Development and internal validation of a clinical prediction model for serious complications after emergency laparotomy.

PURPOSE: Emergency laparotomy (EL) is a common operation with high risk for postoperative complications, thereby requiring accurate risk stratification to manage vulnerable patients optimally. We developed and internally validated a predictive model of serious complications after EL. METHODS: Data for eleven carefully selected candidate predictors of 30-day postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo grade > = 3) were extracted from the HELAS cohort of EL patients in 11 centres in Greece and Cyprus. Logistic regression with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) was applied for model development. Discrimination and calibration measures were estimated and clinical utility was explored with decision curve analysis (DCA). Reproducibility and heterogeneity were examined with Bootstrap-based internal validation and Internal-External Cross-Validation. The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's (ACS-NSQIP) model was applied to the same cohort to establish a benchmark for the new model. RESULTS: From data on 633 eligible patients (175 complication events), the SErious complications After Laparotomy (SEAL) model was developed with 6 predictors (preoperative albumin, blood urea nitrogen, American Society of Anaesthesiology score, sepsis or septic shock, dependent functional status, and ascites). SEAL had good discriminative ability (optimism-corrected c-statistic: 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.81), calibration (optimism-corrected calibration slope: 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.03) and overall fit (scaled Brier score: 25.1%, 95% CI 24.1-26.1%). SEAL compared favourably with ACS-NSQIP in all metrics, including DCA across multiple risk thresholds. CONCLUSION: SEAL is a simple and promising model for individualized risk predictions of serious complications after EL. Future external validations should appraise SEAL's transportability across diverse settings.

Comparison of postoperative bleeding using harmonic scalpel and LigaSure in thyroid surgery: a 15-year single-centre retrospective study.

Aim Thyroidectomy is the most common operation in the field of endocrine surgery. The aim of this study was to compare the use of LigaSure vessel (LS) and harmonic scalpel (HS) in 1653 total thyroidectomies between January 2008 and March of 2023, with regards to analysis of surgical bleeding complications duration the hospital stay and operative surgical time. Methods It is a retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database. Patients have been categorized into two groups: Group A included 718 patients from January 2008 to May 2013 when LS was used, and the Group B included 935 patients from June 2013 to March 2023 when HS was used. Results From the total of 14 postoperative bleeding cases that occurred in patients of Group A, only in 4 of them it was necessary to have a reoperation. The other 10 cases involved minor haemorrhages, while from the total of 6 postoperative bleeding cases that happened to patients of Group B, there were 4 cases that needed a reoperation (p-value >0.05) and 2 patients with minor haemorrhages. The postoperative evaluation of minor bleedings revealed statistically significant differences between the two groups (p-value < 0.05). The average hospital stay was similar in the two groups. Conclusion Both devices exhibit identical safety profiles in thyroidectomies specifically regarding major bleeding complications that require reoperation. Additionally, HS was found to be more effective at achieving haemostasis, especially in the subgroup of patients with thyroid carcinoma. The results of the present study may be useful for high-volume centres performing numerous thyroidectomies every day.

Outcomes at 10-Year Follow-Up after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass, Biliopancreatic Diversion, and Sleeve Gastrectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Morbid obesity is a well-defined chronic disease, the incidence of which is constantly rising. Surgical treatment of morbid obesity has produced superior outcomes compared to conventional weight loss measures. Currently, there is a gap in the literature regarding long-term outcomes. Our single-institution, retrospective cohort study aims to evaluate weight loss outcomes, comorbidity reduction, and adverse effects at 10 years following Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass (RYGB), Biliopancreatic Diversion (BPD), and Sleeve Gastrectomy (SG). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included all consecutive patients with 10-year follow-up records operated on within our institution. The comparison was carried out on the average percentage of weight and BMI loss. Nausea and vomiting were evaluated through self-reporting Likert scales. Diabetes resolution and nutritional deficiencies were also evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 490 patients from 1995 up to 2011 were included in our study. Of these, 322 underwent RYGB, 58 underwent long-limb BPD, 34 underwent laparoscopic RYGB with fundus excision, 47 underwent laparoscopic SG, and 29 underwent laparoscopic RYGB as a revision of prior SG. RYGB and BPD were significantly associated with higher percentages of weight loss (37.6% and 37.5%), but were not found to be independent predictors of weight loss. Nausea and vomiting were associated with SG and laparoscopic RYGB with fundus excision, more so than the other operations. No differences were observed regarding diabetes resolution and nutritional deficiencies. CONCLUSIONS: Longer follow-up reports are important for the comparison of outcomes between different types of bariatric operations. BPD and RYGB resulted in superior weight loss, with no observed differences in diabetes resolution and adverse outcomes.

Prospective multicenter external validation of postoperative mortality prediction tools in patients undergoing emergency laparotomy.

BACKGROUND: Accurate preoperative risk assessment in emergency laparotomy (EL) is valuable for informed decision making and rational use of resources. Available risk prediction tools have not been validated adequately across diverse health care settings. Herein, we report a comparative external validation of four widely cited prognostic models. METHODS: A multicenter cohort was prospectively composed of consecutive patients undergoing EL in 11 Greek hospitals from January 2020 to May 2021 using the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) inclusion criteria. Thirty-day mortality risk predictions were calculated using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP), NELA, Portsmouth Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the Enumeration of Mortality and Morbidity (P-POSSUM), and Predictive Optimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk tools. Surgeons' assessment of postoperative mortality using predefined cutoffs was recorded, and a surgeon-adjusted ACS-NSQIP prediction was calculated when the original model's prediction was relatively low. Predictive performances were compared using scaled Brier scores, discrimination and calibration measures and plots, and decision curve analysis. Heterogeneity across hospitals was assessed by random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: A total of 631 patients were included, and 30-day mortality was 16.3%. The ACS-NSQIP and its surgeon-adjusted version had the highest scaled Brier scores. All models presented high discriminative ability, with concordance statistics ranging from 0.79 for P-POSSUM to 0.85 for NELA. However, except the surgeon-adjusted ACS-NSQIP (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p = 0.742), all other models were poorly calibrated ( p < 0.001). Decision curve analysis revealed superior clinical utility of the ACS-NSQIP. Following recalibrations, predictive accuracy improved for all models, but ACS-NSQIP retained the lead. Between-hospital heterogeneity was minimum for the ACS-NSQIP model and maximum for P-POSSUM. CONCLUSION: The ACS-NSQIP tool was most accurate for mortality predictions after EL in a broad external validation cohort, demonstrating utility for facilitating preoperative risk management in the Greek health care system. Subjective surgeon assessments of patient prognosis may optimize ACS-NSQIP predictions. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Test/Criteria; Level II.

The Hellenic Emergency Laparotomy Study (HELAS): A Prospective Multicentre Study on the Outcomes of Emergency Laparotomy in Greece.

BACKGROUND: Emergency laparotomy (EL) is accompanied by high post-operative morbidity and mortality which varies significantly between countries and populations. The aim of this study is to report outcomes of emergency laparotomy in Greece and to compare them with the results of the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA). METHODS: This is a multicentre prospective cohort study undertaken between 01.2019 and 05.2020 including consecutive patients subjected to EL in 11 Greek hospitals. EL was defined according to NELA criteria. Demographics, clinical variables, and post-operative outcomes were prospectively registered in an online database. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of post-operative mortality. RESULTS: There were 633 patients, 53.9% males, ASA class III/IV 43.6%, older than 65 years 58.6%. The most common operations were small bowel resection (20.5%), peptic ulcer repair (12.0%), adhesiolysis (11.8%) and Hartmann's procedure (11.5%). 30-day post-operative mortality reached 16.3% and serious complications occurred in 10.9%. Factors associated with post-operative mortality were increasing age and ASA class, dependent functional status, ascites, severe sepsis, septic shock, and diabetes. HELAS cohort showed similarities with NELA patients in terms of demographics and preoperative risk. Post-operative utilisation of ICU was significantly lower in the Greek cohort (25.8% vs 56.8%) whereas 30-day post-operative mortality was significantly higher (16.3% vs 8.7%). CONCLUSION: In this study, Greek patients experienced markedly worse mortality after emergency laparotomy compared with their British counterparts. This can be at least partly explained by underutilisation of critical care by surgical patients who are at high risk for death.

Bariatric surgery: blessing or sometimes curse for the liver?

INTRODUCTION: Nowadays morbid obesity has become a worldwide health issue and the use of bariatric surgery undoubtedly results not only in weight reduction but also in the improvement of comorbidities. Although bariatric surgery is the optimal choice for metabolic syndrome resolution and hepatic function improvement, there is evidence that in rare cases it may lead to aggressive steatohepatitis, acute liver failure, fibrosis, and deterioration of the overall prognosis, without having fully understood the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms. CASE REPORT: In this case report we present a 45-year-old female patient with morbid obesity, body mass index 80, who underwent long-limb Roux en Y gastric bypass (LL-RYGB) and was admitted to the emergency department with jaundice and impaired liver function laboratory tests on postoperative day 90. The examinations revealed elevated bilirubin and transaminases, with prolonged prothrombin time and low albumin levels. A liver biopsy was performed and showed active steatohepatitis. The hepatic values were gradually further impaired and the decision for surgery, in order to reverse the hepatic dysfunction, was taken. A gastrostomy in the bypassed stomach was performed and the activation of the closed biliopancreatic loop led to clinical improvement and amelioration of the prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Patients at high risk for hepatic failure after bariatric surgery should be better evaluated preoperatively and a tailor-made approach should be applied in order to avoid such a disastrous complication.

Giant splenic abscess caused by Salmonella enterica.

Splenectomy is the gold standard for treating a splenic abscess, when percutaneous drainage fails or is less likely to be successful.

Laparoscopic removal of a fishbone migrating from the gastrointestinal tract to the pancreas.

Laparoscopic surgery can be performed safely for the removal of a foreign body embedded in the pancreas and should be preferred instead of open surgery, whenever possible.