Achieving the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets: a comparative analysis of four large community randomised trials delivering universal testing and treatment to reduce HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa.

BACKGROUND: Four large community-randomized trials examining universal testing and treatment (UTT) to reduce HIV transmission were conducted between 2012-2018 in Botswana, Kenya, Uganda, Zambia and South Africa. In 2014, the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets were adopted as a useful metric to monitor coverage. We systematically review the approaches used by the trials to measure intervention delivery, and estimate coverage against the 90-90-90 targets. We aim to provide in-depth understanding of the background contexts and complexities that affect estimation of population-level coverage related to the 90-90-90 targets. METHODS: Estimates were based predominantly on "process" data obtained during delivery of the interventions which included a combination of home-based and community-based services. Cascade coverage data included routine electronic health records, self-reported data, survey data, and active ascertainment of HIV viral load measurements in the field. RESULTS: The estimated total adult populations of trial intervention communities included in this study ranged from 4,290 (TasP) to 142,250 (Zambian PopART Arm-B). The estimated total numbers of PLHIV ranged from 1,283 (TasP) to 20,541 (Zambian PopART Arm-B). By the end of intervention delivery, the first-90 target (knowledge of HIV status among all PLHIV) was met by all the trials (89.2%-94.0%). Three of the four trials also achieved the second- and third-90 targets, and viral suppression in BCPP and SEARCH exceeded the UNAIDS target of 73%, while viral suppression in the Zambian PopART Arm-A and B communities was within a small margin (~ 3%) of the target. CONCLUSIONS: All four UTT trials aimed to implement wide-scale testing and treatment for HIV prevention at population level and showed substantial increases in testing and treatment for HIV in the intervention communities. This study has not uncovered any one estimation approach which is superior, rather that several approaches are available and researchers or policy makers seeking to measure coverage should reflect on background contexts and complexities that affect estimation of population-level coverage in their specific settings. All four trials surpassed UNAIDS targets for universal testing in their intervention communities ahead of the 2020 milestone. All but one of the trials also achieved the 90-90 targets for treatment and viral suppression. UTT is a realistic option to achieve 95-95-95 by 2030 and fast-track the end of the HIV epidemic.

Antiretroviral Therapy With Efavirenz Accentuates Pregnancy-Associated Reduction of Dihydroartemisinin-Piperaquine Exposure During Malaria Chemoprevention.

Dihydroartemisinin (DHA)-piperaquine is promising for malaria chemoprevention in pregnancy. We assessed the impacts of pregnancy and efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy on exposure to DHA and piperaquine in pregnant Ugandan women. Intensive sampling was performed at 28 weeks gestation in 31 HIV-uninfected pregnant women, in 27 HIV-infected pregnant women receiving efavirenz, and in 30 HIV-uninfected nonpregnant women. DHA peak concentration and area under the concentration time curve (AUC0-8hr ) were 50% and 47% lower, respectively, and piperaquine AUC0-21d was 40% lower in pregnant women compared to nonpregnant women. DHA AUC0-8hr and piperaquine AUC0-21d were 27% and 38% lower, respectively, in pregnant women receiving efavirenz compared to HIV-uninfected pregnant women. Exposure to DHA and piperaquine were lower among pregnant women and particularly in women on efavirenz, suggesting a need for dose modifications. The study of modified dosing strategies for these populations is urgently needed.

Household ventilation and tuberculosis transmission in Kampala, Uganda.

OBJECTIVE: To test the feasibility of measuring household ventilation and evaluate whether ventilation is associated with tuberculosis (TB) in household contacts in Kampala, Uganda. DESIGN: Adults with pulmonary TB and their household contacts received home visits to ascertain social and structural household characteristics. Ventilation was measured in air changes per hour (ACH) in each room by raising carbon dioxide (CO2) levels using dry ice, removing the dry ice, and measuring changes in the natural log of CO2 (lnCO2) over time. Ventilation was compared in homes with and without co-prevalent TB. RESULTS: Members of 61 of 66 (92%) households approached were enrolled. Households averaged 5.4 residents/home, with a median of one room/home. Twelve homes (20%) reported co-prevalent TB in household contacts. Median ventilation for all rooms was 14 ACH (interquartile range [IQR] 10-18). Median ventilation was 12 vs. 15 ACH in index cases' sleeping rooms in households with vs. those without co-prevalent TB (P = 0.12). Among smear-positive indexes not infected by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), median ventilation was 11 vs. 17 ACH in index cases' sleeping rooms in homes with vs. those without co-prevalent TB (P = 0.1). CONCLUSION: Our findings provide evidence that a simple CO2 decay method used to measure ventilation in clinical settings can be adapted to homes, adding a novel tool and a neglected variable, ventilation, to the study of household TB transmission.

Update on World Health Organization HIV drug resistance prevention and assessment strategy: 2004-2011.

The HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) prevention and assessment strategy, developed by the World Health Organization (WHO) in partnership with HIVResNet, includes monitoring of HIVDR early warning indicators, surveys to assess acquired and transmitted HIVDR, and development of an accredited HIVDR genotyping laboratory network to support survey implementation in resource-limited settings. As of June 2011, 52 countries had implemented at least 1 element of the strategy, and 27 laboratories had been accredited. As access to antiretrovirals expands under the WHO/Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS Treatment 2.0 initiative, it is essential to strengthen HIVDR surveillance efforts in the face of increasing concern about HIVDR emergence and transmission.

A randomized trial of punctuated antiretroviral therapy in Ugandan HIV-seropositive adults with pulmonary tuberculosis and CD4⁺ T-cell counts of ≥ 350 cells/µL.

BACKGROUND: Optimal treatment of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated tuberculosis in patients with high CD4⁺ T-cell counts is unknown. Suppression of viral replication during therapy for tuberculosis may block effects of immune activation on T cells and slow HIV disease progression. METHODS: We conducted a randomized trial in 214 HIV-infected patients with active tuberculosis and CD4⁺ T-cell counts of ≥ 350 cells/µL to determine whether 6 months of antiretroviral therapy given during tuberculosis treatment would improve clinical outcomes. Subjects were randomized to receive 6 months of abacavir-lamivudine-zidovudine concurrent with tuberculosis therapy or delayed antiretroviral therapy. Endpoints were CD4⁺ T-cell counts of < 250 cells/µL, AIDS, or death. RESULTS: Intervention and comparison arms had similar median CD4⁺ counts (517 and 534 cells/µL, respectively) and HIV RNA levels (4.6 and 4.7 log10 copies/µL, respectively). Viral suppression was achieved in 86% of patients allocated to intervention. Seventeen subjects (15.6%) in the intervention arm developed study outcome compared to 25 subjects (22.8%) in the comparison arm (P = .17). Grade 3 or 4 adverse events were less frequent in the intervention arm. By 2 months, 90% of subjects in both arms were culture-negative for tuberculosis. CONCLUSIONS: Short-term antiretroviral therapy during tuberculosis treatment in patients with CD4⁺T-cell counts of >350 cells/µL was safe and associated with clinical benefits.

Significant variation in presentation of pulmonary tuberculosis across a high resolution of CD4 strata.

BACKGROUND: The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) alters the presentation of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB), but it remains unclear whether alterations occur at a CD4 cell threshold or throughout HIV infection. OBJECTIVE: To better understand the relationship between CD4 count and clinical and radiographic presentation of PTB. SETTING AND DESIGN: Initial presentations of culture-confirmed PTB patients evaluated at a Ugandan national TB referral center and an affiliated research unit were compared by HIV status and across 11 CD4 cell count strata: 0-50 to >500 cells/µl. RESULTS: A total of 873 HIV-infected PTB cases were identified. Among HIV-infected PTB cases with CD4 < 50, 21% had a normal chest X-ray (CXR) vs. 2% with CD4 > 500, with a continuous trend across CD4 strata (test for trend, P < 0.001). All radiographic manifestations of PTB displayed significant trends across CD4 strata. HIV-infected vs. non-HIV-infected patients had no significant difference in CXR findings of miliary patterns or pleural effusion at CD4 > 100, normal CXR or fibrosis at CD4 > 150, adenopathy at CD4 > 250, and cavitation or upper lung disease at CD4 > 300. Twenty-three per cent of co-infected cases with CD4 < 50 and 1% with CD4 > 500 had negative acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smears, with a significant trend between (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Variations in CXR appearance and AFB smear correlate with CD4 decline in significant, continuous trends.

Neurocognitive effects of treatment interruption in stable HIV-positive patients in an observational cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Prior studies have shown improved neurocognition with initiation of antiretroviral treatment (ART) in HIV. We hypothesized that stopping ART would be associated with poorer neurocognitive function. METHODS: Neurocognitive function was assessed as part of ACTG 5170, a multicenter, prospective observational study of HIV-infected subjects who elected to discontinue ART. Eligible subjects had CD4 count >350 cells/mm(3), had HIV RNA viral load <55,000 cp/mL, and were on ART (>or=2 drugs) for >or=6 months. Subjects stopped ART at study entry and were followed for 96 weeks with a neurocognitive examination. RESULTS: A total of 167 subjects enrolled with a median nadir CD4 of 436 cells/mm(3) and 4.5 median years on ART. Significant improvements in mean neuropsychological scores of 0.22, 0.39, 0.53, and 0.74 were found at weeks 24, 48, 72, and 96 (all p < 0.001). In the 46 subjects who restarted ART prior to week 96, no significant changes in neurocognitive function were observed. CONCLUSION: Subjects with preserved immune function found that neurocognition improved significantly following antiretroviral treatment (ART) discontinuation. The balance between the neurocognitive cost of untreated HIV viremia and the possible toxicities of ART require consideration. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that discontinuing ART is associated with an improvement in 2 neuropsychological tests (Trail-Making Test A & B and the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-Revised Digit Symbol subtest) for up to 96 weeks. Resuming ART was not associated with a decline in these scores for up to 45 weeks.

Management of HIV-infected patients with MDR- and XDR-TB in resource-limited settings.

The emergence of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) poses a significant public health threat for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) programmes and tuberculosis (TB) control efforts. Recent reports demonstrate high mortality rates among HIV-infected multidrug-resistant (MDR) and XDR-TB patients compared to those without HIV infection. Transmission of these highly resistant TB strains is occurring both within health facilities and in the community. We review the principles of a sound public health approach to this problem, including early diagnosis, treatment for suspected disease, patient support and adherence and sound infection control measures. In the context of drug-resistant TB, we elaborate on current World Health Organization antiretroviral guidelines addressing management issues related to timing of antiretroviral treatment (ART), drug interactions and drug toxicities among patients receiving both ART and second-line TB regimens. We highlight the important research agenda that exists at the intersection of MDR- and XDR-TB and HIV disease.

Elevated HIV seroprevalence and risk behavior among Ugandan TB suspects: implications for HIV testing and prevention.

OBJECTIVES: Voluntary counseling and testing (VCT) for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is recommended for persons treated for tuberculosis (TB). Opportunities to diagnose HIV may be missed by limiting HIV testing to only persons diagnosed with TB. Among TB suspects in Uganda, we determined HIV prevalence, risk behaviors, and willingness to refer family for VCT. METHODS: Consenting adult patients presenting for evaluation at a referral TB clinic received same-day VCT. TB diagnosis data were abstracted from clinical records. RESULTS: Among 665 eligible patients, 565 (85%) consented to VCT. Among these, 238 (42%) were HIV-positive. Of the HIV-infected patients, 37% had received a non-TB diagnosis. HIV seroprevalence was higher in patients with a non-TB diagnosis (49%) than those diagnosed with TB (39%) (P = 0.02). Fewer than 6% of HIV-infected patients reported always using condoms with sexual partners. The majority of patients (86%) reported being 'very willing' to refer family members for VCT. CONCLUSIONS: Over 35% of HIV-infected cases in our population would have been undetected if HIV testing was limited to cases with diagnosed TB. The high HIV seroprevalence in both TB and non-TB cases merits HIV testing for all patients evaluated at TB clinics. HIV-infected TB suspects reporting high-risk behavior are at risk for HIV transmission, and should receive risk-reduction counseling.

Heterogeneous clearance rates of long-lived lymphocytes infected with HIV: intrinsic stability predicts lifelong persistence.

Viral replication and latently infected cellular reservoirs persist in HIV-infected patients achieving undetectable plasma virus levels with potent antiretroviral therapy. We exploited a predictable drug resistance mutation in the HIV reverse transcriptase to label and track cells infected during defined intervals of treatment and to identify cells replenished by ongoing replication. Decay rates of subsets of latently HIV-infected cells paradoxically decreased with time since establishment, reflecting heterogeneous lymphocyte activation and clearance. Residual low-level replication can replenish cellular reservoirs; however, it does not account for prolonged clearance rates in patients without detectable viremia. In patients receiving potent antiretroviral therapy, the latent pool has a heterogeneous and dynamic composition that comprises a progressively increasing proportion of stable lymphocytes. Eradication will not be achieved with complete inhibition of viral replication alone.

Adding two new drug classes improves outcome in salvage therapy.

In patients experiencing treatment failure on an NRTI regimen, adding both a PI and an NNRTI to salvage therapy resulted in significant virologic improvements compared with adding a drug from either class alone.

Effects of treatment intensification with hydroxyurea in HIV-infected patients with virologic suppression.

BACKGROUND: Virologic rebound can result from suboptimal antiviral potency in combination antiretroviral therapy. DESIGN: Multicenter, partially blinded, prospective, randomized study of 202 HIV-infected subjects to determine whether therapy intensification improves long-term rates of virologic suppression. METHODS: Subjects had plasma HIV RNA < 200 copies/ml, CD4 cell count of > 200 x 10(6) cells/l, and treatment with indinavir (IDV) + zidovudine (ZDV) + lamivudine (3TC) for at least 6 months before randomization to stay on this regimen or to receive IDV + didanosine (ddI) + stavudine (d4T) plus or minus hydroxyurea (HU) (600 mg twice daily). Treatment failure was defined as either confirmed rebound of HIV RNA level to > 200 copies/ml or a drug toxicity necessitating treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: Treatment failure occurred more frequently in subjects randomized to the HU-containing arm (32.4%), than in those taking IDV + ddI + d4T (17.6%) or IDV + ZDV + 3TC (7.6%). The time to treatment failure was shorter for the HU-containing arm compared with the IDV + ZDV + 3TC (P < 0.0001) or IDV + ddI + d4T arms (P = 0.032). Dose-limiting toxicities rather than virologic rebound accounted for the differences between treatment failure among the study arms. Pancreatitis led to treatment discontinuation in 4% of subjects in treatment arms containing ddI + d4T. Three subjects with pancreatitis died, all randomized to the HU-containing arm. CONCLUSIONS: Switching to IDV + ddI + d4T + HU in patients treated with IDV + ZDV + 3TC was associated with a worse outcome, principally because of drug toxicity.

Prevalence and predictive value of intermittent viremia with combination hiv therapy.

CONTEXT: In HIV-infected patients having virologic suppression (plasma HIV RNA <50 copies/mL) with antiretroviral therapy, intermittent episodes of low-level viremia have been correlated with slower decay rates of latently infected cells and increased levels of viral evolution, but the clinical significance of these episodes is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine if HIV-infected patients with intermittent viremia have a higher risk of virologic failure (confirmed HIV RNA >200 copies/mL). DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective analysis of subjects in well-characterized cohorts, the AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG) 343 trial of induction-maintenance therapy (August 1997 to November 1998) and the Merck 035 trial (ongoing since March 1995). PATIENTS: Two hundred forty-one ACTG 343 patients, of whom 101 received triple-drug therapy throughout the study, and a small group of 13 patients from Merck 035 having virologic suppression after 6 months of indinavir-zidovudine-lamivudine. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Association of intermittent viremia (plasma HIV RNA >50 copies/mL with a subsequent measure <50 copies/mL) with virologic failure (2 consecutive plasma HIV RNA measures >200 copies/mL) in both study groups; evidence of drug resistance in 7 patients from the small (n = 13) study group with long-term follow-up. RESULTS: Intermittent viremia occurred in 96 (40%) of the 241 ACTG 343 patients of whom 32 (13%) had 2 consecutive HIV RNA values >50 copies/mL during the median 84 weeks of observation (median duration of observation after first intermittent viremia episode was 46 weeks). Of the 101 individuals receiving triple-drug therapy throughout, 29% had intermittent viremia; the proportion of episodes occurring during the maintenance period was 64% for the entire cohort and 68% for the group not receiving triple-drug therapy throughout vs 55% for those who did (P =.25). Intermittent viremia did not predict virologic failure: 10 (10.4%) of 96 patients with and 20 (13.8%) of 145 patients without intermittent viremia had virologic failure (relative risk, 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.29-1.72). In a Cox proportional hazards model, the risk for virologic failure was not significantly greater in the ACTG 343 patients with intermittent viremia (hazard ratio, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.59-2.79). Median viral load in 10 ACTG 343 patients assessed between 24 and 60 weeks of therapy using an ultrasensitive 2.5-copies/mL detection level assay was 23 copies/mL in those with intermittent viremia vs <2.5 copies/mL in those without (P =.15). Intermittent viremia occurred in 6 of 13 patients from the small study group assessed after 76 to 260 weeks of therapy (using the 2.5-copies/mL detection level assay) and was associated with a higher steady state of viral replication (P =.03), but not virologic failure over 4.5 years of observation. Viral DNA sequences from 7 patients did not show evolution of drug resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Intermittent viremia occurred frequently and was associated with higher levels of replication (Merck 035), but was not associated with virologic failure in patients receiving initial combination therapy of indinavir-zidovudine-lamivudine (ACTG 343 and Merck 035). In this population, treatment changes may not be necessary to maintain long-term virologic suppression with low-level or intermittent viremia.

Evidence for positive selection driving the evolution of HIV-1 env under potent antiviral therapy.

In HIV-infected individuals treated with potent antiretroviral therapy, viable virus can be isolated from latently infected cells several years into therapy, due to the long life of these cells, ongoing replication replenishing this population, or both. We have analysed the V3 region of the HIV-1 env gene isolated from six patients who have undergone 2 years of potent antiretroviral therapy without frank failure of viral suppression. We show that in two (and possibly three) patients, the sequence changes between baseline virus and virus isolated from infected cells persisting 2 years into infection result from positive selection driving adaptive evolution, occurring either prior to or during therapy. Our analyses suggest low-level replication despite absence of drug resistance due to drug sanctuary sites, or to low-level ongoing replication in the presence of alterations in the selective environment during therapy, perhaps due to a decline in HIV-specific immune responsiveness or changes in target cell pools. In one patient, genetic divergence between baseline plasma and infected cells isolated during therapy may reflect the long half-life of some of these persistent cell populations and the divergence of viral subpopulations that occurred prior to therapy.

Patterns of plasma human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA response to antiretroviral therapy.

Early identification of treatment failure among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1--infected patients receiving antiretroviral therapy could enable clinicians to modify inadequate regimens and to improve treatment response. Clinical definitions of treatment failure, however, may not be ideally suited for this purpose. This study empirically characterizes the patterns of HIV-1 RNA response to antiretroviral therapy in patients in 4 AIDS clinical trials. The approach assumed 2 patterns of HIV-1 response: "on track," for eventual suppression to HIV-1 RNA levels below the limit of quantification, and "off track," for deviation from this response. The results of this on- or off-track classification generally agreed with the protocol-defined outcomes of virologic success and failure, thus validating these commonly used definitions. Overall, only a minority of patients went off track because of suboptimal HIV-1 RNA response by the first follow-up visit. Most patients who went off track did so at later time points and had sharp unexpected rebounds without prior indication of a suboptimal response.

Residual human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Type 1 RNA and DNA in lymph nodes and HIV RNA in genital secretions and in cerebrospinal fluid after suppression of viremia for 2 years.

Residual viral replication persists in a significant proportion of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients receiving potent antiretroviral therapy. To determine the source of this virus, levels of HIV RNA and DNA from lymphoid tissues and levels of viral RNA in serum, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and genital secretions in 28 patients treated for < or =2.5 years with indinavir, zidovudine, and lamivudine were examined. Both HIV RNA and DNA remained detectable in all lymph nodes. In contrast, HIV RNA was not detected in 20 of 23 genital secretions or in any of 13 CSF samples after 2 years of treatment. HIV envelope sequence data from plasma and lymph nodes from 4 patients demonstrated sequence divergence, which suggests varying degrees of residual viral replication in 3 and absence in 1 patient. In patients receiving potent antiretroviral therapy, the greatest virus burden may continue to be in lymphoid tissues rather than in central nervous system or genitourinary compartments.

Productive infection of T cells in lymphoid tissues during primary and early human immunodeficiency virus infection.

Current models suggest that during human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) transmission virions are selected that use the CCR5 chemokine receptor on macrophages and/or dendritic cells. A gradual evolution to CXCR4 chemokine receptor use causes a shift in the proportion of productively infected cells to the CD4 cell population. Productively infected cells during acute and early infection in lymphoid tissue were assessed, as well as the impact of productive infection on the T cell population in 21 persons who had biopsies performed on days 2-280 after symptoms of acute HIV-1 seroconversion. Even in the earliest stages of infection, most productively infected cells were T lymphocytes. There were sufficient infected cells in lymphoid tissue (LT) to account for virus production and virus load in plasma. Despite the relatively high frequency of productively infected cells in LT, the impact on the size of the T cell population in LT at this stage was minor.

Serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-10, tumor necrosis factor (TNF) alpha, soluble type II TNF receptor, and transforming growth factor beta levels in human immunodeficiency virus type 1-infected individuals with Mycobacterium avium complex disease.

To characterize changes in serum cytokine levels in human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-infected persons with Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) bacteremia, the levels of IL-1alpha (interleukin-1alpha), IL-6, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha), soluble type II TNF receptor (sTNF-RII), and transforming growth factor beta (TGF-beta) in serum were measured in two cohorts of HIV-1-infected persons with MAC bacteremia. The first cohort was part of a MAC prophylaxis study. Patients with bacteremia were matched with controls without bacteremia. Elevated IL-6, IL-10, TNF-alpha, sTNF-RII, and TGF-beta levels were noted at baseline for all subjects, a result consistent with advanced HIV-1 disease. IL-1alpha was not detected. No differences in cytokine levels in serum were noted at baseline and at the time of bacteremia between patients with MAC and controls. In the second cohort, subjects had serum samples collected at the time of MAC bacteremia and thereafter while on macrolide therapy. Serum samples at time of bacteremia were collected from HIV-1-infected persons at a time when neither highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) nor MAC prophylaxis was used routinely. MAC treatment resulted in decreased levels of IL-6 and TNF-alpha in serum, which were evident for IL-6 by 4 to 6 weeks and for TNF-alpha by 8 to 16 weeks. Thus, antibiotic treatment for MAC results in decreased levels of IL-6 and TNF-alpha in serum in HIV-1-infected persons who are not on HAART.

Effect of potent antiretroviral therapy on immune responses to Mycobacterium avium in human immunodeficiency virus-infected subjects.

To characterize the influence of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on cell-mediated immunity (CMI) to Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC), we measured immune responses to M. avium in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals before and during HAART, in subjects with a history of disseminated MAC (DMAC), and in HIV-uninfected control subjects. Forty-seven percent of untreated HIV-infected patients and 78% of control subjects exhibited in vitro proliferative responses to M. avium (P=.03). Proliferative responses to M. avium increased after HAART for 3 months and were present in 77% of subjects after 6 months. Mean interferon-gamma production increased from 199 to 1156 pg/mL after HAART (P=.06). Proliferative responses to M. avium occurred in 76% of DMAC subjects receiving HAART. CD4 and CD8 but not gammadelta T cells expanded in response to M. avium. CMI to M. avium reconstitutes rapidly after HAART and appears sustained even with partial viral suppression.

Dynamics of HIV-1 viral load rebound among patients with previous suppression of viral replication.

OBJECTIVE: To model the dynamics of HIV-1 rebound in patients receiving suboptimal therapy after suppression of plasma viremia to < 200 copies/ml by triple combination therapy. DESIGN: Mathematical modeling of data from 23 patients switched to indinavir maintenance therapy after viral replication was suppressed with a combination of indinavir, zidovudine and lamivudine. Modeling of HIV-1 rebound among 24 patients on zidovudine/lamivudine maintenance was also performed for comparison. METHODS: Evaluation of slopes of rebound and of their heterogeneity; calculation of the basic reproductive number (Ro, the number of newly infected cells arising from each productively infected cell); regression analyses for predictors of the slope of rebound. RESULTS: Rebound of plasma HIV RNA followed a sigmoid curve with an initial exponential phase. There was significant heterogeneity in the slopes of rebound for individual patients (P < 0.001). In the indinavir maintenance rebounds, the average initial slope was estimated to be 0.587/day (doubling time 1.2 days). The slopes of rebound in patients on zidovudine/lamivudine maintenance tended to be less steep on average (P = 0.025). Among patients taking indinavir maintenance, the average Ro for the initial rebound of viremia was 4.3; in multivariate regressions, the slope of rebound was steeper during early rebound and in patients with higher viral load at the start of triple therapy or a higher CD4 cell count when indinavir monotherapy was initiated. The slope was less steep in patients with a greater increase in the number of CD4 cells during triple therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of viral load increase among patients with viral rebound while receiving less than triple therapy are similar to those reported in patients interrupting therapy. Variability among patients may depend on viral fitness, target cell availability and extent of immune reconstitution.