RESUMO
Hyponatremia on admission has been related to worse outcomes in patients with COVID-19 infection. However, little is known about the frequency and the associated risk factors of hyponatremia after COVID-19 discharge. We performed an observational 24-month follow-up study of patients admitted during the first COVID-19 wave. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the main variables in predicting hyponatremia on follow-up (HYPO-FU). A total of 161 out of 683 (24.4%) developed HYPO-FU. The group with HYPO-FU comprised of more men [(62.3%) vs. (49.2%); p < 0.01], older [65.6 ± 18.2 vs. 60.3 ± 17.0; p < 0.01] and more frequently re-admitted [(16.2%) vs. (3.8%); p < 0.01). The rate of HYPO-FU was higher in the first year 23.6 per 100 individuals per year. After Cox regression analysis, the independent risk factors of HYPO-FU were diabetes [OR 2.12, IC 95% (1.48-3.04)], hypertension [OR 2.18, IC 95% (1.53-3.12)], heart failure [OR 3.34, IC 95% (1.72-6.48)] and invasive ventilation support requirement [OR: 2.38, IC 95% (1.63-3.50)]. To conclude, HYPO-FU was frequent in the first year after COVID-19 infection, and the risk was higher in older men with comorbidities, increasing rehospitalisation. Further studies aimed at evaluating the beneficial effects of correcting hyponatremia in these patients are warranted.
Assuntos
Líquidos Corporais , COVID-19 , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Hiponatremia , Idoso , Humanos , Masculino , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Seguimentos , Hiponatremia/epidemiologia , Hiponatremia/etiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Identification of SARS-CoV-2-infected patients at high-risk of poor prognosis is crucial. We aimed to establish predictive models for COVID-19 pneumonia severity in hospitalized patients. METHODS: Retrospective study of 430 patients admitted in Vall d'Hebron Hospital (Barcelona) between 03-12-2020 and 04-28-2020 due to COVID-19 pneumonia. Two models to identify the patients who required high-flow-oxygen-support were generated, one using baseline data and another with also follow-up analytical results. Calibration was performed by a 1000-bootstrap replication model. RESULTS: 249 were male, mean age 57.9 years. Overall, 135 (31.4%) required high-flow-oxygen-support. The baseline predictive model showed a ROC of 0.800 based on: SpO2/FiO2 (adjusted Hazard Ratio-aHR = 8), chest x-ray (aHR = 4), prior immunosuppressive therapy (aHR = 4), obesity (aHR = 2), IL-6 (aHR = 2), platelets (aHR = 0.5). The cut-off of 11 presented a specificity of 94.8%. The second model included changes on the analytical parameters: ferritin (aHR = 7.5 if ≥200ng/mL) and IL-6 (aHR = 18 if ≥64pg/mL) plus chest x-ray (aHR = 2) showing a ROC of 0.877. The cut-off of 12 exhibited a negative predictive value of 92%. CONCLUSIONS: SpO2/FiO2 and chest x-ray on admission or changes on inflammatory parameters as IL-6 and ferritin allow us early identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of high-flow-oxygen-support that may benefit from a more intensive disease management.
Assuntos
COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/patologia , Pneumonia/diagnóstico , Pneumonia/patologia , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
Objetivo: Evaluar si los cambios en los parámetros bioquímicos del líquido pleural (LP) entre 2 toracocentesis sucesivas permiten predecir derrames pleurales (DP) malignos o benignos. Métodos: Estudio retrospectivo de los pacientes con exudado linfocitario y citología negativa para malignidad que se sometieron a una segunda toracocentesis en nuestro centro durante los últimos 15 años (muestra de derivación), y en los que se alcanzó un diagnóstico final. Las diferencias absolutas (Δa) o porcentuales (Δp) de diferentes parámetros bioquímicos del LP capaces de predecir la naturaleza maligna o benigna del DP en la muestra de derivación se evaluaron en una población independiente. Resultados: Se incluyeron 214 pacientes con DP (70 malignos y 144 benignos) en la muestra de derivación. Las Δp LDH (lactato deshidrogenasa) > 0%, Δp neutrófilos > -10% (cualquier aumento o bien un descenso inferior al 10%), y Δa proteínas < 0,1 g/dL (cualquier descenso o bien un aumento inferior a 0,1 g/dL) entre la segunda y primera toracocentesis mostraron unas odds ratio de 6,4, 3,9 y 2,1 para discriminar DP maligno de benigno, respectivamente. La presencia de las 3 condiciones conjuntamente se asoció con una likelihood ratio positiva de 5,6, mientras que la ausencia de cualquiera ellas se asoció con una likelihood ratio negativa de 0,04 para predecir malignidad. Los resultados se reprodujeron en la población de validación. Conclusión: El aumento de LDH y neutrófilos, junto con el descenso de proteínas en una segunda toracocentesis, aumenta la probabilidad de que el origen del DP sea neoplásico, mientras que lo contrario la reduce significativamente
Objective: To assess whether changes in pleural fluid (PF) biochemistries between two consecutive thoracenteses enable clinicians to predict malignant or benign pleural effusions (PE). Methods: Retrospective study of patients with lymphocytic exudates and negative PF cytology, who underwent a second thoracentesis in our center in the last 15 years in whom a final diagnosis was reached (derivation sample). Absolute (Δa) and percentage differences (Δp) in PF biochemistries which predicted a malignant or benign PE in the derivation sample were evaluated in an independent population (validation sample). Results: The derivation sample included 214 PE patients (70 malignant and 144 benign PE). Δp lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) >0%, Δp neutrophils >-10% (any increase or less than 10% decrease) and Δa protein <0.1g/dL (any increase or less than 0.1g/dL decrease) between the second and the first thoracentesis had an odds ratio of 6.4, 3.9 and 2.1, respectively, to discriminate malignant from benign PE. The presence of the three conditions together had a positive likelihood ratio of 5.6, whereas the absence of any of the 3 parameters had a likelihood ratio of 0.04 for predicting malignancy. These results were reproduced in the validation sample. Conclusion: An increase in LDH and neutrophils along with a decrease in protein in a second thoracentesis increase the probability of malignant PE, while the opposite reduces it significantly
Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Derrame Pleural Maligno/diagnóstico , Toracentese/métodos , Toracentese/tendências , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Razão de Chances , Tuberculose Pleural/diagnóstico , GasometriaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To assess whether changes in pleural fluid (PF) biochemistries between two consecutive thoracenteses enable clinicians to predict malignant or benign pleural effusions (PE). METHODS: Retrospective study of patients with lymphocytic exudates and negative PF cytology, who underwent a second thoracentesis in our center in the last 15 years in whom a final diagnosis was reached (derivation sample). Absolute (Δa) and percentage differences (Δp) in PF biochemistries which predicted a malignant or benign PE in the derivation sample were evaluated in an independent population (validation sample). RESULTS: The derivation sample included 214 PE patients (70 malignant and 144 benign PE). Δp lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) >0%, Δp neutrophils >-10% (any increase or less than 10% decrease) and Δa protein <0.1g/dL (any increase or less than 0.1g/dL decrease) between the second and the first thoracentesis had an odds ratio of 6.4, 3.9 and 2.1, respectively, to discriminate malignant from benign PE. The presence of the three conditions together had a positive likelihood ratio of 5.6, whereas the absence of any of the 3 parameters had a likelihood ratio of 0.04 for predicting malignancy. These results were reproduced in the validation sample. CONCLUSION: An increase in LDH and neutrophils along with a decrease in protein in a second thoracentesis increase the probability of malignant PE, while the opposite reduces it significantly.