Spatio-temporal changes of winter and spring phytoplankton blooms in Arabian sea during the period 1997-2020.

Arabian Sea (AS) experiences Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) blooms during winter and early spring (November-March) mainly due to the changes induced by seasonally reversing monsoon winds and associated processes. The seasonal blooms exhibit distinct regional patterns in their onset, duration, intensity and peak period. Recent changes in ocean dynamics and plankton composition have inflicted adverse effects in the distribution of Chl-a concentration in AS. Here, we analyse the long-term spatio-temporal changes in winter and early spring bloom events during the period 1997-2020, and evaluate the role of sea surface temperature (SST), mixed layer depth (MLD), sea surface salinity, winds, mesoscale eddies and surface currents on these bloom occurrences. We observe a significant reduction in these blooms, which started in the early 2000s and intensified in the last decade (2010-2020), with a notable drop in the adjacent gulfs (Gulf of Aden: 1.38 ± 0.7 × 10-5 mg m-3 yr-1, Gulf of Oman: 4.71 ± 1.35 × 10-6 mg m-3 yr-1) and West coast of India (-6.71 ± 2.85 × 10-6 mg m-3 yr-1). The MLD and ocean temperature are the major factors that govern bloom in Gulf of Oman and open waters. Conversely, the coastal upwelling and eddies drive blooms in Gulf of Aden. The winter cooling trigger the bloom in the northern Indian west coast, but the inter-basin exchange of surface waters through the West Indian Coastal Current inhibits its southward spread. This study, therefore, reveals unique processes that initiate and control the winter and early spring blooms in different regions of AS. The ongoing warming of AS could contribute to further decline in these seasonal blooms, which would be a great concern for regional marine productivity and associated regional food security.

Mesoscale process-induced variation of the West India Coastal Current during the winter monsoon.

This manuscript presents the analysis of current meter records at Kollam and Kannur along the 20-m isobaths during November-December 2005. Currents in the coastal waters are strongly influenced by winds (both local and remote forcing), tides, propagation of coastal Kelvin and Rossby waves, etc. We hypothesize that the mesoscale (spatial scales of 10-500 km and temporal scale of 10-100 days) features in ocean are also competent to alter the characteristics of coastal currents to a large extent. Analysis of sea level anomaly from the merged altimeter data reveals the existence of a large anticyclonic eddy in the southeastern Arabian Sea during the winter monsoon. The eddy moves westward with an average speed of ∼15 km day(-1) corresponding to an increase in sea level amplitude up to 28 cm. Off southwest India, the poleward flow is along the western flank of this anticyclonic eddy and the geostrophic current completes the circulation around the eddy. The eastward component of the geostrophic current at the northern edge of the eddy is bifurcated at ∼9° N: one flowing towards north and the other towards south. Current meter records at station Kollam revealed a dominant southward current due to the bifurcated southward component. The bifurcated northward component coalesced with the poleward flow along the western flank of the anticyclonic eddy. At Kannur, a poleward flow along the coast is responsible for a predominant northward trend in the observed current pattern during the initial phase of observation. A reversal in the current direction is caused by the southward-flowing geostrophic current along the eastern flank of the subsequent anticyclonic eddy centered at 73.5° E and 13° N. The stations were located at the eastern periphery of these anticyclonic eddies, where the mesoscale features overwhelm the seasonal characteristics of the West India Coastal Current (WICC).