Future projections of record-breaking sea surface temperature and cyanobacteria bloom events in the Baltic Sea.

Aiming to inform both marine management and the public, coupled environmental-climate scenario simulations for the future Baltic Sea are analyzed. The projections are performed under two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios (medium and high-end) and three nutrient load scenarios spanning the range of plausible socio-economic pathways. Assuming an optimistic scenario with perfect implementation of the Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP), the projections suggest that the achievement of Good Environmental Status will take at least a few more decades. However, for the perception of the attractiveness of beach recreational sites, extreme events such as tropical nights, record-breaking sea surface temperature (SST), and cyanobacteria blooms may be more important than mean ecosystem indicators. Our projections suggest that the incidence of record-breaking summer SSTs will increase significantly. Under the BSAP, record-breaking cyanobacteria blooms will no longer occur in the future, but may reappear at the end of the century in a business-as-usual nutrient load scenario.

A Bayesian Network risk model for assessing oil spill recovery effectiveness in the ice-covered Northern Baltic Sea.

The Northern Baltic Sea, as one of the few areas with busy ship traffic in ice-covered waters, is a typical sea area exposed to risk of ship accidents and oil spills in ice conditions. Therefore, oil spill capability for response and recovery in this area is required to reduce potential oil spill effects. Currently, there are no integrated, scenario-based models for oil spill response and recovery in ice conditions. This paper presents a Bayesian Network (BN) model for assessing oil spill recovery effectiveness, focusing on mechanical recovery. It aims to generate holistic understanding and insights about the oil spill-to-recovery phase, and to estimate oil recovery effectiveness in representative winter conditions. A number of test scenarios are shown and compared to get insight into the impact resulting from different oil types, spill sizes and winter conditions. The strength of evidence of the model is assessed in line with the adopted risk perspective.

Highlighting the Importance of Surface Grafting in Combination with a Layer-by-Layer Approach for Fabricating Advanced 3D Poly(l-lactide) Microsphere Scaffolds.

A combined surface treatment (i.e., surface grafting and a layer-by-layer (LbL) approach) is presented to create advanced biomaterials, i.e., 3D poly(l-lactide) (PLLA) microsphere scaffolds, at room temperature. The grafted surface plays a crucial role in assembling polyelectrolyte multilayers (PEMs) onto the surface of the microspheres, thus improving the physicochemical properties of the 3D microsphere scaffolds. The grafted surface of the PLLA microspheres demonstrates much better PEM adsorption, improved surface coverage at low pH, and smoother surfaces at high pH compared with those of nongrafted surfaces of PLLA microspheres during the assembly of PEMs. They induce more swelling than nongrafted surfaces after the assembly of the PEMs and exhibit blue emission after functionalization of the microsphere surface with a fluorescent dye molecule. The 3D scaffolds functionalized with and without nanosheets not only exhibit good mechanical performance similar to the compressive modulus of cancellous bone but also exhibit the porosity required for cancellous bone regeneration. The magnetic nanoparticle-functionalized 3D scaffolds result in an electrical conductivity in the high range of semiconducting materials (i.e., 1-250 S cm-1). Thus, these 3D microsphere scaffolds fabricated by surface grafting and the LbL approach are promising candidates for bone tissue engineering.

Homocomposites of Polylactide (PLA) with Induced Interfacial Stereocomplex Crystallites.

The demand for "green" degradable composite materials increases with growing environmental awareness. The key challenge is achieving the preferred physical properties and maintaining their eco-attributes in terms of the degradability of the matrix and the filler. Herein, we have designed a series of "green" homocomposites materials based purely on polylactide (PLA) polymers with different structures. Film-extruded homocomposites were prepared by melt-blending PLA matrixes (which had different degrees of crystallinity) with PLLA and PLA stereocomplex (SC) particles. The PLLA and SC particles were spherical and with 300-500 nm size. Interfacial crystalline structures in the form of stereocomplexes were obtained for certain particulate-homocomposite formulations. These SC crystallites were found at the particle/matrix interface when adding PLLA particles to a PLA matrix with d-lactide units, as confirmed by XRD and DSC data analyses. For all homocomposites, the PLLA and SC particles acted as nucleating agents and enhanced the crystallization of the PLA matrixes. The SC particles were more rigid and had a higher Young's modulus compared with the PLLA particles. The mechanical properties of the homocomposites varied with particle size, rigidity, and the interfacial adhesion between the particles and the matrix. An improved tensile strength in the homocomposites was achieved from the interfacial stereocomplex formation. Hereafter, homocomposites with tunable crystalline arrangements and subsequently physical properties, are promising alternatives in strive for eco-composites and by this, creating materials that are completely degradable and sustainable.

Tuning the degradation profiles of poly(L-lactide)-based materials through miscibility.

The effective use of biodegradable polymers relies on the ability to control the onset of and time needed for degradation. Preferably, the material properties should be retained throughout the intended time frame, and the material should degrade in a rapid and controlled manner afterward. The degradation profiles of polyester materials were controlled through their miscibility. Systems composed of PLLA blended with poly[(R,S)-3-hydroxybutyrate] (a-PHB) and polypropylene adipate (PPA) with various molar masses were prepared through extrusion. Three different systems were used: miscible (PLLA/a-PHB5 and PLLA/a-PHB20), partially miscible (PLLA/PPA5/comp and PLLA/PPA20/comp), and immiscible (PLLA/PPA5 and PLLA/PPA20) blends. These blends and their respective homopolymers were hydrolytically degraded in water at 37 °C for up to 1 year. The blends exhibited entirely different degradation profiles but showed no diversity between the total degradation times of the materials. PLLA presented a two-stage degradation profile with a rapid decrease in molar mass during the early stages of degradation, similar to the profile of PLLA/a-PHB5. PLLA/a-PHB20 presented a single, constant linear degradation profile. PLLA/PPA5 and PLLA/PPA20 showed completely opposing degradation profiles relative to PLLA, exhibiting a slow initial phase and a rapid decrease after a prolonged degradation time. PLLA/PPA5/comp and PLLA/PPA20/comp had degradation profiles between those of the miscible and the immiscible blends. The molar masses of the materials were approximately the same after 1 year of degradation despite their different profiles. The blend composition and topographical images captured at the last degradation time point demonstrate that the blending component was not leached out during the period of study. The hydrolytic stability of degradable polyester materials can be tailored to obtain different and predetermined degradation profiles for future applications.

Force interactions of nonagglomerating polylactide particles obtained through covalent surface grafting with hydrophilic polymers.

Nonagglomerating polylactide (PLA) particles with various interaction forces were designed by covalent photografting. PLA particles were surface grafted with hydrophilic poly(acrylic acid) (PAA) or poly(acrylamide) (PAAm), and force interactions were determined using colloidal probe atomic force microscopy. Long-range repulsive interactions were detected in the hydrophilic/hydrophilic systems and in the hydrophobic/hydrophilic PLA/PLA-g-PAAm system. In contrast, attractive interactions were observed in the hydrophobic PLA/PLA and in the hydrophobic/hydrophilic PLA/PLA-g-PAA systems. AFM was also used in the tapping mode to determine the surface roughness of both neat and surface-grafted PLA film substrates. The imaging was performed in the dry state as well as in salt solutions of different concentrations. Differences in surface roughness were identified as conformational changes induced by the altered Debye screening length. To understand the origin of the repulsive force, the AFM force profiles were compared to the Derjaguin, Landau, Verwey, and Overbeek (DLVO) theory and the Alexander de Gennes (AdG) model. The steric repulsion provided by the different grafted hydrophilic polymers is a useful tool to inhibit agglomeration of polymeric particles. This is a key aspect in many applications of polymer particles, for example in drug delivery.

Impact of climate change on ecological quality indicators and biogeochemical fluxes in the Baltic sea: a multi-model ensemble study.

Multi-model ensemble simulations using three coupled physical-biogeochemical models were performed to calculate the combined impact of projected future climate change and plausible nutrient load changes on biogeochemical cycles in the Baltic Sea. Climate projections for 1961-2099 were combined with four nutrient load scenarios ranging from a pessimistic business-as-usual to a more optimistic case following the Helsinki Commission's (HELCOM) Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP). The model results suggest that in a future climate, water quality, characterized by ecological quality indicators like winter nutrient, summer bottom oxygen, and annual mean phytoplankton concentrations as well as annual mean Secchi depth (water transparency), will be deteriorated compared to present conditions. In case of nutrient load reductions required by the BSAP, water quality is only slightly improved. Based on the analysis of biogeochemical fluxes, we find that in warmer and more anoxic waters, internal feedbacks could be reinforced. Increased phosphorus fluxes out of the sediments, reduced denitrification efficiency and increased nitrogen fixation may partly counteract nutrient load abatement strategies.

Modeling nutrient transports and exchanges of nutrients between shallow regions and the open Baltic sea in present and future climate.

We quantified horizontal transport patterns and the net exchange of nutrients between shallow regions and the open sea in the Baltic proper. A coupled biogeochemical-physical circulation model was used for transient simulations 1961-2100. The model was driven by regional downscaling of the IPCC climate change scenario A1B from two global General Circulation Models in combination with two nutrient load scenarios. Modeled nutrient transports followed mainly the large-scale internal water circulation and showed only small circulation changes in the future projections. The internal nutrient cycling and exchanges between shallow and deeper waters became intensified, and the internal removal of phosphorus became weaker in the warmer future climate. These effects counteracted the impact from nutrient load reductions according to the Baltic Sea Action Plan. The net effect of climate change and nutrient reductions was an increased net import of dissolved inorganic phosphorus to shallow areas in the Baltic proper.

Nondestructive covalent "grafting-from" of poly(lactide) particles of different geometries.

A nondestructive "grafting-from" method has been developed using poly(lactide) (PLA) particles of different shapes as substrates and three hydrophilic monomers as grafts. Irregularly shaped particles and spheres of PLA were covalently surface functionalized using a versatile method of photoinduced free radical polymerization. The preservation of the molecular weight of the PLA particle bulk and the retention of the original particle shape confirmed the negligible effect of the grafting method. The changes in surface composition were determined by FTIR for both spherical and irregular particles and by XPS for the irregular particles showing the versatility of the method. Changes in the surface morphology of the PLA spherical particles were observed using microscopy techniques showing a full surface coverage of one of the grafted monomers. The method is applicable to a wide set of grafting monomers and provides a permanent alteration of the surface chemistry of the PLA particles creating hydrophilic PLA surfaces in addition to creating sites for further modification and drug delivery in the biomedical fields.

Crucial differences in the hydrolytic degradation between industrial polylactide and laboratory-scale poly(L-lactide).

The rate of degradation of large-scale synthesized polylactide (PLA) of industrial origin was compared with that of laboratory-scale synthesized poly(L-lactide) (PLLA) of similar molar mass. The structural discrepancy between the two material types resulted in a significant difference in degradation rate. Although the hydrolysis of industrial PLA was substantially faster than that of PLLA, the PLA material became less brittle and fragmented to a lesser extent during degradation. In addition, a comprehensive picture of the degradation of industrial PLA was obtained by subjecting different PLA materials to hydrolytic degradation at various temperatures and pH's for up to 182 days. The surrounding environment had no effect on the degradation rate at physiological temperature, but the degradation was faster in water than in a phosphate buffer after prolonged degradation at temperatures above the T(g). The degree of crystallinity had a greater influence than the degradation environment on the rate of hydrolysis. For a future use of polylactide in applications where bulk plastics are generally used today, for example plastic packages, the appropriate PLA grade must be chosen based on the conditions prevailing in the degradation environment.

The role of odour quality in the perception of binary and higher-order mixtures.

Twenty participants scaled similarities in odour quality, odour intensity and pleasantness/ unpleasantness of 10 binary and 5 higher-order mixtures of 5 odorous degradation products from the polymer Polyamide 6.6. The perceived odour qualities of all binary mixtures were represented well as intermediary vectors relative to their component-odour vectors in a three-component principal components analysis. The odour qualities of the "floral/fruity" 2-pentylcyclopentan-1-one and the "sharp/cheese-like" pentanoic acid contributed profoundly to their binary mixtures, as did the "minty" cyclopentanone, but in fewer cases. Conversely, the "ether-like" 2-methyl pyridine and "nutty" butanamide did not contribute much. Odour similarity was shown to be caused by odour quality, rather than odour intensity. Three out of five degradation products formed distinct clusters of odours and were therefore interpreted to be profound contributors to the odour quality of the binary mixtures. The higher-order mixtures created new odour qualities which were completely different and untraceable to their various parts as perceived alone. These results demonstrate that it is critical to research the perception of natural mixtures in order to be able to understand the human olfactory code.

Assessing the degradation profile of functional aliphatic polyesters with precise control of the degradation products.

The pre-polymer poly(but-2-ene-1,4-diyl malonate) (PBM) and a series of PBM-based materials are shown to be degradable under physiological conditions in vitro and they are therefore presented as potential materials for biomedical applications. Four different PBM-based materials are synthesized: a PBM homopolymer, crosslinked PBM with and without spacer, and a triblock copolymer of PBM and PLLA with the PBM as an amorphous middle block. The polymers are subjected to hydrolytic degradation in phosphate-buffered saline at pH = 7.4 and 37 °C. The results show that all the PBM-based materials degrade without a rapid release of acidic degradation products or any substantial lowering of the pH that might jeopardize their biocompatibility.

Macromolecular design of aliphatic polyesters with maintained mechanical properties and a rapid, customized degradation profile.

An innovative type of triblock copolymer that maintains and even increases the mechanical properties of poly(l-lactide) (PLLA) and poly(ε-caprolactone) (PCL) with a controlled, predictable, and rapid degradation profile has been synthesized. Elastic triblock copolymers were formed from the hydrophobic and crystalline PLLA and PCL with an amorphous and hydrophilic middle block of poly(but-2-ene-1,4-diyl malonate) (PBM). The polymers were subjected to degradation in PBS at 37 °C for up to 91 days. Prior to degradation, ductility of the PLLA-PBM-PLLA was approximately 4 times greater than that of the homopolymer of PLLA, whereas the modulus and tensile stress at break were unchanged. A rapid initial hydrolysis in the amorphous PBM middle block changed the microstructure from triblock to diblock with a significant reduction in ductility and molecular weight. The macromolecular structure of the triblock copolymer of PLLA and PBM generates a more flexible and easier material to handle during implant, with the advantage of a customized degradation profile, demonstrating its potential use in future biomedical applications.

Porosity and pore size regulate the degradation product profile of polylactide.

Porosity and pore size regulated the degradation rate and the release of low molar mass degradation products from porous polylactide (PLA) scaffolds. PLA scaffolds with porosities above 90% and different pore size ranges were subjected to hydrolytic degradation and compared to their solid analog. The solid film degraded fastest and the degradation rate of the porous structures decreased with decreasing pore size. Degradation products were detected earlier from the solid films compared to the porous structures as a result of the additional migration path within the porous structures. An intermediate degradation rate profile was observed when the pore size range was broadened. The morphology of the scaffolds changed during hydrolysis where the larger pore size scaffolds showed sharp pore edges and cavities on the scaffold surface. In the scaffolds with smaller pores, the pore size decreased during degradation and a solid surface was formed on the top of the scaffold. Porosity and pore size, thus, influenced the degradation and the release of degradation products that should be taken into consideration when designing porous scaffolds for tissue engineering.

Migration and hydrolysis of hydrophobic polylactide plasticizer.

Hydrophobic plasticizer protects polylactide (PLA) against hydrolytic degradation but still migrates to aging medium and there undergoes further hydrolysis contributing to the spectrum of degradation products. PLA plasticized with hydrophobic acetyl tributyl citrate (ATC) plasticizer showed a slower degradation rate compared with pure PLA because of the increased hydrophobicity of the material. The enhanced bulk hydrophobicity also overcame the degradation enhancing effect of hydrophilic surface grafting. In addition to plasticization with ATC, some of the samples were also surface grafted with acrylic acid. The materials were subjected to hydrolysis at 37 and 60 degrees C for up to 364 days to compare the effect of hydrophobic and hydrophilic bulk and surface modifications. Although considered insoluble in water, the plasticizer was detected in the water solutions immediately upon immersion of the materials, and the relative abundance of the ATC degradation products increased with hydrolysis time.

Surface modification changes the degradation process and degradation product pattern of polylactide.

The effect of surface modification on the degradation process and degradation product patterns of degradable polymers is still a basically unexplored area even though a significant effect can be expected. Polylactide (PLA) and PLA grafted with acrylic acid (PLA-AA) were, thus, subjected to hydrolytic degradation, and water-soluble degradation products were determined by electrospray ionization-mass spectrometry (ESI-MS) after different time periods. Low molar mass compounds migrated from surface-grafted PLA already during the first 7 days at 37 degrees C, while it took 133 days in the case of nongrafted PLA before any low molar mass compounds were detected in the aging water. In addition, the degradation product pattern of surface-grafted PLA showed significant variation as a function of hydrolysis time with the evolution of short and long AA-grafted lactic acid oligomers as well as plain lactic acid oligomers after different time periods. The degradation product pattern of plain PLA consisted of lactic acid and its oligomers with up to 13 lactic acid units. Surface grafting, thus, changed the degradation product patterns and accelerated the formation of water-soluble degradation products.

MALDI-TOF MS reveals the molecular level structures of different hydrophilic-hydrophobic polyether-esters.

Multi- and triblock copolymers based on 1,5-dioxepan-2-one/epsilon-caprolactone (DXO/CL) were investigated by MALDI-TOF MS to determine the influence of copolymer composition and architecture on the molecular structures at the individual chain level. The copolymer compositions, average block lengths, and molecular weights were determined by (1)H and (13)C NMR and by SEC, respectively. The structures of polyether-ester oligomers (linear, cyclic) as well as the chemical structures of their end groups were established on the basis of their MALDI-TOF mass spectra. The mass spectrum of PDXO homopolymer was relatively simple, however, complex mass spectra were obtained in the case of multi- and triblock copolymers and the mass spectra clearly discerned the molecular level effect of copolymer composition and copolymer type.

Controllable degradation product migration from cross-linked biomedical polyester-ethers through predetermined alterations in copolymer composition.

Uniformly degrading biomaterials with adjustable degradation product migration rates were customized by combining the advantages of cross-linked poly(epsilon-caprolactone) with the hydrophilic character of poly(1,5-dioxepan-2-one). Hydrolytic degradation of these random cross-linked networks using 2,2'-bis-(epsilon-caprolactone-4-yl) propane (BCP) as the cross-linking agent was studied for up to 546 days in phosphate buffer solution at pH 7.4 and 37 degrees C. The hydrophilicity of the materials was altered by varying the copolymer compositions. After different hydrolysis times the materials were characterized, and the degradation products were extracted from the buffer solution and analyzed. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy, differential scanning calorimetry, atomic force microscopy, scanning electron microscopy, and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry were used to observe the changes taking place during the hydrolysis. From the results it was concluded that degradation profiles and migration of degradation products are controllable by tailoring the hydrophilicity of cross-linked polyester-ether networks.

Tuning the release rate of acidic degradation products through macromolecular design of caprolactone-based copolymers.

Macromolecular engineering is presented as a tool to control the degradation rate and release rate of acidic degradation products from biomedical polyester ethers. Three different caprolactone/1,5-dioxepan-2-one (CL/DXO) copolymers were synthesized: DXO/CL/DXO triblock, CL/DXO multiblock, and random cross-linked CL/DXO copolymer. The relation of CL and DXO units in all three copolymers was 60/40 mol %. The polymer discs were immersed in phosphate buffer solution at pH 7.4 and 37 degrees C for up to 364 days. After different time periods degradation products were extracted from the buffer solution and analyzed. In addition mass loss, water absorption, molecular weight changes, and changes in thermal properties were determined. The results show that the release rate of acidic degradation products, a possible cause of acidic microclimates and inflammatory responses, is controllable through macromolecular design, i.e., different distribution of the weak linkages in the copolymers.

Mutation in the loop C-terminal to the cyclophilin A binding site of HIV-1 capsid protein disrupts proper virus assembly and infectivity.

We have studied the effects associated with two single amino acid substitution mutations in HIV-1 capsid (CA), the E98A and E187G. Both amino acids are well conserved among all major HIV-1 subtypes. HIV-1 infectivity is critically dependent on proper CA cone formation and mutations in CA are lethal when they inhibit CA assembly by destabilizing the intra and/or inter molecular CA contacts, which ultimately abrogate viral replication. Glu98, which is located on a surface of a flexible cyclophilin A binding loop is not involved in any intra-molecular contacts with other CA residues. In contrast, Glu187 has extensive intra-molecular contacts with eight other CA residues. Additionally, Glu187 has been shown to form a salt-bridge with Arg18 of another N-terminal CA monomer in a N-C dimer. However, despite proper virus release, glycoprotein incorporation and Gag processing, electron microscopy analysis revealed that, in contrast to the E187G mutant, only the E98A particles had aberrant core morphology that resulted in loss of infectivity.