Comparison of bovine tuberculosis recurrence in Irish herds between 1998 and 2008.

During the last several decades in Ireland, there has been substantial scientific progress in our understanding and related policy changes in the bovine tuberculosis (bTB) eradication programme. A range of performance measurements are routinely available, each highlighting a steadily improving situation in Ireland. However, recent research has highlighted an on-going problem of residual infection, contributing to recurrent breakdowns. In light of this general improvement, but also cognisant of residual infection, a critical evaluation of changes in effectiveness of managing recurrence is particularly valuable. Therefore, the objective of the study was to compare the herd-level risk of recurrence of bTB in Ireland between 1998 and 2008. A retrospective cohort study was carried out, using a Cox proportional-hazards model, to compare the risk of restriction recurrence in herds derestricted during 1998 and 2008. These herds were observed for up to 3 years from the end of the 'index restriction'. At the univariable level, 46.4% and 34.8% of study herds derestricted in 1998 and 2008, respectively, had a subsequent breakdown during the study period (χ(2)=70.6, P<0.001). In the multivariable analysis, there has been a significant reduction in bTB recurrence in Ireland, with 2008-derestricted herds being 0.74 times (95% confidence interval: 0.68-0.81) as likely to be restricted during the subsequent study period compared with 1998-derestricted herds. In the final Cox model, the rate of a future breakdown increased with increasing herd size, increasing number of standard reactors in the index restriction, increasing percentage of newly restricted herds within the District Electoral Division (DED) and if the herd had a previous bTB episode in the previous 5 years. The risk varied across herd type. The results from the current study provide further reassurance of an improved national situation, both in terms of limiting the establishment of new infection (bTB incidence) and in effectively clearing infection once detected (recurrence following derestriction). Recurrence of bTB requires effective implementation of multiple control strategies, focusing on identifying and removing residually infected cattle, and limiting environmental sources of infection, which in Ireland primarily relates to badgers.

Bovine tuberculosis trends in the UK and the Republic of Ireland, 1995-2010.

Selected demographic features and trends in bovine tuberculosis (BTB) from 1995 to 2010 are described for the countries of the UK and the Republic of Ireland, using standardised definitions and measures. All countries experienced a reduction in the number of cattle and herds and in the proportion of dairy herds, while average herd size increased. In general, the trends indicate a stable situation of very low BTB prevalence in Scotland and, over most of the period, a rising prevalence in England and Wales. The prevalence in the Republic of Ireland declined while Northern Ireland experienced both a rise and fall. Differences in demography, BTB programme structure and test results were noted, particularly between the island of Ireland and Great Britain. Further investigation of these differences may provide valuable insights into risk factors for BTB and optimisation of existing BTB programmes.

The impact of animal introductions during herd restrictions on future herd-level bovine tuberculosis risk.

In Ireland new cases of bovine tuberculosis (bTB) are detected using both field (with the single intradermal comparative tuberculin test (SICTT)) and abattoir surveillance. Once a new case has been detected, herd restrictions, including restrictions on animal movements into and out of the herd, are implemented until the herd has passed two consecutive clear tests. While a herd is restricted, there may be several reasons why it may be desirable to introduce new stock, such as enabling routine management practices to continue 'as near to normal'. In Ireland, introduction of animals during a bTB episode is permitted under specific conditions, with permission from the local veterinary office. The objectives of this study were (1) to provide an overview of movement events associated with each bTB episode, (2) to determine whether introduction of animals during a bTB episode is associated with increased future bTB risk and (3) to identify the practices relating to the introduction of animals that are the most risky. All herds that were not restricted at the start of 2006, but experienced a bTB episode during 2006 with 2 or more SICTT standard reactors (the eligible bTB episode) were included in the study. We calculated the number of extended eligible bTB episodes and subsequent bTB episodes that could be directly attributed to introduced animals. The main outcome of interest was the time from de-restriction of the eligible bTB episode to the start of a subsequent bTB episode or the date of the last test prior to the end of the study (31 December 2010). Cox proportional-hazard models were developed, each using a different introduction variable: introduced animals during an episode (yes/no), introduced animals prior to the first retest/first clear test, time from start of episode until first animals introduced and number of animals introduced during the episode. Only a small proportion of subsequent bTB episodes (1.8%) or extended eligible bTB episodes (2.7%) could be directly attributed to introduced animals. The results highlight an increased risk of a subsequent bTB episode among only a subset of herds that introduced animals during the eligible bTB episode. Specifically, herds that introduced animals early during the eligible bTB episode were at significantly greater future bTB risk than herds where animals were only introduced later. To illustrate, herds that introduced animals after the first retest did not have a significantly different risk compared to herds that did not introduce animals at all. In contrast, herds that did introduce animals prior to the first retest had 1.5 times higher risk of a subsequent bTB episode. Future practices concerning the introduction of animals during an episode now need to be reviewed.

Genetic correlations between measures of Mycobacterium bovis infection and economically important traits in Irish Holstein-Friesian dairy cows.

Mycobacterium bovis is the primary agent of tuberculosis (TB) in cattle. The failure of Ireland and some other countries to reach TB-free status indicates a need to investigate complementary control strategies. One such approach would be genetic selection for increased resistance to TB. Previous research has shown that considerable genetic variation exists for susceptibility to the measures of M. bovis infection, confirmed M. bovis infection, and M. bovis-purified protein derivative (PPD) responsiveness. The objective of this study was to estimate the genetic and phenotypic correlations between economically important traits and these measures of M. bovis infection. A total of 20,148 and 17,178 cows with confirmed M. bovis infection and M. bovis-PPD responsiveness records, respectively, were available for inclusion in the analysis. First- to third-parity milk, fat, and protein yields, somatic cell count, calving interval, and survival, as well as first-parity body condition score records, were available on cows that calved between 1985 and 2007. Bivariate linear-linear and threshold-linear sire mixed models were used to estimate (co)variance components. The genetic correlations between economically important traits and the measures of M. bovis infection estimated from the linear-linear and threshold-linear sire models were similar. The genetic correlations between susceptibility to confirmed M. bovis infection and economically important traits investigated in this study were all close to zero. Mycobacterium bovis-PPD responsiveness was positively genetically correlated with fat production (0.39) and body condition score (0.36), and negatively correlated with somatic cell score (-0.34) and survival (-0.62). Hence, selection for increased survival may indirectly reduce susceptibility to M. bovis infection, whereas selection for reduced somatic cell count and increased fat production and body condition score may increase susceptibility to M. bovis infection.

Genetics of tuberculosis in Irish Holstein-Friesian dairy herds.

Information is lacking on genetic parameters for tuberculosis (TB) susceptibility in dairy cattle. Mycobacterium bovis is the principal agent of tuberculosis in cattle. The objective of this study was to quantify the genetic variation present among Irish Holstein-Friesian dairy herds in their susceptibility to M. bovis infection. A total of 15,182 cow and 8,104 heifer single intradermal comparative tuberculin test (SICTT, a test for M. bovis exposure and presumed infection) records from November 1, 2002, to October 31, 2005, were available for inclusion in the analysis. Data on observed carcass TB lesions from abattoirs were also available for inclusion in the analysis. The only animals retained were those present in a herd during episodes in which at least 2 animals showed evidence of infection; this ensured a high likelihood of exposure to M. bovis. Linear animal models, and sire and animal threshold models were used to estimate the variance components for susceptibility to M. bovis-purified protein derivative (PPD) responsiveness and confirmed M. bovis infection. The heritability estimates from the threshold sire models were biased upward because the relatedness between dam-daughter pairs was ignored. The threshold animal model produced heritability estimates of 0.14 in cows and 0.12 in heifers for susceptibility to M. bovis-PPD responsiveness, and 0.18 in cows for confirmed M. bovis infection susceptibility. Therefore, exploitable genetic variation exists among Irish dairy cows for susceptibility to M. bovis infection. Sire rankings from the linear and threshold animal models were similar, indicating that either model could be used for the analysis of susceptibility to M. bovis-PPD responsiveness. A favorable genetic correlation close to unity was observed between susceptibility to confirmed M. bovis infection and M. bovis-PPD responsiveness, indicating that direct selection for resistance to M. bovis-PPD responsiveness will indirectly reduce susceptibility to confirmed M. bovis infection. Data from the national TB eradication program could be used routinely to estimate breeding values for susceptibility to M. bovis infection.

Surveillance and control of bovine brucellosis in the Republic of Korea during 2000-2006.

Bovine brucellosis is a major animal health problem in the Republic of Korea. Further, a number of human cases of brucellosis have recently been detected. This paper provides an overview of surveillance (to detect new cases) and control (to clear infection following case detection) of bovine brucellosis in the Republic of Korea during 2000-2006. Using data from AIMS (the national animal infectious disease data management system), we conducted separate descriptive analyses, initially using farm and then episode as our unit of interest. An episode was defined as a period of compulsory herd trading restriction, following detection of infection with Brucella abortus in one or more cattle. We also identified risk factors for two measures of disease control: episode duration (logistic generalised estimating equation model) and time to re-restriction (Cox's proportional-hazard model). There were 8530 and 52,739 reactor farms and reactor cattle, respectively, during 2000-2006. From 2004 to 2006, there was a substantial increase in the number of new outbreaks, particularly within the beef sector. The probability of a prolonged episode (>150 days) and the hazard of a second episode each increased with herd size. Further, the hazard of a second episode was higher in 2005 (compared with other years) and in the southeast of Korea (compared with other provinces). The effect of outbreak size on control varied between the beef and dairy sectors. The increase in beef cattle reactors in 2004-2006 is closely aligned to an increase in surveillance effort. Nonetheless, it is likely that this is a genuine reflection of the recent establishment and spread of brucellosis in the Korean beef cattle population. The recent increase in surveillance coverage in the beef sector is central to national eradication efforts. Current strategies to control infection following detection have generally been effective, leading to rapid clearance of infection on most farms. Control becomes problematic with increasing herd size. This work provides a detailed insight into surveillance and control of bovine brucellosis in Korea, and should assist both policy-makers and field veterinarians to improve the effectiveness of national eradication efforts.

Potential infection-control benefit for Ireland from pre-movement testing of cattle for tuberculosis.

Pre-movement testing for bovine tuberculosis (BTB) was compulsory in Ireland until 1996. We determined the proportion of herd restrictions (losing BTB-free status) attributable to the recent introduction of an infected bovid; described events between restoration of BTB-free status (de-restriction) and the next herd-level test for BTB; estimated the proportion of undetected infected cattle present at de-restriction; identified high-risk movements between herds (movements most likely to involve infected cattle); and determined the potential yield of infected cattle discovered (or herds that would not lose their BTB-free status) by pre-movement testing, relative to the numbers of cattle and herds tested. We used national data for all 6252 herds with a new BTB restriction in the 12 months from 1 April 2003 and 3947 herds declared BTB-free in the 12 months from 1 October 2001. We identified higher-risk animals from our logistic generalized estimating-equation models. We attributed 6-7% of current herd restrictions to the recent introduction of an infected animal. There were considerable changes to herd structure between de-restriction and the next full-herd test, and infection was detected in 10% of herds at the first assessment (full-herd test or abattoir surveillance) following de-restriction. Following movement from a de-restricted herd, the odds of an animal being positive at the next test increased with increasing time in the source herd prior to movement, increasing time between de-restriction and the next full-herd test and increasing severity of the source herd restriction. The odds decreased with increasing size of the source herd. We estimated that 15.9 destination-herd restrictions per year could be prevented for every 10,000 cattle tested pre-movement and that 3.3 destination-herd restrictions per year could be prevented for every 100 source herds tested pre-movement. The yield per pre-movement test can be increased by focusing on high-risk movements; however, this would result in a substantial decrease in the total number of potential restrictions identified.