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1.
J Infect Dis ; 228(11): 1640-1648, 2023 11 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37285482

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To reduce the risk of pertussis-related morbidity and mortality in early life, an increasing number of countries recommend maternal pertussis vaccination. However, there is limited knowledge about half-lives of vaccine-induced pertussis-specific maternal antibodies, especially in preterm infants, and factors potentially influencing them. METHODS: We compared 2 different approaches to provide estimates of the half-lives of pertussis-specific maternal antibodies in infants and explored potential effects on the half-life in 2 studies. In the first approach, we estimated the half-lives per child and used these estimates as responses in linear models. In the second approach, we used linear mixed effect models on a log2 transformed scale of the longitudinal data to use the inverse of the time parameter as an estimate for the half-lives. RESULTS: Both approaches provided similar results. The identified covariates partly explain differences in half-life estimates. The strongest evidence we observed was a difference between term and preterm infants, with the preterm infants showing a longer half-life. Among others, a longer interval between vaccination and delivery increases the half-life. CONCLUSIONS: Several variables influence the decay speed of maternal antibodies. Both approaches have advantages and disadvantages, while the choice is secondary when assessing the half-life of pertussis-specific antibodies. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02408926 and NCT02511327.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Difteria, Tétano e Coqueluche Acelular , Difteria , Tétano , Coqueluche , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Anticorpos Antibacterianos , Corynebacterium , Meia-Vida , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Vacinação/métodos , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
2.
BMC Geriatr ; 23(1): 229, 2023 04 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37041494

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cognitive deficits arise with age and can increase the risk for subjective cognitive decline (SCD) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI), which may result in dementia, leading to health problems, care dependency and institutionalization. Computer-based cognitive interventions (CCIs) have the potential to act as important counteraction functions in preserving or improving cognition concomitant to available pharmacological treatment. The aim was to assess the effectiveness of CCIs performed individually with a personal or tablet computer, game console, virtual, augmented, or mixed reality application on cognition in community-dwelling people with SCD, MCI and dementia. METHODS: A systematic review with meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was performed. The systematic literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, CINAHL, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, IEEE Xplore Digital Library, Web of Science, Scopus and PsycINFO. In addition, a search for gray literature and backward citation searching were carried out. To judge on the evidence, two reviewers independently used the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool. The standardized mean difference (SDM) for pooling comparable studies using the random-effects model was applied. RESULTS: Twenty-four RCTs were identified, of which 1 RCT examined CCIs in individuals with SCD, 18 RCTs with MCI, and 6 RCTs with dementia. Most interventions were conducted with personal computers. Meta-analyses with 12 RCTs showed significant effects of computer-based cognitive interventions for people with MCI in the domains memory, working memory, attention/concentration/processing speed and executive functioning, but no significant improvements in global cognition and language. Regarding dementia a meta-analysis pooled with 4 RCTs demonstrated a tendency towards, but no significant increase of memory functions (SMD 0.33, CI 95% [-0.10, 0.77]). One RCT regarding SCD reported significant improvements in memory functions for participants conducting a cognitive training on a personal computer. CONCLUSIONS: The results demonstrated that CCIs have beneficial effects on domain-specific cognition in people with MCI but no significant effects on people with dementia. In terms of SCD, one study showed significant improvements in memory functions. It seems that the beneficial effect for cognitive preservation or improvement due to CCIs occurs at the earliest intervention state. However, more research on SCD is needed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CDR42020184069.


Assuntos
Disfunção Cognitiva , Demência , Humanos , Demência/terapia , Vida Independente , Disfunção Cognitiva/terapia , Cognição , Computadores
3.
Malar J ; 21(1): 380, 2022 Dec 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36496382

RESUMO

BACKGROUND : In spite of the global reduction of 21% in malaria incidence between 2010 and 2015, the disease still threatens many lives of children and pregnant mothers in African countries. A correct assessment and evaluation of the impact of malaria control strategies still remains quintessential in order to eliminate the disease and its burden. Malaria follow-up studies typically involve routine visits at pre-scheduled time points and/or clinical visits whenever individuals experience malaria-like symptoms. In the latter case, infection triggers outcome assessment, thereby leading to outcome-dependent sampling (ODS). Commonly used methods to analyze such longitudinal data ignore ODS and potentially lead to biased estimates of malaria-specific transmission parameters, hence, inducing an incorrect assessment and evaluation of malaria control strategies. METHODS : In this paper, a new method is proposed to handle ODS by use of a joint model for the longitudinal binary outcome measured at routine visits and the clinical event times. The methodology is applied to malaria parasitaemia data from a cohort of [Formula: see text] Ugandan children aged 0.5-10 years from 3 regions (Walukuba-300 children, Kihihi-355 children and Nagongera-333 children) with varying transmission intensities (entomological inoculation rate equal to 2.8, 32 and 310 infectious bites per unit year, respectively) collected between 2011-2014. RESULTS : The results indicate that malaria parasite prevalence and force of infection (FOI) increase with age in the region of high malaria intensity with highest FOI in age group 5-10 years. For the region of medium intensity, the prevalence slightly increases with age and the FOI for the routine process is highest in age group 5-10 years, yet for the clinical infections, the FOI gradually decreases with increasing age. For the region with low intensity, both the prevalence and FOI peak at the age of 1 year after which the former remains constant with age yet the latter suddenly decreases with age for the clinically observed infections. CONCLUSION : Malaria parasite prevalence and FOI increase with age in the region of high malaria intensity. In all study sites, both the prevalence and FOI are highest among previously asymptomatic children and lowest among their symptomatic counterparts. Using a simulation study inspired by the malaria data at hand, the proposed methodology shows to have the smallest bias, especially when consecutive positive malaria parasitaemia presence results within a time period of 35 days were considered to be due to the same infection.


Assuntos
Malária , Criança , Humanos , Estudos de Coortes , Malária/prevenção & controle , Parasitemia/epidemiologia , Incidência , Prevalência
4.
Lancet ; 400(10354): 744-756, 2022 09 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36049493

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) 2.0 score was developed and validated in predominantly male patient populations. We aimed to assess its sex-specific performance in non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS) and to develop an improved score (GRACE 3.0) that accounts for sex differences in disease characteristics. METHODS: We evaluated the GRACE 2.0 score in 420 781 consecutive patients with NSTE-ACS in contemporary nationwide cohorts from the UK and Switzerland. Machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality were informed by the GRACE variables and developed in sex-disaggregated data from 386 591 patients from England, Wales, and Northern Ireland (split into a training cohort of 309 083 [80·0%] patients and a validation cohort of 77 508 [20·0%] patients). External validation of the GRACE 3.0 score was done in 20 727 patients from Switzerland. FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2005, and Aug 27, 2020, 400 054 patients with NSTE-ACS in the UK and 20 727 patients with NSTE-ACS in Switzerland were included in the study. Discrimination of in-hospital death by the GRACE 2.0 score was good in male patients (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0·86, 95% CI 0·86-0·86) and notably lower in female patients (0·82, 95% CI 0·81-0·82; p<0·0001). The GRACE 2.0 score underestimated in-hospital mortality risk in female patients, favouring their incorrect stratification to the low-to-intermediate risk group, for which the score does not indicate early invasive treatment. Accounting for sex differences, GRACE 3.0 showed superior discrimination and good calibration with an AUC of 0·91 (95% CI 0·89-0·92) in male patients and 0·87 (95% CI 0·84-0·89) in female patients in an external cohort validation. GRACE 3·0 led to a clinically relevant reclassification of female patients to the high-risk group. INTERPRETATION: The GRACE 2.0 score has limited discriminatory performance and underestimates in-hospital mortality in female patients with NSTE-ACS. The GRACE 3.0 score performs better in men and women and reduces sex inequalities in risk stratification. FUNDING: Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation, Lindenhof Foundation, Foundation for Cardiovascular Research, and Theodor-Ida-Herzog-Egli Foundation.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/diagnóstico , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/terapia , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Masculino , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco , Suíça/epidemiologia , Reino Unido
5.
Front Immunol ; 13: 913922, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35837400

RESUMO

Background: Pertussis vaccination during pregnancy is an effective strategy at reducing pertussis-related morbidity and mortality in infancy and is recommended across several countries. However, the optimal timepoint for vaccination in pregnancy to afford maximal protection to newborns is yet to be elucidated. This multi-country analysis aimed to model the impact of timing of vaccination during pregnancy on infant antibody titers at birth. Methods: A multi-country analysis on a cohort of mother-infant pairs (n=698) vaccinated between 19.6-37.1 weeks gestation was conducted. Data taken from four parent studies on pertussis vaccination during pregnancy were modelled using natural cubic splines and linear mixed models to study the association of both gestational age at vaccination and the interval between vaccination and delivery with pertussis-specific cord blood antibody levels after pertussis vaccination during pregnancy. Results: Term born infants on average achieve the highest antibody levels at birth if women are vaccinated before 31 weeks' gestation. When considering both term and preterm deliveries, an interval of at least 7.5 weeks between vaccination and delivery is required to achieve the highest cord blood antibody levels. The models show that vaccinating earlier than these timeframes will also provide the infant with equally high antibody levels at birth. Conclusions: Vaccinating in the second and early third trimester results in the highest antibody levels at birth. Vaccinating earlier within this window is needed to provide equal benefits to both term and preterm born infants.


Assuntos
Coqueluche , Feminino , Sangue Fetal , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Parto , Gravidez , Terceiro Trimestre da Gravidez , Vacinação/métodos , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
6.
Biomedicines ; 10(4)2022 Mar 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35453500

RESUMO

Background: Women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) are more prone to autoimmune thyroiditis, and both disorders lead to subfertility and pregnancy-related complications. The aim of this study was to investigate whether mothers with and without PCOS and their offspring have comparable thyroid parameters at term and how thyroid parameters are associated with perinatal outcome in this population. Methods: This cross-sectional observational study was performed in a single academic tertiary hospital in Austria. Seventy-nine pregnant women with PCOS and 354 pregnant women without PCOS were included. Blood samples were taken from the mother and cord blood at birth. Primary outcome parameters were maternal and neonatal thyroid parameters at delivery. Secondary outcome parameters were the composite complication rate per woman and per neonate. Results: Thyroid dysfunction was more prevalent among PCOS women (p < 0.001). At time of birth, free triiodothyronine (fT3) levels were significantly lower in PCOS than in non-PCOS women (p = 0.005). PCOS women and their neonates had significantly higher thyreoperoxidase antibody (TPO-AB) levels (p = 0.001). Women with elevated TPO-AB had a significantly higher prevalence of hypothyroidism (p < 0.001). There was a significant positive correlation between maternal and neonatal free thyroxine, fT3 and TPO-AB levels. There were no significant differences in thyroid parameters between women or neonates with or without complications. Conclusions: Our results demonstrate a higher prevalence of thyroid dysfunction and autoimmunity in PCOS women, supporting a common etiology of both disorders. We were not able to show an association between complication rate and thyroid parameters.

7.
Euro Surveill ; 27(9)2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35241216

RESUMO

BackgroundTo control epidemic waves, it is important to know the susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 and its evolution over time in relation to the control measures taken.AimTo assess the evolving SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and seroincidence related to the first national lockdown in Belgium, we performed a nationwide seroprevalence study, stratified by age, sex and region using 3,000-4,000 residual samples during seven periods between 30 March and 17 October 2020.MethodsWe analysed residual sera from ambulatory patients for IgG antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 S1 protein with a semiquantitative commercial ELISA. Weighted seroprevalence (overall and by age category and sex) and seroincidence during seven consecutive periods were estimated for the Belgian population while accommodating test-specific sensitivity and specificity.ResultsThe weighted overall seroprevalence initially increased from 1.8% (95% credible interval (CrI): 1.0-2.6) to 5.3% (95% CrI: 4.2-6.4), implying a seroincidence of 3.4% (95% CrI: 2.4-4.6) between the first and second collection period over a period of 3 weeks during lockdown (start lockdown mid-March 2020). Thereafter, seroprevalence stabilised, however, significant decreases were observed when comparing the third with the fifth, sixth and seventh period, resulting in negative seroincidence estimates after lockdown was lifted. We estimated for the last collection period mid-October 2020 a weighted overall seroprevalence of 4.2% (95% CrI: 3.1-5.2).ConclusionDuring lockdown, an initially small but increasing fraction of the Belgian population showed serologically detectable signs of exposure to SARS-CoV-2, which did not further increase when confinement measures eased and full lockdown was lifted.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticorpos Antivirais , Bélgica/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
8.
Euro Surveill ; 27(7)2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35177167

RESUMO

BackgroundCOVID-19 mortality, excess mortality, deaths per million population (DPM), infection fatality ratio (IFR) and case fatality ratio (CFR) are reported and compared for many countries globally. These measures may appear objective, however, they should be interpreted with caution.AimWe examined reported COVID-19-related mortality in Belgium from 9 March 2020 to 28 June 2020, placing it against the background of excess mortality and compared the DPM and IFR between countries and within subgroups.MethodsThe relation between COVID-19-related mortality and excess mortality was evaluated by comparing COVID-19 mortality and the difference between observed and weekly average predictions of all-cause mortality. DPM were evaluated using demographic data of the Belgian population. The number of infections was estimated by a stochastic compartmental model. The IFR was estimated using a delay distribution between infection and death.ResultsIn the study period, 9,621 COVID-19-related deaths were reported, which is close to the excess mortality estimated using weekly averages (8,985 deaths). This translates to 837 DPM and an IFR of 1.5% in the general population. Both DPM and IFR increase with age and are substantially larger in the nursing home population.DiscussionDuring the first pandemic wave, Belgium had no discrepancy between COVID-19-related mortality and excess mortality. In light of this close agreement, it is useful to consider the DPM and IFR, which are both age, sex, and nursing home population-dependent. Comparison of COVID-19 mortality between countries should rather be based on excess mortality than on COVID-19-related mortality.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Bélgica/epidemiologia , Humanos , Mortalidade , Casas de Saúde , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2
9.
Clin Infect Dis ; 74(2): 189-198, 2022 01 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33971009

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist on the impact of maternal tetanus, diphtheria, acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccination for preterm born infants. We report its effect at birth and on antibody-mediated immune responses to a DTaP-IPV-HB-PRP~T vaccine in preterm compared with term infants. METHODS: Women delivering at term or prematurely were either vaccinated with a Tdap vaccine (Boostrix; GSK) during pregnancy or not vaccinated in the last 5 years. Cord and maternal blood were collected at delivery. Infants were vaccinated with DTaP-IPV-HB-PRP~T vaccine (Hexyon; Sanofi Pasteur) and blood collected before and 1 month after primary (8-12-16 weeks) and before and 1 month after booster vaccination (13 or 15 months for preterm and term, respectively). Immunoglobulin G antibodies against all antigens included in DTaP-IPV-HB-PRP~T vaccine were measured (NCT02511327). RESULTS: Cord blood geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) in preterm infants from Tdap-vaccinated women were significantly higher than in term and preterm infants from unvaccinated women. A longer time interval between maternal vaccination and delivery resulted in higher cord blood GMCs in preterm infants. Equal GMCs in term and preterm infants from Tdap-vaccinated women were observed after primary vaccination. After boosting, significantly lower GMCs were seen for pertussis toxin, filamentous hemagglutinin, and tetanus toxoid in preterm compared with term infants from Tdap-vaccinated women, yet still comparable to GMCs in both term and preterm infants from unvaccinated women. CONCLUSIONS: Preterm infants profit from maternal Tdap vaccination. Prematurity did not influence primary immune responses in the presence of maternal antibodies but was associated with a lower booster immune response.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Difteria, Tétano e Coqueluche Acelular , Coqueluche , Anticorpos Antibacterianos , Feminino , Humanos , Imunidade , Imunização Secundária , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Gravidez , Vacinação , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
10.
Epidemiol Infect ; 149: e172, 2021 08 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34372955

RESUMO

Although the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic is lasting for more than 1 year, the exposition risks of health-care providers are still unclear. Available evidence is conflicting. We investigated the prevalence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in the staff of a large public hospital with multiple sites in the Antwerp region of Belgium. Risk factors for infection were identified by means of a questionnaire and human resource data. We performed hospital-wide serology tests in the weeks following the first epidemic wave (16 March to the end of May 2020) and combined the results with the answers from an individual questionnaire. Overall seroprevalence was 7.6%. We found higher seroprevalences in nurses [10.0%; 95% confidence interval (CI) 8.9-11.2] than in physicians 6.4% (95% CI 4.6-8.7), paramedical 6.0% (95% CI 4.3-8.0) and administrative staff (2.9%; 95% CI 1.8-4.5). Staff who indicated contact with a confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) colleague had a higher seroprevalence (12.0%; 95% CI 10.7-13.4) than staff who did not (4.2%; 95% CI 3.5-5.0). The same findings were present for contacts in the private setting. Working in general COVID-19 wards, but not in emergency departments or intensive care units, was also a significant risk factor. Since our analysis points in the direction of active SARS-CoV-2 transmission within hospitals, we argue for implementing a stringent hospital-wide testing and contact-tracing policy with special attention to the health care workers employed in general COVID-19 departments. Additional studies are needed to establish the transmission dynamics.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Recursos Humanos em Hospital/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Bélgica/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/transmissão , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Corpo Clínico Hospitalar/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Recursos Humanos de Enfermagem Hospitalar/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto Jovem
11.
PeerJ ; 9: e11516, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34221712

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To monitor and document the endemicity and disease burden of acute hepatitis A in the area of an ongoing vaccine effectiveness study in León, Nicaragua. METHODS: At community health centres in León, all children, adolescents and young adults presenting with jaundice and/or other clinical signs of hepatitis were offered free serologic screening (hepatitis A, B and C) and blood tests for liver enzymes and bilirubin. Clinical and socioeconomic data were collected with a structured questionnaire. Diagnosis of acute hepatitis A was confirmed by anti-HAV IgM testing. Using logistic regression we compared the characteristics and living conditions of acute hepatitis A cases with those of non-cases. RESULTS: Of 557 eligible subjects enrolled between May 2006 and March 2010, 315 (56.6%) were diagnosed with hepatitis A, 80.6% of them ≤10 years and five >18 years of age. No severe cases were encountered. Apart from jaundice (95.6%) and other signs of hepatitis A (fever, pale stool, dark urine, nausea, vomiting, anorexia), two thirds of patients had moderately raised liver enzymes. Cases occurred throughout the year, with highest incidences from August to March. Poor sanitary conditions and crowding were the main risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In the study area, hepatitis A is still highly endemic in young and school age children living in low socioeconomic conditions. There are, however, first indications that the endemicity level is shifting from high to high-intermediate.

13.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 503, 2021 May 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34053446

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, several countries adopted measures of social distancing to a different degree. For many countries, after successfully curbing the initial wave, lockdown measures were gradually lifted. In Belgium, such relief started on May 4th with phase 1, followed by several subsequent phases over the next few weeks. METHODS: We analysed the expected impact of relaxing stringent lockdown measures taken according to the phased Belgian exit strategy. We developed a stochastic, data-informed, meta-population model that accounts for mixing and mobility of the age-structured population of Belgium. The model is calibrated to daily hospitalization data and is able to reproduce the outbreak at the national level. We consider different scenarios for relieving the lockdown, quantified in terms of relative reductions in pre-pandemic social mixing and mobility. We validate our assumptions by making comparisons with social contact data collected during and after the lockdown. RESULTS: Our model is able to successfully describe the initial wave of COVID-19 in Belgium and identifies interactions during leisure/other activities as pivotal in the exit strategy. Indeed, we find a smaller impact of school re-openings as compared to restarting leisure activities and re-openings of work places. We also assess the impact of case isolation of new (suspected) infections, and find that it allows re-establishing relatively more social interactions while still ensuring epidemic control. Scenarios predicting a second wave of hospitalizations were not observed, suggesting that the per-contact probability of infection has changed with respect to the pre-lockdown period. CONCLUSIONS: Contacts during leisure activities are found to be most influential, followed by professional contacts and school contacts, respectively, for an impending second wave of COVID-19. Regular re-assessment of social contacts in the population is therefore crucial to adjust to evolving behavioral changes that can affect epidemic diffusion.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Modelos Teóricos , Pandemias , Bélgica/epidemiologia , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Hospitalização , Humanos , Distanciamento Físico , Instituições Acadêmicas , Local de Trabalho
14.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 7862, 2021 04 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33846517

RESUMO

Host cell DNA methylation analysis in urine provides promising triage markers for women diagnosed with a high-risk (HR) human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. In this study, we have investigated a panel of six host cell methylation markers (GHSR, SST, ZIC1, ASCL1, LHX8, ST6GALNAC5) in cervicovaginal secretions collected within the first part of the urine void (FVU) from a referral population. Cytology, histology, and HPV DNA genotyping results on paired FVU and cervical samples were available. Urinary median methylation levels from HR-HPV (n = 93) positive women were found to increase for all markers with severity of underlying disease. Significantly elevated levels were observed for GHSR and LHX8 in relation to high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2 +; n = 33), with area under de curve values of 0.80 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.59-0.92) and 0.76 (95% CI 0.58-0.89), respectively. These findings are the first to support the assertion that methylation analysis of host cell genes is feasible in FVU and holds promise as molecular, triage strategy to discern low- from high-grade cervical disease in HR-HPV positive women. Molecular testing on FVU may serve to increase cervical cancer screening attendance in hard-to-reach populations whilst reducing loss to follow-up and await further optimization and validation studies.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores Tumorais/urina , Colo do Útero , Metilação de DNA , Infecções por Papillomavirus/metabolismo , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico , Adulto , Colo do Útero/metabolismo , Colo do Útero/patologia , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia
15.
Epidemics ; 35: 100449, 2021 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33799289

RESUMO

Following the onset of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world, a large fraction of the global population is or has been under strict measures of physical distancing and quarantine, with many countries being in partial or full lockdown. These measures are imposed in order to reduce the spread of the disease and to lift the pressure on healthcare systems. Estimating the impact of such interventions as well as monitoring the gradual relaxing of these stringent measures is quintessential to understand how resurgence of the COVID-19 epidemic can be controlled for in the future. In this paper we use a stochastic age-structured discrete time compartmental model to describe the transmission of COVID-19 in Belgium. Our model explicitly accounts for age-structure by integrating data on social contacts to (i) assess the impact of the lockdown as implemented on March 13, 2020 on the number of new hospitalizations in Belgium; (ii) conduct a scenario analysis estimating the impact of possible exit strategies on potential future COVID-19 waves. More specifically, the aforementioned model is fitted to hospital admission data, data on the daily number of COVID-19 deaths and serial serological survey data informing the (sero)prevalence of the disease in the population while relying on a Bayesian MCMC approach. Our age-structured stochastic model describes the observed outbreak data well, both in terms of hospitalizations as well as COVID-19 related deaths in the Belgian population. Despite an extensive exploration of various projections for the future course of the epidemic, based on the impact of adherence to measures of physical distancing and a potential increase in contacts as a result of the relaxation of the stringent lockdown measures, a lot of uncertainty remains about the evolution of the epidemic in the next months.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Previsões/métodos , Modelos Estatísticos , Teorema de Bayes , Bélgica/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Hospitalização , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
16.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 1524, 2021 03 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33750778

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic caused many governments to impose policies restricting social interactions. A controlled and persistent release of lockdown measures covers many potential strategies and is subject to extensive scenario analyses. Here, we use an individual-based model (STRIDE) to simulate interactions between 11 million inhabitants of Belgium at different levels including extended household settings, i.e., "household bubbles". The burden of COVID-19 is impacted by both the intensity and frequency of physical contacts, and therefore, household bubbles have the potential to reduce hospital admissions by 90%. In addition, we find that it is crucial to complete contact tracing 4 days after symptom onset. Assumptions on the susceptibility of children affect the impact of school reopening, though we find that business and leisure-related social mixing patterns have more impact on COVID-19 associated disease burden. An optimal deployment of the mitigation policies under study require timely compliance to physical distancing, testing and self-isolation.


Assuntos
COVID-19/transmissão , Busca de Comunicante , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa/prevenção & controle , Características da Família , Quarentena , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bélgica/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Política de Saúde , Hospitalização , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Instituições Acadêmicas , Adulto Jovem
17.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(6): e1305-e1313, 2021 09 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33768227

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Enrichment of breast milk (BM) with immunoglobulin (Ig) A and IgG through maternal vaccination could help infants combat targeted pathogens. However, evidence on this effect after preterm delivery is lacking. In this study, we investigated the total and anti-pertussis toxin (anti-PT)-specific IgA and IgG production in BM after term and preterm delivery in the presence of maternal Tdap (tetanus, diphtheria, acellular pertussis) vaccination. METHODS: Serum and BM samples of lactating women who delivered at term or prematurely and did or did not receive Tdap vaccine (Boostrix, GSK Biologicals) during pregnancy were collected as part of a clinical study (N = 234). Anti-PT IgA/IgG (IBL assay; Meso Scale Discovery assay) and total IgA/IgG (Thermofisher, on BM samples only) immunosorbent assays were performed on all samples collected at 72 hours and 4, 8, and 12 weeks postpartum. RESULTS: BM after preterm delivery contained anti-PT IgA and IgG geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) comparable to those after term delivery (eg, colostrum anti-PT IgA, 5.39 IU/mL vs 6.69 IU/mL, respectively). Maternal Tdap vaccination induced significantly higher anti-PT IgG GMCs in colostrum of vaccinated compared with unvaccinated women who delivered at term (0.110 IU/mL vs 0.027 IU/mL, P = .009). Anti-PT antibodies persisted up to 12 weeks postpartum. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence that maternal Tdap vaccination induces high Ig levels in BM after both term and preterm delivery and that these antibodies remain abundantly present throughout lactation, possibly offering additional mucosal protection during the most vulnerable period in early life. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02511327.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Difteria, Tétano e Coqueluche Acelular , Nascimento Prematuro , Coqueluche , Anticorpos Antibacterianos , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Lactação , Leite Humano , Gravidez , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
18.
Allergy ; 76(7): 2166-2176, 2021 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33605465

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is controversy whether taking ß-blockers or ACE inhibitors (ACEI) is a risk factor for more severe systemic insect sting reactions (SSR) and whether it increases the number or severity of adverse events (AE) during venom immunotherapy (VIT). METHODS: In this open, prospective, observational, multicenter trial, we recruited patients with a history of a SSR and indication for VIT. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate whether patients taking ß-blockers or ACEI show more systemic AE during VIT compared to patients without such treatment. RESULTS: In total, 1,425 patients were enrolled and VIT was performed in 1,342 patients. Of all patients included, 388 (27.2%) took antihypertensive (AHT) drugs (10.4% took ß-blockers, 11.9% ACEI, 5.0% ß-blockers and ACEI). Only 5.6% of patients under AHT treatment experienced systemic AE during VIT as compared with 7.4% of patients without these drugs (OR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.43-1.22, p = 0.25). The severity of the initial sting reaction was not affected by the intake of ß-blockers or ACEI (OR: 1.14, 95% CI: 0.89-1.46, p = 0.29). In total, 210 (17.7%) patients were re-stung during VIT and 191 (91.0%) tolerated the sting without systemic symptoms. Of the 19 patients with VIT treatment failure, 4 took ß-blockers, none an ACEI. CONCLUSIONS: This trial provides robust evidence that taking ß-blockers or ACEI does neither increase the frequency of systemic AE during VIT nor aggravate SSR. Moreover, results suggest that these drugs do not impair effectiveness of VIT. (Funded by Medical University of Graz, Austria; Clinicaltrials.gov number, NCT04269629).


Assuntos
Anafilaxia , Venenos de Abelha , Mordeduras e Picadas de Insetos , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Dessensibilização Imunológica , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
19.
Contemp Clin Trials ; 99: 106189, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33132155

RESUMO

Starting from historic reflections, the current SARS-CoV-2 induced COVID-19 pandemic is examined from various perspectives, in terms of what it implies for the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, the modeling and monitoring of the epidemic, the development of early-warning systems, the study of mortality, prevalence estimation, diagnostic and serological testing, vaccine development, and ultimately clinical trials. Emphasis is placed on how the pandemic had led to unprecedented speed in methodological and clinical development, the pitfalls thereof, but also the opportunities that it engenders for national and international collaboration, and how it has simplified and sped up procedures. We also study the impact of the pandemic on clinical trials in other indications. We note that it has placed biostatistics, epidemiology, virology, infectiology, and vaccinology, and related fields in the spotlight in an unprecedented way, implying great opportunities, but also the need to communicate effectively, often amidst controversy.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica/organização & administração , Bioestatística/métodos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Fatores Etários , Pesquisa Biomédica/normas , COVID-19/mortalidade , Teste para COVID-19/métodos , Teste para COVID-19/normas , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Causas de Morte , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/organização & administração , Desenvolvimento de Medicamentos/organização & administração , Indústria Farmacêutica/organização & administração , Determinação de Ponto Final/normas , Europa (Continente) , Comunicação em Saúde/normas , Humanos , Imunidade Coletiva/fisiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Pandemias , Prevalência , Opinião Pública , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/métodos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/normas , SARS-CoV-2 , Estações do Ano , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores de Tempo
20.
J Viral Hepat ; 27(11): 1253-1260, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32564516

RESUMO

Recent European studies suggest an emergence of hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection. We evaluated trends in birth cohort-specific HEV seroprevalence and regional differences in Belgium. HEV IgG seroprevalence was analysed on national serum banks (1579 and 2087 samples for 2006 and 2014, respectively. Hepatitis E virus antigen was tested on positive samples. Observed data were modelled using a generalized additive model with a complementary log-log link. No significant differences between birth cohorts or sexes were found. Modelling identified the individual's age and province as relevant factors. The probability of HEV seropositivity increases significantly with age. An estimated total of 434 819 (yearly rate of 54,352) (sero-)infections were found between 2006 and 2014. Overall, HEV IgG seroprevalences were 4.1% (64/1579, 95% CI 3.1-5.1) and 5.8% (121/2087, CI 4.8-6.9) in 2006 and 2014, respectively. Observed HEV antigen seroprevalence was 0.027% (1/3666) for the entire cohort. These results show stable HEV IgG seroprevalence in Belgium.


Assuntos
Vírus da Hepatite E , Hepatite E , Bélgica/epidemiologia , Anticorpos Anti-Hepatite , Hepatite E/epidemiologia , Hepatite E/imunologia , Vírus da Hepatite E/imunologia , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G , Imunoglobulina M , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
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