The Lung Cancer Prediction Model "Stress Test": Assessment of Models' Performance in a High-Risk Prospective Pulmonary Nodule Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary nodules represent a growing health care burden because of delayed diagnosis of malignant lesions and overtesting for benign processes. Clinical prediction models were developed to inform physician assessment of pretest probability of nodule malignancy but have not been validated in a high-risk cohort of nodules for which biopsy was ultimately performed. RESEARCH QUESTION: Do guideline-recommended prediction models sufficiently discriminate between benign and malignant nodules when applied to cases referred for biopsy by navigational bronchoscopy? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We assembled a prospective cohort of 322 indeterminate pulmonary nodules in 282 patients referred to a tertiary medical center for diagnostic navigational bronchoscopy between 2017 and 2019. We calculated the probability of malignancy for each nodule using the Brock model, Mayo Clinic model, and Veterans Affairs (VA) model. On a subset of 168 patients who also had PET-CT scans before biopsy, we also calculated the probability of malignancy using the Herder model. The performance of the models was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for each model. RESULTS: The study cohort contained 185 malignant and 137 benign nodules (57% prevalence of malignancy). The malignant and benign cohorts were similar in terms of size, with a median longest diameter for benign and malignant nodules of 15 and 16 mm, respectively. The Brock model, Mayo Clinic model, and VA model showed similar performance in the entire cohort (Brock AUC, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64-0.76; Mayo Clinic AUC, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64-0.76; VA AUC, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.62-0.74). For 168 nodules with available PET-CT scans, the Herder model had an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68-0.85). INTERPRETATION: Currently available clinical models provide insufficient discrimination between benign and malignant nodules in the common clinical scenario in which a patient is being referred for biopsy, especially when PET-CT scan information is not available.

Kidney Transplantation Anastomotic Time Is Jointly Associated With Resident and Attending Experience.

INTRODUCTION: Few studies evaluate the interplay of attending and resident learning curves in surgical education. Anastomotic time is known to be correlated with transplant outcomes in kidney transplantation. We aimed to evaluate the correlation between the combination of resident and attending experience and anastomotic time in kidney transplantation. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study of deceased donor kidney transplants from 2006 to 2019. To analyze the effect of attending and resident experience, dyads were classified as six combinations of early versus later practice attending and resident postgraduate year (PGY-2, PGY-3, and PGY-4/5). Attendings with less than 3 y of postfellowship practice were considered early practice. Linear mixed effects models tested the effects of attending experience, resident PGY, recipient body mass index, and technical operative characteristics (number of donor arteries, operative side) on anastomosis time. RESULTS: The final linear mixed effects model included 1306 transplants. Compared to later practice attendings with PGY-4/5 residents as reference, early practice attendings paired with PGY-2 or PGY-3 residents had longer anastomotic times (P ≤ 0.005) when adjusted for recipient body mass index, number of donor arteries, and transplant side. When PGY-4/5 residents were paired with early practice attendings, no difference in anastomotic time was demonstrated. When paired with later practice attendings, PGY-2 residents had longer anastomotic times (P < 0.001) while PGY-3 anastomotic times did not differ from PGY-4/5. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the correlation between trainee and attending experience jointly and anastomotic time, suggesting that pairing residents and attendings by experience may improve surgical training and potentially patient-related outcomes.

The Thoracic Research Evaluation and Treatment 2.0 Model: A Lung Cancer Prediction Model for Indeterminate Nodules Referred for Specialist Evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Appropriate risk stratification of indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) is necessary to direct diagnostic evaluation. Currently available models were developed in populations with lower cancer prevalence than that seen in thoracic surgery and pulmonology clinics and usually do not allow for missing data. We updated and expanded the Thoracic Research Evaluation and Treatment (TREAT) model into a more generalized, robust approach for lung cancer prediction in patients referred for specialty evaluation. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can clinic-level differences in nodule evaluation be incorporated to improve lung cancer prediction accuracy in patients seeking immediate specialty evaluation compared with currently available models? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Clinical and radiographic data on patients with IPNs from six sites (N = 1,401) were collected retrospectively and divided into groups by clinical setting: pulmonary nodule clinic (n = 374; cancer prevalence, 42%), outpatient thoracic surgery clinic (n = 553; cancer prevalence, 73%), or inpatient surgical resection (n = 474; cancer prevalence, 90%). A new prediction model was developed using a missing data-driven pattern submodel approach. Discrimination and calibration were estimated with cross-validation and were compared with the original TREAT, Mayo Clinic, Herder, and Brock models. Reclassification was assessed with bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index and reclassification plots. RESULTS: Two-thirds of patients had missing data; nodule growth and fluorodeoxyglucose-PET scan avidity were missing most frequently. The TREAT version 2.0 mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve across missingness patterns was 0.85 compared with that of the original TREAT (0.80), Herder (0.73), Mayo Clinic (0.72), and Brock (0.68) models with improved calibration. The bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index was 0.23. INTERPRETATION: The TREAT 2.0 model is more accurate and better calibrated for predicting lung cancer in high-risk IPNs than the Mayo, Herder, or Brock models. Nodule calculators such as TREAT 2.0 that account for varied lung cancer prevalence and that consider missing data may provide more accurate risk stratification for patients seeking evaluation at specialty nodule evaluation clinics.

Short-term outcomes of robotic-assisted transthoracic diaphragmatic plication.

Background: Patients who are symptomatic from diaphragmatic dysfunction may benefit from diaphragmatic plication. We recently modified our plication approach from open thoracotomy to robotic transthoracic. We report our short-term outcomes. Methods: We conducted a single-institution retrospective review of all patients who underwent transthoracic plications from 2018, when we began using the robotic approach, to 2022. The primary outcome was short-term recurrence of diaphragm elevation with symptoms noted before or during the first planned postoperative visit. We also compared proportions of short-term recurrences in patients that underwent plication with extracorporeal knot-tying device alone versus those that used intracorporeal instrument tying (alone or supplemental). Secondary outcomes included subjective postoperative improvement of dyspnea at follow-up visit and by postoperative patient questionnaire, chest tube duration, length of stay (LOS), 30-day readmission, operative time, estimated blood loss (EBL), intraoperative complications, and perioperative complications. Results: Forty-one patients underwent robotic-assisted transthoracic plication. Four patients experienced recurrent diaphragm elevation with symptoms before or during their first routine postoperative visit, occurring on POD 6, 10, 37, and 38. All four recurrences occurred in patients whose plications were performed with the extracorporeal knot-tying device without supplemental intracorporeal instrument tying. Proportion of recurrences in the group that used extracorporeal knot-tying device alone was significantly greater than the recurrences in the group that used intracorporeal instrument tying (alone or supplemental) (P=0.016). The majority (36/41) reported clinical improvement postoperatively and 85% of questionnaire respondents also agreed they would recommend the surgery to others with similar condition. The median LOS and of chest tube duration were 3 days and 2 days, respectively. There were two patients with 30-day readmissions. Three patients developed postoperative pleural effusion necessitating thoracenteses and 8 patients (20%) had postoperative complications. No mortalities were observed. Conclusions: While our study shows the overall acceptable safety and favorable outcomes in patients undergoing robotic-assisted transthoracic diaphragmatic plications, the incidence of short-term recurrences and its association with the use of extracorporeally knot-tying device alone in diaphragm plication warrant further investigation.

Food Deserts Increase Readmission After Esophagectomy for Cancer: A Multi-institutional Study.

BACKGROUND: Food deserts are low-income census tracts with poor access to supermarkets and are associated with worse outcomes in breast, colon, and a small number of esophageal cancer patients. This study investigated residency in food deserts on readmission rates in a multi-institutional cohort of esophageal cancer patients undergoing trimodality therapy. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients who underwent trimodality therapy at 6 high-volume institutions from January 2015 to July 2019 was performed. Food desert status was defined by the United States Department of Agriculture by patient ZIP Code. The primary outcome was 30-day readmission after esophagectomy. Multilevel, multivariable logistic regression was used to model readmission on food desert status adjusted for diabetes, insurance type, length of stay, and any complication, treating the institution as a random factor. RESULTS: Of the 453 records evaluated, 425 were included in the analysis. Seventy-three patients (17.4%) resided in a food desert. Univariate analysis demonstrated food desert patients had significantly increased 30-day readmission. No differences were seen in length of stay, complications, or 30-day mortality. In the adjusted logistic regression model, residing in a food desert remained a significant risk factor for readmission (odds ratio, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.07-4.15). There were no differences in 30-day, 90-day, or 1-year mortality based on food desert status, although readmission was associated with worse 90-day and 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Food desert residence was associated with 30-day readmission after esophagectomy in patients undergoing trimodality treatment for esophageal cancer in this multi-institutional population. Identification of patients residing in a food desert may allow surgeons to focus preventative interventions during treatment and postoperatively to improve outcomes.

Improving Lung Cancer Diagnosis with CT Radiomics and Serum Histoplasmosis Testing.

BACKGROUND: Indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPN) are a diagnostic challenge in regions where pulmonary fungal disease and smoking prevalence are high. We aimed to determine the impact of a combined fungal and imaging biomarker approach compared with a validated prediction model (Mayo) to rule out benign disease and diagnose lung cancer. METHODS: Adults ages 40 to 90 years with 6-30 mm IPNs were included from four sites. Serum samples were tested for histoplasmosis IgG and IgM antibodies by enzyme immunoassay and a CT-based risk score was estimated from a validated radiomic model. Multivariable logistic regression models including Mayo score, radiomics score, and IgG and IgM histoplasmosis antibody levels were estimated. The areas under the ROC curves (AUC) of the models were compared among themselves and to Mayo. Bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index (cNRI) was estimated to assess clinical reclassification using a combined biomarker model. RESULTS: We included 327 patients; 157 from histoplasmosis-endemic regions. The combined biomarker model including radiomics, histoplasmosis serology, and Mayo score demonstrated improved diagnostic accuracy when endemic histoplasmosis was accounted for [AUC, 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.79-0.88; P < 0.0001 compared with 0.73; 95% CI, 0.67-0.78 for Mayo]. The combined model demonstrated improved reclassification with cNRI of 0.18 among malignant nodules. CONCLUSIONS: Fungal and imaging biomarkers may improve diagnostic accuracy and meaningfully reclassify IPNs. The endemic prevalence of histoplasmosis and cancer impact model performance when using disease related biomarkers. IMPACT: Integrating a combined biomarker approach into the diagnostic algorithm of IPNs could decrease time to diagnosis.

Minimally Invasive and Sublobar Resections for Lung Cancer.

Current guidelines for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) recommend segmentectomy over lobectomy for patients with poor pulmonary reserve or for peripheral nodules less than or equal to 2 cm with adenocarcinoma in situ histology, greater than 50% ground-glass opacity on computed tomography, or radiologic doubling time greater than or equal to 400 days. However, emerging data suggest oncologic equivalence of segmentectomy to lobectomy for less than or equal to 2 cm, peripheral stage IA NSCLC regardless of histologic type or radiographic findings.

Sledding while towed behind motorized vehicles associates with more severe and lethal injuries☆.

INTRODUCTION: Our institution has recently experienced an increase in sledding-related injuries, particularly when towed behind motorized vehicles. The purpose of this study was to characterize injury severity and clinical outcomes between pediatric patients who sustain injuries owing to motorized sledding accidents to aid in injury prevention messaging. METHODS: This retrospective study queried all patients who presented with a sledding-related injury to a single ACS-verified Level 1 Pediatric Trauma Center located in the Southeastern United States between 01/2015 and 01/2022. Demographics, injury details, and clinical outcomes were compared between two groups: patients towed behind a motorized vehicle (MOTOR) and those who were not (GRAVITY). RESULTS: Of the 67 patients included in our analysis, 15 (22%) were in the MOTOR group. Patients in the MOTOR group presented with significantly higher injury severity (ISS) and lower Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores. Additionally, patients in this MOTOR group more often received a blood transfusion and intubation, had longer intensive care and overall hospital lengths of stay, and incurred higher hospital costs. In a multivariate analysis, the use of a motorized vehicle to sled was independently associated with increased ISS (OR: 9.7, 95% CI 1.9-17.5; p = 0.02). Two deaths occurred after sledding while being towed behind a motorized vehicle. CONCLUSION: Children experiencing sledding accidents while being towed by motorized vehicles sustain significantly more severe injuries and require more intensive treatments that together lead to increased hospital costs. These findings provide the framework for community educational initiatives and injury prevention measures to mitigate risk among children engaged in sledding. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV retrospective cohort study.

Fatal hepatic necrosis after nivolumab as a bridge to liver transplant for HCC: Are checkpoint inhibitors safe for the pretransplant patient?

Nivolumab is an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) currently in phase 3 clinical trials for hepatocellular carcinoma. The safety of ICIs in recipients of organ allotransplant is unclear, and several reports of fatal alloimmune injury after posttransplant ICI use have been published. We present the first published case of nivolumab used in the pretransplant setting for HCC resulting in fatal acute hepatic necrosis in the immediate postoperative period from a profound immune reaction likely propagated by nivolumab. Further investigation and significant caution are needed in the evaluation of patients awaiting transplant who are receiving ICI therapy.