Global Cardio Oncology Registry (G-COR): Registry Design, Primary Objectives, and Future Perspectives of a Multicenter Global Initiative.

BACKGROUND: Global collaboration in cardio-oncology is needed to understand the prevalence of cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in different risk groups, practice settings, and geographic locations. There are limited data on the socioeconomic and racial/ethnic disparities that may impact access to care and outcomes. To address these gaps, we established the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry, a multinational, multicenter prospective registry. METHODS: We assembled cardiologists and oncologists from academic and community settings to collaborate in the first Global Cardio-Oncology Registry. Subsequently, a survey for site resources, demographics, and intention to participate was conducted. We designed an online data platform to facilitate this global initiative. RESULTS: A total of 119 sites responded to an online questionnaire on their practices and main goals of the registry: 49 US sites from 23 states and 70 international sites from 5 continents indicated a willingness to participate in the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry. Sites were more commonly led by cardiologists (85/119; 72%) and were more often university/teaching (81/119; 68%) than community based (38/119; 32%). The average number of cardio-oncology patients treated per month was 80 per site. The top 3 Global Cardio-Oncology Registry priorities in cardio-oncology care were breast cancer, hematologic malignancies, and patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. Executive and scientific committees and specific committees were established. A pilot phase for breast cancer using Research Electronic Data Capture Cloud platform recently started patient enrollment. CONCLUSIONS: We present the structure for a global collaboration. Information derived from the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry will help understand the risk factors impacting cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in different geographic locations and therefore contribute to reduce access gaps in cardio-oncology care. Risk calculators will be prospectively derived and validated.

Prediction models for heart failure in the community: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: Multivariable prediction models can be used to estimate risk of incident heart failure (HF) in the general population. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to determine the performance of models. METHODS AND RESULTS: From inception to 3 November 2022 MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched for studies of multivariable models derived, validated and/or augmented for HF prediction in community-based cohorts. Discrimination measures for models with c-statistic data from ≥3 cohorts were pooled by Bayesian meta-analysis, with heterogeneity assessed through a 95% prediction interval (PI). Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. We included 36 studies with 59 prediction models. In meta-analysis, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) risk score (summary c-statistic 0.802, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.707-0.883), GRaph-based Attention Model (GRAM; 0.791, 95% CI 0.677-0.885), Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) white men model (0.820, 95% CI 0.792-0.843), PCP-HF white women model (0.852, 95% CI 0.804-0.895), and REverse Time AttentIoN model (RETAIN; 0.839, 95% CI 0.748-0.916) had a statistically significant 95% PI and excellent discrimination performance. The ARIC risk score and PCP-HF models had significant summary discrimination among cohorts with a uniform prediction window. 77% of model results were at high risk of bias, certainty of evidence was low, and no model had a clinical impact study. CONCLUSIONS: Prediction models for estimating risk of incident HF in the community demonstrate excellent discrimination performance. Their usefulness remains uncertain due to high risk of bias, low certainty of evidence, and absence of clinical effectiveness research.

The Burden of Uncontrolled Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Men With Prostate Cancer: A RADICAL-PC Analysis.

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence is higher in men with prostate cancer (PC) than without. Objectives: We describe the rate and correlates of poor cardiovascular risk factor control among men with PC. Methods: We prospectively characterized 2,811 consecutive men (mean age 68 ± 8 years) with PC from 24 sites in Canada, Israel, Brazil, and Australia. We defined poor overall risk factor control as ≥3 of the following: suboptimal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (>2 mmol/L if Framingham Risk Score [FRS] ≥15 and ≥3.5 mmol/L if FRS <15), current smoker, physical inactivity (<600 MET min/wk), suboptimal blood pressure (BP) (≥140/90 mm Hg if no other risk factors, systolic BP ≥120 mm Hg if known CVD or FRS ≥15, and ≥130/80 mm Hg if diabetic), and waist:hip ratio >0.9. Results: Among participants (9% with metastatic PC and 23% with pre-existing CVD), 99% had ≥1 uncontrolled cardiovascular risk factor, and 51% had poor overall risk factor control. Not taking a statin (odds ratio [OR]: 2.55; 95% CI: 2.00-3.26), physical frailty (OR: 2.37; 95% CI: 1.51-3.71), need for BP drugs (OR: 2.36; 95% CI: 1.84-3.03), and age (OR per 10-year increase: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.14-1.59) were associated with poor overall risk factor control after adjustment for education, PC characteristics, androgen deprivation therapy, depression, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group functional status. Conclusions: Poor control of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors is common in men with PC, highlighting the large gap in care and the need for improved interventions to optimize cardiovascular risk management in this population.

Care of patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction: an international analysis of quality indicators in the acute coronary syndrome STEMI Registry of the EURObservational Research Programme and ACVC and EAPCI Associations of the European Society of Cardiology in 11 462 patients.

AIMS: To use quality indicators to study the management of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in different regions. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective cohort study of STEMI within 24 h of symptom onset (11 462 patients, 196 centres, 26 European Society of Cardiology members, and 3 affiliated countries). The median delay between arrival at a percutaneous cardiovascular intervention (PCI) centre and primary PCI was 40 min (interquartile range 20-74) with 65.8% receiving PCI within guideline recommendation of 60 min. A third of patients (33.2%) required transfer from their initial hospital to one that could perform emergency PCI for whom only 27.2% were treated within the quality indicator recommendation of 120 min. Radial access was used in 56.6% of all primary PCI, but with large geographic variation, from 76.4 to 9.1%. Statins were prescribed at discharge to 98.7% of patients, with little geographic variation. Of patients with a history of heart failure or a documented left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%, 84.0% were discharged on an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker and 88.7% were discharged on beta-blockers. CONCLUSION: Care for STEMI shows wide geographic variation in the receipt of timely primary PCI, and is in contrast with the more uniform delivery of guideline-recommended pharmacotherapies at time of hospital discharge.

Revascularization outcomes in diabetic patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome with non-ST elevation.

BACKGROUND: To compare the outcomes of diabetic patients hospitalized with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) or unstable angina (UA) referred for revascularization by either coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in a real-life setting. METHODS: The study included 1987 patients with diabetes mellitus enrolled from the biennial Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey between 2000 and 2016, who were hospitalized for NSTEMI or UA, and underwent either PCI (N = 1652, 83%) or CABG (N = 335, 17%). Propensity score-matching analysis compared all-cause mortality in 200 pairs (1:1) who underwent revascularization by either PCI or CABG. RESULTS: Independent predictors for CABG referral included 3-vessel coronary artery disease (OR 4.9, 95% CI 3.6-6.8, p < 0.001), absence of on-site cardiac surgery (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.9, p = 0.013), no previous PCI (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-2.2, p = 0.024) or MI (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.6, p = 0.002). While at 2 years of follow-up, survival analysis revealed no differences in mortality risk between the surgical and percutaneous revascularization groups (log-rank p = 0.996), after 2 years CABG was associated with a significant survival benefit (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.07-2.21; p = 0.021). Comparison of the propensity score matching pairs also revealed a consistent long-term advantage toward CABG (log-rank p = 0.031). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-life setting, revascularization by CABG of diabetic patients hospitalized with NSTEMI/UA is associated with better long-term outcomes. Prospective randomized studies are warranted in order to provide more effective recommendations in future guidelines.

Peripheral artery disease, abnormal ankle-brachial index, and prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

Objectives: Ankle-brachial index (ABI) is an independent prognostic marker of cardiovascular events among patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). We aimed to investigate the outcome of patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and abnormal ABI. Approach and results: ABI was prospectively measured in 1,047 patients hospitalized due to ACS, who were stratified into three groups, namely, those with clinical peripheral artery disease (PAD) (N = 132), those without clinical PAD but with abnormal (< 0.9) ABI (subclinical PAD; N = 148), and those without clinical PAD with normal ABI (no PAD; N = 767). Patients were prospectively followed for 30-day major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) and 1-year all-cause mortality. The mean age was 64 years. There was a significant gradual increase throughout the three groups in age, i.e., the incidence of prior stroke, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension (p for trend = 0.001 for all). The in-hospital course showed a gradual rise in the incidence of complications with an increase in heart failure [2.5, 6.1, and 9.2%, (p for trend = 0.001)] and acute kidney injury [2, 4.1, and 11.5%, (p for trend = 0.001)]. At day 30, there was a stepwise increase in MACE, such that patients without PAD had the lowest rate, followed by subclinical and clinical PADs (3.5, 6.8, and 8.1%, respectively, p for trend = 0.009). Similarly, there was a significant increase in 1-year mortality from 3.4% in patients without PAD, through 6.8% in those with subclinical PAD, to 15.2% in those with clinical PAD (p for trend = 0.001). Conclusion: Subclinical PAD is associated with poor outcomes in patients with ACS, suggesting that routine ABI screening could carry important prognostic significance in these patients regardless of PAD symptoms.

Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Results From a Large Real-World Registry.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist regarding the significance of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: We evaluated 16,922 consecutive ACS patients who were prospectively included in a national ACS registry. The co-primary endpoint included 30 days major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) (re-infarction, stroke, and/or cardiovascular death) and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: PAD patients were older (70±11 vs 63±13; p<0.01), male predominance (80% vs 77%; p=0.01), and more likely to sustain prior cardiovascular events. PAD patients were less likely to undergo coronary angiography (69% vs 83%; p<0.001) and revascularisation (80% vs 86%; p<0.001). Patients with PAD were more likely to sustain 30-day MACE (22% vs 14%; p<0.001) and mortality (10% vs 4.4%; p<0.001), as well as re-hospitalisation (23% vs 19%; p=0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, PAD remained an independent predictor of 30-day MACE (odds ratio [OR], 1.6 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.24-2.06]). Patients with compared to those without PAD had 2.5 times higher 1-year mortality rate (22% vs 9%; p<0.001). Co-existence of PAD remained an independent predictor of 1-year mortality after adjustment for potential confounders by multivariable regression analysis (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.4-1.9). PAD was associated with a significant higher 1-year mortality rate across numerous sub-groups of patients including type of myocardial infarction (ST-elevation myocardial infarction vs non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction), and whether the patient underwent revascularisation. CONCLUSIONS: Acute coronary syndrome with concomitant PAD represents a high-risk subgroup that warrants special attention and a more tailored approach.

Development of Pericardial Effusion in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Is Associated with the Presence of EGFR/ALK Mutations.

BACKGROUND: No specific clinical or histological factors are recognized to be associated with the development of pericardial effusion in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) other than a metastatic disease. OBJECTIVES: To assess whether specific clinical and histological features are associated with development of pericardial effusion in patients with NSCLC. METHODS: A consecutive cohort of patients with NSCLC who presented with symptomatic pericardial effusion 2014-2017 was compared to a control group of patients with advanced NSCLC without pericardial effusion. RESULTS: The 27 patients in the effusion group were generally younger, more often female, and with a higher percentage of never-smokers, compared to the 54 patients of the control group. Epidermal growth factor receptor/anaplastic lymphoma kinase (EGFR/ALK) mutation tumors were found in 48% of patients in the effusion group vs. 25% in the control group. In the multivariate analysis, the unadjusted odds ratio (OR) for the development of pericardial effusion in patients with somatic mutations was significantly higher compared to wild type tumors (OR 2.65, 95% confidence interval 1.00-7.00). However, a suspected association between pericardial effusion and mutation status was found to be confounded by age. While a high rate of recurrence was observed when pericardiocentesis was initially performed (9/17, 53%), no recurrence was documented when pericardial window procedure was performed (total of 17 patients). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with EGFR/ALK mutations may be at higher risk for the development of pericardial effusion; therefore, attending physicians need to be aware and have a high index of clinical suspicion.

The Diagnosis and Management of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Cardiovascular Toxicity: Myocarditis and Beyond.

Recent years have brought major advancements in the use of immune therapy and specifically immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in cancer patients, with expanding indications for various malignancies resulting in the treatment of a large and increasing number of patients. While this therapy significantly improves outcomes in a variety of hematologic and solid tumors, the use of ICIs is associated with a substantial risk of immune-related adverse events. Cardiovascular toxicity, while not the most common side effect of ICIs, is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. It is therefore crucial for oncologists and cardiologists, as well as internists and emergency room physicians, to have a good understanding of this increasingly common clinical problem. In the present review, we discuss the cardiac aspects of ICI therapy with special emphasis on the clinical manifestations of their cardiovascular toxicity, diagnostic approaches, treatment and suggested surveillance.

Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Following Acute Coronary Syndrome: Impact of Gender.

The impact of gender on clinical outcomes after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) has generated conflicting results. We investigated the impact of gender, on 30 day mortality, complications and late survival in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) undergoing CABG. The study included 1308 patients enrolled from the biennial Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey between 2000 and 2016, who were hospitalized for ACS and underwent CABG. Of them, 1045 (80%) were men and 263 (20%) women. While women were older and had more hypertension and hyperlipidemia, they demonstrated less diabetes mellitus, previous ischemic heart disease, smoking, and fewer implicated coronary arteries. Women presented with more atypical symptoms as compared to men (26.3% vs 19.4%, p = 0.017). Overall multivariable-adjusted 30 day mortality was higher in women than in men (OR 2.47 95% CI 1.19-5.1, p = 0.015). Among patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) or non-STEMI, women had a higher 10 year mortality rate than men (42.5% vs 19.2%, log-rank p < 0.001 and 31.5% vs 20.7%, log-rank, p = 0.012). However, in patients with unstable angina pectoris on admission, these differences were not seen (16.9% vs 13.4%, log-rank p = 0.540). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that female gender was a significant predictor for 10 year mortality (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.02-1.9, p = 0.038). In a real-life setting, women constitute an independent predictor for short- and long-term mortality following ACS treated by CABG surgery. The reasons for a higher mortality in women should be further investigated as well as specific and/or more intensive therapies after CABG in this high-risk group of patients.

Illness perceptions of Israeli hospitalized patients with acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Illness perceptions (IPs) can affect cardiac health behaviours and outcomes. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate IPs among patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). DESIGN: Longitudinal survey. METHODS: The ACS Israel Study is a national, biennial registry, enrolling all patients with ACS admitted to cardiac intensive care or cardiology wards in Israel within a 2-month period. Data includes demographics, medical history, and treatment for ACS using an electronic database. In 2018, a nursing component was added, including the Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics and a two-stage cluster analysis. RESULTS: A total of 990 subjects were surveyed. Mean age was 62.8 (SD = 12.5) and most respondents were male and married. Mean IP scores ranged from 3.28 to 6.06. Three clusters were found; one only of women and two only of men (one cluster with lower IPs and little previous medical history and cardiac risk factors and the second with higher IPs, greater medical history, and cardiac risk factors. Those with higher education scored lower on several IPs. CONCLUSIONS: Subjects were moderately cognitively and emotionally impacted by their illness. Men tended to perceive their illness as having either a relatively strong or a relatively weak emotional and cognitive impact on their lives, where women were somewhere in-between. Participants with an academic education perceived less of an impact of the illness while those with a previous history of chronic disease reported the opposite. It is recommended that educational interventions and in-depth qualitative studies be designed that investigate the development of IPs during hospitalization to potentially improve cardiac health behaviours, especially among those without a previous medical history and cardiac risk factors. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Those without a history of chronic disease or a lower level of education are less likely to absorb the full impact of a cardiac event while hospitalized and should, therefore, be monitored more closely and coached with greater intensity than other groups while still in-hospital.

Distress among hospitalized patients with acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated that those suffering from acute coronary syndrome (ACS) experience various physical and psychological symptoms. Few studies have investigated the multi-factorial, holistic, unpleasant experience of distress that includes physical, psychological, social, and spiritual factors among this patient population while still hospitalized. AIM: To describe the level of distress among patients hospitalized with ACS and its association with demographic and clinical factors and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: The study conducted a descriptive, cross-sectional survey. METHODS: The Acute Coronary Syndrome Israel Study is a national, biennial registry, enrolling all patients with ACS admitted to cardiac intensive care or cardiology wards in Israel within a 2-month period. Demographic and clinical data were retrieved from an electronic database. Distress was measured by the Distress Thermometer. Nurses collected distress data directly from patients before discharge. RESULTS: Nine hundred ninety participants (50.6% response rate) were surveyed. Mean age was 62.8 (SD = 12.5). Mean distress level was 4.8 (SD = 3.45) out of 10. The most frequently reported area of distress was physical, followed by emotional. Practical and family problems were less frequent. Emotional distress was found to differ based on educational level, marital status, smoking history, and previous medical history. Distress did not predict 7- or 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Respondents with ACS were in moderate distress. It is recommended that those at increased risk receive increased monitoring of emotional distress while still in hospital. Further studies should investigate this holistic view of distress among the ACS population using a variety of methods and methodologies.

Ticagrelor versus Prasugrel in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Analysis from the Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to compare the outcomes of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients undergoing in-hospital percutaneous coronary intervention treated with prasugrel versus ticagrelor. METHODS: Among 7,233 patients enrolled to the Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey (ACSIS) between 2010 and 2018, we identified 1,126 eligible patients treated with prasugrel and 817 with ticagrelor. Comparison between the groups was performed separately in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients, propensity score matched (PSM) STEMI patients, and non-ST-elevation ACS (NSTE-ACS) patients. RESULTS: In-hospital complication rates, including rates of stent thrombosis, were not significantly different between groups. In PSM STEMI patients, 30-day re-hospitalization rate (p < 0.05), 30-day MACE (the composite of death, MI, stroke, and urgent revascularization, p = 0.006), and 1-year mortality rates (p = 0.08) were higher in the ticagrelor group compared to the prasugrel group; in NSTE-ACS patients, outcomes were not associated with drug choice. In Cox regression analysis applied on the entire cohort, prasugrel was associated with lower 1-year mortality in STEMI patients but not in NSTE-ACS patients (p for interaction 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to ticagrelor, prasugrel was associated with superior clinical outcomes in STEMI patients, but not in NSTE-ACS patients.

Machine learning-based prediction of 1-year mortality for acute coronary syndrome✰.

BACKGROUND: Clinical risk assessment with quantitative formal risk scores may add to intuitive physician risk assessment and are advised by the international guidelines for the management of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. Most previous studies have used the binary regression/classification approach (dead/alive) for long-term mortality post-ACS, without considering the time-to-event as in survival analysis. The use of machine learning (ML)-based survival models has yet to be validated. The primary objective was to compare survival prediction performance of 1-year mortality following ACS of two newly developed ML-based models [random survival forest (RSF) and deep learning (DeepSurv)] with the traditional Cox-proportional hazard (CPH) model. The secondary objective was external validation of the findings. METHODS: This was a retrospective, supervised learning data mining study based on the Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey (ACSIS) and the Myocardial Ischemia National Audit Project (MINAP). The ACSIS data were divided to train/test in a 70/30 fashion. Next, the models were externally validated on the MINAP data. Harrell's C-index, inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW), and the Brier-score were used for models' performance comparison. RESULTS: RSF performed best among the three models, with Harrell's C-index on training and testing sets reaching 0.953 and 0.924 respectively, followed by CPH multivariate selected model (0.805/0.849), CPH Univariate selected model (0.828/0.806), DeepSurv model (0.801/0.804), and the traditional CPH model (0.826/0.738). The RSF model also had the highest performance on the validation data set with 0.811 for Harrell's C-index, 0.844 for IPCW, and 0.093 for Brier score. The CPH model performance on the validation set had C-index range between 0.689 to 0.790, 0.713 to 0.826 for IPCW, and 0.094 to 0.103 Brier score. CONCLUSIONS: RSF survival predictions for long-term mortality post-ACS show improved model performance compared with the classic statistical method. This may benefit patients by allowing better risk stratification and tailored therapy, however further prospective evaluations are required.

Association of Contemporary Statin Pretreatment Intensity and LDL-C Levels on the Incidence of STEMI Presentation.

Constituting hypolipidemic and pleiotropic effects, statins stabilize coronary artery plaque and may prevent STEMI events. This study investigated the association between contemporary statin pretreatment intensity, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels, and the type of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) presentation: STEMI vs. NSTE-ACS. Data were drawn from the ACS Israeli Survey (ACSIS), a biennial prospective national survey that took place in 2008-2018. The rate of STEMI vs. NSTE-ACS was calculated by statin use, including statin intensity (high-intensity statin therapy (HIST) and low-intensity statin therapy (LIST) prior to the index ACS event. Among 5103 patients, 2839 (56%) were statin-naive, 1389 (27%) used LIST and 875 (17%) used HIST. Statin pretreated patients were older and had a higher rates of co-morbidities, cardiovascular disease history and pretreatment with evidence-based medications. STEMI vs. NSTE-ACS was lower among HIST vs. LIST vs. statin-naive patients (31.0%, 37.8%, and 54.0%, respectively, p for trend < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that HIST was independently associated with lower STEMI presentation (ORadj 0.70; 95% CI 0.57-0.86), while LIST (ORadj 0.92; 95% CI 0.77-1.10) and LDL-C < 70 mg/dL (ORadj 0.96; 95% CI 0.82-1.14) were not. In conclusion, among patients admitted with ACS, pretreatment with HIST was independently associated with a lower probability of STEMI presentation, while LIST and LDL-C < 70 mg/dL were not.

Association of Polycythemia with Outcomes of Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Polycythemia has not been extensively studied for its impact on acute coronary syndrome (ACS) outcomes. A previous study reported only 30-day outcomes to be worse in these patients. METHODS: Data from the ACS Israeli survey between 2000 and 2018 were utilized to compare between 3 groups of patients with ACS: anemic group (hemoglobin <12 g/dL for women and <12.5 g/dL for men), normal hemoglobin group, and polycythemic group (>16 g/dL and >16.5 g/dL, respectively). Measured outcomes included 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE comprising all-cause mortality, recurrent ACS, need for urgent revascularization, and stroke) and 1- and 5-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Of 14,746 ACS patients, 10,752 (72.9%) had normal hemoglobin levels, 3,492 (23.7%) were anemic, and 502 (3.4%) were polycythemic. In comparison with normal and anemic patients, polycythemic patients were younger (55.9 ± 10.5 vs. 61.9 ± 12.4 and 71.1 ± 12.2 for anemic, respectively, p < 0.001 for both), more frequently men (93.8% vs. 81.3% and 63.1%, respectively, p < 0.001), and less likely diabetic or hypertensive. Upon adjustment to baseline characteristics, compared with normal hemoglobin, polycythemia was not independently associated with 30-day MACE or 1-year mortality, but it was independently associated with higher risk for 5-year mortality (HR 1.76, 95% CI: 1.19-2.59, p = 0.005). Similar results were observed after propensity score matching. CONCLUSIONS: Although younger and with fewer comorbidities, polycythemic ACS patients are at increased risk for long-term all-cause mortality. Further study of this association is warranted to understand the causes and possibly to improve the outcomes of these patients.

Differences in the characteristics and contemporary cardiac outcomes of patients with light-chain versus transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis.

AIMS: To compare the baseline cardiovascular characteristics of immunoglobulin light-chain (AL) and amyloid transthyretin (ATTR) cardiac amyloidosis (CA) and to investigate patients' contemporary cardiac outcomes. METHODS: Single-center analysis of clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMRi) characteristics of AL and ATTR-CA patients' cohort (years 2013-2020). RESULTS: Included were 67 CA patients of whom 31 (46%) had AL-CA and 36 (54%) had ATTR-CA. Patients with ATTR-CA versus AL-CA were older (80 (IQR 70, 85) years versus 65 (IQR 60, 71) years, respectively, p<0.001) with male predominance (p = 0.038). Co-morbidities in ATTR-CA patients more frequently included diabetes mellitus (19% versus 3.0%, respectively, p = 0.060) and coronary artery disease (39% versus 10%, respectively, p = 0.010). By echocardiography, patients with ATTR-CA versus AL-CA had a trend to worse left ventricular (LV) ejection function (50 (IQR 40, 55)% versus 60 (IQR 45, 60)%, respectively, p = 0.051), yet comparable LV diastolic function. By CMRi, left atrial area (31 (IQR 27, 36)cm2 vs. 27 (IQR 23, 30)cm2, respectively, p = 0.015) and LV mass index (109 (IQR 96, 130)grams/m2 vs. 82 (IQR 72, 98)grams/m2, respectively, p = 0.011) were increased in patients with ATTR-CA versus AL-CA. Nevertheless, during follow-up (median 20 (IQR 10, 38) months), patients with AL-CA were more frequently admitted with heart failure exacerbations (HR 2.87 (95% CI 1.42, 5.81), p = 0.003) and demonstrated increased mortality (HR 2.51 (95%CI 1.19, 5.28), p = 0.015). CONCLUSION: Despite the various similarities of AL-CA and ATTR-CA, these diseases have distinct baseline cardiovascular profiles and different heart failure course, thus merit tailored-cardiac management.

Predicting 30-day mortality after ST elevation myocardial infarction: Machine learning- based random forest and its external validation using two independent nationwide datasets.

BACKGROUND: Various prognostic models for mortality prediction following ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) have been developed over the past two decades. Our group has previously demonstrated that machine learning (ML)-based models can outperform known risk scores for 30-day mortality post-STEMI. The study aimed to redevelop an ML-based random forest prediction model for 30-day mortality post-STEMI and externally validate it on a large cohort. METHODS: This was a retrospective, supervised learning, data mining study developed on the Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey (ACSIS) registry and the Myocardial Ischemia National Audit Project (MINAP) for external validation. Patients included received reperfusion therapy for STEMI between 2006 and 2016. Discrimination and calibration performances were assessed for two developed models and compared with the Global Registry of Acute Cardiac Events (GRACE) score. RESULTS: The ACSIS cohort (2,782 included /15,212 total) and MINAP cohort (22,693 included/735,000 total) were significantly different in most variables, yet similar in 30-day mortality rate (4.3-4.4%). Random forest models were developed on the ACSIS cohort with a full model including all 32 variables and a simple model including the 10 most important ones. Features' importance was calculated using the varImp function measuring how much each feature contributes to the data's homogeneity. Applying the optimized models on the MINAP validation cohort showed high discrimination of area under the curve (AUC) = 0.804 (0.786-0.822) for the full model, and AUC = 0.787 (0.748-0.780) using the simple model, compared with the GRACE risk score discrimination of AUC = 0.764 (0.748-0.780). All models were not well calibrated for the MINAP data. Following Platt scaling on 20% of the MINAP data, the random forest models calibration improved while the GRACE calibration did not change. CONCLUSIONS: The random forest predictive model for 30-day mortality post STEMI, developed on the ACSIS national registry, has been validated in the MINAP large external cohort and can be applied early at admission for risk stratification. The model performed better than the commonly used GRACE score. Furthermore, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first externally validated ML-based model for STEMI.

TAVR and cancer: machine learning-augmented propensity score mortality and cost analysis in over 30 million patients.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer are the top mortality causes globally, yet little is known about how the diagnosis of cancer affects treatment options in patients with hemodynamically compromising aortic stenosis (AS). Patients with cancer often are excluded from aortic valve replacement (AVR) trials including trials with transcatheter AVR (TAVR) and surgical AVR (SAVR). This study looks at how cancer may influence treatment options and assesses the outcome of patients with cancer who undergo SAVR or TAVR intervention. Additionally, we sought to quantitate and compare both clinical and cost outcomes for patients with and without cancer. METHODS: This population-based case-control study uses the most recent year available National Inpatient Sample (NIS (2016) from the United States Department of Health and Human Services' Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). Machine learning augmented propensity score adjusted multivariable regression was conducted based on the likelihood of undergoing TAVR versus medical management (MM) and TAVR versus SAVR with model optimization supported by backward propagation neural network machine learning. RESULTS: Of the 30,195,722 total hospital admissions, 39,254 (0.13%) TAVRs were performed, with significantly fewer performed in patients with versus without cancer even in those of comparable age and mortality risk (23.82% versus 76.18%, p < 0.001) despite having similar hospital and procedural mortality. Multivariable regression in patients with cancer demonstrated that mortality was similar for TAVR, MM, and SAVR, though LOS and cost was significantly lower for TAVR versus MM and comparable for TAVR versus SAVR. Patients with prostate cancer constituted the largest primary cancer among TAVR patients including those with metastatic disease. There were no significant race or geographic disparities for TAVR mortality. DISCUSSION: Comparison of aortic valve intervention in patients with and without cancer suggests that interventions are underutilized in the cancer population. This study suggests that patients with cancer including those with metastasis have similar inpatient outcomes to patients without cancer. Further, patients who have symptomatic AS and those with higher risk aortic valve disease should be offered the benefit of intervention. Modern techniques have reduced intervention-related adverse events, provided improved quality of life, and appear to be cost effective; these advantages should not necessarily be denied to patients with co-existing cancer.