Assuntos
Viagem , Humanos , Atenção à Saúde , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) is an emerging technology with the potential to predict and improve clinical outcomes including adverse events, based on complex pattern recognition. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) after bariatric surgery have an incidence of 0.1% but carry significant morbidity and mortality. Prior studies have investigated these events using traditional statistical methods, however, studies reporting ML for MACE prediction in bariatric surgery remain limited. As such, the objective of this study was to evaluate and compare MACE prediction models in bariatric surgery using traditional statistical methods and ML. METHODS: Cross-sectional study of the MBSAQIP database, from 2015 to 2019. A binary-outcome MACE prediction model was generated using three different modeling methods: (1) main-effects-only logistic regression, (2) neural network with a single hidden layer, and (3) XGBoost model with a max depth of 3. The same set of predictor variables and random split of the total data (50/50) were used to train and validate each model. Overall performance was compared based on the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC). RESULTS: A total of 755,506 patients were included, of which 0.1% experienced MACE. Of the total sample, 79.6% were female, 47.8% had hypertension, 26.2% had diabetes, 23.7% had hyperlipidemia, 8.4% used tobacco within 1 year, 1.9% had previous percutaneous cardiac intervention, 1.2% had a history of myocardial infarction, 1.1% had previous cardiac surgery, and 0.6% had renal insufficiency. The AUC for the three different MACE prediction models was: 0.790 for logistic regression, 0.798 for neural network and 0.787 for XGBoost. While the AUC implies similar discriminant function, the risk prediction histogram for the neural network shifted in a smoother fashion. CONCLUSION: The ML models developed achieved good discriminant function in predicting MACE. ML can help clinicians with patient selection and identify individuals who may be at elevated risk for MACE after bariatric surgery.
Assuntos
Cirurgia Bariátrica , Infarto do Miocárdio , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Estudos Transversais , Prognóstico , Aprendizado de Máquina , Cirurgia Bariátrica/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Objectives of this retrospective cohort study were to assess differences in patient survival between etiologies of cirrhosis while on the waitlist for liver transplantation (LT), and to identify cardiac risk factors that predict survival failure while on the waitlist for LT. METHODS: This single-center retrospective cohort design included adult patients who were listed for LT at a tertiary academic hospital with a high-volume liver transplant center. RESULTS: Of the 653 patients listed for LT during the study period, 507 (77.6%) survived to transplant and 146 (22.4%) died or clinically deteriorated prior to transplant. Cumulative incidence of death or clinical deterioration did not differ statistically between patient groups (log rank p = .11). In multivariate analysis, compared to patients with NAFLD, there were no significant differences between patients with alcoholic cirrhosis (HR .95, 95%, CI, .62-1.45), cryptogenic cirrhosis (HR 1.31, 95%, CI, .77-2.23), or hepatitis C cirrhosis (HR 1.12, 95%, CI, .66-1.90). However, higher MELD scores (HR = 1.52, 95% CI, 1.12-1.19), severe coronary artery disease (HR = 2.09 95% CI, 1.23-3.55), and tricuspid regurgitation (HR = 2.62, 95% CI, 1.31-5.26) were independently associated with increased risk for survival failure to LT. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of severe coronary artery disease and tricuspid regurgitation at the time of listing for transplant are associated with survival failure while on the LT waitlist across etiologies of liver disease. Diagnostic assessment of coronary and valvular disease should be considered in all patients undergoing evaluation for LT, such as cardiac catheterization and/or stress echocardiogram.
Assuntos
Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Transplante de Fígado , Insuficiência da Valva Tricúspide , Adulto , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Insuficiência da Valva Tricúspide/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Listas de EsperaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: We aim to report our institutional outcomes of single-staged combined liver transplantation (LT) and cardiac surgery (CS). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Concurrent LT and CS is a potential treatment for combined cardiac dysfunction and end-stage liver disease, yet only 54 cases have been previously reported in the literature. Thus, the outcomes of this approach are relatively unknown, and this approach has been previously regarded as extremely risky. METHODS: Thirty-one patients at our institution underwent combined cardiac surgery and liver transplant. Patients with at least one-year follow-up were included. The Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOOCV) machine-learning approach was used to generate a model for mortality. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 8.2 years (IQR 4.6-13.6 y). One- and five-year survival was 74.2% (N=23) and 55% (N=17), respectively. Negative predictive factors of survival included recipient age>60 years (P=0.036), NASH-cirrhosis (P=0.031), Coronary Artery Bypass-Graft (CABG)-based CS (P=0.046) and pre-operative renal dysfunction (P=0.024). The final model demonstrated that renal dysfunction had a relative weighted impact of 3.2 versus CABG (1.7), age ≥60y (1.7) or NASH (1.3). Elevated LT+CS risk score was associated with an increased five-year mortality after surgery (AUC=0.731, P=<0.001). Conversely, the widely accepted STS-PROM calculator was unable to successfully stratify patients according to 1- (P>0.99) or 5-year (P=0.695) survival rates. CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest series describing combined LT+CS, with joint surgical management appearing feasible in highly selected patients. CABG and pre-operative renal dysfunction are important negative predictors of mortality. The four-variable LT+CS score may help predict patients at high risk for post-operative mortality.
RESUMO
Patients with cirrhosis undergoing liver transplant (LT) are at high risk of postoperative cardiopulmonary complications. It is known that patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) have greater rates of post-LT morbidity and mortality than patients without CAD. Thus, identifying significant CAD in LT candidates is of the utmost importance to optimize survival posttransplant. Consensus is lacking on the ideal screening test for CAD in LT candidates. Traditional exercise and many pharmacologic stress tests are impractical and inaccurate in patients with cirrhosis due to their unique physiology. The purpose of this review is to describe different screening modalities for CAD among LT candidates. The background, diagnostic accuracy, and limitations of each screening modality are described to achieve this goal.
Assuntos
Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Transplante de Fígado , Humanos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/diagnóstico , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/cirurgia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Angiografia Coronária , Fatores de Risco , CoraçãoRESUMO
Many patients with chronic kidney disease have chronically elevated cardiac troponin levels, and if they present with symptoms suggesting an acute coronary syndrome, it is often difficult to determine if this is the correct diagnosis. This article briefly reviews the major challenges in diagnosing acute coronary syndrome in patients with chronic kidney disease, describes the mechanisms and prognostic significance of troponin elevation in chronic kidney disease, and provides a diagnostic algorithm to risk-stratify patients with chronic kidney disease who have troponin elevation and suspected acute coronary syndrome.
Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Troponina , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Prognóstico , BiomarcadoresRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Advances in surgical and medical technology over the years has made liver transplantation possible for older and higher risk patients. Despite rigorous preoperative cardiac testing, cardiovascular events remain a major cause of death after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). However, there are little data on the outcomes of OLT in patients with preexisting coronary artery disease (CAD). This study aimed to compare all-cause and cardiovascular mortality of patients with and without history of CAD undergoing OLT. METHODS: Six hundred ninety-three adult patients with cirrhosis underwent liver transplantation between July 2013 and December 2018 (female n = 243, male n = 450; median age 59). RESULTS: During the study period of 5 y (median follow-up, 24.1 mo), 92 of 693 patients (13.3%) died. All-cause mortality in the CAD group was significantly higher than in the non-CAD group (26.7% versus 9.6%; P <0.01). Cardiovascular events accounted for 52.5% of deaths (n = 21) in patients with CAD compared with 36.5% (n = 19) in non-CAD patients. At 6 mo, patients with combined nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)/CAD had significantly worse survival than those with CAD or NASH alone ( P <0.01). After 6 mo, patients with CAD alone had similar survival to those with combined NASH/CAD. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with preexisting CAD before liver transplantation are at higher risk of death from any cause, specifically cardiovascular-related death. This risk increases with coexisting NASH. The presence of NASH and CAD at the time of liver transplant should prompt the initiation of aggressive risk factor modification for patients with CAD.
Assuntos
Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Transplante de Fígado , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/cirurgia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/complicações , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/diagnóstico , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/cirurgia , Cirrose Hepática/cirurgia , Fatores de Risco , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Postcapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH) can be seen in cirrhosis. Research and treatment goals exist for patients with portopulmonary hypertension but not for postcapillary PH. The aim of this study was to investigate outcomes after liver transplant (LT) for patients with postcapillary PH. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of 1173 patients who underwent LT at our center between 2010 and 2020. Using a propensity score matched analysis followed by multivariable Cox modeling on matched patients, we compared post-LT survival between patients with and without postcapillary PH. We also compared several post-LT outcomes between patient with different types of PH. Results: Sixty-eight patients had PH, and 50 had postcapillary PH. The median age was 59 y and the sample was 54% male. There was no significant difference in mortality between patients with postcapillary PH and patients without PH (hazard ratio, 1.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.90-3.31; P = 0.10). There was no significant difference in survival between patients with any type of PH and those without PH. There was no significance difference in post-LT survival, acute kidney injury, or pulmonary edema between patients with different types of PH. Patients with postcapillary PH who survived had a higher cardiac output than those who died (11 L/min in patients who lived, as compared with 8 L/min in patients who died; P = 0.03). Conclusions: Postcapillary PH does not appear to convey a negative impact on post-LT survival. A higher cardiac output may be protective against mortality in patients with postcapillary PH.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) describes the hepatic manifestations of metabolic syndrome, which is estimated to affect 25% of adults, and currently represents the second most common indication for liver transplant in the United States. Studies have shown that patients with NAFLD are at an increased risk for heart failure, arrhythmia, and coronary artery disease (CAD), which may impact outcomes of liver transplantation. However, it remains unclear whether the presence of cardiac disease affects survival prior to liver transplant. If so, this would represent an important opportunity to optimize cardiac status and improve outcomes before liver transplant. AIM: To identify cardiac factors that impact survival to liver transplantation in patients with NAFLD and on the transplant waitlist. METHODS: The aim of this study was to identify cardiac risk factors that limit survival to transplant in patients with NAFLD. We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with NAFLD listed for liver transplant at a tertiary academic medical center in the United States from January 2015 to January 2021, identified through United Network of Organ Sharing registry. Exclusion criteria included a concurrent etiology of liver disease and removal from the transplant list due to chemical dependency, lack of social support, improvement in liver disease, or being lost to follow-up. We manually reviewed patient charts including electrocardiogram, echocardiogram, and cardiac catheterization reports as well as physician notes to identify cardiac disease states (i.e., heart failure, arrhythmia, valvular disease and CAD) and other related diagnoses. We performed a survival analysis by Cox proportional hazards regression model to analyze the association between cardiac factors at the time listed for transplant and death or clinical deterioration prior to transplant. RESULTS: Between January 2015 and January 2021, 265 patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease were listed for liver transplant at our institution. Our patient sample had a median age of 63 and an even distribution between sexes. The median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 17 and the median body mass index was 31.6. Of these 265 patients, 197 (74.3%) survived to transplant and 68 (25.7%) died or clinically deteriorated prior to transplant. The presence of mild or moderate CAD represented a hazard ratio of 2.013 (95%CI 1.078-3.759, P = 0.029) for death or clinical deterioration when compared to patients without CAD, after adjustment for age, sex, and MELD. MELD represented an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.188. CONCLUSION: Mild or moderate CAD represents a hazard for waitlist mortality prior to liver transplant in patients with NAFLD. Aggressive management of CAD may be needed to improve patient outcomes.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Heart transplantation (HT) recipients infected with COVID-19 may be at an increased risk of severe illness due to chronic immunosuppression. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adult HT patients hospitalized with COVID-19 at the Cleveland Clinic between March 2020 and March 2021 were included in this retrospective cohort analysis. Twenty-four HT cases were matched to 96 non-HT controls, similarly hospitalized with COVID-19, out of 11,481 patients based on different baseline characteristics. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality; secondary outcomes included mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit admission, vasopressor need, dialysis, pneumonia, and 90-day readmission. Subgroup analysis was performed based on the time from transplantation (within 1 year of transplantation and greater than 1 year since transplantation). RESULTS: Both primary and secondary outcomes were not significant. Subgroup analysis did not show a significant difference in mortality (P = .355) or 30-day readmission (P = .841) between patients who were within 1 year of transplantation and remote transplantation beyond 1 year. Univariable analysis of immunosuppressant continuation, dose-reduction, or discontinuation did not significantly affect HT mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Despite limited sample size, our results suggest that HT patients do not show worse outcomes after acquiring COVID-19, whether in the first year of transplantation or after a remote transplantation procedure. Future studies with multicenter data that incorporate the subsequent COVID-19 variants (eg, Delta and Omicron), the impact of long COVID-19, and assessing full vs reduced immunosuppression regimens would add insights to this patient population.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Transplante de Coração , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Retrospectivos , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Hospitalização , Transplante de Coração/efeitos adversosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The authors aimed to identify predictors of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) during the initial 90 days following liver transplantation, and to assess the association between POAF in-hospital and 1-year mortality. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. SETTING: At a university hospital between 2005 and 2017. PATIENTS: Adults without a history of preoperative atrial fibrillation who underwent orthotopicliver transplantation. MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS: The authors assessed the univariate association between new-onset of POAF in the postoperative period and each potential factor through a logistic regression model. Moreover, they explored predictors for POAF through stepwise selection. Finally, the authors assessed the relationship between POAF and in-hospital and 1-year mortality using logistic regression models, and whether the duration of atrial fibrillation was associated with in-hospital and 1-year mortality. Among 857 patients, 89 (10.4%) developed POAF. Using only preoperative variables, pulmonary hypertension, age, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, and White race were identified as the most important predictors. Model discrimination was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.69-0.80), and incorporating intraoperative variables was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.72-0.82). In-hospital mortality was observed in 7.2% (6/83) of patients with new-onset of POAF, and in 2.8% (22/768) without, with confounder-adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.00 (97.5% CI: 0.29,3.45; p = 0.996). One-year mortality was 22.4% (20/89) in patients who developed POAF and 8.3% (64/768) in patients who did not, confounder-adjusted OR 2.64 (97.5% CI: 1.35-5.16; p = 0.001). The duration of POAF did not affect long-term postoperative mortality. CONCLUSION: Preoperative, mostly unmodifiable comorbidities are important risk factors for new-onset POAF after liver transplantation. The POAF was not associated with in-hospital mortality, but with increased 1-year mortality. Once developed, the duration of POAF did not affect long-term mortality after a liver transplant.
Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/etiologia , Doença Hepática Terminal/complicações , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/diagnóstico , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Recently, the Cirrhotic Cardiomyopathy Consortium (Consortium) proposed criteria to replace the World Congress of Gastroenterology (WGO) criteria for cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM) using contemporary echocardiography parameters. We assessed the impact of substituting WGO by Consortium criteria on the frequency of diagnosis and clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis awaiting liver transplantation (LT). METHODS: Consecutive adults with cirrhosis approved for LT with echocardiography evaluation from January 2014 to December 2016 were screened. Patients with structural heart diseases were excluded. Two primary outcomes were: (1) frequency of CCM; (2) association of CCM with pre-transplant mortality. The secondary outcomes were pre-LT complications of acute kidney injury (AKI) and/or hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and post-LT mortality. RESULTS: Of 386 patients screened, 278 were included. 238 (85.6%) and 208 (74.8%) patients met Consortium and WGO criteria, respectively; 180 (64.7%) patients fulfilled both the criteria, while 12 (4.3%) patients had no evidence of CCM by either criterion. Pre-LT mortality rates in Consortium-CCM group were similar to the other groups (19.3% vs 20.2% vs 25.0%). The patients with advanced diastolic dysfunction (DD) per Consortium-CCM criteria had higher mortality than the other groups. The rates of pre-LT AKI/HE rates and post-LT mortality were similar in Consortium-CCM and WGO-CCM groups. CONCLUSION: The Consortium criteria do not impact the prevalence of CCM compared to WGO criteria and have similar predictive accuracy. Presence of advanced DD per the Consortium criteria increases the risk of pre-LT mortality and complications of AKI/HE. The patients with advanced DD could benefit from further monitoring and treatment.
Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda , Cardiomiopatias , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Cardiomiopatias/etiologia , Cardiomiopatias/diagnóstico , Injúria Renal Aguda/complicaçõesRESUMO
Cardiovascular events have a major impact on overall outcomes after liver transplantation. Today's transplant patients are older than those in the past and therefore are more likely to have coexisting cardiac comorbidities. In addition, pathophysiologic effects of advanced liver disease on the circulatory system pose challenges in perioperative management. This review discusses important preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative cardiac considerations in patients undergoing liver transplant.
Assuntos
Hepatopatias , Transplante de Fígado , Coração , Humanos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Período Pós-OperatórioRESUMO
BACKGROUND Dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) is commonly used for cardiovascular assessment before orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). The coronary artery calcium score (CACS) is a useful screening tool for coronary artery disease (CAD). We aimed to compare the sensitivity and specificity of DSE and CACS for CAD in OLT candidates. MATERIAL AND METHODS A total of 265 of the 1589 patients who underwent OLT at our center between 2008 and 2019 had preoperative coronary angiography (CAG). Of these, 173 had DSE and 133 had a CT scan suitable for CACS calculation within 1 year of OLT. Patients with a nondiagnostic DSE were excluded (n=100). Two reviewers evaluated CACS on CT scans. The sensitivity/specificity of DSE and CACS for detection of angiographically significant CAD were calculated for patients with both tests (n=36). A separate analysis compared the sensitivity/specificity of a diagnostic DSE (n=73) and CACS (n=133) against CAG for all patients with either test. RESULTS Sensitivity and specificity were 57.1% and 89.7%, respectively, for DSE, compared with 71.4% and 62.1% for CACS at ≥100 Agatston score. For the analysis of all patients with either test, the sensitivity/specificity of DSE for detection of CAD and CACS were 30.8% and 85.0% and 80.0% and 62.8%, respectively. On ROC analysis, CACS was a satisfactory predictor of obstructive CAD (AUC, 0.76±0.06, 95% CI, 0.66-0.87; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS CACS may be an important tool for cardiovascular assessment in patients undergoing OLT. DSE was nondiagnostic in a large percentage of OLT candidates, limiting its use in this population.
Assuntos
Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Transplante de Fígado , Cálcio , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/diagnóstico por imagem , Dobutamina , Ecocardiografia sob Estresse , Humanos , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
Little is known about the utility of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in patients with cirrhosis of the liver, and their outcomes have not been studied extensively in literature. We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS) who underwent transfemoral TAVI with a SAPIEN 3 valve at our institution between April 2015 and December 2018. We identified 32 consecutive patients with evidence of cirrhosis of the liver on imaging (including ultrasound and/or computed tomography) and patients with severe symptomatic AS who underwent transfemoral TAVI with a SAPIEN 3 valve. Among 1,028 patients, 32 had cirrhosis of the liver and 996 constituted the control group without cirrhosis. Mean age in the cirrhosis group was 74.5 years compared with 81.2 years in the control group. Baseline variables were comparable between the groups. Compared with the noncirrhotic group, patients with cirrhosis had a similar 1-year mortality (12% vs 12%, p = 1), a lower 30-day new pacemaker after TAVI rate (6% vs 9%, p = 0.85), a higher 30-day and 1-year readmission rate for heart failure (11% vs 1% and 12% vs 5%, p = 0.12, respectively), and a similar 1-year major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event rate (15% vs 14%, p = 0.98). In conclusion, patients with severe AS with concomitant liver cirrhosis who underwent TAVI demonstrated comparable outcomes to their noncirrhotic counterparts.
Assuntos
Estenose da Valva Aórtica/cirurgia , Artéria Femoral , Bloqueio Cardíaco/epidemiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Substituição da Valva Aórtica Transcateter/métodos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/complicações , Estimulação Cardíaca Artificial , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Bloqueio Cardíaco/terapia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Síndrome Hepatorrenal/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Marca-Passo Artificial , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Centros de Atenção Terciária , Resultado do TratamentoAssuntos
Cardiomiopatia Dilatada/cirurgia , Teste de Esforço , Transplante de Coração , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/diagnóstico por imagem , Idoso , Doenças Assintomáticas , Feminino , Humanos , Imagem de Perfusão do Miocárdio , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/etiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/terapiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To develop machine learning models that can predict post-transplantation major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular mortality in patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: High-volume tertiary care center. PARTICIPANTS: The study comprised 1,459 consecutive patients undergoing LT between January 2008 and December 2019. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: MACE, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular mortality were modeled using logistic regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection surgery regression, random forests, support vector machine, and gradient-boosted modeling (GBM). All models were built by splitting data into training and testing cohorts, and performance was assessed using five-fold cross-validation based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Harrell's C statistic. A total of 1,459 patients were included in the final cohort; 1,425 (97.7%) underwent index transplantation, 963 (66.0%) were female, the median age at transplantation was 57 (11-70) years, and the median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score was 20 (6-40). Across all outcomes, the GBM model XGBoost achieved the highest performance, with an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.79) for MACE, a Harrell's C statistic of 0.64 (95% CI 0.57-0.73) for overall survival, and 0.72 (95% CI 0.59-0.85) for cardiovascular mortality over a mean follow-up of 4.4 years. Examination of Shapley values for the GBM model revealed that on the cohort-wide level, the top influential factors for postoperative MACE were age at transplantation, diabetes, serum creatinine, cirrhosis caused by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, right ventricular systolic pressure, and left ventricular ejection fraction. CONCLUSION: Machine learning models developed using data from a tertiary care transplantation center achieved good discriminant function in predicting post-LT MACE, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular mortality. These models can support clinicians in recipient selection and help screen individuals who may be at elevated risk for post-transplantation MACE.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Doença Hepática Terminal/diagnóstico , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular EsquerdaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Decompensation of liver function after cardiac surgery in patients with cirrhosis has resulted in high morbidity and mortality. A treatment strategy, for which there is a scarcity of data in the literature, encompasses combined liver transplantation and cardiac surgery. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on 15 patients who underwent combined liver transplantation and cardiac surgery between 2005 to 2017 at our institution. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2017, 15 patients with cirrhosis and coronary artery disease or valve disease were identified who underwent combined liver transplantation and cardiac surgery. The cardiac disease was considered severe enough to preclude liver transplantation alone. Likewise, the advanced cirrhosis precluded cardiac surgery alone. Eighty percent of the patients were male and average age was 60 years. Six patients had coronary artery disease, 2 patients had severe aortic stenosis and coronary artery disease, 1 patient had severe mitral regurgitation and coronary artery disease, 2 patients had severe aortic stenosis, 1 patient had mitral valve prolapse, and 3 patients had severe aortic insufficiency. The mean model for end-stage liver disease score was 24. Four subjects were Child-Pugh class B, and 11 were class C. One-year survival was 73.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Combined liver transplant and cardiac surgery is feasible in this selected, otherwise inoperable, patient population with an acceptable early and midterm survival when performed in high volume centers with a cohesive multidisciplinary team.
Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/cirurgia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/cirurgia , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Idoso , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Coronary artery calcium scoring is useful as a risk-stratification tool in coronary artery disease, and it outperforms other risk-assessment methods. American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines give the test a IIB recommendation in clinical scenarios in which risk stratification is uncertain. However, if the test is not used in the appropriate clinical setting, misinterpretation of the results can lead to unnecessary cardiac testing. This review provides the primary care provider with basic knowledge about the test's clinical utility, interpretation, risks, and limitations.
Assuntos
Calcinose/diagnóstico , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/etiologia , Vasos Coronários/patologia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Calcinose/complicações , Humanos , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Atenção Primária à Saúde/normas , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/normas , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The SAPIEN 3 valve (S3V) was designed to overcome the shortcomings of its predecessor, the SAPIEN XT (SXT) valve. We conducted a meta-analysis to compare their clinical outcomes and procedural characteristics. METHODS: PUBMED, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL were searched by two independent reviewers. The clinical outcomes of interest were paravalvular leakage (PVL), major vascular complications (MVC), bleeding, acute kidney injury (AKI), device success, need for post dilation all-cause mortality and procedural details. RESULTS: Fifteen observational cohort studies were included in the analysis involving a total of 4,496 patients. Of these, 1,700 were S3V recipients and 2,796 were SXT recipients. The S3V group showed fewer complications compared to the SXT group with respect to PVL (5.58% vs. 19.35%, OR: 0.27, P: 0.000), MVC (4.07% vs. 9.13%, OR: 0.44, P: 0.002), bleeding (6.40% vs. 12.03%, OR: 0.50, P: 0.003), 30-day mortality (3.29% vs. 5.68%, OR: 0.51, P: 0.000), and stroke (1.48% vs. 2.86%, OR: 0.49, P: 0.014). Device success was higher in the S3V (98.18% vs. 93.76%, OR: 3.14, P: 0.000). Cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, AKI and post-dilatation were not significantly different. Permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI) was higher in S3V recipients (13.29% vs. 9.23%, OR: 1.58, P: 0.000). Procedure time was shorter for the S3V (71.94 vs. 86.85, P: 0.016) and used less contrast volume (129.36 vs. 161.18, P: 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: Patients receiving the S3V had lower risk of PVL, MVC, bleeding, mortality, and stroke. PPI was somewhat higher in the S3V group. S3V implantation was faster and used less contrast.