Deep Learning-Based Clustering of OCT Images for Biomarker Discovery in Age-Related Macular Degeneration (PINNACLE Study Report 4).

Purpose: We introduce a deep learning-based biomarker proposal system for the purpose of accelerating biomarker discovery in age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Design: Retrospective analysis of a large data set of retinal OCT images. Participants: A total of 3456 adults aged between 51 and 102 years whose OCT images were collected under the PINNACLE project. Methods: Our system proposes candidates for novel AMD imaging biomarkers in OCT. It works by first training a neural network using self-supervised contrastive learning to discover, without any clinical annotations, features relating to both known and unknown AMD biomarkers present in 46 496 retinal OCT images. To interpret the learned biomarkers, we partition the images into 30 subsets, termed clusters, that contain similar features. We conduct 2 parallel 1.5-hour semistructured interviews with 2 independent teams of retinal specialists to assign descriptions in clinical language to each cluster. Descriptions of clusters achieving consensus can potentially inform new biomarker candidates. Main Outcome Measures: We checked if each cluster showed clear features comprehensible to retinal specialists, if they related to AMD, and how many described established biomarkers used in grading systems as opposed to recently proposed or potentially new biomarkers. We also compared their prognostic value for late-stage wet and dry AMD against an established clinical grading system and a demographic baseline model. Results: Overall, both teams independently identified clearly distinct characteristics in 27 of 30 clusters, of which 23 were related to AMD. Seven were recognized as known biomarkers used in established grading systems, and 16 depicted biomarker combinations or subtypes that are either not yet used in grading systems, were only recently proposed, or were unknown. Clusters separated incomplete from complete retinal atrophy, intraretinal from subretinal fluid, and thick from thin choroids, and, in simulation, outperformed clinically used grading systems in prognostic value. Conclusions: Using self-supervised deep learning, we were able to automatically propose AMD biomarkers going beyond the set used in clinically established grading systems. Without any clinical annotations, contrastive learning discovered subtle differences between fine-grained biomarkers. Ultimately, we envision that equipping clinicians with discovery-oriented deep learning tools can accelerate the discovery of novel prognostic biomarkers. Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Metadata-enhanced contrastive learning from retinal optical coherence tomography images.

Deep learning has potential to automate screening, monitoring and grading of disease in medical images. Pretraining with contrastive learning enables models to extract robust and generalisable features from natural image datasets, facilitating label-efficient downstream image analysis. However, the direct application of conventional contrastive methods to medical datasets introduces two domain-specific issues. Firstly, several image transformations which have been shown to be crucial for effective contrastive learning do not translate from the natural image to the medical image domain. Secondly, the assumption made by conventional methods, that any two images are dissimilar, is systematically misleading in medical datasets depicting the same anatomy and disease. This is exacerbated in longitudinal image datasets that repeatedly image the same patient cohort to monitor their disease progression over time. In this paper we tackle these issues by extending conventional contrastive frameworks with a novel metadata-enhanced strategy. Our approach employs widely available patient metadata to approximate the true set of inter-image contrastive relationships. To this end we employ records for patient identity, eye position (i.e. left or right) and time series information. In experiments using two large longitudinal datasets containing 170,427 retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) images of 7912 patients with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), we evaluate the utility of using metadata to incorporate the temporal dynamics of disease progression into pretraining. Our metadata-enhanced approach outperforms both standard contrastive methods and a retinal image foundation model in five out of six image-level downstream tasks related to AMD. We find benefits in both a low-data and high-data regime across tasks ranging from AMD stage and type classification to prediction of visual acuity. Due to its modularity, our method can be quickly and cost-effectively tested to establish the potential benefits of including available metadata in contrastive pretraining.

Evaluation and mitigation of the limitations of large language models in clinical decision-making.

Clinical decision-making is one of the most impactful parts of a physician's responsibilities and stands to benefit greatly from artificial intelligence solutions and large language models (LLMs) in particular. However, while LLMs have achieved excellent performance on medical licensing exams, these tests fail to assess many skills necessary for deployment in a realistic clinical decision-making environment, including gathering information, adhering to guidelines, and integrating into clinical workflows. Here we have created a curated dataset based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database spanning 2,400 real patient cases and four common abdominal pathologies as well as a framework to simulate a realistic clinical setting. We show that current state-of-the-art LLMs do not accurately diagnose patients across all pathologies (performing significantly worse than physicians), follow neither diagnostic nor treatment guidelines, and cannot interpret laboratory results, thus posing a serious risk to the health of patients. Furthermore, we move beyond diagnostic accuracy and demonstrate that they cannot be easily integrated into existing workflows because they often fail to follow instructions and are sensitive to both the quantity and order of information. Overall, our analysis reveals that LLMs are currently not ready for autonomous clinical decision-making while providing a dataset and framework to guide future studies.

Exploring Healthy Retinal Aging with Deep Learning.

Purpose: To study the individual course of retinal changes caused by healthy aging using deep learning. Design: Retrospective analysis of a large data set of retinal OCT images. Participants: A total of 85 709 adults between the age of 40 and 75 years of whom OCT images were acquired in the scope of the UK Biobank population study. Methods: We created a counterfactual generative adversarial network (GAN), a type of neural network that learns from cross-sectional, retrospective data. It then synthesizes high-resolution counterfactual OCT images and longitudinal time series. These counterfactuals allow visualization and analysis of hypothetical scenarios in which certain characteristics of the imaged subject, such as age or sex, are altered, whereas other attributes, crucially the subject's identity and image acquisition settings, remain fixed. Main Outcome Measures: Using our counterfactual GAN, we investigated subject-specific changes in the retinal layer structure as a function of age and sex. In particular, we measured changes in the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL), combined ganglion cell layer plus inner plexiform layer (GCIPL), inner nuclear layer to the inner boundary of the retinal pigment epithelium (INL-RPE), and retinal pigment epithelium (RPE). Results: Our counterfactual GAN is able to smoothly visualize the individual course of retinal aging. Across all counterfactual images, the RNFL, GCIPL, INL-RPE, and RPE changed by -0.1 µm ± 0.1 µm, -0.5 µm ± 0.2 µm, -0.2 µm ± 0.1 µm, and 0.1 µm ± 0.1 µm, respectively, per decade of age. These results agree well with previous studies based on the same cohort from the UK Biobank population study. Beyond population-wide average measures, our counterfactual GAN allows us to explore whether the retinal layers of a given eye will increase in thickness, decrease in thickness, or stagnate as a subject ages. Conclusion: This study demonstrates how counterfactual GANs can aid research into retinal aging by generating high-resolution, high-fidelity OCT images, and longitudinal time series. Ultimately, we envision that they will enable clinical experts to derive and explore hypotheses for potential imaging biomarkers for healthy and pathologic aging that can be refined and tested in prospective clinical trials. Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.