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1.
Dev Cogn Neurosci ; 32: 16-22, 2018 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29703560

RESUMO

The ABCD study is a new and ongoing project of very substantial size and scale involving 21 data acquisition sites. It aims to recruit 11,500 children and follow them for ten years with extensive assessments at multiple timepoints. To deliver on its potential to adequately describe adolescent development, it is essential that it adopt recruitment procedures that are efficient and effective and will yield a sample that reflects the nation's diversity in an epidemiologically informed manner. Here, we describe the sampling plans and recruitment procedures of this study. Participants are largely recruited through the school systems with school selection informed by gender, race and ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and urbanicity. Procedures for school selection designed to mitigate selection biases, dynamic monitoring of the accumulating sample to correct deviations from recruitment targets, and a description of the recruitment procedures designed to foster a collaborative attitude between the researchers, the schools and the local communities, are provided.


Assuntos
Desenvolvimento do Adolescente/fisiologia , Encéfalo/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Cognição/fisiologia , Seleção de Pacientes , Adolescente , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino
2.
Psychol Med ; 47(15): 2663-2674, 2017 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28502265

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The suicide rate has increased significantly among US Army soldiers over the past decade. Here we report the first results from a large psychological autopsy study using two control groups designed to reveal risk factors for suicide death among soldiers beyond known sociodemographic factors and the presence of suicide ideation. METHODS: Informants were next-of-kin and Army supervisors for: 135 suicide cases, 137 control soldiers propensity-score-matched on known sociodemographic risk factors for suicide and Army history variables, and 118 control soldiers who reported suicide ideation in the past year. RESULTS: Results revealed that most (79.3%) soldiers who died by suicide have a prior mental disorder; mental disorders in the prior 30-days were especially strong risk factors for suicide death. Approximately half of suicide decedents tell someone that they are considering suicide. Virtually all of the risk factors identified in this study differed between suicide cases and propensity-score-matched controls, but did not significantly differ between suicide cases and suicide ideators. The most striking difference between suicides and ideators was the presence in the former of an internalizing disorder (especially depression) and multi-morbidity (i.e. 3+ disorders) in the past 30 days. CONCLUSIONS: Most soldiers who die by suicide have identifiable mental disorders shortly before their death and tell others about their suicidal thinking, suggesting that there are opportunities for prevention and intervention. However, few risk factors distinguish between suicide ideators and decedents, pointing to an important direction for future research.


Assuntos
Transtorno Depressivo/epidemiologia , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Ideação Suicida , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Multimorbidade , Prevalência , Pontuação de Propensão , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
3.
Psychol Med ; 47(13): 2379-2392, 2017 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28443533

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The stress sensitization theory hypothesizes that individuals exposed to childhood adversity will be more vulnerable to mental disorders from proximal stressors. We aimed to test this theory with respect to risk of 30-day major depressive episode (MDE) and generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) among new US Army soldiers. METHODS: The sample consisted of 30 436 new soldier recruits in the Army Study to Assess Risk and Resilience (Army STARRS). Generalized linear models were constructed, and additive interactions between childhood maltreatment profiles and level of 12-month stressful experiences on the risk of 30-day MDE and GAD were analyzed. RESULTS: Stress sensitization was observed in models of past 30-day MDE (χ2 8 = 17.6, p = 0.025) and GAD (χ2 8 = 26.8, p = 0.001). This sensitization only occurred at high (3+) levels of reported 12-month stressful experiences. In pairwise comparisons for the risk of 30-day MDE, the risk difference between 3+ stressful experiences and no stressful experiences was significantly greater for all maltreatment profiles relative to No Maltreatment. Similar results were found with the risk for 30-day GAD with the exception of the risk difference for Episodic Emotional and Sexual Abuse, which did not differ statistically from No Maltreatment. CONCLUSIONS: New soldiers are at an increased risk of 30-day MDE or GAD following recent stressful experiences if they were exposed to childhood maltreatment. Particularly in the military with an abundance of unique stressors, attempts to identify this population and improve stress management may be useful in the effort to reduce the risk of mental disorders.


Assuntos
Adultos Sobreviventes de Eventos Adversos na Infância/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos de Ansiedade/epidemiologia , Transtorno Depressivo Maior/epidemiologia , Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Estresse Psicológico/epidemiologia , Adulto , Transtornos de Ansiedade/etiologia , Transtorno Depressivo Maior/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Risco , Estresse Psicológico/complicações , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
4.
Psychol Med ; 46(2): 303-16, 2016 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26436603

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although interventions exist to reduce violent crime, optimal implementation requires accurate targeting. We report the results of an attempt to develop an actuarial model using machine learning methods to predict future violent crimes among US Army soldiers. METHOD: A consolidated administrative database for all 975 057 soldiers in the US Army in 2004-2009 was created in the Army Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers (Army STARRS). Of these soldiers, 5771 committed a first founded major physical violent crime (murder-manslaughter, kidnapping, aggravated arson, aggravated assault, robbery) over that time period. Temporally prior administrative records measuring socio-demographic, Army career, criminal justice, medical/pharmacy, and contextual variables were used to build an actuarial model for these crimes separately among men and women using machine learning methods (cross-validated stepwise regression, random forests, penalized regressions). The model was then validated in an independent 2011-2013 sample. RESULTS: Key predictors were indicators of disadvantaged social/socioeconomic status, early career stage, prior crime, and mental disorder treatment. Area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.80-0.82 in 2004-2009 and 0.77 in the 2011-2013 validation sample. Of all administratively recorded crimes, 36.2-33.1% (male-female) were committed by the 5% of soldiers having the highest predicted risk in 2004-2009 and an even higher proportion (50.5%) in the 2011-2013 validation sample. CONCLUSIONS: Although these results suggest that the models could be used to target soldiers at high risk of violent crime perpetration for preventive interventions, final implementation decisions would require further validation and weighing of predicted effectiveness against intervention costs and competing risks.


Assuntos
Piromania/epidemiologia , Homicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Classe Social , Violência/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Área Sob a Curva , Crime/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/terapia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Curva ROC , Análise de Regressão , Medição de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
5.
Psychol Med ; 45(15): 3293-304, 2015 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26190760

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Civilian suicide rates vary by occupation in ways related to occupational stress exposure. Comparable military research finds suicide rates elevated in combat arms occupations. However, no research has evaluated variation in this pattern by deployment history, the indicator of occupation stress widely considered responsible for the recent rise in the military suicide rate. METHOD: The joint associations of Army occupation and deployment history in predicting suicides were analysed in an administrative dataset for the 729 337 male enlisted Regular Army soldiers in the US Army between 2004 and 2009. RESULTS: There were 496 suicides over the study period (22.4/100 000 person-years). Only two occupational categories, both in combat arms, had significantly elevated suicide rates: infantrymen (37.2/100 000 person-years) and combat engineers (38.2/100 000 person-years). However, the suicide rates in these two categories were significantly lower when currently deployed (30.6/100 000 person-years) than never deployed or previously deployed (41.2-39.1/100 000 person-years), whereas the suicide rate of other soldiers was significantly higher when currently deployed and previously deployed (20.2-22.4/100 000 person-years) than never deployed (14.5/100 000 person-years), resulting in the adjusted suicide rate of infantrymen and combat engineers being most elevated when never deployed [odds ratio (OR) 2.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1-4.1], less so when previously deployed (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.1), and not at all when currently deployed (OR 1.2, 95% CI 0.8-1.8). Adjustment for a differential 'healthy warrior effect' cannot explain this variation in the relative suicide rates of never-deployed infantrymen and combat engineers by deployment status. CONCLUSIONS: Efforts are needed to elucidate the causal mechanisms underlying this interaction to guide preventive interventions for soldiers at high suicide risk.


Assuntos
Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ocupações/estatística & dados numéricos , Resiliência Psicológica , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Department of Defense/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
6.
Psychol Med ; 45(4): 717-26, 2015 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25359554

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Army Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers (Army STARRS) has found that the proportional elevation in the US Army enlisted soldier suicide rate during deployment (compared with the never-deployed or previously deployed) is significantly higher among women than men, raising the possibility of gender differences in the adverse psychological effects of deployment. METHOD: Person-month survival models based on a consolidated administrative database for active duty enlisted Regular Army soldiers in 2004-2009 (n = 975,057) were used to characterize the gender × deployment interaction predicting suicide. Four explanatory hypotheses were explored involving the proportion of females in each soldier's occupation, the proportion of same-gender soldiers in each soldier's unit, whether the soldier reported sexual assault victimization in the previous 12 months, and the soldier's pre-deployment history of treated mental/behavioral disorders. RESULTS: The suicide rate of currently deployed women (14.0/100,000 person-years) was 3.1-3.5 times the rates of other (i.e. never-deployed/previously deployed) women. The suicide rate of currently deployed men (22.6/100,000 person-years) was 0.9-1.2 times the rates of other men. The adjusted (for time trends, sociodemographics, and Army career variables) female:male odds ratio comparing the suicide rates of currently deployed v. other women v. men was 2.8 (95% confidence interval 1.1-6.8), became 2.4 after excluding soldiers with Direct Combat Arms occupations, and remained elevated (in the range 1.9-2.8) after adjusting for the hypothesized explanatory variables. CONCLUSIONS: These results are valuable in excluding otherwise plausible hypotheses for the elevated suicide rate of deployed women and point to the importance of expanding future research on the psychological challenges of deployment for women.


Assuntos
Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Department of Defense/estatística & dados numéricos
7.
Psychol Med ; 44(12): 2579-92, 2014 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25055175

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The US Army suicide rate has increased sharply in recent years. Identifying significant predictors of Army suicides in Army and Department of Defense (DoD) administrative records might help focus prevention efforts and guide intervention content. Previous studies of administrative data, although documenting significant predictors, were based on limited samples and models. A career history perspective is used here to develop more textured models. METHOD: The analysis was carried out as part of the Historical Administrative Data Study (HADS) of the Army Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers (Army STARRS). De-identified data were combined across numerous Army and DoD administrative data systems for all Regular Army soldiers on active duty in 2004-2009. Multivariate associations of sociodemographics and Army career variables with suicide were examined in subgroups defined by time in service, rank and deployment history. RESULTS: Several novel results were found that could have intervention implications. The most notable of these were significantly elevated suicide rates (69.6-80.0 suicides per 100 000 person-years compared with 18.5 suicides per 100 000 person-years in the total Army) among enlisted soldiers deployed either during their first year of service or with less than expected (based on time in service) junior enlisted rank; a substantially greater rise in suicide among women than men during deployment; and a protective effect of marriage against suicide only during deployment. CONCLUSIONS: A career history approach produces several actionable insights missed in less textured analyses of administrative data predictors. Expansion of analyses to a richer set of predictors might help refine understanding of intervention implications.


Assuntos
Militares/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade/tendências , Fatores de Risco , Suicídio/tendências , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
8.
Osteoarthritis Cartilage ; 20(7): 614-21, 2012 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22521953

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship of knee osteoarthritis (OA) with cardiovascular and metabolic risk factors by obesity status and gender. METHODS: Data from 1,066 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III participants (≥60 years of age) was used to examine relationships of osteophytes-defined radiographic knee OA and cardiovascular and metabolic measures. Analyses were considered among obese [body mass index (BMI)≥30 kg/m(2)] and non-obese (BMI<30 kg/m(2)) men and women. RESULTS: The prevalence of osteophytes-defined radiographic knee OA was 34%. Leptin levels and homeostatic model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), a proxy measure of insulin resistance, were significantly associated with knee OA; those with knee OA had 35% higher HOMA-IR values and 52% higher leptin levels compared to those without knee OA. The magnitude of the association between HOMA-IR and knee OA was strongest among men, regardless of obesity status; odds ratios (ORs) for HOMA-IR were 34% greater among non-obese men (OR=1.18) vs obese women (OR=0.88). Among obese women, a 5-µg/L higher leptin was associated with nearly 30% higher odds of having knee OA (OR=1.28). Among men, ORs for the association of leptin and knee OA were in the opposite direction. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiometabolic dysfunction is related to osteophytes-defined radiographic knee OA prevalence and persists within subgroups defined by obesity status and gender. A sex dimorphism in the direction and magnitude of cardiometabolic risk factors with respect to knee OA was described including HOMA-IR being associated with OA prevalence among men while leptin levels were most important among women.


Assuntos
Obesidade/complicações , Osteoartrite do Joelho/etiologia , Osteófito/etiologia , Caracteres Sexuais , Idoso , Índice de Massa Corporal , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Resistência à Insulina/fisiologia , Leptina/sangue , Lipídeos/sangue , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Obesidade/fisiopatologia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/sangue , Osteoartrite do Joelho/epidemiologia , Osteoartrite do Joelho/fisiopatologia , Osteófito/sangue , Osteófito/epidemiologia , Osteófito/fisiopatologia , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
10.
Mol Psychiatry ; 16(12): 1234-46, 2011 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20938433

RESUMO

Days out of role because of health problems are a major source of lost human capital. We examined the relative importance of commonly occurring physical and mental disorders in accounting for days out of role in 24 countries that participated in the World Health Organization (WHO) World Mental Health (WMH) surveys. Face-to-face interviews were carried out with 62 971 respondents (72.0% pooled response rate). Presence of ten chronic physical disorders and nine mental disorders was assessed for each respondent along with information about the number of days in the past month each respondent reported being totally unable to work or carry out their other normal daily activities because of problems with either physical or mental health. Multiple regression analysis was used to estimate associations of specific conditions and comorbidities with days out of role, controlling by basic socio-demographics (age, gender, employment status and country). Overall, 12.8% of respondents had some day totally out of role, with a median of 51.1 a year. The strongest individual-level effects (days out of role per year) were associated with neurological disorders (17.4), bipolar disorder (17.3) and post-traumatic stress disorder (15.2). The strongest population-level effect was associated with pain conditions, which accounted for 21.5% of all days out of role (population attributable risk proportion). The 19 conditions accounted for 62.2% of all days out of role. Common health conditions, including mental disorders, make up a large proportion of the number of days out of role across a wide range of countries and should be addressed to substantially increase overall productivity.


Assuntos
Absenteísmo , Doença Crônica/psicologia , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência
11.
Psychol Med ; 41(4): 873-86, 2011 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20553636

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The methodology commonly used to estimate disease burden, featuring ratings of severity of individual conditions, has been criticized for ignoring co-morbidity. A methodology that addresses this problem is proposed and illustrated here with data from the World Health Organization World Mental Health Surveys. Although the analysis is based on self-reports about one's own conditions in a community survey, the logic applies equally well to analysis of hypothetical vignettes describing co-morbid condition profiles. METHOD: Face-to-face interviews in 13 countries (six developing, nine developed; n=31 067; response rate=69.6%) assessed 10 classes of chronic physical and nine of mental conditions. A visual analog scale (VAS) was used to assess overall perceived health. Multiple regression analysis with interactions for co-morbidity was used to estimate associations of conditions with VAS. Simulation was used to estimate condition-specific effects. RESULTS: The best-fitting model included condition main effects and interactions of types by numbers of conditions. Neurological conditions, insomnia and major depression were rated most severe. Adjustment for co-morbidity reduced condition-specific estimates with substantial between-condition variation (0.24-0.70 ratios of condition-specific estimates with and without adjustment for co-morbidity). The societal-level burden rankings were quite different from the individual-level rankings, with the highest societal-level rankings associated with conditions having high prevalence rather than high individual-level severity. CONCLUSIONS: Plausible estimates of disorder-specific effects on VAS can be obtained using methods that adjust for co-morbidity. These adjustments substantially influence condition-specific ratings.


Assuntos
Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Análise de Variância , Comorbidade , Comparação Transcultural , Transtorno Depressivo Maior/epidemiologia , Feminino , Alocação de Recursos para a Atenção à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Política de Saúde , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso/epidemiologia , Medição da Dor , Distúrbios do Início e da Manutenção do Sono/epidemiologia , Cobertura Universal do Seguro de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
12.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol ; 43(11): 889-97, 2008 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18677573

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The proportion of people with mental disorders in treatment is relatively small in low and middle income countries. However, little is known about patterns of recent service use in a country like South Africa. METHODS: A nationally representative household survey of 4,351 adult South Africans was carried out. Twelve-month DSM-IV disorders were determined using the WHO composite international diagnostic interview (CIDI). Prevalence and correlates of treatment were assessed among respondents with anxiety, mood and substance use disorders. RESULTS: One-fourth (25.5%) of respondents with a 12-month disorder had received treatment in the past 12 months either from a psychiatrist (3.8%), nonpsychiatrist mental health specialist (2.9%), general medical provider (16.6%), human services provider (6.6%), or complementary-alternative medical (CAM) provider (5.9%). Only 27.6% of severe cases had received any treatment. In addition, 13.4% of respondents with no disorder had accessed services in the past year. Blacks were significantly more likely than other racial groups to access the CAM sector while Whites were more likely to have seen a psychiatrist. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of South Africans with a 12-month mental disorder have unmet treatment needs. In addition to a greater allocation of resources to mental health services, more community outreach and awareness initiatives are needed.


Assuntos
Transtornos de Ansiedade/terapia , Terapias Complementares/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos do Humor/terapia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Transtornos de Ansiedade/diagnóstico , Transtornos de Ansiedade/epidemiologia , População Negra/psicologia , População Negra/estatística & dados numéricos , Diagnóstico Duplo (Psiquiatria) , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Entrevista Psicológica , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Transtornos do Humor/diagnóstico , Transtornos do Humor/epidemiologia , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Estresse Psicológico , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/diagnóstico , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , População Branca/psicologia , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
13.
Psychol Med ; 38(2): 211-20, 2008 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17903333

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: South Africa's history and current social conditions suggest that mental disorders are likely to be a major contributor to disease burden, but there has been no national study using standardized assessment tools. METHOD: The South African Stress and Health Study was a nationally representative in-person psychiatric epidemiological survey of 4351 adults (aged 18 years) that was conducted as part of the WHO World Mental Health (WMH) Survey Initiative between January 2002 and June 2004. Twelve-month prevalence and severity of DSM-IV disorders, treatment, and sociodemographic correlates were assessed with Version 3.0 of the WHO Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI 3.0). RESULTS: The 12-month prevalence of any DSM-IV/CIDI disorder was 16.5%, with 26.2% of respondents with disorder classified as severe cases and an additional 31.1% as moderately severe cases. The most common disorders were agoraphobia (4.8%), major depressive disorder (4.9%) and alcohol abuse or dependence (4.5%). Twenty-eight percent of adults with a severe or moderately severe disorder received treatment compared to 24.4% of mild cases. Some 13.8% of persons with no disorder received treatment. Treatment was mostly provided by the general medical sector with few people receiving treatment from mental health providers. CONCLUSIONS: Psychiatric disorders are much higher in South Africa than in Nigeria and there is a high level of unmet need among persons with severe and moderately severe disorders.


Assuntos
Nível de Saúde , Transtornos Mentais/etnologia , Estações do Ano , Estresse Psicológico/psicologia , Adulto , Idoso , Demografia , Manual Diagnóstico e Estatístico de Transtornos Mentais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/diagnóstico , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Serviços de Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Prevalência , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Estresse Psicológico/diagnóstico , Estresse Psicológico/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo
14.
Neuroepidemiology ; 29(1-2): 125-32, 2007.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17975326

RESUMO

AIM: To estimate the prevalence of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other dementias in the USA using a nationally representative sample. METHODS: The Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study sample was composed of 856 individuals aged 71 years and older from the nationally representative Health and Retirement Study (HRS) who were evaluated for dementia using a comprehensive in-home assessment. An expert consensus panel used this information to assign a diagnosis of normal cognition, cognitive impairment but not demented, or dementia (and dementia subtype). Using sampling weights derived from the HRS, we estimated the national prevalence of dementia, AD and vascular dementia by age and gender. RESULTS: The prevalence of dementia among individuals aged 71 and older was 13.9%, comprising about 3.4 million individuals in the USA in 2002. The corresponding values for AD were 9.7% and 2.4 million individuals. Dementia prevalence increased with age, from 5.0% of those aged 71-79 years to 37.4% of those aged 90 and older. CONCLUSIONS: Dementia prevalence estimates from this first nationally representative population-based study of dementia in the USA to include subjects from all regions of the country can provide essential information for effective planning for the impending healthcare needs of the large and increasing number of individuals at risk for dementia as our population ages.


Assuntos
Demência/epidemiologia , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Demência/diagnóstico , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Prevalência , Distribuição por Sexo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
15.
Am J Epidemiol ; 154(7): 610-7, 2001 Oct 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11581094

RESUMO

A case-control study was conducted among 205 women in Michigan and Ohio who were diagnosed with undifferentiated connective tissue disease (UCTD) to investigate the significance of self-reported past exposures to implanted silicone-containing or non-silicone-containing medical devices. The 205 UCTD cases were compared with 2,095 controls who were sampled by random digit dialing. When silicone-containing devices, including shunts and catheters, were analyzed collectively, a significant association was observed (odds ratio (OR) = 2.81, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.34, 5.89). The odds ratio for exposure to breast implants was increased, but not significantly (OR = 2.22, 95% CI: 0.65, 7.57). Among the non-silicone-containing devices, artificial joints (OR = 5.01, 95% CI: 1.60, 15.71) and orthopedic metallic fixation devices (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.05, 3.60) were associated with UCTD. The estimations of risk associated with implanted medical devices in UCTD cases were explored in a comparison with 660 scleroderma patients who were ascertained concurrently in Michigan and Ohio. In general, the associations that were observed with non-silicone-containing devices, and more specifically with the fixation devices, persisted in the comparison of UCTD cases with scleroderma patients. The studies conducted among populations in Michigan and Ohio are intended to stimulate new hypotheses, innovative approaches, and the fostering of understanding of the environmental determinants of autoimmune disease.


Assuntos
Doenças do Tecido Conjuntivo/etiologia , Próteses e Implantes/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Implantes de Mama/efeitos adversos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Doenças do Tecido Conjuntivo/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Prótese Articular/efeitos adversos , Michigan/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Ohio/epidemiologia , Dispositivos de Fixação Ortopédica/efeitos adversos , Fatores de Risco , Escleroderma Sistêmico/etiologia , Silicones/efeitos adversos
16.
Urology ; 57(1): 91-6, 2001 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11164150

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Previous studies have observed higher age-specific serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values in African-American (AA) men without prostate cancer compared to white men, leading some to recommend race-specific PSA reference ranges for the early detection of prostate cancer. The primary objective of the Flint Men's Health Study was to determine age-specific PSA reference values in a community-based sample of AA men, aged 40 to 79 years. METHODS: A probability sample of 943 AA men was selected from households in Genesee County, Michigan. Men without a prior history of prostate cancer/surgery were invited to participate in a prostate cancer screening protocol, consisting of measurement of serum total PSA, free/total PSA ratio, and digital rectal examination. Sextant biopsies were recommended, based on total PSA greater than 4.0 ng/mL and/or an abnormal digital rectal examination. RESULTS: From the sample of 943 men, 732 were eligible, 432 had blood drawn for PSA testing, and 374 completed all phases of the clinical examination. The 95th percentile PSA values were estimated to range from 2.36 ng/mL for men in the fifth decade to 5.59 ng/mL for men in the eighth decade. The 95th percentile values for age-specific PSA were comparable to those observed in a similar study of white men in Olmsted County, Minnesota. The median and 5th percentile values for free/total PSA did not vary significantly across age. CONCLUSIONS: The minor differences in PSA reference ranges between AA and white men may not be of sufficient magnitude to recommend the use of race-specific PSA reference ranges for screening.


Assuntos
População Negra , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Palpação , Neoplasias da Próstata/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Valores de Referência , População Branca
17.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 54(2): 142-8, 2001 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11166529

RESUMO

The first phase of the Flint Men's Health Study (FMHS) in Michigan was a community-based epidemiologic study of prostate cancer and benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) in African-Americans aged 40 to 79 years. An objective of the FMHS was to determine age-specified prostate specific antigen (PSA) reference ranges in a random population sample of African-American men without clinically evident prostate cancer. The FMHS study protocol included an initial in-home epidemiologic interview followed by PSA testing and a urologic examination of eligible subjects. Since the participation rate in the PSA phase of the study was under 60%, it was important to determine whether selectivity in participation biased the FMHS results for age-specific PSA distributions. Logistic regression analyses were used to investigate selectivity in the sample of subjects who participated in the PSA testing and urologic examination. Younger men, with current urologic symptoms, and with a family history of prostate cancer were more likely to participate in the PSA testing and urologic examination. Linear regression analysis indicated that greater participation by African-American men without clinically evident prostate cancer but with obstructive or irritative lower urinary tract symptoms or a family history of prostate cancer did not bias the estimated age-specific reference ranges for total PSA concentrations and free-to-total PSA ratios.


Assuntos
População Negra , Vigilância da População/métodos , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Hiperplasia Prostática/sangue , Hiperplasia Prostática/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Viés de Seleção , Adulto , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , População Negra/genética , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Michigan/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Exame Físico , Hiperplasia Prostática/genética , Neoplasias da Próstata/genética , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Estudos de Amostragem , Inquéritos e Questionários
18.
Am J Public Health ; 88(11): 1691-5, 1998 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9807538

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We tested the hypothesis that among older workers, disabilities in general, and hearing and visual impairments in particular, are risk factors for occupational injuries. METHODS: Using the first 2 interviews of the Health and Retirement Study, a nationally representative survey of Americans aged 51 to 61 years, we conducted a prospective cohort study of 5600 employed nonfarmers. RESULTS: Testing a logistic regression model developed in a previous cross-sectional study, we found that the following occupations and risk factors were associated with occupational injury as estimated by odds ratios: service personnel, odds ratio = 1.71 (95% confidence interval = 1.13, 2.57); mechanics and repairers, 3.47 (1.98, 6.10); operators and assemblers, 2.33 (1.51, 3.61); laborers, 3.16 (1.67, 5.98); jobs requiring heavy lifting, 2.05 (1.55, 2.70); self-employment, 0.50 (0.34, 0.73); and self-reported disability, 1.58 (1.14, 2.19). Replacing the general disability variable with specific hearing and visual impairment variables, we found that poor hearing (1.35 [0.95, 1.93]) and poor sight (1.45 [0.94, 2.22]) both had elevated odds ratios. CONCLUSIONS: Poor sight and poor hearing, as well as work disabilities in general, are associated with occupational injuries among older workers.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trabalho/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Análise de Variância , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Estudos Prospectivos , Aposentadoria , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
19.
Am J Epidemiol ; 146(5): 439-49, 1997 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9290504

RESUMO

The authors studied weighting adjustments for the National Comorbidity Survey (1990-1992), a large-scale national epidemiologic investigation of the prevalence, risk factors, and consequences of psychiatric morbidity and comorbidity in the United States. Weighting adjustments for differential selection within households, new construction, unit nonresponse, and poststratification were examined separately and in combination. Specific issues addressed included the magnitude of the bias incurred from ignoring the weights, the added variance from weighting and how well this was predicted by simple formulae, and the performance of methods for trimming the weights. Weights had quite modest effects on point estimates of prevalences but resulted in major increases in variance unless trimmed. The weights after trimming and poststratification appeared to work well. It is suggested that the added variance from weighting be carefully monitored in similar surveys. Alternatives to the use of trimming for controlling variance are worth exploring.


Assuntos
Comorbidade , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Projetos de Pesquisa , Viés de Seleção , Análise de Variância , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Humanos , Transtornos Mentais/complicações , Transtornos Mentais/etiologia , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
20.
J Rheumatol ; 23(11): 1904-11, 1996 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8923364

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between exposure to silicone (including breast implants) and silica and the development of scleroderma (systemic sclerosis, SSc) among women. METHODS: A population based case-control study was conducted among women in Michigan. 274 confirmed cases of SSc diagnosed between 1985 and 1991 were identified by contacting rheumatologists, hospitals, and a scleroderma support group. These cases and 1184 controls were interviewed by telephone to ascertain past exposures to silicone or silica. RESULTS: Silicone in the form of breast implants was not associated with significantly increased risk of SSc (adjusted odds ratio, 1.30; 95% confidence interval, 0.27 to 6.23). Among 20 other potential silicone exposure surveyed, self-reported exposure to silicone based glues, sealants, and caulks, manufacture or repair of windows or windshields, repairing or frequently using photocopy machines, consumption of simethicone-containing antacids, and implanted medication delivery pumps were significantly associated with SSc. However, blinded assessment of all job and hobby descriptions in terms of their potential for silicone exposure failed to support the first 3 associations, antacid consumption may have been confounded by esophageal dysmotility before the diagnosis of SSc, and other silicone containing device categories (pacemakers, central nervous system shunts, other shunts and catheters) were not significantly associated with SSc. Surgically implanted metallic fixation devices were associated with significantly reduced risk for SSc. No association was detected between SSc and silica dust exposure. CONCLUSION: Consistent with other studies, we found no increased risk of SSc among women with silicone breast implants, equivocal evidence of risk from other silicone exposures, and no evidence of risk from silica exposure.


Assuntos
Implantes de Mama/efeitos adversos , Escleroderma Sistêmico/epidemiologia , Dióxido de Silício/efeitos adversos , Silicones/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Michigan/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Exposição Ocupacional , Razão de Chances , Próteses e Implantes/efeitos adversos , Medição de Risco , Escleroderma Sistêmico/etiologia
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