Observed and future shifts in climate zone of Borneo based on CMIP6 models.

Climate change has significantly altered the characteristics of climate zones, posing considerable challenges to ecosystems and biodiversity, particularly in Borneo, known for its high species density per unit area. This study aimed to classify the region into homogeneous climate groups based on long-term average behavior. The most effective parameters from the high-resolution daily gridded Princeton climate datasets spanning 65 years (1950-2014) were utilized, including rainfall, relative humidity (RH), temperatures (Tavg, Tmin, Tmax, and diurnal temperature range (DTR)), along with elevation data at 0.25° resolution. The FCM clustering method outperformed K-Mean and two Ward's hierarchical methods (WardD and WardD2) in classifying Borneo's climate zones based on multi-criteria assessment, exhibiting the lowest average distance (2.172-2.180) and the highest compromise programming index (CPI)-based correlation ranking among cluster averages across all climate parameters. Borneo's climate zones were categorized into four: 'Wet and cold' (WC) and 'Wet' (W) representing wetter zones, and 'Wet and hot' (WH) and 'Dry and hot' (DH) representing hotter zones, each with clearly defined boundaries. For future projection, EC-Earth3-Veg ranked first for all climate parameters across 961 grid points, emerging as the top-performing model. The linear scaling (LS) bias-corrected EC-Earth3-Veg model, as shown in the Taylor diagram, closely replicated the observed datasets, facilitating future climate zone reclassification. Improved performance across parameters was evident based on MAE (35.8-94.6%), MSE (57.0-99.5%), NRMSE (42.7-92.1%), PBIAS (100-108%), MD (23.0-85.3%), KGE (21.1-78.1%), and VE (5.1-9.1%), with closer replication of empirical probability distribution function (PDF) curves during the validation period. In the future, Borneo's climate zones will shift notably, with WC elongating southward along the mountainous spine, W forming an enclave over the north-central mountains, WH shifting northward and shrinking inland, and DH expanding northward along the western coast. Under SSP5-8.5, WC is expected to expand by 39% and 11% for the mid- and far-future periods, respectively, while W is set to shrink by 46%. WH is projected to expand by 2% and 8% for the mid- and far-future periods, respectively. Conversely, DH is expected to expand by 43% for the far-future period but shrink by 42% for the mid-future period. This study fills a gap by redefining Borneo's climate zones based on an increased number of effective parameters and projecting future shifts, utilizing advanced clustering methods (FCM) under CMIP6 scenarios. Importantly, it contributes by ranking GCMs using RIMs and CPI across multiple climate parameters, addressing a previous gap in GCM assessment. The study's findings can facilitate cross-border collaboration by providing a shared understanding of climate dynamics and informing joint environmental management and disaster response efforts.

Surface water quality index forecasting using multivariate complementing approach reinforced with locally weighted linear regression model.

River water quality management and monitoring are essential responsibilities for communities near rivers. Government decision-makers should monitor important quality factors like temperature, dissolved oxygen (DO), pH, and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD). Among water quality parameters, the BOD throughout 5 days is an important index that must be detected by devoting a significant amount of time and effort, which is a source of significant concern in both academic and commercial settings. The traditional experimental and statistical methods cannot give enough accuracy or solve the problem for a long time to detect something. This study used a unique hybrid model called MVMD-LWLR, which introduced an innovative method for forecasting BOD in the Klang River, Malaysia. The hybrid model combines a locally weighted linear regression (LWLR) model with a wavelet-based kernel function, along with multivariate variational mode decomposition (MVMD) for the decomposition of input variables. In addition, categorical boosting (Catboost) feature selection was used to discover and extract significant input variables. This combination of MVMD-LWLR and Catboost is the first use of such a complete model for predicting BOD levels in the given river environment. In addition, an optimization process was used to improve the performance of the model. This process utilized the gradient-based optimization (GBO) approach to fine-tune the parameters and better the overall accuracy of predicting BOD levels. To assess the robustness of the proposed method, we compared it to other popular models such as kernel ridge (KRidge) regression, LASSO, elastic net, and gaussian process regression (GPR). Several metrics, comprising root-mean-square error (RMSE), R (correlation coefficient), U95% (uncertainty coefficient at 95% level), and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency), as well as visual interpretation, were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of hybrid models. Extensive testing revealed that, in forecasting the BOD parameter, the MVMD-LWLR model outperformed its competitors. Consequently, for BOD forecasting, the suggested MVMD-LWLR optimized with the GBO algorithm yields encouraging and reliable results, with increased forecasting accuracy and minimal error.

Seasonal correlation of meteorological parameters and PM2.5 with the COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths in Baghdad, Iraq.

The COVID-19 pandemic was a serious global health emergency in 2020 and 2021. This study analyzed the seasonal association of weekly averages of meteorological parameters, such as wind speed, solar radiation, temperature, relative humidity, and air pollutant PM2.5, with confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in Baghdad, Iraq, a major megacity of the Middle East, for the period June 2020 to August 2021. Spearman and Kendall correlation coefficients were used to investigate the association. The results showed that wind speed, air temperature, and solar radiation have positive and strong correlations with the confirmed cases and deaths in the cold season (autumn and winter 2020-2021). The total COVID-19 cases negatively correlated with relative humidity but were not significant in all seasons. Besides, PM2.5 strongly correlated with COVID-19 confirmed cases for the summer of 2020. The death distribution by age group showed the highest deaths for those aged 60-69. The highest number of deaths was 41% in the summer of 2020. The study provided useful information about the COVID-19 health emergency and meteorological parameters, which can be used for future health disaster planning, adopting prevention strategies and providing healthcare procedures to protect against future infraction transmission.

Machine learning-based country-level annual air pollutants exploration using Sentinel-5P and Google Earth Engine.

Climatic condition is triggering human health emergencies and earth's surface changes. Anthropogenic activities, such as built-up expansion, transportation development, industrial works, and some extreme phases, are the main reason for climate change and global warming. Air pollutants are increased gradually due to anthropogenic activities and triggering the earth's health. Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), Carbon Monoxide (CO), and Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) are truthfully important for air quality measurement because those air pollutants are more harmful to the environment and human's health. Earth observational Sentinel-5P is applied for monitoring the air pollutant and chemical conditions in the atmosphere from 2018 to 2021. The cloud computing-based Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform is applied for monitoring those air pollutants and chemical components in the atmosphere. The NO2 variation indicates high during the time because of the anthropogenic activities. Carbon Monoxide (CO) is also located high between two 1-month different maps. The 2020 and 2021 results indicate AQI change is high where 2018 and 2019 indicates low AQI throughout the year. The Kolkata have seven AQI monitoring station where high nitrogen dioxide recorded 102 (2018), 48 (2019), 26 (2020) and 98 (2021), where Delhi AQI stations recorded 99 (2018), 49 (2019), 37 (2020), and 107 (2021). Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai, Pune, and Chennai recorded huge fluctuations of air pollutants during the study periods, where ~ 50-60% NO2 was recorded as high in the recent time. The AOD was noticed high in Uttar Pradesh in 2020. These results indicate that air pollutant investigation is much necessary for future planning and management otherwise; our planet earth is mostly affected by the anthropogenic and climatic conditions where maybe life does not exist.

Megacities' environmental assessment for Iraq region using satellite image and geo-spatial tools.

Urban areas are quickly established, and the overwhelming population pressure is triggering heat stress in the metropolitan cities. Climate change impact is the key aspect for maintaining the urban areas and building proper urban planning because spreading of the urban area destroyed the vegetated land and increased heat variation. Remote sensing-based on Landsat images are used for investigating the vegetation circumstances, thermal variation, urban expansion, and surface urban heat island or SUHI in the three megacities of Iraq like Baghdad, Erbil, and Basrah. Four satellite imageries are used aimed at land use and land cover (LULC) study from 1990 to 2020, which indicate the land transformation of those three major cities in Iraq. The average annually temperature is increased during  30 years like Baghdad (0.16 °C), Basrah (0.44 °C), and Erbil (0.32 °C). The built-up area is increased 147.1 km2 (Erbil), 217.86 km2 (Baghdad), and 294.43 km2 (Erbil), which indicated the SUHI affects the entire area of the three cities. The bare land is increased in Baghdad city, which indicated the local climatic condition and affected the livelihood. Basrah City is affected by anthropogenic activities and most areas of Basrah were converted into built-up land in the last 30 years. In Erbil, agricultural land (295.81 km2) is increased. The SUHI study results indicated the climate change effect in those three cities in Iraq. This study's results are more useful for planning, management, and sustainable development of urban areas.

COVID-19 pandemic: a health challenge for commoners during the first unlock phase in India.

Aim: COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, is now a worldwide pandemic. This disease has become a reason for disturbance and concern. India, as a densely populated country, took initiative after the pandemic was declared. The objective of this study was to determine the mortality and recovery rates at 30 days from the first unlock phase after five phases of lockdown. The the number of infected people has continually increased, and currently, this pandemic continues to present challenges to public health. Subject and methods: Statistical analysis was used to calculate the mortality rate, ratio between active and death cases, active cases and recovered cases, recovered and death cases in India during the first 30 days of the unlock phase. Results: The relationship between the new cases, deaths and recovered cases, shows that the new and recovered cases increased progressively. From the scatter plot of daily deaths and new cases, the R2 value is 0.0047. That means the death ratio is low against the new cases. Also, if we look at another scatter plot, the ratio between new cases and recovery rate shows the R2 value is 0.8015. That means the recovery rate was very high during the study period in India. The R2 value of daily recovery and death is 0.0072. India faced a huge number of new coronavirus cases and increased death rate every day during the first unlock phase. Conclusion: There was not the same condition as in the preliminary stage. The affected graphs progressively increased, and the government is fighting to control this deadly infection. Central and state governments are working together to combat this pandemic.

Farasan Island of Saudi Arabia confronts the measurable impacts of global warming in 45 years.

Coastal vulnerability assessment is the key to coastal management and sustainable development. Sea level rise (SLR) and anthropogenic activities have triggered more extreme climatic events and made the coastal region vulnerable in recent decades. Many parts of the world also noticed increased sediment deposition, tidal effects, and changes in the shoreline. Farasan Island, located in the south-eastern part of Saudi Arabia, experienced changes in sediment deposition from the Red Sea in recent years. This study used Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) to delineate the shoreline changes of Farasan Island during 1975-2020. Multi-temporal Landsat data and DSAS were used for shoreline calculation based on endpoint rate (EPR) and linear regression. Results revealed an increase in vegetation area on the island by 17.18 km2 during 1975-1989 and then a decrease by 69.85 km2 during 1990-2020. The built-up land increased by 5.69 km2 over the study period to accommodate the population growth. The annual temperature showed an increase at a rate of 0.196 °C/year. The sea-level rise caused a shift in the island's shoreline and caused a reduction of land by 80.86 km2 during 1975-2020. The highly influenced areas by the environmental changes were the north, central, northwest, southwest, and northeast parts of the island. Urban expansion and sea-level rise gradually influence the island ecosystem, which needs proper attention, management, policies, and awareness planning to protect the environment of Farasan Island. Also, the study's findings could help develop new strategies and plan climate change adaptation.

Delineation of urban expansion influences urban heat islands and natural environment using remote sensing and GIS-based in industrial area.

Land transformation monitoring is essential for controlling the anthropogenic activities that could cause the degradation of natural environment. This study investigated the urban heat island (UHI) effect at the Asansol and Kulti blocks of Paschim Bardhaman district, India. The increasing land surface temperature (LST) can cause the UHI effect and affect the environmental conditions in the urban area. The vulnerability of the UHI effect was measured quantitatively and qualitatively by using the urban thermal field variation index (UTFVI). The land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics are identified by utilizing the remote sensing and maximum likelihood supervised classification techniques for the years 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020, respectively. The results indicated a decrease around 19.05 km2, 15.47 km2, and 9.86 km2 for vegetation, agricultural land, and grassland, respectively. Meanwhile, there is an increase of 35.69 km2 of the built-up area from the year 1990 to 2020. The highest LST has increased by 11.55 °C, while the lowest LST increased by 8.35 °C from 1990 to 2020. The correlation analyses showed negative relationship between LST and vegetation index, while positive correlation was observed for built-up index. Hotspot maps have identified the spatio-temporal thermal variations in Mohanpur, Lohat, Ramnagar, Madhabpur, and Hansdiha where these cities are mostly affected by the urban expansion and industrialization developments. This study will be helpful to urban planners, stakeholders, and administrators for monitoring the anthropological activities and thus ensuring a sustainable urban development.

Evaluating the risk factor of novel public health disaster "Omicron" variant: an Indian prospective.

COVID-19 epidemic is destroying world health and gradually increasing the mortality rate. The economy was also affected due to the spreading of the newly developed virus. The named COVID-19 progressively develops and affecting in the human body. The new Delta variant Omicron is first noticed in South Africa. After that many cases are recorded worldwide and finally India has recorded the first case of Omicron on 24 November 2021 from Karnataka. This study is to identify the Omicron variant affected states and UTs in India. The graphical results indicate the geographical location-wise spreading of the Omicron virus in India. The destibution of confirmed and death cases indicate the speed of spreading this health disaster in India. After that total of 781 cases were registered and 241 people were discharged from this. Mostly affected states and UTs are Delhi, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Telangana, Kerala, and Rajasthan, where Tripura, Bihar, Jharkhand, Assam, and Sikkim have not any Omicron recorded. Delhi (238), Maharashtra (167), Gujarat (73), and Kerala (65), where Himachal Pradesh, Goa, Manipur, and Ladakh have recorded one case each. The correlation between total cases and discharge is very high and the R2 value is strong positive (0.80). This situation is indicating that Omicron is gripped by public health. If we don't maintain the social distancing and WHO notified guidelines, this condition may more harmful for human livelihood and increase the health emergency very soon.

Statistical data analysis of risk factor associated with mortality rate by COVID-19 pandemic in India.

The coronavirus is an infection caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus, known as SARS-CoV-2. It was first determined in Wuhan, China in December 2019. WHO named this virus as COVID-19. Virologist says that COVID-19 is similar to SARS and MARS virus. This deadly disease affected worldwide economically, hammering people lifestyle and also the environmental condition. After a few months, there is no vaccine to build the barricade between this virus and life. Many countries have tried to improve the methodology to control the disease and also the actual vaccine for coronavirus but not yet successful. Rapid testing, quarantine and social distancing slow down the social and economic movement. Although India, as one of the largest populated country, takes some respectable initiative after the pandemic of the novel coronavirus. According to WHO 24th May 2020 report, total 131,868 confirmed cases and killed over 3867 people by this COVID-19 pandemic. Indian government takes the initiative like janta curfew, lockdown all over the country. The main focus or aim of this study is to find the mortality rate and the recovered people at the fourth phase of lockdown, but the infected graph is daily increased in India. In the relation between active cases and the death cases, the R 2 value is 0.8754. The relation between active cases and the recoveries, the R 2 value is 0.9246. In between 116 days, the mortality rate is less in before lockdown (0.129%) and third phase lockdown is facing a huge mortality rate (43.496%).