Estimating the impacts of nonoptimal temperatures on mortality: A study in British Columbia, Canada, 2001-2021.

Background: Studies show that more than 5.1 million deaths annually are attributed to nonoptimal temperatures, including extreme cold and extreme heat. However, those studies mostly report average estimates across large geographical areas. The health risks attributed to nonoptimal temperatures in British Columbia (BC) are reported incompletely or limit the study area to urban centers. In this study, we aim to estimate the attributable deaths linked to nonoptimal temperatures in all five regional health authorities (RHAs) of BC from 2001 to 2021. Methods: We applied the widely used distributed lag nonlinear modeling approach to estimate temperature-mortality association in the RHAs of BC, using daily all-cause deaths and 1 × 1 km gridded daily mean temperature. We evaluated the model by comparing the model-estimated attributable number of deaths during the 2021 heat dome to the number of heat-related deaths confirmed by the British Columbia Coroners Service. Results: Overall, between 2001 and 2021, we estimate that 7.17% (95% empirical confidence interval = 3.15, 10.32) of deaths in BC were attributed to nonoptimal temperatures, the majority of which are attributed to cold. On average, the mortality rates attributable to moderate cold, moderate heat, extreme cold, and extreme heat were 47.04 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 45.83, 48.26), 0.94 (95% CI = 0.81, 1.08), 2.88 (95% CI = 2.05, 3.71), and 3.10 (95% CI = 1.79, 4.4) per 100,000 population per year, respectively. Conclusions: Our results show significant spatial variability in deaths attributable to nonoptimal temperatures across BC. We find that the effect of extreme temperatures is significantly less compared to milder nonoptimal temperatures between 2001 and 2021. However, the increased contribution of extreme heat cannot be ruled out in the near future.

Re-examining prophylactic cranial irradiation in small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC) are at high risk for brain metastases. Prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) is recommended in this population to reduce the incidence of brain metastases and prolong survival. We aimed to assesses the efficacy of PCI in this population in the era of routine brain imaging. To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the use among patients who were radiographically confirmed not to have brain metastases after completion of first-line therapy. Methods: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, cohort studies and controlled trials reporting on the use of PCI for patients SCLC were identified in EMBASE, MEDLINE, CENTRAL, and grey literature sources. The literature search was conducted on November 12, 2023. Summary data were extracted. Random-effects meta-analyses pooled hazard ratios (HR) for the primary outcome of overall survival between PCI and no intervention groups. This study is registered with the Open Science Framework, DOI:10.17605/OSF.IO/BC359, and PROSPERO, CRD42021249466. Findings: Of 4318 identified records, 223 were eligible for inclusion. 109 reported on overall survival in formats amenable to meta-analysis; PCI was associated with longer survival in all patients with SCLC (HR 0.59; 95% CI, 0.55-0.63; p < 0.001; n = 56,770 patients), patients with limited stage disease (HR 0.60; 95% CI, 0.55-0.65; p < 0.001; n = 78 studies; n = 27,137 patients), and patients with extensive stage disease (HR 0.59; 95% CI, 0.51-0.70; p < 0.001; n = 28 studies; n = 26,467 patients). Between-study heterogeneity was significant when pooled amongst all studies (I2 = 73.6%; 95% CI 68.4%-77.9%). Subgroup analysis did not reveal sources of heterogeneity. In a subgroup analysis on studies that used magnetic resonance imaging to exclude presence of brain metastases at restaging among all patients, overall survival did not differ significantly between patients who did or did not receive PCI (HR 0.74; 95% CI, 0.52-1.05; p = 0.08; n = 9 studies; n = 1384 patients). Interpretation: Our findings suggested that administration of PCI is associated with a survival benefit, but not when considering studies that radiographically confirmed absence of brain metastases, suggesting that the survival benefit conferred by PCI might be therapeutic rather than prophylactic. Funding: No funding.

The Impact of Chronic Disease on the Corrected QT (QTc) Value in Women in a British Columbia First Nations Population.

BACKGROUND: Indigenous women have higher rates of chronic disease than Indigenous men and non-Indigenous women. Long QT syndrome (LQTS) can be inherited or acquired; the latter may occur with chronic disease. A prolonged corrected QT value (QTc) is an independent risk factor for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death, but few studies have quantified the impact of chronic disease on the QTc. We assessed the association between chronic disease and QTc prolongation in a population of First Nations women previously ascertained to study a high rate of inherited LQTS due to a unique genetic (founder) variant in their community. METHODS: This substudy focusing on women expands on the original research where patients with clinical features of LQTS and their relatives were assessed for genetic variants discovered to affect the QTc. Medical records were retrospectively reviewed and chronic diseases documented. Using multivariate linear regression, adjusting for the effect of genetic variants, age, and QTc-prolonging medications, we evaluated the association between chronic disease and the QTc. RESULTS: In total, 275 women were included. After adjustments, a prolonged QTc was associated with coronary artery disease (26.5 ms, 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.0-44.1 ms; P = 0.003), conduction system disease (26.8 ms, 95% CI 2.2-51.4 ms; P = 0.033), rheumatoid arthritis (28.9 ms, 95% CI 12.7-45.1 ms; P = 0.001), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (17.9 ms, 95% CI 3.6-32.3 ms; P = 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: This quantification of the association between chronic disease and QTc prolongation in an Indigenous cohort provides insight into the nongenetic determinants of QTc prolongation. Corroboration in other populations will provide evidence for generalisability of these results.

Association of Brain Metastases With Survival in Patients With Limited or Stable Extracranial Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Importance: Intracranial metastatic disease (IMD) is a severe complication of cancer with profound prognostic implications. Patients with IMD in the setting of limited or stable extracranial disease (IMD-SE) may represent a unique and understudied subset of patients with IMD with superior prognosis. Objective: To evaluate overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and intracranial PFS (iPFS) in patients with IMD-SE secondary to any primary cancer. Data Sources: Records were identified from MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and gray literature sources from inception to June 21, 2021. Study Selection: Studies in English reporting OS, PFS, or iPFS in patients with IMD-SE (defined as IMD and ≤2 extracranial metastatic sites) and no prior second-line chemotherapy or brain-directed therapy were selected. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Author, year of publication, type of study, type of primary cancer, and outcome measures were extracted. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed to estimate effect sizes, and subgroup meta-analysis and metaregression were conducted to measure between-study differences in February 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was OS described as hazard ratios (HRs) and medians for comparative and single-group studies, respectively. Secondary end points were PFS and iPFS. Results: Overall, 68 studies (5325 patients) were included. IMD-SE was associated with longer OS (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.39-0.70) and iPFS (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.52-0.76) compared with IMD in the setting of progressive extracranial disease. The weighted median OS estimate for patients with IMD-SE was 17.9 months (95% CI, 16.4-22.0 months), and for patients with IMD-PE it was 8.0 months (95% CI, 7.2-12.8 months). Pooled median OS for all patients with IMD-SE was 20.9 months (95% CI, 16.35-25.98 months); for the subgroup with breast cancer it was 20.2 months (95% CI, 10.43-38.20 months), and for non-small cell lung cancer it was 27.5 months (95% CI, 18.27-49.66 months). Between-study heterogeneity for OS and iPFS were moderate (I2 = 56.5%) and low (I2 = 0%), respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review and meta-analysis of patients with IMD-SE, limited systemic disease was associated with improved OS and iPFS. Future prospective trials should aim to collect granular information on the extent of extracranial disease to identify drivers of mortality and optimal treatment strategies in patients with brain metastases.

Validation of case definition algorithms for the ascertainment of congenital anomalies.

BACKGROUND: Congenital anomalies (CA) are one of the leading causes of infant mortality and long-term disability. Many jurisdictions rely on health administrative data to monitor these conditions. Case definition algorithms can be used to monitor CA; however, validation of these algorithms is needed to understand the strengths and limitations of the data. This study aimed to validate case definition algorithms used in a CA surveillance system in British Columbia (BC), Canada. METHODS: A cohort of births between March 2000 and April 2002 in BC was linked to the Health Status Registry (HSR) and the BC Congenital Anomalies Surveillance System (BCCASS) to identify cases and non-cases of specific anomalies within each surveillance system. Measures of algorithm performance were calculated for each CA using the HSR as the reference standard. Agreement between both databases was calculated using kappa coefficient. The modified Standards for Reporting Diagnostic Accuracy guidelines were used to enhance the quality of the study. RESULTS: Measures of algorithm performance varied by condition. Positive predictive value (PPV) ranged between approximately 73%-100%. Sensitivity was lower than PPV for most conditions. Internal congenital anomalies or conditions not easily identifiable at birth had the lowest sensitivity. Specificity and negative predictive value exceeded 99% for all algorithms. CONCLUSION: Case definition algorithms may be used to monitor CA at the population level. Accuracy of algorithms is higher for conditions that are easily identified at birth. Jurisdictions with similar administrative data may benefit from using validated case definitions for CA surveillance as this facilitates cross-jurisdictional comparison.

Erythroblastic oncogene B-2 status and intracranial metastatic disease in patients with gastrointestinal cancer: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: The incidence of intracranial metastatic disease (IMD) in patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancers is rising. Expression of the erythroblastic oncogene B-2 (ERBB2) is associated with an in increased risk of IMD in patients with breast cancer. The implications of ERBB2 expression for IMD risk in patients with GI cancers is less clear. The objective of this systematic review was to determine the incidence of IMD and OS in patients with ERBB2+ gastrointestinal cancers. METHODS: A literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and grey literature sources was conducted from date of database inception to July 2021. Included studies reported outcomes on patients with IMD secondary to ERBB2 GI cancers. RESULTS: Fourteen cohort studies met inclusion criteria, of which thirteen were retrospective. Eleven studies reported on gastric, esophageal, or gastroesophageal junction cancers. Three studies directly compared incidence of IMD based on ERBB2 status and among these, ERBB2+ patients had a higher incidence of IMD. One study indicated that ERBB2+ patients had significantly longer OS from the times of primary cancer (P = .015) and IMD diagnosis (P = .01), compared with patients with ERBB2- disease. CONCLUSIONS: In this systematic review, patients with ERBB2+ GI cancer were more likely to develop IMD. Future study is required on the prognostic and predictive value of ERBB2 status in patients with GI cancers.

Small area disease mapping of cancer incidence in British Columbia using Bayesian spatial models and the smallareamapp R Package.

Introduction: There is an increasing interest in small area analyses in cancer surveillance; however, technical capacity is limited and accessible analytical approaches remain to be determined. This study demonstrates an accessible approach for small area cancer risk estimation using Bayesian hierarchical models and data visualization through the smallareamapp R package. Materials and methods: Incident lung (N = 26,448), female breast (N = 28,466), cervical (N = 1,478), and colorectal (N = 25,457) cancers diagnosed among British Columbia (BC) residents between 2011 and 2018 were obtained from the BC Cancer Registry. Indirect age-standardization was used to derive age-adjusted expected counts and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) relative to provincial rates. Moran's I was used to assess the strength and direction of spatial autocorrelation. A modified Besag, York and Mollie model (BYM2) was used for model incidence counts to calculate posterior median relative risks (RR) by Community Health Service Areas (CHSA; N = 218), adjusting for spatial dependencies. Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) was used for Bayesian model implementation. Areas with exceedance probabilities (above a threshold RR = 1.1) greater or equal to 80% were considered to have an elevated risk. The posterior median and 95% credible intervals (CrI) for the spatially structured effect were reported. Predictive posterior checks were conducted through predictive integral transformation values and observed versus fitted values. Results: The proportion of variance in the RR explained by a spatial effect ranged from 4.4% (male colorectal) to 19.2% (female breast). Lung cancer showed the greatest number of CHSAs with elevated risk (Nwomen = 50/218, Nmen = 44/218), representing 2357 total excess cases. The largest lung cancer RRs were 1.67 (95% CrI = 1.06-2.50; exceedance probability = 96%; cases = 13) among women and 2.49 (95% CrI = 2.14-2.88; exceedance probability = 100%; cases = 174) among men. Areas with small population sizes and extreme SIRs were generally smoothed towards the null (RR = 1.0). Discussion: We present a ready-to-use approach for small area cancer risk estimation and disease mapping using BYM2 and exceedance probabilities. We developed the smallareamapp R package, which provides a user-friendly interface through an R-Shiny application, for epidemiologists and surveillance experts to examine geographic variation in risk. These methods and tools can be used to estimate risk, generate hypotheses, and examine ecologic associations while adjusting for spatial dependency.

Failure of human rhombic lip differentiation underlies medulloblastoma formation.

Medulloblastoma (MB) comprises a group of heterogeneous paediatric embryonal neoplasms of the hindbrain with strong links to early development of the hindbrain1-4. Mutations that activate Sonic hedgehog signalling lead to Sonic hedgehog MB in the upper rhombic lip (RL) granule cell lineage5-8. By contrast, mutations that activate WNT signalling lead to WNT MB in the lower RL9,10. However, little is known about the more commonly occurring group 4 (G4) MB, which is thought to arise in the unipolar brush cell lineage3,4. Here we demonstrate that somatic mutations that cause G4 MB converge on the core binding factor alpha (CBFA) complex and mutually exclusive alterations that affect CBFA2T2, CBFA2T3, PRDM6, UTX and OTX2. CBFA2T2 is expressed early in the progenitor cells of the cerebellar RL subventricular zone in Homo sapiens, and G4 MB transcriptionally resembles these progenitors but are stalled in developmental time. Knockdown of OTX2 in model systems relieves this differentiation blockade, which allows MB cells to spontaneously proceed along normal developmental differentiation trajectories. The specific nature of the split human RL, which is destined to generate most of the neurons in the human brain, and its high level of susceptible EOMES+KI67+ unipolar brush cell progenitor cells probably predisposes our species to the development of G4 MB.

How low can you go? Air pollution affects mortality at very low levels.

The World Health Organization (WHO) recently released new guidelines for outdoor fine particulate air pollution (PM2.5) recommending an annual average concentration of 5 µg/m3. Yet, our understanding of the concentration-response relationship between outdoor PM2.5 and mortality in this range of near-background concentrations remains incomplete. To address this uncertainty, we conducted a population-based cohort study of 7.1 million adults in one of the world's lowest exposure environments. Our findings reveal a supralinear concentration-response relationship between outdoor PM2.5 and mortality at very low (<5 µg/m3) concentrations. Our updated global concentration-response function incorporating this new information suggests an additional 1.5 million deaths globally attributable to outdoor PM2.5 annually compared to previous estimates. The global health benefits of meeting the new WHO guideline for outdoor PM2.5 are greater than previously assumed and indicate a need for continued reductions in outdoor air pollution around the world.

Stereotactic radiosurgery versus whole brain radiotherapy in patients with intracranial metastatic disease and small-cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) are at high risk for intracranial metastatic disease (IMD). Although stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) has supplanted whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) as first-line treatment for IMD in most solid cancers, WBRT remains first-line treatment for IMD in patients with SCLC. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of SRS in comparison with WBRT and assess treatment outcomes following SRS. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and grey literature sources for controlled trials and cohort studies published in English reporting on SRS for IMD treatment in patients with SCLC from inception to March 23, 2022. Studies were excluded that did not report on SRS for IMD secondary to SCLC. Summary data were extracted. The primary outcome was overall survival, presented as pooled hazard ratios (HR) through random-effects meta-analysis for studies comparing SRS with WBRT with or without SRS boost, and as medians for single-arm SRS studies. This study is registered with the Open Science Framework, DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8M4HC, and PROSPERO, CRD42021258197. FINDINGS: Of 3823 identified records, 31 were eligible for inclusion; seven were included in the meta-analysis. Overall survival following SRS was longer than following WBRT with or without SRS boost (HR 0·85; 95% CI 0·75-0·97; n=7 studies; n=18 130 patients), or WBRT alone (0·77; 0·72-0·83; n=7 studies; n=16 961 patients), but not WBRT plus SRS boost (1·17, 0·78-1·75; n=4 studies; n=1167 patients). Using single-arm studies, pooled median overall survival from SRS was 8·99 months (95% CI 7·86-10·16; n=14 studies; n=1682 patients). Between-study heterogeneity was considerable when pooled among all comparative studies (I2=71·9%). INTERPRETATION: These results suggest survival outcomes are equitable following treatment with SRS compared with WBRT in patients with SCLC and IMD. Future prospective studies should focus on tumour burden and differences in local and distant intracranial progression between WBRT-treated and SRS-treated patients with SCLC. FUNDING: None.

Implementation of the BC Congenital Anomalies Surveillance System (BCCASS).

SETTING: Congenital anomalies (CAs) can cause lifelong morbidity and accounted for 23.2% of infant deaths from 2003 to 2007. In British Columbia (BC), surveillance of CAs has been irregular since the early 2000s. To enhance CAs surveillance in BC, the Public Health Agency of Canada has provided funding for the implementation of the BC Congenital Anomalies Surveillance System (BCCASS). INTERVENTION: BCCASS is a population-based surveillance system. The system leverages existing administrative data sources that capture information regarding vital events, disease status, drug prescription, and healthcare utilization. The system uses a series of algorithms to capture specific CAs diagnoses, some of which are further validated with the support of the Provincial Advisory Committee. This Advisory Committee is a multi-stakeholder coalition that includes the BC Office of the Provincial Health Officer, subject matter experts, data partners, users, and academia, and acts to provide support, expertise, and strategic guidance to BCCASS. OUTCOMES: Through BCCASS, prevalence and historical trends for 35 CAs in BC are available. Information pertaining to maternal place of residence, risk, and protective factors can be used for association studies such as links to environmental hazards and cluster analysis. IMPLICATIONS: BCCASS is a cost-effective and sustainable system that leverages existing data sources necessary to understand the overall burden of CAs across the BC population. This is fundamental to support data-driven decisions around policy development, program planning, and evaluation of preventive measures. Strong coalitions with stakeholders are instrumental to ensure successful implementation and expansion in the future.

RéSUME: CONTEXTE: Les anomalies congénitales (AC) peuvent causer une morbidité à vie et ont représenté 23,2 % des décès infantiles de 2003 à 2007. En Colombie-Britannique, la surveillance des AC a été irrégulière depuis le début des années 2000. Afin d'améliorer la surveillance de l'AC en Colombie-Britannique, l'Agence de la santé publique du Canada a financé la mise en œuvre du BC Congenital Anomalies Surveillance System (BCCASS). INTERVENTION: Le BCCASS est un système de surveillance basé sur la population. Le système exploite les sources de données administratives existantes qui capturent des informations concernant les événements vitaux, les diagnostics médicaux, la prescription de médicaments et l'utilisation des soins de santé. Le système utilise une série d'algorithmes pour saisir des diagnostics d'AC spécifiques, dont certains sont ensuite validés avec le soutien du Comité consultatif provincial. Ce comité consultatif est une coalition multipartite entre le bureau de l'Agence de santé provincial de la Colombie-Britannique, des experts en la matière, des partenaires de données, des utilisateurs et des universitaires, qui agit pour fournir un soutien, une expertise et des conseils stratégiques au BCCASS. RéSULTATS: Par le BCCASS, la prévalence et les tendances historiques pour 35 AC en Colombie-Britannique sont disponibles. Les informations relatives au lieu de résidence de la mère, aux facteurs de risque et de protection peuvent être utilisées pour des études d'association telles que les liens avec les facteurs environnementaux et l'analyse typologique. INCIDENCES: Le BCCASS est un système rentable et durable qui tire parti des sources de données existantes nécessaires pour comprendre le fardeau global des CA dans l'ensemble de la population de la Colombie-Britannique. Ceci est fondamental pour soutenir les décisions fondées sur les données concernant l'élaboration de politiques, la planification de programmes et l'évaluation des mesures préventives. Des coalitions solides avec les parties prenantes sont essentielles pour assurer une mise en œuvre et une expansion réussie dans l'avenir.

Hazardous alcohol use and alcohol-related harm in rural and remote communities: a scoping review.

Alcohol use is a major risk factor for death and disease worldwide and alcohol-related harms appear to be more prevalent in rural and remote, relative to urban, communities. This Review synthesised international research on rural-urban disparities in hazardous and harmful alcohol use and risk factors for these outcomes within rural and remote communities. 280 studies from 49 countries were included in the Scoping Review. Most studies (60%) found rural, relative to urban, residence to be associated with an increased likelihood of hazardous alcohol use or alcohol-related harm. This proportion increased between 1990 and 2019 and varied by country, age group, and outcome type, being highest in Australia, among young adults, and for more severe alcohol-related harms, such as drink driving and alcohol-related suicide. Improved public health strategies to reduce the burden of alcohol use in rural communities are required but their efficacy will depend on how well they are tailored to the unique needs of the region they are implemented in.

Association of the CPT1A p.P479L Metabolic Gene Variant With Childhood Respiratory and Other Infectious Illness in Nunavut.

Objective: Infectious illness, including lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), is a leading cause of childhood morbidity and infant mortality in Inuit children in Nunavut Canada. The carnitine palmitoyltransferase 1A (CPT1A) p.P479L variant is common in arctic Indigenous populations of Alaska, Canada, and Greenland. CPT1A is a fatty acid oxidation enzyme expressed in the liver, immunocytes and other tissues, and is needed to use fats for energy during fasting. Previous association of the variant with early childhood infectious illness and infant death has been challenged because of sample size and limited adjustment for confounders. We evaluated whether the p.P479L variant is associated with infectious illness in Inuit children of Nunavut, Canada. Methods: We conducted a retrospective clinical chart review of 2,225 Inuit children (0-5 years) for infectious illness (including otitis media, gastroenteritis, and hospital admission for LRTI), prenatal, perinatal, and socioeconomic indicators, subsequently linking to CPT1A genotype. Multivariable logistic regression adjusted for birth characteristics, breastfeeding, maternal smoking, food insecurity, and socioeconomic indicators. Results: Overall, 27% of children were hospitalized for LRTI, 86% had otitis media and 50% had gastroenteritis. The p.P479L allele frequency was 0.82. In multivariable analysis, p.P479L homozygosity was associated with LRTI admission (aOR:2.88 95%CI:1.46-5.64), otitis media (aOR:1.83, 95%CI:1.05-3.21), and gastroenteritis (aOR:1.74, 95%CI:1.09-2.77), compared to non-carriers. Conclusion: Children homozygous for the p.P479L variant were more likely to experience infectious illness than non-carriers, including hospitalization for respiratory tract infections. Given the role of CPT1A in immunocytes, our findings indicate that more study is needed to determine if there is a role of the variant in immune response. Continued Inuit involvement is essential when considering next steps.

Assessing the Association of Targeted Therapy and Intracranial Metastatic Disease.

IMPORTANCE: Targeted therapies have been hypothesized to prolong survival in the treatment of patients with intracranial metastatic disease (IMD) but, paradoxically, increase IMD incidence by improving systemic disease control and prolonging survival from the primary tumor. The real-world benefits of targeted therapy in treating patients with IMD are unclear, as clinical trials have excluded patients with IMD and lacked end points that report intracranial outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of targeted therapy and IMD with patient survival. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study included all patients in Ontario, Canada, who received a diagnosis of IMD from April 2005 to January 2018 with primary diagnoses of breast cancer, lung or bronchus cancer, or melanoma and control patients who were matched by primary disease without IMD. The data were analyzed between March and October 2020. EXPOSURES: EGFR-, ERBB2 (HER2-), or BRAF-targeted therapy or IMD status. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to compare overall survival (OS) between patient subcohorts divided by primary disease and stratified by targeted therapy receipt or IMD status. RESULTS: In this cohort of 26 676 patients with IMD and breast cancer, lung and bronchus cancer, or melanoma, 57% of patients were women, and the median age at IMD diagnosis was 64 years (interquartile range, 56-72 years). Post-IMD targeted therapy was associated with prolonged OS in patients with ERBB2-positive breast cancer (hazard ratio [HR], 0.41; 95% CI, 0.33-0.50), EGFR-positive lung cancer (HR, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.23-0.34), and BRAF-positive melanoma (HR, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.14-0.29) compared with those who did not receive post-IMD targeted therapy. The presence of IMD was associated with shorter OS in patients with metastatic ERBB2-positive breast cancer (HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.56-2.08) and metastatic EGFR-positive lung cancer (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.39) but not metastatic BRAF-positive melanoma (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.77-1.61) compared with those without IMD. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The findings of this cohort study suggest an association between real-world use of targeted therapies and prolonged OS in patients with IMD in the setting of ERBB2-positive breast cancer, EGFR-positive lung cancer, and BRAF-positive melanoma. Including patients with IMD in clinical trials and using end points that interrogate IMD will be critical to determine the role of targeted therapies in treating patients with IMD.

Stomach Cancer Incidence and Mortality Trends among Circumpolar Nations.

BACKGROUND: Stomach cancer incidence and mortality rates are declining across circumpolar nations, but the burden may not be distributed equally across subpopulations, including Indigenous peoples. Our objective was to examine stomach cancer incidence and mortality trends across circumpolar populations. METHODS: Cancer incidence and mortality data from 1999-2016 were obtained from the Canadian Cancer Registry, Canadian Vital Statistics, CDC WONDER, NORDCAN, Northwestern Russian cancer registries, and National Cancer Reports. The direct method was used to calculate 10-year rolling age-standardized incidence and mortality rates to the world (WHO 2000-2025) and 2011 Canadian standard populations. Standardized incidence rate ratios (SRR) were calculated. Data were stratified by sex, year, and region. U.S. data were broken down by race [White; American Indian/Alaska Native (AIAN)]. Race data were not available from non-U.S. cancer registries. RESULTS: Most populations showed declining incidence and mortality rates over time. Incidence rates among Greenland males and females, Alaska AIAN males and females, and Northern Canadian both sexes were elevated compared with regional counterparts and remained stable. The largest male SRR was observed among Alaska AIAN versus Alaska Whites [SRR = 3.82; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 2.71-5.37]. The largest female SRR was observed among Alaska AIAN versus Alaska Whites (SRR = 4.10; 95% CI, 2.62-6.43). CONCLUSIONS: Despite stomach cancer incidence and mortality rates declining overall, some northern and Indigenous populations experience elevated and stable incidence and mortality rates. IMPACT: There is a need to address disparities observed among circumpolar subpopulations. Given similarities in incidence, mortality, and risk factor prevalence across circumpolar regions, addressing disparities could benefit from coordinated international action.

Dual- versus single-agent HER2 inhibition and incidence of intracranial metastatic disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Observational studies have suggested that HER2 inhibition with trastuzumab may be associated with an increased incidence of intracranial metastatic disease (IMD) due to its ability to prolong survival. We hypothesized that prolonged survival associated with dual-agent HER2 inhibition may be associated with an even higher incidence of IMD. This study pooled estimates of IMD incidence and survival among patients with HER2-positive breast cancer receiving dual- versus single-agent HER2 targeted therapy, as well as trastuzumab versus chemotherapy, observation, or another HER2-targeted agent. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and CENTRAL from inception to 25 March 2020. We included randomized controlled trials that reported IMD incidence for patients with HER2-positive breast cancer receiving trastuzumab as the experimental or control arm irrespective of disease stage. Among 465 records identified, 19 randomized controlled trials (32,572 patients) were included. Meta-analysis of four studies showed that dual HER2-targeted therapy was associated with improved overall survival (HR 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.87) and progression-free survival (HR 0.77; 95% CI, 0.68-0.87) compared to single HER2-targeted therapy, but the risk of IMD was similar (RR 1.03; 95% CI, 0.83-1.27). Our study challenges the hypothesis that prolonged survival afforded by improved extracranial disease control is associated with increased IMD incidence.

HER2-targeted therapy prolongs survival in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer and intracranial metastatic disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Intracranial metastatic disease (IMD) is a serious and known complication of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer. The role of targeted therapy for patients with HER2-positive breast cancer and IMD remains unclear. In this study, we sought to evaluate the effect of HER2-targeted therapy on IMD from HER2-positive breast cancer. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and gray literature sources for interventional and observational studies reporting survival, response, and safety outcomes for patients with IMD receiving HER2-targeted therapy. We pooled outcomes through meta-analysis and examined confounder effects through forest plot stratification and meta-regression. Evidence quality was evaluated using GRADE (PROSPERO CRD42020161209). RESULTS: A total of 97 studies (37 interventional and 60 observational) were included. HER2-targeted therapy was associated with prolonged overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39-0.56) without significantly prolonged progression-free survival (HR 0.52; 95% CI, 0.27-1.02) versus non-targeted therapy; the intracranial objective response rate was 19% (95% CI, 12-27%), intracranial disease control rate 62% (95% CI, 55-69%), intracranial complete response rate 0% (95% CI, 0-0.01%), and grade 3+ adverse event rate 26% (95% CI, 11-45%). Risk of bias was high in 40% (39/97) of studies. CONCLUSION: These findings support a potential role for systemic HER2-targeted therapy in the treatment of patients with IMD from HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer.

Necrosis and Brain Invasion Predict Radio-Resistance and Tumor Recurrence in Atypical Meningioma: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Meningiomas are the most common tumors occurring in the central nervous system, with variable recurrence rates depending on World Health Organization grading. Atypical (Grade II) meningioma has a higher rate of recurrence than benign (Grade I) meningioma. The efficacy of adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) to improve tumor control has been questioned. OBJECTIVE: To investigate clinical and histopathological predictors of tumor recurrence and radio-resistance in atypical meningiomas. METHODS: This cohort study retrospectively reviewed all patients in St. Michael's Hospital CNS tumor patient database who underwent surgical resection of a Grade II meningioma from 1995 to 2015. Cases with neurofibromatosis type II, multiple satellite tumors, spinal cord meningioma, radiation-induced meningioma, and perioperative death were excluded. Patient demographics, neuropathological diagnosis, tumor location, extent of resection, radiation therapy, and time to recurrence or progression were recorded. Cox univariate regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were employed to identify risk factors for recurrence and radio-resistance. RESULTS: Among 181 patients, the combination of necrosis and brain invasion was associated with an increased recurrence risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.560, P = .001) and the lowest progression-free survival (PFS) relative to other pathological predictors. This trend was maintained after gross total resection (GTR, P = .001). RT was associated with decreased PFS (P = .001), even in patients who received GTR (P = .001). CONCLUSION: The combination of necrosis and brain invasion is a strong predictor of tumor recurrence and radio-resistance in meningioma, regardless of EOR or adjuvant RT. Our findings question the sensibility of brain invasion as an absolute criterion for Grade II status.

Disease assimilation: The mortality impacts of fine particulate matter on immigrants to Canada.

BACKGROUND: Immigrants make up 20% of the Canadian population; however, little is known about the mortality impacts of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution on immigrants compared with non-immigrants, or about how impacts may change with duration in Canada. DATA AND METHODS: This study used the 2001 Canadian Census Health and Environment Cohort, a longitudinal cohort of 3.5 million individuals, of which 764,000 were classified as immigrants (foreign-born). Postal codes from annual income tax files were used to account for mobility among respondents and to assign annual PM2.5 concentrations from 1998 to 2016. Exposures were estimated as a three-year moving average prior to the follow-up year. Cox survival models were used to determine hazard ratios (HRs) for cause-specific mortality, comparing the Canadian and foreign-born populations, with further stratification by year of immigration grouped into 10-year cohorts. RESULTS: Differences in urban-rural settlement patterns resulted in greater exposure to PM2.5 for immigrants compared with non-immigrants (mean = 9.3 vs. 7.5 µg/m3), with higher exposures among more recent immigrants. In fully adjusted models, immigrants had higher HRs per 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 concentration compared with Canadian-born individuals for cardiovascular mortality (HR [95% confidence interval] = 1.22 [1.12 to 1.34] vs. 1.12 [1.07 to 1.18]) and cerebrovascular mortality (HR = 1.25 [1.03 to 1.52] vs. 1.03 [0.93 to 1.15]), respectively. However, tests for differences between the two groups were not significant when Cochran's Q test was used. No significant associations were found for respiratory outcomes, except for lung cancer in non-immigrants (HR = 1.10 [1.02 to 1.18]). When stratified by year of immigration, differences in HRs across varied by cause of death. DISCUSSION: In Canada, PM2.5 is an equal-opportunity risk factor, with immigrants experiencing similar if not higher mortality risks compared with non-immigrants for cardiovascular-related causes of death. Some notable differences also existed with cerebrovascular and lung cancer deaths. Continued reductions in air pollution, particularly in urban areas, will improve the health of the Canadian population as a whole.