Bisoprolol in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease at High Risk of Exacerbation: The BICS Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Observational studies report that ß-blocker use may be associated with reduced risk of COPD exacerbations. However, a recent trial reported that metoprolol did not reduce COPD exacerbations and increased COPD exacerbations requiring hospital admission. Objective: To test whether bisoprolol decreased COPD exacerbations in people with COPD at high risk of exacerbations. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Bisoprolol in COPD Study (BICS) was a double-blind placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial conducted in 76 UK sites (45 primary care clinics and 31 secondary clinics). Patients with COPD who had at least moderate airflow obstruction on spirometry (ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration [FEV1] to forced vital capacity <0.7; FEV1 <80% predicted) and at least 2 COPD exacerbations treated with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both in the prior 12 months were enrolled from October 17, 2018, to May 31, 2022. Follow-up concluded on April 18, 2023. Interventions: Patients were randomly assigned to bisoprolol (n = 261) or placebo (n = 258). Bisoprolol was started at 1.25 mg orally daily and was titrated as tolerated during 4 sessions to a maximum dose of 5 mg/d, using a standardized protocol. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary clinical outcome was the number of patient-reported COPD exacerbations treated with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both during the 1-year treatment period. Safety outcomes included serious adverse events and adverse reactions. Results: Although the trial planned to enroll 1574 patients, recruitment was suspended from March 16, 2020, to July 31, 2021, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Two patients in each group were excluded postrandomization. Among the 515 patients (mean [SD] age, 68 [7.9] years; 274 men [53%]; mean FEV1, 50.1%), primary outcome data were available for 514 patients (99.8%) and 371 (72.0%) continued taking the study drug. The primary outcome of patient-reported COPD exacerbations treated with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both was 526 in the bisoprolol group, with a mean exacerbation rate of 2.03/y, vs 513 exacerbations in the placebo group, with a mean exacerbation rate of 2.01/y. The adjusted incidence rate ratio was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.84-1.13; P = .72). Serious adverse events occurred in 37 of 255 patients in the bisoprolol group (14.5%) vs 36 of 251 in the placebo group (14.3%; relative risk, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.62-1.66; P = .96). Conclusions and Relevance: Among people with COPD at high risk of exacerbation, treatment with bisoprolol did not reduce the number of self-reported COPD exacerbations requiring treatment with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both. Trial Registration: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN10497306.

The impact of travel time to cancer treatment centre on post-diagnosis care and mortality among cancer patients in Scotland.

Limited data exist on the effect of travelling time on post-diagnosis cancer care and mortality. We analysed the impact of travel time to cancer treatment centre on secondary care contact time and one-year mortality using a data-linkage study in Scotland with 17369 patients. Patients with longer travelling time and island-dwellers had increased incidence rate of secondary care cancer contact time. For outpatient oncology appointments, the incidence rate was decreased for island-dwellers. Longer travelling time was not associated with increased secondary care contact time for emergency cancer admissions or time to first emergency cancer admission. Living on an island increased mortality at one-year. Adjusting for cancer-specific secondary care contact time increased the hazard of death, and adjusting for oncology outpatient time decreased the hazard of death for island-dwellers. Those with longer travelling times experience the cancer treatment pathway differently with poorer outcomes. Cancer services may need to be better configured to suit differing needs of dispersed populations.

Rural and Urban patients' Requirements and Experiences of Out-of-hours medical care after cancer (RUREO): a questionnaire study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate how individuals diagnosed with cancer use out-of-hours (OOH) medical services, describe the behavioural determinants of OOH service use and explore whether there are differences between urban and rural dwellers. DESIGN AND SETTING: A cross-sectional questionnaire study conducted in Northeast Scotland. PARTICIPANTS: The questionnaire was sent to 2549 individuals diagnosed with cancer in the preceding 12 months identified through the National Health Service Grampian Cancer Care Pathway database. 490 individuals returned the questionnaire (19.2% response rate), 61.8% were urban and 34.9% were rural. OUTCOMES: Outcomes were differences in frequency of medical service use and attitudes towards OOH services between urban and rural participants. Patient experience (qualitative data) was compared. RESULTS: Daytime services were used much more frequently than OOH services-83.3% of participants had never contacted an OOH primary care service in the preceding 12 months but 44.2% had used their daytime general practitioner at least four times. There were no significant differences between urban and rural dwellers in the patterns of OOH or daytime service use, the behavioural determinants of service use or the experiences of OOH services. Rural dwellers were significantly less likely to agree that OOH services were close by and more likely to agree that where they lived made it difficult to access these services. Rural dwellers were no more likely to agree or disagree that distance would affect their decision to contact OOH services. Qualitative results highlighted barriers to accessing OOH services exist for all patients but that long travel distances can be offset by service configuration, travel infrastructure and access to a car. CONCLUSIONS: Urban and rural dwellers have similar beliefs, attitudes towards and patterns of OOH service use. In Northeast Scotland, place of residence is unlikely to be the most important factor in influencing decisions about whether to access OOH medical care.

Ten-year survival of neoadjuvant dual HER2 blockade in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Dual anti-HER2-targeted therapy in breast cancer (BC) significantly increased the rate of pathological complete response (pCR) compared to single blockade when added to chemotherapy. However, limited data exist on the long-term impact on survival of the additional increase in pCR. METHODS: Neoadjuvant lapatinib and/or trastuzumab treatment optimisation (NCT00553358) is an international, randomised, open-label, phase III study investigating the addition of lapatinib to chemotherapy plus trastuzumab in HER2-positive early BC. Ten-year event-free survival (EFS), overall survival (OS) and safety were assessed on intention-to-treat population. The association between pCR and EFS or OS was investigated in landmark population. RESULTS: A total of 455 patients were randomised to receive lapatinib (154), trastuzumab (149) or the combination (152). Ten-year EFS estimates were 63% (95% confidence interval [CI], 54%-71%) in the lapatinib group, 64% (95% CI, 55%-72%) in the trastuzumab group and 67% (95% CI, 58%-74%) in the combination group. Ten-year OS rates were 76% (95% CI, 67%-83%), 75% (95% CI, 66%-82%) and 80% (95% CI, 73%-86%) in the lapatinib, trastuzumab and combination groups, respectively. Women who achieved a pCR had improved EFS (hazard ratio 0.48, 95% CI, 0.31-0.73) and OS (hazard ratio 0.37, 95% CI, 0.20-0.63) compared with those who did not. The numerical difference in survival according to pCR status was greater in women treated with the combination and those with hormone-receptor-negative tumours. There were no new or long-term safety concerns. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HER2-positive BC showed a durable survival benefit of neoadjuvant anti-HER2, irrespective of treatment arm. Patients who achieve pCR have significantly better outcomes than patients without pCR.

Impact of Age on Clinical Outcomes and Efficacy of Adjuvant Dual Anti-HER2 Targeted Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Young age at breast cancer (BC) diagnosis has historically been a rationale for overtreatment. Limited data with short follow-up exist on the prognostic value of age at diagnosis in HER2-positive BC and the benefit of anti-HER2 therapy in young patients. METHODS: APHINITY (NCT01358877) is an international, placebo-controlled, double-blind randomized phase III trial in HER2-positive early BC patients investigating the addition of pertuzumab to adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab. The prognostic and predictive value of age on invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) as continuous and dichotomous variable (aged 40 years or younger and older than 40 years) was assessed. A subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot analysis was conducted to illustrate possible treatment-effect heterogeneity based on age as a continuous factor. RESULTS: Of 4804 included patients, 768 (16.0%) were aged 40 years or younger at enrollment. Median follow-up was 74 (interquartile range = 62-75) months. Young age was not prognostic either as dichotomous (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.84 to 1.33) or continuous (HR = 1.00, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.01) variable. Lack of prognostic effect of age was observed irrespective of hormone receptor status and treatment arm. No statistically significant interaction was observed between age and pertuzumab effect (Pinteraction = 0.61). Adding pertuzumab improved IDFS for patients in the young (HR = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.56 to 1.32) and older (HR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.62 to 0.92) cohorts. Similar results were observed irrespective of hormone receptor status. Subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot analysis confirmed the benefit of pertuzumab in 6-year IDFS across age subpopulations. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HER2-positive early BC treated with modern anticancer therapies, young age did not demonstrate either prognostic or predictive value, irrespective of hormone receptor status.

Use of the oral beta blocker bisoprolol to reduce the rate of exacerbation in people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): a randomised controlled trial (BICS).

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with significant morbidity, mortality and healthcare costs. Beta blockers are well-established drugs widely used to treat cardiovascular conditions. Observational studies consistently report that beta blocker use in people with COPD is associated with a reduced risk of COPD exacerbations. The bisoprolol in COPD study (BICS) investigates whether adding bisoprolol to routine COPD treatment has clinical and cost-effective benefits. A sub-study will risk stratify participants for heart failure to investigate whether any beneficial effect of bisoprolol is restricted to those with unrecognised heart disease. METHODS: BICS is a pragmatic randomised parallel group double-blind placebo-controlled trial conducted in UK primary and secondary care sites. The major inclusion criteria are an established predominant respiratory diagnosis of COPD (post-bronchodilator FEV1 < 80% predicted, FEV1/FVC < 0.7), a self-reported history of ≥ 2 exacerbations requiring treatment with antibiotics and/or oral corticosteroids in a 12-month period since March 2019, age ≥ 40 years and a smoking history ≥ 10 pack years. A computerised randomisation system will allocate 1574 participants with equal probability to intervention or control groups, stratified by centre and recruitment in primary/secondary care. The intervention is bisoprolol (1.25 mg tablets) or identical placebo. The dose of bisoprolol/placebo is titrated up to a maximum of 4 tablets a day (5 mg bisoprolol) over 4-7 weeks depending on tolerance to up-dosing of bisoprolol/placebo-these titration assessments are completed by telephone or video call. Participants complete the remainder of the 52-week treatment period on the final titrated dose (1, 2, 3, 4 tablets) and during that time are followed up at 26 and 52 weeks by telephone or video call. The primary outcome is the total number of participant reported COPD exacerbations requiring oral corticosteroids and/or antibiotics during the 52-week treatment period. A sub-study will risk stratify participants for heart failure by echocardiography and measurement of blood biomarkers. DISCUSSION: The demonstration that bisoprolol reduces the incidence of exacerbations would be relevant not only to patients and clinicians but also to healthcare providers, in the UK and globally. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current controlled trials ISRCTN10497306 . Registered on 16 August 2018.

Reducing asthma attacks in children using exhaled nitric oxide (RAACENO) as a biomarker to inform treatment strategy: a multicentre, parallel, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: The benefit of fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) in guiding asthma treatment is uncertain. We evaluated the efficacy of adding FeNO to symptom-guided treatment in children with asthma versus only symptom-guided treatment. METHODS: RAACENO was a multicentre, parallel, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial done in 35 secondary care centres and 17 primary care recruitment sites (only seven primary care sites managed to recruit patients) in the UK. Patients with a confirmed asthma diagnosis, aged 6-15 years, prescribed inhaled corticosteroids, and who received a course of oral corticosteroids for at least one asthma exacerbation during the 12 months before recruitment were included. Participants were randomly assigned to either FeNO plus symptom-guided treatment (intervention) or symptom-guided treatment alone (standard care) using a 24 h in-house, web-based randomisation system. Participants and the clinical and research teams were not masked to the group allocation. A web-based algorithm gave treatment recommendations based on the Asthma Control Test (ACT) or Childhood ACT (CACT) score; current asthma treatment; adherence to study treatment in the past 3 months; and use of FeNO (in the intervention group). Follow-up occurred at 3-month intervals for 12 months. The primary outcome was any asthma exacerbation treated with oral corticosteroids in the 12 months after randomisation, assessed in the intention-to-treat population. This study is registered with the International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Registry, ISRCTN67875351. FINDINGS: Between June 22, 2017, and Aug 8, 2019, 535 children were assessed for eligibility, 20 were ineligible and six were excluded post-randomisation. 509 children were recruited and at baseline, the mean age of participants was 10·1 years (SD 2·6), and 308 (60·5%) were male. The median FeNO was 21 ppb (IQR 10-48), mean predicted FEV1 was 89·6% (SD 18·0), and median daily dose of inhaled corticosteroids was 400 µg budesonide equivalent (IQR 400-1000). Asthma was partly or fully controlled in 256 (50·3%) of 509 participants. The primary outcome, which was available for 506 (99%) of 509 participants, occurred in 123 (48·2%) of 255 participants in the intervention group and 129 (51·4%) of 251 in the standard care group, the intention-to-treat adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 0·88 (95% CI 0·61 to 1·27; p=0·49). The adjusted difference in the percentage of participants who received the intervention in whom the primary outcome occurred compared with those who received standard care was -3·1% (-11·9% to 5·6%). In 377 (21·3%) of 1771 assessments, the algorithm recommendation was not followed. Adverse events were reported by 27 (5·3%) of 509 participants (15 in the standard care group and 12 in the intervention group). The most common adverse event was itch after skin prick testing (reported by eight participants in each group). INTERPRETATION: We found that the addition of FeNO to symptom-guided asthma treatment did not lead to reduced exacerbations among children prone to asthma exacerbation. Asthma symptoms remain the only tool for guiding treatment decisions. FUNDING: National Institute for Health Research.

Low-Dose Vitamin D3 Supplementation Does Not Affect Natural Regulatory T Cell Population but Attenuates Seasonal Changes in T Cell-Produced IFN-γ: Results From the D-SIRe2 Randomized Controlled Trial.

Background: Seasonal variations have been reported for immune markers. However, the relative contributions of sunlight and vitamin D variability on such seasonal changes are unknown. Objective: This double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial tested whether daily 400 IU vitamin D3 supplementation affected short-term (12 weeks) and long-term (43 weeks) natural regulatory T cell (nTreg) populations in healthy participants. Design: 62 subjects were randomized equally to vitamin D versus placebo in March and assessed at baseline, April (4w), June (12w), September (25w) and January (43w). Circulating nTregs, ex vivo proliferation, IL-10 and IFN-γ productions were measured. Vitamin D metabolites and sunlight exposure were also assessed. Results: Mean serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) increased from 35.8(SD 3.0) to 65.3(2.6) nmol/L in April and remained above 75 nmol/L with vitamin D supplementation, whereas it increased from 36.4(3.2) to 49.8(3.5) nmol/L in June to fall back to 39.6(3.5) nmol/L in January with placebo. Immune markers varied similarly between groups according to the season, but independently of 25(OH)D. For nTregs, the mean (%CD3+CD4+CD127lo cells (SEM)) nadir observed in March (2.9(0.1)%) peaked in September at 4.0(0.2)%. Mean T cell proliferation peaked in June (33156(1813) CPM) returning to the nadir in January (17965(978) CPM), while IL-10 peaked in June and reached its nadir in September (median (IQR) of 262(283) to (121(194) pg/ml, respectively). Vitamin D attenuated the seasonal increase in IFN-γ by ~28% with mean ng/ml (SEM) for placebo vs vitamin D, respectively, for April 12.5(1.4) vs 10.0(1.2) (p=0.02); June 13.9(1.3) vs 10.2(1.7) (p=0.02) and January 7.4(1.1) vs 6.0(1.1) (p=0.04). Conclusions: Daily low dose Vitamin D intake did not affect the nTregs population. There were seasonal variation in nTregs, proliferative response and cytokines, suggesting that environmental changes influence immune response, but the mechanism seems independent of vitamin D status. Vitamin D attenuated the seasonal change in T cell-produced IFN-γ, suggesting a decrease in effector response which could be associated with inflammation. Clinical Trial Registration: https://www.isrctn.com, identifier (ISRCTN 73114576).

Is place or person more important in determining higher rural cancer mortality? A data-linkage study to compare individual versus area-based measures of deprivation.

Data from Northeast Scotland for 11,803 cancer patients (diagnosed 2007-13) were linked to UK Censuses to explore relationships between hospital travel-time, timely-treatment and one-year-mortality, adjusting for both area and individual-level socioeconomic status (SES). Adjusting for area-based SES, those living >60 minutes from hospital received timely-treatment more often than those living <15 minutes. Substituting individual-level SES changed little. Adjusting for area-based SES those living >60 minutes from hospital died within one year more often than those living <15 minutes. Again, substituting individual-level SES changed little. In Northeast Scotland distance to services, rather than individual SES, likely explains poorer rural cancer survival. BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The Northeast and Aberdeen Scottish Cancer and Residence (NASCAR) study found rural-dwellers are treated quicker but more likely to die within a year of a cancer diagnosis. A potential confounder of the relationship between geography and cancer mortality is socioeconomic status (SES). We linked the original NASCAR cohort to the UK Censuses of 2001 and 2011, at an individual level, to explore the relationship between travel time to key healthcare facilities, timely cancer treatment and one-year mortality adjusting for both area and individual-level markers of socioeconomic status. METHODS: A data linkage study of 11803 patients examined the association between travel times, timely treatment and one-year mortality with adjustment for area, and for individual-level, markers of socioeconomic status. RESULTS: Following adjustment for area-based SES measures those living more than 60 minutes from the cancer treatment centre were significantly more likely to be treated within 62 days of GP referral than those living within 15 minutes (Odds Ratio [OR]) 1.41; 95% (Confidence Interval [CI]) 1.23, 1.60]. Replacing area-based with individual-level SES measures from UK Censuses made little impact on the results [OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.22, 1.57].Following adjustment for area-based SES measures of socioeconomic status those living more than 60 minutes from the cancer treatment centre were significantly more likely to die within one year than those living closer by [OR 1.22; 95% CI 1.08, 1.38]. Again, replacing area-based with individual-level SES measures from UK Censuses made little impact on the result [OR 1.20; CI 1.06, 1.35]. CONCLUSIONS: Distribution of individual measures of socioeconomic status did not differ significantly between rural and urban cancer patients. The relationship between distance to service, timely treatment and one-year survival were the same adjusting for both area-based and individual SES. Overall, it seems that distance to services, rather than personal characteristics, influences poorer rural cancer survival.

Contemporary hormonal contraception and cervical cancer in women of reproductive age.

To determine cervical cancer risk associated with contemporary hormonal contraceptives, we conducted a cohort study of women aged 15 to 49 living in Denmark from 1995 to 2014, using routinely collected information about redeemed prescriptions, incident cancer and potential confounders. Poisson regression calculated adjusted cervical cancer risks among different contraceptive user groups by duration of use, time since last use, hormonal content and cancer histology. During >20 million person-years, 3643 incident cervical cancers occurred. Ever users of any hormonal contraceptives compared to never users had a relative risk (RR) of 1.19 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.29). Increased risks were seen in current or recent users of any hormonal: RR 1.30 (95% CI 1.20-1.42) and combined: RR 1.40 (95% CI 1.28-1.53), but not progestin-only contraception: RR 0.91 (95% CI 0.78-1.07). Current or recent users of any hormonal contraception had an increased risk of both adenocarcinoma (RR 1.29, 95% CI 1.05-1.60) and squamous cancer (RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.19-1.44). The risk pattern among any hormonal and combined contraceptive users generally increased with longer duration of use and declined after stopping, possibly taking longer to disappear among prolonged users. Combined products containing different progestins had similar risks. Approximately one extra cervical cancer occurred for every 14 700 women using combined contraceptives for 1 year. Most women in our study were not vaccinated against human papillomavirus (HPV) infections. Our findings reinforce the urgent need for global interventions such as systematic screening, treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and HPV vaccination programmes to prevent cervical cancer, especially among users of combined contraceptives.

Contemporary hormonal contraception and risk of endometrial cancer in women younger than age 50: A retrospective cohort study of Danish women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between contemporary hormonal contraceptives and endometrial cancer risk in women younger than age 50. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study of women living in Denmark aged 15-49 years through 1995-2014. National registries provided information about hormonal contraception use, incident endometrial cancer and confounders. Ever, current or recent, and former users of any hormonal contraception were compared with non-users, using Poisson regression to calculate incidence rate ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals. Duration, time since last use, tumor-specific and product-specific analyses, and population prevented fraction, were calculated. RESULTS: During 21.1 million person-years, 549 incident endometrial cancers occurred, with ever users of any hormonal contraception having a reduced premenopausal endometrial cancer risk compared with non-users; RR 0.60 (95% Confidence Interval 0.49 to 0.73). A lower risk of endometrial cancer was seen in all current or recent users of any hormonal contraception; 0.65 (0.52 to 0.83) and combined contraceptives; 0.57 (0.43 to 0.75), but not progestin-only contraceptives; levonorgestrel intrauterine system, LNG-IUS; 0.97 (0.66 to 1.42); other progestin-only contraceptives; 0.61 (0.27 to 1.37). Increased RRs were found for current use of any hormonal, combined contraceptives or LNG-IUS of ≤one year, probably because of protopathic bias. Longer durations of use were associated with significant reductions that became stronger with longer use. Former users of any hormonal contraception continued to benefit from a reduced risk of endometrial cancer >10 years after stopping. There was little evidence of differences in risk reduction by the type of progestin in combined oral contraceptives. Current or recent use of any hormonal contraception was associated with an approximate halving of risk of the most common tumor type I carcinoma, and an increased risk of the rarer sarcoma. Overall the estimated absolute reduced risk of endometrial cancer in ever users of hormonal contraceptives was 1.4 per 100,000 person-years, or approximately one less endometrial cancer for every 71,400 women of reproductive age who used hormonal contraception for one year. Use of hormonal contraception was estimated to prevent 25% of endometrial cancers in this population. CONCLUSIONS: Currently available combined hormonal contraceptives are still associated with enduring protection against endometrial cancer, particularly for type I carcinomas. IMPLICATIONS: We report substantive evidence of the association between different types of contemporary hormonal contraception and endometrial cancer risk in a national cohort of young Danish women. Currently available combined hormonal contraceptives are still associated with enduring protection against endometrial cancer, particularly for type I carcinomas.

Does treatment guided by exhaled nitric oxide fraction improve outcomes in subgroups of children with asthma?

INTRODUCTION: Exhaled nitric oxide fraction (F ENO), a biomarker of eosinophilic airway inflammation, may be useful to guide asthma treatment. F ENO-guided treatment may be more effective in certain subgroups for improving asthma outcomes compared to standard treatment. METHODS: An individual patient data analysis was performed using data from seven randomised clinical trials (RCTs) which used F ENO to guide asthma treatment. The incidence of an asthma exacerbation and loss of control, and the time to first exacerbation and loss of control were described between five subgroups of RCT participants. RESULTS: Data were available in 1112 RCT participants. Among those not treated with leukotriene receptor antagonists (LTRA), but not among those who were treated with LTRA, F ENO-guided treatment was associated with reduced exacerbation risk (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.49-0.94), longer time to first exacerbation (hazard ratio (HR) 0.76, 95% CI 0.57-0.99) and borderline reduced risk for loss of control (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.49-1.00). Nonobese children, compared to obese children, were less likely to lose asthma control when treatment was guided by F ENO (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.48-0.99) and time to loss of control was longer (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.99). CONCLUSIONS: Asthma treatment guided by F ENO may be more effective in achieving better asthma outcomes for patients who are not treated with LTRA and who are not obese, compared to standard practice.

What is a clinically meaningful change in exhaled nitric oxide for children with asthma?

INTRODUCTION: Fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FE NO) may be a useful objective measurement to guide asthma treatment. What remains uncertain is what change in FE NO is clinically significant. METHODS: An individual patient data analysis was performed using data from seven randomized clinical trials which used FE NO to guide asthma treatment. The absolute and percentage intra-subject change in FE NO measurements over "stable" and also "unstable" 3-month periods were described. RESULTS: Data were available in 1112 randomized controlled trial participants and ≥1 stable period was present for 665 individuals. The interquartile range (IQR) and limits of agreement (LoA) for change in absolute FE NO among individuals whose initial FE NO was <50 parts per billion (ppb) were -7 to +9 ppb and -43 to +50 ppb, and for those with initial FE NO ≥50 ppb IQR was -29 to +17 ppb and LoA was -80 to +76 ppb. For percentage change in FE NO, the IQR and LoA for individuals whose initial FE NO was <50 ppb were -33% to +51% and -157% to +215%, and for those with initial FE NO ≥50 ppb were -33% to +35% and -159% to +192%. The variation in FE NO values for a stable period was similar irrespective of whether it was followed by a stable or unstable period. CONCLUSIONS: Over a 3-month period where FE NO is initially <50 ppb, a rise of <10 ppb or of <50% (based on IQR) is unlikely to be related to asthma. When FE NO is initially ≥50 ppb an percentage change of <50% (based on IQR) is unlikely to be asthma-related.

Low-dose oral theophylline combined with inhaled corticosteroids for people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and high risk of exacerbations: a RCT.

BACKGROUND: Despite widespread use of therapies such as inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs), people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) continue to suffer, have reduced life expectancy and utilise considerable NHS resources. Laboratory investigations have demonstrated that at low plasma concentrations (1-5 mg/l) theophylline markedly enhances the anti-inflammatory effects of corticosteroids in COPD. OBJECTIVE: To determine the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of adding low-dose theophylline to a drug regimen containing ICSs in people with COPD at high risk of exacerbation. DESIGN: A multicentre, pragmatic, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled clinical trial. SETTING: The trial was conducted in 121 UK primary and secondary care sites. PARTICIPANTS: People with COPD [i.e. who have a forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) of < 0.7] currently on a drug regimen including ICSs with a history of two or more exacerbations treated with antibiotics and/or oral corticosteroids (OCSs) in the previous year. INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomised (1 : 1) to receive either low-dose theophylline or placebo for 1 year. The dose of theophylline (200 mg once or twice a day) was determined by ideal body weight and smoking status. PRIMARY OUTCOME: The number of participant-reported exacerbations in the 1-year treatment period that were treated with antibiotics and/or OCSs. RESULTS: A total of 1578 people were randomised (60% from primary care): 791 to theophylline and 787 to placebo. There were 11 post-randomisation exclusions. Trial medication was prescribed to 1567 participants: 788 in the theophylline arm and 779 in the placebo arm. Participants in the trial arms were well balanced in terms of characteristics. The mean age was 68.4 [standard deviation (SD) 8.4] years, 54% were male, 32% smoked and mean FEV1 was 51.7% (SD 20.0%) predicted. Primary outcome data were available for 98% of participants: 772 in the theophylline arm and 764 in the placebo arm. There were 1489 person-years of follow-up data. The mean number of exacerbations was 2.24 (SD 1.99) for participants allocated to theophylline and 2.23 (SD 1.97) for participants allocated to placebo [adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.99, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.91 to 1.08]. Low-dose theophylline had no significant effects on lung function (i.e. FEV1), incidence of pneumonia, mortality, breathlessness or measures of quality of life or disease impact. Hospital admissions due to COPD exacerbation were less frequent with low-dose theophylline (adjusted IRR 0.72, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.94). However, 39 of the 51 excess hospital admissions in the placebo group were accounted for by 10 participants having three or more exacerbations. There were no differences in the reporting of theophylline side effects between the theophylline and placebo arms. LIMITATIONS: A higher than expected percentage of participants (26%) ceased trial medication; this was balanced between the theophylline and placebo arms and mitigated by over-recruitment (n = 154 additional participants were recruited) and the high rate of follow-up. The limitation of not using documented exacerbations is addressed by evidence that patient recall is highly reliable and the results of a small within-trial validation study. CONCLUSION: For people with COPD at high risk of exacerbation, the addition of low-dose oral theophylline to a drug regimen that includes ICSs confers no overall clinical or health economic benefit. This result was evident from the intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses. FUTURE WORK: To promote consideration of the findings of this trial in national and international COPD guidelines. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN27066620. FUNDING: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 23, No. 37. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a long-term lung disease that cannot be cured. The main symptom is shortness of breath on exertion. In the UK, about 1.2 million people have COPD. It is a major cause of death and costs the NHS > £1B a year. Sudden 'flare-ups' of symptoms often need emergency treatment, shorten life expectancy and reduce people's ability to get on with their lives. Theophylline is a drug that has been around for decades. In the past, it was used in high doses to treat COPD by opening up airways. However, its benefits were limited and it often caused unpleasant side effects. High-dose theophylline has been replaced by drugs administered by inhalers, such as inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs). Recent work in the laboratory and in animal models suggests that, at low dose, theophylline could make ICSs work better in COPD with none of the side effects of high-dose theophylline. The Theophylline With Inhaled CorticoSteroid (TWICS) trial tested whether or not adding low-dose theophylline reduces flare-ups in people with COPD taking ICSs. A total of 1578 people with COPD from 121 centres all over the UK took part. Participants were randomly divided into two groups: one group took low-dose theophylline and the other took dummy placebo pills. Participants were asked to attend visits at 6 and 12 months. A total of 791 participants were prescribed low-dose theophylline and 787 were prescribed dummy placebo pills. Although not everyone took the tablets for a whole year, it was possible to count the number of flare-ups in 98% of those taking part. In total, there were 3430 flare-ups. On average, the people taking low-dose theophylline had 2.24 flare-ups and the people taking placebo had 2.23 flare-ups. Overall, the trial showed that, for people with COPD, taking low-dose theophylline on top of steroid inhalers makes no real difference.

Methodology and reporting characteristics of studies using interrupted time series design in healthcare.

BACKGROUND: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard when evaluating the causal effects of healthcare interventions. When RCTs cannot be used (e.g. ethically difficult), the interrupted time series (ITS) design is a possible alternative. ITS is one of the strongest quasi-experimental designs. The aim of this methodological study was to describe how ITS designs were being used, the design characteristics, and reporting in the healthcare setting. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE for reports of ITS designs published in 2015 which had a minimum of two data points collected pre-intervention and one post-intervention. There was no restriction on participants, language of study, or type of outcome. Data were summarised using appropriate summary statistics. RESULTS: One hundred and sixteen studies were included in the study. Interventions evaluated were mainly programs 41 (35%) and policies 32 (28%). Data were usually collected at monthly intervals, 74 (64%). Of the 115 studies that reported an analysis, the most common method was segmented regression (78%), 55% considered autocorrelation, and only seven reported a sample size calculation. Estimation of intervention effects were reported as change in slope (84%) and change in level (70%) and 21% reported long-term change in levels. CONCLUSIONS: This methodological study identified problems in the reporting of design features and results of ITS studies, and highlights the need for future work in the development of formal reporting guidelines and methodological work.

Correction: Hormonal contraceptive use and risk of pancreatic cancer-A cohort study among premenopausal women.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0206358.].

"It's just in that sea of things that I never cared about": perception of hepatitis B amongst university students in Aberdeen, North-East Scotland.

BACKGROUND: A significant proportion of international students at UK universities are from regions with medium to high hepatitis B prevalence rates. Understanding the perception of students regarding hepatitis B infection is crucial for the development of appropriate information and services for this population group. METHODS: Twenty semi-structured interviews were conducted with students from the University of Aberdeen. The following key areas were covered: knowledge, awareness, practices including testing, cultural and social aspects and general attitudes to health information and services. Interviews were transcribed verbatim and coded using a framework analysis approach. RESULTS: The participants acknowledged hepatitis B to be a serious disease yet did not consider themselves to be at risk. They felt able to go to their General Practitioner if concerned about hepatitis B but emphasised that there was no indication that this was required. There was a general lack of knowledge about the disease including confusion over other types of hepatitis. This was linked to the perceived lack of attention given to hepatitis B in, for example, sexual health education and disease awareness raising campaigns. The participants expressed a desire for information on hepatitis B to be relevant to the student population, easy to understand, socially acceptable and easily accessible on student portals and social media platforms. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that students in Aberdeen, North East Scotland lack knowledge and awareness of hepatitis B and do not perceive themselves as being at risk of hepatitis B infection. There is a need for more tailored hepatitis B messages to be incorporated into a range of contexts with clearer risk communication for the student population.

Pilot randomised controlled trial of Weight Watchers® referral with or without dietitian-led group support for weight loss in women treated for breast cancer: the BRIGHT (BReast cancer weIGHT loss) trial.

BACKGROUND: Being overweight or obese following breast cancer diagnosis can increase cancer recurrence and mortality, so effective interventions for weight loss in this group could enhance survival. A pilot randomised controlled trial was conducted to assess whether a weight loss programme comprising generic Weight Watchers® referral offered to women treated for breast cancer with or without additional breast cancer-tailored dietetic support is feasible and shows promise for improving weight and quality of life (QoL). METHODS: Participants were randomly allocated to 3 groups: Weight Watchers® referral (for 12 sessions of meetings and digital tools) plus 5 breast cancer-tailored dietitian-led group support sessions (WW Plus: n = 14), Weight Watchers® referral only (WW: n = 16) or control (Weight Watchers® referral after 3 months, n = 15). Feasibility was assessed based on retention rate, recruitment and randomisation process, meeting attendance, suitability of the setting and outcome measurement tools, unintended consequences, cost and observations of the dietetic sessions. Outcomes were measured at 0, 3 ('trial exit') and 12 months post intervention. RESULTS: The response rate to the invitation was 43% (140/327) of whom 58 were eligible and 45 (median age 61.0 years; body mass index 30.2 kg/m2) were randomised. Data from 38 (84%) and 30 (67%) participants were available at trial exit and 12 months respectively. Feasibility issues included slow recruitment process, lack of blinding throughout, weighing scales not measuring > 150 kg, lack of clear instructions for completing QoL questionnaire and workload and time pressures in delivering dietetic sessions. Participants had good attendance rate at group meetings and no serious unintended consequences were reported. WW Plus was most expensive to run. Mean (95% CI) weight change at trial exit was - 3.67 kg (- 5.67, - 2.07) in WW Plus, - 6.03 kg (- 7.61, - 4.44) in WW group and + 0.19 kg (- 1.45, + 1.83) in control group. About 40% of the WW Plus, 64% of the WW group and 56% of the control group lost ≥ 5% of their baseline weight by 12 months. All groups showed promise for improving QoL at trial exit but only the WW group maintained significant improvements from baseline at 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: The trial procedures were feasible, with some modifications. This pilot trial indicates the benefits of providing free WW vouchers for weight loss maintenance and improving QoL but provided no evidence that including additional dietetic support would add any extra value. Further research with WW with long-term follow-up should be undertaken to assess weight loss sustainability and benefit on health outcomes in this patient group. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN-29623418.