Self-reported exercise activity influences the relationship between coronary computed tomography angiographic finding and mortality.

AIM: Recent studies suggest that the application of exercise activity questionnaires, including the use of a single-item exercise question, can be additive to the prognostic efficacy of imaging findings. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic efficacy of exercise activity in patients undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed 9772 patients who underwent CCTA at a single center between 2007 and 2020. Patients were divided into 4 groups of physical activity as no exercise (n â€‹= â€‹1643, 17%), mild exercise (n â€‹= â€‹3156, 32%), moderate exercise (n â€‹= â€‹3542, 36%), and high exercise (n â€‹= â€‹1431,15%), based on a single-item self-reported questionnaire. Coronary stenosis was categorized as no (0%), non-obstructive (1-49%), borderline (50-69%), and obstructive (≥70%). During a median follow-up of 4.64 (IQR 1.53-7.89) years, 490 (7.6%) died. There was a stepwise inverse relationship between exercise activity and mortality (p â€‹< â€‹0.001). Compared with the high activity group, the no activity group had a 3-fold higher mortality risk (HR: 3.3, 95%CI (1.94-5.63), p â€‹< â€‹0.001) after adjustment for age, clinical risk factors, symptoms, and statin use. For any level of CCTA stenosis, mortality rates were inversely associated with the degree of patients' exercise activity. The risk of all-cause mortality was similar among the patients with obstructive stenosis with high exercise versus those with no coronary stenosis but no exercise activity (p â€‹= â€‹0.912). CONCLUSION: Physical activity as assessed by a single-item self-reported questionnaire is a strong stepwise inverse predictor of mortality risk among patients undergoing CCTA.

10-year experience of utilizing a stress-first SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: Despite its potential benefits, the utilization of stress-only protocol in clinical practice has been limited. We report utilizing stress-first single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: We assessed 12,472 patients who were referred for SPECT-MPI between 2013 and 2020. The temporal changes in frequency of stress-only imaging were assessed according to risk factors, mode of stress, prior coronary artery disease (CAD) history, left ventricular function, and symptom status. The clinical endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In our lab, stress/rest SPECT-MPI in place of rest/stress SPECT-MPI was first introduced in November 2011 and was performed more commonly than rest/stress imaging after 2013. Stress-only SPECT-MPI scanning has been performed in 30-34% of our SPECT-MPI studies since 2013 (i.e.. 31.7% in 2013 and 33.6% in 2020). During the study period, we routinely used two-position imaging (additional prone or upright imaging) to reduce attenuation and motion artifact and introduced SPECT/CT scanner in 2018. The rate of stress-only study remained consistent before and after implementing the SPECT/CT scanner. The frequency of stress-only imaging was 43% among patients without a history of prior CAD and 19% among those with a prior CAD history. Among patients undergoing treadmill exercise, the frequency of stress-only imaging was 48%, while 32% among patients undergoing pharmacologic stress test. In multivariate Cox analysis, there was no significant difference in mortality risk between stress-only and stress/rest protocols in patients with normal SPECT-MPI results (p = 0.271). CONCLUSION: Implementation of a stress-first imaging protocol has consistently resulted in safe cancellation of 30% of rest SPECT-MPI studies.

Automated vessel specific coronary artery calcification quantification with deep learning in a large multi-center registry.

AIMS: Vessel specific coronary artery calcification (CAC) is additive to global CAC for prognostic assessment. We assessed accuracy and prognostic implications of vessel-specific automated deep learning (DL) CAC analysis on electrocardiogram gated and attenuation correction computed tomography (CT) in a large multicenter registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: Vessel-specific CAC was assessed in the left main/left anterior descending (LM/LAD), left circumflex (LCX) and right coronary artery (RCA) using a DL model trained on 3000 gated CT and tested on 2094 gated CT and 5969 non-gated attenuation correction CT. Vessel-specific agreement was assessed with linear weighted Cohen's Kappa for CAC zero, 1-100, 101-400 and >400 Agatston units (AU). Risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was assessed during 2.4±1.4 years follow-up, with hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). There was strong to excellent agreement between DL and expert ground truth for CAC in LM/LAD, LCX and RCA on gated CT [0.90 (95% CI 0.89 to 0.92); 0.70 (0.68 to 0.73); 0.79 (0.77 to 0.81)] and attenuation correction CT [(0.78 (0.77 to 0.80); 0.60 (0.58 to 0.62); 0.70 (0.68 to 0.71)]. MACE occurred in 242 (12%) undergoing gated CT and 841(14%) of undergoing attenuation correction CT. LM/LAD CAC >400 AU was associated with the highest risk of MACE on gated (HR 12.0, 95% CI 7.96, 18.0, p<0.001) and attenuation correction CT (HR 4.21, 95% CI 3.48, 5.08, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Vessel-specific CAC assessment with DL can be performed accurately and rapidly on gated CT and attenuation correction CT and provides important prognostic information.

Downward myocardial creep during stress PET imaging is inversely associated with mortality.

PURPOSE: The myocardial creep is a phenomenon in which the heart moves from its original position during stress-dynamic PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) that can confound myocardial blood flow measurements. Therefore, myocardial motion correction is important to obtain reliable myocardial flow quantification. However, the clinical importance of the magnitude of myocardial creep has not been explored. We aimed to explore the prognostic value of myocardial creep quantified by an automated motion correction algorithm beyond traditional PET-MPI imaging variables. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing regadenoson rest-stress [82Rb]Cl PET-MPI were included. A newly developed 3D motion correction algorithm quantified myocardial creep, the maximum motion at stress during the first pass (60 s), in each direction. All-cause mortality (ACM) served as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: A total of 4,276 patients (median age 71 years; 60% male) were analyzed, and 1,007 ACM events were documented during a 5-year median follow-up. Processing time for automatic motion correction was < 12 s per patient. Myocardial creep in the superior to inferior (downward) direction was greater than the other directions (median, 4.2 mm vs. 1.3-1.7 mm). Annual mortality rates adjusted for age and sex were reduced with a larger downward creep, with a 4.2-fold ratio between the first (0 mm motion) and 10th decile (11 mm motion) (mortality, 7.9% vs. 1.9%/year). Downward creep was associated with lower ACM after full adjustment for clinical and imaging parameters (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95%CI, 0.91-0.95; p < 0.001). Adding downward creep to the standard PET-MPI imaging model significantly improved ACM prediction (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.790 vs. 0.775; p < 0.001), but other directions did not (p > 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: Downward myocardial creep during regadenoson stress carries additional information for the prediction of ACM beyond conventional flow and perfusion PET-MPI. This novel imaging biomarker is quantified automatically and rapidly from stress dynamic PET-MPI.

Comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for stress single-photon emission computed tomography versus positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: There is currently little information regarding the usage and comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) versus positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) within multimodality imaging laboratories. METHODS: We compared the clinical characteristics and mortality outcomes among 15,718 patients referred for SPECT-MPI and 6202 patients referred for PET-MPI between 2008 and 2017. RESULTS: Approximately two-thirds of MPI studies were performed using SPECT-MPI. The PET-MPI group was substantially older and included more patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension, diabetes, and myocardial ischemia. The annualized mortality rate was also higher in the PET-MPI group, and this difference persisted after propensity matching 3615 SPECT-MPI and 3615 PET-MPI patients to have similar clinical profiles. Among the SPECT-MPI patients, the most potent predictor of mortality was exercise ability and performance, including consideration of patients' mode of stress testing and exercise duration. Among the PET-MPI patients, myocardial flow reserve (MFR) was the most potent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In our real-world setting, PET-MPI was more commonly employed among older patients with more cardiac risk factors than SPECT-MPI patients. The most potent predictors of mortality in our SPECT and PET-MPI groups were variables exclusive to each test: exercise ability/capacity for SPECT-MPI patients and MFR for PET-MPI patients.

Is typical angina still prognostically important? The influence of "treatment bias" upon prognostic assessments.

BACKGROUND: Since typical angina has become less frequent, it is unclear if this symptom still has prognostic significance. METHODS: We evaluated 38,383 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging followed for a median of 10.9 years. After dividing patients by clinical symptoms, we evaluated the magnitude of myocardial ischemia and subsequent mortality among medically treated versus revascularized subgroups following testing. RESULTS: Patients with typical angina had more frequent and greater ischemia than other symptom groups, but not higher mortality. Among typical angina patients, those who underwent early revascularization had substantially greater ischemia than the medically treated subgroup, including a far higher proportion with severe ischemia (44.9% vs 4.3%, P < 0.001) and transient ischemic dilation of the LV (31.3% vs 4.7%, P < 0.001). Nevertheless, the revascularized typical angina subgroup had a lower adjusted mortality risk than the medically treated subgroup (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.57-0.92, P = 0.009) CONCLUSIONS: Typical angina is associated with substantially more ischemia than other clinical symptoms. However, the high referral of patients with typical angina patients with ischemia to early revascularization resulted in this group having a lower rather than higher mortality risk versus other symptom groups. These findings illustrate the need to account for "treatment bias" among prognostic studies.

Simplified Approach to Predicting Obstructive Coronary Disease With Integration of Coronary Calcium: Development and External Validation.

BACKGROUND: The Diamond-Forrester model was used extensively to predict obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) but overestimates probability in current populations. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a useful marker of CAD, which is not routinely integrated with other features. We derived simple likelihood tables, integrating CAC with age, sex, and cardiac chest pain to predict obstructive CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: The training population included patients from 3 multinational sites (n=2055), with 2 sites for external testing (n=3321). We determined associations between age, sex, cardiac chest pain, and CAC with the presence of obstructive CAD, defined as any stenosis ≥50% on coronary computed tomography angiography. Prediction performance was assessed using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and compared with the CAD Consortium models with and without CAC, which require detailed calculations, and the updated Diamond-Forrester model. In external testing, the proposed likelihood tables had higher AUC (0.875 [95% CI, 0.862-0.889]) than the CAD Consortium clinical+CAC score (AUC, 0.868 [95% CI, 0.855-0.881]; P=0.030) and the updated Diamond-Forrester model (AUC, 0.679 [95% CI, 0.658-0.699]; P<0.001). The calibration for the likelihood tables was better than the CAD Consortium model (Brier score, 0.116 versus 0.121; P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS: We have developed and externally validated simple likelihood tables to integrate CAC with age, sex, and cardiac chest pain, demonstrating improved prediction performance compared with other risk models. Our tool affords physicians with the opportunity to rapidly and easily integrate a small number of important features to estimate a patient's likelihood of obstructive CAD as an aid to clinical management.

Comparison of coronary artery calcium scores among patients referred for cardiac imaging tests.

BACKGROUND: While coronary artery calcium (CAC) can now be evaluated by multiple imaging modalities, there is presently scant study regarding how CAC scores may vary among populations of varying clinical risk. METHODS: We evaluated the distribution of CAC scores among three patient groups: 18,941 referred for CAC scanning, 5101 referred for diagnostic coronary CT angiography (CCTA), and 3307 referred for diagnostic positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). We assessed the relationship between CAC score and myocardial ischemia, obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), and all-cause mortality across imaging modalities. RESULTS: Within each age group, the frequency of CAC abnormalities were relatively similar across testing modalities, despite an annualized mortality rate which varied from 0.5%/year among CAC patients to 3.8%/year among PET-MPI patients (p < 0.001). Among CCTA and PET-MPI patients, a zero CAC score was common, occurring in ~70% of patients <50 years, ~40% of patients 50-59 years, and ~ 25% of patients 60-69 years. Among CCTA patients, zero CAC was associated with a normal coronary angiogram with high frequency, ranging from 92.2% among patients <50 years to 87.9% among patients ≥70 years. Among PET-MPI patients, zero CAC was associated with a very low frequency of inducible ischemia across all age groups, ranging from 1.5% among patients <50 years to 0.9% among patients ≥70 years. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, relatively similar CAC scores were noted among patients varying markedly in mortality risk. Clinically, zero CAC scores predicted both a low likelihood of obstructive CAD and inducible myocardial ischemia in all age groups and were observed with high frequency across diagnostic testing modalities.

Increasing frequency of dyspnea among patients referred for cardiac stress testing.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the frequency, change in prevalence, and prognostic significance of dyspnea among contemporary patients referred for cardiac stress testing. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We evaluated the prevalence of dyspnea and its relationship to all-cause mortality among 33,564 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT-MPI between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2017. Dyspnea was assessed as a single-item question. Patients were divided into three temporal groups. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of dyspnea in our cohort was 30.2%. However, there was a stepwise increase in the temporal prevalence of dyspnea, which was present in 25.6% of patients studied between 2002 and 2006, 30.5% of patients studied between 2007 and 2011, and 38.7% of patients studied between 2012 and 2017. There was a temporal increase in the prevalence of dyspnea in each age, symptom, and risk factor subgroup. The adjusted hazard ratio for mortality was higher among patients with dyspnea vs those without dyspnea both among all patients, and within each chest pain subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Dyspnea has become increasingly prevalent among patients referred for cardiac stress testing and is now present among nearly two-fifths of contemporary cohorts referred for stress-rest SPECT-MPI. Prospective study is needed to standardize the assessment of dyspnea and evaluate the reasons for its increasing prevalence.

Decline in typical angina among patients referred for cardiac stress testing.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate temporal trends in the prevalence of typical angina and its clinical correlates among patients referred for stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We evaluated the prevalence of chest pain symptoms and their relationship to inducible myocardial ischemia among 61,717 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT-MPI between January 2, 1991 and December 31, 2017. We also assessed the relationship between chest pain symptom and angiographic findings among 6,579 patients undergoing coronary CT angiography between 2011 and 2017. RESULTS: The prevalence of typical angina among SPECT-MPI patients declined from 16.2% between 1991 and 1997 to 3.1% between 2011 and 2017, while the prevalence of dyspnea without any chest pain increased from 5.9 to 14.5% over the same period. The frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia declined over time within all symptom groups, but its frequency among current patients (2011-2017) with typical angina was approximately three-fold higher versus other symptom groups (28.4% versus 8.6%, p < 0.001). Overall, patients with typical angina had a higher prevalence of obstructive CAD on CCTA than those with other clinical symptoms, but 33.3% of typical angina patients had no coronary stenoses, 31.1% had 1-49% stenoses, and 35.4% had ≥ 50% stenoses. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of typical angina has declined to a very low level among contemporary patients referred for noninvasive cardiac tests. The angiographic findings among current typical angina patients are now quite heterogeneous, with one-third of such patients having normal coronary angiograms. However, typical angina remains associated with a substantially higher frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia compared to patients with other cardiac symptoms.

Incremental prognostic value of stress phase entropy over standard PET myocardial perfusion imaging variables.

PURPOSE: Phase analysis can assess left ventricular dyssynchrony. The independent prognostic value of phase variables over positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (PET-MPI) variables including myocardial flow reserve (MFR) has not been studied. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic value of phase variables for predicting mortality over standard PET-MPI variables. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent pharmacological stress-rest 82Rb PET study were enrolled. All PET-MPI variables including phase variables (phase entropy, phase bandwidth, and phase standard deviation) were automatically obtained by QPET software (Cedars-Sinai, Los Angeles, CA). Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to assess associations with all-cause mortality (ACM). RESULTS: In a total of 3963 patients (median age 71 years; 57% male), 923 patients (23%) died during a median follow-up of 5 years. Annualized mortality rates increased with stress phase entropy, with a 4.6-fold difference between the lowest and highest decile groups of entropy (2.6 vs. 12.0%/year). Abnormal stress phase entropy (optimal cutoff value, 43.8%) stratified ACM risk in patients with normal and impaired MFR (both p < 0.001). Among three phase variables, only stress phase entropy was significantly associated with ACM after the adjustment of standard clinical and PET-MPI variables including MFR and stress-rest change of phase variables, whether modeled as binary variables (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.44 for abnormal entropy [> 43.8%]; 95%CI, 1.18-1.75; p < 0.001) or continuous variables (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.05 per 5% increase; 95%CI, 1.01-1.10; p = 0.030). The addition of stress phase entropy to the standard PET-MPI variables significantly improved the discriminatory power for ACM prediction (p < 0.001), but the other phase variables did not (p > 0.1). CONCLUSION: Stress phase entropy is independently and incrementally associated with ACM beyond standard PET-MPI variables including MFR. Phase entropy can be obtained automatically and included in clinical reporting of PET-MPI studies to improve patient risk prediction.

Cardiac Computed Tomography for Quantification of Myocardial Extracellular Volume Fraction: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Extracellular volume (ECV) is a quantitative measure of extracellular compartment expansion, and an increase in ECV is a marker of myocardial fibrosis. Although cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is considered the standard imaging tool for ECV quantification, cardiac computed tomography (CT) has also been used for ECV assessment. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the correlation and agreement in the quantification of myocardial ECV by CT and CMR. METHODS: PubMed and Web of Science were searched for relevant publications reporting on the use of CT for ECV quantification compared with CMR as the reference standard. The authors employed a meta-analysis using the restricted maximum-likelihood estimator with a random-effects method to estimate summary correlation and mean difference. A subgroup analysis was performed to compare the correlation and mean differences between single-energy CT (SECT) and dual-energy CT (DECT) techniques for the ECV quantification. RESULTS: Of 435 papers, 13 studies comprising 383 patients were identified. The mean age range was 57.3 to 82 years, and 65% of patients were male. Overall, there was an excellent correlation between CT-derived ECV and CMR-derived ECV (mean: 0.90 [95% CI: 0.86-0.95]). The pooled mean difference between CT and CMR was 0.96% (95% CI: 0.14%-1.78%). Seven studies reported correlation values using SECT, and 4 studies reported those using DECT. The pooled correlation from studies utilizing DECT for ECV quantification was significantly higher compared with those with SECT (mean: 0.94 [95% CI: 0.91-0.98] vs 0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.94], respectively; P = 0.01). There was no significant difference in pooled mean differences between SECT vs DECT (P = 0.85). CONCLUSIONS: CT-derived ECV showed an excellent correlation and mean difference of <1% with CMR-derived ECV. However, the overall quality of the included studies was low, and larger, prospective studies are needed to examine the accuracy and diagnostic and prognostic utility of CT-derived ECV.

When Does a Calcium Score Equate to Secondary Prevention?: Insights From the Multinational CONFIRM Registry.

BACKGROUND: Elevated coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores in subjects without prior atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) have been shown to be associated with increased cardiovascular risk. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to determine at what level individuals with elevated CAC scores who have not had an ASCVD event should be treated as aggressively for cardiovascular risk factors as patients who have already survived an ASCVD event. METHODS: The authors performed a cohort study comparing event rates of patients with established ASVCD to event rates in persons with no history of ASCVD and known calcium scores to ascertain at what level elevated CAC scores equate to risk associated with existing ASCVD. In the multinational CONFIRM (Coronary CT Angiography Evaluation for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter) registry, the authors compared ASCVD event rates in persons without a history of myocardial infarction (MI) or revascularization (as categorized on CAC scores) to event rates in those with established ASCVD. They identified 4,511 individuals without known coronary artery disease (CAC) who were compared to 438 individuals with established ASCVD. CAC was categorized as 0, 1 to 100, 101 to 300, and >300. Cumulative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), MACE plus late revascularization, MI, and all-cause mortality incidence was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method for persons with no ASCVD history by CAC level and persons with established ASCVD. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to calculate HRs with 95% CIs, which were adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: The mean age was 57.6 ± 12.4 years (56% male). In total, 442 of 4,949 (9%) patients experienced MACEs over a median follow-up of 4 years (IQR: 1.7-5.7 years). Incident MACEs increased with higher CAC scores, with the highest rates observed with CAC score >300 and in those with prior ASCVD. All-cause mortality, MACEs, MACE + late revascularization, and MI event rates were not statistically significantly different in those with CAC >300 compared with established ASCVD (all P > 0.05). Persons with a CAC score <300 had substantially lower event rates. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CAC scores >300 are at an equivalent risk of MACE and its components as those treated for established ASCVD. This observation, that those with CAC >300 have event rates comparable to those with established ASCVD, supplies important background for further study related to secondary prevention treatment targets in subjects without prior ASCVD with elevated CAC. Understanding the CAC scores that are associated with ASCVD risk equivalent to stable secondary prevention populations may be important for guiding the intensity of preventive approaches more broadly.

The journal of cardiovascular computed tomography: A year in review: 2022.

This review aims to summarize key articles published in the Journal of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography (JCCT) in 2022, focusing on those that had the most scientific and educational impact. The JCCT continues to expand; the number of submissions, published manuscripts, cited articles, article downloads, social media presence, and impact factor continues to grow. The articles selected by the Editorial Board of the JCCT in this review highlight the role of cardiovascular computed tomography (CCT) to detect subclinical atherosclerosis, assess the functional relevance of stenoses, and plan invasive coronary and valve procedures. A section is dedicated to CCT in infants and other patients with congenital heart disease, in women, and to the importance of training in CT. In addition, we highlight key consensus documents and guidelines published in JCCT last year. The Journal values the tremendous work by authors, reviewers, and editors to accomplish these contributions.

Prognostic Significance of Nonobstructive Left Main Coronary Artery Disease in Patients With and Without Diabetes: Long-Term Outcomes From the CONFIRM Registry.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic significance of non-obstructive left main (LM) disease was recently reported. However, the influence of diabetes mellitus (DM) on event rates in patients with and without non-obstructive LM disease is not well-known. METHODS: We evaluated 27,252 patients undergoing coronary computed tomographic angiography from the COroNary CT Angiography Evaluation For Clinical Outcomes: An InteRnational Multicenter (CONFIRM) Registry. Cumulative long-term incidence of all-cause mortality (ACM) was assessed between DM and non-DM patients by normal or non-obstructive LM disease (1-49% stenosis). RESULTS: The mean age of the study population was 57.6±12.6 years. Of the 27,252 patients, 4,434 (16%) patients had DM. A total of 899 (3%) deaths occurred during the follow-up of 3.6±1.9. years. Compared to patients with normal LM, those with non-obstructive LM had more pronounced overall coronary atherosclerosis and more cardiovascular risk factors. After clinical risk factors, segment involvement score, and stenosis severity adjustment, compared to patients without DM and normal LM, patients with DM were associated with increased ACM regardless of normal (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.22-1.78, p<0.001) or non-obstructive LM (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.04-2.04, p=0.029), while nonobstructive LM disease was not associated with increased ACM in patients without DM (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.67-1.07, p=0.165) and there was no significant interaction between DM and LM status (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.69-1.54, p=0.879). CONCLUSION: From the CONFIRM registry, we demonstrated that DM was associated with increased ACM. However, the presence of non-obstructive LM was not an independent risk marker of ACM, and there was no significant interaction between DM and non-obstructive LM disease for ACM.

Deep Learning of Coronary Calcium Scores From PET/CT Attenuation Maps Accurately Predicts Adverse Cardiovascular Events.

BACKGROUND: Assessment of coronary artery calcium (CAC) by computed tomographic (CT) imaging provides an accurate measure of atherosclerotic burden. CAC is also visible in computed tomographic attenuation correction (CTAC) scans, always acquired with cardiac positron emission tomographic (PET) imaging. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to develop a deep-learning (DL) model capable of fully automated CAC definition from PET CTAC scans. METHODS: The novel DL model, originally developed for video applications, was adapted to rapidly quantify CAC. The model was trained using 9,543 expert-annotated CT scans and was tested in 4,331 patients from an external cohort undergoing PET/CT imaging with major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) (follow-up 4.3 years), including same-day paired electrocardiographically gated CAC scans available in 2,737 patients. MACE risk stratification in 4 CAC score categories (0, 1-100, 101-400, and >400) was analyzed and CAC scores derived from electrocardiographically gated CT scans (standard scores) by expert observers were compared with automatic DL scores from CTAC scans. RESULTS: Automatic DL scoring required <6 seconds per scan. DL CTAC scores provided stepwise increase in the risk for MACE across the CAC score categories (HR up to 3.2; P < 0.001). Net reclassification improvement of standard CAC scores over DL CTAC scores was nonsignificant (-0.02; 95% CI: -0.11 to 0.07). The negative predictive values for MACE of zero CAC with standard (85%) and DL CTAC (83%) CAC scores were similar (P = 0.19). CONCLUSIONS: DL CTAC scores predict cardiovascular risk similarly to standard CAC scores quantified manually by experienced operators from dedicated electrocardiographically gated CAC scans and can be obtained almost instantly, with no changes to PET/CT scanning protocol.

Development and validation of ischemia risk scores.

BACKGROUND: The likelihood of ischemia on myocardial perfusion imaging is central to physician decisions regarding test selection, but dedicated risk scores are lacking. We derived and validated two novel ischemia risk scores to support physician decision making. METHODS: Risk scores were derived using 15,186 patients and validated with 2,995 patients from a different center. Logistic regression was used to assess associations with ischemia to derive point-based and calculated ischemia scores. Predictive performance for ischemia was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with the CAD consortium basic and clinical models. RESULTS: During derivation, the calculated ischemia risk score (0.801) had higher AUC compared to the point-based score (0.786, p < 0.001). During validation, the calculated ischemia score (0.716, 95% CI 0.684- 0.748) had higher AUC compared to the point-based ischemia score (0.699, 95% CI 0.666- 0.732, p = 0.016) and the clinical CAD model (AUC 0.667, 95% CI 0.633- 0.701, p = 0.002). Calibration for both ischemia scores was good in both populations (Brier score  < 0.100). CONCLUSIONS: We developed two novel risk scores for predicting probability of ischemia on MPI which demonstrated high accuracy during model derivation and in external testing. These scores could support physician decisions regarding diagnostic testing strategies.

Mitigating bias in deep learning for diagnosis of coronary artery disease from myocardial perfusion SPECT images.

PURPOSE: Artificial intelligence (AI) has high diagnostic accuracy for coronary artery disease (CAD) from myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). However, when trained using high-risk populations (such as patients with correlating invasive testing), the disease probability can be overestimated due to selection bias. We evaluated different strategies for training AI models to improve the calibration (accurate estimate of disease probability), using external testing. METHODS: Deep learning was trained using 828 patients from 3 sites, with MPI and invasive angiography within 6 months. Perfusion was assessed using upright (U-TPD) and supine total perfusion deficit (S-TPD). AI training without data augmentation (model 1) was compared to training with augmentation (increased sampling) of patients without obstructive CAD (model 2), and patients without CAD and TPD < 2% (model 3). All models were tested in an external population of patients with invasive angiography within 6 months (n = 332) or low likelihood of CAD (n = 179). RESULTS: Model 3 achieved the best calibration (Brier score 0.104 vs 0.121, p < 0.01). Improvement in calibration was particularly evident in women (Brier score 0.084 vs 0.124, p < 0.01). In external testing (n = 511), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was higher for model 3 (0.930), compared to U-TPD (AUC 0.897) and S-TPD (AUC 0.900, p < 0.01 for both). CONCLUSION: Training AI models with augmentation of low-risk patients can improve calibration of AI models developed to identify patients with CAD, allowing more accurate assignment of disease probability. This is particularly important in lower-risk populations and in women, where overestimation of disease probability could significantly influence down-stream patient management.