Effectiveness of digital health interventions for telemedicine/telehealth for managing blood pressure in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis included randomized controlled trials or observational studies that compare digital health interventions (DHIs) for telemedicine/telehealth versus usual care for managing blood pressure (BP) in adults. We searched PubMed, Cochrane CENTRAL, and IchuShi-Web, and used a random-effects meta-analysis of the weighted mean difference (MD) between the comparison groups to pool data from the included studies. The outcome included the pooled MD of office BP from baseline to each follow-up period. This meta-analysis considered 117 studies with 68677 participants as eligible. The 3-month intervention period reduced office systolic BP (SBP) compared with usual care in 38 studies (MD: -3.21 mmHg [95% confidence interval: -4.51 to -1.90]), with evidence of heterogeneity. Office SBP across intervention periods demonstrated comparable effects (3-, 6- [54 studies], 12- [43 studies], and >12-month periods [9 studies]). The benefits for office diastolic BP were similar to those for office SBP. Additionally, the interventions significantly reduced the office SBP compared with the control, regardless of the mode of intervention delivery (smartphone apps [38 studies], text messages [35 studies], and websites [34 studies]) or type of facility (medical [74 studies] vs. non-medical [33 studies]). The interventions were more effective in 41 hypertension cohorts compared with 66 non-hypertension cohorts (-4.81 mmHg [-6.33, -3.29] vs. -2.17 mmHg [-3.15, -1.19], P = 0.006 for heterogeneity). In conclusion, DHIs for telemedicine/telehealth improved BP management compared with usual care. The effectiveness with heterogeneity should be considered, as prudent for implementing evidence-based medicine. This meta-analysis considered 117 studies with 68677 participants eligible. The DHIs for telemedicine/telehealth reduced office BP compared with usual care, regardless of intervention duration, intervention delivery mode, facility type, and cohort type. Additionally, the DHIs reduced the risk of uncontrolled BP compared with usual care, regardless of intervention duration, intervention delivery mode, and facility type. BP blood pressure, DHI digital health intervention, MD mean difference, RR risk ratio, SBP systolic blood pressure.

Epidemiology of Acute Aortic Dissection in a General Population of 1.4 Million People in Japan　- Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry.

BACKGROUND: Acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a life-threatening cardiovascular disease, with a reported incidence rate ranging from 2.5 to 7.2 per 100,000 person-years in several population-based registries in Western countries, but epidemiological data are lacking in Japan.Methods and Results: The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry is an ongoing multicenter population-based registry of cerebro-cardiovascular diseases. We enrolled patients who developed AAD, defined by any imaging examination method from 2014 to 2015 in Shiga Prefecture. Death certificates were used to identify cases that were not registered at acute care hospitals. The incidence rates of AAD were calculated by age categories and adjusted using standard populations for comparison. We evaluated differences in patient characteristics between Stanford type A-AAD and type B-AAD subtypes. A total of 402 incident cases with AAD were analyzed. The age-adjusted incidence rates using the 2015 Japanese population and the 2013 European Standard Population were 15.8 and 12.2 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with cases of type B-AAD, those with type A-AAD were older (75.0 vs. 69.9 years, P=0.001) and more likely to be women (62.3% vs. 28.6%, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Population-based incidence rates of AAD in Japan appear to be higher than in previous reports from Western countries. Incident cases with type A-AAD were older and female predominance.

Reconstruction of Extensive Diaphragmatic Defects Using the Rectus Abdominis Muscle and Fascial Flap.

Diaphragmatic reconstruction is required for extensive diaphragmatic defects associated with tumor resection. Methods using artificial mesh and autologous tissues, such as pedicled flaps, have been reported predominantly for diaphragmatic reconstruction. We present the case of a 61-year-old woman who presented with a 14 × 13 × 12 cm tumor in the abdominal cavity of the upper left abdomen on computed tomography. The diaphragm defect measuring 12 × 7 cm that occurred during excision of the malignant tumor was reconstructed using the rectus abdominis muscle and fascial flap. The flap has vertical and horizontal vascular axes; therefore, blood flow is stable. It also has the advantage of increasing the range of motion and reducing twisting of the vascular pedicles. Fascial flap does not require processing such as thinning and can be used during suture fixation. This procedure, which has rarely been reported so far, has many advantages and may be a useful option for diaphragm reconstruction.

Effect of the Energy Intake on the Iron Status of Resistance Exercises Performed in Rats.

In many cases, athletes compensate for nutrient deficiencies due to a reduced dietary intake by taking supplements or other means. However, in what ways nutrients are utilized by the body when it is deficient in energy and yet receives adequate amounts of the required nutrients are unclear. We therefore examined the effect of the balance between available energy and iron intake on the iron nutritional status of athletes. The experiment was conducted in two parts. Four-week-old male rats were divided into two groups based on energy and iron sufficiency: Experiment 1 was energy-sufficient and iron-sufficient (ES-FeS) and energy-sufficient and iron-deficient (ES-FeD). Experiment 2 was energy-deficient and iron-sufficient (ED-FeS) and energy-deficient and iron-deficient (ED-FeD) groups. All rats were made to perform climbing exercises 3 days a week at 5 P.M. The results showed that a significantly higher hematocrit, hemoglobin, plasma iron concentration, and TfS were found in the iron-sufficient group than in the iron-deficient group, TIBC was significantly lower in the iron-sufficient group than in the iron-deficient group, and TfS was significantly higher in the iron-sufficient group than in the iron-deficient group, irrespective of energy intake. It was suggested that restricting both iron and energy intake may significantly decrease the amount of iron in the liver and accelerate the metabolic turnover of red blood cells, while restricting iron intake but providing adequate energy intake suggested that resistance exercise-induced tissue iron repartitioning was not altered by iron sufficiency or deficiency.

Drug-induced sarcoidosis-like reaction three months after BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccination: A case report and review of literature.

BACKGROUND: A 70-year-old man with hepatitis C virus-related recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma was admitted for further diagnosis of a 1 cm iso-hyperechoic nodule in segment (S) 5. CASE SUMMARY: Gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (EOB-MRI) revealed the nodule in S5 with a defect at the hepatobiliary phase, hyperintensity on diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) and hypointensity on apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography revealed hypervascularity at the early phase, and delayed contrast-enhancement was observed at the late phase. Contrast-enhanced ultrasound (US) revealed incomplete defect at the late vascular phase. Inflammatory liver tumor, lymphoproliferative disease, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (small duct type) and bile duct adenoma were suspected through the imaging studies. US guided biopsy, however, showed a noncaseating hepatic sarcoid-like epithelioid granuloma (HSEG), and histopathological analysis disclosed spindle shaped epithelioid cells harboring Langhans-type multinucleated giant cells. One month after admission, EOB-MRI signaled the disappearance of the defect at the hepatobiliary phase, of hyperintensity on DWI, of hypointensity on ADC map, and no stain at the early phase. CONCLUSION: That the patient had received BNT162b2 messenger RNA (mRNA) coronavirus disease 2019 vaccination 3 mo before the occurrence of HSEG, and that its disappearance was confirmed 4 mo after mRNA vaccination suggested that the drug-induced sarcoidosis-like reaction (DISR) might be induced by the mRNA vaccination. Fortunately, rechallenge of drug-induced DISR with the third mRNA vaccination was not confirmed.

Incidence and In-Hospital Mortality of Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Report from a Population-Based Registry in Japan.

AIM: To investigate the incidence and in-hospital mortality of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by conforming to the Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction (UDMI) in a population-based registry. METHODS: The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry is a multicenter, population-based registry in the Shiga Prefecture, designed to evaluate the incidence and prognosis of acute cerebro-cardiovascular diseases. We registered patients with AMI as defined by the UDMI, who developed AMI from January 2014 to December 2015 in the Shiga Prefecture. The incidence rate of AMI was calculated and standardized for age by a direct method using the 2015 Japanese population. We also evaluated the in-hospital mortality among hospitalized patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI (NSTEMI). RESULTS: A total of 1,587 patients were diagnosed with AMI, and the age-adjusted incidence rate was 61.9 per 100,000 person-years. The proportions of patients with STEMI, NSTEMI, and type 3 myocardial infarction were 57%, 30%, and 12%, respectively. The incidence rates of AMI increased with age regardless of sex, which was the highest in those 85 years and older, with 389.7 per 100,000 person-years in men and 221.8 per 100,000 person-years in women. Age-adjusted in-hospital mortality among hospitalized patients with STEMI and NSTEMI was 12.3% and 5.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based registry clarified the age-adjusted incidence rate of AMI under the application of the UDMI, highlighting that in-hospital mortality is still high among patients with STEMI in Japan.

Control of Diabetes Mellitus and Long-Term Prognosis in Stroke Patients: The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between diabetes control status and long-term prognosis after stroke incidence remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the effect of diabetes status at admission on long-term survival in patients with first-ever stroke. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry in Japan. Patients were classified according to their diabetes status and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) value at hospital admission into the following: (1) free of diabetes (no history of diabetes and HbA1c <6.5%); (2) good control (history of diabetes and HbA1c <7%; free of history and 6.5% ≤HbA1c <7%); and (3) poor control (with or without a history of diabetes and HbA1c ≥7%). Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association between diabetes status and long-term survival from stroke onset. Additionally, we also evaluated the association between diabetes status and conditional survival, beginning 29 days after stroke onset. RESULTS: A total of 6,331 first-ever stroke patients were eligible for this study. Among study patients, the mean (±SD) age was 72.85 ± 13.19 years, and the mean (±SD) follow-up year was 2.76 ± 1.66 years; additionally, 42.09% of patients were women. Among patients with all strokes, considering the free-of-diabetes group as the reference group, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for mortality was 1.26 (1.10, 1.44) in the good control group and 1.22 (1.05, 1.41) in the poor control group. Among patients with ischemic stroke, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.24 (1.06, 1.46) in good control group and 1.27 (1.08, 1.50) in poor control group. After excluding patients who died within 28 days, the adjusted hazard ratio for conditional mortality in the poor control group was 1.31 (1.12, 1.54) among all stroke patients and 1.29 (1.08, 1.54) among ischemic stroke patients. No significant associations were observed between diabetic status and long-term mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage patients. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that first-ever stroke patients with diabetes exhibited a higher risk of all-cause mortality than those without diabetes, particularly in the overall stroke and ischemic stroke populations. Additionally, in stroke populations after 28 days of onset, high risk of long-term mortality was stated in stroke patients with poor HbA1c control.

Seasonal Variation in Incidence of Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese: The Shiga Stroke Registry.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to investigate seasonal variation in stroke incidence using data from a large-scale stroke registry of general population in current Japan. METHODS: Shiga Stroke Registry (SSR) is an ongoing population-based registry of stroke that occurred in the Shiga Prefecture in central Honshu, Japan. A total 6,688 cases of first-ever stroke, with onset dates ranging from 1 January 2011 to 31 December in 2013 were included in this study. Incidence rates of first-ever stroke in each season were estimated using the person-year approach and adjusted for age and sex using the Poisson regression models. RESULTS: From 2011 to 2013, we identified a total of 6,688 stroke cases (3,570 men, 3,118 women), of which 4,480 cases had ischemic stroke (2,518 men, 1,962 women), 1,588 had intracerebral hemorrhage (857 men, 731 women) and 563 had subarachnoid hemorrhage (166 men, 397 women). Age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates of total stroke were 151 (95% confidence interval [CI] 144-160, p = <0.001 vs. summer) in spring, 130 (95% CI 122-137) in summer, 141 (95% CI 133-149, p = 0.020 vs. summer) in autumn and 170 (95% CI 161-179, p = <0.001 vs. summer) in winter. Seasonal variation was more pronounced in intracerebral hemorrhage than in ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: In the present large-scale stroke registry of general population, incidence rates of stroke were highest in winter and lowest in summer in current Japan.

Hepatitis B Virus Treatment and Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Controversies and Approaches to Consensus.

Background: Long-term therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) such as entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) favorably affects the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on the basis of data from randomized or matched control studies. Recent data suggest a lower HCC incidence after 5 years of ETV or TDF therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, especially those with baseline cirrhosis. Summary: Three controversial issues remain to be resolved regarding hepatitis B virus (HBV) treatment and HCC. (1) The efficacy of antiviral treatment for the prevention of HCC is not established. The guidelines of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD), the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL), and the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) for the management of HBV infection state that antiviral treatment of HBV with interferon and NAs prevents the development of HCC. Among experts in CHB treatment, however, there is disagreement on the HCC prevention effects of antiviral treatment. (2) The rationale for antiviral management in patients with high HBV DNA and normal levels of alanine aminotransferase is unclear. The AASLD, EASL, and APASL guidelines do not recommend antiviral treatment for immune-tolerant CHB patients, and the terms and methods of treating such patients remain to be clarified. (3) The efficacy of first-line treatment with NAs, including ETV, TDF, and tenofovir alafenamide fumarate (TAF), to prevent HCC in CHB patients remains unknown. Several studies have produced controversial results regarding the effects of NAs on the risk and prevention of HCC. In the present review, we discuss these 3 issues, citing recent studies and clinical management guidelines from major international associations. Key Messages: Suggested approaches for reaching a consensus including applying the propensity score matching method, performing randomized controlled studies, and performing clinical studies with larger numbers of subjects and longer follow-up.

Distant metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma to Meckel's cave and cranial nerves: A case report and review of literature.

BACKGROUND: Metastasis occurs as a late event in the natural history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and most patients die of liver failure attributed to the tumor supplanting the liver. Conversely, the brain is a less common metastatic site. CASE SUMMARY: We describe a rare case of hepatitis C virus-related multiple HCC metastasizing to the cavernous sinus, Meckel's cave, and the petrous bone involving multiple cranial nerves in an 82-year-old woman. At admission imaging studies including Gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed multiple HCC nodules in both right and left lobes. Ultrasound guided biopsy of the left lobe revealed moderately differentiated HCC. Molecular targeted therapy with Lenvatinib (8 mg/d for 94 d, per os) and Ramucirumab (340 mg/d and 320 mg/d, two times by intravenous injection) were administered for 4 mo, resulting in progression of the disease. Three months after the start of molecular target therapy, the patient presented with symptoms of hyperalgesia of the right face and limited abduction of the right eye, indicating disturbances in the right trigeminal and abducens nerves. Brain MRI disclosed a mass involving the cavernous sinus, Meckel's cave and the petrous bone. Contrast-enhanced MRI with gadolinium-chelated contrast medium revealed a well-defined mass with abnormal enhancement around the right cavernous sinus and the right Meckel's cave. CONCLUSION: The diagnosis of metastatic HCC to the cavernous sinus, Meckel's cave, and the petrous bone was made based on neurological findings and imaging studies including MRI, but not on histological examinations. Further studies may provide insights into various methods for diagnosing HCC metastasizing to the craniospinal area.

Effect of postoperative radiotherapy for free flap volume changing after tongue reconstruction.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of postoperative radiotherapy (RT) on temporal volume changes with a cutaneous free flap (CF) and a myocutaneous free flap (MCF). METHODS: The subjects were 24 men and 11 women (mean age, 50.5 ± 15.5 years) with tongue or floor of mouth cancer. Twenty-seven cases of CF and eight cases of MCF were selected. The flap volume change of the reconstructed tongue was calculated using computed tomography (CT) images taken immediately and at one year postoperatively using the DICOM image processing software OsiriX®. RESULTS: The reduction rate in flap volume at one year postoperatively was 82.0 ± 15% in CF without RT, 70.3 ± 26.1% in CF with RT, 88.5 ± 14.7% in MCF without RT, and 99.5 ± 16% in MCF with RT. The MCF volume was significantly higher compared to the CF volume. Although postoperative RT reduced the CF volume by 30%, there was only a slight reduction in the MCF volume. CONCLUSIONS: We evaluated the effect of postoperative RT on volume reduction in 35 cases of the reconstructed tongue with CF and MCF using a computer-assisted volume rendering technique. In this study, the effect of RT on volume reduction was different between the CF and MCF.

Long-Term Survival after Stroke in 1.4 Million Japanese Population: Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although numerous measures for stroke exist, stroke remains one of the leading causes of death in Japan. In this study, we aimed to determine the long-term survival rate after first-ever stroke using data from a large-scale population-based stroke registry study in Japan. METHODS: Part of the Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry, the Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based registry study of stroke, which covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture in Japan. A total 1,880 patients with non-fatal first-ever stroke (among 29-day survivors after stroke onset) registered in 2011 were followed up until December 2016. Five-year cumulative survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, according to subtype of the index stroke. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess predictors of subsequent all-cause death. RESULTS: During an average 4.3-year follow-up period, 677 patients died. The 5-year cumulative survival rate after non-fatal first-ever stroke was 65.9%. Heterogeneity was present in 5-year cumulative survival according to stroke subtype: lacunar infarction, 75.1%; large-artery infarction, 61.5%; cardioembolic infarction, 44.9%; intracerebral hemorrhage, 69.1%; and subarachnoid hemorrhage, 77.9%. Age, male sex, Japan Coma Scale score on admission, and modified Rankin Scale score before stroke onset were associated with increased mortality during the chronic phase of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. CONCLUSIONS: In this study conducted in a real-world setting of Japan, the 5-year survival rate after non-fatal first-ever stroke remained low, particularly among patients with cardioembolic infarction and large-artery infarction in the present population-based stroke registry.

Differential protective effects of Radix astragali, herbal medicine, on immobilization-induced atrophy of slow-twitch and fast-twitch muscles.

Radix astragali is a popular traditional herbal medicine that provides significant protection against tissue injury in various models of oxidative stress-related diseases. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether administration of Radix astragali prevented atrophy in both slow- and fast-twitch muscles following cast immobilization. Twenty-seven 12-week-old male F344 rats were divided into three experimental groups: control (CON), immobilized (IM), and immobilized with Radix astragali administration (IM+AR). Rats in the IM and IM+AR groups were subjected to immobilization of both lower extremities using casting-tape for 14 days. Rats in the IM+AR group were orally administered a decoction of Radix astragali daily for 21 days beginning 7 days before cast immobilization. As expected, rats in the IM group showed significant decreases (P < 0.05) in soleus and plantaris muscle-to-body weight ratios by 74.3% and 70.5%, respectively, compared with those in the CON group. Administration of Radix astragali significantly reversed (+35.5%) the weight reduction observed in soleus muscle, but not in the plantaris muscle, compared with that in the IM group. Furthermore, administration of Radix astragali inhibited MuRF1 mRNA expression only in the soleus muscle during cast immobilization. Our results demonstrated that administration of Radix astragali suppressed the immobilization-induced reductions in skeletal muscle mass and expression of MuRF1 mRNA in slow-twitch soleus muscles, but not in fast-twitch plantaris muscles.

Two-Year Recurrence After First-Ever Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese Patients　- The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry Study.

BACKGROUND: Despite many effective strategies for the prevention of recurrent stroke, individuals who survive an initial stroke have been shown to be at high risk of recurrent stroke. The aim of this study was to investigate the current status of stroke recurrence after first-ever stroke using a population-based stroke registry in Japan.Methods and Results:As part of the Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry, the Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based stroke registry study that covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture, Japan. A total of 1,883 first-ever stroke survivors at 28 days was registered in 2011 and followed-up until the end of 2013. Recurrence was defined as any type of stroke after 28 days from the onset of an index event. Two-year cumulative recurrence rates were estimated using cumulative incidence function methods. Over a mean 2.1-year follow-up period, 120 patients experienced recurrent stroke and 389 patients died without recurrence. The 2-year cumulative recurrence rate was higher in patients with index ischemic stroke (6.8%) than in those with index hemorrhagic stroke (3.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Two-year cumulative recurrence rate after first-ever stroke remained high, particularly among patients with ischemic stroke, in the present population-based registry study in a real-world setting in Japan. Further intensive secondary prevention strategies are required for these high-risk individuals.

Impact of advanced maternal age on adverse infant outcomes: A Japanese population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: The number of births among women of higher age has been rapidly increasing in many countries for several decades. While recent epidemiological studies on the impact of maternal age on infant outcomes in developed countries have evaluated the outcomes of singleton infants, few population-based studies have investigated all deliveries including multiple births. Thus, we aimed to assess the impact of maternal age on adverse infant outcomes using data from all birth certificates, including multiple births, in Shiga prefecture, Japan. STUDY DESIGN: The data from all birth certificates in Shiga Prefecture from 2013 to 2014 (23,294 births from 23,048 mothers) were obtained. We evaluated the impact of maternal age on adverse infant outcomes, including small for gestational age (SGA), low birth weight (LBW), and preterm birth (PTB). A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for infant outcomes with various maternal factors, including multiple pregnancies. Statistical analysis for trend was performed using the Jonckheere-Terpstra test. RESULTS: The incidence rates of adverse infant outcomes began to increase at a maternal age of 30 years. A maternal age of ≥35 years was associated with significantly increased risks of adverse infant outcomes, including SGA (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.15, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.03-1.29), LBW (aOR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.16-1.43), and PTB (aOR: 1.17, 95%CI: 1.04-1.33). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of adverse infant outcomes was significantly increased in women older than 35 years of age. These data would be useful for younger women to decide family-planning in advance.

Two-Year Survival After First-Ever Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese　- Shiga Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is one of the leading causes of disability and mortality in Japan. The aim of the present analysis was to determine the non-acute survival rate after first-ever stroke using data from a large-scale population-based stroke registry in Japan. Methods and Results: Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based registry of stroke, which covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture in central Japan. A total of 2,176 first-ever stroke patients, who were registered in 2011, were followed up until December 2013. The 2-year cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method according to index stroke subtype. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess predictors of all-cause death. During a 2-year follow-up period, 663 patients (30.5%) died. The 2-year cumulative survival rate after first-ever stroke was 69.5%. There was heterogeneity in 2-year cumulative survival according to stroke subtype: lacunar infarction, 87.2%; large artery infarction, 76.1%; cardioembolic infarction, 55.4%; intracerebral hemorrhage, 65.9%; and subarachnoid hemorrhage, 56.7%. Older age, male sex, medical history, higher Japan coma scale score on admission, and stroke subtype were associated with risk of all-cause death in ≤2 years. CONCLUSIONS: In the present population-based stroke registry with a real-world setting in Japan, 2-year cumulative mortality after first-ever stroke is still high (>30%), particularly for cardioembolic infarction, subarachnoid hemorrhage and intracerebral hemorrhage.

The JAGUAR Score Predicts 1-Month Disability/Death in Ischemic Stroke Patient Ineligible for Recanalization Therapy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Most available scoring system to predict outcome after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) were established in Western countries. We aimed to develop a simple prediction score of 1-month severe disability/death after onset in AIS patients ineligible for recanalization therapy based on readily and widely obtainable on-admission clinical, laboratory and radiological examinations in Asian developing countries. METHODS: Using the Shiga Stroke Registry, a large population-based registry in Japan, multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted in 1617 AIS patients ineligible for recanalization therapy to yield ß-coefficients of significant predictors of 1-month modified Rankin Scale score of 5-6, which were then multiplied by a specific constant and rounded to nearest integer to develop 0-10 points system. Model discrimination and calibration were evaluated in the original and bootstrapped population. RESULTS: Japan Coma Scale score (J), age (A), random glucose (G), untimely onset-to-arrival time (U), atrial fibrillation (A), and preadmission dependency status according to the modified Rankin Scale score (R), were recognized as independent predictors of outcome. Each of their ß-coefficients was multiplied by 1.3 creating the JAGUAR score. Its area under the curve (95% confidence interval) was .901 (.880- .922) and .901 (.900- .901) in the original and bootstrapped population, respectively. It was found to have good calibration in both study population (P = .27). CONCLUSIONS: The JAGUAR score can be an important prediction tool of severe disability/death in AIS patients ineligible for recanalization therapy that can be applied on admission with no complicated calculation and multimodal neuroimaging necessary, thus suitable for Asian developing countries.