Stress hyperglycemia and risk of adverse outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Background: Stroke represents a prominent global health issue, exhibiting the third highest incidence of disability and a significant burden on both healthcare and the economy. Stress hyperglycemia, an acute reaction of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and the sympathetic nervous system, leading to adverse outcomes and mortality. Several previous studies have indicated that stress hyperglycemia, as evaluated by the stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR), significantly increases the risk of adverse outcomes and mortality in stroke patients. However, there is a lack of further investigation into the influence of dynamic changes in stress hyperglycemia on the clinical outcomes of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients. Consequently, we performed a meticulous analysis, considering dose-response relationships from existing studies, to ascertain the correlation between dynamic changes in stress hyperglycemia and the susceptibility to adverse outcomes in patients with AIS. Methods: This investigation was prospectively registered in PROSPERO and adhered to the PRISMA guidelines. A comprehensive search was performed across English and Chinese databases. A two-sided random-effects model was employed to consolidate the odds ratios (ORs) of the highest vs. lowest categories of SHR. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) models were employed to estimate potential non-linear trends between SHR and the risk of adverse outcomes in AIS patients. Egger's test was utilized to assess publication bias. Heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochran's Q-test. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) tool was employed to evaluate the risk of bias of the included studies. Results: The final analysis incorporated a total of thirteen studies, which were published between 2019 and 2023, encompassing a participant cohort of 184,179 individuals. The SHR exhibited a significant association with the risk of various adverse outcomes. Specifically, a higher SHR was correlated with a 2.64-fold increased risk of 3-month poor functional outcomes (OR: 2.64, 95% CI 2.05-3.41, I2 = 52.3%, P < 0.001), a 3.11-fold increased risk of 3-month mortality (OR: 3.11, 95% CI 2.10-4.59, I2 = 38.6%, P < 0.001), a 2.80-fold increased risk of 1-year mortality (OR: 2.80, 95% CI 1.81-4.31, I2 = 88%, P < 0.001), a 3.90-fold increased risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and 4.57-fold increased risk of symptomatic ICH (sICH) (ICH-OR: 3.90, 95% CI 1.52-10.02, I2 = 84.3%, P = 0.005; sICH-OR: 4.57, 95% CI 2.05-10.10, I2 = 47.3%, P < 0.001), a 1.73-fold increased risk of neurological deficits (OR: 1.73, 95 CI 1.44-2.08, I2 = 0%, P < 0.001), and a 2.84-fold increased risk of stroke recurrence (OR: 2.84, 95 CI 1.48-5.45, I2 = 50.3%, P = 0.002). It is noteworthy that, except for hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and stroke recurrence, the remaining adverse outcomes exhibited a "J-shaped" non-linear dose-response relationship. Conclusion: In summary, our findings collectively suggest that increased exposure to elevated SHR is robustly linked to a heightened risk of adverse outcomes and mortality in individuals with AIS, exhibiting a non-linear dose-response relationship. These results underscore the significance of SHR as a predictive factor for stroke prognosis. Therefore, further investigations are warranted to explore the role of SHR in relation to adverse outcomes in stroke patients from diverse ethnic populations. Furthermore, there is a need to explore the potential benefits of stress hyperglycemia control in alleviating the physical health burdens associated with AIS. Maintaining a lower SHR level may potentially reduce the risk of adverse stroke outcomes. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier: CRD42023424852.

Systemic inflammation response index as a clinical outcome evaluating tool and prognostic indicator for hospitalized stroke patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Stroke, which is the main element of cerebrovascular disease (CVD), has become the foremost reason for death and disability on a global scale. The systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), a newly developed and comprehensive indicator, has demonstrated promise in forecasting clinical results for diverse ailments. Nevertheless, the uncertainty surrounding the assessment and prediction of clinical outcomes for stroke patients by SIRI persists, and the conflicting findings from the limited studies conducted on this matter further complicate the situation. Consequently, we performed a thorough systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the correlation between SIRI and the clinical results in individuals suffering from stroke. METHODS: This research was registered in PROSPERO and carried out following the PRISMA guidelines. A thorough investigation was carried out on PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Scopus databases. Furthermore, we conducted a manual search in Chinese databases, such as China national Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), WanFang, VIP, and China Biology Medicine (CBM). We assessed the potential for bias in the studies included by utilizing the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) tool. Adverse clinical outcomes were the main focus of the study, with secondary endpoints including mortality, the predictive value of SIRI, SIRI values across various endpoints, and clinical parameters associated with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in relation to low and high SIRI group. RESULTS: Following rigorous evaluation, a grand total of 22 investigations, encompassing a populace of 12,737 individuals, were considered suitable for incorporation in the final analysis. The findings from our meta-analysis indicate a strong and consistent correlation between elevated SIRI levels and adverse functional outcomes, irrespective of the method used to evaluate unfavorable outcomes. Furthermore, increased SIRI values have a strong correlation with mortality rates in both the short and long term. Besides, SIRI is a useful indicator of the severity of SAH. SIRI demonstrates strong predictive ability in identifying unfavorable outcomes and stroke-related pneumonia (SAP), as higher SIRI values are typically linked to negative endpoints. Nevertheless, the meta-analysis indicated that there was no significant increase in the risk of early neurological deterioration (END) and acute hydrocephalus (AHC) in high SIRI group when comparing to low SIRI. CONCLUSION: This study could potentially pave the way for groundbreaking insights into the relationship between SIRI and stroke patient outcomes, as it appears to be the first meta-analysis to explore this association. Given the critical role of the inflammatory response in stroke recovery, closely monitoring patients with high SIRI levels could represent a promising strategy for mitigating brain damage post-stroke. Thus, further investigation into SIRI and its impact on clinical outcomes is essential. While our initial findings offer valuable insights into this area, continued research is necessary to fully elucidate the potential of SIRI, ideally through dynamic monitoring and large-scale, multi-center studies. Ultimately, this research has the potential to inform clinical decision-making and improve patient outcomes following stroke. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ ; Identifier CRD42023405221.

Association between a four-parameter inflammatory index and all-cause mortality in critical ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database (2012-2019).

Background: Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), primarily due to the rupture of intracranial aneurysms, contributes significantly to the global stroke population. A novel biomarker, pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) or called the aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), linked to progression-free survival and overall survival in non-small-cell lung cancer and mortality in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, has surfaced recently. Its role in non-traumatic SAH patients, however, remains under-researched. This study aims to determine the relationship between PIV and all-cause mortality in non-traumatic SAH patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database to examine the association between PIV and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic SAH. PIV measurements were collected at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, and several mortality measures were examined. To control for potential confounding effects, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was applied. The optimal PIV cutoff value was identified as 1362.45 using X-tile software that is often used to calculate the optimal cut-off values in survival analysis and continuous data of medical or epidemiological research. The relationship between PIV and short- and long-term all-cause mortality was analyzed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve analysis. Interaction and subgroup analyses were also carried out. Results: The study included 774 non-traumatic SAH patients. After PSM, 241 pairs of score-matched patients were generated. The Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted for potential confounders, found a high PIV (≥ 1362.45) independently associated with 90-day all-cause mortality both pre- (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.67; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.05-2.65; P = 0.030) and post-PSM (HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.14-2.67; P = 0.042). K-M survival curves revealed lower 90-day survival rates in patients with PIV ≥ 1362.45 before (31.1% vs. 16.1%%, P < 0.001) and after PSM (68.9% vs. 80.9%, P < 0.001). Similarly, elevated PIV were associated with increased risk of ICU (pre-PSM: HR: 2.10; 95% CI: 1.12-3.95; P = 0.02; post-PSM: HR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.11-4.91; P = 0.016), in-hospital (pre-PSM: HR: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.12-3.26; P = 0.018; post-PSM: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.10-3.84; P = 0.034), 30-day (pre-PSM: HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.01-2.82; P = 0.045; post-PSM: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.11-2.97; P = 0.047), and 1-year (pre-PSM: HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.04-2.40; P = 0.032; post-PSM: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.10-2.53; P = 0.044) all-cause mortality. The K-M survival curves confirmed lower survival rates in patients with higher PIV both pre- and post PSM for ICU (pre-PSM: 18.3% vs. 8.4%, P < 0.001; post-PSM:81.7 vs. 91.3%, P < 0.001), in-hospital (pre-PSM: 25.3% vs. 12.8%, P < 0.001; post-PSM: 75.1 vs. 88.0%, P < 0.001), 30-day (pre-PSM: 24.9% vs. 11.4%, P < 0.001; post-PSM:74.7 vs. 86.3%, P < 0.001), and 1-year (pre-PSM: 36.9% vs. 20.8%, P < 0.001; P = 0.02; post-PSM: 63.1 vs. 75.1%, P < 0.001) all-cause mortality. Stratified analyses indicated that the relationship between PIV and all-cause mortality varied across different subgroups. Conclusion: In critically ill patients suffering from non-traumatic SAH, an elevated PIV upon admission correlated with a rise in all-cause mortality at various stages, including ICU, in-hospital, the 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality, solidifying its position as an independent mortality risk determinant. This study represents an attempt to bridge the current knowledge gap and to provide a more nuanced understanding of the role of inflammation-based biomarkers in non-traumatic SAH. Nevertheless, to endorse the predictive value of PIV for prognosticating outcomes in non-traumatic SAH patients, additional prospective case-control studies are deemed necessary.

Intraoperative irrigation of artificial cerebrospinal fluid and temperature of irrigation fluid for chronic subdural hematoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Purpose: To systematically review the different types of irrigation fluid and the different temperatures of irrigation fluid on postoperative recurrence rates in the evacuation of chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH). Methods: We conducted a comprehensive search of electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), WanFang, the Chinese VIP Information (VIP), and China Biology Medicine (CBM), and reference lists of relevant studies to identify all eligible studies. Two reviewers independently screened the titles and abstracts for inclusion, and the full-text articles were assessed for eligibility based on predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data were extracted using a standardized form, and the quality of the studies was assessed using a risk of bias tool. Meta-analyses were performed using a fixed-or random-effects model, and heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. The primary endpoint was the postoperative recurrence rate. Results: After stringent screening, a total of 11 studies were identified, including six English publications, four Chinese publications, and one Japanese publication, involving a population of 29,846 patients. Our meta-analysis provides evidence that artificial cerebrospinal fluid (ACF) could decrease the post-operative recurrence rate by 47% after the evacuation of CSDH when compared to normal saline (NS) [(odds ratio) OR 0.53, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.31-0.90, p = 0.02, I2 = 67%]. Besides, the irrigation fluid at body temperature could decrease the postoperative recurrence rate of CSDH by 64% when compared to room temperature (OR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.22-0.59, p < 0.0001, I2 = 0%). Conclusion: Our analysis revealed significant difference in the choice of irrigation fluid for CSDH surgery. Notably, we found that irrigation with fluid at body temperature demonstrated superiority over irrigation with fluid at room temperature, resulting in fewer instances of recurrence. This straightforward technique is both safe and widely available, providing an opportunity to optimize outcomes for patients with CSDH. Our findings suggest that the use of body-temperature NS or ACF of room temperature during operation should be considered a standard of procedure in CSDH surgery. Nevertheless, whether the different temperature of ACF could be considered a standard of procedure in CSDH surgery still need high-quality RCTs to further identify. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Identifier CRD42023424344.

Research advances in imaging markers for predicting hematoma expansion in intracerebral hemorrhage: a narrative review.

Introduction: Stroke is a major global health concern and is ranked as the second leading cause of death worldwide, with the third highest incidence of disability. Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a devastating form of stroke that is responsible for a significant proportion of stroke-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. Hematoma expansion (HE), which occurs in up to one-third of ICH patients, is a strong predictor of poor prognosis and can be potentially preventable if high-risk patients are identified early. In this review, we provide a comprehensive summary of previous research in this area and highlight the potential use of imaging markers for future research studies. Recent advances: Imaging markers have been developed in recent years to aid in the early detection of HE and guide clinical decision-making. These markers have been found to be effective in predicting HE in ICH patients and include specific manifestations on Computed Tomography (CT) and CT Angiography (CTA), such as the spot sign, leakage sign, spot-tail sign, island sign, satellite sign, iodine sign, blend sign, swirl sign, black hole sign, and hypodensities. The use of imaging markers holds great promise for improving the management and outcomes of ICH patients. Conclusion: The management of ICH presents a significant challenge, and identifying high-risk patients for HE is crucial to improving outcomes. The use of imaging markers for HE prediction can aid in the rapid identification of such patients and may serve as potential targets for anti-HE therapies in the acute phase of ICH. Therefore, further research is needed to establish the reliability and validity of these markers in identifying high-risk patients and guiding appropriate treatment decisions.

Association of the stress hyperglycemia ratio and clinical outcomes in patients with stroke: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Objective: Stress hyperglycemia (SH) is common in patients with acute diseases, such as stroke and myocardial infarction. Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is calculated by glucose/glycated hemoglobin and has been widely used for evaluating SH. But whether SHR is associated with clinical outcomes in stroke patients remains unclear so far. Although many studies have shown that higher SHR means poor outcomes, there is still no absolute evidence that SHR plays a critical role in stroke patients. Hence, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis aiming to investigate the association between SHR and clinical outcomes in stroke patients. Methods: We performed a comprehensive literature search of the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library databases, Clinicaltrials.gov, and WHO-ICTRP. Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA), we performed our study. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) tool was used to examine the potential bias of included studies. The endpoints including poor outcome, mortality, neurological deficit, hemorrhagic transformation (HT), and infectious complications were statistically analyzed. Results: Sixteen retrospective studies met the eligibility criteria, and a number of 183,588 patients were included. Our meta-analysis demonstrated a significant increase in the incidence of poor outcome, according to assessment by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ≥ 3 points [odds ratio (OR) 2.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.99-3.22, P < 0.00001, I 2 = 68%], mortality (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.58-2.44, P < 0.00001, I 2 = 61%), neurological deficit (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.47-2.70, P < 0.00001, I 2 = 75%), hemorrhagic transformation (HT) (OR 3.70, 95% CI 2.69-5.08, P < 0.00001, I 2 = 0%), and infectious complications [(Pneumonia) OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.57-2.72, P < 0.00001, I 2 = 24%; (Urinary tract infection) OR 2.53, 95% CI 1.45-4.42, P = 0.001, I 2 = 57%] in stroke patients with higher SHR. However, no significant influence was observed for recanalization rate (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.54-1.38, P = 0.53, I 2 = 0%). Conclusion: With or without diabetes, no matter whether undergoing intravenous thrombolysis or mechanical thrombectomy, higher SHR significantly increased the occurrence of poor outcomes, mortality, neurological deficit, HT, and infectious complications. The recanalization rate was not statistically significant between the two groups. More attention must be paid in clinical practice to SH. Future investigation should focus on the diagnostic value of SHR and the early control of hyperglycemia. Meanwhile, whether SHR could become a novel and promising target for early intervention is worthy of attention in further research. Besides, the influence of the dynamic change of glucose-to-HbA1c ratio, namely SHR, on intracerebral hemorrhage outcomes requires further investigation in future research. Although no randomized double-blind studies have been conducted, the available massive sample studies reflect the actual situation in the clinic and assist clinical decision makers. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier: CRD42022345587.

Association of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and clinical outcomes in patients with stroke: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Introduction: A novel systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) has been proven to be associated with outcomes in patients with cancer. Although some studies have shown that the SII is a potential and valuable tool to diagnose and predict the advise outcomes in stroke patients. Nevertheless, the findings are controversial, and their association with clinical outcomes is unclear. Consequently, we conducted a comprehensive review and meta-analysis to explore the relationship between SII and clinical outcomes in stroke patients. Methods: A search of five English databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and Web of Science) and four Chinese databases (CNKI, VIP, WanFang, and CBM) was conducted. Our study strictly complied with the PRISMA (the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses). We used the NOS (Newcastle-Ottawa Scale) tool to assess the possible bias of included studies. The endpoints included poor outcome (the modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≥ 3 points or > 3 points), mortality, the severity of stroke (according to assessment by the National Institute of Health stroke scale [NIHSS] ≥ 5 points), hemorrhagic transformation (HT) were statistically analyzed. Results: Nineteen retrospective studies met the eligibility criteria, and a total of 18609 stroke patients were included. Our study showed that high SII is significantly associated with poor outcomes (odds ratio [OR] 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.09, P = 0.001, I2 = 93%), high mortality (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.75-2.67, P < 0.00001, I2 = 49%), and the incidence of HT (OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.61-2.71, P < 0.00001, I2 = 42%). We also investigated the difference in SII levels in poor/good outcomes, death/survival, and minor/moderate-severe stroke groups. Our analysis demonstrated that the SII level of the poor outcome, death, and moderate-severe stroke group was much higher than that of the good outcome, survival, and minor stroke group, respectively (standard mean difference [SMD] 1.11, 95% CI 0.61-1.61, P < 0.00001 [poor/good outcome]; MD 498.22, 95% CI 333.18-663.25, P < 0.00001 [death/survival]; SMD 1.35, 95% CI 0.48-2.23, P = 0.002 [severity of stroke]). SII, on the other hand, had no significant impact on recanalization (OR 1.50, 95% CI 0.86-2.62, P = 0.16). Discussion: To the best of our knowledge, this may be the first meta-analysis to look at the link between SII and clinical outcomes in stroke patients. The inflammatory response after a stroke is useful for immunoregulatory treatment. Stroke patients with high SII should be closely monitored, since this might be a viable treatment strategy for limiting brain damage after a stroke. As a result, research into SII and the clinical outcomes of stroke patients is crucial. Our preliminary findings may represent the clinical condition and aid clinical decision-makers. Nonetheless, further research is needed to better understand the utility of SII through dynamic monitoring. To generate more robust results, large-sample and multi-center research are required. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42022371996.

Association between hydrogen sulfide and OSA-associated hypertension: a clinical study.

PURPOSE: We sought to unravel the role of hydrogen sulfide (H2S) in the development of hypertension in patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). METHODS: The study sample included 80 patients with OSA and 45 healthy controls. All subjects underwent measurement of blood pressure (BP) and serum H2S level in the morning. Twentynine of the 39 patients with OSA and concomitant hypertension and 23 of the 41 patients with OSA but no concomitant hypertension received continuous positive alveolar pressure (CPAP) therapy for 4 weeks. Twenty-four-hour ambulatory BP and serum H2S were determined before and after CPAP. Respiratory indices including apnea hypopnea index (AHI), lowest oxygen saturation (SaO2), and length of time < 90% saturated (T90) were determined by polysomnography. RESULTS: Associations between H2S, BP, respiratory indices, and changes with CPAP were analyzed. OSA patients had significantly higher systolic BP (p = 0.003) and diastolic BP (p = 0.009) and lower H2S levels (p = 0.02) compared to healthy controls. H2S negatively correlated with AHI (p = 0.005), T90 (p = 0.009), morning systolic BP (p = 0.02), and morning diastolic BP (p = 0.03). All respiratory indices were significantly improved (p < 0.05) after CPAP in OSA patients with or without hypertension. BP was significantly reduced and H2S significantly increased after CPAP in OSA patients with hypertension (p < 0.05) but not in OSA patients without hypertension (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Multivariate linear regression analysis demonstrated that 24h systolic BP and 24h diastolic BP correlated with H2S as well as their changes after CPAP treatment. Reduction in H2S may play a role in the pathogenesis of hypertension in patients with OSA.

Impact of obstructive sleep apnea on pulmonary hypertension in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) syndrome are highly prevalent respiratory conditions. Their coexistence is referred to as the overlap syndrome. They are both related to pulmonary hypertension (PH) development. This study investigated the effects of OSA on PH in patients with COPD and the associated factors. METHODS: Consecutive patients with stable COPD were recruited for an observational cross-sectional study from September 2016 to May 2018 at Peking University Third Hospital. In total, 106 patients with COPD were enrolled and performed home portable monitoring and echocardiography. OSA was defined by an apnea hypopnea index (AHI) ≥10 events/h. Based on OSA absence or presence, patients were divided into the COPD with OSA and COPD without OSA groups. Factors affecting pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) and PH were identified using univariate analysis and logistic regression models. RESULTS: In the 106 patients with COPD, the mean age was 69.52 years, 91.5% were men, and the mean forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) percentage of predicted was 56.15%. Fifty-six (52.8%) patients with COPD were diagnosed with OSA, and 24 (22.6%) patients with COPD were diagnosed as PH. Compared with COPD without OSA group, the median PAP in COPD with severe OSA group increased by 5 mmHg (36.00 [26.00-50.00] mmHg vs. 31.00 [24.00-34.00] mmHg, P = 0.036). COPD with percent of night-time spent with oxygen saturation below 90% (T90) > 10% group had higher PAP than COPD with T90 ≤ 1% group (36.00 [29.00-50.00)] mmHg vs. 29.00 [25.50-34.00] mmHg, F = 7.889, P = 0.007). Univariate analysis revealed age, FEV1% predicted, T90, and Charlson index had statistically significant effects on PH. Multiple regression analysis showed a significant and independent effect of both FEV1% predicted (odds ratio [OR] = 3.46; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-10.46; P = 0.028) and AHI (OR = 3.20; 95% CI: 1.09-19.35; P = 0.034) on PH. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COPD with OSA are more susceptible to PH, which is associated with declining lung function and increased severity of OSA. Thus, nocturnal hypoxemia and OSA in elderly patients with COPD should be identified and treated.

Establishment and Verification of the Hematoma Expansion Prediction Score of Intracerebral Hemorrhage in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.

OBJECTIVE: The latest World Health Organization data showed that stroke was the highest mortality in China, accounting for 23.7% of the total mortality from 2000 to 2012. Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) was the most deadly and incurable type of stroke. In the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, the incidence of stroke was relatively higher. Several studies showed that the shape and heterogeneity of hematoma and image markers on brain computed tomography scan had predictive effects on hematoma expansion (HE). The study aimed to find relative factors and established a nomogram model to predict the HE of ICH. METHODS: All patients with ICH in Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital from January 1, 2012, to May 22, 2018, were continuously collected. A total of 402 patients were included in the study. This was a single-center retrospective study. Univariate and binary logistic regression analysis were performed to screen out the independent predictors that were significantly associated with HE. RESULTS: The total incidence of HE in ICH was 30.9%, whereas the incidence of HE in the basal ganglia and nonbasal ganglia was 36.4% and 17.2%, respectively. Diabetes, basal ganglia hemorrhage, time of onset to baseline computed tomography, island sign, blend sign, black hole sign, and swirl sign were independent predictors of HE. Based on these predictors, a nomogram model was established and the accuracy was 81.6%, the sensitivity was 91.1%, and the specificity was 70.5%. CONCLUSIONS: This model had a high accuracy of predicting HE in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Because this model is noninvasive, rapid, and low cost, it is easy to promote and has wide application prospects in clinical practice.

Combining Investigation of Imaging Markers (Island Sign and Blend Sign) and Clinical Factors in Predicting Hematoma Expansion of Intracerebral Hemorrhage in the Basal Ganglia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most difficult-to-treat form of stroke and accounts for about 10%-30% of all strokes worldwide. Hematoma expansion (HE), which occurs in one third of patients with ICH, is strongly predictive of worse prognosis and potentially preventable if high-risk patients are identified in the early phase of ICH. We summarized data from recent studies on HE prediction and classified those potential indicators into 2 categories: 1) clinical and laboratory and 2) radiographic. Therefore, we aimed to identify the accuracy of L, that is, the value of combining predictors in predicting HE of ICH in basal ganglia. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated the clinical database of Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital for patients with ICH aged >18 years between January 2015 and January 2018. As inclusion criteria, we defined 1) ICH diagnosed on noncontrast computed tomography (CT); 2) noncontrast CT performed on enrollment within 6 hours after onset of symptoms; 3) follow-up CT scan performed within 24 hours after the baseline CT scan; and 4) all of the primary hematoma was located in the basal ganglia. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the potential HE predictors, and then receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the L (the value of combining predictors) of imaging markers and clinical factors in predicting HE. RESULTS: Of the 99 patients with HE, island sign was present in 48.48% (48/99) of patients and blend sign was present in 34.34% (34/99) of patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified time to baseline CT scan (odds ratio [OR] 1.574; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.205-2.054; P = 0.001), baseline hematoma volume (P = 0.001), presence of island sign (OR 11.247; 95% CI 4.701-26.909; P = 0.000), presence of blend sign (OR 3.104; 95% CI 1.425-6.765; P = 0.004), anticoagulants use or international normalized ratio >1.5 (OR 2.755; 95% CI 1.072-7.082; P = 0.035), and intraventricular hemorrhage (OR 2.351; 95% CI 1.066-5.187; P = 0.034) as independent predictors of HE. The sensitivity and specificity of L (value of combining predictors) were 88.89% and 80.84%, respectively; the area under the curve was 0.918. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicated that the ability of L to predict HE was much more excellent than these 6 predictors alone. L showed a high association with HE, with an accuracy of 91.8%, and was a reliable value of combining predictors in terms of predicting HE. L may serve as a promising, noninvasive tool for clinical therapeutic strategy.

A Reliable Nomogram Model to Predict the Recurrence of Chronic Subdural Hematoma After Burr Hole Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: We established a reliable nomogram model to predict the recurrence of chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) after burr hole surgery. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 514 patients who were treated in our hospital between January 2010 and November 2017 and included 231 patients in this study. We used univariate and binary logistic regression analysis to identify the significantly related predictors for recurrence. Subsequently, we established the nomogram model using these predictors and validated it. RESULTS: The total rate of recurrence after initial surgery for CSDH was 14.29% (33/231) during the following 3 months. We found that preoperative hematoma volume (greater than 121 mL), postoperative residual cavity volume (greater than 72 mL), computed tomography scan imaging type (hyper- and mixed-density type), and age (older than 65 years of age) were significantly related to recurrence. We used 50% recurrence rate as the classification cutoff, with the corresponding points of 252 to validate the nomogram model. The accuracy of predicting the recurrence of CSDH calculated by the binary logistic regression model was 91.7%. The sensitivity and specificity of the nomogram were 87.88% and 84.85%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This nomogram model had a high precision to predict the recurrence of CSDH. It needs more external and prospective validation in the future. We expect this model could be used in different neurosurgical problems as well.

Association Between Gray-White Matter Ratio in Computed Tomography and Outcome in Patients with Extra-Axial Hematoma.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate relationship between gray-white matter ratio (GWR) on computed tomography and prognosis in patients with extra-axial hematoma. METHODS: Patients with extra-axial hematoma who had undergone surgical treatment at Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital from September 2016 to December 2017 were included. GWR values were calculated by measuring values of gray matter and white matter in Hounsfield units in noninjury sites of basal ganglia. According to Glasgow Outcome Scale score at 3 months after operation, patients were divided into good prognosis (Glasgow Outcome Scale score 4-5) and poor prognosis (Glasgow Outcome Scale score 1-3) groups. RESULTS: Of 103 patients who met inclusion criteria and were analyzed, 24 had with a poor outcome, including 5 deaths, and 79 patients had a good outcome. There were significant differences between the 2 groups in terms of age, type of hematoma, admission Glasgow Coma Scale score, and presence of hernia (all P < 0.05). Postoperative HU values of posterior capsule, postoperative GWR values, and difference between preoperative and postoperative GWR values had statistical significance (all P < 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve showed that difference between preoperative and postoperative GWR values was the best predictor of poor outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The difference between preoperative or postoperative GWR values has a higher sensitivity and greater area under the curve to predict patient outcome. Measuring the difference between preoperative and postoperative GWR values may be useful as an objective early predictor of outcome in patients with extra-axial hematoma. Larger samples and multicenter prospective studies are still required.