Multi-institutional Development and External Validation of a Machine Learning Model for the Prediction of Distant Metastasis in Patients Treated by Salvage Radiotherapy for Biochemical Failure After Radical Prostatectomy.

BACKGROUND: Up to 40% of patients with prostate cancer may develop biochemical recurrence after surgery, with salvage radiation therapy (SRT) being the only curative option. In 2016, Tendulkar et al. (Contemporary update of a multi-institutional predictive nomogram for salvage radiotherapy after radical prostatectomy. J Clin Oncol 2016;34:3648-54) published a nomogram to predict distant metastasis in a cohort of patients treated with SRT with pre-SRT prostate-specific antigen (PSA) of 0.5 ng/ml after radical prostatectomy. In modern practice, SRT is delivered at lower PSA values. OBJECTIVE: To train and externally validate a machine learning model to predict the risk of distant metastasis at 5 yr in a contemporary cohort of patients receiving SRT. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We trained a machine learning model on data from 2418 patients treated with SRT at one institution, with a median PSA value of 0.27 ng/ml. External validation was done in 475 patients treated at two different institutions. Patients with cM1, pN1, or pT4 disease were excluded, as were patients with PSA >2 ng/ml or PSA 0, and patients with radiation dose <60 or ≥80 Gy. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Model performance was assessed using calibration and time-dependent area under the receiver operating curve (tAUC). RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Our model had better calibration and showed improved discrimination (tAUC = 0.72) compared with the Tendulkar model (tAUC = 0.60, p < 0.001). The main limitations of this study are its retrospective design and lack of validation on patients who received hormone therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The updated model can be used to provide more individualized risk assessments to patients treated with SRT at low PSA values, improving decision-making. PATIENT SUMMARY: Up to 40% of patients with prostate cancer may develop biochemical recurrence after surgery, with salvage radiation therapy as the only potentially curative option. We trained and validated a machine learning model using clinical and surgical data to predict a patient's risk of distant metastasis at 5 yr after treatment. Our model outperformed the reference tool and can improve clinical decision-making by providing more personalized risk assessment.

Prostate-Specific Antigen Level at the Time of Salvage Therapy After Radical Prostatectomy for Prostate Cancer and the Risk of Death.

PURPOSE: Both the performance characteristics of prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography and insurance approval improves with increasing prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level causing some physicians to delay post-radical prostatectomy salvage radiation therapy (sRT) after PSA failure. Yet, it is unknown for men with at most one high-risk factor (ie, pT3/4 or prostatectomy [p] Gleason score 8-10) whether a PSA level exists above which initiating sRT is associated with increased all-cause mortality (ACM)-risk and was investigated. METHODS: Using a multinational database of 25,551 patients with pT2-4N0 or NXM0 prostate cancer, multivariable Cox regression analysis evaluated whether an association with a significant increase in ACM-risk existed when sRT was delivered above a prespecified PSA level beginning at 0.10 ng/mL and in 0.05 increments up to 0.50 ng/mL versus at or below that level. The model was adjusted for age at and year of radical prostatectomy, established prostate cancer prognostic factors, institution, and the time-dependent use of androgen deprivation therapy. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 6.00 years, patients who received sRT at a PSA level >0.25 ng/mL had a significantly higher ACM-risk (AHR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.00; P = .008) compared with men who received sRT when the PSA was ≤0.25 mg/mL. This elevated ACM-risk remained significant for all PSA cutpoints up to 0.50 ng/mL but was not significant at PSA cutpoint values below 0.25 ng/mL. CONCLUSION: Among patients with at most one high-risk factor, initiating sRT above a PSA level of 0.25 ng/mL was associated with increased ACM-risk.

Development and External Validation of a Machine Learning Model for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) is the gold standard for diagnosis of lymph node involvement (LNI) in patients with prostate cancer. The Roach formula, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) calculator, and Briganti 2012 nomogram are elegant and simple traditional tools used to estimate the risk of LNI and select patients for PLND. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether machine learning (ML) can improve patient selection and outperform currently available tools for predicting LNI using similar readily available clinicopathologic variables. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective data for patients treated with surgery and PLND between 1990 and 2020 in two academic institutions were used. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: We trained three models (two logistic regression models and one gradient-boosted trees-based model [XGBoost]) on data provided from one institution (n = 20267) with age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, clinical T stage, percentage positive cores, and Gleason scores as inputs. We externally validated these models using data from another institution (n = 1322) and compared their performance to that of the traditional models using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: LNI was present in 2563 patients (11.9%) overall, and in 119 patients (9%) in the validation data set. XGBoost had the best performance among all the models. On external validation, its AUC outperformed that of the Roach formula by 0.08 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.042-0.12), the MSKCC nomogram by 0.05 (95% CI 0.016-0.070), and the Briganti nomogram by 0.03 (95% CI 0.0092-0.051; all p < 0.05). It also had better calibration and clinical utility in terms of net benefit on DCA across relevant clinical thresholds. The main limitation of the study is its retrospective design. CONCLUSIONS: Taking all measures of performance together, ML using standard clinicopathologic variables outperforms traditional tools in predicting LNI. PATIENT SUMMARY: Determining the risk of cancer spread to the lymph nodes in patients with prostate cancer allows surgeons to perform lymph node dissection only in patients who need it and avoid the side effects of the procedure in those who do not. In this study, we used machine learning to develop a new calculator to predict the risk of lymph node involvement that outperformed traditional tools currently used by oncologists.

Histopathological results of radical prostatectomy specimen of men younger than 50 years of age at the time of surgery: possible implications for prostate cancer screening programs?

INTRODUCTION: Prostate cancer (PCa) detection is usually achieved by PSA measurement and, if indicated, further diagnostics. The recent EAU guidelines recommend a first PSA test at the age of 50 years, if no family history of PCa or BRCA2 mutation exists. However, some men might harbor significant PCa at younger age; thus we evaluated the histopathological results of men treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) in their 40 s at our institution. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We relied on the data of all patients who underwent RP in our institution between 1992 and 2020 and were younger than 50 years at the time of surgery. The histopathological results are descriptively presented. Moreover, we tested the effect of a positive family history on the descriptive results. RESULTS: Overall, 1225 patients younger than 50 years underwent RP at our institution. Median age was 47 years. Most patients showed favorable histopathological characteristics. However, 20% of patients had extraprostatic disease (≥ pT3a), 15% had ISUP Gleason grade group ≥ 3, and 7% had positive lymph nodes (pN1). Patients with a known positive family history did not have a higher rate of adverse disease as their counterparts with a negative family history. DISCUSSION: Our data show that the majority of patients who were diagnosed with PCa at a very young age had favorable histopathological RP characteristics. However, a non-negligible proportion of patients already showed locally advanced disease and would have probably benefited from earlier PCa detection. This should be kept in mind when PCa screening recommendations are proposed.

Impact of positive surgical margin length and Gleason grade at the margin on oncologic outcomes in patients with nonorgan-confined prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: Positive surgical margins (PSM) represent a poor prognostic factor at radical prostatectomy (RP). To investigate the impact of PSM, its length, the focality and the Gleason grade at the PSM, on the oncologic outcomes in nonorgan-confined RP patients. METHODS: Within a high-volume center database, we identified patients who harbored non-organ-confined (pT3) prostate cancer (PCa) at RP between 2010 and 2016. Only patients without lymph node invasion were included. Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariable Cox regression models were used to test the effect of PSM on biochemical recurrence (BCR), metastasis, and cancer-specific death after RP in patients without adjuvant radiotherapy. RESULTS: Overall, 3705 patients were identified. Of those, 27.2% (n = 1007) harbored PSM. At 96 months after RP, BCR-free, metastasis-free and cancer-specific survival was 41.6 versus 57.5%, 82.7 versus 88.6%, and 94.7 versus 98.5% for patients with versus without PSM (all p < 0.001). BCR-free, metastasis-free and cancer-specific survival rates at 96 months were 56.7 versus 26.5% (p < 0.001), 94.4 versus 67.4% (p < 0.001), and 100.0 versus 87.1% (p < 0.01) for Gleason pattern 3 versus ≥ 4 at the margin and 45.0 versus 27.8% (p < 0.01), 83.3 versus 82.3% (p = 0.2), and 95.2 versus 92.7% (p = 0.3) for <4 mm versus ≥4 mm length of margin. In multivariable Cox models PSM was an independent predictor for BCR (hazard ratio [HR]:1.53, p < 0.001) and cancer-specific death (HR:2.75, p = 0.02). In subgroups of patients with PSM only, Gleason ≥ 4 at the margin (HR:1.60, p < 0.01) and length of PSM (HR:1.02, p < 0.05) was an independent predictor of BCR. CONCLUSION: PSM represents an independent predictor for worse oncologic outcome in nonorgan-confined PCa at RP. Gleason ≥ 4 at the margin was associated with the development of BCR, metastasis, and with cancer-specific death after RP. Next to margin status, Gleason at the margin and its length carry important information that should be reported for the specimen.

Adjuvant Versus Early Salvage Radiation Therapy After Radical Prostatectomy for pN1 Prostate Cancer and the Risk of Death.

PURPOSE: An association with a reduction in the risk of all-cause mortality (ACM) and the use of adjuvant as compared with early postradical prostatectomy salvage radiation therapy (sRT) in men with pN1 prostate cancer (PC) has been observed. Yet, whether this finding applies irrespective of the number of positive lymph nodes (LNs) after adjusting for the time-dependent use and duration of androgen deprivation therapy is unknown and is addressed in the current study. METHODS: Univariable and multivariable Cox regression was used to evaluate whether the ACM risk ratio for time-dependent use of adjuvant versus early sRT per unit increase in positive pelvic LNs was significantly reduced. Adjusted ACM estimates were calculated among men who received adjuvant, early salvage, or no RT stratified by one to three or four or more positive pelvic LNs. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 7.02 years, 986 (5.50%) men died, with 223 (22.62%) of PC. Adjuvant compared with early sRT was associated with a significantly lower ACM risk per unit increase in positive pelvic LNs (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.92; 95% CI, 0.85 to 0.99; P = .03). A significant difference in the 7-year adjusted ACM estimates favoring aRT versus early sRT was observed in men with four or more positive LNs (7.74% v 23.36%) in that the 95% CI for the 15.62% difference (5.90 to 25.35) excluded 0.00, but this was not true for men with 1-3 positive LNs (14.27% v 13.89%; 95% CI for the 0.38% difference [-7.02 to 7.79]). CONCLUSION: Adjuvant compared with early sRT in men with pN1 PC was associated with a decreased ACM risk, and this reduction increased with each additional positive pelvic LN.

Oncologic outcomes of organ-confined Gleason grade group 4-5 prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy.

BACKGROUND: Organ-confined prostate cancer (CaP) at radical prostatectomy (RP) is associated with good long-term outcomes. However, information for aggressive Gleason organ-confined CaP is scant. To investigate the impact of Gleason grade group (GG) 4-5 on long-term oncologic outcomes after RP. METHODS: Within a high-volume center database we identified patients who harbored organ-confined CaP (pT2) at RP between 1992 and 2017. Only patients with negative surgical margins, without lymph node invasion and without neo- and/or adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy and/or adjuvant radiotherapy were included. Patients with GG1 were excluded. Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox regression models tested the effect of GG4 and GG5 on biochemical recurrence-free (BFS), metastasis-free (MFS), overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) free survival. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Of 10,855 identified pT2 patients, 0.1% (n=81) and 0.1% (n=114) harbored GG4 and GG5, respectively. At 10-years after RP, BFS, MFS, OS and CSM-free rates were 80.3 vs. 68.6 vs. 55.4% (P<0.001), 96.7 vs. 89.9. vs. 83.4% (P<0.001), 93.2 vs. 78.3 vs. 72.6% (P<0.001) and 99.3 vs. 98.0 vs. 82.7% (P<0.001) for GG2 and GG3 vs. GG4 vs. GG5, respectively. In multivariable Cox regression models, GG5 represented an independent predictor for biochemical recurrence (Hazard ratio [HR] 3.00, P<0.001), metastasis (HR 5.01, P<0.001), death (HR 2.72, P<0.01) and cancer-specific death (HR 30.1, P<0.001). Conversely, GG4 represented an independent predictor for death (HR 2.10, P=0.04) and cancer-specific death (HR 6.09, P=0.01) but not for biochemical recurrence and metastasis. CONCLUSION: GG4/5 in organ-confined CaP is rare. But its associated with worse oncologic outcomes after RP, namely biochemical recurrence, metastasis, death and cancer-specific death. Patients with organ-confined GG4/5 and negative margins should be closely followed and may be candidates for risk stratification by genomic markers.

CHD1 loss negatively influences metastasis-free survival in R0-resected prostate cancer patients and promotes spontaneous metastasis in vivo.

The outcome of prostate cancer (PCa) patients is highly variable and depends on whether or not distant metastases occur. Multiple chromosomal deletions have been linked to early tumor marker PSA recurrence (biochemical relapse, BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP), but their potential role for distant metastasis formation is largely unknown. Here, we specifically analyzed whether deletion of the tumor suppressor CHD1 (5q21) influences the post-surgical risk of distant metastasis and whether CHD1 loss directly contributes to metastasis formation in vivo. By considering >6800 patients we found that the CHD1 deletion negatively influences metastasis-free survival in R0 patients (HR: 2.32; 95% CI: 1.61, 3.33; p < 0.001) independent of preoperative PSA, pT stage, pN status, Gleason Score, and BCR. Moreover, CHD1 deletion predicts shortened BCR-free survival in pT2 patients and cancer-specific survival in all patients. In vivo, CHD1 loss increases spontaneous pulmonary metastasis formation in two distinct PCa models coupled with a higher number of multicellular colonies as compared to single-cell metastases. Transcriptome analyses revealed down-regulation of the PCa-specific metastasis suppressor and TGFß signaling regulator PMEPA1 after CHD1 depletion in both tested PCa models. CHD1 loss increases the risk of postoperative metastasis in R0-resected PCa patients and promotes spontaneous metastasis formation in vivo.

Performance of a Prostate-Specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography-Derived Risk-Stratification Tool for High-risk and Very High-risk Prostate Cancer.

Importance: Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) can detect low-volume, nonlocalized (ie, regional or metastatic) prostate cancer that was occult on conventional imaging. However, the long-term clinical implications of PSMA PET/CT upstaging remain unclear. Objectives: To evaluate the prognostic significance of a nomogram that models an individual's risk of nonlocalized upstaging on PSMA PET/CT and to compare its performance with existing risk-stratification tools. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included patients diagnosed with high-risk or very high-risk prostate cancer (ie, prostate-specific antigen [PSA] level >20 ng/mL, Gleason score 8-10, and/or clinical stage T3-T4, without evidence of nodal or metastatic disease by conventional workup) from April 1995 to August 2018. This multinational study was conducted at 15 centers. Data were analyzed from December 2020 to March 2021. Exposures: Curative-intent radical prostatectomy (RP), external beam radiotherapy (EBRT), or EBRT plus brachytherapy (BT), with or without androgen deprivation therapy. Main Outcomes and Measures: PSMA upstage probability was calculated from a nomogram using the biopsy Gleason score, percentage positive systematic biopsy cores, clinical T category, and PSA level. Biochemical recurrence (BCR), distant metastasis (DM), prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM), and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Fine-Gray and Cox regressions. Model performance was quantified with the concordance (C) index. Results: Of 5275 patients, the median (IQR) age was 66 (60-72) years; 2883 (55%) were treated with RP, 1669 (32%) with EBRT, and 723 (14%) with EBRT plus BT; median (IQR) PSA level was 10.5 (5.9-23.2) ng/mL; 3987 (76%) had Gleason grade 8 to 10 disease; and 750 (14%) had stage T3 to T4 disease. Median (IQR) follow-up was 5.1 (3.1-7.9) years; 1221 (23%) were followed up for at least 8 years. Overall, 1895 (36%) had BCR, 851 (16%) developed DM, and 242 (5%) died of prostate cancer. PSMA upstage probability was significantly prognostic of all clinical end points, with 8-year C indices of 0.63 (95% CI, 0.61-0.65) for BCR, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.66-0.71) for DM, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.67-0.75) for PCSM, and 0.60 (95% CI, 0.57-0.62) for PCSM (P < .001). The PSMA nomogram outperformed existing risk-stratification tools, except for similar performance to Staging Collaboration for Cancer of the Prostate (STAR-CAP) for PCSM (eg, DM: PSMA, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.66-0.71] vs STAR-CAP, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.62-0.68]; P < .001; Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center nomogram, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.54-0.60]; P < .001; Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment groups, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.51-0.56]; P < .001). Results were validated in secondary cohorts from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database and the National Cancer Database. Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that PSMA upstage probability is associated with long-term, clinically meaningful end points. Furthermore, PSMA upstaging had superior risk discrimination compared with existing tools. Formerly occult, PSMA PET/CT-detectable nonlocalized disease may be the main driver of outcomes in high-risk patients.

Comparison of Multimodal Therapies and Outcomes Among Patients With High-Risk Prostate Cancer With Adverse Clinicopathologic Features.

Importance: The optimal management strategy for high-risk prostate cancer and additional adverse clinicopathologic features remains unknown. Objective: To compare clinical outcomes among patients with high-risk prostate cancer after definitive treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study included patients with high-risk prostate cancer (as defined by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network [NCCN]) and at least 1 adverse clinicopathologic feature (defined as any primary Gleason pattern 5 on biopsy, clinical T3b-4 disease, ≥50% cores with biopsy results positive for prostate cancer, or NCCN ≥2 high-risk features) treated between 2000 and 2014 at 16 tertiary centers. Data were analyzed in November 2020. Exposures: Radical prostatectomy (RP), external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), or EBRT plus brachytherapy boost (BT) with ADT. Guideline-concordant multimodal treatment was defined as RP with appropriate use of multimodal therapy (optimal RP), EBRT with at least 2 years of ADT (optimal EBRT), or EBRT with BT with at least 1 year ADT (optimal EBRT with BT). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was prostate cancer-specific mortality; distant metastasis was a secondary outcome. Differences were evaluated using inverse probability of treatment weight-adjusted Fine-Gray competing risk regression models. Results: A total of 6004 men (median [interquartile range] age, 66.4 [60.9-71.8] years) with high-risk prostate cancer were analyzed, including 3175 patients (52.9%) who underwent RP, 1830 patients (30.5%) who underwent EBRT alone, and 999 patients (16.6%) who underwent EBRT with BT. Compared with RP, treatment with EBRT with BT (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 0.78, [95% CI, 0.63-0.97]; P = .03) or with EBRT alone (sHR, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.53-0.92]; P = .01) was associated with significantly improved prostate cancer-specific mortality; there was no difference in prostate cancer-specific mortality between EBRT with BT and EBRT alone (sHR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.67-1.18]; P = .43). No significant differences in prostate cancer-specific mortality were found across treatment cohorts among 2940 patients who received guideline-concordant multimodality treatment (eg, optimal EBRT alone vs optimal RP: sHR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.52-1.09]; P = .14). However, treatment with EBRT alone or EBRT with BT was consistently associated with lower rates of distant metastasis compared with treatment with RP (eg, EBRT vs RP: sHR, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.44-0.58]; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that among patients with high-risk prostate cancer and additional unfavorable clinicopathologic features receiving guideline-concordant multimodal therapy, prostate cancer-specific mortality outcomes were equivalent among those treated with RP, EBRT, and EBRT with BT, although distant metastasis outcomes were more favorable among patients treated with EBRT and EBRT with BT. Optimal multimodality treatment is critical for improving outcomes in patients with high-risk prostate cancer.

Radical prostatectomy for localized prostate cancer: 20-year oncological outcomes from a German high-volume center.

INTRODUCTION: Long-term outcomes of prostate cancer (CaP) patients treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) from European cohorts are under-reported. We report on 22,843 RP patients from the Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Centre treated between 1992 and 2017. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Biochemical recurrence (BCR) free survival, metastasis free survival (MFS), and cancer specific survival (CSS) were stratified according to National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk categories, pT, and pN stages, RP Gleason Grade Groups (GGG), and surgical margin status (R0/R1). For time to event analyses, uni- and multivariable Cox's proportional hazards models and univariable Kaplan-Meier analyses were applied. RESULTS: Median follow up was 68 months. Most favourable 20-year survival rates were exhibited in NCCN low risk (78.7% BCR-free, 96.8% MFS, 90.1% CSS) and pT2, GGG 1 to 2, R0 patients (83.1% BCR-free, 96.7% MFS, 92.6% CSS). 20-year follow up was not constantly reached in patients with aggressive CaP features. For example, NCCN very high-risk patients exhibited 15-year BCR-free survival of 30.5%, while 20-year MFS and CSS in these individuals was reached (64.1% and 60.8%, respectively). Lowest 10-year BCR-free survival (35.6%) was exhibited in pT3b, GGG 4 to 5, R0. Lowest 10-year MFS (49.5%) was exhibited in pT2, GGG 4 to 5, R1. Lowest 10-year CSS (69.8%) was exhibited in pT3b, GGG 4 to 5, R1 patients. In separate pN1 analyses, lowest 10-year BCR-free survival (14.5%), MFS (56.9%), and CSS (71.9%) were exhibited in patients with 3 or more positive lymph nodes. CONCLUSION: Oncological outcomes after RP can be excellent for individuals with favorable CaP characteristics, also after 20 years of follow up.

Prostate-specific antigen levels of ≤4 and >4 ng/mL and risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality in men with biopsy Gleason score 9 to 10 prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Defining workup beyond usual clinical practice that may improve treatment outcomes in men with a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level of ≤4 ng/mL (vs >4 ng/mL) and Gleason score (GS) 9 to 10 prostate cancer (PC) remains to be determined. METHODS: Between February 25, 1992, and February 25, 2016, 17,632 men with clinical T1-4 PC with a biopsy GS of 6 to 10 underwent radical prostatectomy at a single academic center. Multivariable Fine and Gray regressions were used to evaluate the risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) with an interaction model evaluating the prognostic significance of PSA ≤ 4 ng/mL versus PSA > 4 ng/mL among men with PC with a biopsy GS of 9 to 10 versus ≤8, with adjustments made for the time-dependent use of adjuvant and/or salvage radiation therapy and androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in addition to known PC prognostic factors. RESULTS: There was a significant interaction in men with a biopsy GS of 9 to 10 versus ≤8 and a PSA level of ≤4 ng/mL versus >4 ng/mL (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 2.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-8.08; P = .046). Specifically, among men with a biopsy GS of 9 to 10 and a PSA level of ≤4 ng/mL versus >4 ng/mL, there was a significantly higher rate of PCSM (AHR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.19-5.67; P = .017); however, there was no significant difference in the risk of PCSM in men with a biopsy GS ≤ 8 and a PSA level of ≤4 ng/mL versus >4 ng/mL (AHR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.46-1.78; P = .771). Moreover, the time-dependent use of postoperative ADT was also associated with an increased risk of PCSM (AHR, 10.76; 95% CI, 6.88-16.81; P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Some men with PSA ≤ 4 ng/mL and a biopsy GS of 9 to 10 may have pathologic or genetic variants that make them less amenable to a cure with current standards of care. Additional workup assessing for small cell, neuroendocrine, and genetic variants should be considered.

Long-term overall survival of radical prostatectomy patients is often superior to the general population: A comparison using life-table data.

BACKGROUND: To examine overall survival rates within a large cohort of German prostate cancer (PCa) patients and to compare these with life-expectancy (LE) predictions derived from German life tables. We hypothesized that the advantage of good general health in radical prostatectomy (RP) patients combined with favorable cancer outcomes might lead to even higher overall survival rates over 10 years compared to the LE of a general population. METHODS: A total of 6483 patients were treated with RP between 1992 and 2007 at the Martini-Klinik Prostate Cancer Center. Preoperative risk classification was performed according to D'Amico. Postoperative risk classification was performed according to the Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment score (CAPRA-S). A simulated cohort was created that resembled the exact age distribution of the RP population using Monte Carlo simulation which was based on data derived from official male German life tables (1992-2017). Markov chain was used to represent natural age progression of the simulated cohort. Kaplan-Meier plots were created to display the differences between 10-year observed overall survival (OS) and the simulated, predicted LE. RESULTS: For D'Amico low risk and intermediate risk, 10-year OS was 12.0% and 9.2% above predicted LE in the simulated cohort, respectively. For D'Amico high risk, OS was virtually the same as predicted LE (0.8% difference in favor of RP treated patients). For CAPRA-S low and intermediate risk, OS was 11.8% and 9.7% above predicted LE. For CAPRA-S high risk, OS was virtually the same as predicted LE (0.3% difference in favor of the simulated cohort). CONCLUSIONS: Low- and intermediate risk PCa patients treated with RP can expect a very favorable overall survival, that even exceeds LE predictions. High risk patients' overall survival perfectly aligns with LE predictions.

Adjuvant Versus Early Salvage Radiation Therapy for Men at High Risk for Recurrence Following Radical Prostatectomy for Prostate Cancer and the Risk of Death.

PURPOSE: Adjuvant compared with early salvage radiation therapy (sRT) following radical prostatectomy (RP) has not been shown to reduce progression-free survival in randomized controlled trials. However, these trials might have missed a benefit in men with adverse pathology at RP given that these men were under-represented and immortal time bias might have been present; herein, we investigate this possibility. METHODS: We evaluated the impact of adjuvant versus early sRT on all-cause mortality (ACM) risk in men with adverse pathology defined as positive pelvic lymph nodes (pN1) or pGleason score 8-10 prostate cancer (PC) and disease extending beyond the prostate (pT3/4). We used a treatment propensity score to minimize potential treatment selection bias when estimating the causal effect of adjuvant versus early sRT on ACM risk and a sensitivity analysis to assess the impact that varying definitions of adverse pathology had on ACM risk adjusting for age at RP, PC prognostic factors, site, and the time-dependent use of post-RP androgen deprivation therapy. RESULTS: After a median follow-up (interquartile range) of 8.16 (6.00-12.10) years, of the 26,118 men in the study cohort, 2,104 (8.06%) died, of which 539 (25.62%) were from PC. After excluding men with a persistent prostate-specific antigen, adjuvant compared with early sRT was associated with a significantly lower ACM risk among men with adverse pathology at RP when men with pN1 PC were excluded (0.33 [0.13-0.85]; P = .02) or included (0.66 [0.44-0.99]; P = .04). CONCLUSION: Adjuvant radiation therapy should be considered in men with pN1 or pGleason score 8 to 10 and pT3/4 PC given the possibility that a significant reduction in ACM risk exists.

Reduced anoctamin 7 (ANO7) expression is a strong and independent predictor of poor prognosis in prostate cancer.

Objective: Anoctamin 7 (ANO7) is a calcium2+-dependent chloride ion channel protein. Its expression is restricted to prostate epithelial cells. The exact function is unknown. This study aimed to analyze ANO7 expression and its clinical significance in prostate cancer (PCa). Methods: ANO7 expression was assessed by immunohistochemistry in 17,747 clinical PCa specimens. Results: ANO7 was strongly expressed in normal prostate glandular cells but often less abundant in cancer cells. ANO7 staining was interpretable in 13,594 cancer tissues and considered strong in 34.4%, moderate in 48.7%, weak in 9.3%, and negative in 7.6%. Reduced staining was tightly linked to adverse tumor features [high classical and quantitative Gleason grade, lymph node metastasis, advanced tumor stage, high Ki67 labeling index, positive surgical margin, and early biochemical recurrence (P < 0.0001 each)]. The univariate Cox hazard ratio for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) recurrence after prostatectomy in patients with negative vs. strong ANO7 expression was 2.98 (95% confidence interval 2.61-3.38). The prognostic impact was independent of established pre- or postoperatively available parameters (P < 0.0001). Analysis of annotated molecular data showed that low ANO7 expression was linked to TMPRSS2:ERG fusions (P < 0.0001), elevated androgen receptor expression (P < 0.0001), as well as presence of 9 of 11 chromosomal deletions (P < 0.05 each). A particularly strong association of low ANO7 expression with phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN) deletion may indicate a functional relationship with the PTEN/AKT pathway. Conclusions: These data identify reduced ANO7 protein expression as a strong and independent predictor of poor prognosis in PCa. ANO7 measurement, either alone or in combination, might provide clinically useful prognostic information in PCa.

Opposing prognostic relevance of junction plakoglobin in distinct prostate cancer patient subsets.

Both oncogenic and tumor suppressor functions have been described for junction plakoglobin (JUP), also known as γ-catenin. To clarify the role of JUP in prostate cancer, JUP protein expression was immunohistochemically detected in a tissue microarray containing 11 267 individual prostatectomy specimens. Considering all patients, high JUP expression was associated with adverse tumor stage (P = 0.0002), high Gleason grade (P < 0.0001), and lymph node metastases (P = 0.011). These associations were driven mainly by the subset without TMPRSS2:ERG fusion, in which high JUP expression was an independent predictor of poor prognosis (multivariate analyses, P = 0.0054) and early biochemical recurrence (P = 0.0003). High JUP expression was further linked to strong androgen receptor expression (P < 0.0001), high cell proliferation, and PTEN and FOXP1 deletion (P < 0.0001). In the ERG-negative subset, high JUP expression was additionally linked to MAP3K7 (P = 0.0007) and CHD1 deletion (P = 0.0021). Contrasting the overall prognostic effect of JUP, low JUP expression indicated poor prognosis in the fraction of CHD1-deleted patients (P = 0.039). In this subset, the association of high JUP and high cell proliferation was specifically absent. In conclusion, the controversial biological roles of JUP are reflected by antagonistic prognostic effects in distinct prostate cancer patient subsets.

Effect of prostatic apex shape (Lee types) and urethral sphincter length in preoperative MRI on very early continence rates after radical prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: To test the effect of anatomic variants of the prostatic apex overlapping the membranous urethra (Lee type classification), as well as median urethral sphincter length (USL) in preoperative multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) on the very early continence in open (ORP) and robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) patients. METHODS: In 128 consecutive patients (01/2018-12/2019), USL and the prostatic apex classified according to Lee types A-D in mpMRI prior to ORP or RARP were retrospectively analyzed. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify anatomic characteristics for very early continence rates, defined as urine loss of ≤ 1 g in the PAD-test. RESULTS: Of 128 patients with mpMRI prior to surgery, 76 (59.4%) underwent RARP vs. 52 (40.6%) ORP. In total, median USL was 15, 15 and 10 mm in the sagittal, coronal and axial dimensions. After stratification according to very early continence in the PAD-test (≤ 1 g vs. > 1 g), continent patients had significantly more frequently Lee type D (71.4 vs. 54.4%) and C (14.3 vs. 7.6%, p = 0.03). In multivariable logistic regression models, the sagittal median USL (odds ratio [OR] 1.03) and Lee type C (OR: 7.0) and D (OR: 4.9) were independent predictors for achieving very early continence in the PAD-test. CONCLUSION: Patients' individual anatomical characteristics in mpMRI prior to radical prostatectomy can be used to predict very early continence. Lee type C and D suggest being the most favorable anatomical characteristics. Moreover, longer sagittal median USL in mpMRI seems to improve very early continence rates.

Overexpression of the TRIM24 E3 Ubiquitin Ligase is Linked to Genetic Instability and Predicts Unfavorable Prognosis in Prostate Cancer.

Tripartite motif containing 24 (TRIM24) is a multifunctional protein involved in p53 degradation, chromatin binding, and transcriptional modulation of nuclear receptors. Emerging research has revealed that upregulation of TRIM24 in numerous tumor types is linked to poor prognosis, attributing an important role to TRIM24 in tumor biology. In order to better understand the role of TRIM24 in prostate cancer, we analyzed its immunohistochemical expression on a tissue microarray containing >17,000 prostate cancer specimens. TRIM24 immunostaining was detectable in 61% of 15,321 interpretable cancers, including low expression in 46% and high expression in 15% of cases. TRIM24 upregulation was associated with high Gleason grade, advanced pathologic tumor stage, lymph node metastasis, higher preoperative prostate-specific antigen level, increased cell proliferation as well as increased genomic instability, and predicted prognosis independent of clinicopathologic parameters available at the time of the initial biopsy (all P<0.0001). TRIM24 upregulation provides additional prognostic information in prostate cancer, particularly in patients with low Gleason grade tumors who may be eligible for active surveillance strategies, suggesting promising potential for TRIM24 in the routine diagnostic work-up of these patients.

Implementation of Intraoperative Frozen Section During Radical Prostatectomy: Short-term Results from a German Tertiary-care Center.

BACKGROUND: Neurovascular bundle (NVB) preservation (NVBP) and surgical margin status are the main intraoperative factors influencing functional and oncologic outcomes in patients with prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP). OBJECTIVE: To test the impact of implementing the intraoperative frozen section technique (IFST) during NVBP on the frequency of NVB procedures and its effect on positive surgical margins (PSMs). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We relied on an institutional tertiary-care center database to identify patients who underwent RP (January 2014-October 2018). Until October 2017, decision for NVBP was taken based on preoperative magnetic resonance imaging, clinical characteristics, and nomograms, without the IFST. After November 2017, all patients received bilateral NVBP with the IFST, to check for a PSM in the area of the NVB. If a PSM occurred, a secondary resection of the respective NVB was performed. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: PSM and NVB procedures were assessed. Subgroup analyses focused on pathologic tumor stages. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Overall, 346 patients were identified. Of these patients, 54.9% (n=190) versus 45.1% (n=156) underwent RP without versus with the IFST. By using the IFST during NVBP, the PSM decreased from 29.5% to 15.4% (p=0.003) in the entire cohort (14.6% vs 8.6% in pT2; 47.1% vs 29.4% in pT3). Conversely, NVBP increased from 55.3% to 95.5% (p<0.001) in the entire cohort (68.9% vs 99.0% in pT2; 39.1% vs 88.2% in pT3). In multivariable logistic regressions, IFST use was an independent predictor of PSMs (odds ratio [OR]: 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.30-0.98; p=0.047) and NVBP (OR: 5.60, 95% CI: 3.10-10.51; p<0.001) after controlling for patient and tumor characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of the IFST during NVBP resulted in more frequent NVBP and was associated with a lower PSM, compared with RP without the IFST. Therefore, the IFST should be performed, if available. PATIENT SUMMARY: The intraoperative frozen section technique (IFST) during preservation of neurovascular bundles (NVBP) should be offered to patients who undergo radical prostatectomy. The IFST can reduce positive margin rates and increase the rate of NVBP.

Enumeration and Changes in Circulating Tumor Cells and Their Prognostic Value in Patients Undergoing Cytoreductive Radical Prostatectomy for Oligometastatic Prostate Cancer-Translational Research Results from the Prospective ProMPT trial.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in patients with hormone-naïve oligometastatic prostate cancer (HNoMPC) undergoing cytoreductive radical prostatectomy (CRP) is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine the pre- and postoperative prognostic value of CTC enumeration in patients undergoing CRP. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-three patients with HNoMPC from the prospective, single-arm ProMPT trial who underwent CRP between 2014 and 2015 at the Martini-Klinik were evaluated. Follow-up visits for all patients were conducted every 6 mo up to 36 mo after CRP and included serial detection of CTCs in 7.5 ml blood samples using the CellSearch system. INTERVENTION: CRP. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: CTC enumerations before and after CRP, and their prognostic value on metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer-free survival and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier plots and univariable Cox-regression analysis. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Sixteen patients (48.5%) had positive CTCs prior to CRP. A CTC count of ≥2 before or 6 mo after CRP was a prognostic factor for worse oncologic outcome. Compared with other biomarkers (prostate-specific antigen, lactate dehydrogenase, and bone-specific alkaline phosphatase), the prognostic value of CTCs was highest using Harrell's C for OS (0.69), while the highest C-index could be achieved for a combination of conventional markers and CTC count (0.74). After progression to metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, CTC enumeration of ≥5 was prognostic for OS. The main limitation is the small sample size. CONCLUSIONS: CTC enumeration contributes to prognostic information, which might help select HNoMPC patients who might benefit most from CRP. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this report, we looked at the value of circulating tumor cell (CTC) determination in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy for oligometastatic prostate cancer. We could show that the number of CTCs was a prognostic factor at all analyzed time points and was more closely associated with prognosis than other biomarkers commonly used in daily clinical practice.