Epidemiological Trends of Malaria in Five Years and under Children of Nsanje District in Malawi, 2015-2019.

BACKGROUND: Malaria continues to be a major public health problem in Malawi and the greatest load of mortality and morbidity occurs in children five years and under. However, there is no information yet regarding trends and predictions of malaria incidence in children five years and under at district hospital level, particularly at Nsanje district hospital. AIM: Therefore, this study aimed at investigating the trends of malaria morbidity and mortality in order to design appropriate interventions on the best approach to contain the disease in the near future. METHODOLOGY: Trend analysis of malaria morbidity and mortality together with time series analysis using the SARIMA (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model was used to predict malaria incidence in Nsanje district. RESULTS: The SARIMA model used malaria cases from 2015 to 2019 and created the best model to forecast the malaria cases in Nsanje from 2020 to 2022. An SARIMA (0, 1, 2) (0,1,1)12 was suitable for forecasting the incidence of malaria for Nsanje. CONCLUSION: The mortality and morbidity trend showed that malaria cases were growing at a fluctuating rate at Nsanje district hospital. The relative errors between the actual values and predicted values indicated that the predicted values matched the actual values well. Therefore, the model proved that it was adequate to forecast monthly malaria cases and it had a good fit, hence, was appropriate for this study.

Effect of antiretroviral therapy initiation time and baseline CD4+ cell counts on AIDS-related mortality among former plasma donors in China: a 21-year retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The conventional survival analysis model on HIV/AIDS prognosis is the Cox proportional hazard model, which deals with only one event type, death, regardless of the cause. Few studies have used a competing risk model to evaluate the predictors of AIDS-related mortality. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the influence of antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation time and baseline CD4+ cell counts on acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related death among former plasma donors. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted involving 11,905 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or AIDS patients in a high-risk area of Henan province in China between 1995 and 2016. Demographic and clinical data were collected. Sub-distribution hazard ratios (sHRs) for AIDS-related mortality with baseline CD4+ cell counts and ART initiation time were determined using a competing risk model. RESULTS: Patients who initiated ART within 90 days of HIV/AIDS diagnosis (sHR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.22-0.27) or had baseline CD4+ counts of >500 cells/µL (sHR: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.19-0.28) were associated with lower AIDS-related mortality risk. Patients with ART initiation time >1 year but CD4+ counts >350 cells/µL (sHR: 4.42, 95% CI: 3.30-5.91) had a higher AIDS-related mortality risk than those with ART initiation time >90 days but CD4+ counts ≤350 cells/µL (sHR: 4.33, 95% CI: 3.58-5.23). CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that patients with high CD4+ cell counts and late ART had a 9% higher risk of AIDS-related death than those with low CD4+ cell counts and early ART. This study confirms the great significance of immediate ART initiation among former plasma donor HIV patients in China.

Antimicrobial resistance patterns of bacterial pathogens their distribution in university teaching hospitals in Zambia.

Aim: To determine the antimicrobial resistance patterns of bacterial pathogens from urine, blood and wound infections and their distribution by age, sex and location. Materials & methods: A total of 49,168 samples were collected, processed and analyzed. Results: Multidrug resistance was observed in almost all bacterial pathogens in blood urine and wound swabs. In urine and females odds ratio (OR) = 0.864, p = 0.023, OR = 0.909, p = 0.013 urine and neonates were susceptible to antibiotics OR = 0.859, p = 0.003, OR = 0.741, p < 0.001. Ampicillin resistance was above 90% against Escherichia coli in blood, urine and wound swabs. Conclusion: There was a spike in resistance to imipenem, ciprofloxacin and ampicillin against E. coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Proteus mirabilis and Proteus species from all three specimen sources.

Lay abstract Bacterial infections and microbial resistance are becoming the most challenging problems associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The emergence of antibiotic resistance is a growing concern for people of all ages and settings. This study aimed to determine the antimicrobial resistance patterns of microorganism from urine, blood and wound swabs and their distribution by age, sex and location. The study showed that bacterial isolates from urine and blood were more resistant than isolates from wound infections. Furthermore, bacterial isolates from neonates were resistant to antimicrobial agents used. Bacterial isolates from inpatients were more statistically significant to antimicrobial agents than those from outpatients. There was resistance of bacteria Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Proteus mirabilis and Proteus species from all three specimen sources to imipenem, ciprofloxacin, and ampicillin, and the effect of age, sex and location on antibiotic resistance was also significant.

Antimicrobial susceptibility patterns of bacteria that commonly cause bacteremia at a tertiary hospital in Zambia.

Background: Bloodstream infections and antimicrobial resistance cause global increases in morbidity and mortality. Aim: We evaluated the antimicrobial susceptibility patterns of bacteria that commonly cause bacteremia in humans. Materials & methods: We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study at the University Teaching Hospitals in Lusaka, Zambia, using Laboratory Information Systems. Results: The commonest isolated bacteria associated with sepsis were Klebsiella pneumoniae. The distribution of bacteria associated with bacteremia in different wards and departments pneumonia. The distribution of bacteria associated with bacteremia in different wards and departments at University Teaching Hospitals was were statistically significant (χ2 = 1211.518; p < 0.001). Conclusion:K. pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, Pantoea agglomerans and Enterococcus species have developed high resistance levels against ampicillin, cefotaxime, ciprofloxacin, gentamicin and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole and a very low resistance levels against imipenem and Amikacin.