Deciphering metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: insights from predictive modeling and clustering analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: New nomenclature of steatotic liver disease (SLD) including metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD), MASLD and increased alcohol intake (MetALD), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) has recently been proposed. We investigated clustering analyses to decipher the complex landscape of SLD pathologies including the former nomenclature of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). METHODS: Japanese individuals who received annual health checkups including abdominal ultrasonography (n = 15 788, men/women: 10 250/5538, mean age: 49 years) were recruited. RESULTS: The numbers of individuals with SLD, MASLD, MetALD, ALD, NAFLD, and MAFLD were 5603 (35.5%), 4227 (26.8%), 795 (5.0%), 324 (2.1%), 3982 (25.8%), and 4946 (31.3%), respectively. Clustering analyses using t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding and K-means to visually represent interconnections in SLDs uncovered five cluster formations. MASLD and NAFLD mainly shared three clusters including (i) low alcohol intake with relatively low-grade obesity; (ii) obesity with dyslipidemia; and (iii) dysfunction of glucose metabolism. Both MetALD and ALD displayed one distinct cluster intertwined with alcohol consumption. MAFLD widely shared all of the five clusters. In machine learning-based analyses using algorithms of random forest and extreme gradient boosting and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, fatty liver index (FLI), calculated by body mass index, waist circumference, and levels of γ-glutamyl transferase and triglycerides, was selected as a useful feature for SLDs. CONCLUSIONS: The new nomenclature of SLDs is useful for obtaining a better understanding of liver pathologies and for providing valuable insights into predictive factors and the dynamic interplay of diseases. FLI may be a noninvasive predictive marker for detection of SLDs.

Mitral valve repair for infective endocarditis after esophageal reconstruction: a case report.

BACKGROUND: In patients with retrosternal neo-esophageal conduit after right thoracotomy, the approach to cardiac surgery could be challenging. Particularly, in patients with infective endocarditis, there is a risk of injury to the conduit through standard median sternotomy. Moreover, right lung adhesions could be predicted. Herein, we present a case of successful mitral valve repair in a patient with infective endocarditis through a redo right thoracotomy after esophageal reconstruction. CASE PRESENTATION: A 66-year-old male patient was diagnosed with infective endocarditis and a large anterior mitral leaflet vegetation after a previous esophageal reconstruction via right thoracotomy for esophageal cancer. Due to the retrosternal esophageal reconstruction, we performed a mitral valve repair through a redo right thoracotomy. After resecting the vegetation, the defect was closed with a fresh autologous pericardial patch. Mitral valve annuloplasty was performed. Postoperatively, antibiotics controlled the infection. The patient was discharged on postoperative day 30. CONCLUSIONS: Successful mitral valve repair was performed for infective endocarditis through a redo right thoracotomy after esophageal reconstruction.

A high level of thyroid-stimulating hormone is a risk factor for the development of chronic kidney disease in men: a 10-year cohort study.

Hypothyroidism has been reported to be associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the impact of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) on new onset of CKD and its gender dependence remain undetermined. We investigated the association of serum TSH level and the development of CKD defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or positive for urine protein in 28,990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After excluding subjects with no data for serum TSH, urinalysis and eGFR and those with CKD at baseline, a total of 10,392 subjects (men/women: 6802/3590, mean age: 48 years) were recruited. During a 10-year follow-up, 1185 men (6.7%) and 578 women (2.9%) newly developed CKD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models after adjustment of age, body mass index, smoking habit, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, ischemic heart disease and eGFR (≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2) showed that the hazard ratio (HR) for the development of CKD in the high TSH (> 4.2 mU/L) group was significantly higher than that in the low TSH (≤ 4.2 mU/L) group in men (HR [95% confidence interval]: 1.41 [1.09-1.83]) but not in women (1.08 [0.77-1.51]). There was a significant interaction between sex and the category of TSH level for the development of CKD (p = 0.02). The adjusted HR with a restricted cubic spline increased with a higher level of TSH in men but not in women. In conclusion, a high level of TSH is associated with an increased risk for the development of CKD in men but not in women.

Calculated Small Dense Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Level is A Predominant Predictor for New Onset of Ischemic Heart Disease.

AIM: A high level of directly measured small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) is a strong risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD). However, it remains unclear whether estimated sdLDL-C level is a predictor for IHD. We investigated the associations of new onset of IHD with levels of total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides (TG), LDL-C and calculated sdLDL-C by Sampson's equation. METHODS: After exclusion of subjects with IHD or those with TG ≥ 800 mg/dL, a total of 18,176 subjects (men/women: 11,712/6,464, mean age: 46 years) were recruited among 28,990 Japanese individuals who received annual health checkups. RESULTS: During the 10-year follow-up period, 456 men (3.9%) and 121 women (1.9%) newly developed IHD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses after adjustment of age, sex, obesity, smoking habit, family history of IHD, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypertension and diabetes mellitus at baseline showed that the hazard ratio (HR) (1.38 [95% confidence interval: 1.03-1.85]) for new onset of IHD in subjects with the 4th quartile (Q4) of sdLDL-C (≥ 42 mg/dL) was significantly higher than that in subjects with the 1st quartile (Q1) (≤ 24 mg/dL) as the reference, though the adjusted HRs in subjects with Q2-Q4 of TC, HDL-C, non-HDL-C, LDL-C and TG were comparable with those in subjects with Q1 of the respective lipid fractions. The adjusted HR with a restricted cubic spline increased with a higher level of calculated sdLDL-C as a continuous value at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: sdLDL-C level calculated by Sampson's equation is a predominant predictor for the development of IHD in a general Japanese population.

Multivariate analysis of the factors affecting medical students' decision to join the cardiovascular surgery department.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to statistically analyze the factors that influence cardiovascular surgery recruitment. METHODS: Fifth- and sixth-year medical students and first-year residents who participated in cardiovascular surgery-related events at our university over a 10-year period from April 2013 to August 2022 were included. The primary endpoint was admission to the department of cardiovascular surgery. Gender, participation in sixth-year elective clinical training, participation in national academic conferences, participation in cardiovascular surgery summer school, and the cost of participation in these events (airfares and lodging) were included as analytic factors. RESULTS: Fifty-three participants attended cardiovascular surgery events during the study period. The sample included 48 males (84%) and 9 females (16%), and 3 fifth-year medical students (5%), 45 sixth-year students (79%), and 9 students in their first year of clinical training (16%). Eighteen (32%) of the participants eventually joined the department. Gender, participation in national academic conferences, cardiovascular surgery summer school, and cost of participation were not significantly related to the decision to join the department, but participation in elective clinical training was significantly positively related to the decision to join the department for sixth-year students (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: We statistically analyzed the factors involved in the recruitment of students and initial clinical residents to the department of cardiovascular surgery. The results showed that participation in elective clinical training was significantly positively associated with the decision to join the department, suggesting that efforts to encourage participation in elective clinical training are important.

The impact of postoperative cerebrospinal fluid drainage on neurological improvement following thoracic aortic and thoracoabdominal aortic surgery.

Background: Various preventive measures and treatment methods exist to prevent paraplegia during thoracic aortic surgery. Postoperative cerebrospinal fluid drainage (CSFD) is one of the treatment options when paraplegia occurs. This study aimed to evaluate the neurological efficacy of postoperative CSFD in patients undergoing thoracic aortic and thoracoabdominal aortic surgery. Methods: We analyzed perioperative data from 85 patients who underwent perioperative CSFD for thoracic and thoracoabdominal aortic surgery between January 2006 and December 2022, focusing on neurological changes. A total of 61 patients (72%) received preoperative CSFD, and 24 patients (28%) received postoperative CSFD. Perioperative neurological data were analyzed with a focus on perioperative changes. Results: In the postoperative CSFD group, the manual muscle test (MMT) score before CSFD was 0.8, that just after CSFD was 2.4, and that at discharge was 3.0. Therefore, postoperative CSFD improved MMT scores compared with preoperative CSFD. The mean time between surgery completion and postoperative CSFD implantation was 9.8 hours. However, 6 (25%) of the patients who developed postoperative paraplegia and underwent early postoperative CSFD remained paraplegic without any improvement. In the preoperative CSFD group, there was only one case (2%) of postoperative paraplegia. Conclusions: Postoperative CSFD improved the neurological prognosis of individuals undergoing thoracic aortic and thoracoabdominal aortic surgery. However, 25% of the patients remained paraplegic despite postoperative CSFD.

An increase in calculated small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol predicts new onset of hypertension in a Japanese cohort.

A disorder of lipid metabolism is involved in cardiovascular diseases including hypertension. A high level of small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) is a strong risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. However, the association between sdLDL-C and hypertension has not been fully investigated. We investigated the associations between the development of hypertension during a 10-year period and levels of total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides (TG), and LDL-C and sdLDL-C calculated by using the Sampson equations in 28,990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects with missing data, those with hypertension, and those with TG ≥ 800 mg/dL at baseline, a total of 15,177 subjects (men/women: 9374/5803, mean age: 46 years) were recruited. During the 10-year period, 2379 men (25.4%) and 724 women (12.5%) had new onset of hypertension. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model analyses showed that levels of HDL-C, non-HDL-C, TG and sdLDL-C, but not levels of TC and LDL-C, were independent risk factors for the development of hypertension after adjustment of age, sex, family history of hypertension, systolic blood pressure, obesity, current smoking habit, alcohol drinking habit, estimated glomerular filtration rate, diagnosis of diabetes mellitus and use of lipid-lowering drugs and that the adjusted risk of sdLDL-C (per 1-standard deviation) was highest (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval: 1.09 [1.05-1.13]). The addition of sdLDL-C to traditional risk factors for hypertension significantly improved the discriminatory capability, which was better than that of other lipid fractions. In conclusion, a high level of calculated sdLDL-C predicts the development of hypertension.

Ten-year follow-up study of a young woman with loeys-dietz syndrome: a case report.

We herein report the 10-year surgical course of a 27-year-old woman who underwent two surgeries after being diagnosed with Loeys-Dietz syndrome. As described in previous cases, this patient developed ectopic arterial enlargement. We followed her temporal changes over a 10-year period, including the changes in computed tomography, pathology, and surgery.

Coexistence of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease and Chronic Kidney Disease Is a More Potent Risk Factor for Ischemic Heart Disease.

Background Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), defined as fatty liver with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes, or metabolic abnormalities, is a newly proposed disease. However, it remains unclear whether the coexistence of MAFLD and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a more potent risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD). Methods and Results We investigated the risk of the combination of MAFLD and CKD for development of IHD during a 10-year follow-up period in 28 990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects without data for abdominal ultrasonography or with the presence of IHD at baseline, a total of 14 141 subjects (men/women: 9195/4946; mean age, 48 years) were recruited. During the 10-year period (mean, 6.9 years), 479 subjects (men/women, 397/82) had new onset of IHD. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significant differences in rates of the cumulative incidence of IHD in subjects with and those without MAFLD (n=4581) and CKD (n=990; stages 1/2/3/4-5, 198/398/375/19). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model analyses showed that coexistence of MAFLD and CKD, but not MAFLD or CKD alone, was an independent predictor for development of IHD after adjustment for age, sex, current smoking habit, family history of IHD, overweight/obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia (hazard ratio, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.02-2.22]). The addition of the combination of MAFLD and CKD to traditional risk factors for IHD significantly improved the discriminatory capability. Conclusions The coexistence of MAFLD and CKD predicts new onset of IHD better than does MAFLD or CKD alone.

One Year Outcomes of Zilver PTX Versus Eluvia for Femoropopliteal Disease in Real-World Practice: REALDES Study.

PURPOSE: This multicenter, prospective, observational study aimed to compare Zilver PTX and Eluvia stents in real-world settings for treating femoropopliteal lesions as the differences in the 1-year outcomes of these stents have not been elucidated. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Overall, 200 limbs with native femoropopliteal artery disease were treated with Zilver PTX (96 limbs) or Eluvia (104 limbs) at 8 Japanese hospitals between February 2019 and September 2020. The primary outcome measure of this study was primary patency at 12 months, defined as a peak systolic velocity ratio of ≤2.4, without clinically-driven target lesion revascularization (TLR) or stenosis ≤50% based on angiographic findings. RESULTS: The baseline clinical and lesion characteristics of Zilver PTX and Eluvia groups were roughly comparable (of all limbs analyzed, approximately 30% presented with critical limb-threatening ischemia, approximately 60% presented with Trans-Atlantic Inter-Society Consensus II C-D, and approximately half had total occlusion), except for the longer lesion lengths in the Zilver PTX group (185.7±92.0 mm vs 160.0±98.5 mm, p=0.030). The Kaplan-Meier estimates of primary patency at 12 months were 84.9% and 88.1% for Zilver PTX and Eluvia, respectively (log-rank p=0.417). Freedom from clinically-driven TLR rates were 88.8% and 90.9% for Zilver PTX and Eluvia, respectively (log-rank p=0.812). CONCLUSIONS: The results of the Zilver PTX and Eluvia stents were not different regarding primary patency and freedom from clinically-driven TLR at 12 months after treating patients with femoropopliteal peripheral artery disease in real-world settings. CLINICAL IMPACT: This is the first study to reveal that the Zilver PTX and Eluvia have similar results in real-world practice when the proper vessel preparation is performed. However, the type of restenosis in the Eluvia stent may differ from that in the Zilver PTX stent. Therefore, the results of this study may influence the selection of DES for femoropopliteal lesions in routine clinical practice.

Initial Outcomes of Physician-Modified Inner Branched Endovascular Repair in High-Surgical-Risk Patients.

PURPOSE: To report the initial outcomes of physician-modified inner branched endovascular repair (PMiBEVAR) for pararenal aneurysms (PRAs), thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAAs), and aortic arch aneurysms in high-surgical-risk patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 10 patients (6 men; median age, 83.0 years) treated using PMiBEVAR were enrolled in this retrospective, single-center study. All patients were at high surgical risk because of severe comorbidities (American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status score≥3 or emergency repair). End points were defined as technical success per patient and per vessel (successful deployment), clinical success (no endoleaks postoperatively), in-hospital death, and major adverse events. RESULTS: There were 3 PRAs, 4 TAAAs, and 3 aortic arch aneurysms with 12 renal-mesenteric arteries and 3 left subclavian arteries incorporated by inner branches. The technical success rate was 90.0% (9/10) per patient and 93.3% (14/15) per vessel. The clinical success rate was 90% (9/10). There were 2 in-hospital deaths, unrelated to aneurysms. Paraplegia and shower emboli occurred separately in 2 patients. Three patients experienced prolonged ventilation for 3 days after surgery. Aneurysm sac shrinkage occurred in 4 patients, and aneurysm size stabilized in 1 patient during follow-up, more than 6 months later. None of the patients required intervention. CONCLUSION: PMiBEVAR is a feasible approach for treating complex aneurysms in high-surgical-risk patients. This technology may complement the existing technology in terms of improved anatomical adaptability, no time delay and practicability in many countries. However, long-term durability remains undetermined. Further large-scale and long-term studies are needed. CLINICAL IMPACT: This is the first clinical study to investigate outcomes of physician-modified inner branched endovascular repair (PMiBEVAR). PMiBEVAR for treating pararenal aneurysm, thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm, or aortic arch aneurysm is a feasible procedure. This technology is likely to complement existing technology in terms of improved anatomical adaptability (compared to off-the-shelf devices), no time delay (compared to custom-made devices), and the potential to be performed in many countries. On the other hand, surgery time varied greatly depending on the case, suggesting a learning curve and the need for technological innovation to perform more consistent surgeries.

Temperature analysis of aortic repair with hypothermic circulatory arrest to quantify the injury by cooling.

OBJECTIVES: We analyzed the temperature in proximal aortic repair with moderate hypothermic circulatory arrest (HCA) and evaluated the effect of the cooling status on postoperative outcomes. METHODS: A total of 340 patients who underwent elective ascending aortic replacement or total arch replacement with moderate HCA from December 2006 to January 2021 were studied. The change in body temperature trends recorded during surgery was shown graphically. Several parameters, such as the nadir temperature, cooling speed and the degree of cooling (cooling area), which was the area under curve of inverted temperature trends from cooling to rewarming as calculated by the integral method, were analyzed. The relationships between these variables and a major adverse outcome (MAO) postoperatively defined as prolonged ventilation (>72 h), acute renal failure, stroke, reoperation for bleeding, deep sternal wound infection or in-hospital death were evaluated. RESULTS: An MAO was observed in 68 patients (20%). The cooling area was larger in the MAO group than in the non-MAO group (1668.7 vs 1383.2°C min; P < 0.0001). A multivariate logistic model showed that old myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, chronic renal dysfunction, cardiopulmonary bypass time and the cooling area were independent risk factors for an MAO (odds ratio = 1.1 per 100°C min; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The cooling area, which indicates the degree of cooling, shows a significant relationship with an MAO after aortic repair. This finding indicates that the cooling status with HCA can affect clinical outcomes.

Comparison of Phenotypes in Subcutaneous Fat and Perivascular Adipose Tissue Surrounding the Saphenous Vein in Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

BACKGROUND: The saphenous vein (SV) is used as an essential conduit in coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), but the long-term patency of SV grafts is a crucial issue. The use of the novel "no-touch" technique of harvesting the SV together with its surrounding tissue has been reported to result in good long-term graft patency of SV grafts. We recently showed that perivascular adipose tissue (PVAT) surrounding the SV (SV-PVAT) had lower levels of metaflammation and consecutive adipose tissue remodeling than did PVAT surrounding the coronary artery. However, the difference between SV-PVAT and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SCAT) remains unclear.Methods and Results: Fat pads were sampled from 55 patients (38 men, 17 women; mean [±SD] age 71±8 years) with coronary artery disease who underwent elective CABG. Adipocyte size was significantly larger in SV-PVAT than SCAT. The extent of fibrosis was smaller in SV-PVAT than SCAT. There were no significant differences between SCAT and SV-PVAT in macrophage infiltration area, quantified by antibodies for CD68, CD11c, and CD206, or in gene expression levels of metaflammation-related markers. Expression patterns of adipocyte developmental and pattern-forming genes differed between SCAT and SV-PVAT. CONCLUSIONS: The properties of SV-PVAT are close to, but not the same as, those of SCAT, possibly resulting from inherent differences in adipocytes. SV-PVAT has healthy expansion with less fibrosis in fat than SCAT.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is associated with an increase in systolic blood pressure over time: linear mixed-effects model analyses.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), a new feature of fatty liver (FL) disease that is defined as FL with overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus or metabolic dysregulation, has been reported to be associated with the development of diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular disease. However, the association between MAFLD and hypertension remains unclear. We investigated the association between MAFLD and systolic blood pressure (SBP) over a 10-year period in 28,990 Japanese subjects who received annual health examinations. After exclusion of subjects without data for SBP and abdominal ultrasonography at baseline, a total of 17,021 subjects (men/women: 10,973/6048; mean age: 49 years) were recruited. Linear mixed-effects model analyses using diagnoses of FL, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or MAFLD and age, sex, SBP, use of anti-hypertensive drugs, levels of uric acid and estimated glomerular filtration rate, family history of hypertension and habits of current smoking and alcohol drinking at baseline as well as the duration of the observation period and the interaction between each covariate and the duration of the observation period showed that the significant association of change in SBP over time with diagnosis of MAFLD (estimate: 0.223 mmHg/year, P < 0.001) was greater than that with diagnoses of FL (estimate: 0.196 mmHg/year, P < 0.001) and NAFLD (estimate: 0.203 mmHg/year, P < 0.001). Furthermore, the rate of increase in SBP over time was higher in subjects with MAFLD than in subjects without FL and subjects with FL who had no MAFLD. In conclusion, MAFLD is significantly associated with an increase in SBP over time. The presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is significantly associated with an increase in systolic blood pressure over time.

Validation of Estimated Small Dense Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Concentration in a Japanese General Population.

AIM: A high level of directly measured small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) is a strong risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. A method for estimating sdLDL-C by using Sampson's equation that includes levels of total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C and triglycerides (TG) has recently been proposed. We investigated the validation and exploration of estimated sdLDL-C level. METHODS: The associations between measured and estimated sdLDL-C levels were investigated in 605 Japanese subjects (men/women: 280/325; mean age: 65±15 years) who received annual health check-ups in the Tanno Sobetsu Study, a population-based cohort. RESULTS: Estimated sdLDL-C level was highly correlated with measured sdLDL-C level in all subjects (R2 =0.701), nondiabetic subjects without any medication (n=254, R 2=0.686) and subjects with diabetes mellitus (n=128, R2=0.721). Multivariable regression analysis showed that levels of non-HDL-C, TG and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γGTP) were independent predictors of measured sdLDL-C level. In a stratification of the LDL window, all of the subjects with a combination of high non-HDL-C (≥ 170 mg/dL) and high TG (≥ 150 mg/dL) had high levels of measured and estimated sdLDL-C (≥ 35 mg/dL). Furthermore, machine learning-based estimation of sdLDL-C level by artificial intelligence software, Prediction One, was substantially improved by using components of Sampson's equation (R2=0.803) and by using those components with the addition of γGTP and deletion of TC (R2=0.929). CONCLUSIONS: sdLDL-C level estimated by Sampson's equation can be used instead of measured sdLDL-C level in general practice. By building multiple machine learning models of artificial intelligence, a more accurate and practical estimation of sdLDL-C level might be possible.

High fibrosis-4 index predicts the new onset of ischaemic heart disease during a 10-year period in a general population.

Aims: The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, calculated using age, platelet count, and levels of aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase, is a non-invasive indicator for the detection of liver fibrosis. Advanced hepatic fibrosis is associated with morbidity and mortality in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. However, the relationship between liver fibrosis and the development of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) has not fully been addressed. Methods and results: We investigated the association between the FIB-4 index and the new onset of IHD during a 10-year period in a general population of subjects who received annual health examinations (n = 28 990). After exclusion of subjects with missing data and those with a history of IHD at baseline, a total of 13 448 subjects (men/women: 8774/4674, mean age: 48 years) were included. During the 10-year period, 378 men (4.3%) and 77 women (1.6%) had a new onset of IHD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with a restricted cubic spline showed that hazard risk for the development of IHD increased with a higher FIB-4 index at baseline after adjustment of age, sex, fatty liver (FL) determined by ultrasonography, estimated glomerular filtration rate, habits of current smoking and alcohol drinking, family history of IHD, and diagnosis of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidaemia. When divided by FL, the FIB-4 index becomes an independent predictor for the development of IHD in subjects with FL but not in those without FL. The addition of the FIB-4 index to traditional risk factors for IHD significantly improved the discriminatory capability. Conclusion: A high level of the FIB-4 index predicts the new onset of IHD during a 10-year period.

Improvement of predicted hematocrit values after the initiation of cardiopulmonary bypass in cardiovascular surgery.

Hematocrit (Hct) values after the initiation of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) must be maintained appropriately to avoid perioperative complications. Therefore, an accurate prediction is required. However, the standard prediction equation often results in actual values that are lower than the predicted values. This study aimed to clarify the limits of agreement (LOA) and bias of the prediction equations and investigate better the prediction equations. A retrospective study was performed on adult patients between April 2015 and December 2020. Study 1 included 158 patients, and Study 2 included 55 patients. The primary outcomes were the LOA and bias between the predicted and measured Hct values after the initiation of CPB, and two studies were conducted. In Study 1, total blood volume (TBV) was estimated, and the new blood volume index (BVI) was calculated. BVI was also evaluated for the overall value and gender differences. Therefore, the patient's background was compared by gender differences. In, Study 2 the conventional predicted equation (Eq. 1), the predicted equation using the new BVI (Eq. 2), and the predicted equation using the new BVI including physiological factors in the TBV equation (Eq. 3) were compared. In Study 1, BVI was 53 (44-67) mL/kg. In Study 2, bias ± LOA was - 2.5 ± 6.8% for Eq. 1, 0.1 ± 6.6% for Eq. 2, and 0.4 ± 6.2% for Eq. 3. The new equation is expected to predict the Hct value after the initiation of CPB with better LOA and bias than the conventional equation.