Predictive Maintenance of Pins in the ECD Equipment for Cu Deposition in the Semiconductor Industry.

Nowadays, Predictive Maintenance is a mandatory tool to reduce the cost of production in the semiconductor industry. This paper considers as a case study a critical part of the electrochemical deposition system, namely, the four Pins that hold a wafer inside a chamber. The aim of the study is to replace the schedule of replacement of Pins presently based on fixed timing (Preventive Maintenance) with a Hardware/Software system that monitors the conditions of the Pins and signals possible conditions of failure (Predictive Maintenance). The system is composed of optical sensors endowed with an image processing methodology. The prototype built for this study includes one optical camera that simultaneously takes images of the four Pins on a roughly daily basis. Image processing includes a pre-processing phase where images taken by the camera at different times are coregistered and equalized to reduce variations in time due to movements of the system and to different lighting conditions. Then, some indicators are introduced based on statistical arguments that detect outlier conditions of each Pin. Such indicators are pixel-wise to identify small artifacts. Finally, criteria are indicated to distinguish artifacts due to normal operations in the chamber from issues prone to a failure of the Pin. An application (PINapp) with a user friendly interface has been developed that guides industry experts in monitoring the system and alerting in case of potential issues. The system has been validated on a plant at STMicroelctronics in Catania (Italy). The study allowed for understanding the mechanism that gives rise to the rupture of the Pins and to increase the time of replacement of the Pins by a factor at least 2, thus reducing downtime.

Flexible joint modeling of mean and dispersion for the directional tuning of neuronal spike counts.

The study of how the number of spikes in a middle temporal visual area (MT/V5) neuron is tuned to the direction of a visual stimulus has attracted considerable attention over the years, but recent studies suggest that the variability of the number of spikes might also be influenced by the directional stimulus. This entails that Poisson regression models are not adequate for this type of data, as the observations usually present over/underdispersion (or both) with respect to the Poisson distribution. This paper makes use of the double exponential family and presents a flexible model to estimate, jointly, the mean and dispersion functions, accounting for the effect of a circular covariate. The empirical performance of the proposal is explored via simulations and an application to a neurological data set is shown.

Flexible two-piece distributions for right censored survival data.

An important complexity in censored data is that only partial information on the variables of interest is observed. In recent years, a large family of asymmetric distributions and maximum likelihood estimation for the parameters in that family has been studied, in the complete data case. In this paper, we exploit the appealing family of quantile-based asymmetric distributions to obtain flexible distributions for modelling right censored survival data. The flexible distributions can be generated using a variety of symmetric distributions and monotonic link functions. The interesting feature of this family is that the location parameter coincides with an index-parameter quantile of the distribution. This family is also suitable to characterize different shapes of the hazard function (constant, increasing, decreasing, bathtub and upside-down bathtub or unimodal shapes). Statistical inference is done for the whole family of distributions. The parameter estimation is carried out by optimizing a non-differentiable likelihood function. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are established. The finite-sample performance of the proposed method and the impact of censorship are investigated via simulations. Finally, the methodology is illustrated on two real data examples (times to weaning in breast-fed data and German Breast Cancer data).

Multivariate Tail Coefficients: Properties and Estimation.

Multivariate tail coefficients are an important tool when investigating dependencies between extreme events for different components of a random vector. Although bivariate tail coefficients are well-studied, this is, to a lesser extent, the case for multivariate tail coefficients. This paper contributes to this research area by (i) providing a thorough study of properties of existing multivariate tail coefficients in the light of a set of desirable properties; (ii) proposing some new multivariate tail measurements; (iii) dealing with estimation of the discussed coefficients and establishing asymptotic consistency; and, (iv) studying the behavior of tail measurements with increasing dimension of the random vector. A set of illustrative examples is given, and practical use of the tail measurements is demonstrated in a data analysis with a focus on dependencies between stocks that are part of the EURO STOXX 50 market index.

Testing for homogeneity of multivariate dispersions using dissimilarity measures.

Testing homogeneity of dispersions may be of its own scientific interest as well as an important auxiliary step verifying assumptions of a main analysis. The problem is that many biological and ecological data are highly skewed and zero-inflated. Also the number of variables often exceeds the sample size. Thus data analysts often do not rely on parametric assumptions, but use a particular dissimilarity measure to calculate a matrix of pairwise differences. This matrix is then the basis for further statistical inference. Anderson (2006) proposed a distance-based test of homogeneity of multivariate dispersions for a one-way ANOVA design, for which a matrix of pairwise dissimilarities can be taken as an input. The key idea, like in Levene's test, is to replace each observation with its distance to an estimated group center. In this paper we suggest an alternative approach that is based on the means of within-group distances and does not require group centre calculations to obtain the test statistic. We show that this approach can have theoretical as well as practical advantages. A permutation procedure that gives type I error close to the prescribed value even in small samples is described.

Robust estimation of mean and dispersion functions in extended generalized additive models.

Generalized linear models are a widely used method to obtain parametric estimates for the mean function. They have been further extended to allow the relationship between the mean function and the covariates to be more flexible via generalized additive models. However, the fixed variance structure can in many cases be too restrictive. The extended quasilikelihood (EQL) framework allows for estimation of both the mean and the dispersion/variance as functions of covariates. As for other maximum likelihood methods though, EQL estimates are not resistant to outliers: we need methods to obtain robust estimates for both the mean and the dispersion function. In this article, we obtain functional estimates for the mean and the dispersion that are both robust and smooth. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated via a simulation study and some real data examples.

Edge-preserving image denoising and estimation of discontinuous surfaces.

In this paper, we are interested in the problem of estimating a discontinuous surface from noisy data. A novel procedure for this problem is proposed based on local linear kernel smoothing, in which local neighborhoods are adapted to the local smoothness of the surface measured by the observed data. The procedure can therefore remove noise correctly in continuity regions of the surface and preserve discontinuities at the same time. Since an image can be regarded as a surface of the image intensity function and such a surface has discontinuities at the outlines of objects, this procedure can be applied directly to image denoising. Numerical studies show that it works well in applications, compared to some existing procedures.

Estimation of a change point in a hazard function based on censored data.

The hazard function plays an important role in reliability or survival studies since it describes the instantaneous risk of failure of items at a time point, given that they have not failed before. In some real life applications, abrupt changes in the hazard function are observed due to overhauls, major operations or specific maintenance activities. In such situations it is of interest to detect the location where such a change occurs and estimate the size of the change. In this paper we consider the problem of estimating a single change point in a piecewise constant hazard function when the observed variables are subject to random censoring. We suggest an estimation procedure that is based on certain structural properties and on least squares ideas. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of this estimator with two estimators available in the literature: an estimator based on a functional of the Nelson-Aalen estimator and a maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed least squares estimator tums out to be less biased than the other two estimators, but has a larger variance. We illustrate the estimation method on some real data sets.