Bariatric Surgery and Risk of Death in Persons With Chronic Kidney Disease.

OBJECTIVE: A retrospective cohort study investigated the association between having surgery and risk of mortality for up to 5 years and if this association was modified by incident ESRD during the follow-up period. Summary of Background Data: Mortality risk in individuals with pre-dialysis CKD is high and few effective treatment options are available. Whether bariatric surgery can improve survival in people with CKD is unclear. METHODS: Patients with class II and III obesity and pre-dialysis CKD stages 3-5 who underwent bariatric surgery between January 1, 2006 and September 30, 2015 (n = 802) were matched to patients who did not have surgery (n = 4933). Mortality was obtained from state death records and ESRD was identified through state-based or healthcare system-based registries. Cox regression models were used to investigate the association between bariatric surgery and risk of mortality and if this was moderated by incident ESRD during the follow-up period. RESULTS: Patients were primarily women (79%), non-Hispanic White (72%), under 65 years old (64%), who had a body mass index > 40kg/m 2 (59%), diabetes (67%), and hypertension (89%). After adjusting for incident ESRD, bariatric surgery was associated with a 79% lower 5-year risk of mortality compared to matched controls (hazard ratio = 0.21; 95% confidence interval: 0.14-0.32; P < 0.001). Incident ESRD did not moderate the observed association between surgery and mortality (hazard ratio = 1.59; 95% confidence interval: 0.31-8.23; P =0.58). CONCLUSIONS: Bariatric surgery is associated with a reduction in mortality in pre-dialysis patients regardless of developing ESRD. These findings are significant because patients with CKD are at relatively high risk for death with few efficacious interventions available to improve survival.

A population health approach to insomnia using internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To determine if a population health approach to insomnia using internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia (ICBT-I) affects dispensed medications and provider encounters compared with usual care. METHODS: A pragmatic hybrid study design was used to evaluate both the implementation strategy and the long-term effects of ICBT-I on health care utilization in an integrated health system. Adult members with insomnia (a diagnosis or insomnia medication dispensation) or at high risk of insomnia (a diagnosis of depression or anxiety) were randomized to receive information on either an ICBT-I program (intervention arm) or in-person classes on insomnia (usual-care arm). Outcomes included dispensed insomnia medications and provider encounters over 12 months. The effectiveness of our implementation of ICBT-I on the target population was determined by an intention-to-treat analysis and by regression models comparing those who engaged in ICBT-I with matched usual-care arm controls. RESULTS: A total of 136,630 participants were randomized. Six hundred thirty-eight (0.96%) accessed the ICBT-I program while 431 (0.66%) attended 1 or more usual-care insomnia classes. Dispensed insomnia medications and provider encounters were no different in the ICBT-I arm vs the usual-care arm (intention-to-treat) or among those who engaged in ICBT-I vs matched usual-care arm controls. CONCLUSIONS: Since ICBT-I program engagement was low, additional strategies to improve engagement should be explored. ICBT-I did not result in a reduction in several measures of health care utilization; nevertheless, it offers an alternative and accessible approach to managing population insomnia. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; Name: Trial of Internet-Based Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Insomnia in Patients Prescribed Insomnia Medications; URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03313466; Identifier: NCT03313466. CITATION: Derose SF, Rozema E, Chen A, Shen E, Hwang D, Manthena P. A population health approach to insomnia using internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia. J Clin Sleep Med. 2021;17(8):1675-1684.

Multisite validation of a simple electronic health record algorithm for identifying diagnosed obstructive sleep apnea.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: We examined the performance of a simple algorithm to accurately distinguish cases of diagnosed obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and noncases using the electronic health record (EHR) across six health systems in the United States. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of EHR data was performed. The algorithm defined cases as individuals with ≥ 2 instances of specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 and/or ICD-10 diagnostic codes (327.20, 327.23, 327.29, 780.51, 780.53, 780.57, G4730, G4733 and G4739) related to sleep apnea on separate dates in their EHR. Noncases were defined by the absence of these codes. Using chart reviews on 120 cases and 100 noncases at each site (n = 1,320 total), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated. RESULTS: The algorithm showed excellent performance across sites, with a PPV (95% confidence interval) of 97.1 (95.6, 98.2) and NPV of 95.5 (93.5, 97.0). Similar performance was seen at each site, with all NPV and PPV estimates ≥ 90% apart from a somewhat lower PPV of 87.5 (80.2, 92.8) at one site. A modified algorithm of ≥ 3 instances improved PPV to 94.9 (88.5, 98.3) at this site, but excluded an additional 18.3% of cases. Thus, performance may be further improved by requiring additional codes, but this reduces the number of determinate cases. CONCLUSIONS: A simple EHR-based case-identification algorithm for diagnosed OSA showed excellent predictive characteristics in a multisite sample from the United States. Future analyses should be performed to understand the effect of undiagnosed disease in EHR-defined noncases. This algorithm has wide-ranging applications for EHR-based OSA research.

Potential Effects Of Eliminating The Individual Mandate Penalty In California.

The tax penalty for noncompliance with the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate is to be eliminated starting in 2019. We investigated the potential impact of this change on enrollees' decisions to purchase insurance and on individual-market premiums. In a survey of enrollees in the individual market in California in 2017, 19 percent reported that they would not have purchased insurance had there been no penalty. We estimated that premiums would increase by 4-7 percent if these enrollees were not in the risk pool. The percentages of enrollees who would forgo insurance were higher among those with lower income and education, Hispanics, and those who had been uninsured in the prior year, relative to the comparison groups. Compared to older enrollees and those with two or more chronic conditions, respectively, younger enrollees and those with no chronic conditions were also more likely to say that they would not have purchased insurance. Eliminating the mandate penalty alone is unlikely to destabilize the California individual market but could erode coverage gains, especially among groups whose members have historically been less likely to be insured.

Kidney Function Decline in Patients with CKD and Untreated Hepatitis C Infection.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Studies evaluating the role of hepatitis C viral (HCV) infection on the progression of CKD are few and conflicting. Therefore, we evaluated the association of untreated HCV on kidney function decline in patients with stage 3-5 CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: This retrospective cohort study included members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California and Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States aged ≥18 years, with incident HCV and CKD diagnoses from January 1, 2004 to December 31, 2014. We used generalized estimating equations to compare the rate of change in eGFR between those with HCV and CKD versus CKD alone, adjusting for covariates. Cox proportional hazards models compared the risk of 25% decrease in eGFR and ESKD (defined as progression to eGFR<15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 on two or more occasions, at least 90 days apart) in those with HCV and CKD versus CKD alone, adjusting for covariates. RESULTS: We identified 151,974 patients with CKD only and 1603 patients with HCV and CKD who met the study criteria. The adjusted annual decline of eGFR among patients with HCV and CKD was greater by 0.58 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.31 to 0.84) ml/min per 1.73 m2, compared with that in the CKD-only population (HCV and CKD, -1.61; 95% CI, -1.87 to -1.35 ml/min; CKD only, -1.04; 95% CI, -1.06 to -1.01 ml/min). Adjusted for covariates, the hazard for a 25% decline in eGFR and for ESKD were 1.87 (95% CI, 1.75 to 2.00) and 1.93 (95% CI, 1.64 to 2.27) times higher among those with HCV and CKD, respectively, compared with those with CKD only. CONCLUSIONS: Untreated HCV infection was associated with greater kidney function decline in patients with stage 3-5 CKD.

Evaluation of Clinical Tools to Screen and Assess for Obstructive Sleep Apnea.

ABSTRACT: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a globally recognized medical condition, associated with development of long-term adverse health consequences, including cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, neurocognitive deficiencies, and vehicular and occupational accidents. OSA can be screened effectively, because it can be identified well before the manifestation of the aforementioned poor health and public safety consequences. Additionally, appropriate management of OSA includes an assessment of outcomes before and after therapeutic intervention initiation. OSA clinical screening and outcome assessment tools exist; however, a key existing knowledge gap is identifying which tools are most clinically relevant and efficient to use in clinical practice models. The American Academy of Sleep Medicine (AASM) commissioned a task force (TF) of sleep medicine experts to identify and evaluate current OSA screening and assessment tools for adult patients and determine if they are reliable, effective, and feasible for use in clinical settings. No single tool met all the TF's objective criteria and subjective evaluation for clinical validity and feasibility to be recommended by the AASM. The TF provides several suggestions for the development of new tools or modifications to existing tools that would enhance their functionality in adults.

Does Providing Positive Airway Pressure for Sleep Apnea Change Health Care Utilization?

BACKGROUND: Sleep apnea is underdiagnosed and thus undertreated. If therapy for sleep apnea results in reduced health care utilization in an entire treated population, then decision-makers will have key information for allocating limited health care resources. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether positive airway pressure (PAP) for sleep apnea was associated with reduced health care utilization in an entire treated population. RESEARCH DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort; propensity score-matched cases and noncases; pre-post analyses of individual subject utilization. SUBJECTS: Electronic health records were used to identify adult subjects diagnosed with sleep apnea and dispensed PAP therapy (cases) and those without either diagnosed sleep apnea or dispensed PAP therapy (noncases). MEASURES: Acute care hospital days and dispensed medication days supply were compared in cases and noncases. Negative binomial regression was used to model utilization for up to 5 years before and 7 years after PAP dispensation (cases) or a random date (noncases). The association of PAP with changing annual utilization was estimated. RESULTS: There were 13,271 cases and 13,271 matched noncases from 2008 to 2012 for analyses. Trends in the annual rate of acute care utilization were no different between cases and noncases (rate ratio, 0.98, P=0.543). Trends in the annual rate of medication utilization were no different between cases and noncases (rate ratio, 1.008, P=0.112). CONCLUSIONS: PAP dispensation for sleep apnea did not appear to reduce the rate of acute care and medication utilization over several years of follow-up in a large integrated health care system.

Adverse Selection into and within the Individual Health Insurance Market in California in 2014.

OBJECTIVE: The Affordable Care Act (ACA) introduced reforms to mitigate adverse selection into and within the individual insurance market. We examined the traits and predicted medical spending of enrollees in California post-ACA. DATA SOURCES: Survey of 2,103 enrollees in individual market plans, on- and off-exchange, in 2014. STUDY DESIGN: We compared actual versus potential participants using data from the 2014 California Health Interview Survey on respondents who were individually insured or uninsured. We predicted annual medical spending for each group using age, sex, self-rated health, body mass index, smoking status, and income. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Average predicted spending was similar for actual ($3,377, 95 percent CI [$3,280-$3,474]) and potential participants ($3,257 [$3,060-$3,454]); however, some vulnerable subgroups were underrepresented. On- versus off-exchange enrollees differed in sociodemographic and health traits with modest differences in spending ($3,448 [$3,330-$3,565] vs. $3,175 [$3,012-$3,338]). CONCLUSIONS: We did not find evidence of selection into the overall insurance pool in 2014; however, differences by exchange status reflect the importance of including off-exchange enrollees in analyses and the pool for risk adjustment. California's post-ACA individual market has been a relative success, highlighting the importance of state policies and outreach efforts to encourage participation in the market.

Effect of Telemedicine Education and Telemonitoring on Continuous Positive Airway Pressure Adherence. The Tele-OSA Randomized Trial.

RATIONALE: Automated telemedicine interventions could potentially improve adherence to continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) therapy. OBJECTIVES: Examining the effects of telemedicine-delivered obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) education and CPAP telemonitoring with automated patient feedback messaging on CPAP adherence. METHODS: This four-arm, randomized, factorial design clinical trial enrolled 1,455 patients (51.0% women; age, 49.1 ± 12.5 yr [mean ± SD]) referred for suspected OSA. Nine hundred and fifty-six underwent home sleep apnea testing, and 556 were prescribed CPAP. Two telemedicine interventions were implemented: 1) web-based OSA education (Tel-Ed) and 2) CPAP telemonitoring with automated patient feedback (Tel-TM). Patients were randomized to 1) usual care, 2) Tel-Ed added, 3) Tel-TM added, or 4) Tel-Ed and Tel-TM added (Tel-both). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary endpoint was 90-day CPAP usage. Secondary endpoints included attendance to OSA evaluation, and change in Epworth Sleepiness Scale score. CPAP average daily use at 90 days was 3.8 ± 2.5, 4.0 ± 2.4, 4.4 ± 2.2, and 4.8 ± 2.3 hours in usual care, Tel-Ed, Tel-TM, and Tel-both groups. Usage was significantly higher in the Tel-TM and Tel-both groups versus usual care (P = 0.0002 for both) but not for Tel-Ed (P = 0.10). Medicare adherence rates were 53.5, 61.0, 65.6, and 73.2% in usual care, Tel-Ed, Tel-TM, and Tel-both groups (Tel-both vs. usual care, P = 0.001; Tel-TM vs. usual care, P = 0.003; Tel-Ed vs. usual care, P = 0.07), respectively. Telemedicine education improved clinic attendance compared with no telemedicine education (show rate, 68.5 vs. 62.7%; P = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The use of CPAP telemonitoring with automated feedback messaging improved 90-day adherence in patients with OSA. Telemedicine-based education did not significantly improve CPAP adherence but did increase clinic attendance for OSA evaluation. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02279901).

Sleep Apnea and Kidney Function Trajectory: Results From a 20-Year Longitudinal Study of Healthy Middle-Aged Adults.

Study Objectives: To determine whether sleep apnea, defined by polysomnography, accelerates kidney function decline in generally healthy adults not selected for sleep apnea or kidney disease. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 855 participants from the Wisconsin Sleep Cohort Study, a large 20-year population-based study of sleep apnea, who had at least one polysomnogram and serial measurements of serum creatinine over time. Sleep apnea was defined as an apnea-hypopnea index ≥ 15 or positive airway pressure (PAP) use at baseline. We compared the slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) change and odds of rapid eGFR decline (>2.2 mL/minute/1.73 m2/year) for those with and without sleep apnea. Results: The mean follow-up was 13.9 ± 3.4 years. The cohort was 50.4 ± 7.6 years, 55% male, and 97% white. The mean eGFR was 89.3 ± 13.8 mL/minute/1.73 m2 and 11% had sleep apnea. Overall, the mean eGFR change was -0.88 ± 1.12 mL/minute/1.73 m2/year. Compared with those without sleep apnea, participants with sleep apnea had a 0.2 mL/minute/1.73 m2/year slower eGFR decline though this was not statistically significant (95% CI [-0.06-0.45], p = .134). When we excluded those on PAP therapy (n = 17), eGFR decline was even slower among those with sleep apnea (0.36 mL/minute/1.73 m2/year slower, 95% CI [0.08-063], p = .012). Those with sleep apnea had lower odds of rapid eGFR decline but this was not statistically significant, even after excluding PAP users. Conclusion: Among healthy middle-aged adults, the presence of sleep apnea at baseline did not accelerate kidney function decline compared with those without sleep apnea over time.

Emergency Department Vital Signs and Outcomes After Discharge.

OBJECTIVE: Vital signs are critical markers of illness severity in the emergency department (ED). Providers need to understand the abnormal vital signs in older adults that are problematic. We hypothesized that in patients age > 65 years discharged from the ED, there are abnormal vital signs that are associated with an admission to an inpatient bed within 7 days of discharge. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from a regional integrated health system of members age > 65 years during the years 2009 to 2010. We used univariate contingency tables to assess the relationship between hospital admission within 7 days of discharge and vital sign (including systolic blood pressure [sBP], heart rate [HR], body temperature, and pulse oximetry [SpO2 ] values measured closest to discharge) using standard thresholds for abnormal and thresholds derived from the study data. RESULTS: Of 104,025 ED discharges, 4,638 (4.5%) were followed by inpatient admission within 7 days. Vital signs had a greater odds of admission beyond a single cutoff. The vital signs with at least twice the odds of admission were sBP < 97 mm Hg (odds ratio [OR] = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.57-2.60), HR > 101 beats/min (OR = 2.00 95% CI = 1.75-2.29), body temperature > 37.3°C (OR = 2.14, 95% CI = 1.90-2.41), and pulse oximetry < 92 SpO2 (OR = 2.04, 95% CI = 1.55-2.68). Patients with two vital sign abnormalities per the analysis had the highest odds of admission. A majority of patients discharged with abnormal vital signs per the analysis were not admitted within 7 days of ED discharge. CONCLUSION: While we found a majority of patients discharged with abnormal vital signs as defined by the analysis, not to be admitted after discharge, we identified vital signs associated with at least twice the odds of admission.

Nearly One-Third Of Enrollees In California's Individual Market Missed Opportunities To Receive Financial Assistance.

The Affordable Care Act includes financial assistance that reduces both premiums and cost-sharing amounts for lower-income Americans, to increase the affordability of health insurance coverage and care. To receive both types of assistance, enrollees must purchase a qualified health plan through a public insurance exchange, and those eligible for the cost-sharing reduction must purchase a silver-tier plan. We estimate that 31 percent of individual-market enrollees in California who were likely eligible for financial assistance purchased plans that were not silver tier or that were not sold on the state's exchange and thus missed opportunities to receive premium or cost-sharing assistance or both. Lower-income enrollees who chose plans not eligible for subsidies had two to three times higher odds of reporting difficulty paying premiums and out-of-pocket expenses during the year, compared to those who chose eligible plans. Regardless of how the structure of the individual market evolves in the coming years, efforts are likely needed to steer lower-income enrollees away from financially suboptimal plan choices.

Estimated GFR Before and After Bariatric Surgery in CKD.

BACKGROUND: Several reviews have recently detailed the beneficial effects of weight loss surgery for kidney function. However, these studies have a number of limitations, including small sample size, few done in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3 and 4, and many not including the main bariatric surgery procedures used in the United States today. STUDY DESIGN: This was an observational retrospective cohort study comparing propensity score-matched bariatric surgery patients and nonsurgery control patients who were referred for, but did not have, surgery. Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) and sleeve gastrectomy were also compared using propensity matching. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients (714 surgery patients; 714 controls) were from a large integrated health care system, a mean of 58±8 (SD) years old, and mostly women (77%) and non-Hispanic whites (56%) and had diabetes mellitus (66%) and/or hypertension (91%). PREDICTOR: Predictors at the time of surgery or referral to surgery were age, sex, race/ethnicity, weight, and presence of diabetes and/or hypertension. OUTCOMES: The primary outcome for this study was change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from serum creatinine level over a median 3-year follow-up period. MEASUREMENTS: Serum creatinine was used to calculate eGFR using the CKD-EPI (CKD Epidemiology Collaboration) creatinine equation. RESULTS: Surgery patients had 9.84 (95% CI, 8.05-11.62) mL/min/1.73m2 greater eGFRs than controls at a median 3 years' follow-up and RYGB patients had 6.60 (95% CI, 3.42-9.78) mL/min/1.73m2 greater eGFRs than sleeve gastrectomy patients during the same period. LIMITATIONS: This study is limited by its nonrandomized observational study design, estimation of GFR, and large changes in muscle mass, which may affect serum creatinine level independent of changes in kidney function. CONCLUSIONS: Bariatric surgery, especially the RYGB procedure, results in significant improvements for up to 3 years in eGFRs for patients with CKD stages 3 and 4.

Comparisons of sleep apnoea rate and outcomes among patients with resistant and non-resistant hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We directly compared sleep apnoea (SA) rates and risk of cardiovascular and mortality outcomes among SA patients with resistant hypertension (RH) and non-RH within a large diverse hypertension population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2010 among hypertensive adults (age ≥ 18 years) was performed within an integrated health system. Rates of SA in RH and non-RH were determined. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to calculate OR for SA. Cox proportional hazard modelling was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for cardiovascular and mortality outcomes between SA in RH versus SA in non-RH adjusting for age, gender, race, BMI, chronic kidney disease and other comorbidities. RESULTS: SA was identified in 33 682 (7.2%) from 470 386 hypertensive individuals. SA in RH accounted for 5806 (9.6%) compared to SA in non-RH 27 876 individuals (6.8%). Multivariable OR (95% CI) for SA was 1.16 (1.12, 1.19), 3.57 (3.47, 3.66) and 2.20 (2.15, 2.25) for RH versus non-RH, BMI ≥ 30, and males, respectively. Compared to SA in non-RH individuals, SA in RH had a multivariable adjusted HR (95% CI) of 1.24 (1.13, 1.36), 1.43 (1.28, 1.61), 0.98 (0.85, 1.12) and 1.04 (0.95, 1.14) for ischaemic heart event (IHE), congestive heart failure (CHF), stroke and mortality, respectively. CONCLUSION: We observed a modest increase in likelihood for SA among RH compared to non-RH patients. Risks for IHE and CHF were higher for SA in RH compared to SA in non-RH patients; however, there were no differences in risk for stroke and mortality.

Potential of risk-based population guidelines to reduce cardiovascular risk in a large integrated health system.

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated an alternative way to implement guidelines using an automated risk calculator and risk-based decision tool to calculate patients' risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and recommend therapies. We compared such an approach with traditional guidelines. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study of 1,506,109 Kaiser Permanente Southern California members 35 years or older. METHODS: We estimated 3-year risks of fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction and stroke using an independently developed risk calculator, then graphically compared risks with observed outcomes. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve to assess discrimination, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic to test fit. We compared the characteristics and outcomes of populations identified for medication therapy by the risk-based decision tool and traditional guidelines using bivariate statistics. RESULTS: A risk score was obtained in 72% (1,082,158) of members. The risk calculator was fairly good in discrimination: the area under the curve was 0.774 (95% CI, 0.770-0.779) for myocardial infarction and 0.805 (95% CI, 0.801-0.808) for stroke. Predictiveness and fit was good based on graphical analysis and Hosmer-Lemeshow P < .0001. The risk-based decision tool identified high-risk patients for treatment who were not identified by traditional guidelines (3.80% of all those identified for statins, 3.04% for antihypertensives), as well as low-risk patients who were identified by guidelines (3.80% for statins, 2.51% for antihypertensives). CONCLUSIONS: The risk calculator provided risk estimates in most patients and demonstrated fairly good discrimination and predictiveness. The risk-based decision tool identified high-risk patients for treatment not identified by traditional guidelines, as well as low-risk patients for whom treatment may be unnecessary.

Association of Serum Lipids and Coronary Heart Disease in Contemporary Observational Studies.

BACKGROUND: The use of statins increased among US adults with high coronary heart disease (CHD) risk after publication of the 2001 cholesterol treatment guidelines. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the association between lipids and CHD among 9578 REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study participants and 346,595 Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) members with baseline lipid measurements in 2003 to 2007. We performed the same analyses among 14,590 Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study participants with lipid measurements in 1987 to 1989. Analyses were restricted to blacks and whites 45 to 64 years of age without CHD who were not taking statins at baseline. Total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides were measured at baseline. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and ratios of total to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol were calculated. The prevalence of diabetes mellitus, history of stroke, and antihypertensive medication use increased at higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in ARIC but not in REGARDS or KPSC. Over 8.9 years of follow-up, 225 CHD events occurred in REGARDS, 6547 events in KPSC, and 583 events in ARIC. After multivariable adjustment, less favorable lipid levels were associated with higher hazard ratios for CHD in ARIC. These associations were attenuated in REGARDS and KPSC. For example, the hazard ratio associated with the highest versus lowest quartile of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (≥ 146 versus ≤ 102 mg/dL) was 1.89 (95% confidence interval, 1.42-2.51) in ARIC, 1.25 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.92) in REGARDS, and 1.49 (95% confidence interval, 1.38-1.61) in KPSC. CONCLUSION: The association between lipids and CHD in contemporary studies may be attenuated by the preferential use of statins by high-risk individuals.

Emergency Department Crowding and Outcomes After Emergency Department Discharge.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We assess whether a panel of emergency department (ED) crowding measures, including 2 reported by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), is associated with inpatient admission and death within 7 days of ED discharge. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of ED discharges, using data from an integrated health system for 2008 to 2010. We assessed patient transit-level (n=3) and ED system-level (n=6) measures of crowding, using multivariable logistic regression models. The outcome measures were inpatient admission or death within 7 days of ED discharge. We defined a clinically important association by assessing the relative risk ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) difference and also compared risks at the 99th percentile and median value of each measure. RESULTS: The study cohort contained a total of 625,096 visits to 12 EDs. There were 16,957 (2.7%) admissions and 328 (0.05%) deaths within 7 days. Only 2 measures, both of which were patient transit measures, were associated with the outcome. Compared with a median evaluation time of 2.2 hours, the evaluation time of 10.8 hours (99th percentile) was associated with a relative risk of 3.9 (95% CI 3.7 to 4.1) of an admission. Compared with a median ED length of stay (a CMS measure) of 2.8 hours, the 99th percentile ED length of stay of 11.6 hours was associated with a relative risk of 3.5 (95% CI 3.3 to 3.7) of admission. No system measure of ED crowding was associated with outcomes. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that ED length of stay is a proxy for unmeasured differences in case mix and challenge the validity of the CMS metric as a safety measure for discharged patients.

Emergency department crowding predicts admission length-of-stay but not mortality in a large health system.

BACKGROUND: Emergency department (ED) crowding has been identified as a major threat to public health. OBJECTIVES: We assessed patient transit times and ED system crowding measures based on their associations with outcomes. RESEARCH DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SUBJECTS: We accessed electronic health record data on 136,740 adults with a visit to any of 13 health system EDs from January 2008 to December 2010. MEASURES: Patient transit times (waiting, evaluation and treatment, boarding) and ED system crowding [nonindex patient length-of-stay (LOS) and boarding, bed occupancy] were determined. Outcomes included individual inpatient mortality and admission LOS. Covariates included demographic characteristics, past comorbidities, severity of illness, arrival time, and admission diagnoses. RESULTS: No patient transit time or ED system crowding measure predicted increased mortality after control for patient characteristics. Index patient boarding time and lower bed occupancy were associated with admission LOS (based on nonoverlapping 95% CI vs. the median value). As boarding time increased from none to 14 hours, admission LOS increased an additional 6 hours. As mean occupancy decreased below the median (80% occupancy), admission LOS decreased as much as 9 hours. CONCLUSIONS: Measures indicating crowded ED conditions were not predictive of mortality after case-mix adjustment. The first half-day of boarding added to admission LOS rather than substituted for it. Our findings support the use of boarding time as a measure of ED crowding based on robust prediction of admission LOS. Interpretation of measures based on other patient ED transit times may be limited to the timeliness of care.