RESUMO
This study aims to investigate the influence of overweight/obesity and change in weight or body mass index (BMI) on incident fractures among Chinese postmenopausal women. According to BMI, 754 postmenopausal women were categorized into normal weight (NW), overweight (OW), and obesity (OB) groups, respectively. We used data from the baseline and the second survey for statistical analysis, including anthropometric data, clinical fractures, and morphometric vertebral fractures (MVFs) assessed by X-rays. The prevalence of previous MVFs was 32.7% and 21.8% in the OB and NW groups, respectively (p < 0.05). All incident fractures and incident MVFs accounted for 10.7 and 6.3% among all participants within five years. Overweight/obesity and increase in weight or BMI during the follow-up had no associations with all incident fractures, incident MVFs, and incident clinical non-VFs among all participants. However, after multivariate adjustment, the increased BMI at baseline was the risk factor of incident MVFs in the OW group (odds ratio, OR 2.06, 95% confidence interval, 95% CI 1.16-3.66, p = 0.014), and increase in weight (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.79-0.99, p = 0.036) or BMI (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.59-0.99, p = 0.045) during the follow-up were the protective factors of all incident fractures in the NW group. Overweight/obesity and change in weight or BMI do not correlate with fracture risk in postmenopausal women, but an increase in weight is the protective factor against incident fractures in normal-weight participants. Overweight postmenopausal women with a higher BMI should pay attention to the risk of MVFs.