Twice-Daily Dolutegravir Based Antiretroviral Therapy with One Month of Daily Rifapentine and Isoniazid (1HP) for TB Prevention.

BACKGROUND: One month of daily rifapentine + isoniazid (1HP) is an effective, ultrashort option for TB prevention in people with HIV (PWH). However, rifapentine may decrease antiretroviral drug concentrations and increase the risk of virologic failure. ACTG A5372 evaluated the effect of 1HP on the pharmacokinetics of twice daily dolutegravir. METHODS: A5372 was a multicenter, pharmacokinetic study in PWH (≥18 years) already on dolutegravir-containing antiretroviral therapy with HIV RNA < 50 copies/mL. Participants received daily rifapentine/isoniazid (600mg/300mg) for 28 days as part of 1HP. Dolutegravir was increased to 50mg twice daily during 1HP and intensive pharmacokinetic sampling was performed on day 0 (before 1HP) and on the final day of 1HP treatment. RESULTS: Thirty-two participants (41% female; 66% Black/African; median (Q1, Q3) age 42 (34, 49) years) were included in the pharmacokinetic analysis. Thirty-one of 32 had HIV RNA levels <50 copies/mL at the end of 1HP dosing. One participant had an HIV RNA of 160 copies/mL at day 28, with HIV RNA <50 copies/mL upon repeat testing on day 42. The median (Q1, Q3) dolutegravir trough concentration was 1751 ng/mL (1195, 2542) on day 0 vs. 1987ng/mL (1331, 2278) on day 28 (day 28:day 0 GMR 1.05, [90% CI 0.93-1.2]; p = 0.43). No serious adverse events were reported. CONCLUSION: Dolutegravir trough concentrations with 50mg twice daily dosing during 1HP treatment were greater than those with standard dose dolutegravir once daily without 1HP. These pharmacokinetic, virologic, and safety data provide support for twice daily dolutegravir use in combination with 1HP for TB prevention.

Use of predicted vital status to improve survival analysis of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) cohorts often lack long-term survival data, and are summarized instead by initial treatment outcomes. When using Cox proportional hazards models to analyze these cohorts, this leads to censoring subjects at the time of the initial treatment outcome, instead of them providing full survival data. This may violate the non-informative censoring assumption of the model and may produce biased effect estimates. To address this problem, we develop a tool to predict vital status at the end of a cohort period using the initial treatment outcome and assess its ability to reduce bias in treatment effect estimates. METHODS: We derive and apply a logistic regression model to predict vital status at the end of the cohort period and modify the unobserved survival outcomes to better match the predicted survival experience of study subjects. We compare hazard ratio estimates for effect of an aggressive treatment regimen from Cox proportional hazards models using time to initial treatment outcome, predicted vital status, and true vital status at the end of the cohort period. RESULTS: Models fit from initial treatment outcomes underestimate treatment effects by up to 22.1%, while using predicted vital status reduced this bias by 5.4%. Models utilizing the predicted vital status produce effect estimates consistently stronger and closer to the true treatment effect than estimates produced by models using the initial treatment outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Although studies often use initial treatment outcomes to estimate treatment effects, this may violate the non-informative censoring assumption of the Cox proportional hazards model and result in biased treatment effect estimates. Using predicted vital status at the end of the cohort period may reduce this bias in the analyses of MDR-TB treatment cohorts, yielding more accurate, and likely larger, treatment effect estimates. Further, these larger effect sizes can have downstream impacts on future study design by increasing power and reducing sample size needs.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment failure detection depends on monitoring interval and microbiological method.

Debate persists about monitoring method (culture or smear) and interval (monthly or less frequently) during treatment for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). We analysed existing data and estimated the effect of monitoring strategies on timing of failure detection.We identified studies reporting microbiological response to MDR-TB treatment and solicited individual patient data from authors. Frailty survival models were used to estimate pooled relative risk of failure detection in the last 12 months of treatment; hazard of failure using monthly culture was the reference.Data were obtained for 5410 patients across 12 observational studies. During the last 12 months of treatment, failure detection occurred in a median of 3 months by monthly culture; failure detection was delayed by 2, 7, and 9 months relying on bimonthly culture, monthly smear and bimonthly smear, respectively. Risk (95% CI) of failure detection delay resulting from monthly smear relative to culture is 0.38 (0.34-0.42) for all patients and 0.33 (0.25-0.42) for HIV-co-infected patients.Failure detection is delayed by reducing the sensitivity and frequency of the monitoring method. Monthly monitoring of sputum cultures from patients receiving MDR-TB treatment is recommended. Expanded laboratory capacity is needed for high-quality culture, and for smear microscopy and rapid molecular tests.

Aggressive Regimens Reduce Risk of Recurrence After Successful Treatment of MDR-TB.

BACKGROUND: We sought to determine whether treatment with a "long aggressive regimen" was associated with lower rates of relapse among patients successfully treated for pulmonary multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in Tomsk, Russia. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients that initiated MDR-TB treatment with individualized regimens between September 2000 and November 2004, and were successfully treated. Patients were classified as having received "aggressive regimens" if their intensive phase consisted of at least 5 likely effective drugs (including a second-line injectable and a fluoroquinolone) used for at least 6 months post culture conversion, and their continuation phase included at least 4 likely effective drugs. Patients that were treated with aggressive regimens for a minimum duration of 18 months post culture conversion were classified as having received "long aggressive regimens." We used recurrence as a proxy for relapse because genotyping was not performed. After treatment, patients were classified as having disease recurrence if cultures grew MDR-TB or they re-initiated MDR-TB therapy. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: Of 408 successfully treated patients, 399 (97.5%) with at least 1 follow-up visit were included. Median duration of follow-up was 42.4 months (interquartile range: 20.5-59.5), and there were 27 recurrence episodes. In a multivariable complete case analysis (n = 371 [92.9%]) adjusting for potential confounders, long aggressive regimens were associated with a lower rate of recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.22, 95% confidence interval, .05-.92). CONCLUSIONS: Long aggressive regimens for MDR-TB treatment are associated with lower risk of disease recurrence.

Sputum culture conversion as a prognostic marker for end-of-treatment outcome in patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: a secondary analysis of data from two observational cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Sputum culture conversion is often used as an early microbiological endpoint in phase 2 clinical trials of tuberculosis treatment on the basis of its assumed predictive value for end-of-treatment outcome, particularly in patients with drug-susceptible tuberculosis. We aimed to assess the validity of sputum culture conversion on solid media at varying timepoints, and the time to conversion, as prognostic markers for end-of-treatment outcome in patients with multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis. METHODS: We analysed data from two large cohort studies of patients with MDR tuberculosis. We defined sputum culture conversion as two or more consecutive negative cultures from sputum samples obtained at least 30 days apart. To estimate the association of 2 month and 6 month conversion with successful treatment outcome, we calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs with random-effects multivariable logistic regression. We calculated predictive values with bivariate random-effects generalised linear mixed modelling. FINDINGS: We assessed data for 1712 patients who had treatment success, treatment failure, or who died. Among patients with treatment success, median time to sputum culture conversion was significantly shorter than in those who had poor outcomes (2 months [IQR 1-3] vs 7 months [3 to ≥24]; log-rank p<0·0001). Furthermore, conversion status at 6 months (adjusted OR 14·07 [95% CI 10·05-19·71]) was significantly associated with treatment success compared with failure or death. Sputum culture conversion status at 2 months was significantly associated with treatment success only in patients who were HIV negative (adjusted OR 4·12 [95% CI 2·25-7·54]) or who had unknown HIV infection (3·59 [1·96-6·58]), but not in those who were HIV positive (0·38 [0·12-1·18]). Thus, the overall association of sputum culture conversion with a successful outcome was substantially greater at 6 months than at 2 months. 2 month conversion had low sensitivity (27·3% [95% confidence limit 16·6-41·4]) and high specificity (89·8% [82·3-94·4]) for prediction of treatment success. Conversely, 6 month sputum culture conversion status had high sensitivity (91·8% [85·9-95·4]), but moderate specificity (57·8% [42·5-71·6]). The maximum combined sensitivity and specificity for sputum culture conversion was reached between month 6 and month 10 of treatment. INTERPRETATION: Time to sputum culture conversion, conversion status at 6 months, and conversion status at 2 months in patients without known HIV infection can be considered as proxy markers of end-of-treatment outcome in patients with MDR tuberculosis, although the overall association with treatment success is substantially stronger for 6 month than for 2 month conversion status. Investigators should consider these results regarding the validity of sputum culture conversion at various timepoints as an early predictor of treatment efficacy when designing phase 2 studies before investing substantial resources in large, long-term, phase 3 trials of new treatments for MDR tuberculosis. FUNDING: US Agency for International Development, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of Intramural Research of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Improving outcomes for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: aggressive regimens prevent treatment failure and death.

BACKGROUND: Evidence is sparse regarding the optimal construction of regimens to treat multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis disease due to strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis resistant to at least both isoniazid and rifampin. Given the low potency of many second-line antituberculous drugs, we hypothesized that an aggressive regimen of at least 5 likely effective drugs during the intensive phase, including a fluoroquinolone and a parenteral agent, would be associated with a reduced risk of death or treatment failure. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients initiating MDR tuberculosis treatment between 2000 and 2004 in Tomsk, Russian Federation. We used a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to assess whether monthly exposure to an aggressive regimen was associated with the risk of death or treatment failure. RESULTS: Six hundred fourteen individuals with confirmed MDR tuberculosis were eligible for analysis. On multivariable analysis that adjusted for extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis-MDR tuberculosis isolates resistant to fluoroquinolones and parenteral agents-we found that monthly exposure to an aggressive regimen was significantly associated with a lower risk of death or treatment failure (hazard ratio, 0.52 [95% confidence interval, .29-.94]; P = .030). CONCLUSIONS: Receipt of an aggressive treatment regimen was a robust predictor of decreased risk of death or failure during MDR tuberculosis treatment. These findings further support the use of this regimen definition as the benchmark for the standard of care of MDR tuberculosis patients and should be used as the basis for evaluating novel therapies.

Predictors of poor outcomes among patients treated for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis at DOTS-plus projects.

The Objective of this analysis was to identify predictors of death, failure, and default among MDR-TB patients treated with second-line drugs in DOTS-plus projects in Estonia, Latvia, Philippines, Russia, and Peru, 2000-2004. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using multivariable regression. Of 1768 patients, treatment outcomes were: cure/completed - 1156 (65%), died - 200 (11%), default - 241 (14%), failure - 118 (7%). Independent predictors of death included: age>45 years (RR = 1.90 (95%CI 1.29-2.80), HIV infection (RR = 4.22 (2.65-6.72)), extrapulmonary disease (RR = 1.54 (1.04-2.26)), BMI<18.5 (RR = 2.71 (1.91-3.85)), previous use of fluoroquinolones (RR = 1.91 (1.31-2.78)), resistance to any thioamide (RR = 1.59 (1.14-2.22)), baseline positive smear (RR = 2.22 (1.60-3.10)), no culture conversion by 3rd month of treatment (RR = 1.69 (1.19-2.41)); failure: cavitary disease (RR = 1.73 (1.07-2.80)), resistance to any fluoroquinolone (RR = 2.73 (1.71-4.37)) and any thioamide (RR = 1.62 (1.12-2.34)), and no culture conversion by 3rd month (RR = 5.84 (3.02-11.27)); default: unemployment (RR = 1.50 (1.12-2.01)), homelessness (RR = 1.52 (1.00-2.31)), imprisonment (RR = 1.86 (1.42-2.45)), alcohol abuse (RR = 1.60 (1.18-2.16)), and baseline positive smear (RR = 1.35 (1.07-1.71)). Patients with biomedical risk factors for treatment failure or death should receive heightened medical attention. To prevent treatment default, management of patients who are unemployed, homeless, alcoholic, or have a prison history requires extra measures to insure treatment completion.

Development of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis during multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment.

RATIONALE: Extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis (TB) may arise in individuals on treatment for multidrug-resistant (MDR) TB. Preventing this amplification of resistance will likely improve clinical outcomes and delay the secondary spread of XDR-TB. OBJECTIVES: To measure the proportion of individuals that develops XDR-TB during the course of MDR-TB treatment, and to identify those factors associated with the development of XDR. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 608 consecutive patients with documented MDR-TB who were started on MDR-TB treatment between September 10, 2000 and November 1, 2004 in the Tomsk Oblast TB Treatment Services in Western Siberia, Russian Federation. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 6% of patients were observed to develop XDR-TB while on MDR-TB treatment. These patients were significantly less likely to be cured or to complete treatment. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we found that the presence of bilateral and cavitary lesions was associated with a greater than threefold increase in hazard (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 3.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.32-9.14). Prior exposure to a second-line injectable antibiotic was associated with a greater than threefold increase in hazard (adjusted HR, 3.65; 95% CI, 1.81-7.37), and each additional month in which a patient failed to take at least 80% of their prescribed drugs was associated with nearly an additional 20% hazard of developing XDR-TB (adjusted HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.01-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: Early and rapid diagnosis, timely initiation of appropriate therapy, and programmatic efforts to optimize treatment adherence during MDR-TB therapy are crucial to avoiding the generation of excess XDR-TB in MDR-TB treatment programs.

Treatment of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis in Tomsk, Russia: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains that cause untreatable drug-resistant disease are a threat worldwide. We describe the treatment, management, and outcomes of patients with extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis in Tomsk, Russia. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of 608 patients with multidrug resistant tuberculosis who had treatment in civilian or prison services, between Sept 10, 2000, and Nov 1, 2004, according to the treatment strategy recommended by WHO. Clinical characteristics, management practices, and treatment outcomes of patients with extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis and non-extensively drug-resistant (non-XDR) tuberculosis are described. The main outcome was the frequency of poor and favourable outcomes at the end of treatment. FINDINGS: Of 608 patients with multidrug resistant tuberculosis, 29 (4.8%) patients had baseline XDR tuberculosis. Treatment failure was more common in patients with XDR tuberculosis than in those with non-XDR tuberculosis (31%vs 8.5%, p=0.0008). 48.3% of patients with XDR tuberculosis and 66.7% of patients with non-XDR tuberculosis had treatment cure or completion (p=0.04). The frequency and management of adverse events did not differ between patients with XDR and non-XDR tuberculosis. INTERPRETATION: The chronic features of tuberculosis in these patients suggest that extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis may be acquired through previous treatments that include second-line drugs. Aggressive management of this infectious disease is feasible and can prevent high mortality rates and further transmission of drug-resistant strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis.

The effect of initial drug resistance on treatment response and acquired drug resistance during standardized short-course chemotherapy for tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: In Tomsk Oblast, Russian Federation, during the period of 1996-2000, most previously untreated patients with tuberculosis received standardized short-course chemotherapy, irrespective of drug-susceptibility testing results. A retrospective analysis was done to determine the effect of initial drug resistance on treatment outcome and acquired drug resistance in new patients receiving standardized short-course chemotherapy. METHODS: During the period of 1 November 1996 through 31 December 2000, a total of 2194 patients received a category 1 treatment regimen. Drug susceptibility test results for 1681 patients were available for analysis. Drug resistance patterns before and during treatment were compared for 73 patients whose culture results were persistently positive during treatment. Acquired resistance was defined as new drug resistance (during or at the end of treatment) that was not present at the beginning of treatment. RESULTS: Pretreatment drug resistance was strongly associated with treatment failure. In patients who had strains with pretreatment resistance patterns that included isoniazid or rifampin resistance, but not resistance to both, 17 (70.8%) of 24 cases involving treatment failures acquired new multidrug resistance. In patients with pretreatment pan-susceptible or streptomycin-monoresistant strains, 13 (41.9%) of 31 cases involving treatment failures acquired new multidrug resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Early diagnosis of drug-resistant tuberculosis and judicious use of second-line drugs is recommended to decrease transmission of drug-resistant strains and to prevent the creation of multidrug-resistant strains. Finally, if drug susceptibility tests are not available or results are delayed, physicians should recognize that patients who do not respond to directly observed empirical short-course chemotherapy are at high risk of having multidrug-resistant tuberculosis and should be treated accordingly.