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1.
Am J Public Health ; 114(2): 218-225, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38335480

RESUMO

Objectives. To examine whether the addition of telehealth data to existing surveillance infrastructure can improve forecasts of cases and mortality. Methods. In this observational study, we compared accuracy of 14-day forecasts using real-time data available to the National Syndromic Surveillance Program (standard forecasts) to forecasts that also included telehealth information (telehealth forecasts). The study was performed in a national telehealth service provider in 2020 serving 50 US states and the District of Columbia. Results. Among 10.5 million telemedicine encounters, 169 672 probable COVID-19 cases were diagnosed by 5050 clinicians, with a rate between 0.79 and 47.8 probable cases per 100 000 encounters per day (mean = 8.37; SD = 10.75). Publicly reported case counts ranged from 0.5 to 237 916 (mean: 53 913; SD = 47 466) and 0 to 2328 deaths (mean = 1035; SD = 550) per day. Telehealth-based forecasts improved 14-day case forecasting accuracy by 1.8 percentage points to 30.9% (P = .06) and mortality forecasting by 6.4 percentage points to 26.9% (P < .048). Conclusions. Modest improvements in forecasting can be gained from adding telehealth data to syndromic surveillance infrastructure. (Am J Public Health. 2024;114(2):218-225. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307499).


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Telemedicina , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Telemedicina/métodos , District of Columbia , Previsões
2.
PLoS One ; 13(6): e0198655, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29902199

RESUMO

Previous work demonstrates that individuals who obtain exemptions from school immunization requirements are geographically clustered, making regional differences in vaccination coverage a significant concern. Even where exemption levels are high, there are still parents that vaccinate. School-level assessments have determined that exemptors are more likely to attend wealthier schools with fewer minorities. Few studies have assessed divergent opinions within the context of a higher-exemption community to examine subtle differences in opinion surrounding vaccinations. Therefore, the objective of this work was to assess attitudes and perceptions towards vaccinations and compare them for exemptors and non-exemptors. We administered surveys to parents in high-exemption (>10%) elementary schools in Arizona during the 2012-13 school year. A total of 404 surveys were completed by parents among schools in Maricopa (n = 7) and Yavapai (n = 2) counties. Of these, 35% (n = 141) were exemptors and 65% (n = 261) were non-exemptors. Exemptors were more likely than non-exemptors to be concerned about serious side-effects (p<0.001). They were more likely to report knowing someone who had been diagnosed with a vaccine-preventable disease (p<0.001) but less likely to report that this had been a serious illness in that person (p<0.001) and they believed it is better for a child to develop immunity through illness than vaccination (p<0.001). They were less likely to trust physicians (p<0.001) and information about vaccines (p<0.001) and were more likely to obtain their health care from a naturopath (p<0.001). In summary, exemptors in these Arizona schools do not appear to be exempting their children from vaccinations due to convenience, as has been hypothesized in other settings. Based on the divergent views within high-exemption schools and reported distrust of the medical establishment, target interventions for high-exemption schools are discussed. Additionally, given the lack of effective non-policy based interventions to-date, the negligible declines in personal belief exemption rates, and vaccine preventable disease rate increases in Arizona, especially in high-exemption areas, legislative action in Arizona may also warrant further investigation.


Assuntos
Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Pais/psicologia , Vacinação/psicologia , Adulto , Arizona , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Instituições Acadêmicas
3.
J Med Entomol ; 55(4): 955-963, 2018 06 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29471405

RESUMO

Aedes aegypti (L.; Diptera: Culicidae) has been established in the southwestern United States for several decades, but relationships between humans and mosquitoes in this arid region are not well-characterized. In August 2012, the outdoor premises of 355 houses within 20 neighborhoods in Tucson, Arizona were surveyed for containers that could provide larval habitat for Ae. aegypti mosquitoes. At the same time, a knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) questionnaire was administered to a resident of each house surveyed for immature mosquitoes. The KAP questionnaire assessed respondents' knowledge and concerns about vector-borne illnesses as well as practices they used to avoid mosquitoes. Of the houses surveyed, 91% had at least one container present, and 64% had at least one container with standing water. On average, each house had 2.2 containers with water at the time of the survey. The overall House Index (proportion of premises surveyed with at least one container with Ae. aegypti immatures present) was 13%. Based on questionnaire responses, there was a significant positive association between the number of residents in the home and the odds of finding Ae. aegypti positive containers on the premises, while household income showed a significant negative association. The reported frequency of checking for standing water was also significantly associated with the odds of finding immatures, although the nature of this association was ambiguous. Flower pots were the principal type of container with Ae. aegypti larvae. These findings show that larval habitat is widely available even in an arid environment and city with good housing and sanitation infrastructure.


Assuntos
Aedes/fisiologia , Distribuição Animal , Ecossistema , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Animais , Arizona , Cidades , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Humanos , Larva/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Larva/fisiologia , Pupa/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Pupa/fisiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , População Urbana
4.
J Med Entomol ; 54(1): 204-211, 2017 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28082648

RESUMO

Dengue virus, primarily transmitted by the Aedes aegypti (L.) mosquito, has rapidly expanded in geographic extent over the past several decades. In some areas, however, dengue fever has not emerged despite established Ae. aegypti populations. The reasons for this are unclear and have sometimes been attributed to socio-economic differences. In 2013 we compared Ae. aegypti adult density and population age structure between two cities in Sonora, Mexico: Hermosillo, which has regular seasonal dengue virus transmission, and Nogales, which has minimal transmission. Larval and pupal abundance was greater in Nogales, and adult density was only higher in Hermosillo during September. Population age structure, however, was consistently older in Hermosillo. This difference in longevity may have been one factor that limited dengue virus transmission in Nogales in 2013, as a smaller proportion of Ae. aegypti females survived past the extrinsic incubation period.


Assuntos
Aedes/fisiologia , Vírus da Dengue/isolamento & purificação , Dengue/transmissão , Insetos Vetores/fisiologia , Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Aedes/virologia , Animais , Cidades , Dengue/virologia , Feminino , Humanos , Insetos Vetores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Insetos Vetores/virologia , Larva/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Larva/fisiologia , Larva/virologia , Longevidade , México , Densidade Demográfica , Dinâmica Populacional , Pupa/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Pupa/fisiologia , Pupa/virologia , Estações do Ano
5.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 95(4): 945-953, 2016 Oct 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27527634

RESUMO

As the range of dengue virus (DENV) transmission expands, an understanding of community uptake of prevention and control strategies is needed both in geographic areas where the virus has recently been circulating and in areas with the potential for DENV introduction. Personal protective behaviors such as the use of mosquito repellent to limit human-vector contact and the reduction of vector density through elimination of oviposition sites are the primary control methods for Aedes aegypti, the main vector of DENV. Here, we examined personal mosquito control measures taken by individuals in Key West, FL, in 2012, which had experienced a recent outbreak of DENV, and Tucson, AZ, which has a high potential for introduction but has not yet experienced autochthonous transmission. In both cities, there was a positive association between the numbers of mosquitoes noticed outdoors and the overall number of avoidance behaviors, use of repellent, and removal of standing water. Increased awareness and perceived risk of DENV were associated with increases in one of the most effective household prevention behaviors, removal of standing water, but only in Key West.


Assuntos
Dengue/prevenção & controle , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Inseticidas/uso terapêutico , Controle de Mosquitos/métodos , Roupa de Proteção/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Aedes , Idoso , Animais , Arizona/epidemiologia , Cidades , Cymbopogon , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/transmissão , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Florida/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Oviposição , Inquéritos e Questionários , População Urbana , Água , Adulto Jovem
6.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 94(4): 775-9, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26903603

RESUMO

Mosquito-borne illnesses like West Nile virus (WNV) and dengue are growing threats to the United States. Proactive mosquito control is one strategy to reduce the risk of disease transmission. In 2012, we measured the public's willingness to pay (WTP) for increased mosquito control in two cities: Key West, FL, where there have been recent dengue outbreaks, and Tucson, AZ, where dengue vectors are established and WNV has been circulating for over a decade. Nearly three quarters of respondents in both cities (74% in Tucson and 73% in Key West) would be willing to pay $25 or more annually toward an increase in publicly funded mosquito control efforts. WTP was positively associated with income (both cities), education (Key West), and perceived mosquito abundance (Tucson). Concerns about environmental impacts of mosquito control were associated with lower WTP in Key West. Expanded mosquito control efforts should incorporate public opinion as they respond to evolving disease risks.


Assuntos
Financiamento Governamental , Controle de Mosquitos/economia , Adolescente , Adulto , Aedes/virologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Arizona , Custos e Análise de Custo , Culex/virologia , Dengue/economia , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Financiamento Governamental/economia , Financiamento Governamental/estatística & dados numéricos , Florida , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Controle de Mosquitos/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/economia , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/prevenção & controle , Adulto Jovem
7.
Malar J ; 14: 438, 2015 Nov 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26542777

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria adversely affects pregnant women and their fetuses or neonates. Estimates of the malaria burden in pregnant women based on health facilities often do not present a true picture of the problem due to the low proportion of women delivering at these facilities in malaria-endemic regions. METHODS: Data for this study were obtained from the Healthy Beginning Initiative using community-based sampling. Self-identified pregnant women between the ages of 17-45 years were recruited from churches in Enugu State, Nigeria. Malaria parasitaemia was classified as high and low based on the malaria plus system. RESULTS: Of the 2069 pregnant women for whom malaria parasitaemia levels were recorded, over 99 % tested positive for malaria parasitaemia, 62 % showed low parasitaemia and 38 % high parasitaemia. After controlling for confounding variables, odds for high parasitaemia were lower among those who had more people in the household (for every one person increase in a household, OR = 0.94, 95 % CI 0.89-0.99). CONCLUSION: Results of this study are consistent with hospital-based estimates of malaria during pregnancy in southeastern Nigeria. Based on the high prevalence of malaria parasitaemia in this sample, education on best practices to prevent malaria during pregnancy, and resources in support of these practices are urgently needed.


Assuntos
Malária/epidemiologia , Parasitemia/epidemiologia , Complicações Parasitárias na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Malária/parasitologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nigéria/epidemiologia , Parasitemia/parasitologia , Gravidez , Complicações Parasitárias na Gravidez/parasitologia , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem
8.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 93(2): 397-400, 2015 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26078319

RESUMO

Dengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral infection. Recent outbreaks in the southern United States illustrate the risk of reemergence. The first autochthonous cases since 1934 in Key West, FL, occurred in 2009-2010. We conducted a survey in 2012 with decision makers instrumental to the control of the outbreak to 1) determine their awareness of the multiple strategies used to control the outbreak and 2) assess their perceptions of the relative effectiveness of these strategies. An online survey was delivered to a predefined list of decision makers from multiple sectors to better understand dengue preparedness and response. Thirty-six out of 45 surveys were returned for an 80% response rate. Results indicate the need to focus prevention strategies on educational campaigns designed to increase population awareness of transmission risk. Respondents remain concerned about future dengue transmission risk in Key West and lack of resources to respond.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue/isolamento & purificação , Dengue/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Aedes/virologia , Animais , Coleta de Dados , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Florida/epidemiologia , Humanos
9.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 21(2): 320-4, 2015 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25625795

RESUMO

After a dengue outbreak in Key West, Florida, during 2009-2010, authorities, considered conducting the first US release of male Aedes aegypti mosquitoes genetically modified to prevent reproduction. Despite outreach and media attention, only half of the community was aware of the proposal; half of those were supportive. Novel public health strategies require community engagement.


Assuntos
Culicidae/genética , Culicidae/virologia , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Insetos Vetores , Controle de Mosquitos/métodos , Controle de Mosquitos/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Animais Geneticamente Modificados , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Florida/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem
10.
Vaccine ; 32(29): 3630-5, 2014 Jun 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24814551

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As exemptions to school-entry requirements rise, vaccination rates in Arizona school children are approaching levels that may threaten public health. Understanding the interactions physicians have with vaccine-hesitant parents, as well as the opinions physicians hold regarding vaccination, exemption, and exemption policies, are critical to our understanding of, and ability to affect, vaccination exemption rates among children. METHODS: Survey responses were elicited from practitioners listed in The Arizona Partnership for Immunization and the Arizona Medical Association databases using a multi-pronged recruitment approach. Respondents provided data regarding their practice, comfort with parental refusal of individual vaccines, opinions about the beliefs held by parents that seek exemptions, parent education strategies, issues regarding providing care to unvaccinated children, and potential changes to Arizona policy. RESULTS: A total of 152 practitioners providing care to a wide geographic and economic population of Arizona responded to the survey. Respondents were generally strong advocates of all immunizations but were more accepting of parents' desires to refuse hepatitis B and rotavirus vaccines. Almost all providers indicated that they see patients whose parents request to refuse or delay from vaccinations at least occasionally (88% and 97%, respectively). Only 37% of respondents indicated that they would be supportive of a policy requiring them to sign off on a parent's decision to refuse vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination providers in Arizona are generally very supportive of childhood immunizations but have varying comfort with exemption from individual vaccines. Responding providers tended to not support a requirement for a physician's signature for vaccine exemptions due to varying concerns regarding the implementation of such a practice.


Assuntos
Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Pessoal de Saúde/psicologia , Recusa do Paciente ao Tratamento , Vacinação/psicologia , Arizona , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Masculino , Pais , Relações Profissional-Paciente
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