Assessment of travel distance for hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy in women with ovarian cancer.

Objective s: To evaluate travel distance in women with advanced or recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer (OC) undergoing cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) and the subsequent impact upon outcomes. Methods: An IRB-approved single-institution prospective registry was queried for women with OC who underwent HIPEC from 1/1/2009-12/1/2020. Demographic, oncologic, and surgical data were recorded. The patient's home zip code was compared to the institutional zip code to determine travel distance using Google Maps. Patients were divided into three strata for analysis: 1) local: ≤50 miles, 2) regional: 51-99 miles, and 3) distant: ≥100 miles and univariate analysis was performed. Results: Of 127 women, the median distance travelled was 57.0 miles (IQR: 20.6, 84.6). There were no significant differences in mild (28.3% vs. 26.3 vs. 24.1%), moderate (21.7% vs. 15.8% vs. 17.2%) or severe postoperative complications (11.7% vs. 5.3% vs. 17.2%) (p = 0.75) for local, regional and distant patients, respectively. There was no difference in progression-free survival (17.4 vs. 22.2 vs. 12.8 months, p > 0.05) or overall survival (57.3 vs. 61.6 vs. 29.2 months, p > 0.05) for local, regional or distant patients, respectively. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that women with OC are willing to travel for HIPEC, with over 50% traveling > 50 miles. Our results suggest that women who travel for HIPEC procedures are not at increased risk for perioperative complications or worse oncologic outcomes than those local to HIPEC centers.

Incidence and prognostic significance of inguinal lymph node metastasis in women with newly diagnosed epithelial ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE(S): To assess incidence and oncologic outcomes in women with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) with inguinal lymph node metastasis (ILNM) at diagnosis. METHODS: An IRB-approved, retrospective single-institution cohort study was performed in women with stage III/IV EOC from 2009 to 2017. Patients with inguinal lymphadenopathy (defined as >1 cm in short axis) clinically or radiographically were identified. The impact of ILNM on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed. RESULTS: Of the 562 women with advanced EOC, 18 (3.2%) had ILNM at diagnosis, accounting for 25.7% of all patients with stage IVB disease (n = 70). Five patients (27.7%) had a known genetic predisposition for EOC, including BRCA1 (11.1%, n = 2), BRCA2 (11.1%, n = 2) and BRIP1 (5.6%, n = 1). The majority of patients underwent optimal primary cytoreductive surgery (CRS), including debulking of inguinal nodal metastasis (83.3%, n = 15), with 50% (n = 9) having no gross residual disease after surgery. There was no difference in PFS (19.9 vs. 19.9 vs. 17.2 months, p = 0.84) or OS (137.2 vs. 52.9 vs. 67.6 months, p = 0.29) in women with stage III/IV with ILNM, stage III/IV without ILNM, and stage IVB disease without ILNM, respectively. Progression-free survival was improved in women with ILNM who underwent an optimal resection to no macroscopic disease vs. non-optimal resection (27.4 vs. 14.3 months, p = 0.019). Median overall survival at the time of analysis did not reach statistical significance (137.2 vs. 57.3 months, p = 0.24). CONCLUSION(S): In this retrospective cohort study, 3.2% of women with advanced EOC presented with ILNM at diagnosis. Although ILNM did not portend worse clinical outcomes compared to all Stage III/IV and Stage IVB patients, respectively, resection to no gross residual disease was associated with improved PFS.

Case Report: Circulating Tumor DNA Fraction Analysis Using Ultra-Low-Pass Whole-Genome Sequencing Correlates Response to Chemoradiation and Recurrence in Stage IV Small-Cell Carcinoma of the Cervix - A Longitudinal Study.

Neuroendocrine carcinoma of the cervix is a rare and aggressive form of cervical cancer that presents with frequent metastasis at diagnosis and high recurrence rates. Primary treatment is multimodal, which often includes chemotherapy with or without radiation therapy. There are no data available to guide treatment for recurrence, and second-line therapies are extrapolated from small-cell lung carcinoma data. Close monitoring of these patients for recurrence is paramount. Evaluation of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in the peripheral blood is an attractive approach due to its non-invasive nature. Ultra-low-pass whole-genome sequencing (ULP-WGS) can assess tumor burden and response to therapy and predict recurrence; however, data are lacking regarding the role of ULP-WGS in small-cell carcinoma of the cervix. This study demonstrates a patient whose response to chemotherapy and cancer recurrence was accurately monitored by ctDNA analysis using ULP-WGS and confirmed with radiologic imaging findings.

Anastomotic leak following interval debulking surgery with or without hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy in women with advanced epithelial ovarian Cancer.

OBJECTIVE(S): To evaluate the incidence and associated risk factors for anastomotic failure following interval debulking surgery (IDS) with or without hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) in women with advanced ovarian cancer. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in women with stage III/IV high-grade ovarian cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by IDS with colorectal resection and HIPEC from 2017 to 2020. These patients were compared to a historical control cohort who underwent IDS with colorectal resection without HIPEC from 2009 to 2016. Data was collected for demographics, surgical variables, and perioperative outcomes. The univariate analysis compared progression-free survival and overall survival. RESULTS: 61 women were identified; 21 (34.4%) underwent IDS with HIPEC from 2017 to 2020, and 40 underwent IDS alone from 2009 to 2016. None of the patients who had IDS with HIPEC had protective ileostomy, compared to 10.0% of those who received had IDS alone (n = 4)(p = 0.29). The cumulative incidence of anastomotic leak rate was 8.2% (n = 5). There was no significant difference in anastomotic leak rate for women who underwent IDS with HIPEC (9.5%, n = 2) versus without HIPEC (7.5%, n = 3) (p = 0.99). While there was no difference in PFS (12.2 vs. 13.3 months, log-rank p = 0.31), OS (9.4 vs. 40.6 months, log-rank p = 0.013) was significantly decreased following postoperative anastomotic leak. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective series of women with advanced ovarian cancer, HIPEC was not associated with increased risk for anastomotic leak at the time of IDS with colorectal resection and reanastomosis. While further study is needed, HIPEC alone should not preclude colorectal resection or dictate practices for colonic diversion in IDS.

Modified frailty index predicts postoperative complications in women with gynecologic cancer undergoing cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE(S): To evaluate the impact of frailty on postoperative complications following cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intra-peritoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) in women with advanced or recurrent gynecologic cancer. METHODS: An IRB-approved single-institution prospective registry was queried for women who underwent CRS with HIPEC for advanced or recurrent gynecologic cancer from 1/1/2014-12/31/2020. Frailty was defined as a modified Frailty Index (mFI) score of ≥2. Logistic regression was used to assess the impact of mFI upon the rate of moderate or higher (≥ grade 2) Accordion postoperative complications. RESULTS: Of 141 women, 81.6% (n = 115) were non-frail with mFI of 0-1 and 18.4% (n = 26) were frail with mFI ≥2. The incidence of ≥ grade 2 complications was 21.2% (n = 14) for mFI = 0, 26.5% (n = 13) for mFI = 1, 64.7% (n = 11) for mFI = 2 and 100.0% (n = 9) for patients with mFI ≥3. The incidence of re-operation (1.7% vs. 11.5%, p = 0.044), ICU admission (13.2% vs. 34.6%, p = 0.018), acute kidney injury (6.3% vs. 30.8%, p = 0.001), and respiratory failure (0.9% vs. 19.2%, p < 0.001) were significantly lower amongst non-frail vs. frail women. On multivariable analysis, mFI ≥2 was associated with significantly increased ≥ grade 2 complications versus mFI of 0-1 (OR 9.4, 95% CI 3.3, 26.4, p < 0.001). Age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00, 1.09, p = 0.07), surgical indication (recurrent vs. primary) (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.30, 1.7, p = 0.44) and Surgical Complexity Score of Intermediate or High vs. Low (OR 1.5, 95% CI 0.67, 3.5, p = 0.31) were not associated with ≥grade 2 complications. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty, defined by the modified frailty index, is predictive of ≥grade 2 postoperative complications following CRS with HIPEC in women with gynecologic cancer. Frailty screening before CRS with HIPEC may assist patient selection and improve postoperative outcomes.

Perioperative outcomes of cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy in elderly women with epithelial ovarian cancer: analysis of a prospective registry.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate perioperative outcomes in elderly versus non-elderly women with advanced or recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer undergoing surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). METHODS: A single-institution prospective registry was analyzed for women with ovarian cancer who underwent surgery with HIPEC from January 2014 to December 2020. Elderly age was defined as ≥65 years at surgery. Complications were defined according to the Accordion scale. Univariate and multivariable analysis was used to compare progression-free survival and overall survival. RESULTS: Of 127 women who underwent surgery with HIPEC, 33.1% (n=42) were ≥65 and 17.3% (n=22) were ≥70 years old. The median age for non-elderly and elderly patients were 55.7±8.3 versus 72.0±5.4 years, respectively (p<0.001). The majority of non-elderly versus elderly patients underwent HIPEC at the time of interval cytoreductive surgery following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (52.9% vs 73.8%, p=0.024). There were no differences in moderate (15.3% vs 26.2%) or severe postoperative complications (10.6% vs 11.9%, p=0.08), acute kidney injury (7.1% vs 16.7%, p=0.12), and length of stay (5.0 vs 5.0 days, p=0.56) for non-elderly versus elderly patients. With a median follow-up of 20 months (95% CI 9.1 to 32.7 months), there was no difference in progression-free survival (18.8 vs 15.7 months, p=0.75) or overall survival (61.6 months vs not estimable, p=0.72) for non-elderly versus elderly patients. Comparing patients 65-69 versus ≥70 years, progression-free survival (33.0 vs 12.5 months, p=0.002) was significantly improved in patients aged 65-69, without difference in overall survival (not estimable vs 36.0 months, p=0.91). On multivariable analysis, age ≥65 did not impact progression-free survival (p=0.74). CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective registry of women with ovarian cancer, perioperative morbidity is not increased for non-elderly versus elderly patients following surgery with HIPEC. While age should not exclude patients from surgery with HIPEC, additional research is needed regarding oncologic benefits in elderly women.

Patterns of recurrence in women with advanced and recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer treated with cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE(S): To identify recurrence patterns and outcomes in women with advanced or recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) after cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). METHODS: This is an IRB-approved single-institution cohort study of women who underwent CRS+HIPEC for advanced or recurrent EOC followed in a prospective registry from 1/12/2014-3/1/2020. Recurrence locations were defined as pelvic, upper abdominal (UA) and/or extra-peritoneal (EP). Univariate analysis assessed associations between recurrence location, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: In total, 92 women with EOC underwent interval (56.5%; n=52) or recurrent CRS+HIPEC (43.5%; n=40). For interval CRS+HIPEC, recurrence locations were pelvic in 50.0% (n=15), UA in 23.3% (n=7) and EP in 56.7% (n=17); 40.0% (n=12) were EP alone. Similarly, for recurrent CRS+HIPEC, recurrence locations were pelvic (22.5%, n=9), UA (5.0%, n=2) and EP (60.0%, n=24); 66.7% (n=20) were EP alone. For both interval and recurrent CRS+HIPEC, median PFS was 10.5 vs. 13.0 months for pelvic and UA vs. EP only recurrences (p=0.02). Similarly, median OS was 29.2 months for pelvic and UA and not reached for EP only (p=0.05). For interval CRS+HIPEC, there was no difference in median PFS (10.6 vs. 11.7 months, p=0.68) and OS (27.1 vs. 24.8 months, p=0.96) for pelvic and UA vs EP alone. However, for recurrent CRS+HIPEC, pelvic and UA sites of recurrence were associated with reduced PFS (10.0 vs. 18.1 months, p=0.03) and OS (33.6 months vs. not reached, p=0.02) vs. EP only. CONCLUSIONS: In women with advanced or recurrent EOC undergoing CRS+HIPEC, one-half of patients experience their first recurrence outside of the peritoneal cavity. Providers must be aware of the risk of EP failure in patients treated with CRS+HIPEC.

Impact of intra-operative factors upon peri-operative outcomes in women undergoing hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy for gynecologic cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the incidence of intra-operative metabolic and electrolyte abnormalities and subsequent impact on peri-operative outcomes in women with gynecologic cancer undergoing cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS + HIPEC). METHODS: An IRB-approved single institution retrospective cohort study was performed in women with gynecologic cancer who underwent CRS + HIPEC. Patient demographics, intra-operative electrolyte and metabolic values and peri-operative outcomes were recorded. To assess the association of pH and lactate upon post-operative outcomes, patients were divided in four quartiles for both variables and univariate analysis was performed. RESULTS: 100 consecutive women who underwent CRS + HIPEC from 2017 to 2020 were identified. Intra-operative blood transfusion and pressor support were required in 40% and 86%, respectively. The rate of ICU admission was 17%. Longer operative time (7.0 vs. 5.3 h, p = 0.002), increased blood loss (400.0 vs. 200.0 mL, p = 0.02) and transfusion (70.6% vs. 34.1%, p = 0.005) were associated with ICU admission. Compared to patients in the highest quartile of pH, lower median pH, (7.211 vs. 7.349, p < 0.001) was associated with increased rates of ICU admission, prolonged intubation (36.0% vs. 0.0%, p < 0.05, respectively) and any post-operative complication (72.0% vs. 28.0%, p = 0.01). Similarly, need for prolonged intubation (40% vs. 0%, p = 0.04) and VTE (13.0% vs. 0%, p = 0.01) were increased in women with the highest quartile of lactate levels compared to the lowest (4.7 vs 1.9, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Intra-operative acidosis is associated with higher incidence of ICU admission and peri-operative complications following CRS + HIPEC in women with gynecologic cancer. These data support the importance of adequate intra-operative resuscitation and timely correction of hemodynamic and metabolic abnormalities.

Assessing feasibility and perioperative outcomes with minimally invasive surgery compared with laparotomy for interval debulking surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy for advanced epithelial ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To determine peri-operative outcomes in women with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) undergoing interval debulking surgery (IDS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) via minimally invasive interval debulking surgery (MIS) or laparotomy (LAP). METHODS: A single institution, retrospective cohort study was performed in women with EOC who underwent IDS with HIPEC from 2017 to 2019 via MIS or LAP. Peri-operative outcomes were compared using univariate analysis. RESULTS: In total, 50 eligible women were identified; ten (20.0%) underwent MIS + HIPEC and 40 (80.0%) LAP + HIPEC. The median age of patients in the MIS group was 71.1 vs. 64.2 years in LAP (p = 0.031). There was no significant difference in pre-operative complete radiographic response following NACT (p = 0.18). Notably, there was no difference in the rate of R0 resection (70.0% vs. 77.5%; p = 0.39). There was no significant difference in ICU admission, estimated blood loss, operative time, or use of vasopressors between the cohorts. Similarly, there was no difference in 30-day adverse events for MIS vs. LAP, but length of stay was decreased for those who underwent minimally invasive procedures (3 vs. 4 days, p = 0.016). Time to initiation of chemotherapy following surgery was not significantly different between groups (26.2 days vs 32.0 days, p = 0.090). With median follow-up of 15.1 months, there was no difference in recurrence free survival (median 15.0 vs 17.2 months log-rank, p = 0.30) for MIS vs. LAP. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective cohort study, we demonstrate that in women with advanced EOC, HIPEC with MIS at the time of IDS following NACT is feasible. Our institutional experience demonstrates similar rates of R0 cytoreduction, compared to LAP. An MIS approach should not prevent surgeons from utilizing HIPEC where indicated for management of advanced EOC.

Outcomes After Salvage Radiation Therapy for Recurrent Endometrial Cancer in Patients With No Prior Adjuvant Therapy: An Institutional Review.

PURPOSE: After definitive surgery, women with early-stage, low-risk endometrial cancer are observed. However, some will require salvage radiation therapy for recurrence. The purpose of this study was to evaluate our experience using salvage radiation for recurrent endometrial cancer in patients who did not receive upfront adjuvant therapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Twenty-eight women with endometrial cancer who had undergone initial definitive hysterectomy without adjuvant therapy developed isolated local or regional recurrence and were treated with salvage radiation in our department from 2004 to 2018. Salvage radiation included whole pelvic radiation, vaginal brachytherapy, or both. Patient and tumor characteristics, treatment details, and toxicities were recorded and analyzed. RESULTS: The median time to first recurrence was 1.7 years. First recurrences consisted of local recurrence in 23 patients, regional recurrence in 4, and both in 1. The median times from hysterectomy to first recurrence, local and regional, were 1.2 and 4.0 years, respectively. All patients underwent salvage radiation for management of their first recurrence. The median total equivalent dose in 2 Gy fractions for this treatment was 67.6 Gy (37.5-81.8 Gy). Two second recurrences occurred following salvage treatment, both local recurrence, at 6.5 and 13.5 months after radiation. The 2-year rates of local control, disease-free survival, and overall survival were 93%, 80%, and 88%, respectively. Treatment was well-tolerated, with low rates of gastrointestinal and genitourinary toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: In this group of patients, salvage radiation therapy for local or regional recurrence of endometrial cancer resulted in excellent control with low rates of acute and chronic toxicities.

Impact of antibiotic treatment during platinum chemotherapy on survival and recurrence in women with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE(S): To determine whether antibiotic treatment (ABX) during platinum chemotherapy (PC) for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) impacts progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective single institution cohort study in women with newly diagnosed stage III/IV EOC (n = 424) who underwent cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and PC from 2009 to 2015. ABX for >48 h, including ABX against gram-positive (anti-G + ABX) bacteria were recorded. The impact of ABX on PFS and OS was assessed using univariate and multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: Of 424 eligible women, 34.7% (n = 147) received ABX, with 11.3% (n = 48) treated with anti-G + ABX. ABX decreased PFS (17.4 vs. 23.1 months, HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.20-1.88, p < 0.001) and OS (45.6 vs. 62.4 months, HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.27-2.08, p < 0.001) compared to no ABX. Similarly, anti-G + ABX worsened PFS (16.5 vs. 23.1 months; HR 1.85, 95% CI 1.33-2.55) and OS (35.0 vs. 62.4 months; HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.50-3.0, p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, all ABX and anti-G + ABX significantly worsened PFS (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.04-1.65, p = 0.02), (HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.07-2.10, p = 0.02) and OS (HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.18-1.96, p = 0.001), (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.27-2.62, p = 0.001) respectively. Increased Clavien Dindo score was associated with worsened PFS (1-2 - HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.14-2.03, p = 0.004; 3-4 - HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.27-2.72, p = 0.001) but not OS (1/2 - HR 1.35, 95% CI 0.97-1.88, p = 0.08; 3/4 - HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.00-2.34, p = 0.05); residual disease (p < 0.05) and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (p < 0.001) were associated with worse PFS and OS. CONCLUSION(S): In this retrospective cohort study of women with advanced EOC undergoing PC, ABX treatment was associated with decreased PFS and OS. Mechanistic studies are needed to investigate the negative impact of ABX upon PC response in EOC.

Additional treatments, satisfaction, symptoms and quality of life in women 1 year after vaginal and abdominal pelvic organ prolapse repair.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate additional treatments, symptoms, satisfaction and quality of life 1 year after vaginal and abdominal pelvic organ prolapse (POP) repair. METHODS: Adult women enrolled in a prospective POP database were reviewed. Baseline and outcomes data 1 year after surgery were collected including the Pelvic Floor Distress Inventory (PFDI) and mailed surveys. Data were analyzed with descriptive statistics, Fisher's exact tests and t tests. RESULTS: Of 222 women, 147 (66%) had vaginal and 75 (34%) had abdominal repair. Vaginal group patients were older (64.1 vs. 59.7 years; p = 0.003), but other demographic characteristics did not differ. Vaginal group patients had lower baseline anterior and apical prolapse grades (anterior 2.7 vs. 3.1, p = 0.003; apical 2.1 vs. 3.1, p < 0.001). Baseline PFDI scores were similar. Scores improved significantly for both groups after 1 year, but 1-year PFDI scores were significantly higher in the vaginal group (45.6 vs. 32.6, p = 0.032). Scores were not different when adjusted for age and prolapse grade (p = 0.24). At 1 year, most patients in the vaginal and abdominal groups reported moderately/markedly improved overall symptoms (72/108 vs. 50/60, p = 0.030) and quality of life (89/101 vs. 54/59, p = 0.601). Most were satisfied with surgery (68/101 vs. 48/59, p = 0.067). Retreatment rates (pelvic floor physical therapy, medications, coping strategies, surgical procedures) were similar (34/109 vs. 15/62, p = 0.381). Vaginal mesh use did not affect additional treatments, patient satisfaction or symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Although symptoms improve and most women are satisfied with surgery, about one in four women have additional therapy in the first year after POP repair.

Diagnostic accuracy of FRAX in predicting the 10-year risk of osteoporotic fractures using the USA treatment thresholds: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis on the performance of the WHO's Fracture Risk Assessment (FRAX) instrument in predicting 10-year risk of Major Osteoporotic Fractures (MOF) and Hip Fractures (HF), using the USA treatment thresholds, in populations other than their derivation cohorts. DESIGN: EMBASE and MEDLINE database were searched with search engine PubMed and OVID as well as Google Scholar for the English-language literature from July 2008 to July 2016. Limiting our search to articles that analyzed only MOF and/or HF as an outcome, 7 longitudinal cohorts from 5 countries (USA, Poland, France, Canada, New Zealand) were identified and included in the meta-analysis. SAS NLMIXED procedure (SAS v 9.3) was applied to fit the Hierarchical Summary Receiver Operating Characteristics (HSROC) model for meta-analysis. Forest plot and HSROC plot was generated by Review Manager (RevMan v 5.3). RESULTS: Seven studies (n=57,027) were analyzed to assess diagnostic accuracy of FRAX in predicting MOF, using 20% as the 10-year fracture risk threshold for intervention, the mean sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) along with their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were 10.25% (3.76%-25.06%), 97.02% (91.17%-99.03%) and 3.71 (2.73-5.05), respectively. For HF prediction, using 3% as the 10-year fracture risk threshold, six studies (n=50,944) were analyzed. The mean sensitivity, specificity, and DOR along with their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were 45.70% (24.88%-68.13%), 84.70% (76.41%-90.44%) and 4.66 (2.39-9.08), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, using the 10year intervention thresholds of 20% for MOF and 3% for HF, FRAX performed better in identifying patients who will not have a MOF or HF within 10years, than those who will. A substantial number of patients who developed fractures, especially MOF within 10years of follow up, were missed by the baseline FRAX assessment.