Development of a risk prediction nomogram for delayed neuropsychiatric sequelae in patients with acute carbon monoxide poisoning.

OBJECTIVES: Delayed neuropsychiatric sequelae (DNS) are critical complications following acute carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning that can substantially affect the patient's life. Identifying high-risk patients for developing DNS may improve the quality of follow-up care. To date, the predictive DNS determinants are still controversial. Consequently, this study aimed to construct a practical nomogram for predicting DNS in acute CO-poisoned patients. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted on patients with acute CO poisoning admitted to the Tanta University Poison Control Center (TUPCC) from December 2018 to December 2022. Demographic, toxicological, and initial clinical characteristics data, as well as laboratory investigation results, were recorded for the included patients. After acute recovery, patients were followed up for six months and categorized into patients with and without DNS. RESULTS: Out of 174 enrolled patients, 38 (21.8%) developed DNS. The initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), carboxyhemoglobin (COHb) level, CO exposure duration, oxygen saturation, PaCO2, and pulse rate were significantly associated with DNS development by univariate analysis. However, the constructed nomogram based on the multivariable regression analysis included three parameters: duration of CO exposure, COHb level, and GCS with adjusted odd ratios of 1.453 (95% CI: 1.116-1.892), 1.262 (95% CI: 1.126-1.415), and 0.619 (95% CI: 0.486-0.787), respectively. The internal validation of the nomogram exhibited excellent discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.962), good calibration, and satisfactory decision curve analysis for predicting the DNS probability. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed nomogram could be considered a simple, precise, and applicable tool to predict DNS development in acute CO-poisoned patients.

Shock and modified shock indices in predicting poisoning severity and outcomes in acute aluminum phosphide poisoned patients.

Background: Severe refractory hypotension and cardiogenic shock are the main contributors to death in acute aluminum phosphide (ALP) poisoning. Shock index (SI) and modified shock index (MSI) are easily obtained parameters that reflect shock at an early stage. Aim: This study aimed to evaluate the role of SI and MSI in the prediction of the severity and outcomes of acute ALP poisoned patients. Patients and methods: This cross sectional study was conducted on patients admitted to Tanta University Poison Control Centre with acute ALP poisoning from April 2022 to March 2023. Socio-demographics and toxicological data were taken, findings of clinical examination and laboratory investigations were recoded, SI was calculated by dividing heart rate over systolic blood pressure, and MSI was obtained by dividing heart rate over mean arterial pressure. Poisoning severity was assessed using poisoning severity score (PSS). Patients were divided into groups according to intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality. Results: The study enrolled 94 patients. The median values of SI and MSI were significantly higher in ICU-admitted patients and non-survivors rather than their comparable groups. Significant positive correlations were observed between each of SI and MSI and PSS. At cut-off >1.14, SI conveyed fair performance to predict ICU admission and mortality (AUC = 0.710 and 0.739, respectively). Similarly, MSI had fair performance to predict ICU admission (AUC = 0.731) and mortality (AUC = 0.744) at cut-off >1.47 and >1.5, respectively. Conclusion: Both SI and MSI could be considered simple bedside adjuncts to predict ICU admission and mortality in acute ALP poisoning.

A nomogram proposal for early prediction of intensive care unit admission in patients with acute antipsychotic poisoning.

Background: Early identification of antipsychotic poisoned patients who may have a potential risk for intensive care unit (ICU) admission is crucial especially when resources are limited. Nomograms were previously used as a practical tool to predict prognosis and planning the treatment of some diseases including some poisoning conditions. However, they were not previously investigated in antipsychotic poisoning. Aim: The current study aimed to construct a nomogram to predict the need for ICU admission in acute antipsychotic poisoning. Patients and methods: This 2-year study included 140 patients acutely intoxicated with antipsychotics and admitted at Tanta University Poison Control Centre throughout July 2019 to June 2021. Personal and toxicological data, findings of clinical examination and electrocardiography, as well as, results of laboratory investigations at time of admission were recorded. According to the outcome, patients were divided into ICU-admitted and ICU-not admitted groups. Results: The results of this study provided a proposed nomogram that included five significant independent predictors for ICU admission in acute antipsychotic intoxications; the presence of seizures (OR: 31132.26[108.97-Inf]), corrected QT interval (OR: 1.04[1.01-1.09]), mean arterial blood pressure (OR: 0.83[0.70-0.92]), oxygen saturation (OR: 0.62[0.40 to 0.83)], and Glasgow Coma Scale (OR: 0.25 [0.06-0.56]). Conclusion: It could be concluded that the developed nomogram is a promising tool for easy and rapid decision making to predict the need for ICU admission in acute antipsychotic poisoning.

Cardioprotective role of the coenzyme Q10 and coconut oil in acute aluminum phosphide poisoning: a randomized controlled clinical trial.

Aluminum phosphide (ALP)-induced cardiotoxicity is a major cause of high mortality rates. As there is no specific antidote, restoring cardiac hemodynamics is the cornerstone for saving patients. Based on oxidative stress theory in acute ALP poisoning, we examined the cardioprotective role of coconut oil and Coenzyme Q10 (COQ10) in ALP poisoning, focusing on their antioxidant capacity. This study was a randomized, controlled, single-blind, phase II clinical trial conducted at Tanta Poison Control Center over 1 year. Eighty-four ALP poisoned patients received supportive treatment and were randomly allocated to three equal groups. Gastric lavage was performed using sodium bicarbonate 8.4% with saline in group I. Alternatively, group II received 50 ml coconut oil, and group III initially received 600 mg CoQ10 dissolved in 50 ml coconut oil; and repeated 12 hours later. In addition to patient characteristics, clinical, laboratory, electrocardiography (ECG), and total antioxidant capacity (TAC) data were recorded and repeated 12 hours later. Patient outcomes were evaluated. There was no significant difference among groups considering patient characteristics, initial cardiotoxicity severity, vital, laboratory data, ECG changes, and TAC. However, 12 hours post-admissions, group III was significantly improved in all clinical, laboratory, and ECG parameters than comparable groups. Significant correlations were observed between elevated TAC in groups II and III with hemodynamic, serum troponin, and ECG variables. Accordingly, the need for intubation, mechanical ventilation, and the total vasopressor dose was significantly decreased in group III compared with other groups. Therefore, coconut oil and COQ10 are promising cardioprotective adjuvant therapy ameliorating the ALP-induced cardiotoxicity.

Initial clinical and laboratory parameters triaging non-pharmaceutical acute pediatric poisoned patients for potential adverse outcomes: a three-year retrospective study.

Identifying high-risk pediatric patients with non-pharmaceutical poisoning is crucial to avoid prospective complications and decrease the evident hospital economic burden. Although the preventive strategies have been well studied, determining the early predictors for poor outcomes remains limited. Therefore, this study focused on the initial clinical and laboratory parameters as a triage of non-pharmaceutical poisoned children for potential adverse outcomes taking the causative substance effects into account. This retrospective cohort study included pediatric patients admitted to Tanta University Poison Control Center from January 2018 to December 2020. Sociodemographic, toxicological, clinical, and laboratory data were retrieved from the patient's files. Adverse outcomes were categorized into mortality, complications, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Out of enrolled 1,234 pediatric patients, preschool children constituted the highest percentage of the patients investigated (45.06%), with a female predominance (53.2%). The main non-pharmaceutical agents included pesticides (62.6%), corrosives (19%), and hydrocarbons (8.8%), mainly associated with adverse consequences. The significant determinants for adverse outcomes were pulse, respiratory rate, serum bicarbonate (HCO3), Glasgow Coma Scale, O2 saturation, Poisoning Severity Score (PSS), white blood cells (WBCs), and random blood sugar. The cutoffs of serum HCO3 < 17.55 mmol/l, WBCs >8,650 cells/microliter, and PSS > 2 points were the best discriminators for mortality, complications, and ICU admission, respectively. Thus, monitoring these predictors is essential to prioritize and triage pediatric patients who require high-quality care and follow-up, particularly in aluminum phosphide, sulfuric acid, and benzene intoxications.

Accuracy of Rapid Emergency Medicine Score and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in predicting acute paraphenylenediamine poisoning adverse outcomes.

Paraphenylenediamine (PPD) is a commonly used xenobiotic in hair dying, causing deleterious outcomes in acute poisoning. Although many epidemiological studies and case reports explained their clinical presentations and fatal consequences, no studies have evaluated the early determinants of adverse outcomes. Therefore, the present study aimed to assess the initial predictors of acute PPD poisoning adverse outcomes, focusing on the discriminatory accuracy of the Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. A retrospective cohort study included all acute PPD-poisoned patients admitted to three Egyptian emergency hospitals from January 2020 to January 2022. Data was gathered on admission, including demographics, toxicological, clinical, scoring systems, and laboratory investigations. Patients were categorized according to their outcomes (mortality and complications). Ninety-seven patients with acute PPD poisoning were included, with a median age of 23 years, female predominance (60.8%), and suicidal intention (95.9%). Out of all patients, 25.77% died, and 43.29% had complicated outcomes. Respiratory failure was the primary cause of fatalities (10.30%), while acute renal failure (38.14%) was a chief cause of complications. The delay time till hospitalization, abnormal electrocardiogram, initial creatine phosphokinase, bicarbonate level, REMS, and SOFA scores were the significant determinants for adverse outcomes. The REMS exhibited the highest odds ratio (OR = 1.91 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.41-2.60], p < 0.001) and had the best discriminatory power with the area under the curve (AUC) = 0.918 and overall accuracy of 91.8% in predicting mortality. However, the SOFA score had the highest odds ratio (OR = 4.97 [95% CI: 1.16-21.21], p = 0.001) and only yielded a significant prediction for complicated sequels with AUC = 0.913 and overall accuracy of 84.7%. The REMS is a simple clinical score that accurately predicts mortality, whereas the SOFA score is more practicable for anticipating complications in acute PPD-poisoned patients.