Age and risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation: evidence for guidelines?

AIM: Guidelines for the clinical management of patients with atrial fibrillation suggest that treatment strategies for prescribing oral anticoagulant therapy should implicate change at age 60, 65 and 75 years. We examined if there is any threshold concerning risk of stroke by age. METHODS: We identified 141,493 subjects, aged 40-89 years, with an incident hospital diagnosis of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation or flutter and no previous or concomitant diagnosis of stroke in the Danish National Registry of Patients from January 1, 1980, to December 31, 2002. The subjects were followed in the Danish National Registry of Patients for the occurrence of an incident diagnosis of stroke of any nature and in the Danish Civil Registration System for emigration and vital status. We examined the risk of stroke by age in men and women using Cox regression models, which included age categorized in intervals, linear splines of age with cut points at age 60 and 75 years, or at age 65 and 75 years. We also analyzed age as a continuous variable in linear and polynomial regression models. RESULTS: During follow-up 15,964 incident strokes were reported to the Danish National Registry of Patients. The risk of stroke increased by increasing age at baseline. We did not find any evidence for a threshold concerning risk of stroke by age, and the best model fit was obtained in a third-order polynomial regression model. CONCLUSION: The risk of stroke increased gradually by increasing age, and we could not detect any threshold concerning risk of stroke by age.

Natriuretic peptide response to dynamic exercise in patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) information regarding exercise release of atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) is sparse and data on plasma brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) response to exercise is lacking. The aim of this study was to investigate plasma ANP and BNP response to exercise in patients with permanent AF and to assess if the response was different from the response in healthy age- and sex-matched control subjects. METHODS: Plasma venous concentrations of ANP and BNP were determined at rest, at peak exercise and 30 min from the end of exercise in 38 patients with permanent AF and in 43 age- and sex-matched healthy control subjects. RESULTS: Plasma concentrations of ANP and BNP were significantly higher in AF patients compared with the healthy control group at rest, peak exercise and after 30 min of recovery (p<0.0001). ANP and BNP increased significantly during exercise in both patients with AF and in the healthy control subjects (p<0.05). The increase in plasma concentration of ANP and BNP during exercise was significantly higher in AF patients compared with healthy controls (p=0.0002 for ANP; p<0.0001 for BNP). In the recovery period plasma BNP decreased significantly (p<0.0001) where as the decrease in plasma ANP was insignificant (p=0.4). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with permanent AF have elevated levels of ANP and BNP at rest and exhibit much higher exercise release compared to healthy control subjects. This enhanced secretion of potent vasodilating and natriuretic agents may represent an important compensatory mechanism to improve exercise capacity in patients with AF.