Costs and benefits of synthetic nitrogen for global cereal production in 2015 and in 2050 under contrasting scenarios.

Cereals are the most important global staple crop and use more than half of global cropland and synthetic nitrogen (N) fertilizer. While this synthetic N may feed half of the current global population, it has led to a massive increase in reactive N loss to the environment, causing a suite of impacts, offsetting the benefits of N fertilizers for food security and agricultural economy. To address these complex issues, the NBCalCer model was developed to quantify the global effects of N input on crop yields, N budgets and environmental impacts and to assess the associated social benefits and costs. Three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (SSPs) were considered with decreasing N agri-environmental ambitions, through contrasting climate and N policy ambitions: sustainability (SSP1H), middle-of-the-road (SSP2M) and fossil-fueled development (SSP5L). In the base year the contribution of synthetic N fertilizer to global cereal production was 44 %. Global modelled grain yield was projected to increase under all scenarios while the use of synthetic N fertilizer decreases under all scenarios except SSP5L. The total N surplus was projected to be reduced up to 20 % under SSP1H but to increase under SSP5L. The Benefit-Cost-Ratio (BCR) was calculated as the ratio between the market benefit of increased grain production by synthetic N and the summed cost of fertilizer purchase and the external cost of the N losses. In base year the BCR was well above one in all regions, but in 2050 under SSP1H and SSP5L decreased to below one in most regions. Given the concerns about food security, environmental quality and its interaction with biodiversity loss, human health and climate change, the new paradigm for global cereal production is producing sufficient food with minimum N pollution. Our results indicate that achieving this goal would require a massive change in global volume and distribution of synthetic N.

IgE cross-inhibition between Ara h 1 and Ara h 2 is explained by complex formation of both major peanut allergens.

BACKGROUND: Surprisingly, IgE cross-reactivity between the major peanut allergens Ara h 1, 2, and 3 has been reported despite very low sequence identities. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the unexpected cross-reactivity between peanut major allergens. METHODS: Cross-contamination of purified natural Ara h 1, 2, 3, and 6 was assessed by sodium dodecyl sulfate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE), Western blot test, liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS), and sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). IgE cross-reactivity was studied with sera of peanut-allergic patients (n = 43) by ELISA and ImmunoCAP inhibition using both intact natural and recombinant allergens and synthetic peptides representing postulated Ara h 1 and Ara h 2 cross-reactive epitopes. RESULTS: Both purified nAra h 1 and nAra h 3 were demonstrated to contain small but significant amounts of Ara h 2 and Ara h 6 (<1%) by sandwich ELISA, SDS-PAGE/Western blot analysis, and LC-MS/MS. IgE cross-inhibition between both 2S albumins and Ara h 1 and Ara h 3 was only observed when using natural purified allergens, not recombinant allergens or synthetic peptides. Apparent cross-reactivity was lost when purified nAra h 1 was pretreated under reducing conditions, suggesting that Ara h 2 and Ara h 6 contaminations may be covalently bound to Ara h 1 via disulfide interactions. CONCLUSION: True cross-reactivity of both peanut 2S albumins with Ara h 1 and Ara h 3 could not be demonstrated. Instead, cross-contamination with small quantities was shown to be sufficient to cause significant cross-inhibition that can be misinterpreted as molecular cross-reactivity. Diagnostic tests using purified nAra h 1 and nAra h 3 can overestimate their importance as major allergens as a result of the presence of contaminating 2S albumins, making recombinant Ara h 1 and Ara h 3 a preferred alternative.

Focal 18 F-FDG uptake predicts progression of pre-invasive squamous bronchial lesions to invasive cancers.

INTRODUCTION: Pre-invasive squamous lesions of the central airways can progress into invasive lung cancers. Identifying these high-risk patients could enable detection of invasive lung cancers at an early stage. In this study, we investigated the value of 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18 F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) scans in predicting progression in patients with pre-invasive squamous endobronchial lesions. METHODS: In this retrospective study, patients with pre-invasive endobronchial lesions, who underwent an 18 F-FDG PET scan at the VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, between January 2000 and December 2016, were included. Autofluorescence bronchoscopy (AFB) was used for tissue sampling and was repeated every 3 months. The minimum and median follow-up was 3 and 46.5 months. Study endpoints were the occurrence of biopsy proven invasive carcinoma, time-to-progression and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: A total number of 40 of 225 patients met the inclusion criteria of which 17 (42.5%) patients had a positive baseline 18 F-FDG PET scan. A total of 13 of 17 (76.5%) developed invasive lung carcinoma during follow-up, with a median time to progression of 5.0 months (range, 3.0-25.0). In 23 (57.5%) patients with a negative 18 F-FDG PET scan at baseline, 6 (26%) developed lung cancer, with a median time to progression of 34.0 months (range, 14.0-42.0 months, p < 0.002). With a median OS of 56.0 months (range, 9.0-60.0 months) versus 49.0 months (range, 6.0-60.0 months) (p = 0.876) for the 18 F-FDG PET positive and negative groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with pre-invasive endobronchial squamous lesions and a positive baseline 18 F-FDG PET scan were at high-risk for developing lung carcinoma, highlighting that this patient group requires early radical treatment.

Cost-effective mitigation of nitrogen pollution from global croplands.

Cropland is a main source of global nitrogen pollution1,2. Mitigating nitrogen pollution from global croplands is a grand challenge because of the nature of non-point-source pollution from millions of farms and the constraints to implementing pollution-reduction measures, such as lack of financial resources and limited nitrogen-management knowledge of farmers3. Here we synthesize 1,521 field observations worldwide and identify 11 key measures that can reduce nitrogen losses from croplands to air and water by 30-70%, while increasing crop yield and nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) by 10-30% and 10-80%, respectively. Overall, adoption of this package of measures on global croplands would allow the production of 17 ± 3 Tg (1012 g) more crop nitrogen (20% increase) with 22 ± 4 Tg less nitrogen fertilizer used (21% reduction) and 26 ± 5 Tg less nitrogen pollution (32% reduction) to the environment for the considered base year of 2015. These changes could gain a global societal benefit of 476 ± 123 billion US dollars (USD) for food supply, human health, ecosystems and climate, with net mitigation costs of only 19 ± 5 billion USD, of which 15 ± 4 billion USD fertilizer saving offsets 44% of the gross mitigation cost. To mitigate nitrogen pollution from croplands in the future, innovative policies such as a nitrogen credit system (NCS) could be implemented to select, incentivize and, where necessary, subsidize the adoption of these measures.

Treatment Characteristics and Real-World Progression-Free Survival in Patients With Unresectable Stage III NSCLC Who Received Durvalumab After Chemoradiotherapy: Findings From the PACIFIC-R Study.

INTRODUCTION: The phase 3 PACIFIC trial established consolidation therapy with durvalumab as standard of care for patients with unresectable, stage III NSCLC and no disease progression after definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). The observational PACIFIC-R study assesses the real-world effectiveness of durvalumab in patients from an early access program. Here, we report treatment characteristics and a preplanned analysis of real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS). METHODS: PACIFIC-R (NCT03798535) is an ongoing, international, retrospective study of patients who started durvalumab (intravenously; 10 mg/kg every 2 wk) within an early access program between September 2017 and December 2018. The primary end points are investigator-assessed rwPFS and overall survival (analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method). RESULTS: As of November 30, 2020, the full analysis set comprised 1399 patients from 11 countries (median follow-up duration, 23.5 mo). Patients received durvalumab for a median of 11.0 months. Median rwPFS was 21.7 months (95% confidence interval: 19.1-24.5). RwPFS was numerically longer among patients who received concurrent versus sequential CRT (median, 23.7 versus 19.3 mo) and among patients with programmed cell death-ligand 1 expression greater than or equal to 1% versus less than 1% (22.4 versus 15.6 mo). Overall, 16.5% of the patients had adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation; 9.5% of all patients discontinued because of pneumonitis or interstitial lung disease. CONCLUSIONS: Consolidation durvalumab after definitive CRT was well tolerated and effective in this large, real-world cohort study of patients with unresectable, stage III NSCLC. As expected, rwPFS was longer among patients who received concurrent versus sequential CRT and patients with higher programmed cell death-ligand 1 expression. Nevertheless, favorable rwPFS outcomes were observed regardless of these factors.

Improving shared decision making for lung cancer treatment by developing and validating an open-source web based patient decision aid for stage I-II non-small cell lung cancer.

The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate a proof-of-concept open-source individualized Patient Decision Aid (iPDA) with a group of patients, physicians, and computer scientists. The iPDA was developed based on the International Patient Decision Aid Standards (IPDAS). A previously published questionnaire was adapted and used to test the user-friendliness and content of the iPDA. The questionnaire contained 40 multiple-choice questions, and answers were given on a 5-point Likert Scale (1-5) ranging from "strongly disagree" to "strongly agree." In addition to the questionnaire, semi-structured interviews were conducted with patients. We performed a descriptive analysis of the responses. The iPDA was evaluated by 28 computer scientists, 21 physicians, and 13 patients. The results demonstrate that the iPDA was found valuable by 92% (patients), 96% (computer scientists), and 86% (physicians), while the treatment information was judged useful by 92%, 96%, and 95%, respectively. Additionally, the tool was thought to be motivating for patients to actively engage in their treatment by 92%, 93%, and 91% of the above respondents groups. More multimedia components and less text were suggested by the respondents as ways to improve the tool and user interface. In conclusion, we successfully developed and tested an iPDA for patients with stage I-II Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC).

Final results from TAIL: updated long-term efficacy of atezolizumab in a diverse population of patients with previously treated advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

In patients with previously treated advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), atezolizumab therapy improves survival with manageable safety. The open-label, single-arm phase III/IV TAIL study (NCT03285763) evaluated atezolizumab monotherapy in patients with previously treated NSCLC, including those with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 2, severe renal impairment, prior anti-programmed death 1 therapy, autoimmune disease, and age ≥75 years. Patients received atezolizumab intravenously (1200 mg) every 3 weeks. At data cut-off for final analysis, the median follow-up was 36.1 (range 0.0-42.3) months. Treatment-related (TR) serious adverse events (SAEs) and TR immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were the coprimary endpoints. Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate, and duration of response. Safety and efficacy in key patient subgroups were also assessed. TR SAEs and TR irAEs occurred in 8.0% and 9.4% of patients, respectively. No new safety signals were documented. In the overall population, median OS and PFS (95% CI) were 11.2 months (8.9 to 12.7) and 2.7 months (2.3 to 2.8), respectively. TAIL showed that atezolizumab has a similar risk-benefit profile in clinically diverse patients with previously treated NSCLC, which may guide treatment decisions for patients generally excluded from pivotal clinical trials.

Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome in apparent primary spontaneous pneumothorax patients; results and recommendations for clinical practice.

BACKGROUND: Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome (BHD) is an inherited disease caused by pathogenic variants in the FLCN gene. One of the characteristics is the increased risk for spontaneous pneumothorax, likely due to the presence of pulmonary cysts mainly distributed under the carina. Due to variable expression and lack of awareness, BHD is likely to be underdiagnosed. We aimed to examine the prevalence of BHD in patients presenting with an apparent primary spontaneous pneumothorax and to evaluate the contribution of chest CT in establishing the diagnosis. METHODS: Patients who presented with apparent primary spontaneous pneumothorax between 2004 and 2017 in a large Dutch teaching hospital were enrolled in this quantitative cross-sectional study. A questionnaire was sent to eligible patients. Patients who completed the questionnaire and consented to further participation were invited to visit the hospital for genetic testing and low dose, volumetric chest CT. RESULTS: Genetic testing was performed in 88 patients with apparent primary spontaneous pneumothorax. Three patients were found to have a pathogenic variant in the FLCN gene (3.4%). No variants of unknown significance were detected. Pulmonary cysts were detected in 14 out of 83 participants with an available chest CT, six had more than one cyst. All three patients with BHD had multiple pulmonary cysts. CONCLUSIONS: Based on previous literature and the present study, we believe that performing a chest CT in every patient presenting with primary spontaneous pneumothorax is justified. Subsequent genetic testing of the FLCN gene should be considered when multiple pulmonary cysts are present. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov with reference NCT02916992. Three out of 88 patients with an apparent primary spontaneous pneumothorax were diagnosed with Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome in this study and all three had multiple pulmonary cysts. We believe that performing a chest CT in every patient with an apparent primary spontaneous pneumothorax is justified to identify underlying diseases.

Investigation of the added value of CT-based radiomics in predicting the development of brain metastases in patients with radically treated stage III NSCLC.

Introduction: Despite radical intent therapy for patients with stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), cumulative incidence of brain metastases (BM) reaches 30%. Current risk stratification methods fail to accurately identify these patients. As radiomics features have been shown to have predictive value, this study aims to develop a model combining clinical risk factors with radiomics features for BM development in patients with radically treated stage III NSCLC. Methods: Retrospective analysis of two prospective multicentre studies. Inclusion criteria: adequately staged [18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (18-FDG-PET-CT), contrast-enhanced chest CT, contrast-enhanced brain magnetic resonance imaging/CT] and radically treated stage III NSCLC, exclusion criteria: second primary within 2 years of NSCLC diagnosis and prior prophylactic cranial irradiation. Primary endpoint was BM development any time during follow-up (FU). CT-based radiomics features (N = 530) were extracted from the primary lung tumour on 18-FDG-PET-CT images, and a list of clinical features (N = 8) was collected. Univariate feature selection based on the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic was performed to identify relevant features. Generalized linear models were trained using the selected features, and multivariate predictive performance was assessed through the AUC. Results: In total, 219 patients were eligible for analysis. Median FU was 59.4 months for the training cohort and 67.3 months for the validation cohort; 21 (15%) and 17 (22%) patients developed BM in the training and validation cohort, respectively. Two relevant clinical features (age and adenocarcinoma histology) and four relevant radiomics features were identified as predictive. The clinical model yielded the highest AUC value of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.58-0.84), better than radiomics or a combination of clinical parameters and radiomics (both an AUC of 0.62, 95% CIs of 0.47-076 and 0.48-0.76, respectively). Conclusion: CT-based radiomics features of primary NSCLC in the current setup could not improve on a model based on clinical predictors (age and adenocarcinoma histology) of BM development in radically treated stage III NSCLC patients.

Efficacy of an Autologous Blood Patch for Prolonged Air Leak: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged air leak after pulmonary surgery remains a clinical challenge and sometimes needs surgical reintervention. An autologous blood patch (ABP) may provide a noninvasive method to stop air leak. Its value, however, is debatable. The aim of this systematic review is to synthesize evidence regarding the efficacy of ABP in patients with prolonged air leak. METHODS: A comprehensive search for published studies was performed in the Medline database, Embase, and the Cochrane library. Randomized controlled trials, case-control studies, and case series in which a postoperative ABP was performed were included. Findings from these studies were tabulated and data were synthesized graphically (PROSPERO registration number CRD42020157591). RESULTS: A total of eight studies was included in the analysis, comprising 151 patients. Studies demonstrated heterogeneity in ABP timing and practice, and an intermediate to high risk of bias was scored. The majority of studies demonstrated a beneficial effect of the ABP, with a high rate of success of more than 89%. One randomized trial did not find a difference in time to cessation of air leak after ABP compared with conservative tube thoracostomy. The overall complication rate was 10%. CONCLUSIONS: Quality of included studies is limited owing to lack of comparison groups. Synthesized data in this review demonstrate a high rate of successful procedures and acceptable complication rates, and seems encouraging enough to justify a large randomized clinical trial on the use of ABP for patients who have prolonged air leak after thoracic surgery.

Hearing-Related Quality of Life in 75 Patients With a Percutaneous Bone Conduction Device.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate long-term hearing-related quality of life (HRQoL) and device use in bone conduction (BCD) users. Furthermore, to assess differences between indications and changes in HRQoL over time. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective questionnaire survey. SETTING: Tertiary referral center. PATIENTS: Seventy-five patients with a percutaneous BCD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Glasgow Benefit Inventory (GBI) at 3 and 12 months postoperatively, Glasgow Health Status Inventory (GHSI) preoperatively, and 6 and 36 months postoperatively, device use at 6, 12, and 36 months. Changes over time were assessed and outcomes were compared between indications. RESULTS: After implantation, 97% of all patients reported a positive benefit on the GBI total. The GHSI total had improved with median 15 points (Interquartile range [IQR] 12). At 36 months, median device use was 15 hours/day (IQR 10) and one nonuser was reported. Patients with bilateral hearing loss (BHL) showed greater improvement on the GHSI total (median 18 vs 14, p < 0.0001) and used their devices more frequently (median 16 vs 8 h/day, p < 0.0001) than patients with unilateral HL (UHL). Postoperative GHSI and GBI scores were consistent over time, in the entire patient population and for every indication. Between 6 and 36 months, device use was stable over time, except for patients with single-sided deafness (SSD; median -6.4 h/day, p = 0.009). CONCLUSION: The BCD improves HRQoL in patients with BHL, in patients with unilateral conductive/mixed hearing loss and in patients with SSD. Patients with BHL experienced a greater improvement in hearing status compared to patients with UHL. Although use decreased over time in SSD patients, device use was high for every indication.

Establishing long-term nitrogen response of global cereals to assess sustainable fertilizer rates.

Insight into the response of cereal yields to nitrogen fertilizer is fundamental to improving nutrient management and policies to sustain economic crop benefits and food sufficiency with minimum nitrogen pollution. Here we propose a new method to assess long-term (LT) regional sustainable nitrogen inputs. The core is a novel scaled response function between normalized yield and total net nitrogen input. The function was derived from 25 LT field trials for wheat, maize and barley in Europe, Asia and North America and is fitted by a second-order polynomial (R2 = 0.82). Using response functions derived from common short-term field trials, with soil nitrogen not in steady state, gives the risks of soil nitrogen depletion or nitrogen pollution. The scaled LT curve implies that the total nitrogen input required to attain the maximum yield is independent of this maximum yield as postulated by Mitscherlich in 1924. This unique curve was incorporated into a simple economic model with valuation of externalities of nitrogen surplus as a function of regional per-capita gross domestic product. The resulting LT sustainable nitrogen inputs range from 150 to 200 kgN ha-1 and this interval narrows with increasing yield potential and decreasing gross domestic product. The adoption of LT response curves and external costs in cereals may have important implications for policies and application ceilings for nitrogen use in regional and global agriculture and ultimately the global distribution of cereal production.

[Dealing with treatment limitations during anaesthesia]. / Omgaan met behandelgrenzen tijdens anesthesie.

Treatment limitations may create a clinical dilemma during anaesthesia. Because mostly, pre-existing treatment limitations have been decided upon without considering the occurrence of a future medical intervention with its unique circumstances. In case treatment limitations are not reassessed prior to an intervention and a life threatening situation occurs during the intervention, a dilemma may arise between the patient's wishes and physician's actions. For example, overtreatment may occur when treatment limitations are ignored during an intervention without the patient's consent. Or undertreatment may occur if a physician strictly adheres to the treatment limitations without taking the situation of an intervention into account. So, how do we respect a patient's autonomy while striving to provide acute care in the patient's best interests? We suggest (re)considering treatment limitations under anaesthesia with every patient with pre-existing limitations, and ideally, with every fragile patient, prior to an intervention.

Effects of whole-body vibration training in a cachectic C26 mouse model.

Targeted exercise combined with nutritional and pharmacological strategies is commonly considered to be the most optimal strategy to reduce the development and progression of cachexia. For COPD patients, this multi-targeted treatment has shown beneficial effects. However, in many, physical activity is seriously hampered by frailty and fatigue. In the present study, effects of whole-body-vibration-training (WBV) were investigated, as potential alternative to active exercise, on body mass, muscle mass and function in tumour bearing mice. Twenty-four male CD2F1-mice (6-8 weeks, 21.5 ± 0.2 g) were stratified into four groups: control, control + WBV, C26 tumour-bearing, and C26 tumour-bearing + WBV. From day 1, whole-body-vibration was daily performed for 19 days (15 min, 45 Hz, 1.0 g acceleration). General outcome measures included body mass and composition, daily activity, blood analysis, assessments of muscle histology, function, and whole genome gene expression in m. soleus (SOL), m. extensor digitorum longus (EDL), and heart. Body mass, lean and fat mass and EDL mass were all lower in tumour bearing mice compared to controls. Except from improved contractility in SOL, no effects of vibration training were found on cachexia related general outcomes in control or tumour groups, as PCA analysis did not result in a distinction between corresponding groups. However, analysis of transcriptome data clearly revealed a distinction between tumour and trained tumour groups. WBV reduced the tumour-related effects on muscle gene expression in EDL, SOL and heart. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis showed that these effects were associated with attenuation of the upregulation of the proteasome pathway in SOL. These data suggest that WBV had minor effects on cachexia related general outcomes in the present experimental set-up, while muscle transcriptome showed changes associated with positive effects. This calls for follow-up studies applying longer treatment periods of WBV as component of a multiple-target intervention.

Human-caused increases in reactive nitrogen burial in sediment of global lakes.

Human activities have increased reactive nitrogen (Nr) input to terrestrial ecosystems compared with the pre-industrial era. However, the fate of such Nr input remains uncertain, leading to missing sink of the global nitrogen budget. By synthesizing records of Nr burial in sediments from 303 lakes worldwide, here we show that 9.6 ± 1.1 Tg N year-1 (Tg = 1012 g) accumulated in inland water sediments from 2000 to 2010, accounting for 3%-5% of global Nr input to the land from combined natural and anthropogenic pathways. The recent Nr burial flux doubles pre-industrial estimates, and Nr burial rate significantly increases with global increases in human population and air temperature. Sediment ratios of C:N decrease after 1950 while N:P ratios increase over time due to increasingly elevated Nr burial and other related processes in lakes. These findings imply that Nr burial in lakes is overlooked as an important global sink of Nr input to terrestrial ecosystems.

Crop production and nitrogen use in European cropland and grassland 1961-2019.

This paper presents EuropeAgriDB v1.0, a dataset of crop production and nitrogen (N) flows in European cropland 1961-2019. The dataset covers 26 present-day countries, detailing the cropland N harvests in 17 crop categories as well as cropland N inputs in synthetic fertilizers, manure, symbiotic fixation, and atmospheric deposition. The study builds on established methods but goes beyond previous research by combining data from FAOSTAT, Eurostat, and a range of national data sources. The result is a detailed, complete, and consistent dataset, intended as a basis for further analyses of past and present agricultural production patterns, as well as construction of scenarios for the future.