Robust optimisation of combined rainwater harvesting and flood mitigation systems.

Combined large-scale rainwater harvesting (RWH) and flood mitigation systems are promising as a sustainable water management strategy in urban areas. These are multi-purpose infrastructure that not only provide a secondary, localised water resource, but can also reduce discharge and hence loads on any downstream wastewater networks if these are integrated into the wider water network. However, the performance of these systems is dependent on the specific design used for its local catchment which can vary significantly between different implementations. A multitude of design strategies exist, however there is no universally accepted standard framework. To tackle these issues, this paper presents a two-player optimisation framework which utilises a stochastic design optimisation model and a competing, high-intensity rainfall design model to optimise passively-operated RWH systems. A customisable tool set is provided, under which optimisation models specific to a given catchment can be built quickly. This reduces the barriers to implementing computationally complex sizing strategies and encouraging more resource-efficient systems to be built. The framework was applied to a densely populated high-rise residential estate, eliminating overflow events from historical rainfall. The optimised configuration resulted in a 32% increase in harvested water yield, but its ability to meet irrigation demands was limited by the operational levels of the treatment pump. Hence, with the inclusion of operational levels in the optimisation model, the framework can provide an efficient large-scale RWH system that is capable of simultaneously meeting water demands and reducing stresses within and beyond its local catchment.

Waste-to-Resource value chain optimisation: Combining spatial, chemical and technoeconomic aspects.

Due to complex composition of carbohydrates, lipid, protein, cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin, wastewater (WW) and organic fraction municipal solid waste (OFMSW) represent nutrient and carbon rich resources. Conventionally, value chains in the waste sector have considered OFMSW and WW as unwanted by-products as opposed to potential valuable resources. Full exploitation of these resources calls for a value chain transformation towards proactive resource recovery. This study focuses on the waste supply chain optimisation to recover value added products from OFMSW. The research leads to a systems-modelling approach, which integrates spatial data analyses, mathematical mixed integer linear programming (MILP) optimisation and technology performance evaluation to inform the design of waste-to-resource value chains. A UK based study on OFMSW is presented to demonstrate the efficacy of the approach. The study captures variation in OFMSW quantity and composition, incorporating over 600 existing anaerobic digestion (AD) operational plants in the UK, while potential sites for new waste-recovery facilities are identified, accounting for transportation and logistics, using a GIS-based analysis. Key outcomes are analysed (technology type, size, location, logistical connections), placing emphasis on the need to consider the value of the resource recovery potential over the lifetime of an AD or thermochemical treatment facility in the design process. Such an approach offers a promising pathway for tackling the open challenges currently hindering the waste-to-resource transformation.

Wastewater To Resource: Design of a Sustainable Phosphorus Recovery System.

To enable a more sustainable wastewater treatment processes, a transition towards resource recovery methods that have minimal environmental impact while being financially viable is imperative. Phosphorus (P) is a finite resource that is being discharged into the aqueous environment in excessive quantities. As such, understanding the financial and environmental effectiveness of different approaches for removing and recovering P from wastewater streams is important to reduce the overall impact of wastewater treatment. In this study, a process-systems modelling framework for comprehensively evaluating these approaches in terms of both economic and environmental impacts is developed. Applying this framework, treatment pathways are designed, simulated and analysed to determine the most suitable approaches for P removal and recovery. The purpose of this methodology is not only to assist with plant design, but also to identify the principal economic and environmental factors acting as barriers to implementing a given technology, incorporating the impact of waste recovery. The results suggest that the chemical and ion-exchange approaches studied deliver sustainable advantages over biological pathways, both economically and environmentally, with each possessing different strengths. The assessment methodology developed enables a more rational and environmentally sound wastewater plant design approach to be taken.

Fellow use of medical jargon correlates inversely with patient and observer perceptions of professionalism: results of a rheumatology OSCE (ROSCE) using challenging patient scenarios.

The NYC Rheumatology Objective Structured Clinical Examination (NYC-ROSCE) is held annually to assess fellow competencies. We recently redesigned our OSCE to better assess subspecialty trainee communication skills and professionalism by developing scenarios in which the patients encountered were psychosocially or medically complex. The objective of this study is to identify which types of verbal and non-verbal skills are most important in the perception of professionalism in the patient-physician interaction. The 2012-2013 NYC-ROSCEs included a total of 53 fellows: 55 MD evaluators from 7 NYC rheumatology training programs (Hospital for Special Surgery-Weill Cornell (HSS), SUNY/Downstate, NYU, Einstein, Columbia, Mount Sinai, and North Shore/Long Island Jewish (NSLIJ)), and 55 professional actors/standardized patients participated in 5 stations. Quantitative fellow performance assessments were made on the following: maintaining composure; partnering with the patient; honesty; professionalism; empathy; and accountability. Free-text comments were solicited regarding specific strengths and weaknesses. A total of 53/53 eligible (100 %) fellows were evaluated. MD evaluators rated fellows lower for professionalism than did the standardized patients (6.8 ± 0.6 vs. 7.4 ± 0.8, p = 0.05), suggesting that physicians and patients view professionalism somewhat differently. Fellow self-evaluations for professionalism (6.6 ± 1.2) were concordant with those of the MD evaluators. Ratings of empathy by fellows themselves (6.6 ± 1.0), MD evaluators (6.6 ± 0.7), and standardized patients (6.6 ± 1.1) agreed closely. Jargon use, frequently cited by evaluators, showed a moderate association with lower professionalism ratings by both MD evaluators and patients. Psychosocially challenging patient encounters in the NYC-ROSCE permitted critical assessment of the patient-centered traits contributing to impressions of professionalism and indicate that limiting medical jargon is an important component of the competency of professionalism.

Improving clinical practice guidelines for practicing cardiologists.

Cardiac-related clinical practice guidelines have become an integral part of the practice of cardiology. Unfortunately, these guidelines are often long, complex, and difficult for practicing cardiologists to use. Guidelines should be condensed and their format upgraded, so that the key messages are easier to comprehend and can be applied more readily by those involved in patient care. After presenting the historical background and describing the guideline structure, we make several recommendations to make clinical practice guidelines more user-friendly for clinical cardiologists. Our most important recommendations are that the clinical cardiology guidelines should focus exclusively on (1) class I recommendations with established benefits that are supported by randomized clinical trials and (2) class III recommendations for diagnostic or therapeutic approaches in which quality studies show no benefit or possible harm. Class II recommendations are not evidence based but reflect expert opinions related to published clinical studies, with potential for personal bias by members of the guideline committee. Class II recommendations should be published separately as "Expert Consensus Statements" or "Task Force Committee Opinions," so that both majority and minority expert opinions can be presented in a less dogmatic form than the way these recommendations currently appear in clinical practice guidelines.

Prognosis and response to therapy of first inpatient and outpatient heart failure event in a heart failure clinical trial: MADIT-CRT.

AIMS: Hospitalization for worsening heart failure (HF) is known to increase mortality and morbidity risk and has been frequently used as an endpoint in randomized clinical trials. Whether outpatient management of HF exacerbation carries similar prognostic and therapeutic information is less well known, but could be important for the design of trials that use HF hospitalization as an endpoint. METHODS AND RESULTS: MADIT-CRT randomized patients with mild HF symptoms to resynchronization therapy vs. control with an average follow-up of 3.3 years and a total of 191 deaths. HF events were centrally adjudicated for receiving i.v. decongestive therapy in an outpatient setting, or an augmented HF regimen during a hospital stay. Patients were compared according to whether their first HF was an out- or inpatient event. The first primary event was non-fatal outpatient HF, non-fatal inpatient HF, and death in 52, 331, and 78 patients, respectively. Patients with inpatient HF tended to be older and more likely to have HF of ischaemic aetiology than subjects who developed outpatient HF events. The risk of death following either type of non-fatal HF events was extremely high [hazard ratio (HR) 12.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 9.1-16.9 for inpatient HF; HR 10.7, 95% CI 6.1-18.7 for outpatient HF] compared with subjects without non-fatal HF events. Allocation to CRT-D was associated with significant reduction in both types of HF. CONCLUSION: Outpatient management of worsening HF portends a high risk of death, similar to inpatient HF events, and may be equally sensitive to the effects of therapy. These findings suggest that outpatient HF events should be considered in publicly reported outcomes measures and future HF clinical trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01294449.

Senior academic physicians and retirement considerations.

An increasing number of academic senior physicians are approaching their potential retirement in good health with accumulated clinical and research experience that can be a valuable asset to an academic institution. Considering the need to let the next generation ascend to leadership roles, when and how should a medical career be brought to a close? We explore the roles for academic medical faculty as they move into their senior years and approach various retirement options. The individual and institutional considerations require a frank dialogue among the interested parties to optimize the benefits while minimizing the risks for both. In the United States there is no fixed age for retirement as there is in Europe, but European physicians are initiating changes. What is certain is that careful planning, innovative thinking, and the incorporation of new patterns of medical practice are all part of this complex transition and timing of senior academic physicians into retirement.

Refractory urticarial vasculitis as a complication of ulcerative colitis successfully treated with rituximab.

Ulcerative colitis can be complicated by the development of leukocytoclastic vasculitis, a cutaneous vasculitis with the potential for systemic involvement. We present a man with a history of ulcerative colitis complicated by end-stage liver disease secondary to sclerosing cholangitis requiring a liver transplant. The patient developed new-onset vasculitis and diarrhea refractory to therapy with standard immunosuppression. He was treated with anti-CD20 therapy with a positive response. The basis of the vasculitis was likely one related to an underlying monoclonal paraprotein with cryoprecitable properties. Treatment with anti-B-cell therapy may be a new treatment option for patients with gammopathy-associated leukocytoclastic vasculitis.

The New York City Rheumatology Objective Structured Clinical Examination: five-year data demonstrates its validity, usefulness as a unique rating tool, objectivity, and sensitivity to change.

OBJECTIVE: Traditional means of testing rheumatology fellows do not adequately assess some skills that are required to practice medicine well, such as humanistic qualities, communication skills, or professionalism. Institution of the New York City Rheumatology Objective Structured Clinical Examination (ROSCE) and our sequential 5 years of experience have provided us with a unique opportunity to assess its usefulness and objectivity as a rheumatology assessment tool. METHODS: Prior to taking the examination, all of the fellows were rated by their program directors. Fellows from the participating institutions then underwent a multistation patient-interactive examination observed and rated by patient actors and faculty raters. Assessments were recorded by all of the participants using separate but overlapping sets of instruments testing the Accreditation Council of Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) core competencies of patient care, interpersonal and communication skills, professionalism, and overall medical knowledge. RESULTS: Although the program directors tended to rate their fellows more highly than the ROSCE raters, typically there was agreement between the program directors and the ROSCE faculty in distinguishing between the highest- and lowest- performing fellows. The ROSCE faculty and patient actor assessments of individual trainees were notable for a high degree of concordance, both quantitatively and qualitatively. CONCLUSION: The ROSCE provides a unique opportunity to obtain a patient-centered assessment of fellows' ACGME-mandated competencies that traditional knowledge-based examinations, such as the rheumatology in-service examination, cannot measure. The ability of the ROSCE to provide a well-rounded and objective assessment suggests that it should be considered an important component of the rheumatology training director's toolbox.

Predictors of long-term mortality in Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial II (MADIT II) patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators.

BACKGROUND: Data on long-term follow-up and factors influencing mortality in implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recipients are limited. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate mortality during long-term follow-up and the predictive value of several risk markers in the Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial II (MADIT II) patients with implanted cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs). METHODS: The study involved U.S. patients from the MADIT II trial randomized to and receiving ICD treatment. Data regarding long-term mortality were retrieved from the National Death Registry. Several clinical, biochemical, and electrocardiogram variables were tested in a multivariate Cox model for predicting long-term mortality, and a score identifying high-, medium-, and lower risk patients was developed. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 655 patients, mean age 64 +/- 10 years. During a follow-up of up to 9 years, averaging 63 months, 294 deaths occurred. The 6-year cumulative probability of death was 40%, with evidence of a constant risk of about 8.5% per year among survivors. Median survival was estimated at 8 years. Multivariate analysis identified age >65 years, New York Heart Association class 3-4, diabetes, non-sinus rhythm, and increased levels of blood urea nitrogen as independent risk predictors of mortality. Patients with three or more of these risk factors were characterized by a 6-year mortality rate of 68%, compared with 43% in those with one to two risk factors and 19% in patients with no risk factors. CONCLUSION: A combination of a few readily available clinical variables indicating advanced disease and comorbid conditions identifies ICD patients at high risk of mortality during long-term follow-up.

Dynamic optical imaging of vascular and metabolic reactivity in rheumatoid joints.

Dynamic optical imaging is increasingly applied to clinically relevant areas such as brain and cancer imaging. In this approach, some external stimulus is applied and changes in relevant physiological parameters (e.g., oxy- or deoxyhemoglobin concentrations) are determined. The advantage of this approach is that the prestimulus state can be used as a reference or baseline against which the changes can be calibrated. Here we present the first application of this method to the problem of characterizing joint diseases, especially effects of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in the proximal interphalangeal finger joints. Using a dual-wavelength tomographic imaging system together with previously implemented model-based iterative image reconstruction schemes, we have performed initial dynamic imaging case studies on a limited number of healthy volunteers and patients diagnosed with RA. Focusing on three cases studies, we illustrated our major finds. These studies support our hypothesis that differences in the vascular reactivity exist between affected and unaffected joints.

The changing pattern of humoral rejection in cardiac transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Most humoral rejection (HR) episodes occur early after cardiac transplantation and are associated with hemodynamic compromise and poor prognosis. Late cases of HR (>6 months after transplant) have been reported. We examined the differences in clinical characteristics and outcomes in patients presenting with HR in the early (<6 months) and late transplant periods. METHODS: A retrospective chart review was performed of all cases of HR at a single large transplant center from January 1, 1995 to March 1, 2006. RESULTS: A total of 37 adult transplants had biopsy-proven HR; 13 patients had early HR and 24 patients had HR a mean of 5 yr after transplantation (range, 7 months to 17 yrs). Treatment for HR included plasmapheresis, cyclophosphamide, and rituximab. The age of the early and late humoral rejecters was similar (58+/-14 vs. 50+/-14 yrs; P=0.12). There was a trend toward more women in the early HR group (54% vs. 33%). Use of left ventricular assist devices was similar (38% vs. 33%). Early rejecters were more likely to have positive cross-matches (46% vs. 8%; P<0.01). Patients with late HR had a coexistent diagnosis of malignancy, or significant recent infection in 50% vs. 8% for early HR, suggesting an activation of a nonhuman leukocyte antigen antibody-mediated immune response to an acute illness. One-year survival after the diagnosis of HR was 78% for the both groups (P=NS). CONCLUSIONS: Humoral rejection occurs now more frequently in patients with remote transplants and is commonly associated with the presence of malignancy or infection.

Prognosis of patients with left ventricular diastolic pressure abnormality: a long-term survival study in patients without coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Given that an elevated left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic pressure reflects an abnormality of diastolic function, we analyzed the outcome of this finding in patients without coronary artery disease (CAD). HYPOTHESIS: The degree to which diastolic dysfunction influences mortality has been confounded in most studies by CAD and advanced age. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 876 patients with normal coronary arteries on arteriography. Of these, 115 patients had a left ventricular end-diastolic pressure of > or = 15 mmHg with an ejection fraction (EF) > or = 50%. We compared the mortality in this group (Group A) with the reported outcome in the general population, adjusted for age, gender, and race, as well as the mortality of a group of patients from the same cohort (Group B) with both diastolic and systolic dysfunction (n = 60), defined as a LVEF < 50%. RESULTS: Follow-up was for a mean of 63 months. In Group A, all-cause mortality was 5% (six patients); two deaths were from cardiac causes. The mean annual mortality in this group (1.2%) was similar to the adjusted annual mortality of the general population (1.1%), and it was significantly lower than the annual mortality (6%) in Group B (p < 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Our study results indicate that diastolic dysfunction with a normal EF, in the absence of CAD and systolic dysfunction, has an excellent prognosis over a long period (5-6 years).

Immunoglobulin G levels before and after lung transplantation.

RATIONALE: The determinants of immunoglobulin G (IgG) level and the risk of hypogammaglobulinemia (HGG) in patients with severe lung disease before and after lung transplantation are unknown. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify predictors of low IgG levels before and after lung transplantation. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 40 consecutive lung transplant recipients at our center. Total IgG levels were measured before and serially after transplantation. Mild HGG was defined as IgG levels from 400-699 mg/dl; severe HGG was defined as IgG levels<400 mg/dl. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Before transplantation, six (15%) patients had mild HGG, and none had severe HGG. Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease had lower IgG levels compared with patients with other diseases (independent of corticosteroid use and age; p=0.001) and an increased risk of mild HGG (p=0.005). The cumulative incidences of mild and severe HGG significantly increased after transplantation (58 and 15%, respectively, both p<0.04 compared with pretransplant prevalences). Lower pretransplant IgG level and treatment with mycophenolate mofetil were associated with lower IgG levels after transplantation (both p<0.05). Only lower pretransplant IgG levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of severe HGG after transplantation (p=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Mild HGG is common in patients with severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and the incidences of mild and severe HGG increase significantly early after lung transplantation. Baseline IgG levels and treatment with mycophenolate mofetil affect post-transplant IgG levels.

Electrocardiographic diagnosis of left ventricular hypertrophy: the effect of left ventricular wall thickness, size, and mass on the specific criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of our study was to determine the relative importance and effect of an increased left ventricle wall thickness, left ventricular diastolic diameter, and left ventricular mass (LVM) on the performance of the 4 major electrocardiogram (ECG) criteria of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and to determine how these findings could be incorporated into the routine ECG interpretation of LVH. METHODS: The ECG criteria of LVH that we chose to examine were voltage, repolarization abnormalities, left atrial abnormality, and ventricular conduction time. We analyzed data from 608 consecutive patients with left ventricular wall thickness of >13 mm on the echocardiogram and with a concurrent ECG. We arbitrarily divided patients into 3 groups (groups I-III) according to the calculated LVM. Group I had an LVM of <400 g; group II had an LVM from 400 to 600 g, and group III had an LVM of >600 g. We evaluated the effect of increasing LVM, wall thickness, and ventricular diameter on the performance of the 4 ECG criteria at different severity of thickness, diameter, and mass. RESULTS: An increase in the echocardiogram-derived LVM had significant effect on all 4 ECG criteria. As LVM progressively increased from groups I to III, the frequency of voltage criteria for LVH increased from 52% to 83%; left atrial abnormality rose from 46% to 68%; ST-T wave changes increases from 55% to 95%, and QRS prolongation significantly increased from 42% to 70%. CONCLUSION: Increased wall thickness and ventricular diameter failed to correlate with the overall ECG score or significantly influence the frequency of any of the 4 ECG criteria for LVH in patients when LVM was held relatively constant. We also demonstrated that an increasing number of criteria on the ECG are associated with a greater mean LVM.

Atherosclerotic risk genotypes and recurrent coronary events after myocardial infarction.

The association of a group of prespecified atherosclerotic risk genotypes with recurrent coronary events (coronary-related death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or unstable angina) was investigated in a cohort of 1,008 patients after infarction during an average follow-up of 28 months. We used a carrier-ship approach with time-dependent survivorship analysis to evaluate the average risk of each carried genotype. Contrary to expectation, the hazard ratio for recurrent coronary events per carried versus noncarried genotype was 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.80 to 0.99, p = 0.03) after adjustment for relevant genetic, clinical, and environmental covariates. This hazard ratio, derived from the 7 prespecified genotypes, indicated an average 11% reduction in the risk of recurrent coronary events per carried versus noncarried genotype. At 1 year after hospital discharge, the cumulative probability of recurrent coronary events was 26% in those who carried < or =1, 20% for those with 2 to 4, and 13% for those with > or =5 of these genotypes (p = 0.02). This unexpected risk reversal is a likely consequence of changes in the mix of risk factors in pre- and postinfarction populations. In conclusion, this under appreciated, population-based, risk-reversal phenomenon may explain the inconsistent associations of genetic risk factors with outcome events in previous reports involving coronary populations with different risk attributes.

Risk factors and outcomes of hypogammaglobulinemia after lung transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Hypogammaglobulinemia (HGG) frequently occurs after solid organ transplantation; however, the prevalence and implications of HGG after lung transplantation are not well defined. The authors aimed to define the prevalence, risk factors, and outcomes of patients with severe HGG after lung transplantation. METHODS.: The authors performed a retrospective cohort study of 57 lung transplant recipients at their center. Quantitative total and subclass immunoglobulin (Ig) G levels were obtained from patients. RESULTS: Thirty-four (60%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 46%-72%) patients had low IgG levels (IgG <700 mg/dL); of these, eight (14%; 95% CI, 6%-26%) had severe HGG (IgG <400 mg/dL). Female patients had a higher risk of severe HGG than male patients (25% vs. 0%, P=0.007), and patients who underwent transplantation for emphysema had a higher risk of severe HGG than others (P=0.04). Patients with bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome had a higher risk of severe HGG than those without (50% vs. 10%, P=0.03). Severe HGG was associated with an increased risk of pneumonia (P=0.01) and worse survival (P=0.04) but with neither the incidence of cytomegalovirus disease (P=0.54) nor a subsequent diagnosis of bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (P=0.70). CONCLUSIONS: The authors have documented a high prevalence of HGG after lung transplantation. Emphysema, female gender, and bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome are risk factors for severe HGG. Patients with severe HGG had a higher cumulative incidence of pneumonia and worse survival. Studies of the efficacy and safety of IgG supplementation after lung transplantation should be pursued.