Recommended medical and non-medical factors to assess military preventable deaths: subject matter experts provide valuable insights.

INTRODUCTION: Historically, there has been variability in the methods for determining preventable death within the US Department of Defense. Differences in methodologies partially explain variable preventable death rates ranging from 3% to 51%. The lack of standard review process likely misses opportunities for improvement in combat casualty care. This project identified recommended medical and non-medical factors necessary to (1) establish a comprehensive preventable death review process and (2) identify opportunities for improvement throughout the entire continuum of care. METHODS: This qualitative study used a modified rapid assessment process that includes the following steps: (1) identification and recruitment of US government subject matter experts (SMEs); (2) multiple cycles of data collection via key informant interviews and focus groups; (3) consolidation of information collected in these interviews; and (4) iterative analysis of data collected from interviews into common themes. Common themes identified from SME feedback were grouped into the following subject areas: (1) prehospital, (2) in-hospital and (3) forensic pathology. RESULTS: Medical recommendations for military preventable death reviews included the development, training, documentation, collection, analysis and reporting of the implementation of the Tactical Combat Casualty Care Guidelines, Joint Trauma System Clinical Practice Guidelines and National Association of Medical Examiners autopsy standards. Non-medical recommendations included training, improved documentation, data collection and analysis of non-medical factors needed to understand how these factors impact optimal medical care. CONCLUSIONS: In the operational environment, medical care must be considered in the context of non-medical factors. For a comprehensive preventable death review process to be sustainable in the military health system, the process must be based on an appropriate conceptual framework implemented consistently across all military services.

The puzzling incidence of testicular cancer in New Zealand: what can we learn?

BACKGROUND: Testicular germ cell tumour is the most common cancer to be diagnosed among young men. In New Zealand, we have observed some puzzling trends in the epidemiology of this disease. METHODS: We have conducted a narrative review of available evidence regarding the puzzling epidemiology of testicular germ cell tumour in New Zealand and discussed the possible drivers of these trends. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Whereas testicular cancer is most commonly a disease of White men, in New Zealand it is the indigenous Maori population that suffer by far the greatest rate of disease (age-adjusted relative risk: 1.80, 95% CI 1.58-2.05). Even more curiously, the rate of testicular germ cell tumour among Maori men aged 15-44 (28/100,000) is substantially greater than for Pacific Island men (9/100,000), a rare example of divergence between these two populations in terms of the incidence of any disease (cancer or otherwise). Our observations beg the following questions: first, why are rates of testicular germ cell tumour so much higher among Maori New Zealanders compared to the already high rates observed among European/Other New Zealanders? Second, why are rates of testicular germ cell tumour so completely divergent between Maori and Pacific New Zealanders, when these two groups typically move in parallel with respect to the incidence of given diseases? Finally, what might we learn about the factors that cause testicular germ cell tumour in general by answering these questions? CONCLUSION: This review examines the possible drivers of our observed disparity, discusses their feasibility, and highlights new work that is underway to further understand these drivers.

CaSiO3 perovskite in diamond indicates the recycling of oceanic crust into the lower mantle.

Laboratory experiments and seismology data have created a clear theoretical picture of the most abundant minerals that comprise the deeper parts of the Earth's mantle. Discoveries of some of these minerals in 'super-deep' diamonds-formed between two hundred and about one thousand kilometres into the lower mantle-have confirmed part of this picture. A notable exception is the high-pressure perovskite-structured polymorph of calcium silicate (CaSiO3). This mineral-expected to be the fourth most abundant in the Earth-has not previously been found in nature. Being the dominant host for calcium and, owing to its accommodating crystal structure, the major sink for heat-producing elements (potassium, uranium and thorium) in the transition zone and lower mantle, it is critical to establish its presence. Here we report the discovery of the perovskite-structured polymorph of CaSiO3 in a diamond from South African Cullinan kimberlite. The mineral is intergrown with about six per cent calcium titanate (CaTiO3). The titanium-rich composition of this inclusion indicates a bulk composition consistent with derivation from basaltic oceanic crust subducted to pressures equivalent to those present at the depths of the uppermost lower mantle. The relatively 'heavy' carbon isotopic composition of the surrounding diamond, together with the pristine high-pressure CaSiO3 structure, provides evidence for the recycling of oceanic crust and surficial carbon to lower-mantle depths.

Application of Bayes' to the prediction of referral decisions made by specialist optometrists in relation to chronic open angle glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To determine the accuracy of a Bayesian learning scheme (Bayes') applied to the prediction of clinical decisions made by specialist optometrists in relation to the referral refinement of chronic open angle glaucoma. METHODS: This cross-sectional observational study involved collection of data from the worst affected or right eyes of a consecutive sample of cases (n = 1,006) referred into the West Kent Clinical Commissioning Group Community Ophthalmology Team (COT) by high street optometrists. Multilevel classification of each case was based on race, sex, age, family history of chronic open angle glaucoma, reason for referral, Goldmann Applanation Tonometry (intraocular pressure and interocular asymmetry), optic nerve head assessment (vertical size, cup disc ratio and interocular asymmetry), central corneal thickness and visual field analysis (Hodapp-Parrish-Anderson classification). Randomised stratified tenfold cross-validation was applied to determine the accuracy of Bayes' by comparing its output to the clinical decisions of three COT specialist optometrists; namely, the decision to discharge, follow-up or refer each case. RESULTS: Outcomes of cross-validation, expressed as means and standard deviations, showed that the accuracy of Bayes' was high (95%, 2.0%) but that it falsely discharged (3.4%, 1.6%) or referred (3.1%, 1.5%) some cases. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that Bayes' has the potential to augment the decisions of specialist optometrists.

The benefits and harms of rheumatic heart disease screening from the perspective of the screened population.

BACKGROUND: A reduction in the burden of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) may be possible by identifying the condition while the patient is still asymptomatic. Currently, there is much debate about whether it is appropriate to screen for the presence of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in a symptomless population. The purpose of this study was to identify self-reported benefits and harms from the perspective of screening participants and their families. METHODS: In order to describe participant experiences and changes in behaviour post-screening, we interviewed a sample of parents/caregivers of children who were screened for the presence of RHD between 2007 and 2012 (n=276). A total of n=91 parents/caregivers of children diagnosed with either definite, probable or possible/borderline RHD ('abnormal' cases) were interviewed either by telephone or in-person, along with at least two matched controls (n=185 'normal' controls). RESULTS: We observed evidence of long-standing anxiety and changes in physical activity among those who received an 'abnormal' screening result. The screening event appeared to have minimal impact on those who received a 'normal' result. There was some evidence of improved sore throat advice-seeking following the screening event, particularly among case respondents; however this group showed poorer understanding of the screening test compared to control respondents. CONCLUSIONS: Among other points of discussion, this study brings to light issues regarding a) diminished physical activity habits among those receiving an abnormal result; b) levels of worry (and reassurance) among the screened population, depending on screening outcome; and c) general issues regarding the health literacy of the screened population.

Estimating the risk of acute rheumatic fever in New Zealand by age, ethnicity and deprivation.

In New Zealand, efforts to control acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and its sequelae have focused on school-age children in the poorest socioeconomic areas; however, it is unclear whether this approach is optimal given the strong association with demographic risk factors other than deprivation, especially ethnicity. The aim of this study was to estimate the stratum-specific risk of ARF by key sociodemographic characteristics. We used hospitalization and disease notification data to identify new cases of ARF between 2010 and 2013, and used population count data from the 2013 New Zealand Census as our denominator. Poisson logistic regression methods were used to estimate stratum-specific risk of ARF development. The likelihood of ARF development varied considerably by age, ethnicity and deprivation strata: while risk was greatest in Maori and Pacific children aged 10-14 years residing in the most extreme deprivation, both of these ethnic groups experienced elevated risk across a wide age range and across deprivation levels. Interventions that target populations based on deprivation will include the highest-risk strata, but they will also (a) include groups with very low risk of ARF, such as non-Maori/non-Pacific children; and (b) exclude groups with moderate risk of ARF, such as Maori and Pacific individuals living outside high deprivation areas.

Ethnic patterns of hypospadias in New Zealand do not resemble those observed for cryptorchidism and testicular cancer: evidence of differential aetiology?

It has been proposed that hypospadias, cryptorchidism, poor semen quality and testicular cancer might share common prenatal causes. We have previously demonstrated similar ethnic patterns for the incidence of testicular cancer and cryptorchidism - a known risk factor for testicular cancer. If the underlying exposure(s) that cause hypospadias, cryptorchidism and testicular cancer are shared, then we would expect the incidence relationship between ethnic groups to follow the same pattern across all three conditions. We followed a birth cohort of 318 345 eligible male neonates born in New Zealand between 2000-2010, and linked routinely collected maternity records with inpatient hospitalization and mortality records through to 2011. We searched hospitalization records for diagnoses of hypospadias, and used mortality records for censoring. We used Poisson regression methods to compare the relative risk of hypospadias between ethnic groups, adjusting for perinatal risk factors and total person time. We observed that European/Other children had the highest risk of hypospadias, with Maori, Pacific and Asian boys having around 40% lower risk of disease compared with this group (adjusted relative risk [RR]: Maori 0.62, 95% CI 0.55-0.70; Pacific 0.62, 95% CI 0.53-0.72; Asian 0.57, 95% CI 0.47-0.69). This contrasts substantially with our previous observations for cryptorchidism and testicular cancer, where Maori males have the greatest risk. Our observations suggest that - at least in New Zealand - the exposures that drive the development of hypospadias may differ to those that that drive the development of cryptorchidism and/or testicular cancer.

Cannabis exposure and risk of testicular cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The aetiology of testicular cancer remains elusive. In this manuscript, we review the evidence regarding the association between cannabis use and testicular cancer development. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we reviewed literature published between 1(st) January 1980 and 13(th) May 2015 and found three case-control studies that investigated the association between cannabis use and development of testicular germ cell tumours (TGCTs). RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS: Using meta-analysis techniques, we observed that a) current, b) chronic, and c) frequent cannabis use is associated with the development of TGCT, when compared to never-use of the drug. The strongest association was found for non-seminoma development--for example, those using cannabis on at least a weekly basis had two and a half times greater odds of developing a non-seminoma TGCT compared those who never used cannabis (OR: 2.59, 95% CI 1.60-4.19). We found inconclusive evidence regarding the relationship between cannabis use and the development of seminoma tumours. It must be noted that these observations were derived from three studies all conducted in the United States; and the majority of data collection occurred during the 1990's.

Bone mineral density among long-term survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia: results from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of low bone mineral density (BMD) in adult survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), and the degree of recovery or decline, are not well elucidated. PROCEDURE: Study subjects (age ≥ 18 years and ≥10 years post-diagnosis) participated in an institutional follow-up protocol and risk-based clinical evaluation based on Children's Oncology Group guidelines. Trabecular volumetric BMD was ascertained using quantitative computed tomography, reported as age- and sex-specific Z-scores. RESULTS: At median age 31 years, 5.7% of 845 subjects had a BMD Z-score of ≤-2 and 23.8% had a Z-score of -1 to -2. Cranial radiation dose of ≥24 Gy, but not cumulative methotrexate or prednisone equivalence doses, was associated with a twofold elevated risk of a BMD Z-score of ≤-1. The cranial radiation effect was stronger in females than in males. In a subset of 400 subjects, 67% of those who previously had a BMD Z-score of ≤-2 improved by one or more categories a median of 8.5 years later. CONCLUSIONS: Very low BMD was relatively uncommon in this sample of adult survivors of childhood ALL, and BMD Z-scores tended to improve from adolescence to young adulthood. High-dose cranial or craniospinal radiation exposure was the primary predictor of suboptimal BMD in our study. Given that cranial radiation treatment for childhood ALL is used far more sparingly now than in earlier treatment eras, concerns about persistently low BMD among most current childhood ALL patients may be unwarranted.

Test-retest reliability of dynamic plantar loading and foot geometry measures in diabetics with peripheral neuropathy.

Pedobarography is commonly employed in patients with diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN). However there is no evidence regarding test-retest reliability of this technique in this population, and therefore it was the purpose of the current study to address this clear gap. Dynamic plantar loading and foot geometry data were collected during barefoot gait with the EMED platform (Novel GmbH, Germany) from 10 patients with DPN over two sessions, separated by 28 days. Intra-class Correlation Coefficients (ICCs) and Coefficients of Variation (CoVs) were calculated to determine test-retest reliability. For dynamic plantar loading, reliability differed by outcome measure and foot region, with ICCs of >0.8 and CoVs of <15% observed in most cases. For dynamic foot geometry, ICCs of >0.88 and CoVs of <3% were observed for hallux angle, arch index and coefficient of spreading, while sub-arch angle was less reliable (ICC 0.76, CoV 23%). Overall, the current study observed high levels of test-retest reliability which were generally commensurate with that previously reported in healthy populations.

The Maori foot exhibits differences in plantar loading and midfoot morphology to the Caucasian foot.

The question being addressed in the current study was whether the diabetic Maori foot was more or less prone to ulceration than the diabetic New Zealand Caucasian (NZC) foot. Harris mat and pedobarographic analyses were employed to assess static and dynamic foot morphology and plantar loading in 40 Maori and NZC diabetic and non-diabetic participants. Significantly higher peak pressures were exhibited by the diabetic Maori participants compared to their NZC peers at the central forefoot. Significantly higher static and dynamic arch index values and significantly higher sub-arch angle values were exhibited by the non-diabetic Maori participants compared to their NZC peers. The latter findings suggest that healthy Maori may have a predisposition towards having a flatter foot than healthy NZC, which may have footwear design implications.

Getting heavier, younger: trajectories of obesity over the life course.

CONTEXT: Although recent trends in obesity have been well documented, generational patterns of obesity from early childhood through adulthood across birth cohorts, which account for the recent epidemic of childhood obesity, have not been well described. Such trends may have implications for the prevalence of obesity-associated conditions among population subgroups, including type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to evaluate trajectories of obesity over the life course for the US population, overall and by gender and race. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We conducted an age, period and birth cohort analysis of obesity for US individuals who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) (1971-2006). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Obesity was defined as a body mass index >or=95th percentile for individuals aged 2-16 years or >or=30 kg m(-2) among individuals older than 16 years. Age was represented by the age of the individual at each NHANES, period was defined by the year midpoint of each survey, and cohort was calculated by subtracting age from period. RESULTS: Recent birth cohorts are becoming obese in greater proportions for a given age, and are experiencing a greater duration of obesity over their lifetime. For example, although the 1966-1975 and 1976-1985 birth cohorts had reached an estimated obesity prevalence of at least 20% by 20-29 years of age, this level was only reached by 30-39 years for the 1946-1955 and 1956-1965 birth cohorts, by 40-49 years for the 1936-1945 birth cohort and by 50-59 years of age for the 1926-1935 birth cohort. Trends are particularly pronounced for female compared with male, and black compared with white cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The increasing cumulative exposure to excess weight over the lifetime of recent birth cohorts will likely have profound implications for future rates of type 2 diabetes, and mortality within the US population.

Prevalence of conception and pregnancy outcomes after hematopoietic cell transplantation: report from the Bone Marrow Transplant Survivor Study.

We conducted a retrospective study to describe the magnitude of compromise in reproductive function and investigate pregnancy outcomes in 619 women and partners of men treated with autologous (n=241) or allogeneic (n=378) hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) between 21 and 45 years of age, and surviving 2 or more years. Median age at HCT was 33.3 years and median time since HCT 7.7 years. Mailed questionnaires captured pregnancies and their outcomes (live birth, stillbirth, miscarriage). Thirty-four patients reported 54 pregnancies after HCT (26 males, 40 pregnancies; eight females, 14 pregnancies), of which 46 resulted in live births. Factors associated with reporting no conception included older age at HCT (> or =30 years: odds ratio (OR)=4.8), female sex (OR=3.0), and total body irradiation (OR=3.3). Prevalence of conception and pregnancy outcomes in HCT survivors were compared to those of 301 nearest-age siblings. Although the risk for not reporting a conception was significantly increased among HCT survivors (OR=36), survivors were not significantly more likely than siblings to report miscarriage or stillbirth (OR=0.7). Although prevalence of conception is diminished after HCT, if pregnancy does occur, outcome is likely to be favorable. Patients should be counseled prior to transplant regarding strategies to preserve fertility.

The correlation of emphysema or airway obstruction with the risk of lung cancer: a matched case-controlled study.

A matched case-controlled study was conducted to determine if airway obstruction or emphysema were associated with an increased risk of lung cancer. Lung cancer cases (n=24) were identified through a low-dose spiral computed tomography (CT) screening trial from 1,520 participants. Four controls without lung cancer were selected for each case from the participants and matched by sex, age and smoking history. Emphysema was assessed by quantitative CT analysis. Conditional logistic regression was employed to assess results of spirometry and CT quantitative analysis as potential risk factors for lung cancer. The likelihood of lung cancer was found to be significantly increased for those with forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) < or = 40% of predicted. The results suggested that a lower percentage of predicted FEV1 was indicative of lung cancer. No compelling evidence was found to suggest that the percentage of emphysema was associated with lung cancer. These results suggest an increased risk of lung cancer associated with airway obstruction. However, percentage of emphysema as determined by computed tomography was not associated with an increased risk of lung cancer.

Environmental exposure and cancer in children. A conceptual framework for the pediatrician.

Ultimately, after gathering and assessing all available evidence, pediatricians and health care policymakers must make informed decisions on whether exposure to a specific agent has the potential to cause cancer in children. In the case of DES, for which the results were clear, there was no question that the drug should be taken off the market; however, most cases of suspected carcinogens lack such clear evidence documenting cause and effect. An example of a murky topic is the suspected relationship between residential electromagnetic fields (EMFs) and childhood cancer. Epidemiologic and biologic researchers have tried for more than 2 decades to determine whether exposure to relatively high levels of EMFs poses health hazards, especially cancer in children. Although the preponderance of evidence favors a judgment that this ubiquitous environmental exposure is harmless, concerns remain in many public circles and some scientific ones. Any proposed intervention to remove a potentially carcinogenic agent must be weighed against the cost and inconvenience to the affected community. Pediatricians are placed in a vulnerable position when faced with questions of a carcinogenic potential because of the frequency of claims in the popular literature stating that exposure to a certain product or food is associated with an increased risk for cancer in adults and possibly children. When such studies are published or, more often, released to the press, the strength of the evidence for a causal association with cancer, coupled with the context of the study, should be considered as a reasonable starting point. Better communication models of disseminating cancer-risk information are needed so that the public understands the difference between a weak study that appeared on the local news with little evidence to support a cause-and-effect relationship versus a well-designed study that was published in a peer-reviewed journal and indicates a likely cause-and-effect association.

JavaScript and interactive web pages in radiology.

Web publishing is becoming a more common method of disseminating information. JavaScript is an object-orientated language embedded into modern browsers and has a wide variety of uses. The use of JavaScript in radiology is illustrated by calculating the indices of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values from a table of true positives, true negatives, false positives, and false negatives. In addition, a single line of JavaScript code can be used to annotate images, which has a wide variety of uses.

Brain and other central nervous system tumors: rates, trends, and epidemiology.

Reports that central nervous system (CNS) cancer rates are increasing have prompted debate on whether secular trends reflect environmental changes related to etiology or artifacts of case ascertainment. We present the most recent data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program on incidence rates and trends of CNS malignancies, including primary CNS lymphomas, and on survival probability. We discuss the new 2000 standard for adjusting rates; underreporting of CNS tumor rates resulting from the exclusion of nonmalignancies in most cancer registries; and information on CNS tumor risk factors, including concerns related to nonionizing electromagnetic fields and wireless mobile telephones.