Planning hydrological restoration of coastal wetlands: Key model considerations and solutions.

The hydrological restoration of coastal wetlands is an emerging approach for mitigating and adapting to climate change and enhancing ecosystem services such as improved water quality and biodiversity. This paper synthesises current knowledge on selecting appropriate modelling approaches for hydrological restoration projects. The selection of a modelling approach is based on project-specific factors, such as costs, risks, and uncertainties, and aligns with the overall project objectives. We provide guidance on model selection, emphasising the use of simpler and less expensive modelling approaches when appropriate, and identifying situations when models may not be required for project managers to make informed decisions. This paper recognises and supports the widespread use of hydrological restoration in coastal wetlands by bridging the gap between hydrological science and restoration practices. It underscores the significance of project objectives, budget, and available data and offers decision-making frameworks, such as decision trees, to aid in matching modelling methods with specific project outcomes.

Remote sensing of water colour in small southeastern Australian waterbodies.

The colour of a waterbody may be indicative of the water quality or environmental change. Monitoring water colour can therefore be an important proxy for various waterbody processes. To this aim, satellites are increasingly being used as viable alternatives to field measurements. This study investigates whether water colour derived from satellites is an effective predictor of spatial and temporal patterns of water quality or environmental change in small waterbodies and can be used to explain the drivers of trends in these waterbodies. As a case study, 145 small waterbodies (<1 km2) in the greater Melbourne, south-eastern Australia were analysed to understand water colour spatio-temporal patterns using Sentinel-2 and Landsat 5, 7 and 8 satellite surface reflectance imagery over a period of 30 years. We found that the baseline water colour of small waterbodies in the greater Melbourne region has a dominant wavelength in the green to yellow region of the visible spectrum (λd ranging from 532 to 578 nm). Waterbody design factors and broader climate factors were also tested to understand the spatial variation of baseline water colour. Macrophyte ratio and the shoreline development index were shown to be the primary waterbody design factors that affect water colour. Some waterbodies are responsive to climate variability based on investigating how climate factors impact the water colour variability. Local climate factors had more impact than regional climate factors. Results from this study highlight how water colour could be used as a proxy for waterbody health assessment and how spatio-temporal variations in water colour can be used to assess environmental trends.

A global assessment of estuarine tidal response to sea level rise.

Climate change induced sea level rise (SLR) is one of the greatest challenges threatening the sustainable management of estuaries worldwide. Current knowledge regarding SLR and estuarine hydrodynamics is primarily focused on individual case studies, which provides limited guidance on how different estuary typologies will respond to SLR. To expand the current knowledge, this research used an idealised hydrodynamic approach to analyse the tidal range dynamics of 25 real-world estuaries with diverse shapes and boundary conditions, providing insights into estuarine response to SLR-induced tidal variations. Under present-day conditions, short length estuaries with wide entrances, deep waters, strong convergence, macro-tidal conditions, low values of roughness, and low upland river inflows are likely to experience amplified tidal range patterns; whereas lengthy estuaries with narrow entrances, shallow water depths, micro/meso-tidal conditions, high values of roughness, and high upland river inflows often exhibit a mix of dampened-amplified or fully dampened tidal range patterns. Under the effects of SLR, estuarine tidal range dynamics change depending on their present-day tidal range patterns. Where the present-day tidal range pattern is either dampening, a mix of dampening/amplification, or amplification, SLR increases (up to 61 %), moderately increases (up to 26 %), and slightly decreases/increases (up to 5 %) the tidal range of estuaries, respectively. Considering the relationship between an estuary's present-day tidal range pattern and its response to SLR, the presented approach may be useful in providing an initial assessment of SLR effects in estuaries worldwide. This approach may also help to identify sites most impacted by future SLR, and to direct decision-making towards evidence-based management approaches.

A fundamental model for calculating interfacial adsorption of complex ionic and nonionic PFAS mixtures in the presence of mixed salts.

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are emerging contaminants that have been used extensively as firefighting agents and in a wide range of commercial applications around the world. As many of the most-common PFAS components are surfactants, they readily accumulate at interfaces, a process that can govern their environmental fate. There are thousands of PFAS compounds, and they have nearly always been used as mixtures, so it is common to find many different PFAS components present together in the environment. Furthermore, the interfacial behavior of ionic PFAS can be strongly influenced by the presence of salts, with adsorption dependent on both the composition and concentration of salts present. Any predictions of PFAS interfacial behavior made without considering both the mixed nature of PFAS present, as well as the composition of the salts present, have the potential to be off by orders of magnitude. To date, models capable of making predictions of PFAS interfacial adsorption when both mixed PFAS and mixed salts are present have not been presented. The work described here addresses this need by extending a mass-action model developed previously by the authors to allow predictions in cases where complex combinations of mixed PFAS and mixed salts are present. Predictions of PFAS interfacial affinity for a range of PFAS mixture conditions and ionic strengths are verified using experimentally-measured surface tension data. The new model provides physically-realistic prediction of interfacial adsorption of a wide range of PFAS mixtures over a wide range of salt concentrations and compositions. The model is capable of predicting interfacial adsorption of ionic/nonionic PFAS mixtures in the presence of salts, and can also make predictions when there is competitive adsorption between different PFAS components, a common case in PFAS source zones where high concentrations of multiple components are present and in foam fractionation reactors.

Restoring estuarine ecosystems using nature-based solutions: Towards an integrated eco-engineering design guideline.

Traditional solutions to estuarine flood risk management have typically involved the implementation of static 'hard' shoreline protection structures, often at the expense of the natural landscape and the societal and ecosystem benefits they provide. In a changing climate, there is an increasing need to restore these estuarine ecosystems, and alternative measures in the form of Nature-based Solutions (NbS) are being considered. Guidance that balances ecology and engineering is required for NbS to establish as self-sustaining ecosystems. In this study, a review of NbS guidelines was undertaken, revealing an absence of technical content bridging ecological and engineering values. Instead, most guidelines focus on NbS project implementation, identifying engineering aspects, and providing frameworks for investors and project managers. Integration of technical engineering and ecological outcomes within NbS guidelines is needed. A conceptual approach for integrating eco-engineering aspects for estuarine ecosystems is proposed. This conceptual approach focuses on the critical thresholds and parameter relationships associated with establishment, growth, recovery and mortality, and functionality of estuarine NbS, in efforts to quantify changes in ecological development and flood risk mitigation services. The conceptual approach documents how the suggested relationships between parameters can be adopted by practitioners in the short-term, medium-term, and long-term. The application of this conceptual approach to multi-habitat restoration is explored, including lifecycle timing and ecosystem/design functionality. The findings of this study demonstrate the need for an integrated NbS design guideline that balances ecology and engineering research for the long-term success of estuarine ecosystems.

Climate change and COVID-19: Interdisciplinary perspectives from two global crises.

The repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic and climate change - two major current global crises - are far-reaching, the parallels between the two are striking, and their influence on one another are significant. Based on the wealth of evidence that has emerged from the scientific literature during the first two years of the pandemic, this study argues that these two global crises require holistic multisectoral mitigation strategies. Despite being different in nature, neither crisis can be effectively mitigated without considering their interdependencies. Herein, significant interactions between these two crises are highlighted and discussed. Major implications related to the economy, energy, technology, environment, food systems and agriculture sector, health systems, policy, management, and communities are detailed via a review of existing joint literature. Based on these outcomes, practical recommendations for future research and management are provided. While the joint timing of these crises has created a global conundrum, the COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated opportunities and lessons for devising sustainable recovery plans in relation to the climate crisis. The findings indicated that governments should work collaboratively to develop durable and adjustable strategies in line with long-term, global decarbonisation targets, promote renewable energy resources, integrate climate change into environmental policies, prioritise climate-smart agriculture and local food systems, and ensure public and ecosystem health. Further, differences in geographic distributions of climate change and COVID-19 related death cases revealed that these crises pose different threats to different parts of the world. These learnings provide insights to address the climate emergency - and potential future global problems with similar characteristics - if international countries act urgently and collectively.

Predicting the impact of salt mixtures on the air-water interfacial behavior of PFAS.

Salts are known to have strong impacts on environmental behavior of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) including air-water interfacial adsorption. Multivalent salts impact interfacial adsorption to a greater extent than monovalent salts. Models to make a priori predictions of PFAS interfacial adsorption in the presence of multiple salts with different ionic charges are needed given the need to predict PFAS environmental fate. This study further develops a mass-action model to predict the interfacial behavior of PFAS as a function of both salt valency and concentration. The model is validated using surface tension data for a series of monovalent and divalent salt mixtures over a wide range of ionic strengths (i.e., from no added salt to 0.5 M) as well as comparison to data from literature. This model highlights the disproportionate impact of multivalent salts on interfacial adsorption and the practical utility of the model for predicting interfacial adsorption in the presence of multiple monovalent and multivalent inorganic salts. Results suggest that failure to account for divalent salt, even when concentrations are much smaller than monovalent salt, under most environmentally relevant aqueous phase conditions will result in significant underpredictions of PFAS interfacial adsorption. Simple examples of PFAS distribution in a range of salt conditions in the vadose zone and in aerated-water treatment reactors highlight the predictive utility of the model.

Estuarine tidal range dynamics under rising sea levels.

How an estuary responds to sea level rise (SLR) is complex and depends on energy drivers (e.g., tides and river inflows), estuarine geometry (e.g., length and depth), intrinsic fluid properties (e.g., density), and bed/bank roughness. While changes to the tidal range under SLR can impact estuarine sediment transport, water quality, and vegetation communities, studies on the altered tidal range under SLR are often based on case studies with outcomes applicable to a specific site. As such, this study produced a large ensemble of estuarine hydrodynamic models (>1800) to provide a systematic understanding of how tidal range dynamics within different estuary types may change under various SLR and river inflow scenarios. The results indicated that SLR often amplifies the tidal range of different estuary types, except for short estuaries with a low tidal range at the mouth where SLR attenuates the tides. SLR alters the location of the points with minimum tidal range and overall tidal range patterns in an estuary. Variations in tidal range were more evident in converging estuaries, shallower systems, or in estuaries with strong river inflows. These findings provide an indication of how different estuary types may respond to estuaries and may assist estuarine managers and decision makers.

Quantifying groundwater carbon dioxide and methane fluxes to an urban freshwater lake using radon measurements.

Freshwater lakes can play a significant role in greenhouse gas budgets as they can be sources or sinks of carbon to the atmosphere. However, there is limited information on groundwater discharge being a source of carbon to freshwater lakes. Here, we measure CO2 and CH4 in the largest urban freshwater lake in the metropolitan area of Sydney (Australia) and quantify groundwater discharge rates into the lake using radon (222Rn, a natural groundwater tracer). We also assess the spatial variability of radon, CO2 and CH4 in the lake, in addition to surface water and groundwater nutrient and carbon concentrations. Results revealed that the lake system was a source of CO2 and CH4 to the atmosphere with fluxes of 113 ± 81 and 0.3 ± 0.1 mmol/m2/d, respectively. These calculated CO2 fluxes were larger than commonly observed lake fluxes and the global average flux from lakes. However, CH4 fluxes were lower than the average global value. Based on the radon mass balance model, groundwater discharge to the lake was 16 ± 10 cm/d, which resulted in groundwater-derived CO2 and CH4 fluxes contributing 25 and 13% to the overall greenhouse gas emissions from the lake, respectively. Radon, CO2 and CH4 maps showed similar spatial distribution trends in the lake and a strong relationship between radon, NO3 and NH4 suggested groundwater flow was also a driver of nitrogen into the lake from the western side of the lake, following the general regional groundwater flow. This work provides insights into groundwater and greenhouse gas dynamics in Sydney's largest urban freshwater lake with two implications for carbon budgets: to incorporate urban lakes in global carbon budgets and to account for, the often ignored, groundwater discharge as a source of carbon to lakes.

Eco-hydrology as a driver for tidal restoration: Observations from a Ramsar wetland in eastern Australia.

Land reclamation projects and the installation of drainage infrastructure has impacted coastal wetlands worldwide. By altering water levels and inundation extent, these activities have changed the viable ecosystems onsite and resulted in the proliferation of freshwater species. As more than 50% of tidal wetlands have been degraded globally over the last 100 years, the importance of this issue is increasingly being recognised and tidal wetland restoration projects are underway worldwide. However, there are currently limited sites where large-scale reintroduction of tidal flushing has been implemented with the explicit aim to foster the growth of a threatened ecosystem. In this study, the tidal restoration of an internationally recognised Ramsar listed wetland in eastern Australia is described to highlight how coastal saltmarsh can be targeted by mimicking inundation depths and hydroperiod across the 410-ha site. Coastal saltmarsh is particularly important to this site as it is part of the east Australasian flyway for migratory birds and the minimum saltmarsh extent, as listed within the Ramsar's limits of acceptable change, have been breached. To recreate coastal saltmarsh habitat onsite, water level and hydroperiod criteria were established based on similar vegetation patterns within the adjacent estuary. A calibrated 2D hydrodynamic model of the site was then used to test how the preferred inundation criteria could be applied to the largest possible restored wetland area. Once optimised, a synthetic tidal signal was implemented onsite via automated hydraulic controls. The onsite vegetation response over an 8-year period was assessed to highlight the ecosystem response to controlled tidal inundation and denoted substantial saltmarsh expansion during the period. The techniques applied onsite have successfully met the restoration targets and can be applied at similar sites worldwide, offsetting sea level rise impacts to natural inundation hydroperiod.

A new framework for modeling the effect of salt on interfacial adsorption of PFAS in environmental systems.

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are surface active contaminants of great environmental concern, due to their widespread historical use and their environmental persistence. Salts are known to have a profound influence on the interfacial behaviors of all ionic surfactants, including some of the most commonly detected PFAS. This work describes a new mass-action model for predicting the interfacial behavior of surfactants as a function of salt concentration. The three-parameter model is fit to interfacial tension data over a range of salt concentrations, and is then able to predict interfacial adsorption isotherms for the entire range from no added salt, up to 0.5 M added salt. The phenomenological nature of the model means that it is likely to provide more robust predictions for new systems and conditions than some of the existing empirical approaches, and the minimal number of adjustable parameters ensures that unique calibrations are possible with limited data. The model is found to be consistent with experimental data, and is bracketed by experimental values at low PFAS concentrations. Of particular interest, the model predicts the existence of sigmoidal adsorption isotherms at low salt concentrations, a deviation from isotherms calculated the commonly-used Szyszkowski equation; the observation is supported by a maximum in measured interfacial adsorption coefficient calculated from low-concentration surface tension measurements. Because adsorption affinities can vary by orders of magnitude with changing salt concentration, the ability to predict the effects of salt on adsorption is of critical importance for quantitative prediction of PFAS behavior in the environment.

Sea level rise impacts on estuarine dynamics: A review.

Sea level rise (SLR) poses a hazard to ecosystems and economies in low-lying coastal and estuarine areas. To better understand the potential impacts of SLR in estuaries, a comprehensive review of existing theory, literature, and assessment tools is undertaken. In addition, several conceptual models are introduced to assist in understanding interlinked estuarine processes and their complex responses to SLR. This review indicates that SLR impacts in estuaries should not be assessed via static (bathtub) approaches as they fail to consider important hydrodynamic effects such as tidal wave amplification, dampening, and reflection. Where hydrodynamic models are used, the existing literature provides a relatively detailed understanding of how SLR will affect estuarine hydrodynamics (e.g., tides and inundation regimes). With regards to the current understanding of, and ability to model, the connections between altered hydrodynamics (under SLR) and dependent geomorphic, ecological, and bio-geochemical processes, significant knowledge gaps remain. This is of particular concern as there is currently a paradigm shift towards more integrated and holistic management of estuaries. Estuarine management under accelerating SLR is likely to become increasingly complex, as decision-making will be undertaken with uncertainty. As such, this review highlights that there is a fundamental requirement for more sophisticated and interdisciplinary studies that integrate physical, ecological, bio-geochemical, and geomorphic responses of estuaries to SLR.

Coastal wetlands can be saved from sea level rise by recreating past tidal regimes.

Climate change driven Sea Level Rise (SLR) is creating a major global environmental crisis in coastal ecosystems, however, limited practical solutions are provided to prevent or mitigate the impacts. Here, we propose a novel eco-engineering solution to protect highly valued vegetated intertidal ecosystems. The new 'Tidal Replicate Method' involves the creation of a synthetic tidal regime that mimics the desired hydroperiod for intertidal wetlands. This synthetic tidal regime can then be applied via automated tidal control systems, "SmartGates", at suitable locations. As a proof of concept study, this method was applied at an intertidal wetland with the aim of restabilising saltmarsh vegetation at a location representative of SLR. Results from aerial drone surveys and on-ground vegetation sampling indicated that the Tidal Replicate Method effectively established saltmarsh onsite over a 3-year period of post-restoration, showing the method is able to protect endangered intertidal ecosystems from submersion. If applied globally, this method can protect high value coastal wetlands with similar environmental settings, including over 1,184,000 ha of Ramsar coastal wetlands. This equates to a saving of US$230 billion in ecosystem services per year. This solution can play an important role in the global effort to conserve coastal wetlands under accelerating SLR.

Intertidal wetland vegetation dynamics under rising sea levels.

Intertidal wetlands have historically been in decline and are increasingly at risk due to climate change, particularly sea level rise (SLR). Different intertidal wetland communities can adapt to SLR via lateral upslope retreat to higher ground, capture and accumulation of allochthonous sediment, and/or organic accretion. In this paper, a case study is presented to assess the impact of the overall sediment accretion rate (i.e. allochthonous and organic accumulation) versus possible SLR rates on wetland species composition. Initially, an eco-hydraulic calculation method is developed to estimate existing spatial and temporal tidal inundation statistics of saltmarsh species at a Ramsar listed wetland on the south-east coast of New South Wales, Australia. SLR and accretion scenarios were then tested using high resolution hydrodynamic models to predict future saltmarsh species composition based on the eco-hydraulic calculation method. Saltmarsh species composition and extents were found to persist if sea levels continue to rise at present-day rates, as observed rates of SLR are similar. However, if the SLR rate accelerates beyond the accretion ability of the wetland, a significant shift in species composition and an increase in open water coverage was predicted. These results indicate that the current rate of sediment capture by wetland species, and the subsequent rate of elevation change, will need to increase significantly to adapt with projected future rates of SLR.

A group-contribution model for predicting the physicochemical behavior of PFAS components for understanding environmental fate.

The factors controlling per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) environmental fate remains the subject of considerable debate and study. As surfactants, PFAS readily partition to interfaces, a property that controls their transport and fate. A group contribution model is developed to predict the extent to which PFAS partitions to the air-water interface. Langmuir adsorption and Szyszkowski equation parameters were fitted to literature air-water surface tension data for a range of PFAS and conventional hydrocarbon surfactants. This approach enabled the prediction of the impact of the hydrophilic head group, and other molecular components, on PFAS interfacial partitioning in instances when PFAS data are unavailable but analogous hydrocarbon surfactant data are available. The model was extended to predict a range of parameters (i.e., solubility, critical micelle concentration (CMC), KD, Koc and Kow) that are used to predict PFAS environmental fate, including long-range PFAS transport and in multimedia models. Model predictions were consistent with laboratory and field derived parameters reported in the literature. Additionally, the proposed model can predict the impact of pH and speciation on the extent of PFAS interfacial partitioning, a potentially important feature for understanding the behaviors of some ionizable PFAS, such as fluorinated carboxylic acids. The proposed model provides a conceptually straightforward method to predict a wide range of environmental fate parameters for a wide range of PFAS. As such, the model is a powerful tool that can be used to determine parameters needed to predict PFAS environmental fate.

Predicting the impact of sea-level rise on intertidal rocky shores with remote sensing.

Sea-level rise is an inevitable consequence of climate change and threatens coastal ecosystems, particularly intertidal habitats that are constrained by landward development. Intertidal habitats support significant biodiversity, but also provide natural buffers from climate-threats such as increased storm events. Predicting the effects of climate scenarios on coastal ecosystems is important for understanding both the degree of habitat loss for associated ecological communities and the risk of the loss of coastal buffer zones. We take a novel approach by combining remote sensing with the IUCN Red List of Ecosystem criteria to assess this impact. We quantified the extent of horizontal intertidal rocky shores along ~200 km of coastline in Eastern Australia using GIS and remote-sensing (LiDAR) and used this information to predict changes in extent under four different climate change driven sea-level rise scenarios. We then applied the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems Criterion C2 (habitat degradation over the next 50 years based on change in an abiotic variable) to estimate the status of this ecosystem using the Hawkesbury Shelf Marine Bioregion as a test coastline. We also used four individual rocky shores as case studies to investigate the role of local topography in determining the severity of sea-level rise impacts. We found that, if the habitat loss within the study area is representative of the entire bioregion, the IUCN status of this ecosystem is 'near threatened', assuming that an assessment of the other criteria would return lower categories of risk. There was, however, high spatial variability in this effect. Rocky shores with gentle slopes had the highest projected losses of area whereas rocky shores expanding above the current intertidal range were less affected. Among the sites surveyed in detail, the ecosystem status ranged from 'least concern' to 'vulnerable', but reached 'endangered' under upper estimates of the most severe scenario. Our results have important implications for conservation management, highlighting a new link between remote sensing and the IUCN Red List of Ecosystem criteria that can be applied worldwide to assess ecosystem risk to sea-level rise.

Porewater exchange drives trace metal, dissolved organic carbon and total dissolved nitrogen export from a temperate mangrove wetland.

Porewater exchange is usually the least quantified process in delivering dissolved material from wetlands to coastal waters, although it has been recognised as an important pathway for the transport of trace metal, carbon and nutrient to the ocean. Here, surface water fluxes of dissolved manganese (Mn), iron (Fe), dissolved organic/inorganic carbon (DOC/DIC), total dissolved nitrogen (TDN) and phosphorous (TDP) were estimated from a temperate mangrove wetland (Kooragang Island, Newcastle, Australia). Radon (222Rn, a natural groundwater tracer) was used to develop a mass balance model to quantify porewater exchange rates and evaluate the contribution of porewater-derived dissolved material to the overall wetland surface water export. A 25-h time series dataset depicted a clear peak of Mn, Fe, TDN, DOC and radon during ebb tides which related to porewater discharge. Porewater exchange rates were estimated to be 14.0 ±â€¯6.3 cm/d (0.18 ±â€¯0.08 m3/s), mainly driven by tidal pumping, and facilitated by a large number of crab burrows at the site. Results showed that the wetland was a source of Mn, Fe, TDN and DOC to the adjacent river system and a sink for TDP and DIC. Surface water Mn, Fe, TDN and DOC exports were 4.0 ±â€¯0.6, 6.6 ±â€¯1.6, 23.9 ±â€¯3.6 and 197.7 ±â€¯29.7 mmol/m2 wetland/d, respectively. Porewater-derived Mn, Fe, TDN and DOC accounted for ~95, 100, 89 and 54% of the wetland surface water exports demonstrating its significant contribution. Our study indicates that temperate mangrove wetlands can be a major source of dissolved metal, carbon and nutrient delivery to coastal waters and that mangrove porewater exchange significantly contributes to this process.