Risk Factors for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations among Individuals without a History of Recent Exacerbations: A COPDGene Analysis.

Rationale: Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AE-COPD) are detrimental events in the natural history of COPD, but the risk factors associated with future exacerbations in the absence of a history of recent exacerbations are not fully understood. Objectives: To identify risk factors for COPD exacerbations among participants in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD Study (COPDGene) without a history of exacerbation in the previous year. Methods: We identified participants with a smoking history enrolled in COPDGene who had COPD (defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1]/forced vital capacity < 0.70), no exacerbation in the year before their second study site visit, and who completed at least one longitudinal follow-up questionnaire in the following 36 months. We used univariable and multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial regression models to identify risk factors associated with increased rates of exacerbation. Each risk factor's regression coefficient (ß) was rounded to the nearest 0.25 and incorporated into a graduated risk score. Results: Among the 1,528 participants with a smoking history and COPD enrolled in COPDGene without exacerbation in the year before their second study site visit, 508 participants (33.2%) had at least one moderate or severe exacerbation in the 36 months studied. Gastroesophageal reflux disease, chronic bronchitis, high symptom burden (as measured by Modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale and COPD Assessment Test), and lower FEV1% predicted were associated with an increased risk of exacerbation. Each 1-point increase in our graduated risk score was associated with a 25-30% increase in exacerbation rate in the 36 months studied. Conclusions: In patients with COPD without a recent history of exacerbations, gastroesophageal reflux disease, chronic bronchitis, high symptom burden, and lower lung function are associated with increased risk of future exacerbation using a simple risk score that can be used in clinical practice.

How I Teach: Liberation from Mechanical Ventilation.

Liberation from mechanical ventilation is one of the most important decisions in the intensive care unit (ICU), as extubation failure is associated with worse outcomes. Determining readiness to extubate can be challenging in complex patients and lead to provider stress. Here, we provide our approach to teaching liberation from mechanical ventilation for learners in the ICU. We use a case-based didactic session that purposefully introduces ambiguous cases without a clear answer, utilizing aspects of both cognitive load theory and adult learning theories.

Advances in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common respiratory disorder with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite its prevalence, COPD is underdiagnosed, and many patients do not receive a diagnosis until the disease is clinically advanced. Recent basic science and clinical research have focused on the early physiologic and pathobiologic changes in COPD with the hopes of improving diagnosis, providing targets for disease-modifying therapy, and identifying patients most likely to benefit from early intervention. Available treatments for COPD have grown substantially in the past 20 years with the introduction of new oral and inhaled medications as well as novel surgical and bronchoscopic procedures. This article summarizes some of the recent advances in our understanding of disease pathogenesis and treatment paradigms.

Quantitative Emphysema on Low-Dose CT Imaging of the Chest and Risk of Lung Cancer and Airflow Obstruction: An Analysis of the National Lung Screening Trial.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer risk prediction models do not routinely incorporate imaging metrics available on low-dose CT (LDCT) imaging of the chest ordered for lung cancer screening. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the association between quantitative emphysema measured on LDCT imaging and lung cancer incidence and mortality, all-cause mortality, and airflow obstruction in individuals who currently or formerly smoked and are undergoing lung cancer screening? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In 7,262 participants in the CT arm of the National Lung Screening Trial, percent low attenuation area (%LAA) was defined as the percentage of lung volume with voxels less than -950 Hounsfield units on the baseline examination. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for competing risks where appropriate, were built to test for association between %LAA and lung cancer incidence, lung cancer mortality, and all-cause mortality with censoring at 6 years. In addition, multivariable logistic regression models were built to test the cross-sectional association between %LAA and airflow obstruction on spirometry, which was available in 2,700 participants. RESULTS: The median %LAA was 0.8% (interquartile range, 0.2%-2.7%). Every 1% increase in %LAA was independently associated with higher hazards of lung cancer incidence (hazard ratio [HR], 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; P = .004), lung cancer mortality (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00-1.05; P = .045), and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.03; P = .042). Among participants with spirometry, 892 had airflow obstruction. The likelihood of airflow obstruction increased with every 1% increase in %LAA (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.06-1.09; P < .001). A %LAA cutoff of 1% had the best discriminative accuracy for airflow obstruction in participants aged > 65 years. INTERPRETATION: Quantitative emphysema measured on LDCT imaging of the chest can be leveraged to improve lung cancer risk prediction and help diagnose COPD in individuals who currently or formerly smoked and are undergoing lung cancer screening.