Using the illness-death model to estimate age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of diabetes in Mexico from 2003 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to estimate the age-specific and age-standardized incidence rate of diabetes for men and women in Mexico between 2003 and 2015, and to assess the relative change in incidence of diabetes between 2003 and 2015. METHODS: We use a partial differential equation describing the illness-death model to estimate the incidence rate (IR) of diabetes for the years 2003, 2009 and 2015 based on prevalence data from National Health Surveys conducted in Mexico, the mortality rate of the Mexican general population and plausible input values for age-specific mortality rate ratios associated with diabetes. RESULTS: The age-standardized IR of diabetes per 1000 person years (pryr) was similar among men (IRm) and women (IRw) in the year 2003 (IRm 6.1 vs. IRw 6.5 1000/pryr), 2009 (IRm: 7.0 vs. IRw: 8.4 1000/pryr), and in 2015 (IRm 8.0 vs. IRw 10.6 1000/pryr). The highest incident rates were observed among men and women in the 60-69 age group. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the incidence rate of diabetes in Mexico between the years 2003 and 2015 remained stable. However, rates were markedly higher among women in the age group 40-49 and 50-59 in the year 2015 compared with rates in 2003.

Projecting the economic burden of type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus in Germany from 2010 until 2040.

BACKGROUND: The aim is to estimate age- and sex-specific direct medical costs related to diagnosed type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Germany between 2010 and 2040. METHODS: Based on nationwide representative epidemiological routine data from 2010 from the statutory health insurance in Germany (almost 80% of the population's insurance) we projected age- and sex-specific healthcare expenses for type 1 and 2 diabetes considering future demographic, disease-specific and cost trends. We combine per capita healthcare cost data (obtained from aggregated claims data from an almost 7% random sample of all German people with statutory health insurance) together with the demographic structure of the German population (obtained from the Federal Statictical Office), diabetes prevalence, incidence and mortality. Direct per capita costs, total annual costs, cost ratios for people with versus without diabetes and attributable costs were estimated. The source code for running the analysis is publicly available in the open-access repository Zenodo. RESULTS: In 2010, total healthcare costs amounted to more than €1 billion for type 1 and €28 billion for type 2 diabetes. Depending on the scenario, total annual expenses were projected to rise remarkably until 2040 compared to 2010, by 1-281% for type 1 (€1 to €4 billion) and by 8-364% for type 2 diabetes (€30 to €131 billion). In a relatively probable scenario total costs amount to about €2 and €79 billion for type 1 and type 2 diabetes in 2040, respectively. Depending on annual cost growth (1% p.a. as realistic scenario vs. 5% p.a. as very extreme setting), we estimated annual per capita costs of €6,581 to €12,057 for type 1 and €5,245 to €8,999 for type 2 diabetes in 2040. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes imposes a large economic burden on Germany which is projected to increase substantially until 2040. Temporal trends in the incidence and cost growth are main drivers of this increase. This highlight the need for urgent action to prepare for the potential development and mitigate its consequences.

[Analysis of factors influencing outpatient paediatric antibiotic prescriptions in Bielefeld from 2015 to 2018]. / Analyse von Einflussfaktoren auf ambulante pädiatrische Antibiotikaverordnungen in Bielefeld 2015­2018.

BACKGROUND: There are significant regional differences in antibiotic prescribing behaviour. The reasons for this are still largely unknown. Beneath demographic and morbidity-related factors, doctor-specific or "cultural" factors may also play a role. A differentiated analysis including diagnostic data is needed to put these data into context. METHODS: A data analysis with secondary data available via the Westphalia-Lippe Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (KVWL) was conducted on infection diagnoses and antibiotic prescriptions of outpatient paediatricians in the KV district of Bielefeld from 2015 to 2018. In addition, algorithmized 1:1 connections between diagnoses and prescriptions were performed. RESULTS: For 262,969 "medication patients" (AMP), 28,248 antibiotic prescriptions and 90,044 infection diagnoses were evaluated, from which 11,131 1:1 connections could be generated. Concerning the prescribing behaviour of individual paediatric GP offices, after adjusting for the denominator AMP and despite a comparable age and gender structure, there were some significant differences. This affected both the frequency of prescriptions and the qualitative composition of the substance groups prescribed. DISCUSSION: The differences in antibiotic prescribing behaviour, even at GP office level, cannot be adequately explained by the demographic composition or different morbidities of the respective clientele. Individual attitudes and local prescribing cultures are likely to play a relevant role. To address these offers an important approach for antibiotic stewardship (ABS). In addition to the area of outpatient paediatrics presented here, the methodology described can also be used as a model for more detailed analysis in other outpatient speciality groups.

Injection of Autologous Adipose Stromal Vascular Fraction in Combination with Autologous Conditioned Plasma for the Treatment of Advanced Knee Osteoarthritis Significantly Improves Clinical Symptoms.

(1) Background: Osteoarthritis (OA) is the most common joint disease in the world. It is chronic, systemic, progressive and disabling. Orthobiologics have the potential to positively alter the course of this disease. Therefore, the aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy of SVF/ACP in the treatment of advanced osteoarthritis of the knee in an unfiltered patient population. We hypothesize that this therapy can improve the symptoms associated with osteoarthritis of the knee. We also hypothesize that there are patient-related factors that influence the efficacy of therapy. (2) Methods: Two hundred and thirteen patients with moderate to severe OA of the knee and SVF/ACP injection were recruited for this study. Patients were excluded if they did not provide informed consent or were not receiving SVF/ACP therapy. Pain, function, symptoms and quality of life were assessed using standardized scores (KOOS, WOMAC) before and after treatment. (3) Results: The VAS pain score was significantly reduced by at least 30% (p < 0.001). Knee function, as measured by the KOOS daily activity and sport scores, showed significant increases of 21% and 45%, respectively, at 6 months (p < 0.04). (4) Conclusions: Treatment of knee OA with SVF/ACP injection positively modifies the disease by significantly reducing pain and improving function.

Safety of magnetic resonance imaging in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices and abandoned or epicardial leads: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: Persistent reluctance to perform magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in patients with abandoned and/or epicardial leads of cardiac implantable electronic devices is related to in vitro studies reporting tip heating. While there is a plethora of data on the safety of MRI in conditional and non-conditional implantable devices, there is a clear lack of safety data in patients with abandoned and/or epicardial leads. METHODS AND RESULTS: Relevant literature was identified in Medline and CINAHL using the key terms 'magnetic resonance imaging' AND 'abandoned leads' OR 'epicardial leads'. Secondary literature and cross-references were supplemented. For reporting guidance, the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 was used. International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) registration number 465530. Twenty-one publications with a total of 656 patients with 854 abandoned and/or epicardial leads and 929 MRI scans of different anatomical regions were included. No scan-related major adverse cardiac event was documented, although the possibility of under-reporting of critical events in the literature should be considered. Furthermore, no severe device dysfunction or severe arrhythmia was reported. Mainly transient lead parameter changes were observed in 2.8% in the subgroup of patients with functional epicardial leads. As a possible correlate of myocardial affection, subjective sensations occurred mainly in the subgroup with abandoned epicardial leads (4.0%), but no change in myocardial biomarkers was observed. CONCLUSION: Existing publications did not report any relevant adverse events for MRI in patients with abandoned and/or epicardial leads if performed according to strict safety guidelines. However, a more rigorous risk-benefit calculation should be made for patients with epicardial leads.

Effectiveness and safety of prehospital analgesia with nalbuphine and paracetamol versus morphine by paramedics - an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Despite the development of various analgesic concepts, prehospital oligoanalgesia remains very common. The present work examines prehospital analgesia by paramedics using morphine vs. nalbuphine + paracetamol. METHODS: Patients with out-of-hospital-analgesia performed by paramedics from the emergency medical services of the districts of Fulda (morphine) and Gütersloh (nalbuphine + paracetamol) were evaluated with regards to pain intensity at the beginning and the end of prehospital treatment using the Numeric-Rating-Scale for pain (NRS), sex, age, and complications. The primary endpoint was achievement of adequate analgesia, defined as NRS < 4 at hospital handover, depending on the analgesics administered (nalbuphine + paracetamol vs. morphine). Pain intensity before and after receiving analgesia using the NRS, sex, age and complications were also monitored. RESULTS: A total of 1,808 patients who received out-of-hospital-analgesia were evaluated (nalbuphine + paracetamol: 1,635 (90.4%), NRS-initial: 8.0 ± 1.4, NRS-at-handover: 3.7 ± 2.0; morphine: 173(9.6%), NRS-initial: 8.5 ± 1.1, NRS-at-handover: 5.1 ± 2.0). Factors influencing the difference in NRS were: initial pain intensity on the NRS (regression coefficient (RK): 0.7276, 95%CI: 0.6602-0.7950, p < 0.001), therapy with morphine vs. nalbuphine + paracetamol (RK: -1.2594, 95%CI: -1.5770 - -0.9418, p < 0.001) and traumatic vs. non-traumatic causes of pain (RK: -0.2952, 95%CI: -0.4879 - -0.1024, p = 0.002). Therapy with morphine (n = 34 (19.6%)) compared to nalbuphine + paracetamol (n = 796 (48.7%)) (odds ratio (OR): 0.274, 95%CI: 0.185-0.405, p < 0.001) and the initial NRS score (OR:0.827, 95%CI: 0.771-0.887, p < 0.001) reduced the odds of having an NRS < 4 at hospital handover. Complications occurred with morphine in n = 10 (5.8%) and with nalbuphine + paracetamol in n = 35 (2.1%) cases. Risk factors for complications were analgesia with morphine (OR: 2.690, 95%CI: 1.287-5.621, p = 0.008), female sex (OR: 2.024, 95%CI: 1.040-3.937, p = 0.0379), as well as age (OR: 1.018, 95%CI: 1.003-1.034, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to morphine, prehospital analgesia with nalbuphine + paracetamol yields favourable effects in terms of analgesic effectiveness and a lower rate of complications and should therefore be considered in future recommendations for prehospital analgesia.

Prehospital anesthesia in postcardiac arrest patients: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Currently, the data regarding the impact of prehospital postcardiac arrest anesthesia on target hemodynamic and ventilatory parameters of early postresuscitation care and recommendations on its implementation are rare. The present study examines the incidence and impact of prehospital postcardiac arrest anesthesia on hemodynamic and ventilatory target parameters of postresuscitation care. METHODS: In this multicentre observational study between 2019 and 2021 unconscious adult patients after out-of-hospital-cardiac arrest with the presence of a return-of-spontaneous circulation until hospital admission were included. Primary endpoint was the application of postarrest anesthesia. Secondary endpoints included the medication group used, predisposing factors to its implementation, and its influence on achieving target parameters of postresuscitation care (systolic blood pressure: ≥ 100 mmHg, etCO2:35-45 mmHg, SpO2: 94-98%) at hospital handover. RESULTS: During the study period 2,335 out-of-hospital resuscitations out of 391,305 prehospital emergency operations (incidence: 0.58%; 95% CI 0.54-0.63) were observed with a return of spontaneous circulation to hospital admission in 706 patients (30.7%; 95% CI 28.8-32.6; female: 34.3%; age:68.3 ± 14.2 years). Postcardiac arrest anesthesia was performed in 482 patients (68.3%; 95% CI 64.7-71.7) with application of hypnotics in 93.4% (n = 451), analgesics in 53.7% (n = 259) and relaxants in 45.6% (n = 220). Factors influencing postcardiac arrest sedation were emergency care by an anesthetist (odds ratio: 2.10; 95% CI 1.34-3.30; P < 0.001) and treatment-free interval ≤ 5 min (odds ratio: 1.59; 95% CI 1.01-2.49; P = 0.04). Although there was no evidence of the impact of performing postcardiac arrest anesthesia on achieving a systolic blood pressure ≥ 100 mmHg at the end of operation (odds ratio: 1.14; 95% CI 0.78-1.68; P = 0.48), patients with postcardiac arrest anesthesia were significantly more likely to achieve the recommended ventilation (odds ratio: 1.59; 95% CI 1.06-2.40; P = 0.02) and oxygenation (odds ratio:1.56; 95% CI 1.04-2.35; P = 0.03) targets. Comparing the substance groups, the use of hypnotics significantly more often enabled the target values for etCO2 to be reached alone (odds ratio:2.79; 95% CI 1.04-7.50; P = 0.04) as well as in combination with a systolic blood pressure ≥ 100 mmHg (odds ratio:4.42; 95% CI 1.03-19.01; P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Postcardiac arrest anesthesia in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest is associated with early achievement of respiratory target parameters in prehospital postresuscitation care without evidence of more frequent hemodynamic complications.

A nonparametric proportional risk model to assess a treatment effect in time-to-event data.

Time-to-event analysis often relies on prior parametric assumptions, or, if a semiparametric approach is chosen, Cox's model. This is inherently tied to the assumption of proportional hazards, with the analysis potentially invalidated if this assumption is not fulfilled. In addition, most interpretations focus on the hazard ratio, that is often misinterpreted as the relative risk (RR), the ratio of the cumulative distribution functions. In this paper, we introduce an alternative to current methodology for assessing a treatment effect in a two-group situation, not relying on the proportional hazards assumption but assuming proportional risks. Precisely, we propose a new nonparametric model to directly estimate the RR of two groups to experience an event under the assumption that the risk ratio is constant over time. In addition to this relative measure, our model allows for calculating the number needed to treat as an absolute measure, providing the possibility of an easy and holistic interpretation of the data. We demonstrate the validity of the approach by means of a simulation study and present an application to data from a large randomized controlled trial investigating the effect of dapagliflozin on all-cause mortality.

Trends in incidence and mortality of early-onset cancer in Germany between 1999 and 2019.

Evidence on the recent temporal trend in the incidence and mortality of early-onset cancer, i.e., cancer diagnosed at ages of < 50 years, in Germany is scarce. To estimate the temporal trend in the incidence and mortality of early-onset cancer in Germany between 1999 and 2019. Input data were obtained from the Centre for Cancer Registry Data (Zentrum für Krebsregisterdaten, ZfKD). The analysis comprised all ages until 50 years and all types of cancer classified by the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10)-codes C00-C97 (excl. C44). Temporal trends were estimated using negative binomial regression, differentiated by sex and cancer type. Between 1999 and 2019 in Germany, we observed stable or slightly increasing trends (0% and 1%) in the incidence of all early-onset cancers combined (C00-C97) for men and women, respectively, and strict declines in the mortality for both, men and women (-2% and - 3%). However, the trends differ largely with respect to sex and the individual cancer types. Early-onset cancer should be closely monitored to see whether stable and decreasing trends in the incidence and mortality continue. Knowing that despite decreasing incidence, the prevalence of a disease can rise due to their interplay with mortality, we recommend to maintain precise surveillance, efforts in prevention and early detection, as well as appropriate investments into healthcare resources, research and development.

Effects of COVID-19 on a mature citizen first responder system in the German district of Gütersloh: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine the impact of COVID-19 on the response rate of community-first-responders (CFR) and other out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrest (OHCA) outcomes using the smartphone-first-responder-system (SFRS) "Mobile Retter." METHODS: All adult non-traumatic OHCA in the district of Gütersloh between 01.01.2018-31.12.2021 were included. Periods of interest were 1) prior to the first COVID-19-lockdown; to 2) both lockdowns; and 3) the time in between, as well as after the COVID-19-lockdowns (pre-COVID-19, COVID-19-lockdown and COVID-19-pandemic respectively). The primary outcome was the CFR response rate defined as proportion of CFR alerts that were accepted by a CFR and in which at least one CFR arrived on scene of the emergency out of all CFR alerts. Secondary outcomes included the rate of CFR alerts, defined as proportion of OHCA to which CFR were summoned by the emergency medical dispatcher, as well as the rate of return-of-spontaneous-circulation (ROSC) and rate of survival until hospital discharge. We also examined the incidence COVID-19-infection of CFR in context of the SFRS. RESULTS: A total of 1064 OHCA-patients (mean age: 71.4±14.5 years; female: 33.8%) were included in the study (Pre-COVID-19: 539; COVID-19-lockdown: 109; COVID-19-pandemic: 416). The response rate was 64.0% (pre-COVID-19: 58.7%; COVID-19-lockdown: 63.5%; COVID-19-pandemic: 71.8%, P=0.002 vs. pre-COVID-19). The alert rate was 52.7% (pre-COVID-19: 56.2%; COVID-19-lockdown: 47.7%, P=0.04 vs. Pre-COVID-19; COVID-19-Pandemic: 49.5%, P=0.02 vs. pre-COVID-19). The ROSC-rate was 40.4% (pre-COVID-19: 41.0%; COVID-19-lockdown: 33.9%; COVID-19-pandemic: 41.4%) and hospital discharge rate 31.2% (Pre-COVID-19: 33.0%; COVID-19-lockdown: 36.8%; COVID-19-pandemic: 28.7%). The use of CFR was associated with favorable effects in terms of hospital admission (odds ratio [OR]: 0.654 (CI95: 0.444-0.963), P=0.03), hospital discharge (OR: 2.343 (CI95: 1.002-5.475), P=0.04). None of the CFR became infected with COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: "Mobile-Retter" was associated with high response rates, improved outcome in OHCA patients and no COVID-19-infections of CFR during the COVID-19-pandemic and -lockdowns.

Association of plasma proteomics with incident coronary heart disease in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes: results from the population-based KORA study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major global health concern, especially among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Given the crucial role of proteins in various biological processes, this study aimed to elucidate the aetiological role and predictive performance of protein biomarkers on incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D. METHODS: The discovery cohort included 1492 participants from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4 study with 147 incident CHD cases (45 vs. 102 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 15.6 years of follow-up. The validation cohort included 888 participants from the KORA-Age1 study with 70 incident CHD cases (19 vs. 51 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 6.9 years of follow-up. We measured 233 plasma proteins related to cardiovascular disease and inflammation using proximity extension assay technology. Associations of proteins with incident CHD were assessed using Cox regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Predictive models were developed using priority-Lasso and were evaluated on top of Framingham risk score variables using the C-index, category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: We identified two proteins associated with incident CHD in individuals with and 29 in those without baseline T2D, respectively. Six of these proteins are novel candidates for incident CHD. MR suggested a potential causal role for hepatocyte growth factor in CHD development. The developed four-protein-enriched model for individuals with baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.017; cfNRI: 0.253; IDI: 0.051) and the 12-protein-enriched model for individuals without baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.054; cfNRI: 0.462; IDI: 0.024) consistently improved CHD prediction in the discovery cohort, while in the validation cohort, significant improvements were only observed for selected performance measures (with T2D: cfNRI: 0.633; without T2D: ΔC-index: 0.038; cfNRI: 0.465). CONCLUSIONS: This study identified novel protein biomarkers associated with incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D and reaffirmed previously reported protein candidates. These findings enhance our understanding of CHD pathophysiology and provide potential targets for prevention and treatment.

A parametric additive hazard model for time-to-event analysis.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, the use of non- and semi-parametric models which estimate hazard ratios for analysing time-to-event outcomes is continuously criticized in terms of interpretation, technical implementation, and flexibility. Hazard ratios in particular are critically discussed for their misleading interpretation as relative risks and their non-collapsibility. Additive hazard models do not have these drawbacks but are rarely used because they assume a non- or semi-parametric additive hazard which renders computation and interpretation complicated. METHODS: As a remedy, we propose a new parametric additive hazard model that allows results to be reported on the original time rather than on the hazard scale. Being an essentially parametric model, survival, hazard and probability density functions are directly available. Parameter estimation is straightforward by maximizing the log-likelihood function. RESULTS: Applying the model to different parametric distributions in a simulation study and in an exemplary application using data from a study investigating medical care to lung cancer patients, we show that the approach works well in practice. CONCLUSIONS: Our proposed parametric additive hazard model can serve as a powerful tool to analyze time-to-event outcomes due to its simple interpretation, flexibility and facilitated parameter estimation.

Midazolam for Post-Arrest Sedation in Pre-Hospital Emergency Care.

BACKGROUND: An out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) may need to be treated with airway management, emergency ventilation, invasive interventions, and post-arrest sedation. We investigated the influence of the use of midazolam for post-arrest sedation on achieving postresuscitation care targets and the associated risk of hemodynamic complications. METHODS: All emergency rescue missions of the Dresden, Gütersloh, and Lippe medical rescue services in the years 2019-2021 were reviewed to identify adult patients who had OHCA, unconsciousness, and sustained ROSC with spontaneous circulation until arrival at the hospital; the findings were supplemented with data from the German Resuscitation Registry. Patients who received midazolam (alone or in combination with other anesthetic agents) for post-arrest sedation were compared with those who did not. The endpoints were the regaining of a systolic blood pressure ≥ 100 mmHg, end-tidal pCO2 35-45 mmHg, and oxygen saturation (SpO2) 94-98%. A propensity score analysis was used to adjust for age, sex, and variables potentially affecting hemodynamic status or the targets for oxygenation and ventilation. RESULTS: There were 2335 cases of OHCA among 391 305 emer - gency rescue missions. 571 patients had ROSC before arrival in the hospital (24.5%; female, 33.6%; age, 68 ± 14 years). Of the 395 among them (69.2%) who were treated with postarrest sedation, 249 (63.0%) received midazolam. Patients who received midazolam reached the guideline- recommended targets for oxygenation, ventilation, and blood pressure more frequently than those who were not sedated: the respective odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were 2.00 [1.20; 3.34], 1.57 [0.99; 2.48], and 1.41 [0.89; 2.21]. CONCLUSION: The pre-hospital administration of midazolam leads to more frequent pre-hospital attainment of the oxygenation and ventilation targets in post-resuscitation care, without any evidence of an elevated risk of hemodynamic complications.

Estimation of mortality rate ratios for chronic conditions with misclassification of disease status at death.

Estimation of mortality rates and mortality rate ratios (MRR) of diseased and non-diseased individuals is a core metric of disease impact used in chronic disease epidemiology. Estimation of mortality rates is often conducted through retrospective linkage of information from nationwide surveys such as the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) and death registries. These surveys usually collect information on disease status during only one study visit. This infrequency leads to missing disease information (with right censored survival times) for deceased individuals who were disease-free at study participation, and a possibly biased estimation of the MRR because of possible undetected disease onset after study participation. This occurrence is called "misclassification of disease status at death (MicDaD)" and it is a potentially common source of bias in epidemiologic studies. In this study, we conducted a simulation analysis with a high and a low incidence setting to assess the extent of MicDaD-bias in the estimated mortality. For the simulated populations, MRR for diseased and non-diseased individuals with and without MicDaD were calculated and compared. Magnitude of MicDaD-bias depends on and is driven by the incidence of the chronic disease under consideration; our analysis revealed a noticeable shift towards underestimation for high incidences when MicDaD is present. Impact of MicDaD was smaller for lower incidence (but associated with greater uncertainty in the estimation of MRR in general). Further research can consider the amount of missing information and potential influencers such as duration and risk factors of the disease.

Prolonged mHealth-Based Arrhythmia Monitoring in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy (HCM-PATCH): Protocol for a Single-Center Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are at increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) due to ventricular arrhythmias and other arrhythmias. Screening for arrhythmias is mandatory to assess the individual SCD risk, but long-term electrocardiography (ECG) is rarely performed in routine clinical practice. Intensified monitoring may increase the detection rate of ventricular arrhythmias and identify more patients with an increased SCD risk who are potential candidates for the primary prophylactic implantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator. To date, reliable data on the clinical benefit of prolonged arrhythmia monitoring in patients with HCM are rare. OBJECTIVE: This prospective study aims to measure the prevalence of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with HCM observed by mobile health (mHealth)-based continuous rhythm monitoring over 14 days compared to standard practice (a 24- and 48-h long-term ECG). The frequency of ventricular arrhythmias in this 14-day period is compared with the frequency in the first 24 or 48 hours for the same patient (intraindividual comparison). METHODS: Following the sample size calculation, 34 patients with a low or intermediate risk for SCD, assessed by the HCM Risk-SCD calculator, will need to be recruited in this single-center cohort study between June 2023 and February 2024. All patients will receive an ECG patch that records their heart activity over 14 days. In addition, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and genetic testing data will be integrated into risk stratification. All patients will be asked to complete questionnaires about their symptoms; previous therapy; family history; and, at the end of the study, their experience with the ECG patch-based monitoring. RESULTS: The Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: Clinical Impact of a Prolonged mHealth-Based Arrhythmia Monitoring by Single-Channel ECG (HCM-PATCH) study investigates the prevalence of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (ie, ≥3 consecutive ventricular beats at a rate of 120 beats per minute, lasting for <30 seconds) in low- to intermediate-risk patients with HCM (according to the HCM Risk-SCD calculator) with additional mHealth-based prolonged rhythm monitoring. The study was funded by third-party funding from the Department of Cardiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Ostwestfalen-Lippe of Bielefeld University in June 2023 and approved by the institutional review board in May 2023. Data collection began in June 2023, and we plan to end the study in February 2024. Of the 34 patients, 26 have been recruited. Data analysis has not yet taken place. Publication of the results is planned for the fall of 2024. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged mHealth-based rhythm monitoring could lead to differences in the prevalence of arrhythmias compared to 24- and 48-hour long-term ECGs. This may lead to improved identification of patients at high risk and trigger therapeutic interventions that may provide better protection from SCD or atrial fibrillation-related complications such as embolic stroke. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Deutsches Register Klinischer Studien DRKS00032144; https://tinyurl.com/498bkrx8. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/52035.

Effectiveness and safety of prehospital analgesia including nalbuphine and paracetamol by paramedics: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine the effectiveness and safety of prehospital analgesia with nalbuphine and/or paracetamol by paramedics. METHODS: In this retrospective trial, following the implementation of a standard-operating-procedure for pain requiring treatment as defined as a score ≥4 on the 0-10 Numeric Rating Scale for pain, all emergency operations in the district of Gütersloh between January 1, 2020, and June 30, 2022, with analgesic administration by paramedics in patients ≥18 years were included in the study. Analgesic agents employed by the paramedics included nalbuphine and/or paracetamol, butylscopolamine for abdominal colic, and esketamine in case of failure of the other analgesics. The primary endpoint was the patients' rating of their pain on the Numeric Rating Scale at the end of the operation. Additional covariates included sex, cause of pain, analgesics used, Numeric Rating Scale at beginning and analgesic-associated complications (reduced level of consciousness, hypotension, desaturation, a- or bradypnea). RESULTS: A total of 1931 emergency operations (female: N.=1039 [53.8%]) with pain requiring treatment (non-traumatic cause: N.=1106 [57.3%]; initial Numeric Rating Scale: 8.0±1.4). Analgesics applied were nalbuphine + paracetamol (50.6%), paracetamol (38.7%), butylscopolamine (13.4%), nalbuphine (7.7%), and esketamine (4.9%). Mean pain reduction was 4.3±2.3 (nalbuphine + paracetamol: 5.0±2.1; nalbuphine: 4.7±2.3) and paracetamol: 3.3±2.2, respectively. Factors influencing a change in the Numeric Rating Scale were trauma (regression-coefficient: -0.308, 95% CI: -0.496 - -0.119, P=0.0014 vs. non-trauma; nalbuphine [yes vs. no]: regression-coefficient 0.684, 95% CI 0.0774-1.291, P=0.03; nalbuphine + paracetamol: regression-coefficient 0.763, 95% CI 0.227-1.299, P=0.005). At the end of the operation, 49.7% had a Numeric Rating Scale <4, 34.3% had a Numeric Rating Scale 4-5, and 16.0% had a Numeric Rating Scale ≥6. Factors influencing a Numeric Rating Scale <4 at end of use were trauma vs. non-trauma: odds ratio 0.788, 95% CI 0.649-0.957, P=0.02. The Numeric Rating Scale at beginning reported: odds ratios 0.754, 95% CI 0.700-0.812, P<0.0001. Analgesic-associated complications were not observed. CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital analgesia by paramedics with nalbuphine as monotherapy or in combination with paracetamol allows for sufficient analgesia without the occurrence of complications.

Explanted Skull Flaps after Decompressive Hemicraniectomy Demonstrate Relevant Bone Avitality-Is Their Reimplantation Worth the Risk?

BACKGROUND: Reimplantations of autologous skull flaps after decompressive hemicraniectomies (DHs) are associated with high rates of postoperative bone flap resorption (BFR). We histologically assessed the cell viability of explanted bone flaps in certain periods of time after DH, in order to conclude whether precursors of BRF may be developed during their storage. METHODS: Skull bone flaps explanted during a DH between 2019 and 2020 were stored in a freezer at either -23 °C or -80 °C. After their thawing process, the skulls were collected. Parameters of bone metabolism, namely PTH1 and OPG, were analyzed via immunohistochemistry. H&E stain was used to assess the degree of avital bone tissue, whereas the repeated assays were performed after 6 months. RESULTS: A total of 17 stored skull flaps (8 at -23 °C; 9 at -80 °C) were analyzed. The duration of cryopreservation varied between 2 and 17 months. A relevant degree of bone avitality was observed in all skull flaps, which significantly increased at the repeated evaluation after 6 months (p < 0.001). Preservation at -23 °C (p = 0.006) as well as longer storage times (p < 0.001) were identified as prognostic factors for higher rates of bone avitality in a linear mixed regression model. CONCLUSIONS: Our novel finding shows a clear benefit from storage at -80° C, which should be carefully considered for the future management and storage of explanted skull flaps. Our analysis also further revealed a significant degree of bone avitality, a potential precursor of BFR, in skull flaps stored for several weeks. To this end, we should reconsider whether the reimplantation of autologous skull flaps instead of synthetic skull flaps is still justified.

How amenable is type 2 diabetes treatment for precision diabetology? A meta-regression of glycaemic control data from 174 randomised trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: There are two prerequisites for the precision medicine approach to be beneficial for treated individuals. First, there must be treatment heterogeneity; second, in the case of treatment heterogeneity, we need to detect clinical predictors to identify people who would benefit from one treatment more than from others. There is an established meta-regression approach to assess these two prerequisites that relies on measuring the variability of a clinical outcome after treatment in placebo-controlled randomised trials. Our aim was to apply this approach to the treatment of type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We performed a meta-regression analysis using information from 174 placebo-controlled randomised trials with 178 placebo and 272 verum (i.e. active treatment) arms including 86,940 participants with respect to the variability of glycaemic control as assessed by HbA1c after treatment and its potential predictors. RESULTS: The adjusted difference in log(SD) values between the verum and placebo arms was 0.037 (95% CI: 0.004, 0.069). That is, we found a small increase in the variability of HbA1c values after treatment in the verum arms. In addition, one potentially relevant predictor for explaining this increase, drug class, was observed, and GLP-1 receptor agonists yielded the largest differences in log(SD) values. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The potential of the precision medicine approach in the treatment of type 2 diabetes is modest at best, at least with regard to an improvement in glycaemic control. Our finding of a larger variability after treatment with GLP-1 receptor agonists in individuals with poor glycaemic control should be replicated and/or validated with other clinical outcomes and with different study designs. FUNDING: The research reported here received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors. DATA AVAILABILITY: Two datasets (one for the log[SD] and one for the baseline-corrected log[SD]) to reproduce the analyses from this paper are available on https://zenodo.org/record/7956635 .