Understanding the determinants of vaccine hesitancy in the United States: A comparison of social surveys and social media.

The COVID-19 pandemic prompted governments worldwide to implement a range of containment measures, including mass gathering restrictions, social distancing, and school closures. Despite these efforts, vaccines continue to be the safest and most effective means of combating such viruses. Yet, vaccine hesitancy persists, posing a significant public health concern, particularly with the emergence of new COVID-19 variants. To effectively address this issue, timely data is crucial for understanding the various factors contributing to vaccine hesitancy. While previous research has largely relied on traditional surveys for this information, recent sources of data, such as social media, have gained attention. However, the potential of social media data as a reliable proxy for information on population hesitancy, especially when compared with survey data, remains underexplored. This paper aims to bridge this gap. Our approach uses social, demographic, and economic data to predict vaccine hesitancy levels in the ten most populous US metropolitan areas. We employ machine learning algorithms to compare a set of baseline models that contain only these variables with models that incorporate survey data and social media data separately. Our results show that XGBoost algorithm consistently outperforms Random Forest and Linear Regression, with marginal differences between Random Forest and XGBoost. This was especially the case with models that incorporate survey or social media data, thus highlighting the promise of the latter data as a complementary information source. Results also reveal variations in influential variables across the five hesitancy classes, such as age, ethnicity, occupation, and political inclination. Further, the application of models to different MSAs yields mixed results, emphasizing the uniqueness of communities and the need for complementary data approaches. In summary, this study underscores social media data's potential for understanding vaccine hesitancy, emphasizes the importance of tailoring interventions to specific communities, and suggests the value of combining different data sources.

Understanding public discourse surrounding the impact of bitcoin on the environment in social media.

Increasing public concerns about the environment have led to many studies that have explored current issues and approaches towards its protection. Much less studied, however, is topic of public opinion surrounding the impact that cryptocurrencies are having on the environment. The cryptocurrency market, in particular, bitcoin, currently rivals other top well-known assets such as precious metals and exchanged traded funds in market value, and its growing. This work examines public opinion expressed about the environmental impacts of bitcoin derived from Twitter feeds. Three primary research questions were addressed in this work related to topics of public interest, their location, and people and places involved. Our findings show that factions of of the public are interest in protecting the environment, with topics that resonate mainly related to energy. This discourse was also taking place at few similar locations with a mix of different people and places of interest.

Forecasting molecular dynamics energetics of polymers in solution from supervised machine learning.

Machine learning techniques including neural networks are popular tools for chemical, physical and materials applications searching for viable alternative methods in the analysis of structure and energetics of systems ranging from crystals to biomolecules. Efforts are less abundant for prediction of kinetics and dynamics. Here we explore the ability of three well established recurrent neural network architectures for reproducing and forecasting the energetics of a liquid solution of ethyl acetate containing a macromolecular polymer-lipid aggregate at ambient conditions. Data models from three recurrent neural networks, ERNN, LSTM and GRU, are trained and tested on half million points time series of the macromolecular aggregate potential energy and its interaction energy with the solvent obtained from molecular dynamics simulations. Our exhaustive analyses convey that the recurrent neural network architectures investigated generate data models that reproduce excellently the time series although their capability of yielding short or long term energetics forecasts with expected statistical distributions of the time points is limited. We propose an in silico protocol by extracting time patterns of the original series and utilizing these patterns to create an ensemble of artificial network models trained on an ensemble of time series seeded by the additional time patters. The energetics forecast improve, predicting a band of forecasted time series with a spread of values consistent with the molecular dynamics energy fluctuations span. Although the distribution of points from the band of energy forecasts is not optimal, the proposed in silico protocol provides useful estimates of the solvated macromolecular aggregate fate. Given the growing application of artificial networks in materials design, the data-based protocol presented here expands the realm of science areas where supervised machine learning serves as a decision making tool aiding the simulation practitioner to assess when long simulations are worth to be continued.