Prediction of Mortality With the Use of Noninvasive Ventilation for Acute Respiratory Failure.

BACKGROUND: In actuality, it is difficult to obtain an early prognostic stratification for patients with acute respiratory failure treated with noninvasive ventilation (NIV). We tested whether an early evaluation through a predictive scoring system could identify subjects at risk of in-hospital mortality or NIV failure. METHODS: This was a retrospective study, which included all the subjects with acute respiratory failure who required NIV admitted to an emergency department-high-dependence observation unit between January 2014 and December 2017. The HACOR (heart rate, acidosis [by using pH], consciousness [by using the Glasgow coma scale], oxygenation [by using [Formula: see text]/[Formula: see text]], respiratory rate) score was calculated before the NIV initiation (T0) and after 1 h (T1) and 24 h (T24) of treatment. The primary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and NIV failure, defined as the need for invasive ventilation. RESULTS: The study population included 644 subjects, 463 with hypercapnic respiratory failure and an overall in-hospital mortality of 23%. Thirty-six percent of all the subjects had NIV as the "ceiling" treatment. At all the evaluations, nonsurvivors had a higher mean ± SD HACOR score than did the survivors (T0, 8.2 ± 4.9 vs 6.1 ± 4.0; T1, 6.6 ± 4.8 vs 3.8 ± 3.4; T24, 5.3 ± 4.5 vs 2.0 ± 2.3 [all P < .001]). These data were confirmed after the exclusion of the subjects who underwent NIV as the ceiling treatment (T0, 8.2 ± 4.9 vs 6.1 ± 4.0 [P = .002]; T1, 6.6 ± 4.8 vs 3.8 ± 3.4; T24, 5.3 ± 4.5 vs 2.0 ± 3.2 [all P < .001]). At T24, an HACOR score > 5 (Relative Risk [RR] 2.39, 95% CI 1.60-3.56) was associated with an increased mortality rate, independent of age and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score. CONCLUSIONS: Among the subjects treated with NIV for acute respiratory failure, the HACOR score seemed to be a useful tool to identify those at risk of in-hospital mortality.

SOFA Score prognostic performance among patients admitted to High-Dependency Units.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to assess prognostic stratification in patients admitted in two Italian Emergency-Department High-Dependency Units (ED-HDU). METHODS: From June 2014, to July 2016, we recorded all patients admitted in the ED-HDU of the Careggi University Hospital and the Vittorio Emanuele University Hospital in a standardized database. Charlson Index and SOFA Score were calculated to evaluate comorbidity burden and severity of organ dysfunction. End-points were HDU and in-hospital mortality rate and need of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) transfer. RESULTS: The overall number of patients admitted in the two Units was 3311, 1822 in Florence and 1489 in Catania. HDU mortality rate was 5% (N.=171); compared with survivors, non-survivors showed a higher SOFA Score (10.0±4.2 vs. 3.5±2.9, P<0.001) and a higher number of organ dysfunctions (1.6±0.9 vs. 0.6±0.8, P<0.001). All patients with a SOFA Score in the first and second quartile survived HDU admission (only two non-survivors among patients in the second quartile), while mortality was disproportionally high in the group with a score value in the fourth quartile (0%, 0.2%, 3% and 14%, P<0.001). Presence and number of organ failure, as well as SOFA Score (5.6±4.0 vs. 3.4±2.8, P<0.001), were significantly higher in patients transferred to ICU than in those admitted in an ordinary ward or discharged. A higher SOFA Score (RR 1.55, 95% CI: 1.47-1.63, P<0.001) was associated with an increased HDU mortality, independent of age and Charlson Index. CONCLUSIONS: SOFA Score showed a good discrimination ability for both HDU - mortality and indication to increase the level of care.