Serum antibodies to periodontal pathogens prior to rheumatoid arthritis diagnosis: A case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: 1) To quantify the association between anti-Porphyromonas gingivalis serum antibody concentrations and the risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and 2) to quantify the associations among RA cases between anti-P. gingivalis serum antibody concentrations and RA-specific autoantibodies. Additional anti-bacterial antibodies evaluated included anti-Fusobacterium nucleatum and anti-Prevotella intermedia. METHODS: Serum samples were acquired pre- and post- RA diagnosis from the U.S. Department of Defense Serum Repository (n = 214 cases, 210 matched controls). Using separate mixed-models, the timing of elevations of anti-P. gingivalis, anti-P. intermedia, and anti-F. nucleatum antibody concentrations relative to RA diagnosis were compared in RA cases versus controls. Associations were determined between serum anti-CCP2, ACPA fine specificities (vimentin, histone, and alpha-enolase), and IgA, IgG, and IgM RF in pre-RA diagnosis samples and anti-bacterial antibodies using mixed-effects linear regression models. RESULTS: No compelling evidence of case-control divergence in serum anti-P. gingivalis, anti-F. nucleatum, and anti-P. intermedia was observed. Among RA cases, including all pre-diagnosis serum samples, anti-P. intermedia was significantly positively associated with anti-CCP2, ACPA fine specificities targeting vimentin, histone, alpha-enolase, and IgA RF (p<0.001), IgG RF (p = 0.049), and IgM RF (p = 0.004), while anti-P. gingivalis and anti-F. nucleatum were not. CONCLUSIONS: No longitudinal elevations of anti-bacterial serum antibody concentrations were observed in RA patients prior to RA diagnosis compared to controls. However, anti-P. intermedia displayed significant associations with RA autoantibody concentrations prior to RA diagnosis, suggesting a potential role of this organism in progression towards clinically-detectable RA.

Association of Race and Risk of Future Scleroderma Renal Crisis at Systemic Sclerosis Diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE: Scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) is a rare and severe manifestation of systemic sclerosis (SSc). Although it is well documented that Black patients with SSc have worse morbidity and mortality than non-Black patients, racial predilection for SRC is underreported. We examine the association of race and future development of SRC in an SSc cohort. METHODS: Using the electronic health record of the US Military Health System, we conducted a comprehensive chart review of each patient with SSc from 2005 to 2016. The final study cohort was comprised of 31 SRC cases and 322 SSc without SRC controls. We conducted logistic regression of SRC as the outcome variable and race (Black versus non-Black) as the primary predictor variable, adjusted for age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypertension, and proteinuria at SSc diagnosis. RESULTS: Of 353 patients, 294 had identifiable race (79 Black, 215 non-Black). Thirteen of 79 Black patients (16.5%) versus 16 of 215 (7.4%) non-Black patients developed SRC (P = 0.02). On adjusted analysis, Black patients had a significantly higher risk of developing SRC than non-Black patients (odds ratio 6.4 [95% confidence interval 1.3-31.2], P = 0.02). Anti-Ro antibody was present in a higher proportion of Black SRC patients versus Black patients without SRC (45% versus 14%, P = 0.01). Conversely, older age, thrombocytopenia, and anti-RNA polymerase III antibody at SSc diagnosis were significantly associated with future SRC in the non-Black cohort. CONCLUSION: Black race was independently associated with a higher risk of future SRC. Further studies are needed to elucidate the mechanisms that underlie this important association.

Antibodies to Citrullinated Protein Antigens, Rheumatoid Factor Isotypes and the Shared Epitope and the Near-Term Development of Clinically-Apparent Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Background/Purpose: In rheumatoid arthritis (RA) autoantibodies including antibodies to citrullinated protein antigens (ACPA) and rheumatoid factor (RF) can be predictive of incident clinical RA. However, there is limited understanding of how antibody changes over time impact prediction of the likelihood and timing of future clinical RA. Materials and Methods: We evaluated relationships between ACPA, the shared epitope (SE), RF isotypes and incident RA in a prospective cohort of 90 ACPA(+) individuals without baseline arthritis identified through health-fair testing (i.e. Healthfair). We also evaluated ACPA and RF isotypes and time-to-diagnosis of RA in a retrospective cohort of 215 individuals with RA from the Department of Defense Serum Repository (DoDSR). Results: Twenty-six of 90 (29%) of ACPA(+) Healthfair participants developed incident RA. Baseline or incident dual RF-IgA and RF-IgM positivity was associated with increased risk for incident RA (HR 3.09; 95% CI 1.15 to 8.29) although RFs were negative in ~50% of individuals with incident RA. SE was associated with increased risk of RA (HR 2.87, 95% CI 1.22-6.76). In the DoDSR cohort, triple positivity for ACPA, RF-IgA and RF-IgM was present a median of 1-2 years prior to RA diagnosis, with some sex-specific differences. Conclusion: These findings can be used to counsel individuals at-risk for future RA and to design clinical trials for RA prevention. The findings also suggest that RF could be a surrogate outcome as a success of an immunologic intervention in RA prevention. Additional studies are needed to understand the biologic of different patterns of autoantibody elevations in RA evolution.

Antibody Responses to Epstein-Barr Virus in the Preclinical Period of Rheumatoid Arthritis Suggest the Presence of Increased Viral Reactivation Cycles.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with established rheumatoid arthritis (RA) demonstrate altered immune responses to Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), but the presence and roles of EBV have not been fully explored during the pre-clinical disease period. This study was undertaken to determine if EBV infection, as evidenced by an altered anti-EBV antibody response, either plays an important role in driving the development of RA or is a result of expanded RA-related autoimmunity. METHODS: A total of 83 subjects with RA according to the 1987 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria and 83 age-, sex-, and race-matched control subjects without RA were included in our study. We collected sera from RA subjects and matched controls during the pre-RA and post-RA diagnosis periods and tested the sera for the presence of 5 anti-EBV antibodies (anti-EBV nuclear antigen 1 IgG isotype, anti-viral capsid antigen [anti-VCA] isotypes IgG and IgA, and anti-early antigen [EA] isotypes IgG and IgA), 7 RA-related autoantibodies (rheumatoid factor measured by nephelometry [RF-Neph] as well as isotype-specific IgA-RF, IgM-RF, and IgG-RF, and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide [anti-CCP] antibodies, including anti-CCP2, anti-CCP3, and anti-CCP3.1), 22 cytokines/chemokines, 36 individual anti-citrullinated protein antibodies, and IgG-cytomegalovirus (CMV) antibodies. Random forest classification, mixed modeling, and joint mixed modeling were used to determine differences in anti-EBV antibody levels between RA subjects and controls. RESULTS: Random forest analysis identified the presence of preclinical EBV antibodies in the serum that differentiated RA subjects from controls without RA. Specifically, IgG-EA antibody levels were higher in RA subjects (mean ± SD 0.82 ± 0.72 international standardized ratio [ISR]) compared to controls (mean ± SD 0.49 ± 0.28 ISR). In subjects with RA, elevated serum IgG-EA levels in the preclinical period before seroconversion were significantly correlated with increased serum IgM-RF levels (P = 0.007), whereas this correlation was not seen in control subjects without RA (P = 0.15). IgG-CMV antibody levels did not differ between groups. CONCLUSION: Subjects whose serum IgG-EA antibody levels are elevated in the preclinical period will eventually develop RA, which suggests that EBV reactivation cycles are increased during the preclinical period of RA. A combination of RF and EBV reactivation may play an important role in the development of RA.

Comparing Rheumatology Consultation Patterns Across Telehealth Platforms and Face-to-Face Clinic in the Military Health System.

OBJECTIVE: To compare patterns of rheumatology consultations and outcomes across four different platforms in the Military Health System (MHS): face-to-face, synchronous telehealth, and two asynchronous telehealth platforms. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review comparing face-to-face rheumatology consults during 2019 with teleconsultations from three virtual systems in the MHS: an asynchronous email-based system from May 2006 to Feb 2018, a web-based platform from 2014 to 2018, and synchronous telehealth consults from March 2020 to March 2021. Consults were reviewed for diagnosis, and if medical evacuation was required for consults originating OCONUS or if face-to-face follow-up was required for synchronous teleconsults. Diagnoses of interest included inflammatory arthritis, noninflammatory arthritis, crystalline arthritis, myositis, lupus, vasculitis, fibromyalgia, antibody positivity without diagnosis, symptoms without specified diagnosis, and a composite of other rheumatic diseases. RESULTS: Leading diagnoses across platforms were inflammatory arthritis, noninflammatory arthritis, and a composite of other diagnoses. Consultation modality influenced the type of cases seen. Inflammatory arthritis accounted for significantly more consults in the synchronous telehealth (38.4%) and email-based (40.9%) models than in the web-based (23.7%) and face-to-face (32.0%) models. The composite of other diagnoses was the leading diagnosis for the asynchronous web-based model (32.9%), which was significantly more than the synchronous telehealth and face-to-face consults. Synchronous models saw significantly more cases of crystalline arthritis, vasculitis, and fibromyalgia.Email-based consultations resulted in medical evacuation in 25 cases and prevented evacuation in 5. Web-based consultations prompted medical evacuation in 100 cases. In the synchronous model, face-to-face follow-up was recommended in 142 (15%) cases. CONCLUSIONS: Modality of consultation influences the type of cases seen. Both synchronous and asynchronous telerheumatology models were able to answer the consult question without referral for face-to-face evaluation in 79.9-85.0% of consults, suggesting teleconsultation is a viable method to increase access to high-quality rheumatology care.

Combinations of Anticyclic Citrullinated Protein Antibody, Rheumatoid Factor, and Serum Calprotectin Positivity Are Associated With the Diagnosis of Rheumatoid Arthritis Within 3 Years.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of elevations of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide-3 (anti-CCP3) antibody, rheumatoid factor IgM (RF-IgM) and serum calprotectin (sCP) in pre-rheumatoid arthritis (RA) as well as the diagnostic accuracies of these biomarkers for the timing of diagnosis of future RA. METHODS: A total of 215 RA cases, each with approximately three pre-RA diagnoses and one post-RA diagnosis serum sample, and controls were identified from the Department of Defense Serum Repository. All case samples and a single sample from each control subject were tested for anti-CCP3 (IgG), RF-IgM, and sCP. The diagnostic accuracies of biomarkers for future RA were evaluated. RESULTS: Anti-CCP3, RF-IgM, and sCP were elevated in pre-RA, with anti-CCP3 and sCP significantly elevated compared with RF-IgM at the earliest time points. Within the cases, the combination of anti-CCP3 and RF-IgM positivity had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 35.6% for a diagnosis of RA in 3 years or less, which is significantly higher than the PPV of 18.7% for anti-CCP3 positivity alone (P < 0.001). A combination of anti-CCP3, RF-IgM, and sCP had the highest PPV (53.0%) for a diagnosis of RA in 3 years or less; however, this was not significantly higher than the PPV for anti-CCP3 and RF-IgM positivity (P = 0.248). CONCLUSION: Anti-CCP3, RF-IgM, and sCP are elevated in pre-RA; furthermore, combinations of elevations of these biomarkers are more commonly seen in the period of less than or equal to 3 years to diagnosis. This may be considered in creating inclusion criteria in prevention trials in RA. In addition, the biologic relationships of these biomarkers in pre-RA need exploration.

Circulating plasma metabolites and risk of rheumatoid arthritis in the Nurses' Health Study.

OBJECTIVES: RA develops slowly over years. We tested for metabolic changes prior to RA onset using a large non-targeted metabolomics platform to identify novel pathways and advance understanding of RA development. METHODS: Two hundred and fifty-four incident RA cases with plasma samples drawn pre-RA onset in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) cohorts were matched 1:2 to 501 controls on age, race, menopause/post-menopausal hormone use and blood collection features. Relative abundances of 360 unique, known metabolites were measured. Conditional logistic regression analyses assessed associations between metabolites and incidence of RA, adjusted for age, smoking and BMI, accounting for multiple comparisons. Subgroup analyses investigated seropositive (sero+) RA and RA within 5 years of sample collection. Significant metabolites were then tested in a female military pre-RA case-control study (n = 290). RESULTS: In the NHS, metabolites associated with RA and sero+RA in multivariable models included 4-acetamidobutanoate (odds ratio (OR) = 0.80/S.d., 95% CI: 0.66, 0.95), N-acetylputrescine (OR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.69, 0.96), C5 carnitine (OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.71, 0.99) and C5:1 carnitine (OR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.68, 0.95). These were involved primarily in polyamine and leucine, isoleucine and valine metabolism. Several metabolites associated with sero+RA within 5 years of diagnosis were replicated in the independent military cohort: C5 carnitine (OR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.33, 0.92), C5:1 carnitine (OR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.39, 0.99) and C3 carnitine (OR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.36, 0.91). CONCLUSION: Several metabolites were inversely associated with incidence of RA among women. Three short-chain acylcarnitines replicated in a smaller dataset and may reflect inflammation in the 5-year period prior to sero+RA diagnosis.

Timing of Elevations of Autoantibody Isotypes Prior to Diagnosis of Rheumatoid Arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate patterns of elevations of isotypes of rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) pre-rheumatoid arthritis (RA) diagnosis and post-RA diagnosis. METHODS: Using the Department of Defense Serum Repository we identified 214 RA cases and 210 matched controls. Up to 3 pre-RA diagnosis and 1 post-RA diagnosis serum samples per subject were tested for RF and for IgA, IgG, and IgM ACPAs. The timing and trajectories of elevations of autoantibodies were evaluated. RESULTS: Autoantibody levels were elevated in cases versus controls a mean of 17.9 years before RA diagnosis for IgG ACPA, 14.2 years for IgA-RF, 7.2 years for IgM-RF, 6.2 years for IgA ACPA, and 5.0 years for both IgM ACPA and IgG-RF (P < 0.01 for all comparisons). There were similar relationships for positive or negative autoantibody status, with cases first showing positivity for IgG ACPA 1.9 years pre-RA and for IgA-RF 1.7 years pre-RA, followed by the other isotypes. Only IgA ACPA positivity was significantly increased in post-RA diagnosis samples (19% 0-2 years pre-RA versus 39% >2 years post-RA diagnosis; P = 0.04). All autoantibody levels demonstrated an early initial elevation, a period of stability, then an increase immediately before RA diagnosis. A pre-RA endotype of early elevation of autoantibodies was associated with increased use of biologic therapy, and a higher prevalence of sicca symptoms and lung disease post-RA diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Differences in patterns of elevations of autoantibody isotypes have implications for understanding the pathophysiology of RA development. These include understanding what factors drive initial autoantibody elevations compared to what factors (including mucosal) drive later increases in autoantibody levels and a transition to clinically apparent RA, and how pre-RA endotypes may influence post-RA diagnosis phenotypes.

Autoantibodies are present before the clinical diagnosis of systemic sclerosis.

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a heterogeneous autoimmune disorder associated with vascular dysfunction and fibrotic changes in the skin, vasculature and internal organs. Although serologic abnormalities are an important diagnostic tool for SSc, little is known about whether autoantibodies precede clinical diagnosis. Here we investigated the presence of autoantibodies before SSc diagnosis and assessed whether certain autoantibodies might associate with the future onset of scleroderma renal crisis (SRC), a potentially fatal complication of the disease. Using the Department of Defense Serum Repository, autoantibodies were analyzed from archived, prospectively collected, longitudinal serum samples from sixteen individuals with SRC (SSc/SRC) and thirty cases of SSc without SRC (SSc/no SRC), matched for age, sex, and race. Seventy five percent (12/16) of the SSc/SRC and 40% (12/30) of the SSc/no SRC were seropositive for at least one autoantibody prior to clinical diagnosis (up to 27.1 years earlier, mean = -7.4 years). Although both disease groups demonstrated a heterogeneous immunoreactivity profile against the autoantigen panel, the SSc/SRC subjects showed two enriched clusters with one featuring elevated levels of autoantibodies against Ro52 and/or Ro60 and another with high levels of immunoreactivity against the RNA polymerase complex. Consistent with larger spectrum of immunoreactivity and the elevated levels of autoantibodies in SSc/SRC, the total response against the autoantigen panel from the last time point of the seropositive subjects revealed that the SSc/SRC cohort harbored higher antibody levels (p = 0.02) compared to SSc/no SRC. Overall, our findings demonstrate that relevant seropositive autoantibodies often precede the clinical diagnosis of SSc/no SRC and SSc/SRC.

Risk Factors for Future Scleroderma Renal Crisis at Systemic Sclerosis Diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a disease of autoimmunity, fibrosis, and vasculopathy. Scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) is one of the most severe complications. Corticosteroid exposure, presence of anti-RNA polymerase III antibodies (ARA), skin thickness, and significant tendon friction rubs are among the known risk factors at SSc diagnosis for developing future SRC. Identification of additional clinical characteristics and laboratory findings could expand and improve the risk profile for future SRC at SSc diagnosis. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study of the entire military electronic medical record between 2005 and 2016, we compared the demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory results at SSc diagnosis for 31 cases who developed SRC after SSc diagnosis to 322 SSc without SRC disease controls. RESULTS: After adjustment for potential confounding variables, at SSc diagnosis these conditions were all associated with future SRC: proteinuria (p < 0.001; OR 183, 95% CI 19.1-1750), anemia (p = 0.001; OR 9.9, 95% CI 2.7-36.2), hypertension (p < 0.001; OR 13.1, 95% CI 4.7-36.6), chronic kidney disease (p = 0.008; OR 20.7, 95% CI 2.2-190.7), elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (p < 0.001; OR 14.3, 95% CI 4.8-43.0), thrombocytopenia (p = 0.03; OR 7.0, 95% CI 1.2-42.7), hypothyroidism (p = 0.01; OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.2-6.7), Anti-Ro antibody seropositivity (p = 0.003; OR 3.9, 95% CI 1.6-9.8), and ARA (p = 0.02; OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.2-13.8). Three or more of these risk factors present at SSc diagnosis was sensitive (77%) and highly specific (97%) for future SRC. No SSc without SRC disease controls had ≥ 4 risk factors. CONCLUSION: In this SSc cohort, we present a panel of risk factors for future SRC. These patients may benefit from close observation of blood pressure, proteinuria, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, for earlier SRC identification and intervention. Future prospective therapeutic studies could focus specifically on this high-risk population.

Combination of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies and rheumatoid factor is associated with increased systemic inflammatory mediators and more rapid progression from preclinical to clinical rheumatoid arthritis.

The development of rheumatoid factor (RF) and/or anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) can be observed years prior to clinical diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Nevertheless, the interaction between these two autoantibodies and their combined effect on development of RA is unclear. We measured RF, cytokines, and ACPA subtypes in serial pre-clinical serum samples collected from 83 US veterans who all developed RA. Levels of cytokines and ACPAs were compared between the following groups: anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP)-/RF- (double negative), anti-CCP+/RF-, anti-CCP-/RF+, or anti-CCP+/RF+ (double-positive). The double-positive subgroup had significantly higher levels of 20 inflammatory cytokines and 29 ACPA reactivities, and the shortest interval, 1.3 years, between the preclinical sample timepoint and diagnosis of RA. Thus, the combined presence of ACPAs and RF is associated with a more rapid progression to RA, suggesting that anti-CCP+/RF+ individuals have a more advanced preclinical disease state and that the onset of RA may be imminent.

Triple Positivity for Anti-Citrullinated Protein Autoantibodies, Rheumatoid Factor, and Anti-Carbamylated Protein Antibodies Conferring High Specificity for Rheumatoid Arthritis: Implications for Very Early Identification of At-Risk Individuals.

OBJECTIVE: In rheumatoid arthritis (RA), anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) and rheumatoid factor (RF) are commonly used to aid in the diagnosis. Although these autoantibodies are mainly found in RA, their specificity is not optimal. It is therefore difficult to identify RA patients, especially in very early disease, based on the presence of ACPAs and RF alone. In addition, anti-carbamylated protein (anti-CarP) antibodies have diagnostic and prognostic value, since their presence is associated with joint damage in RA patients and also associated with the future development of RA in patients with arthralgia. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to investigate the value of combined antibody testing in relation to prediction and diagnosis of (early) RA. METHODS: A literature search resulted in identification of 12 relevant studies, consisting of RA patients, pre-RA individuals, disease controls, healthy first-degree relatives of RA patients, and healthy control subjects, in which data on RF, ACPAs, and anti-CarP antibody status were available. Using these data, random effects meta-analyses were carried out for several antibody combinations. RESULTS: The individual antibodies were highly prevalent in patients with RA (34-80%) compared to the control groups, but were also present in non-RA controls (0-23%). For the classification of most subjects correctly as having RA or as a non-RA control, the combination of ACPAs and/or RF often performed well (specificity 65-100%, sensitivity 59-88%). However, triple positivity for ACPAs, RF, and anti-CarP antibodies resulted in a higher specificity for RA (98-100%), accompanied by a lower sensitivity (11-39%). CONCLUSION: As the rheumatology field is moving toward very early identification of RA and possible screening for individuals at maximum risk of RA in populations with a low pretest probability, an autoantibody profile of triple positivity for ACPAs, RF, and anti-CarP provides interesting information that might help identify individuals at risk of developing RA.

Anti-carbamylated protein antibodies are present prior to rheumatoid arthritis and are associated with its future diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE: Anti-carbamylated protein (anti-CarP) antibodies could further elucidate early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) pathogenesis and predict clinical disease. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of anti-CarP antibodies for future RA to other RA-related antibodies in military personnel. METHODS: Stored pre-RA diagnosis serum samples from 76 RA cases were tested for anti-CarP fetal calf serum (FCS), anti-CarP fibrinogen (Fib), anticyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies version 2 (anti-CCP2), rheumatoid factor-nephelometry (RF-Neph), and RF isotypes [immunoglobulin M (IgM), IgG, and IgA]. Positivity for all antibodies was determined as ≥ 2 SD of log-transformed means from controls. Relationships between autoantibodies and future RA were assessed in prediagnosis serum for all RA cases compared to controls using sensitivity, specificity, and logistic regression. Differences in diagnostic accuracy between antibody combinations were assessed using comparisons of area under the curves (AUC). RESULTS: Anti-CarP-FCS was 26% sensitive and 95% specific for future RA, whereas anti-CarP-Fib was 16% sensitive and 95% specific for future RA. Anti-CarP-FCS positivity was associated with future RA, while anti-CarP-Fib trended toward association. The antibody combination of anti-CCP2 and/or ≥ 2 RF (RF-Neph and/or RF-isotypes) resulted in an AUC of 0.72 for future RA, where the AUC was 0.71 with the addition of anti-CarP-FCS to this prior combination. CONCLUSION: Adding anti-CarP-FCS to antibody combinations did not improve AUC. However, anti-CarP-FCS was associated with future onset of RA, and was present in prediagnosis serum in ∼10% of RA cases negative for anti-CCP2 but positive for RF.

Performance of anti-cyclic citrullinated Peptide assays differs in subjects at increased risk of rheumatoid arthritis and subjects with established disease.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the diagnostic accuracy and agreement of commonly available assays for anti-citrullinated protein antibodies in patients with established rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and subjects at increased risk of RA. METHODS: Tests for anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies were performed using CCP2 IgG and CCP3.1 IgA/IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays in the following groups: probands with established RA (n = 340) from the Studies of the Etiology of Rheumatoid Arthritis (SERA) cohort and their first-degree relatives (FDRs) without inflammatory arthritis (n = 681), Department of Defense Serum Repository (DoDSR) RA cases with pre-RA diagnosis samples (n = 83; 47 cases also had post-RA diagnosis samples), and blood donor and DoDSR control subjects (n = 283). RESULTS: In patients with established RA, the CCP2 assay was more specific (99.2% versus 93.1%; P < 0.01) but less sensitive (58.7% versus 67.4%; P = 0.01) than the CCP3.1 assay; the specificity of the CCP3.1 assay increased to 97.2% when cutoff levels ≥3-fold the standard level were considered. In all subjects, CCP3.1 assay positivity (using standard cutoff levels) was more prevalent. Among DoDSR cases, the CCP2 assay was more specific than the CCP3.1 for predicting a future diagnosis of RA, and higher CCP levels trended toward increasing specificity for the development of RA within 2 years. At standard cutoff levels, assay agreement was good in patients with established RA (κ = 0.76) but poor in FDRs without inflammatory arthritis (κ = 0.25). CONCLUSION: Anti-CCP assays differ to an extent that may be meaningful for diagnosing RA in patients with inflammatory arthritis and evaluating the natural history of RA development in subjects at risk of RA. The mechanisms underlying these differences in test performance need further investigation.

Autoantibody epitope spreading in the pre-clinical phase predicts progression to rheumatoid arthritis.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a prototypical autoimmune arthritis affecting nearly 1% of the world population and is a significant cause of worldwide disability. Though prior studies have demonstrated the appearance of RA-related autoantibodies years before the onset of clinical RA, the pattern of immunologic events preceding the development of RA remains unclear. To characterize the evolution of the autoantibody response in the preclinical phase of RA, we used a novel multiplex autoantigen array to evaluate development of the anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) and to determine if epitope spread correlates with rise in serum cytokines and imminent onset of clinical RA. To do so, we utilized a cohort of 81 patients with clinical RA for whom stored serum was available from 1-12 years prior to disease onset. We evaluated the accumulation of ACPA subtypes over time and correlated this accumulation with elevations in serum cytokines. We then used logistic regression to identify a profile of biomarkers which predicts the imminent onset of clinical RA (defined as within 2 years of testing). We observed a time-dependent expansion of ACPA specificity with the number of ACPA subtypes. At the earliest timepoints, we found autoantibodies targeting several innate immune ligands including citrullinated histones, fibrinogen, and biglycan, thus providing insights into the earliest autoantigen targets and potential mechanisms underlying the onset and development of autoimmunity in RA. Additionally, expansion of the ACPA response strongly predicted elevations in many inflammatory cytokines including TNF-α, IL-6, IL-12p70, and IFN-γ. Thus, we observe that the preclinical phase of RA is characterized by an accumulation of multiple autoantibody specificities reflecting the process of epitope spread. Epitope expansion is closely correlated with the appearance of preclinical inflammation, and we identify a biomarker profile including autoantibodies and cytokines which predicts the imminent onset of clinical arthritis.

The number of elevated cytokines and chemokines in preclinical seropositive rheumatoid arthritis predicts time to diagnosis in an age-dependent manner.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate levels of biomarkers in preclinical rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and to use elevated biomarkers to develop a model for the prediction of time to future diagnosis of seropositive RA. METHODS: Stored samples obtained from 73 military cases with seropositive RA prior to RA diagnosis and from controls (mean 2.9 samples per case; samples collected a mean of 6.6 years prior to diagnosis) were tested for rheumatoid factor (RF) isotypes, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies, 14 cytokines and chemokines (by bead-based assay), and C-reactive protein (CRP). RESULTS: Preclinical positivity for anti-CCP and/or ≥2 RF isotypes was >96% specific for future RA. In preclinical RA, levels of the following were positive in a significantly greater proportion of RA cases versus controls: interleukin-1α (IL-1α), IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-10, IL-12p40, IL-12p70, IL-15, fibroblast growth factor 2, flt-3 ligand, tumor necrosis factor α, interferon-γ-inducible 10-kd protein, granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, and CRP. Also, increasing numbers of elevated cytokines/chemokines were present in cases nearer to the time of diagnosis. RA patients who were ≥40 years old at diagnosis had a higher proportion of samples positive for cytokines/chemokines 5-10 years prior to diagnosis than did patients who were <40 years old at diagnosis (P < 0.01). In regression modeling using only case samples positive for autoantibodies highly specific for future RA, increasing numbers of cytokines/chemokines were predictive of decreased time to diagnosis, and the predicted time to diagnosis based on cytokines/chemokines was longer in older compared with younger cases. CONCLUSION: Levels of autoantibodies, cytokines/chemokines, and CRP are elevated in the preclinical period of RA development. In preclinical autoantibody-positive cases, the number of elevated cytokines/chemokines is predictive of the time of diagnosis of future RA in an age-dependent manner.