Longitudinal NT-proBNP: Associations With Echocardiographic Changes and Outcomes in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: The relationship of serial NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) measurements with changes in cardiac features and outcomes in heart failure (HF) remains incompletely understood. We determined whether common clinical covariates impact these relationships. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 2 nationwide observational populations with HF, the relationship of serial NT-proBNP measurements with serial echocardiographic parameters and outcomes was analyzed, further stratified by HF with reduced versus preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, inpatient versus outpatient enrollment, age, obesity, chronic kidney disease, atrial fibrillation, and attainment of ≥50% guideline-recommended doses of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors and ß-blockers. Among 1911 patients (mean±SD age, 65.1±13.4 years; 26.6% women; 62% inpatient and 38% outpatient), NT-proBNP declined overall, with more rapid declines among inpatients, those with obesity, those with atrial fibrillation, and those attaining ≥50% guideline-recommended doses. Each doubling of NT-proBNP was associated with increases in left ventricular volume (by 6.1 mL), E/e' (transmitral to mitral annular early diastolic velocity ratio) (by 1.4 points), left atrial volume (by 3.6 mL), and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (by -2.1%). The effect sizes of these associations were lower among patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction, atrial fibrillation, or advanced age (Pinteraction<0.001). A landmark analysis identified that an SD increase in NT-proBNP over 6 months was associated with a 27% increase in the risk of the composite event of HF hospitalization or all-cause death between 6 months and 2 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.15-1.40]; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The relationships between NT-proBNP and structural/functional remodeling differed by age, presence of atrial fibrillation, and HF phenotypes. The association of increased NT-proBNP with increased risk of adverse outcomes was consistent in all subgroups.

2023 position statement on improving management for patients with heart failure in Aotearoa New Zealand.

Heart failure affects 1-3% of the population and remains a major public health problem, with high rates of hospitalisation and mortality. Health inequities in the incidence of heart failure have widened over the last 13 years in Aotearoa New Zealand. Urgent action is required to address the inequitable burden of heart failure among Maori and Pasifika. Regional and international heart failure guidelines now provide clear and consistent guidance on the contemporary approach to management for patients with heart failure. The purpose of this position statement is to ensure that all people in Aotearoa New Zealand have access to optimal healthcare delivery and pharmacotherapy for contemporary management of heart failure. Three main areas are addressed, including: 1) access to evidence-based pharmacotherapy for patients with heart failure, 2) the importance of early initiation and titration of pharmacotherapy, and 3) the workforce required to ensure timely delivery of heart failure therapies. Implementation of evidence-based healthcare will ensure all patients with heart failure in Aotearoa New Zealand have opportunity for substantial improvement in health.

Sex differences in outcomes after acute coronary syndrome vary with age: a New Zealand national study.

AIMS: This study investigated age-specific sex differences in short- and long-term clinical outcomes following hospitalization for a first-time acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in New Zealand (NZ). METHODS AND RESULTS: Using linked national health datasets, people admitted to hospital for a first-time ACS between January 2010 and December 2016 were included. Analyses were stratified by sex and 10-year age groups. Logistic and Cox regression were used to assess in-hospital death and from discharge the primary outcome of time to first cardiovascular (CV) readmission or death and other secondary outcomes at 30 days and 2 years. Among 63 245 people (mean age 69 years, 40% women), women were older than men at the time of the ACS admission (mean age 73 vs. 66 years), with a higher comorbidity burden. Overall compared with men, women experienced higher rates of unadjusted in-hospital death (10% vs. 7%), 30-day (16% vs. 12%) and 2-year (44% vs. 34%) death, or CV readmission (all P < 0.001). Age group-specific analyses showed sex differences in outcomes varied with age, with younger women (<65 years) at higher risk than men and older women (≥85 years) at lower risk than men: unadjusted hazard ratio of 2-year death or CV readmission for women aged 18-44 years = 1.51 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-1.84] and aged ≥85 years = 0.88 (95% CI 0.83-0.93). The increased risk for younger women was no longer significant after multivariable adjustment whereas the increased risk for older men remained. CONCLUSION: Men and women admitted with first-time ACS have differing age and comorbidity profiles, resulting in contrasting age-specific sex differences in the risk of adverse outcomes between the youngest and oldest age groups.

Call to action-the urgent need for a heart health plan in New Zealand.

Cardiovascular diseases are responsible for almost 10,000 deaths annually in Aotearoa New Zealand. Almost a quarter of these are avoidable, increasing to half of all cardiovascular deaths for Maori and Pacific people. Health system reforms are an opportunity to set clear ambitious goals for improved heart health. This has been done for smoking, a cancer plan, mental health and diabetes among other health conditions. Given the scale of avoidable heart disease and avoidable heart health inequity, much of it due to people simply not accessing existing treatment options, there is no excuse not to deliver a national heart health action plan and we urge health policy makers to put it on the agenda.

Paired risk scores to predict ischaemic and bleeding risk twenty-eight days to one year after an acute coronary syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: The recommended duration of dual anti-platelet therapy (DAPT) following acute coronary syndrome (ACS) varies from 1 month to 1 year depending on the balance of risks of ischaemia and major bleeding. We designed paired ischaemic and major bleeding risk scores to inform this decision. METHODS: New Zealand (NZ) patients with ACS investigated with coronary angiography are recorded in the All NZ ACS Quality Improvement registry and linked to national health datasets. Patients were aged 18-84 years (2012-2020), event free at 28 days postdischarge and without atrial fibrillation. Two 28-day to 1-year postdischarge multivariable risk prediction scores were developed: (1) cardiovascular mortality/rehospitalisation with myocardial infarction or ischaemic stroke (ischaemic score) and (2) bleeding mortality/rehospitalisation with bleeding (bleeding score). FINDINGS: In 27 755 patients, there were 1200 (4.3%) ischaemic and 548 (2.0%) major bleeding events. Both scores were well calibrated with moderate discrimination performance (Harrell's c-statistic 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.77) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0 .71), respectively). Applying these scores to the 2020 European Society of Cardiology ACS antithrombotic treatment algorithm, the 31% of the cohort at elevated (>2%) bleeding and ischaemic risk would be considered for an abbreviated DAPT duration. For those at low bleeding risk, but elevated ischaemic risk (37% of the cohort), prolonged DAPT may be appropriate, and for those with low bleeding and ischaemic risk (29% of the cohort) short duration DAPT may be justified. CONCLUSION: We present a pair of ischaemic and bleeding risk scores specifically to assist clinicians and their patients in deciding on DAPT duration beyond the first month post-ACS.

Regional Handling and Prognostic Performance of Circulating Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Protein-7 in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Regional handling and the prognostic performance of insulin-like growth factor binding protein (IGFBP)-7, in contrast or in combination with other candidate biomarkers, in chronic heart failure (CHF) remain uncertain. OBJECTIVES: The authors investigated the regional handling of plasma IGFBP-7 and its association with long-term outcomes in CHF in comparison with selected circulating biomarkers. METHODS: Plasma concentrations of IGFBP-7, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin-T, growth differentiation factor-15, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein were measured prospectively in a cohort with CHF (n = 863). The primary outcome was the composite of heart failure (HF) hospitalization or all-cause mortality. In a separate non-HF cohort (n = 66) undergoing cardiac catheterization, transorgan gradients of plasma IGFBP-7 concentrations were evaluated. RESULTS: Among 863 patients (age 69 ± 14 years, 30% female, 36% HF with preserved ejection fraction), IGFBP-7 (median: 121 [IQR: 99-156] ng/mL) related inversely to left ventricular volumes but directly to diastolic function. Above the optimal cutoff, IGFBP-7 ≥110 ng/mL was independently associated with 32% increased hazard of the primary outcome: 1.32 (95% CI: 1.06-1.64). Among the 5 markers, IGFBP-7 had the highest hazard for a proportional increment in plasma concentrations independent of HF phenotype in single- and double-biomarker models, and provided incremental prognostic value beyond clinical predictors plus NT-proBNP, high-sensitivity troponin-T, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (P < 0.05). Assessment of regional concentrations indicated renal secretion of IGFBP-7 in contrast to renal extraction of NT-proBNP, possible cardiac extraction of IGFBP-7 in contrast to secretion of NT-proBNP, and common hepatic extraction of both peptides. CONCLUSIONS: Transorgan regulation of IGFBP-7 is distinct from NT-proBNP. Circulating IGFBP-7 independently predicts adverse outcomes in CHF with a strong prognostic performance when compared with other well-recognized cardiac-specific or noncardiac prognostic markers.

Prognostic modelling of clinical outcomes after first-time acute coronary syndrome in New Zealand.

OBJECTIVE: The Multi-Ethnic New Zealand Study of Acute Coronary Syndromes (MENZACS) was established to investigate the drivers of secondary events after first-time acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including addressing inequitable outcomes by ethnicity. Herein, the first clinical outcomes and prognostic modelling approach are reported. METHODS: First, in 28 176 New Zealanders with first-time ACS from a national registry, a clinical summary score for predicting 1-year death/cardiovascular readmission was created using Cox regression of 20 clinical variables. This score was then calculated in the 2015 participant MENZACS study to represent clinical risk. In MENZACS, Cox regression was used to assess N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) as a prognostic marker for death/cardiovascular readmission in four models, adjusting for (1) age and sex; (2) age, sex, ethnicity; (3) clinical summary score; (4) clinical summary score and ethnicity. RESULTS: Of the 2015 MENZACS participants (mean age 61 years, 79% male, 73% European, 14% Maori, 5% Pacific people), 2003 were alive at discharge. Of the 2003, 416 (20.8%) experienced all-cause death/cardiovascular readmission over a median of 3.5 years. In a simple model, age, male sex, Maori ethnicity and NT-proBNP levels were significant predictors of outcome. After adjustment for the clinical summary score, which includes age and sex, NT-proBNP and ethnicity were no longer statistically significant: log2(NT-proBNP) hazard ratio (HR) 1.03, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.98 to 1.08, p=0.305; Maori ethnicity HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.62, p=0.084. CONCLUSIONS: In 2015 patients with first-time ACS, recurrent events were common (20.8%). Increasing NT-proBNP levels and Maori ethnicity were predictors of death/cardiovascular readmission, but not after adjustment for the 20 clinical risk factors represented by the clinical summary score. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12615000676516.

Circulating levels and prognostic cut-offs of sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP in women vs. men with chronic heart failure.

AIMS: To define plasma concentrations, determinants, and optimal prognostic cut-offs of soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in women and men with chronic heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual data of patients from the Biomarkers In Heart Failure Outpatient Study (BIOS) Consortium with sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP measured were analysed. The primary endpoint was a composite of 1 year cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization. The secondary endpoints were 5 year cardiovascular and all-cause death. The cohort included 4540 patients (age 67 ± 12 years, left ventricular ejection fraction 33 ± 13%, 1111 women, 25%). Women showed lower sST2 (24 vs. 27 ng/mL, P < 0.001) and hs-cTnT level (15 vs. 20 ng/L, P < 0.001), and similar concentrations of NT-proBNP (1540 vs. 1505 ng/L, P = 0.408). Although the three biomarkers were confirmed as independent predictors of outcome in both sexes, the optimal prognostic cut-off was lower in women for sST2 (28 vs. 31 ng/mL) and hs-cTnT (22 vs. 25 ng/L), while NT-proBNP cut-off was higher in women (2339 ng/L vs. 2145 ng/L). The use of sex-specific cut-offs improved risk prediction compared with the use of previously standardized prognostic cut-offs and allowed to reclassify the risk of many patients, to a greater extent in women than men, and for hs-cTnT than sST2 or NT-proBNP. Specifically, up to 18% men and up to 57% women were reclassified, by using the sex-specific cut-off of hs-cTnT for the endpoint of 5 year cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic HF, concentrations of sST2 and hs-cTnT, but not of NT-proBNP, are lower in women. Lower sST2 and hs-cTnT and higher NT-proBNP cut-offs for risk stratification could be used in women.

Relationship Between Soluble Transferrin Receptor and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure According to Ejection Fraction Phenotype: The New Zealand PEOPLE Study.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency (ID) is highly prevalent in patients with heart failure (HF) but its impact on prognosis in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains unclear. We assessed whether ID defined by soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) criteria is independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF, and evaluated its comparative prognostic performance to ID definitions in common clinical use. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were analyzed from 788 patients (36% HFpEF) in a prospective multicenter HF cohort study. Baseline plasma samples were analyzed with respect to 4 definitions of ID: sTfR of ≥1.59 mg/L (IDsTfR1), sTfR of ≥1.76 mg/L (IDsTfR2), ferritin of <100 µg/L, or ferritin of 100-300 µg/L + transferrin saturation of <20% (IDFerritin), and transferrin saturation of <20% (IDTsat). In multivariable Cox models IDsTfR2 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.84, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-2.75) and IDTsat (HR, 1.69, 95% CI 1.10-2.59) were both independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF, whereas IDsTfR1 (HR 1.41, 95% CI 0.92-2.16) and IDFerritin (HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.77-1.85) were not. On inclusion of patients with HF with reduced EF, IDsTfR1 (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.13-1.86) gained significance, but IDFerritin (HR 1.21, 95% CI 0.95-1.54) did not. For each pair of definitions intra-patient concordance was approximately 65%. CONCLUSION: ID defined by sTfR criteria is independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF. Poor concordance between ID definitions suggests that iron biomarkers do not reflect the same pathological process in the complex relationship between iron and HF. Therefore, which definition should guide iron replacement needs further evaluation.

Impact of change in iron status over time on clinical outcomes in heart failure according to ejection fraction phenotype.

AIMS: The importance of iron deficiency (ID) in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unknown. In HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), ID is reported as an independent predictor of mortality in HF although not all published studies agree. Different definitions of ID have been assessed, and the natural history of untreated ID not established, which may explain the conflicting results. This study aimed to assess the relationship between ID and mortality in HFpEF, clarify which definition of ID correlates best with outcomes in HFrEF, and determine the prognostic importance of change in ID status over time. METHODS AND RESULTS: Analyses were conducted on data from 1563 patients participating in a prospective international cohort study comparing HFpEF with HFrEF. Plasma samples from baseline and 6 month visits were analysed for the presence of ID. Two ID definitions were evaluated: IDFerritin  = 'ferritin < 100 mcg/L or ferritin 100-300 mcg/L + transferrin saturation < 20%' and IDTsat  = 'transferrin saturation < 20%'. The risk of all-cause mortality and death/HF hospitalization associated with baseline ID (IDFerritin or IDTsat ) and change in ID status at 6 months (persistent, resolving, developing, or never present) was estimated in multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Of 1563 patients, 1115 (71%) had HFrEF and 448 (29%) HFpEF. Prevalence of ID was similar in HFpEF and HFrEF (58%). Patients with ID were more likely to be female, diabetic, and have a higher co-morbid burden than patients without ID. ID by either definition did not confer independent risk for either all-cause mortality or death/HF hospitalization for patients with HFpEF [IDFerritin hazard ratio (HR) 0.65 (95% confidence interval 0.40-1.05), P = 0.08; IDTsat HR 1.16 (0.72-1.87), P = 0.55]. In the overall study cohort (HFrEF + HFpEF) and HFrEF subgroup, IDFerritin was inferior to IDTsat in prediction of all-cause mortality [overall cohort: HR 1.21 (0.95-1.53), P = 0.12 vs. HR 1.95 (1.52-2.51), P < 0.01; HFrEF: HR 1.12 (0.85-1.48), P = 0.43 vs. HR 1.57 (1.15-2.14), P < 0.01]. Persistence of IDTsat at 6 months was strongly associated with poor outcomes compared with never having IDTsat [HR 2.22 (1.42-3.46), P < 0.01] or having IDTsat at baseline self-resolve by 6 months [HR 1.40 (1.06-1.86), P = 0.02]. CONCLUSIONS: Iron deficiency is equally prevalent in HFpEF and HFrEF but is negatively prognostic only in HFrEF. The natural history of ID is important; persistent ID is strongly associated with mortality whereas resolution is not. IDTsat is the superior definition of ID and should inform future trials investigating the efficacy of intravenous iron replacement in patients with HFrEF.

How common are non-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) diagnoses in patients with suspected ACS investigated with coronary angiography in New Zealand? (ANZACS-QI 58).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The last two decades in New Zealand have seen increased availability of primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and early invasive coronary angiography (ICA) for other high-risk acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. One metric to assess the clinical appropriateness of these invasive strategies is to examine the false-positive rate for the investigation (ie, the rate of non-ACS diagnoses). METHODS: All patients presenting to New Zealand public hospitals with suspected ACS who underwent ICA between 2015 and 2019 were recorded prospectively in the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement registry. The cohort was divided according to clinical impression at presentation: (1) suspected STEMI <24h and (2) other suspected ACS. The final discharge diagnosis for each patient were obtained from the registry. RESULTS: There were 6,059 (20%) patients with suspected STEMI <24h and 24,258 (80%) with other suspected ACS. Of the suspected STEMIs <24h, 90.6% had a final diagnosis of STEMI, 3.5% non-ST segment elevation ACS (NSTEACS) and only 5.9% had a non-ACS diagnosis. Of those with other suspected ACS, 80.7% had a final ACS diagnosis. Across all New Zealand district health boards (DHBs), the proportion of non-ACS diagnoses was similar for suspected STEMI presentations. However, for other suspected ACS, the proportions were higher in DHBs with rapid access to coronary interventional facilities than in those without (17.6% vs 7.0%, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: False-positive catheter laboratory activations for suspected STEMI patients are low across New Zealand. The differences in the proportion of non-ACS diagnoses according to DHB interventional capability for other suspected ACS requires further investigation.

NT-proBNP for Risk Prediction in Heart Failure: Identification of Optimal Cutoffs Across Body Mass Index Categories.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to assess the predictive power of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and the decision cutoffs in heart failure (HF) across body mass index (BMI) categories. BACKGROUND: Concentrations of NT-proBNP predict outcome in HF. Although the influence of BMI to reduce levels of NT-proBNP is known, the impact of obesity on prognostic value remains uncertain. METHODS: Individual data from the BIOS (Biomarkers In Heart Failure Outpatient Study) consortium were analyzed. Patients with stable HF were classified as underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2), overweight (BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2), and mildly (BMI 30-34.9 kg/m2), moderately (BMI 35-39.9 kg/m2), or severely (BMI ≥40 kg/m2) obese. The prognostic role of NT-proBNP was tested for the endpoints of all-cause and cardiac death. RESULTS: The study population included 12,763 patients (mean age 66 ± 12 years; 25% women; mean left ventricular ejection fraction 33% ± 13%). Most patients were overweight (n = 5,176), followed by normal weight (n = 4,299), mildly obese (n = 2,157), moderately obese (n = 612), severely obese (n = 314), and underweight (n = 205). NT-proBNP inversely correlated with BMI (ß = -0.174 for 1 kg/m2; P < 0.001). Adding NT-proBNP to clinical models improved risk prediction across BMI categories, with the exception of severely obese patients. The best cutoffs of NT-proBNP for 5-year all-cause death prediction were lower as BMI increased (3,785 ng/L, 2,193 ng/L, 1,554 ng/L, 1,045 ng/L, 755 ng/L, and 879 ng/L, for underweight, normal weight, overweight, and mildly, moderately, and severely obese patients, respectively) and were higher in women than in men. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP maintains its independent prognostic value up to 40 kg/m2 BMI, and lower optimal risk-prediction cutoffs are observed in overweight and obese patients.

Diagnostic coronary angiography and percutaneous coronary intervention practices in New Zealand: The All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome-Quality Improvement CathPCI registry 3-year study (ANZACS-QI 37).

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease remains one of the leading causes of mortality and morbidity in New Zealand (NZ) and globally. The All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) programme includes the CathPCI registry which records all those referred for diagnostic coronary angiography (DCA) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in NZ. We present the methods and three-years of data from the ANZACS-QI CathPCI registry. METHODS: The data was extracted from the ANZACS QI CathPCI registry from 01/09/2014 to 24/09/2017. The ANZACS-QI data dictionary defines all the clinical, procedural and outcomes variables collected, and standard statistical analyses were applied. RESULTS: 40,870 patients underwent cardiac catheterisation, with a mean age of 65 years, and males making up 67% of the cohort. Indications included acute coronary syndrome 55%, angina with suspected stable coronary disease 28%, valve surgery workup 8%, planned PCI 3%, heart failure/cardiomyopathy 3%, arrhythmia 1% and other 2%. For those undergoing DCA alone, radial access was used in 85% and two-thirds had at least one major artery with >50% stenosis. PCI was performed in 39% of patients. Drug-eluting stents were used in 97%. CONCLUSION: The CathPCI registry records the characteristics and outcomes of all patients undergoing DCA and PCI in NZ hospitals. As part of the ANZACS-QI programme the registry provides an important platform for quality improvement, research and to inform clinical practice.

The impact of a national COVID-19 lockdown on acute coronary syndrome hospitalisations in New Zealand (ANZACS-QI 55).

BACKGROUND: Countries with a high incidence of coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) reported reduced hospitalisations for acute coronary syndromes (ACS) during the pandemic. This study describes the impact of a nationwide lockdown on ACS hospitalisations in New Zealand (NZ), a country with a low incidence of COVID-19. METHODS: All patients admitted to a NZ Hospital with ACS who underwent coronary angiography in the All NZ ACS Quality Improvement registry during the lockdown (23 March - 26 April 2020) were compared with equivalent weeks in 2015-2019. Ambulance attendances and regional community troponin-I testing were compared for lockdown and non-lockdown (1 July 2019 to 16 February 2020) periods. FINDINGS: Hospitalisation for ACS was lower during the 5-week lockdown (105 vs. 146 per-week, rate ratio 0•72 [95% CI 0•61-0•83], p = 0.003). This was explained by fewer admissions for non-ST-segment elevation ACS (NSTE-ACS; p = 0•002) but not ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI; p = 0•31). Patient characteristics and in-hospital mortality were similar. For STEMI, door-to-balloon times were similar (70 vs. 72 min, p = 0•52). For NSTE-ACS, there was an increase in percutaneous revascularisation (59% vs. 49%, p<0•001) and reduction in surgical revascularisation (9% vs. 15%, p = 0•005). There were fewer ambulance attendances for cardiac arrests (98 vs. 110 per-week, p = 0•04) but no difference for suspected ACS (408 vs. 420 per-week, p = 0•44). Community troponin testing was lower throughout the lockdown (182 vs. 394 per-week, p<0•001). INTERPRETATION: Despite the low incidence of COVID-19, there was a nationwide decrease in ACS hospitalisations during the lockdown. These findings have important implications for future pandemic planning. FUNDING: The ANZACS-QI registry receives funding from the New Zealand Ministry of Health.

Prescribing Performance Post-Acute Coronary Syndrome Using a Composite Medication Indicator: ANZACS-QI 24.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines previously recommended use of dual antiplatelet therapy, statins, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEI/ARB) and beta blockers (five classes of drugs) in patients without contraindications or intolerance after acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, recent guidelines have taken a more nuanced view regarding the use of ACEI/ARB and beta blockers. Our aim was to develop a composite post-discharge medication indicator, based on available evidence, to support quality improvement. METHODS: 4,112 consecutive post-ACS patients who underwent coronary angiography and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) assessment in 2015-16 were recorded in the All New Zealand ACS Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) registry. Patients receiving coronary artery bypass grafting were excluded. Three composite indicator algorithms that took into account known contraindications/intolerances were compared across NZ District Health Boards (DHBs): RESULTS: Overall and individual DHB performance was highest (74%, DHB range 52-84%) when reported using the NHFA/CSANZ indicator, and slightly lower (69%, DHB range 48-78%) on the ANZACS-QI indicator. Performance was lowest using the older five-drug-class indicator (65%, DHB range 48-77%). CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a composite post-discharge medication indicator appropriate for use in identifying gaps in evidence-based management across NZ, which is now being reported regularly to DHBs.

Acute reperfusion for ST-elevation myocardial infarction in New Zealand (2015-2017): patient and system delay (ANZACS-QI 29).

AIM: Prompt access to cardiac defibrillation and reperfusion therapy improves outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The study aim was to describe the 'patient' and 'system' delay in patients who receive acute reperfusion therapy for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in New Zealand. METHODS: In 2015-17, 3,857 patients who received acute reperfusion therapy were captured in the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) registry. 'Patient delay' is the time from symptom onset to first medical contact (FMC), and 'system delay' the time from FMC until reperfusion therapy (primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or fibrinolysis). RESULTS: Seventy percent of patients received primary PCI and 30% fibrinolysis. Of those receiving fibrinolysis, 122 (10.5%) received pre-hospital fibrinolysis. Seventy-seven percent were transported to hospital by ambulance. After adjustment, people who were older, male and presented to a hospital without a routine primary PCI service were less likely to travel by ambulance. Patient delay: The median delay was 45 minutes for ambulance-transported patients and 97 minutes for those self-transported to hospital, with a quarter delayed by >2 hours and >3 hours, respectively. Delay >1 hour was more common in older patients, Maori and Indian patients and those self-transported to hospital. System delay: For ambulance-transported patients who received primary PCI, the median time was 119 minutes. For ambulance-transported patients who received fibrinolysis, the median system delay was 86 minutes, with Maori patients more often delayed than European/Other patients. For patients who received pre-hospital fibrinolysis the median delay was 46 minutes shorter. For the quarter of patients treated with rescue PCI after fibrinolysis, the median needle-to-rescue time was prolonged-four hours. CONCLUSIONS: Nationwide implementation of the NZ STEMI pathway is needed to reduce system delays in delivery of primary PCI, fibrinolysis and rescue PCI. Ongoing initiatives are required to reduce barriers to calling the ambulance early after symptom onset.

Combining Circulating MicroRNA and NT-proBNP to Detect and Categorize Heart Failure Subtypes.

BACKGROUND: Clinicians need improved tools to better identify nonacute heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to derive and validate circulating microRNA signatures for nonacute heart failure (HF). METHODS: Discovery and validation cohorts (N = 1,710), comprised 903 HF and 807 non-HF patients from Singapore and New Zealand (NZ). MicroRNA biomarker panel discovery in a Singapore cohort (n = 546) was independently validated in a second Singapore cohort (Validation 1; n = 448) and a NZ cohort (Validation 2; n = 716). RESULTS: In discovery, an 8-microRNA panel identified HF with an area under the curve (AUC) 0.96, specificity 0.88, and accuracy 0.89. Corresponding metrics were 0.88, 0.66, and 0.77 in Validation 1, and 0.87, 0.58, and 0.74 in Validation 2. Combining microRNA panels with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) clearly improved specificity and accuracy from AUC 0.96, specificity 0.91, and accuracy 0.90 for NT-proBNP alone to corresponding metrics of 0.99, 0.99, and 0.93 in the discovery and 0.97, 0.96, and 0.93 in Validation 1. The 8-microRNA discovery panel distinguished HFpEF from HF with reduced ejection fraction with AUC 0.81, specificity 0.66, and accuracy 0.72. Corresponding metrics were 0.65, 0.41, and 0.56 in Validation 1 and 0.65, 0.41, and 0.62 in Validation 2. For phenotype categorization, combined markers achieved AUC 0.87, specificity 0.75, and accuracy 0.77 in the discovery with corresponding metrics of 0.74, 0.59, and 0.67 in Validation 1 and 0.72, 0.52, and 0.68 in Validation 2, as compared with NT-proBNP alone of AUC 0.71, specificity 0.46, and accuracy 0.62 in the discovery; with corresponding metrics of 0.72, 0.44, and 0.57 in Validation 1 and 0.69, 0.48, and 0.66 in Validation 2. Accordingly, false negative (FN) (81% Singapore and all NZ FN cases were HFpEF) as classified by a guideline-endorsed NT-proBNP ruleout threshold, were correctly reclassified by the 8-microRNA panel in the majority (72% and 88% of FN in Singapore and NZ, respectively) of cases. CONCLUSIONS: Multi-microRNA panels in combination with NT-proBNP are highly discriminatory and improved specificity and accuracy in identifying nonacute HF. These findings suggest potential utility in the identification of nonacute HF, where clinical assessment, imaging, and NT-proBNP may not be definitive, especially in HFpEF.

Relationship between socioeconomic factors, distribution of public access defibrillators and incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Survival from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is improved when public access defibrillators are used. Areas of socioeconomic deprivation may have higher rates of OHCA and thus a greater demand for public access defibrillators. We aimed to determine if there was a relationship between socioeconomic factors, the geographic distribution of public access defibrillators (PADs) and incidence of OHCA. METHOD: Socioeconomic deprivation data was obtained from the Census-based 2013 Index of Deprivation. Spatial information for PADs was obtained from a New Zealand PAD database (AED Locations) in 2016 and 2018. Location data for OHCA was obtained from the St John New Zealand OHCA registry for the period 1 October 2013 to 30 June 2016. Relationships between these variables were analysed using a Poisson regression analysis. RESULTS: Cardiac arrest incidence increased with increasing deprivation. The incidence in the most deprived areas of 156.5 events per 100,000 person years (135.4-180.9, 95% CI) is double the incidence in the least deprived areas at 78.0 events per 100,000 person years (66.4-91.7, 95% CI). Significant increases in the rates of OHCA were observed with every 1% increase in proportions of Maori (1.0%, 0.61-1.4%, 95% CI, p = 0.001), Pacific Peoples (0.6%, 0.21-0.9%, p = 0.005), >65 year olds (3.7%, 3.0-4.3%, p < 0.001), and males (3.7%, 1.8-5.6%, p < 0.001). In 2018, the decile 10 areas had the lowest coverage of PADs (65% of these areas contained a PAD) compared with less deprived areas (68-84%, median 81%). CONCLUSIONS: The most socioeconomically deprived communities had the highest incidence of OHCA and the least availability of PADs. This provides impetus for targeted PAD placement in areas of higher deprivation.