The relative utility of cardiac troponin I, creatine kinase-MBmass, and myosin light chain-1 in the long-term risk stratification of patients with chest pain.

BACKGROUND: Sensitive and specific cardiac markers convey important short-term prognostic information about patients with an acute coronary syndrome. There are, however, few data assessing their value as long-term predictors. HYPOTHESIS: The aim of the current study was to assess the relative value of three such markers and clinical characteristics in determining the long-term prognosis of patients with chest pain. METHODS: Cardiac troponin I (cTnI), myosin light chain-(MLC-1), and creatine kinase-MBmass levels were obtained on admission (0 h) and at 4, 8, 16, and 24 h in 208 patients with chest pain. Eligible subjects were determined, at the time of hospital admission, to be at >7% risk of acute myocardial infarction (MI), but without new ST-segment elevation on their presenting electrocardiogram. Follow-up was performed a median of 28 (range 1-46) months later. The primary study endpoint was death or nonfatal MI, subsequent to the index admission. RESULTS: Cardiac TnI levels > or = 0.2 ng/ml (odds ratio [OR] 1.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-3.40) and MLC-1 levels > or = 1 ng/ml (OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.83-5.73) were both significant predictors of death or MI during long-term follow-up; MLC-1 was, however, the only independent biochemical predictor (OR 2.11,95% CI 1.14-3.93). CONCLUSIONS: Both cTnl and MLC-1 predict the long-term outcome of patients with chest pain, but, in this cohort, MLC-1 proved to be a better predictor of mortality and nonfatal acute MI.

Biochemical and clinical predictors of long-term outcome in patients with nonspecific chest pain and nondiagnostic electrocardiograms.

BACKGROUND: There are few data assessing the relative value of clinical factors and sensitive cardiac markers in determining the long-term prognosis of patients with chest pain. Likewise, little information exists about the long-term outcome of patients with chest pain who have negative markers of myocardial cell necrosis. This study addresses these issues in a cohort of patients with nonspecific chest pain and nondiagnostic electrocardiograms (ECGs). METHODS: Eligible subjects (n = 501) had experienced >15 minutes chest pain at rest during the previous 24 hours, but were found to be at low-risk for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by means of a well-validated clinical algorithm. Cardiac troponin I, creatine kinase MB(mass), myoglobin, and myosin light chain-1 were collected at presentation and 3, 6, and 12 hours later. Patients were observed for a median of 31 months. The composite end point was death or AMI subsequent to the index admission. RESULTS: Cardiac troponin I was the best single biochemical predictor of outcome (risk ratio 2.34, 95% CI 1.31-4.17, P =.004), but was of less independent prognostic value than age and an abnormal presenting ECG. It was also inferior to a combination strategy, using all 4 markers tested (risk ratio 2.37, 95% CI 1.44-3.91, P <.001). Fifty of 428 patients (12%) with a cardiac troponin I level < or =0.2 ng/mL and 25 of 287 patients (9%) without elevation of any marker tested sustained an adverse event during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac troponin I is the most useful single biochemical predictor of long-term outcome, but the best determinants are age, an abnormal presenting ECG, and an "any marker positive" strategy. Patients without elevated cardiac markers have an adverse event rate of approximately 10% in the subsequent 31 months.