Repurposing of anti-malarial drugs for the treatment of tuberculosis: realistic strategy or fanciful dead end?

BACKGROUND: Drug repurposing offers a strategic alternative to the development of novel compounds, leveraging the known safety and pharmacokinetic profiles of medications, such as linezolid and levofloxacin for tuberculosis (TB). Anti-malarial drugs, including quinolones and artemisinins, are already applied to other diseases and infections and could be promising for TB treatment. METHODS: This review included studies on the activity of anti-malarial drugs, specifically quinolones and artemisinins, against Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTC), summarizing results from in vitro, in vivo (animal models) studies, and clinical trials. Studies on drugs not primarily developed for TB (doxycycline, sulfonamides) and any novel developed compounds were excluded. Analysis focused on in vitro activity (minimal inhibitory concentrations), synergistic effects, pre-clinical activity, and clinical trials. RESULTS: Nineteen studies, including one ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial, were analysed: primarily investigating quinolones like mefloquine and chloroquine, and, to a lesser extent, artemisinins. In vitro findings revealed high MIC values for anti-malarials versus standard TB drugs, suggesting a limited activity. Synergistic effects with anti-TB drugs were modest, with some synergy observed in combinations with isoniazid or pyrazinamide. In vivo animal studies showed limited activity of anti-malarials against MTC, except for one study of the combination of chloroquine with isoniazid. CONCLUSIONS: The repurposing of anti-malarials for TB treatment is limited by high MIC values, poor synergy, and minimal in vivo effects. Concerns about potential toxicity at effective dosages and the risk of antimicrobial resistance, especially where TB and malaria overlap, further question their repurposing. These findings suggest that focusing on novel compounds might be both more beneficial and rewarding.

Aerosolization of viable Mycobacterium tuberculosis bacilli by tuberculosis clinic attendees independent of sputum-Xpert Ultra status.

Potential Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission during different pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) disease states is poorly understood. We quantified viable aerosolized Mtb from TB clinic attendees following diagnosis and through six months' follow-up thereafter. Presumptive TB patients (n=102) were classified by laboratory, radiological, and clinical features into Group A: Sputum-Xpert Ultra-positive TB (n=52), Group B: Sputum-Xpert Ultra-negative TB (n=20), or Group C: TB undiagnosed (n=30). All groups were assessed for Mtb bioaerosol release at baseline, and subsequently at 2 wk, 2 mo, and 6 mo. Groups A and B were notified to the national TB program and received standard anti-TB chemotherapy; Mtb was isolated from 92% and 90% at presentation, 87% and 74% at 2 wk, 54% and 44% at 2 mo and 32% and 20% at 6 mo, respectively. Surprisingly, similar numbers were detected in Group C not initiating TB treatment: 93%, 70%, 48% and 22% at the same timepoints. A temporal association was observed between Mtb bioaerosol release and TB symptoms in all three groups. Persistence of Mtb bioaerosol positivity was observed in ~30% of participants irrespective of TB chemotherapy. Captured Mtb bacilli were predominantly acid-fast stain-negative and poorly culturable; however, three bioaerosol samples yielded sufficient biomass following culture for whole-genome sequencing, revealing two different Mtb lineages. Detection of viable aerosolized Mtb in clinic attendees, independent of TB diagnosis, suggests that unidentified Mtb transmitters might contribute a significant attributable proportion of community exposure. Additional longitudinal studies with sputum culture-positive and -negative control participants are required to investigate this possibility.

A stool based qPCR for the diagnosis of TB in children and people living with HIV in Uganda, Eswatini and Mozambique (Stool4TB): a protocol for a multicenter diagnostic evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Children and people living with HIV (PLHIV) have an increased risk of mortality, particularly in the absence of rapid diagnosis. The main challenges of diagnosing TB in these populations are due to the unspecific and paucibacillary disease presentation and the difficulty of obtaining respiratory samples. Thus, novel diagnostic strategies, based on non-respiratory specimens could improve clinical decision making and TB outcomes in high burden TB settings. We propose a multi-country, prospective diagnostic evaluation study with a nested longitudinal cohort evaluation to assess the performance of a new stool-based qPCR, developed by researchers at Baylor College of Medicine (Houston, Texas, USA) for TB bacteriological confirmation with promising results in pilot studies. METHODS: The study will take place in high TB/HIV burden countries (Mozambique, Eswatini and Uganda) where we will enroll, over a period of 30 months, 650 PLHIV (> 15) and 1295 children under 8 years of age (irrespective of HIV status) presenting pressumptive TB. At baseline, all participants will provide clinical history, complete a physical assessment, and undergo thoracic chest X-ray imaging. To obtain bacteriological confirmation, participants will provide respiratory samples (1 for adults, 2 in children) and 1 stool sample for Xpert Ultra MTB/RIF (Cepheid, Sunnyvale, CA, USA). Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M.tb) liquid culture will only be performed in respiratory samples and lateral flow lipoarabinomannan (LF-LAM) in urine following WHO recommendations. Participants will complete 2 months follow-up if they are not diagnosed with TB, and 6 months if they are. For analytical purposes, the participants in the pediatric cohort will be classified into "confirmed tuberculosis", "unconfirmed tuberculosis" and "unlikely tuberculosis". Participants of the adult cohort will be classified as "bacteriologically confirmed TB", "clinically diagnosed TB" or "not TB". We will assess accuracy of the novel qPCR test compared to bacteriological confirmation and Tb diagnosis irrespective of laboratory results. Longitudinal qPCR results will be analyzed to assess its use as treatment response monitoring. DISCUSSION: The proposed stool-based qPCR is an innovation because both the strategy of using a non-sputum based sample and a technique specially designed to detect M.tb DNA in stool. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION DETAILS: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05047315.

Stability in care and risk of loss to follow-up among clients receiving community health worker-led differentiated HIV care: Results from a prospective cohort study in northern Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: HIV services in Tanzania are facility-based but facilities are often overcrowded. Differentiated care models (DCM) have been introduced into the National Guidelines. We piloted a Community Health Worker (CHW)-led HIV treatment club model (CHW-DCM) in an urban region, and assessed its effectiveness in comparison to the standard of care (SoC, facility-based model), in terms of stability in care, loss to follow-up (LTFU) and treatment adherence. METHODS: In two clinics in the Shinyanga region, clients established on ART (defined as stable clients by national guidelines as on first-line ART >6 months, undetectable viral load, no opportunistic infections or pregnancy, and good adherence) were offered CHW-DCM. This prospective cohort study included all stable clients who enrolled in CHW-DCM between July 2018 and March 2020 (CHW-DCM) and compared them to stable clients who remained in SoC during that period. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to analyse factors associated with continued stability in care and the risk of LTFU during 18 months of follow-up; treatment adherence was assessed by pill count and compared using Chi-square tests. RESULTS: Of 2472 stable clients, 24.5% received CHW-DCM and 75.5% SoC. CHW-DCM clients were slightly older (mean 42.8 vs. 37.9 years) and more likely to be female (36.2% vs. 32.2%). Treatment adherence was better among CHW-DCM than SoC: 96.6% versus 91.9% and 98.5% versus 92.2%, respectively (both p = 0.001). SoC clients were more likely to not remain stable over time than CHW-DCM (adjusted Hazard ratio [AHR] = 2.68; 95% CI: 1.86-3.90). There was no difference in LTFU (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] = 1.54; 95%CI: 0.82-2.93). CONCLUSION: Clients attending CHW-DCM demonstrated better stability in care and treatment adherence than SoC, and the risk of LTFU was not increased. These findings demonstrate the potential of CHW in delivering community-based HIV services in the local Tanzanian context. These results could be used to extend this CHW-DCM model to similar settings.

Effectiveness of provider-initiated versus client-initiated HIV testing by different health facility departments in Northern Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: HIV prevalence in Tanzania is still high at 4.7% among adults. Regular HIV testing is consistently advocated in the country to increase the level of awareness of HIV status, thus contributing to national HIV prevention. We report findings from three years of implementation of an HIV Test and Treat project utilizing provider-initiated and client-initiated testing and counselling (PITC and CITC). This study compared the effectiveness of PITC versus CITC in HIV case detection by the different departments of health facilities. METHOD: This retrospective cross-sectional study used health facility-based HIV testing data collected from adults aged 18 years and above between June 2017 - July 2019 in the Shinyanga region, Tanzania. Chi-square and logistic regression analysis were used to assess determinants of yield (HIV positivity). RESULTS: A total of 24,802 HIV tests were performed of which 15,814 (63.8%) were by PITC and 8,987 (36.2%) by CITC. Overall HIV positivity was 5.7%, higher among CITC at 6.6% than PITC at 5.2%. TB and IPD departments had the highest HIV positivity 11.8% and 7.8% respectively. Factors associated with a positive test were testing at a department in the facility compared to CITC, first-time test, and being or having been married compared to being single. CONCLUSION: Success in identifying HIV + patients was highest among people visiting the clinic for HIV testing (CITC) and first-time testers. With PITC, HIV + patient detection differed between departments, suggesting divergent risk profiles of respective clients and/or divergent HIV alertness of staff. This underscores the importance of increased targeting for PITC to identify HIV + patients.

Age-related changes in plasma biomarkers and their association with mortality in COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-induced mortality occurs predominantly in older patients. Several immunomodulating therapies seem less beneficial in these patients. The biological substrate behind these observations is unknown. The aim of this study was to obtain insight into the association between ageing, the host response and mortality in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We determined 43 biomarkers reflective of alterations in four pathophysiological domains: endothelial cell and coagulation activation, inflammation and organ damage, and cytokine and chemokine release. We used mediation analysis to associate ageing-driven alterations in the host response with 30-day mortality. Biomarkers associated with both ageing and mortality were validated in an intensive care unit and external cohort. RESULTS: 464 general ward patients with COVID-19 were stratified according to age decades. Increasing age was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. Ageing was associated with alterations in each of the host response domains, characterised by greater activation of the endothelium and coagulation system and stronger elevation of inflammation and organ damage markers, which was independent of an increase in age-related comorbidities. Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 and soluble thrombomodulin showed the strongest correlation with ageing and explained part of the ageing-driven increase in 30-day mortality (proportion mediated: 13.0%, 12.9% and 12.6%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Ageing is associated with a strong and broad modification of the host response to COVID-19, and specific immune changes likely contribute to increased mortality in older patients. These results may provide insight into potential age-specific immunomodulatory targets in COVID-19.

Neighbourhood risk factors of recurrent tuberculosis in Cape Town: a cohort study using geocoded notification data.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with a history of tuberculosis (TB) disease are at higher risk of developing a subsequent episode than those without. Considering the role of social and environmental factors in tuberculosis, we assessed neighbourhood-level risk factors associated with recurrent tuberculosis in Cape Town, South Africa. METHODS: This cohort consisted of patients who completed treatment for their first drug-sensitive TB episode between 2003 and 2015. Addresses were geocoded at neighbourhood level. Data on neighbourhood-level factors were obtained from the Census 2011 (household size, population density) and the City of Cape Town (Socio-Economic Index). Neighbourhood-level TB burden was calculated annually by dividing the number of notified TB episodes by the population in that neighbourhood. Multilevel survival analysis was performed with the outcome recurrent TB, defined as a second episode of TB, and controlling for individual-level risk factors (age, gender and time since first episode in years). Follow-up ended at the second episode, or on 31 December 2015, whichever came first. RESULTS: The study included 173 421 patients from 700 neighbourhoods. Higher Socio-Economic Index was associated with a lower risk of recurrence compared with average Socio-Economic Index. An increased risk was found for higher household size and TB burden, with an increase of 20% for every additional person in mean household size and 10% for every additional TB episode/100 inhabitants. No association was found with population density. CONCLUSION: Recurrent TB was associated with increased household size and TB burden at neighbourhood level. These findings could be used to target TB screening activities.

Community- and facility-based HIV testing interventions in northern Tanzania: Midterm results of Test & Treat Project.

Test & Treat Project offers universal HIV testing and access to antiretroviral treatment in Northern Tanzania. The current cross-sectional study provides midterm results on HIV testing and counseling activities through community outreaches and facility-based services. A total 255,329 HIV tests were performed: 198,451 (77.7%) during testing campaigns in the villages, 12,592 (4.9%) during special events outreach and 44,286 (17.4%) in the health facilities. Females represented 53.8% (23,809) among those tested in the health facilities, while males were the majority in the community (54.4%, 114,835). Over one third of tests (n = 104,605, 41%) were performed among first-time testers. The overall HIV positivity rate was 1.2%, ranging from 0.7% in the community to 3.8% in the health facilities and decreased over time. Using a multivariable analysis, a positive test result was associated with age ≥ 50 years (PR 1.22, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.34), with female gender (PR 1.61, 95% CI 1.50 to 1.73), being tested in health facilities (PR 5.00, 95% CI 4.65 to 5.36) and for the first time (PR 1.86, 95% CI 1.73 to 2.00). The estimated proportion of PLHIV who knew their status of the project area increased by 28.6% (from 35.7% to 64.3%) and 11.1% (from 57.7% to 68.8%) in the project areas of Shinyanga and Simiyu regions respectively. Reaching the first UNAIDS 90 target by the end of this project seems possible. Future strategies should focus on improving PITC coverage, implementing more targeted testing modalities, together with current universal community-based approach.

Quality of care in a differentiated HIV service delivery intervention in Tanzania: A mixed-methods study.

BACKGROUND: Differentiated service delivery (DSD) offers benefits to people living with HIV (improved access, peer support), and the health system (clinic decongestion, efficient service delivery). ART clubs, 15-30 clients who usually meet within the community, are one of the most common DSD options. However, evidence about the quality of care (QoC) delivered in ART clubs is still limited. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a concurrent triangulation mixed-methods study as part of the Test & Treat project in northwest Tanzania. We surveyed QoC among stable clients and health care workers (HCW) comparing between clinics and clubs. Using a Donabedian framework we structured the analysis into three levels of assessment: structure (staff, equipment, supplies, venue), processes (time-spent, screenings, information, HCW-attitude), and outcomes (viral load, CD4 count, retention, self-worth). RESULTS: We surveyed 629 clients (40% in club) and conducted eight focus group discussions, while 24 HCW (25% in club) were surveyed and 22 individual interviews were conducted. Quantitative results revealed that in terms of structure, clubs fared better than clinics except for perceived adequacy of service delivery venue (94.4% vs 50.0%, p = 0.013). For processes, time spent receiving care was significantly more in clinics than clubs (119.9 vs 49.9 minutes). Regarding outcomes, retention was higher in the clubs (97.6% vs 100%), while the proportion of clients with recent viral load <50 copies/ml was higher in clinics (100% vs 94.4%). Qualitative results indicated that quality care was perceived similarly among clients in clinics and clubs but for different reasons. Clinics were generally perceived as places with expertise and clubs as efficient places with peer support and empathy. In describing QoC, HCW emphasized structure-related attributes while clients focused on processes. Outcomes-related themes such as improved client health status, self-worth, and confidentiality were similarly perceived across clients and HCW. CONCLUSION: We found better structure and process of care in clubs than clinics with comparable outcomes. While QoC was perceived similarly in clinics and clubs, its meaning was understood differently between clients. DSD catered to the individual needs of clients, either technical care in the clinic or proximate and social care in the club. Our findings highlight that both clinic and DSD care are required as many elements of QoC were individually perceived.

Beyond viral suppression: Quality of life among stable ART clients in a differentiated service delivery intervention in Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: With antiretroviral therapy, more people living with HIV (PLHIV) in resource-limited settings are virally suppressed and living longer. WHO recommends differentiated service delivery (DSD) as an alternative, less resource-demanding way of expanding HIV services access. Monitoring client's health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is necessary to understand patients' perceptions of treatment and services but is understudied in sub-Saharan Africa. We assessed HRQoL among ART clients in Tanzania accessing two service models. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey from May-August 2019 among stable ART clients randomly sampled from clinics and clubs in the Shinyanga region providing DSD and clinic-based care. HRQoL data were collected using a validated HIV-specific instrument-Functional Assessment of HIV infection (FAHI), in addition to socio-demographic, HIV care, and service accessibility data. Descriptive analysis of HRQoL, logistic regression and a stepwise multiple linear regression were performed to examine HRQoL determinants. RESULTS: 629 participants were enrolled, of which 40% accessed DSD. Similar HRQoL scores [mean (SD), p-value]; FAHI total [152.2 (22.2) vs 153.8 (20.6), p 0.687] were observed among DSD and clinic-based care participants. Accessibility factors contributed more to emotional wellbeing among DSD participants compared to the clinic-based care participants (53.4% vs 18.5%, p = < 0.001). Satisfactory (> 80% of maximum score) HRQoL scoring was associated with (OR [95% CI], p-value) being male (2.59 [1.36-4.92], p 0.004) among clinic participants and with urban residence (4.72 [1.70-13.1], p 0.001) among DSD participants. CONCLUSIONS: Similar HRQoL was observed in DSD and clinic-based care. Our research highlights focus areas to identify supporting interventions, ultimately optimizing HRQoL among PLHIV.

The impact of a change in infant BCG vaccination policy on adolescent TB incidence rates: A South African population-level cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: South Africa's infant Bacille Calmette Guerin (BCG) vaccine policy changed from percutaneous (PC) BCG Japan to intradermal (ID) BCG Denmark in 2000. This study investigated whether this change in infant BCG vaccination had any durable impact on TB incidence rates (IR) into adolescence. METHODS: The Cape Town electronic TB register provided data (from 2008 to 2018) on HIV-negative TB patients born in 1991-1999 (BCG Japan cohort) and 2001-2008 (BCG Denmark cohort). Statistics South Africa provided population estimates. Annual TB IR per 100,000 population were calculated stratified by age, gender and birth year. Interrupted time series analysis with a segmented Poisson regression and birth cohort analyses were used to compare incidence between the BCG cohorts and trends over time. FINDINGS: TB IR increased throughout adolescence, with 17-year-olds having 7.34 [95% confidence interval (CI), 6.48-8.32] times higher TB IR than 10-year-olds. Females had 1.22 [95% CI 1.17-1.27] higher IR than males. Overall, adolescents who received ID BCG Denmark had a lower TB IR compared to PC BCG Japan (rate ratio 0.86, [95% CI 0.80-0.94]). No interaction between BCG and age, nor BCG and gender were identified. Birth cohort analyses showed the increase in TB IR started around one year earlier in females than in males. CONCLUSION: The change in infant BCG policy was associated with a modest decrease in TB incidence in 10- to 17-year-old HIV-negative adolescents. However, TB incidence rapidly increased with age in both adolescent cohorts and remained high despite BCG vaccination at birth.

The Shinyanga Patient: A Patient's Journey through HIV Treatment Cascade in Rural Tanzania.

The 2016-2017 Tanzania HIV Impact Survey (THIS) reported the accomplishments towards the 90-90-90 global HIV targets at 61-94-87, affirming the need to focus on the first 90 (i.e., getting 90% of people living with HIV (PLHIV) tested). We conducted a patient-pathway analysis to understand the gap observed, by assessing the alignment between where PLHIV seek healthcare and where HIV services are available in the Shinyanga region, Tanzania. We used existing and publicly available data from the National AIDS Control program, national surveys, registries, and relevant national reports. Region-wide, the majority (n = 458/722, 64%) of THIS respondents accessed their last HIV test at public sector facilities. There were 65.9%, 45.1%, and 74.1% who could also access antiretroviral therapy (ART), CD4 testing, and HIV viral load testing at the location of their last HIV test, respectively. In 2019, the viral suppression rate estimated among PLHIV on ART in the Shinyanga region was 91.5%. PLHIV access HIV testing mostly in public health facilities; our research shows that synergies can be achieved to improve access to services further down the cascade in this sector. Furthermore, effective engagement with the private sector (not-for-profit and for-profit) will help to achieve the last mile toward ending the HIV epidemic.

Patient-incurred costs in a differentiated service delivery club intervention compared to standard clinical care in Northwest Tanzania.

INTRODUCTION: Placing all clients with a positive diagnosis for HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) has cost implications both for patients and health systems, which could, in turn, affect feasibility, sustainability and uptake of new services. Patient-incurred costs are recognized barriers to healthcare access. Differentiated service delivery (DSD) models in general and community-based care in particular, could reduce these costs. We aimed to assess patient-incurred costs of a community-based DSD intervention (clubs) compared to clinic-based care in the Shinyanga region, Tanzania. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey among stable ART patients (n = 390, clinic-based; n = 251, club-based). For each group, we collected socio-demographic, income and expenditure data between May and August 2019. We estimated direct and indirect patient-incurred costs. Direct costs included out-of-pocket expenditures. Indirect costs included income loss due to time spent during transport, accessing services and off work during illness. Cost drivers were assessed in multivariate regression models. RESULTS: Overall, costs were significantly higher among clinic participants. Costs (USD) per year for clinic versus club were as follows: 11.7 versus 4.17 (p < 0.001) for direct costs, 20.9 versus 8.23 (p < 0.001) for indirect costs and 32.2 versus 12.4 (p < 0.001) for total costs. Time spent accessing care and time spent in illness (hours/year) were 38.3 versus 13.8 (p < 0.001) and 16.0 versus 6.69 (p < 0.001) respectively. The main cost drivers included transportation (clinic vs. club: 67.7% vs. 44.1%) for direct costs and income loss due to time spent accessing care (clinic vs. club: 60.4% vs. 56.7%) for indirect costs. Factors associated with higher total costs among patients attending clinic services were higher education level (coefficient [95% confidence interval]) 20.9 [5.47 to 36.3]) and formal employment (44.2 [20.0 to 68.5). Differences in mean total costs remained significantly higher with formal employment, rural residence, in addition to more frequent visits among clinic participants. The percentage of households classified as having had catastrophic expenditures in the last year was low but significantly higher among clinic participants (10.8% vs. 5.18%, p = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Costs incurred by patients accessing DSD in the community are significantly lower compared to those accessing standard clinic-based care. DSD models could improve access, especially in resource-limited settings.

Exploring Sustainability in the Era of Differentiated HIV Service Delivery in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review.

INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization recommends differentiated service delivery (DSD) to support resource-limited health systems in providing patient-centered HIV care. DSD offers alternative care models to clinic-based care for people living with HIV who are stable on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Despite good patient-related outcomes, there is limited evidence of their sustainability. Our review evaluated the reporting of sustainability indicators of DSD interventions conducted in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). METHODS: We searched PubMed and EMBASE for studies conducted between 2000 and 2019 assessing DSD interventions targeting HIV-positive individuals who are established in ART in sub-Saharan Africa. We evaluated them through a comprehensive sustainability framework of constructs categorized into 6 domains (intervention design, process, external environment, resources, organizational setting, and people involvement). We scored each construct 1, 2, or 3 for no, partial, or sufficient level of evidence, respectively. Interventions with a calculated sustainability score (overall and domain-specific) of >90% or domain-specific median score >2.7 were considered likely to be sustainable. RESULTS: Overall scores ranged from 69% to 98%. Top scoring intervention types included adherence clubs (98%) and community ART groups (95%) which comprised more than half of interventions. The highest scoring domains were design (2.9) and organizational setting (2.8). The domains of resources (2.4) and people involvement (2.3) scored lowest revealing potential areas for improvement to support DSD sustainability. CONCLUSIONS: With the right investment in stakeholder involvement and domestic funding, DSD models generally show potential for sustainability. Our results could guide informed decisions on which DSD intervention is likely to be sustainable per setting and highlight areas that could motivate further research.

High Rates of Recurrent Tuberculosis Disease: A Population-level Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Retreatment tuberculosis (TB) disease is common in high-prevalence settings. The risk of repeated episodes of recurrent TB is unknown. We calculated the rate of recurrent TB per subsequent episode by matching individual treatment episodes over a period of 13 years. METHODS: All recorded TB episodes in Cape Town between 2003 and 2016 were matched by probabilistic linkage of personal identifiers. Among individuals with a first episode notified in Cape Town and who completed their prior treatment successfully we estimated the recurrence rate stratified by subsequent episode and HIV status. We adjusted person-time to background mortality by age, sex, and HIV status. RESULTS: A total of 292 915 TB episodes among 263 848 individuals were included. The rate of recurrent TB was 16.4 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 16.2-16.6), and increased per subsequent episode (8.4-fold increase, from 14.6 to 122.7 per 1000 from episode 2 to 6, respectively). These increases were similar stratified by HIV status. Rates among HIV positives were higher than among HIV negatives for episodes 2 and 3 (2- and 1.5-fold higher, respectively), and the same thereafter. CONCLUSIONS: TB recurrence rates were high and increased per subsequent episode, independent of HIV status. This suggests that HIV infection is insufficient to explain the high burden of recurrence; it is more likely due to a high annual risk of infection combined with an increased risk of infection or progression to disease associated with a previous TB episode. The very high recurrence rates would justify increased TB surveillance of patients with >1 episode.

Determine TB-LAM point-of-care tuberculosis assay predicts poor outcomes in outpatients during their first year of antiretroviral therapy in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Determine TB-LAM is the first point-of-care test (POC) for HIV-associated tuberculosis (TB) and rapidly identifies TB in those at high-risk for short-term mortality. While the relationship between urine-LAM and mortality has been previously described, the outcomes of those undergoing urine-LAM testing have largely been assessed during short follow-up periods within diagnostic accuracy studies. We therefore sought to assess the relationship between baseline urine-LAM results and subsequent hospitalization and mortality under real-world conditions among outpatients in the first year of ART. METHODS: Consecutive, HIV-positive adults with a CD4 count < 100 cells/uL presenting for ART initiation were enrolled. TB diagnoses and outcomes (hospitalization, loss-to-follow and mortality) were recorded during the first year following enrolment. Baseline urine samples were retrospectively tested using the urine-LAM POC assay. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to assess the cumulative probability of hospitalization or mortality in the first year of follow-up, according to urine-LAM status. Cox regression analyses were performed to determine independent predictors of hospitalization and mortality at three months and one year of follow-up. RESULTS: 468 patients with a median CD4 count of 59 cells/uL were enrolled. There were 140 patients (29.9%) with newly diagnosed TB in the first year of follow-up of which 79 (56.4%) were microbiologically-confirmed. A total of 18% (n = 84) required hospital admission and 12.2% (n = 57) died within a year of study entry. 38 out of 468 (8.1%) patients retrospectively tested urine-LAM positive - including 19.0% of those with microbiologically-proven TB diagnoses (n = 15/79) and 23.0% (n = 14/61) of those with clinical-only TB diagnoses; 9 of 38 (23.7%) of patients retrospectively testing LAM positive were never diagnosed with TB under routine program conditions. Among all patients (n = 468) in the first year of follow-up, a positive urine-LAM result was strongly associated with all-cause hospitalization and mortality with a corresponding adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 3.7 (95%CI, 1.9-7.1) and 2.6 (95%, 1.2-5.7), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Systematic urine-LAM testing among ART-naïve HIV-positive outpatients with CD4 counts < 100 cells/uL detected TB cases that were missed under routine programme conditions and was highly predictive for subsequent hospitalization and mortality in the first year of ART.

Evaluating the sustainability of differentiated service delivery interventions for stable ART clients in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review protocol.

INTRODUCTION: In 2015, WHO recommended immediate treatment for people living with HIV (PLHIV). As a result, the number of PLHIV needing antiretroviral therapy (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) doubled from 12 million to over 25 million. This put a strain on already weak health systems and inspired the exploration of innovative service delivery models-differentiated service delivery (DSD). In DSD, services are tailored according to client clinical type and offer much-needed improvement in efficiency. The potential of achieving good outcomes for both clients and the health system plus the promise of sustainability motivates DSD promotion especially in low-income and middle-income countries. This review aims to evaluate the sustainability of DSD interventions. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will systematically review peer-reviewed English literature published between 2000 and 2019 identified by searching PubMed and EMBASE databases. Main inclusion criteria comprise studies describing DSD interventions conducted in SSA focused on stable adult ART clients, whether described alone or compared with clinic-based service delivery. Quality of included studies will be assessed employing the Down and Black's and Joanne Briggs Institute checklists for quantitative and qualitative studies, respectively. We will apply a comprehensive sustainability framework including 40 individual constructs to evaluate, score and rank each intervention for sustainability. Narrative and quantitative synthesis will be conducted as appropriate. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: No ethical approval is required for this study as it is a review of published or publicly available data. Review results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at international conferences. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42019120891.

TB-IRIS pathogenesis and new strategies for intervention: Insights from related inflammatory disorders.

In almost one in five HIV/tuberculosis (TB) co-infected patients, initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) is complicated by TB immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (TB-IRIS). Corticosteroids have been suggested for treatment of severe cases, however no therapy is currently licensed for TB-IRIS. Hence, there is a strong need for more specific therapeutics, and therefore, a better understanding of TB-IRIS pathogenesis. Immune reconstitution following ART is a precariously balanced functional restoration of adaptive immunity. In those patients predisposed to disease, an incomplete activation of the innate immune system leads to a hyper-inflammatory response that comprises partially overlapping innate, adaptive and effector arms, eventually leading to clinical symptoms. Interestingly, many of these pathological mechanisms are shared by related inflammatory disorders. We here describe therapeutic strategies that originate from these other disciplines and discuss their potential application in TB-IRIS. These new avenues of interventions range from final-phase treatment of symptoms to early-phase prevention of disease onset. In conclusion, we propose a novel approach for the discovery and development of therapeutics, based on an updated model of TB-IRIS pathogenesis. Further experimental studies validating the causal relationships in the proposed model could greatly contribute to providing a solid immunological basis for future clinical trials on TB-IRIS therapeutics.

Anti-retroviral therapy scale-up and its impact on sex-stratified tuberculosis notification trends in Uganda.

INTRODUCTION: In order to end the tuberculosis (TB) epidemic by 2035, countries must achieve a 10% annual decline in tuberculosis incidence rates by 2025. Provision of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been associated with population level decreases in TB notification rates. We aimed to assess whether the progressive scale-up of ART provision over the past nine years has had an effect on population level trends of TB notification in Uganda stratified by sex and HIV status. METHODS: The study area consisted of Kampala and eight surrounding districts. Annual TB notifications and mid-year populations were used to calculate notification rates per 100,000 population from the study area. Numbers alive and retained on ART were used to calculate ART coverage, overall and by sex. TB notification rates (TBNRs) overall and stratified by sex and HIV status were calculated for the period 2009 to 2017. Trends in TBNRs before and after rollout of universal ART for pregnant women in 2013 were examined using Poisson regression models. To gain insight into the trends in CD4+ T-cell counts at ART initiation over the study period, we performed a sub analysis of patient level data from the Infectious Diseases Institute clinic. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2017, ART coverage increased by 27.6% among men and by 35.4% among women. TBNRs declined during the same period. Overall, the average annual percentage decline in TBNRs was -3.5% (95%CI -3.7% to -3.3%), (-2.3% (95%CI -2.6% to -1.9%) in men and -5.4% (95%CI -5.7% to -5.0%) in women). ART coverage increased after 2013 but this was not associated with an accelerated decline in overall TBNRs among HIV-positive persons -3.6% before 2013 and -5.2% after 2013; p = 0.33. The proportion of patients initiating ART with CD4+ T-cell count ≤ 200 cells/mL did not decrease significantly after 2013 (42.2% to 32.2%, p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Although ART scale-up was temporally associated with a decline in TB notification rates, the achieved rates of decline are below those required to achieve the End TB Targets. Additional investments in tuberculosis control should include efforts to promote earlier care seeking and ART initiation among HIV-positive persons.