RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The clinical course of nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease (NTM-PD) is varied, and a watchful waiting management strategy is appropriate for a subset of patients. Understanding disease progression and risk factors for progression is essential for deciding on an appropriate follow-up strategy. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the rate of NTM-PD progression, and what are the predictors of progression? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients with NTM-PD who were enrolled in a prospective observational cohort study between July 1, 2011, and December 31, 2022, were included in this analysis. Clinical, bacterial, laboratory, and radiographic data were collected at enrollment and then regularly during follow-up. NTM-PD progression was defined as either the initiation of treatment or the clinician's intention to treat. The rate of progression was calculated and the predictors for progression were analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 477 patients enrolled, NTM-PD progressed in 192 patients over a median follow-up of 5.4 years. The incidence of NTM-PD progression was 11.0 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI, 9.5-12.7 cases per 100 person-years). The proportion of patients experiencing disease progression was 21.4% at 1 year, 33.8% at 3 years, and 43.3% at 5 years. The final multivariable analysis model identified female sex (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.69; 95% CI, 1.19-2.39), elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (aHR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.31-2.43), FEV1 % predicted (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.82-0.96), and the presence of a cavity (aHR, 2.78; 95% CI, 2.03-3.80) as predictors of progression. INTERPRETATION: About half of patients with NTM-PD experienced progression during an observation period of > 5 years. Patients with risk factors for progression should be observed closely. TRIAL REGISTRY: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT01616745; URL: www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Corticosteroids are commonly used for the treatment of acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF); however, the optimal initial dose of corticosteroids remains uncertain due to a lack of sufficient evidence. We evaluated whether the administration of a pulse dose of corticosteroids resulted in improved survival outcomes compared with conventional non-pulse dose of corticosteroids. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 238 patients with AE-IPF treated with corticosteroids at a tertiary referral hospital between January 2013 and December 2021. Based on whether a pulse dose of corticosteroids (methylprednisolone of ≥250 mg/day or equivalent) was administered within 7 days of hospitalization for AE-IPF, the patients were divided into the pulse and non-pulse regimen groups. The survival outcomes were compared between the two groups using multivariable regression and propensity score-matched analyses. RESULTS: Among the 238 patients, 59 patients received pulse dose of corticosteroids, whereas 179 patients received conventional non-pulse dose of corticosteroids. After adjusting for the confounding factors related to the baseline clinical and radiographic severity, compared with the conventional non-pulse regimen, the pulse regimen of corticosteroids did not reduce the risk of mortality at the 3-month (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.45-1.38) or 12-month (aHR 0.96, 95% CI 0.60-1.25) follow-ups. Propensity score-matched analysis revealed similar results. CONCLUSION: The survival outcomes of patients with AE-IPF who received a pulse dose of corticosteroids did not differ from those of patients who received conventional non-pulse dose of corticosteroids. Further prospective studies are required to establish the optimal initial dose of corticosteroids for the treatment of AE-IPF.
