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1.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1246, 2024 May 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38711104

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Muscle mass loss is an age-related process that can be exacerbated by lifestyle, environmental and other factors, but can be mitigated by good sleep. The objective of this study was to investigate the correlation between varying time lags of sleep duration and the decline in muscle mass among individuals aged 60 years or older by using real-world health monitoring data obtained from wearable devices and smart home health monitoring devices. METHODS: This study included 86,037 observations from 2,869 participants in the Mobile Support System database. Missing data were supplemented by multiple imputation. The investigation utilized generalized estimating equations and restricted cubic spline curve to examine the relationship between sleep duration and low muscle mass. Various lag structures, including 0, 1, 2, 0-1, 0-2, and 1-2 months, were fitted, and the interaction effect of observation time with sleep duration was estimated for each lag structure. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted. The models were adjusted for various covariates, including gender, age, body mass index, footsteps, smoking status, drinking status, marital status, number of chronic diseases, number of medications, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, coronary artery disease, respiratory disease, and musculoskeletal disease and an interaction term between time and sleep duration. RESULTS: The results of the generalized estimating equation showed a significant correlation (p < 0.001) between sleep duration of 8 h or more and low muscle mass in older adults, using 6-7 h of sleep as a reference. This effect was seen over time and prolonged sleep accumulated over multiple months had a greater effect on muscle mass loss than a single month. The effect of long sleep duration on muscle mass loss was significantly greater in females than in males and greater in the over-75 than in the under-75 age group. Restricted cubic spline plots showed a non-linear relationship between sleep duration and low muscle mass (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study found an association between sustained nighttime sleep of more than eight hours and decreased muscle mass in older adults, especially older women.


Assuntos
Vida Independente , Sono , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , China/epidemiologia , Sono/fisiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Sarcopenia/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Músculo Esquelético/fisiologia , População do Leste Asiático
2.
Conserv Biol ; 37(6): e14135, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37377172

RESUMO

The Global Deal for Nature sets an ambitious goal to protect 30% of Earth's land and ocean by 2030. The 30 × 30 initiative is a way to allocate conservation resources and extend protection to conserve vulnerable and underprotected ecosystems while reducing carbon emissions to combat climate change. However, most prioritization methods for identifying high-value conservation areas are based on thematic attributes and do not consider vertical habitat structure. Global tall forests represent a rare vertical habitat structure that harbors high species richness in various taxonomic groups and is associated with large amounts of aboveground biomass. Global tall forests should be prioritized when planning global protected areas toward reaching the 30 × 30 goals. We examined the spatial distribution of global tall forests based on the Global Canopy Height 2020 product. We defined global tall forests as areas with the average canopy height above 3 thresholds (20, 25, and 30 m). We quantified the spatial distribution and protection level of global tall forests in high-protection zones, where the 30 × 30 goals are being met or are within reach, and low-protection zones, where there is a low chance of reaching 30 × 30 goals. We quantified the protection level by computing the percentage of global tall forest area protected based on the 2017 World Database on Protected Areas. We also determined the global extent and protection level of undisturbed, mature, tall forests based on the 2020 Global Intact Forest Landscapes mask. In most cases, the percentage of protection decreased as forest height reached the top strata. In the low-protection zones, <30% of forests were protected in almost all tall forest strata. In countries such as Brazil, tall forests had a higher percentage of protection (consistently >30%) compared to forests of lower height, presenting a more effective conservation model than in countries such as the United States, where forest protection was almost uniformly <30% across height strata. Our results show an urgent need to target forest conservation in the greatest height strata, particularly in high-protection areas, where most global tall forests are found. Vegetation vertical structure can inform the decision-making process toward the 30 × 30 goals because it can be used to identify areas of high conservation value for biodiversity protection which also contribute to carbon sequestration.


Priorización de bosques globales altos hacia las metas 30 por 30 Resumen El Tratado Global por la Naturaleza establece una meta ambiciosa de proteger 30% de los continentes y océanos de la Tierra para 2030. La iniciativa 30 por 30 es una forma de asignar recursos para la conservación y extender la protección para conservar ecosistemas vulnerables y sin protección al tiempo que se controlan las emisiones de carbono para combatir el cambio climático. Sin embargo, la mayoría de los métodos de priorización para identificar áreas de elevado valor de conservación se basan en atributos temáticos y no consideran la estructura vertical del hábitat. Los bosques altos globales representan un estructura de hábitat vertical rara que alberga alta riqueza de especies de varios grupos taxonómicos y se asocia con grandes cantidades de biomasa aérea. Los bosques altos globales deberían ser priorizados cuando se planifican áreas protegidas globales en el esfuerzo por alcanzar las metas 30 por 30. Examinamos la distribución espacial de bosques globales con base en el producto Altura de Dosel Global 2020. Definimos a los bosques altos globales como áreas con una altura de dosel promedio por arriba de 3 umbrales (20, 25 y 30 m). Cuantificamos la distribución espacial y el nivel de protección de los bosques altos globales en zonas con gran protección, donde se están alcanzando las metas 30 por 30. Cuantificamos el nivel de protección registrando el porcentaje de bosque alto global protegido con base en la Base de Datos Mundial de Áreas Protegidas 2017. También determinamos la extensión global y el nivel de protección de bosques altos, maduros, no perturbados con base en la mascarilla Paisajes Forestales Globales Intactos 2020. En la mayoría de los casos, el porcentaje de protección decreció a medida que la altura del bosque llegaba al estrato superior. En las zonas poco protegidas, >30% de los bosques estaban protegidos en casi todos los estratos de bosque alto. En países como Brasil, los bosques altos tuvieron un mayor porcentaje de protección (>30% consistentemente) que los bosques de menor altura, presentando un modelo de conservación más efectivo que en países como los Estados Unidos, donde la protección de bosques fue casi uniformemente >30% en los tres estratos de altura. Nuestros resultados muestran una urgente necesidad de enfocar la conservación de bosques en los estratos más altos, particularmente en las áreas muy protegidas, donde se encuentra la mayoría de bosques altos globales. La estructura vertical de la vegetación puede proporcionar información al proceso de toma de decisiones con miras a las metas 30 por 30 debido a que puede ser utilizada para identificar áreas de elevado valor de conservación para la protección de la biodiversidad que también contribuya al secuestro de carbono.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Objetivos , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Florestas , Biodiversidade
3.
Proc Biol Sci ; 290(2001): 20230742, 2023 06 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37339746

RESUMO

Classic ecological theory has proven that temperature, precipitation and productivity organize ecosystems at broad scales and are generalized drivers of biodiversity within different biomes. At local scales, the strength of these predictors is not consistent across different biomes. To better translate these theories to localized scales, it is essential to determine the links between drivers of biodiversity. Here we harmonize existing ecological theories to increase the predictive power for species richness and functional diversity. We test the relative importance of three-dimensional habitat structure as a link between local and broad-scale patterns of avian richness and functional diversity. Our results indicate that habitat structure is more important than precipitation, temperature and elevation gradients for predicting avian species richness and functional diversity across different forest ecosystems in North America. We conclude that forest structure, influenced by climatic drivers, is essential for predicting the response of biodiversity with future shifts in climatic regimes.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Florestas , Animais , Biodiversidade , Temperatura , Aves/fisiologia
4.
Sci Total Environ ; 857(Pt 3): 159603, 2023 Jan 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36272474

RESUMO

As climate change alters the global environment, it is critical to understand the relationship between shifting climate suitability and species distributions. Key questions include whether observed changes in population abundance are aligned with the velocity and direction of shifts predicted by climate suitability models and if the responses are consistent among species with similar ecological traits. We examined the direction and velocity of the observed abundance-based distribution centroids compared with the model-predicted bioclimatic distribution centroids of 250 bird species across the United States from 1969 to 2011. We hypothesized that there is a significant positive correlation in both direction and velocity between the observed and the modeled shifts. We then tested five additional hypotheses that predicted differential shifting velocity based on ecological adaptability and climate change exposure. Contrary to our hypotheses, we found large differences between the observed and modeled shifts among all studied bird species and within specific ecological guilds. However, temperate migrants and habitat generalist species tended to have higher velocity of observed shifts than other species. Neotropical migratory and wetland birds also had significantly different observed velocities than their counterparts, which may be due to their climate change exposure. The velocity based on modeled bioclimatic suitability did not exhibit significant differences among most guilds. Boreal forest birds were the only guild with significantly faster modeled-shifts than the other groups, suggesting an elevated conservation risk for high latitude and altitude species. The highly idiosyncratic species responses to climate and the mismatch between shifts in modeled and observed distribution centroids highlight the challenge of predicting species distribution change based solely on climate suitability and the importance of non-climatic factors traits in shaping species distributions.


Assuntos
Aves , Mudança Climática , Animais , Distribuição Animal , Aves/fisiologia , Ecossistema , América do Norte
5.
PLoS One ; 16(7): e0253784, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34252109

RESUMO

Human-wildlife conflict has direct and indirect consequences for human communities. Understanding how both types of conflict affect communities is crucial to developing comprehensive and sustainable mitigation strategies. We conducted an interview survey of 381 participants in two rural areas in Myanmar where communities were exposed to human-elephant conflict (HEC). In addition to documenting and quantifying the types of direct and indirect impacts experienced by participants, we evaluated how HEC influences people's attitudes towards elephant conservation. We found that 99% of participants suffered from some type of indirect impact from HEC, including fear for personal and family safety from elephants and fear that elephants will destroy their home. Despite experiencing moderate levels of indirect impacts from HEC at the community level, participants expressed attitudes consistent with supporting future elephant conservation programs.


Assuntos
Animais Selvagens/psicologia , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Elefantes/psicologia , Interação Humano-Animal , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Medo , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mianmar , Inquéritos e Questionários/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
6.
Sci Total Environ ; 777: 145995, 2021 Jul 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33676225

RESUMO

Globally, the number and extent of terrestrial protected areas (PAs) are expanding rapidly. Nonetheless, their impacts on preventing forest loss and the factors influencing the impacts are not well understood, despite the critical roles of forests in biodiversity conservation, provision of ecosystem services, and achievement of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals. To address this important knowledge gap, we quantified the impacts of 54,792 PAs worldwide on preventing forest loss from 2000 to 2015, and assessed important landscape and management factors affecting the impacts of PAs. Although the majority (71.4%) of the PAs contributed to preventing forest loss, only 30.5% of forest loss in the PAs have been prevented. PAs with higher rates of forest loss in their surrounding regions, located at lower elevations, within a few hours of travel from the nearest city, with higher agricultural productivity, and permission for fewer human uses were better able to prevent forest loss. Impacts on preventing forest loss were similar regardless of whether the PAs were privately or publicly owned. Our findings highlight the potential benefits of strict protections, involving private entities in the establishment of PAs, and situating PAs in areas exposed to high risks of forest loss to enhance the capacity to combat global forest loss.

7.
Biol Conserv ; 254: 108937, 2021 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33518771

RESUMO

On 24 February 2020, at the brink of the global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Chinese legislature adopted a decision to ban all terrestrial wildlife for food consumption. This decision set the tone for the revision of the Wildlife Protection Law (WPL), planned for release in late 2020. Both the terrestrial wildlife ban and revised WPL have the potential to greatly reduce consumption of wildlife and aid in prevention of future zoonotic disease outbreaks. The government still faces severe challenges in reducing wildlife use in traditional medicine, strengthening habitat and ecosystem conservation, committing to long-term WPL enforcement, and promoting community education and institutional reforms. However, recent progress in establishing a stricter ban on wildlife consumption, consolidating fragmented protected areas, and increased openness to public oversight are promising developments. While it is clear that global pandemics like COVID-19 can cause massive human suffering and disruption of economies; governments can no longer allow business as usual for the wildlife industry, regardless of the monetary or cultural values it brings. Here we discuss the latest development and limitations of the current wildlife legislation in China and the recommendations for improving Chinese wildlife conservation to better protect biodiversity and reduce risks of spreading zoonotic diseases to humans.

8.
Sci Total Environ ; 769: 145081, 2021 May 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33486171

RESUMO

Protected areas (PAs) form the backbone of global conservation efforts. Although many studies have evaluated the impact of PAs on land cover, human disturbances, and people's welfare, PAs' impact on wildlife habitat quality remains poorly understood. By integrating wildlife habitat mapping and information of 2183 rural households, we assessed the impacts of nature reserves (a type of PAs) across the entire geographic range of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) on panda habitat suitability change between 2001 and 2013 using the matching approach. We found the impact of nature reserves is concentrated in areas susceptible to human pressure, where 65% of the habitat suitability increase is attributable to the nature reserves' protection. The impact of nature reserves has spilled over to nearby unprotected areas and enhanced habitat suitability there. Nature reserves supported by the central government showed higher performance in improving habitat suitability than their counterparts supported by local governments. Older nature reserves perform better than those established more recently. Our results also show that local households' participation in tourism and labor migration (people temporarily leaving to work in cities) enhanced the ability of nature reserves to improve habitat suitability. These results and methods provide valuable information and tools to support effective management of PAs to enhance the habitat quality of giant pandas and other wildlife species in China and elsewhere.


Assuntos
Ursidae , Animais , China , Cidades , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Humanos
9.
PLoS One ; 15(8): e0229277, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32817698

RESUMO

Human activities are changing landscape structure and function globally, affecting wildlife space use, and ultimately increasing human-wildlife conflicts and zoonotic disease spread. Capybaras (Hydrochoerus hydrochaeris) are linked to conflicts in human-modified landscapes (e.g. crop damage, vehicle collision), as well as the spread and amplification of Brazilian spotted fever (BSF), the most human-lethal tick-borne disease in the world. Even though it is essential to understand the link between capybaras, ticks and BSF, many knowledge gaps still exist regarding the effects of human disturbance in capybara space use. Here, we analyzed diurnal and nocturnal habitat selection strategies of capybaras across natural and human-modified landscapes using resource selection functions (RSF). Selection for forested habitats was higher across human-modified landscapes, mainly during day- periods, when compared to natural landscapes. Across natural landscapes, capybaras avoided forests during both day- and night periods. Water was consistently selected across both landscapes, during day- and nighttime. Distance to water was also the most important variable in predicting capybara habitat selection across natural landscapes. Capybaras showed slightly higher preferences for areas near grasses/shrubs across natural landscapes, and distance to grasses/shrubs was the most important variable in predicting capybara habitat selection across human-modified landscapes. Our results demonstrate human-driven variation in habitat selection strategies by capybaras. This behavioral adjustment across human-modified landscapes may be related to increases in A. sculptum density, ultimately affecting BSF.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Roedores/psicologia , Animais , Animais Selvagens , Brasil , Meio Ambiente , Pradaria , Interações Hospedeiro-Parasita/fisiologia , Humanos , Febre Maculosa das Montanhas Rochosas/epidemiologia , Carrapatos , Água , Zoonoses
10.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 26(31): 32374-32384, 2019 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31602599

RESUMO

As an endemic primate species with one of the highest priorities in wildlife conservation in China, Sichuan snub-nosed monkeys (Rhinopithecus roxellana) have undergone a sharp decline and range reduction in recent centuries. Here, we used maximum entropy modelling (MaxEnt) integrated with four types of environmental variables, including three biological climate variables (Bio17, precipitation of the driest quarter; Bio6, min. temperature of the coldest month; and Bio2, mean diurnal range), three topographic variables (altitude, slope, and aspect), two anthropogenic variables (Human Footprint Index and human disturbance), and three vegetation-related variables (enhanced vegetation index, normalized difference vegetation index, and Wet Index) to identify the spatial distribution of suitable habitats for Sichuan snub-nosed monkeys in Baihe Nature Reserve (BNR), which is located in the Minshan Mountains. The average training AUC of our model performance is 0.929 ± 0.003. The model predicted 9.6 km2 of high suitability habitats and 14.1 km2 of moderate suitability habitats for Sichuan snub-nosed monkeys, adding up to only 11.7% of the total area of concern for the study in the BNR. The top four variables ranked in the model (altitude, Human Footprint Index, human disturbance, and Bio17) accounted for relative gain contributions of 23.3%, 19.3%, 14.2%, and 13.4%, respectively. The predicted suitable habitats were confined to an altitude range of 1971-3198 m, Human Footprint Index of mainly 3-5 values, low human disturbance (mainly livestock), and precipitation of the driest (or coldest) quarter of 9-22 mm. Additionally, the suitable habitats were mainly distributed in the core zone (36.1%), buffer zone (26.8%), and experimental zone (29.5%). The remaining habitats (7.6%) were distributed in the 0.5-km buffer zone of the reserve border. The predicted suitable habitats indicated limited suitable habitat space for the Sichuan snub-nosed monkeys, with most of the suitable habitat distributed outside the core zone in the BNR. Our findings highlighted that human activities in all three functional zones could be the most negative factor on suitable habitat distribution of Sichuan snub-nosed monkeys in the BNR.


Assuntos
Colobinae/fisiologia , Presbytini/fisiologia , Altitude , Animais , China , Ecossistema , Atividades Humanas , Humanos
11.
PLoS One ; 14(2): e0211798, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30716135

RESUMO

Wildlife crossings are designed to mitigate barrier effects of transportation infrastructure on wildlife movement. Most efforts in evaluating crossing efficiency focus on counting animal use. However, crossings placed at suboptimal locations may alter animals' natural movement pattern and decrease population fitness, which cannot be reflected solely by counts of animal use. The long-distance migration of Tibetan antelope (Pantholops hodgsonii) is directly affected by the Qinghai-Tibet Railway (QTR). Using the Wubei wildlife underpass along the QTR, we evaluated how underpass placement affects migration routes and decreases movement efficiency. We calculated the net-squared displacement of each animal to identify migration segments (wintering, calving, and migrating) based on Argos tracking data. We used two corridor modeling methods to identify optimal routes that theoretically require less energy to travel between seasonal habitats. We calculated the distance from actual migration routes recorded by Argos to the modelled optimal routes. We found that antelopes stray farther away from the optimal routes as they approach Wubei, indicating that animals have to deviate from their optimal migration pathway to access the railway underpass. On average, antelopes prolong their migration distance by 86.19 km (SEM = 17.29 km) in order to access the underpass. Our study suggests crossing location can affect animal migrations even if structures facilitate animal crossing. To better conserve long-distance migrations, long-term studies using tracking data which evaluate optimal migration routes are needed. We suggest considering the location and structural characteristics in designing and improving wildlife crossings, which do not only facilitate utilization, but also optimize animal movement processes such as migration.


Assuntos
Migração Animal/fisiologia , Antílopes/fisiologia , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Modelos Biológicos , Ferrovias , Animais , Humanos , Tibet
12.
PLoS One ; 12(5): e0176364, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28520726

RESUMO

New and rapid political and economic changes in Myanmar are increasing the pressures on the country's forests. Yet, little is known about the past and current condition of these forests and how fast they are declining. We mapped forest cover in Myanmar through a consortium of international organizations and environmental non-governmental groups, using freely-available public domain data and open source software tools. We used Landsat satellite imagery to assess the condition and spatial distribution of Myanmar's intact and degraded forests with special focus on changes in intact forest between 2002 and 2014. We found that forests cover 42,365,729 ha or 63% of Myanmar, making it one of the most forested countries in the region. However, severe logging, expanding plantations, and degradation pose increasing threats. Only 38% of the country's forests can be considered intact with canopy cover >80%. Between 2002 and 2014, intact forests declined at a rate of 0.94% annually, totaling more than 2 million ha forest loss. Losses can be extremely high locally and we identified 9 townships as forest conversion hotspots. We also delineated 13 large (>100,000 ha) and contiguous intact forest landscapes, which are dispersed across Myanmar. The Northern Forest Complex supports four of these landscapes, totaling over 6.1 million ha of intact forest, followed by the Southern Forest Complex with three landscapes, comprising 1.5 million ha. These remaining contiguous forest landscape should have high priority for protection. Our project demonstrates how open source data and software can be used to develop and share critical information on forests when such data are not readily available elsewhere. We provide all data, code, and outputs freely via the internet at (for scripts: https://bitbucket.org/rsbiodiv/; for the data: http://geonode.themimu.info/layers/geonode%3Amyan_lvl2_smoothed_dec2015_resamp).


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Florestas , Mianmar , Imagens de Satélites , Árvores/fisiologia
13.
Glob Chang Biol ; 23(9): 3610-3622, 2017 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28295885

RESUMO

Shifts in species distributions are major fingerprint of climate change. Examining changes in species abundance structures at a continental scale enables robust evaluation of climate change influences, but few studies have conducted these evaluations due to limited data and methodological constraints. In this study, we estimate temporal changes in abundance from North American Breeding Bird Survey data at the scale of physiographic strata to examine the relative influence of different components of climatic factors and evaluate the hypothesis that shifting species distributions are multidirectional in resident bird species in North America. We quantify the direction and velocity of the abundance shifts of 57 permanent resident birds over 44 years using a centroid analysis. For species with significant abundance shifts in the centroid analysis, we conduct a more intensive correlative analysis to identify climate components most strongly associated with composite change of abundance within strata. Our analysis focus on two contrasts: the relative importance of climate extremes vs. averages, and of temperature vs. precipitation in strength of association with abundance change. Our study shows that 36 species had significant abundance shifts over the study period. The average velocity of the centroid is 5.89 km·yr-1 . The shifted distance on average covers 259 km, 9% of range extent. Our results strongly suggest that the climate change fingerprint in studied avian distributions is multidirectional. Among 6 directions with significant abundance shifts, the northwestward shift was observed in the largest number of species (n = 13). The temperature/average climate model consistently has greater predictive ability than the precipitation/extreme climate model in explaining strata-level abundance change. Our study shows heterogeneous avian responses to recent environmental changes. It highlights needs for more species-specific approaches to examine contributing factors to recent distributional changes and for comprehensive conservation planning for climate change adaptation.


Assuntos
Distribuição Animal , Aves , Mudança Climática , Animais , Clima , América do Norte , Chuva , Temperatura , Estados Unidos
14.
Conserv Biol ; 29(4): 1122-1131, 2015 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26129841

RESUMO

Numerous species have been pushed into extinction as an increasing portion of Earth's land surface has been appropriated for human enterprise. In the future, global biodiversity will be affected by both climate change and land-use change, the latter of which is currently the primary driver of species extinctions. How societies address climate change will critically affect biodiversity because climate-change mitigation policies will reduce direct climate-change impacts; however, these policies will influence land-use decisions, which could have negative impacts on habitat for a substantial number of species. We assessed the potential impact future climate policy could have on the loss of habitable area in biodiversity hotspots due to associated land-use changes. We estimated past extinctions from historical land-use changes (1500-2005) based on the global gridded land-use data used for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report and habitat extent and species data for each hotspot. We then estimated potential extinctions due to future land-use changes under alternative climate-change scenarios (2005-2100). Future land-use changes are projected to reduce natural vegetative cover by 26-58% in the hotspots. As a consequence, the number of additional species extinctions, relative to those already incurred between 1500 and 2005, due to land-use change by 2100 across all hotspots ranged from about 220 to 21000 (0.2% to 16%), depending on the climate-change mitigation scenario and biological factors such as the slope of the species-area relationship and the contribution of wood harvest to extinctions. These estimates of potential future extinctions were driven by land-use change only and likely would have been higher if the direct effects of climate change had been considered. Future extinctions could potentially be reduced by incorporating habitat preservation into scenario development to reduce projected future land-use changes in hotspots or by lessening the impact of future land-use activities on biodiversity within hotspots.


La Futura Pérdida de Hábitat y Extinciones Causados por el Cambio en el Uso de Suelo en los Puntos Clave de Biodiversidad bajo Cuatro Escenarios de Mitigación de Cambio Climático Resumen Se ha llevado a numerosas especies a la extinción conforme una porción creciente de la superficie terrestre ha sido adueñada por actividades humanas. En el futuro, la biodiversidad global se verá afectada tanto por el cambio climático como por el cambio en el uso de suelo, de los cuales el último es actualmente el principal conductor de la extinción de especies. La manera en que las sociedades aborden el cambio climático afectará críticamente a la biodiversidad ya que las políticas de mitigación de cambio climático reducirán directamente los impactos del cambio climático; sin embargo, estas políticas influenciarán las decisiones de uso de suelo, lo que podría tener impactos negativos sobre el hábitat de numerosas especies. Evaluamos el impacto potencial que podrían tener las futuras políticas de clima sobre la pérdida del área habitable en los puntos clave de biodiversidad debido al cambio asociado en el uso de suelo. Estimamos las extinciones pasadas a partir de cambios históricos en el uso de suelo (1500 - 2005) con base en la extensión del hábitat, los datos de especies para cada punto clave, y la cuadrícula global de datos sobre uso de suelo, la cual fue utilizada para el Reporte de la Quinta Evaluación del Panel Intergubernamental sobre Cambio Climático. Después estimamos las extinciones potenciales causadas por futuros cambios en el uso de suelo bajo escenarios alternativos de cambio climático (2005 - 2100). El número de extinciones de especies adicionales, en relación con aquellas ya provocadas entre 1500 y 2005, causadas por el cambio en el uso de suelo para 2100 en todos los puntos clave, varió aproximadamente de 220 a 21, 000 (0.2% a 16%), dependiendo del escenario de mitigación de cambio climático y factores biológicos, como la pendiente de la relación especies-área y la contribución de la tala a las extinciones. Estas estimaciones de las extinciones potenciales en el futuro fueron causadas solamente por el cambio en el uso de suelo y probablemente habrían sido más altas si se hubiesen considerado los efectos directos del cambio climático. Las extinciones futuras podrían reducirse potencialmente al incorporar la preservación del hábitat al desarrollo del escenario para reducir los futuros cambios en el uso de suelo en los puntos clave o al disminuir el impacto de las futuras actividades de uso de suelo sobre la biodiversidad dentro de los puntos clave.


Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Mudança Climática , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Extinção Biológica , Animais , Invertebrados , Plantas , Vertebrados
15.
PLoS One ; 9(8): e103236, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25101782

RESUMO

Avian diversity is under increasing pressures. It is thus critical to understand the ecological variables that contribute to large scale spatial distribution of avian species diversity. Traditionally, studies have relied primarily on two-dimensional habitat structure to model broad scale species richness. Vegetation vertical structure is increasingly used at local scales. However, the spatial arrangement of vegetation height has never been taken into consideration. Our goal was to examine the efficacies of three-dimensional forest structure, particularly the spatial heterogeneity of vegetation height in improving avian richness models across forested ecoregions in the U.S. We developed novel habitat metrics to characterize the spatial arrangement of vegetation height using the National Biomass and Carbon Dataset for the year 2000 (NBCD). The height-structured metrics were compared with other habitat metrics for statistical association with richness of three forest breeding bird guilds across Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) routes: a broadly grouped woodland guild, and two forest breeding guilds with preferences for forest edge and for interior forest. Parametric and non-parametric models were built to examine the improvement of predictability. Height-structured metrics had the strongest associations with species richness, yielding improved predictive ability for the woodland guild richness models (r(2) = ∼ 0.53 for the parametric models, 0.63 the non-parametric models) and the forest edge guild models (r(2) = ∼ 0.34 for the parametric models, 0.47 the non-parametric models). All but one of the linear models incorporating height-structured metrics showed significantly higher adjusted-r2 values than their counterparts without additional metrics. The interior forest guild richness showed a consistent low association with height-structured metrics. Our results suggest that height heterogeneity, beyond canopy height alone, supplements habitat characterization and richness models of forest bird species. The metrics and models derived in this study demonstrate practical examples of utilizing three-dimensional vegetation data for improved characterization of spatial patterns in species richness.


Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Aves/fisiologia , Florestas , Animais , Aves/classificação , Ecossistema , Modelos Teóricos , Dinâmica Populacional , Árvores/anatomia & histologia , Estados Unidos
16.
J Mater Sci Mater Med ; 20(12): 2375-83, 2009 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19572106

RESUMO

Hydroxyapatite (HA)/polycaprolactone (PCL)-chitosan (CS) composites were prepared by melt-blending. For the composites, the amount of HA was varied from 0% to 30% by weight. The morphology, structure and component of the composites were evaluated using environmental scanning electron microscope, X-ray diffraction and Fourier transform infrared spectroscope. The tensile properties were evaluated by tensile test. The bioactivity and degradation property were investigated after immersing in simulated body fluid (SBF) and physiological saline, respectively. The results show that the addition of HA to PCL-CS matrix tends to suppress the crystallization of PCL but improves the hydrophilicity. Adding HA to the composites decreases the tensile strength and elongation at break but increases the tensile modulus. After immersing in SBF for 14 days, the surface of HA/PCL-CS composites are covered by a coating of carbonated hydroxyapatite with low crystallinity, indicating the excellent bioactivity of the composites. Soaking in the physiological saline for 28 days, the molecular weight of PCL decreases while the mass loss of the composites and pH of physiological saline increase to 5.86% and 9.54, respectively, implying a good degradation property of the composites.


Assuntos
Quitosana/química , Durapatita/química , Poliésteres/química , Absorção , Varredura Diferencial de Calorimetria , Microscopia Eletrônica de Varredura , Microscopia Eletrônica de Transmissão , Resistência à Tração , Difração de Raios X
17.
J Mater Sci Mater Med ; 19(11): 3429-35, 2008 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18574674

RESUMO

Polycaprolactone/chitosan (PCL/CS) porous composite scaffolds were prepared by solution phase separation method, and the scaffolds were further enhanced by filling with nano-hydroxyapatite/polyvinyl alcohol (n-HA/PVA) composite slurry to prepare n-HA-PVA/PCL-CS composite porous scaffolds through slurry centrifugal filling technique. The morphology, microstructure, component, porosity and mechanical property of the scaffolds were characterized using scanning electron microscope, X-ray diffraction, Fourier transform infrared spectroscope, elemental analyzer and material test machine. The results show that PCL/CS scaffolds have mutual transfixion porous structure just like honeycombs. The porosity of the scaffolds can achieve 60-80%. As the content of CS increases, the porosity increases while the compressive strength decreases. After filled with HA/PVA composite slurry, the porosity of n-HA/PCL-CS composite scaffolds decreases, but still greater than 60%, while the compression modulus can increase to 25.7 MPa.


Assuntos
Materiais Biocompatíveis/química , Durapatita/química , Polímeros/química , Alicerces Teciduais/química , Quitosana/química , Materiais Revestidos Biocompatíveis/química , Força Compressiva , Teste de Materiais , Microscopia Eletrônica de Varredura , Nanocompostos/química , Poliésteres/química , Álcool de Polivinil/química , Porosidade , Espectroscopia de Infravermelho com Transformada de Fourier , Engenharia Tecidual/métodos , Difração de Raios X
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