwide study in England of all cases of HLH diagnosed between 2003 and 2018, using linked electronic health data from hospital admissions and death certification. We modelled interactions between demographics and comorbidities and estimated one-year survival by calendar year, age group, gender and comorbidity (haematological malignancy, auto-immune, other malignancy) using Cox regression. There were 1628 people with HLH identified. Overall, crude one-year survival was 50% (95% Confidence interval 48-53%) which varied substantially with age (0-4: 61%; 5-14: 76%; 15-54: 61%; > 55: 24% p < 0.01), sex (males, 46%, worse than females, 55% p < 0.01) and associated comorbidity (auto-immune, 69%, haematological malignancy 28%, any other malignancy, 37% p < 0.01). Those aged < 54 years had a threefold increased risk of death at 1-year amongst HLH associated with malignancy compared to auto-immune. However, predicted 1-year survival decreased markedly with age in those with auto-immune (age 0-14, 84%; 15-54, 73%; > 55, 27%) such that among those > 55 years, survival was as poor as for patients with haematological malignancy. One-year survival following a diagnosis of HLH varies considerably by age, gender and associated comorbidity. Survival was better in those with auto-immune diseases among the young and middle age groups compared to those with an underlying malignancy, whereas in older age groups survival was uniformly poor regardless of the underlying disease process.

Anaemia of acute inflammation: a higher acute systemic inflammatory response is associated with a larger decrease in blood haemoglobin levels in patients with COVID-19 infection.

AIMS: The study tests the hypothesis that a higher acute systemic inflammatory response was associated with a larger decrease in blood hemoglobin levels in patients with Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) infection. METHODS: All patients with either suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection admitted to a busy UK hospital from February 2020 to December 2021 provided data for analysis. The exposure of interest was maximal serum C-reactive protein (CRP) level after COVID-19 during the same admission. RESULTS: A maximal serum CRP >175mg/L was associated with a decrease in blood haemoglobin (-5.0 g/L, 95% confidence interval: -5.9 to -4.2) after adjustment for covariates, including the number of times blood was drawn for analysis.Clinically, for a 55-year-old male patient with a maximum haemoglobin of 150 g/L who was admitted for a 28-day admission, a peak CRP >175 mg/L would be associated with an 11 g/L decrease in blood haemoglobin, compared with only 6 g/L if the maximal CRP was <4 mg/L. CONCLUSIONS: A higher acute systemic inflammatory response is associated with larger decreases in blood haemoglobin levels in patients with COVID-19. This represents an example of anaemia of acute inflammation, and a potential mechanism by which severe disease can increase morbidity and mortality.

Venous thromboembolism following colectomy for diverticular disease: an English population-based cohort study.

AIM: This study reports venous thromboembolism (VTE) rates following colectomy for diverticular disease to explore the magnitude of postoperative VTE risk in this population and identify high risk subgroups of interest. METHOD: English national cohort study of colectomy patients between 2000 and 2019 using linked primary (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) and secondary (Hospital Episode Statistics) care data. Stratified by admission type, absolute incidence rates (IR) per 1000 person-years and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) were calculated for 30- and 90-day post-colectomy VTE. RESULTS: Of 24,394 patients who underwent colectomy for diverticular disease, over half (57.39%) were emergency procedures with the highest VTE rate seen in patients ≥70-years-old (IR 142.27 per 1000 person-years, 95%CI 118.32-171.08) at 30 days post colectomy. Emergency resections (IR 135.18 per 1000 person-years, 95%CI 115.72-157.91) had double the risk (aIRR 2.07, 95%CI 1.47-2.90) of developing a VTE at 30 days following colectomy compared to elective resections (IR 51.14 per 1000 person-years, 95%CI 38.30-68.27). Minimally invasive surgery (MIS) was shown to be associated with a 64% reduction in VTE risk (aIRR 0.36 95%CI 0.20-0.65) compared to open colectomies at 30 days post-op. At 90 days following emergency resections, VTE risks remained raised compared to elective colectomies. CONCLUSION: Following emergency colectomy for diverticular disease, the VTE risk is approximately double compared to elective resections at 30 days while MIS was found to be associated with a reduced risk of VTE. This suggests advancements in postoperative VTE prevention in diverticular disease patients should focus on those undergoing emergency colectomies.

Social support and risk of mortality in cirrhosis: A cohort study.

Background & Aims: The function and structure of social relationships influence mortality in individuals within the general population. We compared aspects of social relationships in individuals with cirrhosis and a matched comparison cohort and studied their association with health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and mortality in cirrhosis. Methods: Individuals with cirrhosis and comparators were identified among participants of the Danish National Health Surveys 2010-2017. The surveys included questions on functional (social support and loneliness) and structural (living alone/cohabitating and frequency of contacts with relatives and friends) aspects of social relationships and HRQoL (Short Form-12). We estimated associations of aspects of social relationships with HRQoL and all-cause mortality in individuals with cirrhosis through 2020. Results: Of 541 individuals with cirrhosis and 2,157 comparators, low social support (22% in cirrhosis vs. 13% in comparators), loneliness (35% vs. 20%), and living alone (48% vs. 22%) were more frequent in individuals with cirrhosis than comparators, whereas the frequency of contacts with relatives and friends was similar. Except for living alone, weak functional and structural social relationships were associated with lower mental HRQoL in those with cirrhosis. Physical HRQoL was only marginally associated with social relationships. During 2,795 person-years of follow-up, 269 individuals with cirrhosis died. Functional and not structural aspects of social relationships were associated with risk of mortality in cirrhosis. Specifically, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.4 (95% CI 1.1-1.9), p = 0.011, for low vs. moderate-to-high social support (functional aspect), and 1.0 (95% CI 0.8-1.3), p = 0.85 for living alone vs. cohabitating (structural aspect). Conclusions: Individuals with cirrhosis have weaker functional and structural social relationships than matched comparators. Weak functional relationships are associated with lower mental HRQoL and increased risk of mortality in individuals with cirrhosis. Impact and implications: This study investigated the prevalence of weak social relationships in individuals with cirrhosis and their influence on health-related quality of life and risk of mortality. Individuals with cirrhosis were nearly twice as likely to report low social support, loneliness, and to live alone than a matched comparison cohort. Low social support and loneliness (functional measures of social relationships) were associated with lower mental health-related quality of life and increased risk of mortality risk in cirrhosis, when adjusting for known confounders. We hope that these results will make healthcare providers aware of the functional aspects of the social relationships of individuals with cirrhosis, in addition to the traditional clinical management, and motivate further research of interventions to strengthen the social support of individuals with cirrhosis.

Inverse association between blood pressure and pulse oximetry accuracy: an observational study in patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection.

BACKGROUND: Pulse oximeters are a standard non-invasive tool to measure blood oxygen levels, and are used in multiple healthcare settings. It is important to understand the factors affecting their accuracy to be able to use them optimally and safely. This analysis aimed to explore the association of the measurement error of pulse oximeters with systolic BP, diastolic BP and heart rate (HR) within ranges of values commonly observed in clinical practice. METHODS: The study design was a retrospective observational study of all patients admitted to a large teaching hospital with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection from February 2020 to December 2021. Data on systolic and diastolic BPs and HR levels were available from the same time period as the pulse oximetry measurements. RESULTS: Data were available for 3420 patients with 5927 observations of blood oxygen saturations as measured by pulse oximetry and ABG sampling within 30 min. The difference in oxygen saturation using the paired pulse oximetry and arterial oxygen saturation difference measurements was inversely associated with systolic BP, increasing by 0.02% with each mm Hg decrease in systolic BP (95% CI 0.00% to 0.03%) over a range of 80-180 mm Hg. Inverse associations were also observed between the error for oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry and with both diastolic BP (+0.03%; 95% CI 0.00% to 0.05%) and HR (+0.04%; 95% CI 0.02% to 0.06% for each unit decrease in the HR). CONCLUSIONS: Care needs to be taken in interpreting pulse oximetry measurements in patients with lower systolic and diastolic BPs, and HRs, as oxygen saturation is overestimated as BP and HR decrease. Confirmation of the oxygen saturation with an ABG may be appropriate in some clinical scenarios.

Risk of liver fibrosis associated with long-term methotrexate therapy may be overestimated.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk of significant liver fibrosis from prolonged methotrexate (MTX) exposure has been estimated at around 5%, prompting intensive monitoring strategies. However, the evidence is derived from retrospective studies that under-reported risk factors for liver disease. We evaluated the risk of long-term MTX therapy on liver fibrosis in a longitudinal cohort study using two non-invasive markers. METHOD: Between 2014-2021, adult patients diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) or psoriasis for ≥2 years were recruited prospectively from six UK sites. The MTX group included patients who received MTX for ≥6 months, whereas the unexposed group included those who never received MTX. All patients underwent full liver profiling, with transient elastography (TE) and enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) marker measurements. RESULTS: A total of 999 patients (mean age 60.8 ± 12 years, 62.3% females) were included. Of 976 with valid TE values, 149 (15.3%) had liver stiffness ≥7.9 kPa. Of 892 with a valid ELF, 262 (29.4%) had ELF ≥9.8. Age and BMI were independently associated with elevated liver stiffness and ELF. Neither MTX cumulative dose nor duration was associated with elevated liver stiffness. Diabetes was the most significant risk factor associated with liver stiffness ≥7.9 kPa (adjusted odds ratio = 3.19; 95% CI 1.95-5.20; p <0.001). Regular use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs showed the strongest association with ELF ≥9.8 (odds ratio = 1.76; 95% CI 1.20-2.56; p = 0.003), suggesting the degree of joint inflammation in RA may confound ELF as a non-invasive marker of liver fibrosis. CONCLUSION: The risk of liver fibrosis attributed to MTX itself might have been previously overestimated; there is a need to consider modifying current monitoring guidelines for MTX. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Current guidelines recommend intensive (2-3 monthly) monitoring strategies for patients on long-term methotrexate therapy due to the potential risk of liver fibrosis. Evaluation of the association using two validated non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis, liver stiffness and enhanced liver fibrosis score, in a large cohort of patients with rheumatoid arthritis or psoriasis shows that the reported risk has previously been overestimated. The clinical focus should be to improve patients' metabolic risk factors, diabetes and BMI, that are independently associated with liver stiffness. There is a need to consider modifying current treatment monitoring guidelines for methotrexate.